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2001-2011

So Much Accomplished … So Much To Do
May 7, 2001
Earth Policy Institute begins
Earth Policy Releases 2001
• Lester Brown Launches Earth Policy Institute (May 8)

• Dust Bowl Threatening China’s Future (May 23)

• Wind Power: The Missing Link In The Bush Energy Plan (May 31)

• Worsening Water Shortages Threaten China’s Food Security (October 4)

• Eco‐Economy Offers Alternative to Middle East Oil (November 1)

• Rising Sea Level Forcing Evacuation of Island Country (November 15)

• World Grain Harvest Falling Short by 54 Million Tons (November 21)

• This Year May be Second Warmest on Record (December 18)

• Iran’s Birth Rate Plummeting at Record Pace (December 28)
                                         Photo Credit: Yann Arthus-Bertrand
November 2001




“… an instant classic."
          –E.O. Wilson
Farsi & French editions
Christmas 2001
•   Janet
•   Millicent
•   Lester
•   Reah Janise
“Your updates are among the most
important emails I receive. They both
inspire and educate. Keep up the great
work."
         –Steve Krueger, KPLU radio




                          Photo Credit: Yann Arthus-Bertrand
UC Santa Barbara
Speaking at European Parliament, Brussels
Warning of Collapse
• In contrast, natural scientists see an economy
  destroying its natural supports
• Humanity is running up against the natural limits of
  aquifers, soils, fisheries, forests, even our atmosphere
• In system after system, our collective demands are
  overshooting what nature can provide

 How can we assume that the growth of an
 economic system that is destroying its
 environmental supports can simply be projected
 into the long-term future?



                                              Photo Credit: Yann Arthus-Bertrand
Three Indicators to Watch

  Economic             Social                         Political




                                                 Number of
  Food Prices       Hunger Rates                Failing States


These indicators help give a sense of how close to the
edge our civilization may be.


                                   Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / Elenathewise, Sean_Warren, zabelin
Italian & Japanese editions
Yummy!
Italian
cuisine!
World Economic Forum, taping CNBC
          Global Players
“Lester Brown is one of the pioneers and
heroes of global environmentalism. If
the 2007 Nobel peace Prize had been
extended to a third recipient, the logical
candidate would have been Lester
Brown.”
                  —E. O. Wilson


                                Photo Credit: Yann Arthus-Bertrand
Polish & Romanian editions
“…a small think tank with a
knack of spotting new
trends…”
    –Geoffrey Lean, Telegraph
Russian & Turkish editions
Eco-Economy Indicators
Population        Carbon Emissions

Global Economy    Global Temperature

Grain Harvest     Ice Melting

Fish Catch        Wind Power

Forest Cover      Bicycle Production

Water Resources   Solar Power
November 2002

    "Every decision-
 maker and voter on
   the planet should
 read and study this
 thought-provoking
              book.”
   –Wildlife Activist
Water Shortages
                               Countries Overpumping Aquifers in 2010
                               Country                                                 Population
• Overpumping produces                                                                   Millions

  food bubbles that burst      Afghanistan                                                      29
  when water supplies dry up   China
                               India
                                                                                             1,354
                                                                                             1,214
                               Iran                                                             75
• In the Arab Middle East, a   Iraq                                                             31
  collision between            Israel                                                            7
                               Jordan                                                            6
  population growth and        Lebanon                                                           4
  water supply is reducing     Mexico                                                          111
                               Morocco                                                          32
  regional grain harvests      Pakistan                                                        185
                               Saudi Arabia                                                     26
• If multiple food bubbles     South Korea                                                      49
  burst at nearly the same     Spain                                                            45
                               Syria                                                            23
  time, the resulting food     Tunisia                                                          10
  shortages could cause        United States                                                   318
                               Yemen                                                            24
  chaos
                               Total                                                         3,545
                               S ource: EPI with population data from UNPop




                                                                              Photo Credit: Yann Arthus-Bertrand
Gianfranco Bologna, head of
WWF-Italy and mastermind
behind Italian translations
London: Interview
Honorary Degree: Westminster
        College, PA
“We receive the regular e-mail updates
from the Earth Policy Institute and find
them very enlightening. In fact they are
fundamental in molding our opinions
regarding the environment and the
economy."
           –AgriCents, Limited Company
2002 Cherry Blossom 10-Mile Race
            Finishers
Book of the Month award, Omnipedia
Top Ten Book award, TheGlobalist.com
Thai & Spanish editions
India (English) and Danish editions
Plan B – Chinese ed.
Winner, National
 Library of China
 book award
“Lester R. Brown, one of the
world’s preeminent eco-
economists…has a solution for
dealing with the threat…Plans
must be periodically revised and
refined, which Brown has done
with insight and foresight in this
volume.”
                   - ODE
The Poverty – Education – Population
            Connection
• School lunch                                              Female Secondary Education
                                                              and Total Fertility Rates
  programs help kids,
  especially girls,                                 8



  stay in school                                    7




                                                                                                                               Earth Policy Institute - www.earth-policy.org
                                                    6

