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Long Term Care
Insurance
The Need and Methods of Funding
In the last 10 years . . .
Changes to Traditional Long Term Care Insurance Plans:
• Over 100 to less than 25 carriers
• Most group LTC carriers threw in the towel
• “Unlimited” benefits are gone
• Inflation protection has become prohibitively expensive
• Almost all LTC carriers have raised premiums on in force business
• Short pay is gone
• Underwriting is much more stringent
How can you help your client in such a challenging environment?
And why would you bother?
Reasons traditional LTC is struggling:
• Low interest rates
• Low lapse rate (1-2% rather than 5-6%)
• Rising cost of care
• Longer benefit periods
The “Why:” Understanding the Need
The need for care is created by:
• A chronic medical condition that compromises the
individual’s ability to perform the most basic of daily routines
(the 6 Activities of Daily Living); or
• A cognitive impairment that compromises his ability to safely
interact with his environment (i.e., Alzheimer’s)
Likelihood of Need
68%: The probability that an individual over age 65 will become
cognitively impaired or unable to complete at least two "activities
of daily living“ (statistic includes short term, 1 in 5)
40%: Percentage of individuals who reach age 65 who will enter
a nursing home during their lifetimes
2.5: Average length of stay in a nursing home
Alzheimer’s: Most frequent claim (at nearly 20%). AD average
length from diagnosis to death: 8-10 years
50%: Likelihood an insured that purchases a traditional LTC
policy at 60 will use it before death
Home Care
Homemaker services
2014 $3,051
2044 $7,406
Home health aide
2014 $3,314
2044 $8,044
Adult Day Health Care
Adult day health care
2014 $1,192
2044 $2,893
Assisted Living Facility
Private, one bedroom
2014 $3,650
2044 $8,860
Nursing Home Care
Semi-private room
2014 $5,627
2044 $13,658
Private room
2014 $6,144
2044 $14,913
Knoxville, TN
Monthly Cost
of Care:
2014 vs. 2044
3% annual
inflation*
*Private Nursing Home five-year annual growth: 4.19%
2014-2016: 4 year private room in a nursing home (without
factoring in inflation):
$294,912
2044-2046: 4 year private room in a nursing home (assuming
3% inflation until 2044):
$715,824
Methods to Meet the Long Term Care Need
• My family will take care of me
• I will fully self insure
• I will spend down my assets and rely on
Medicaid
• I will purchase insurance to fully cover my
potential risk
• I will purchase insurance to cover the majority
of my risk, and self insure the remainder
My family will take care of me.
• The average weekly time requirement for caregivers is 21
hours
• 1/3 of caregivers must provide 30 or more hours of care
per week
• Adverse impact on caregiver’s career, as well as emotional
and physical well-being
• Your family’s role should be supervisory in nature
I will fully self insure.
• Do you have money sitting in a bucket for this significant
and likely expense?
• If care is paid for from your retirement portfolio, it
requires a reallocation of income. If the need for care
lasts long enough it leads to an unintended invasion of
principal.
• Unnecessary taxes due to unintended sale of assets.
• Can undermine the financial viability of the surviving
spouse or children who may depend on an inheritance.
• Liquidity issues: assuming assets can be converted to
cash, will they incur a loss because of market conditions?
• Lost investment opportunity for liquidated assets.
• Beyond the financial: coordination of care (who, where,
and how)
Our aging population:
37 million: Number of Americans age 65 or older in 2005.
81 million: Expected number of Americans age 65 or older in
2050.
Can Medicaid and its long term care provider partners handle the
influx?
I will spend down my assets and rely on Medicaid.
• Quality of life and the retirement plan you’ve built go out
the door
• Medicaid reform- raising disability threshold and
tightening income requirements
• Medicaid access and quality issues
• A safety net without the guarantees
I will purchase insurance to fully cover my potential risk.
• Too many variables to completely negate risk
• Cost of care and inflation
• Benefit Period
• Premium guarantees, or lack thereof
The viable solution: I will purchase insurance to cover
the majority of my risk, and self insure the remainder.
Major considerations when buying:
•Cost of Care
•Age to Apply
•Length of Benefit Period
•Inflation Protection
•Guarantees
•What is Covered
•How it pays- Reimbursement vs. Indemnity
How many of you talk to your working-years clients about
disability insurance?
How many of you talk to your clients about long term care
insurance?
When should your client purchase coverage?
