Swearengen 7437

ANYTHING BUT TRAINS? A comparative analysis of alternatives proposed for the Sonoma-Marin Area Rail Transit Project (SMART) Jack C. Swearengen, Ph.D. and Friends of SMART

Objections to SMART ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Some nineteenth century technologies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

A Look at the Options ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],This presentation will look at the pros and cons of various options proposed for the SMART Right of Way (ROW) including: Less realistic More realistic

Goals for Transportation in Marin ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Multimodal Transit in The Netherlands

SHARED RIGHT OF WAY Light Rail Terminal at Sandy, Utah Caltrain Common Corridor, Mountain View, CA

Less realistic options ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

AUTOTRAM ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

PERSONAL RAPID TRANSIT (PRT) Standard Rail Monorail PRT ,[object Object],[object Object]

Grid/networks for PRT Small [PRT] networks for local circulator transit, congestion relief, or in anticipation of future density Transit service to and from rail stations Circulators linked together, forming a citywide network

PERSONAL RAPID TRANSIT (PRT) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Why not? Demonstration projects have cost $100 million per mile Ineffective until regional grid established Unknown public acceptance means high risk No O&M data from operating system Overhead guideways will be visually obtrusive Projected congestion at stations / on lines Small vehicles claustrophobic for longer trips Emergency exit concerns For more, see Wikipedia, PRT entry

AUTOMATED TRANSPORT SYSTEM (ATS) Roadway-Based ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

AUTOMATED TRANSPORT SYSTEM (ATS) Rail-Based ADT advocates seem to believe that sidings are a new concept! To reflect reality I have added a rail siding to their top figure.

MONORAIL ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

MONORAIL * http://www.planetizen.com/node/70 and http://www.lightrailnow.org/facts/fa_monorail.htm ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

MAGNETIC LEVITATION (MAGLEV) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Shanghai maglev

MAGLEV ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],* Sources: Capital Metro, Rapid Transit Project, Draft B Milestone 2 Executive Summary: Urban Transit Vehicles@, 1 October 2001; Steve Arrington, Jacksonville Transportation Authority, 12 October 2001; Leroy Demery, Jr., May 2002; Monorail Malaysia, news release, 23 April 2001; Jacob Snow, The Las Vegas Monorail@, Monorail Society website, 2002/11/02. Calculations by Light Rail Progress]

BART Extension ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

More realistic options ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

BUS RAPID TRANSIT (BRT) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

DUAL-MODE VEHICLES (DMV) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

SELF-POWERED MULTIPLE UNITS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

SELF-POWERED MULTIPLE UNITS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

KEEP DRIVING “ More than 90% of those responding to a recent survey agree that traffic congestion in Marin County is a moderate or major problem. “ TAM Communications Plan, 4/06 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Transportation accounts for more than half of all GHG emissions in Sonoma County

Energy Consumption Transportation’s share of US energy use is growing…

But a shift to rail would make a major impact

Labor productivity Rail’s productivity advantage continues to grow

Criteria for comparing alternatives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

Comparing alternatives Dual mode vehicles Economic Personal Rapid Transit AutoTram BART Bus Rapid Transit Keep driving EMU Electrification Environmental Automated direct transit Monorail MagLev DMU Environmental Economic 9 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 5 0 Doesn’t preclude other options 9 0 0 0 0 0 9 5 0 5 5 Uses existing infrastructure 9 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 0 0 Capital cost under $6M/mile 9 9 9 5 5 5 9 9 9 9 0 Saves commute time 9 0 5 9 9 9 0 0 5 9 9 FRA Compliant 9 0 5 5 5 5 5 0 9 9 0 No impermeable surface 5 9 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 0 Reduces Greenhouse gases 9 9 9 0 0 0 0 0 9 9 0 Facilitates T-O-D 9 0 5 9 9 9 5 0 0 9 5 Compatible with bike-ped path 9 0 5 0 0 0 9 5 5 5 0 No new right-of-way required Alternatives Why and why not? Positive attributes of proposed alternatives

Comparing alternatives, cont’d Numerical values assigned to produce spread/ qualitative value not implied Social Aesthetic 163 72 93 78 78 78 108 85 97 129 38 Sum 9 9 9 9 9 9 5 5 5 5 0 Reduces smog 9 5 5 0 0 0 5 5 9 9 0 Minimal land use 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 5 No overhead structures 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 0 0 9 Geographically flexible 9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 9 0 Fits MTC Regional Plan 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 0 Permits multitasking 5 9 9 9 9 9 5 5 9 9 0 Reduces petroleum imports 9 0 0 0 0 0 9 9 0 5 5 Operational by 2010 9 9 9 9 9 9 5 9 9 9 0 Provides choices 9 9 9 9 9 9 5 5 9 9 0 Reduces VMT and VHT Weak or none—0 points 0 Moderate—5 points 5 Major—9 points 9 Strength of Contribution:

Summary Make your own assessment. Can you beat DMUs?

Swearengen 7437

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