• Girls who stay in


                             Total Fertility Rate
                                                    5

  school longer are                                 4
  likely to have fewer                              3
  children                                          2

• Reducing family                                   1

  size helps lift                                   0
                                                                                                                 2
                                                                                                            R = 0.7058



  families out of                                       0   20           40                60              80
                                                                 Percent of Girls Enrolled in Secondary School
                                                                                                                         100



  poverty                                                                     Source: EPI from UIS




 Efforts to eliminate poverty and slow population growth
 reinforce each other—and they also help prevent state failure
 by addressing the root causes of instability.
NHK Program, Tokyo
Toshishige Kurosawa & Lester
Mid-
   Atlantic
Rainforest,
     Brazil
Interview with Elephant Journal,
            Denver
Janet:
New Zealand
   speaking
       tour
Japan 2003
A Bright Economic Future?
• The global economy
  has grown nearly 10-   Gross World Product, 1950-2009

  fold since 1950
• Mainstream
  economists typically
  project 3% annual
  growth
• In this view, an
  illustrious economic
  past is extrapolated
  into a promising
  future…

                                             Photo Credit: Yann Arthus-Bertrand
February 2005


"... groundbreaking …"
     – Herbert Girardet,
  World Future Council
              Initiative
“I’m fine; it’s the world I‘m worried
                about.”
UK & Korean editions
Eroding Soils, Expanding Deserts
• Overplowing, overgrazing, and deforestation make soil
  vulnerable to wind and water erosion
• Roughly 1/3 of the world’s cropland is now losing topsoil
  faster than it can be re-formed
• Topsoil loss reduces productivity, eventually leading
  farmers and herders to abandon their land
• Countries such as Lesotho, Haiti, Mongolia, and North
  Korea are losing the ability to feed themselves

We have yet to see the full effects of two giant dust bowls
now forming: one in northwestern China and western
Mongolia, and another in the Sahel of central Africa.


                                                  Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / Steven Allan
Permanent Exhibit of
Lester Brown’s books
  Rutgers University
Celebrating
       with
  Lester at
   Rutger’s
Saudi Arabia’s Bursting Bubble
•   Saudi Arabia became                              Wheat Production and Consumption in Saudi
    self-sufficient in wheat by                       Arabia, 1995-2010, with Projection to 2013
    tapping a non-                                3,500


    replenishable aquifer to                      3,000

    irrigate the desert                                                                     Consumption
                                                  2,500




                                                                                                                  Earth Policy Institute - www.earth-policy.org
•   In early 2008, the



                                  Thousand Tons
    government announced                          2,000


    the aquifer was largely                       1,500
    depleted
                                                  1,000
•   The population of nearly                                                                      Production
    30 million could be                            500

    entirely dependent on
    imported grain by 2013                           0
                                                     1995      2000         2005          2010                 2015
                                                                      Source: USDA; EPI



    Saudi Arabia is the first country to publicly project how
    aquifer depletion will shrink its grain harvest.

                                                                                                 Photo Credit: NASA
Turkish & Chinese editions
10-Mile Cherry Blossom Race, 2005
January 2006

"Lester Brown should
 receive a Nobel Peace
 Prize for his new
 book.”
 –Talli Nauman,
 The Herald Mexico
Lester’s written the
  kind of book that
   when you put it
 down you HAVE to
 pick it up again! 



Steve Curwood of
NPR’s Living on
Earth
introducing Lester,
Lexington, Mass.
Bulgarian & Farsi editions
Bulgaria 2006
Food vs. Fuel
                                   Corn Used for Fuel Ethanol in the United States,
•    Rising price of oil has                         1980-2010
     made it profitable to turn
     grain into fuel
•    More than one fourth of
     the U.S. grain crop is now
     going to ethanol
•    U.S. ethanol euphoria
     helped double annual
     growth in global grain
     demand, raising food
     prices worldwide

    The grain needed to fill an SUV’s 25-gallon tank with ethanol
    once could feed one person for an entire year.
                                                              Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / Dave Huss
Testifying on the Hill: Biofuels
Average Global Temperature and Atmospheric
 Carbon Dioxide Concentrations, 1880-2010
                                    14.8                                                                        400
                                           Earth Policy Institute - www.earth-policy.org


                                    14.6                                                                        380
    Temperature (degrees Celsius)




                                    14.4                                                                        360




                                                                                                                      Atmospheric CO2 (ppm)
                                                               Temperature