Underwriting
Traditional LTC application denial statistics:
• Under age 50: 9.5%
• 50 to 59: 14.0%
• 60 to 69: 23%
• 70-79: 45%
• 80 and Over: 66%
Inflation
Predict most likely period of need, account for rising cost of care
Long Term Care Insurance Products
•Traditional LTC
•Guaranteed Universal Life (UL) with long term care
rider*
•Indexed Universal Life (IUL) with long term care rider
•Whole Life with long term care rider
•Second-to-die Whole Life with long term care rider
*Not all riders are created equally. Make sure the coverage has a
true LTC rider rather than an Accelerated Death Benefit Rider.
There is no “one size fits all” in this market.
Couple- Age 45
Type of Product Carrier Inflation
Monthly LTC
Benefit
Benefit
Period Benefit Pool Type of LTC Pay
Traditional LTC Transamerica None $10,200 5 Years $612,000 Reimbursement
Genworth 3% Compound $5,000 5 Years Subject to Inflation Reimbursement
Genworth 5% Compound $5,000 5 Years Subject to Inflation Reimbursement
Guaranteed UL Transamerica None $10,000 50 Months $500,000 Indemnity
Transamerica None $10,000 50 Months $500,000 Indemnity
Genworth None $10,266 4 Years $492,768 Reimbursement
Indexed UL John Hancock None $10,000 50 Months $500,000 Reimbursement
John Hancock None $10,000 50 Months $500,000 Reimbursement
Whole Life Guardian None $10,000 50 Months $500,000 Indemnity
Guardian None $10,000 50 Months $500,000 Indemnity
Whole Life- 2nd to Die State Life None $10,000 Lifetime N/A Reimbursement
State Life None $10,000 Lifetime N/A Reimbursement
Type of Product Carrier Death Benefit
Projected
Cash Value
Year 30 (total
both insureds)
Projected
Death
Benefit Year
30 (total
Traditional LTC Transamerica None N/A N/A
Genworth None N/A N/A
Genworth None N/A N/A
Guaranteed UL Transamerica $500,000 each insured N/A $1,000,000
Transamerica $500,000 each insured N/A $1,000,000
Genworth $246,736 each insured N/A $493,472
Indexed UL John Hancock $500,000 each insured $1,326,945 $2,011,832
John Hancock $500,000 each insured $1,901,776 $2,891,750
Whole Life Guardian $555,555 each insured $1,020,965 $1,770,212
Guardian $555,555 each insured $608,066 $1,214,924
Whole Life- 2nd to Die State Life $333,333 second to dieN/A $166,667
State Life $333,333 second to dieN/A $166,667
Type of Product Carrier Pay Schedule Premium
30 Year
Outlay
Guarantee
Information
Traditional LTC Transamerica Pay All Years $3,697 $110,910 Assessable Premium
Genworth Pay All Years $3,165 $94,950 Assessable Premium
Genworth Pay All Years $5,852 $175,560 Assessable Premium
Guaranteed UL Transamerica Pay All Years $8,444 $253,320 Guaranteed Premium, LTC, and Death Benefit
Transamerica 20 Pay $10,860 $217,200 Guaranteed Premium, LTC, and Death Benefit
Genworth Single Pay $137,000 $137,000 Guaranteed Premium, LTC, and Death Benefit
Indexed UL John Hancock Pay All Years $16,275 $488,250 Guaranteed Segment Floor Rate
John Hancock 20 Pay $25,303 $506,060 Guaranteed Segment Floor Rate
Whole Life Guardian Pay All Years $21,067 $632,010 Guaranteed Interest Rate (dividend floor)
Guardian Short Pay $21,067 $335,210 Guaranteed Interest Rate (dividend floor)
Whole Life- 2nd to Die State Life Pay All Years $5,522 $165,660 Guaranteed Base and LTC Rider Premium, Death Benefit
State Life Single Pay $114,182 $114,182 Guaranteed Base and LTC Rider Premium, Death Benefit
Couple- Age 60
Type of Product Carrier Inflation
Monthly LTC
Benefit Benefit Period Benefit Pool Type of LTC Pay
Traditional LTC Mutual of Omaha None $5,100 5 Years $306,000 Reimbursement
Genworth 3% Compound $5,000 5 Years Subject to Inflation Reimbursement
Guaranteed UL Transamerica None $5,000 50 Months $250,000 Indemnity
Transamerica None $5,000 50 Months $250,000 Indemnity
Genworth None $5,000 4 Years $240,000 Reimbursement
Whole Life Guardian None $5,000 50 Months $250,000 Indemnity
Guardian None $5,000 50 Months $250,000 Indemnity
Whole Life- 2nd to Die State Life None $5,000 Lifetime N/A Reimbursement
State Life None $5,000 Lifetime N/A Reimbursement
Type of Product Carrier Life Ins Benefit
Projected
Cash Value
Year 20 (total
both
Projected
Death Benefit
Year 20 (total
both insureds)
Traditional LTC Mutual of Omaha None N/A N/A
Genworth None N/A N/A
Guaranteed UL Transamerica $250,000 each insured N/A $500,000
Transamerica $250,000 each insured N/A $500,000
Genworth $120,500 each insured N/A $241,000
Whole Life Guardian $277,777 each insured $484,831 $833,548
Guardian $277,777 each insured $372,347 $682,608
Whole Life- 2nd to Die State Life $166,667 second to die N/A $166,667
State Life $166,667 second to die N/A $166,667
Type of Product Carrier Pay Schedule Premium 20 Year Outlay
Guarantee
Information
Traditional LTC Mutual of Omaha Pay All Years $3,020 $60,400 Assessable Premium
Genworth Pay All Years $4,907 $98,140 Assessable Premium
Guaranteed UL Transamerica Pay All Years $8,933 $178,660 Guaranteed Premium, LTC, and Death Benefit
Transamerica 20 Pay $10,752 $215,040 Guaranteed Premium, LTC, and Death Benefit
Genworth Single Pay $108,500 $108,500 Guaranteed Premium, LTC, and Death Benefit
Whole Life Guardian Pay All Years $21,171 $423,420 Guaranteed Interest Rate (dividend floor)
Guardian Short Pay $21,171 $324,834 Guaranteed Interest Rate (dividend floor)
Whole Life- 2nd to Die State Life Pay All Years $5,903 $118,060 Guaranteed Base and LTC Rider Premium, Death Benefit
State Life Single Pay $101,948 $101,948 Guaranteed Base and LTC Rider Premium, Death Benefit
Takeaways
• Long Term Care planning should be part of the financial
plans you design
• Better to allocate cost now rather than drain retirement
income or assets under management
• It’s never too early to start the conversation about LTC
• Rely on experts to help you find the best solution for your
client
Questions?
Heath Hildreth
865-691-4652
hhildreth@hildrethins.com

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Long Term Care Need and Funding Methods - by Heath B. Hildreth

  • 1. Long Term Care Insurance The Need and Methods of Funding
  • 2. In the last 10 years . . . Changes to Traditional Long Term Care Insurance Plans: • Over 100 to less than 25 carriers • Most group LTC carriers threw in the towel • “Unlimited” benefits are gone • Inflation protection has become prohibitively expensive • Almost all LTC carriers have raised premiums on in force business • Short pay is gone • Underwriting is much more stringent How can you help your client in such a challenging environment? And why would you bother? Reasons traditional LTC is struggling: • Low interest rates • Low lapse rate (1-2% rather than 5-6%) • Rising cost of care • Longer benefit periods
  • 3. The “Why:” Understanding the Need The need for care is created by: • A chronic medical condition that compromises the individual’s ability to perform the most basic of daily routines (the 6 Activities of Daily Living); or • A cognitive impairment that compromises his ability to safely interact with his environment (i.e., Alzheimer’s)
  • 4. Likelihood of Need 68%: The probability that an individual over age 65 will become cognitively impaired or unable to complete at least two "activities of daily living“ (statistic includes short term, 1 in 5) 40%: Percentage of individuals who reach age 65 who will enter a nursing home during their lifetimes 2.5: Average length of stay in a nursing home Alzheimer’s: Most frequent claim (at nearly 20%). AD average length from diagnosis to death: 8-10 years 50%: Likelihood an insured that purchases a traditional LTC policy at 60 will use it before death
  • 5. Home Care Homemaker services 2014 $3,051 2044 $7,406 Home health aide 2014 $3,314 2044 $8,044 Adult Day Health Care Adult day health care 2014 $1,192 2044 $2,893 Assisted Living Facility Private, one bedroom 2014 $3,650 2044 $8,860 Nursing Home Care Semi-private room 2014 $5,627 2044 $13,658 Private room 2014 $6,144 2044 $14,913 Knoxville, TN Monthly Cost of Care: 2014 vs. 2044 3% annual inflation* *Private Nursing Home five-year annual growth: 4.19%
  • 6. 2014-2016: 4 year private room in a nursing home (without factoring in inflation): $294,912 2044-2046: 4 year private room in a nursing home (assuming 3% inflation until 2044): $715,824
  • 7. Methods to Meet the Long Term Care Need • My family will take care of me • I will fully self insure • I will spend down my assets and rely on Medicaid • I will purchase insurance to fully cover my potential risk • I will purchase insurance to cover the majority of my risk, and self insure the remainder
  • 8. My family will take care of me. • The average weekly time requirement for caregivers is 21 hours • 1/3 of caregivers must provide 30 or more hours of care per week • Adverse impact on caregiver’s career, as well as emotional and physical well-being • Your family’s role should be supervisory in nature
  • 9. I will fully self insure. • Do you have money sitting in a bucket for this significant and likely expense? • If care is paid for from your retirement portfolio, it requires a reallocation of income. If the need for care lasts long enough it leads to an unintended invasion of principal. • Unnecessary taxes due to unintended sale of assets. • Can undermine the financial viability of the surviving spouse or children who may depend on an inheritance. • Liquidity issues: assuming assets can be converted to cash, will they incur a loss because of market conditions? • Lost investment opportunity for liquidated assets. • Beyond the financial: coordination of care (who, where, and how)
  • 10. Our aging population: 37 million: Number of Americans age 65 or older in 2005. 81 million: Expected number of Americans age 65 or older in 2050. Can Medicaid and its long term care provider partners handle the influx? I will spend down my assets and rely on Medicaid. • Quality of life and the retirement plan you’ve built go out the door • Medicaid reform- raising disability threshold and tightening income requirements • Medicaid access and quality issues • A safety net without the guarantees
  • 11. I will purchase insurance to fully cover my potential risk. • Too many variables to completely negate risk • Cost of care and inflation • Benefit Period • Premium guarantees, or lack thereof
  • 12. The viable solution: I will purchase insurance to cover the majority of my risk, and self insure the remainder. Major considerations when buying: •Cost of Care •Age to Apply •Length of Benefit Period •Inflation Protection •Guarantees •What is Covered •How it pays- Reimbursement vs. Indemnity
  • 13. How many of you talk to your working-years clients about disability insurance? How many of you talk to your clients about long term care insurance?
  • 14. When should your client purchase coverage? Underwriting Traditional LTC application denial statistics: • Under age 50: 9.5% • 50 to 59: 14.0% • 60 to 69: 23% • 70-79: 45% • 80 and Over: 66% Inflation Predict most likely period of need, account for rising cost of care
  • 15. Long Term Care Insurance Products •Traditional LTC •Guaranteed Universal Life (UL) with long term care rider* •Indexed Universal Life (IUL) with long term care rider •Whole Life with long term care rider •Second-to-die Whole Life with long term care rider *Not all riders are created equally. Make sure the coverage has a true LTC rider rather than an Accelerated Death Benefit Rider. There is no “one size fits all” in this market.
  • 16. Couple- Age 45 Type of Product Carrier Inflation Monthly LTC Benefit Benefit Period Benefit Pool Type of LTC Pay Traditional LTC Transamerica None $10,200 5 Years $612,000 Reimbursement Genworth 3% Compound $5,000 5 Years Subject to Inflation Reimbursement Genworth 5% Compound $5,000 5 Years Subject to Inflation Reimbursement Guaranteed UL Transamerica None $10,000 50 Months $500,000 Indemnity Transamerica None $10,000 50 Months $500,000 Indemnity Genworth None $10,266 4 Years $492,768 Reimbursement Indexed UL John Hancock None $10,000 50 Months $500,000 Reimbursement John Hancock None $10,000 50 Months $500,000 Reimbursement Whole Life Guardian None $10,000 50 Months $500,000 Indemnity Guardian None $10,000 50 Months $500,000 Indemnity Whole Life- 2nd to Die State Life None $10,000 Lifetime N/A Reimbursement State Life None $10,000 Lifetime N/A Reimbursement Type of Product Carrier Death Benefit Projected Cash Value Year 30 (total both insureds) Projected Death Benefit Year 30 (total Traditional LTC Transamerica None N/A N/A Genworth None N/A N/A Genworth None N/A N/A Guaranteed UL Transamerica $500,000 each insured N/A $1,000,000 Transamerica $500,000 each insured N/A $1,000,000 Genworth $246,736 each insured N/A $493,472 Indexed UL John Hancock $500,000 each insured $1,326,945 $2,011,832 John Hancock $500,000 each insured $1,901,776 $2,891,750 Whole Life Guardian $555,555 each insured $1,020,965 $1,770,212 Guardian $555,555 each insured $608,066 $1,214,924 Whole Life- 2nd to Die State Life $333,333 second to dieN/A $166,667 State Life $333,333 second to dieN/A $166,667 Type of Product Carrier Pay Schedule Premium 30 Year Outlay Guarantee Information Traditional LTC Transamerica Pay All Years $3,697 $110,910 Assessable Premium Genworth Pay All Years $3,165 $94,950 Assessable Premium Genworth Pay All Years $5,852 $175,560 Assessable Premium Guaranteed UL Transamerica Pay All Years $8,444 $253,320 Guaranteed Premium, LTC, and Death Benefit Transamerica 20 Pay $10,860 $217,200 Guaranteed Premium, LTC, and Death Benefit Genworth Single Pay $137,000 $137,000 Guaranteed Premium, LTC, and Death Benefit Indexed UL John Hancock Pay All Years $16,275 $488,250 Guaranteed Segment Floor Rate John Hancock 20 Pay $25,303 $506,060 Guaranteed Segment Floor Rate Whole Life Guardian Pay All Years $21,067 $632,010 Guaranteed Interest Rate (dividend floor) Guardian Short Pay $21,067 $335,210 Guaranteed Interest Rate (dividend floor) Whole Life- 2nd to Die State Life Pay All Years $5,522 $165,660 Guaranteed Base and LTC Rider Premium, Death Benefit State Life Single Pay $114,182 $114,182 Guaranteed Base and LTC Rider Premium, Death Benefit
  • 17. Couple- Age 60 Type of Product Carrier Inflation Monthly LTC Benefit Benefit Period Benefit Pool Type of LTC Pay Traditional LTC Mutual of Omaha None $5,100 5 Years $306,000 Reimbursement Genworth 3% Compound $5,000 5 Years Subject to Inflation Reimbursement Guaranteed UL Transamerica None $5,000 50 Months $250,000 Indemnity Transamerica None $5,000 50 Months $250,000 Indemnity Genworth None $5,000 4 Years $240,000 Reimbursement Whole Life Guardian None $5,000 50 Months $250,000 Indemnity Guardian None $5,000 50 Months $250,000 Indemnity Whole Life- 2nd to Die State Life None $5,000 Lifetime N/A Reimbursement State Life None $5,000 Lifetime N/A Reimbursement Type of Product Carrier Life Ins Benefit Projected Cash Value Year 20 (total both Projected Death Benefit Year 20 (total both insureds) Traditional LTC Mutual of Omaha None N/A N/A Genworth None N/A N/A Guaranteed UL Transamerica $250,000 each insured N/A $500,000 Transamerica $250,000 each insured N/A $500,000 Genworth $120,500 each insured N/A $241,000 Whole Life Guardian $277,777 each insured $484,831 $833,548 Guardian $277,777 each insured $372,347 $682,608 Whole Life- 2nd to Die State Life $166,667 second to die N/A $166,667 State Life $166,667 second to die N/A $166,667 Type of Product Carrier Pay Schedule Premium 20 Year Outlay Guarantee Information Traditional LTC Mutual of Omaha Pay All Years $3,020 $60,400 Assessable Premium Genworth Pay All Years $4,907 $98,140 Assessable Premium Guaranteed UL Transamerica Pay All Years $8,933 $178,660 Guaranteed Premium, LTC, and Death Benefit Transamerica 20 Pay $10,752 $215,040 Guaranteed Premium, LTC, and Death Benefit Genworth Single Pay $108,500 $108,500 Guaranteed Premium, LTC, and Death Benefit Whole Life Guardian Pay All Years $21,171 $423,420 Guaranteed Interest Rate (dividend floor) Guardian Short Pay $21,171 $324,834 Guaranteed Interest Rate (dividend floor) Whole Life- 2nd to Die State Life Pay All Years $5,903 $118,060 Guaranteed Base and LTC Rider Premium, Death Benefit State Life Single Pay $101,948 $101,948 Guaranteed Base and LTC Rider Premium, Death Benefit
  • 18. Takeaways • Long Term Care planning should be part of the financial plans you design • Better to allocate cost now rather than drain retirement income or assets under management • It’s never too early to start the conversation about LTC • Rely on experts to help you find the best solution for your client