                                    14.2                                                                        340



                                    14.0                                                                        320



                                    13.8                                                                        300


                                                                                    CO 2
                                    13.6                                                                        280



                                    13.4                                                                        260
                                        1880        1900        1920         1940          1960   1980   2000
                                                           Source: NASA GISS; NOAA ESRL; Worldwatch
“Lester R. Brown… offers an attractive
21st-century alternative to the
unacceptable business-as-usual path that
we have been following with regard to the
environment (Plan A), which is leading us
to ‘economic decline and collapse.’”
— Thomas F. Malone, American Scientist
French & Portuguese editions
The French Team:
Pierre-Yves Longaretti, Philippe Vieille,
              and others
Lester and Nicolas Hulot – Paris
     Launching Plan B 2.0
Receiving the Georg and Greta Borgström Prize,
  Royal Swedish Academy of Agriculture and
                Forestry, 2005
“Keep up the good work! Some of
us are getting in the habit of relying
on you all for valuable information
and solid analysis."
            –Eric Britton, The New
                   Mobility Agenda




                           Source: Getty Images
More States Failing
                                                                 Number of High-Ranking Failing States,
•    States fail when                                                         2004-2009
     governments lose control of                            16


     part or all of their territory                         14

     and can no longer ensure                               12

     their people’s security




                                      Number of Countries




                                                                                                                             Earth Policy Institute - www.earth-policy.org
                                                            10


•    As pressures from                                      8

     population growth, water                               6

     shortages, climate change,
                                                            4
     and food scarcity increase,
     state failure is both                                  2


     spreading and deepening                                0
                                                                 2004   2005         2006        2007        2008     2009
                                                                        Source: EPI; Fund for Peace /Foreign Policy




    How many states can fail before our global civilization begins
    to unravel?
January 2008
”Lester Brown tells us
how to build a more
just world and save the
planet from climate
change in a practical,
straightforward way.
We should all heed his
advice."
–President Bill Clinton
BOOKS ! … Off the truck and into the office
Books and more books … let no one
      say it cannot be done !
Raffi and Lester
Presentation sponsored by Lexington Global
        Warming Action Coalition
Ramping Up Renewables

• Wind
• Solar
• Geothermal
• Other: Small-scale
  Hydro, Tidal and
  Wave Power,
  Biomass


                        Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / Gary Milner
Swedish publishing team: including Doris and
Lars Almström (flanking Les), translators and
initiators of a Swedish Plan B movement
Norwegian Launch
Meeting with 6th-graders from
 Branksome Hall, Toronto
Meeting with India’s Prime Minister
        Manmohan Singh
Meeting with the Mayor of Seoul
A chat with South Korea’s Prime Minister Han
           Seung-soo about Plan B
Yul Choi, head of KFEM & Goldman Prize
      recipient, introducing Plan B
Snack time in Seoul
Plan B: Four Main Goals
1. Stabilizing Population
2. Eradicating Poverty
3. Restoring the Earth’s Natural Support
   Systems
4. Stabilizing Climate




                                 Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / Joe Gough
University of Maryland Hall of Fame
"Brown is impassioned and
 convincing when talking about the
world’s ills and what he considers the
    four great goals to restoring
     civilization’s equilibrium…"
  –April Streeter, TreeHugger.com
Smithsonian – Living Portrait with
         Marc Pachter
Tell us about yourself …
… even time for family
October 2009
"If you want to know the
future of Planet Earth,
there is one good place to
look. It is a book entitled
‘Plan B 4.0: Mobilizing to
save Civilization.'“
—Bill Boyne, Post-Bulletin
Autographing books
Yep … it takes two !
Janet speaking at an NGO-sponsored event
at the UN Conference on Climate Change.
Advertising campaign
 promoting Plan B goals
Brazilian launch
Brazil’s Premiere Cultural Program: Roda
         Viva (artist Paul Caruso)
"[Plan B] is a clear and remarkable
summation of a new plan for society."
              –Gianfranco Bologna,
            World Wildlife Fund Italy
Raising Energy Efficiency
• Buildings
  – Retrofits with better insulation and more
    efficient appliances can cut energy use by 20-
    50%
• Lighting
  – A worldwide switch to highly-efficient home,
    office, industrial, and street lighting would
    enable the world to close 705 of its 2,800 coal-
    fired power plants

                                        Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / James Jones
Launch in Tokyo
 Janet & Les with Soki Oda
(publisher) and interpreter
Travel by train in Japan
  is so-o-o civilized.
Plan B Energy Efficiency Measures
Launch in Shanghai
Launching
Chinese edition

   Lester with
     Lin Zixin,
mastermind of
      Chinese
  translations
Hosts in Beijing
"If people in Congress would quit
  protecting client industries and
squirming over polls and just listen
to straight-talking Cassandras like
Brown, we might stand a chance of
  averting climate/food disaster."
       –Tom Philpott, Grist      Source: DOE/NREL
Spanish & Korean editions
Lester in Bogotá with Gilberto Rincon of
    CEID, Latin American publisher
Norwegian & Russian editions
Swedish & Italian editions
Overview
A World on the Edge             The Response: Plan B
•   A Bright Economic Future?   •   Plan B: Four Main Goals
•   Warning of Collapse         •   Stabilizing Population and
                                    Eradicating Poverty
•   Three Indicators to Watch
                                •   Restoring the Earth
•   Precarious Global Food
    Situation: How Did We Get   •   Climate Action Plan
    Here?                       •   How Do We Get There?
•   Food Demand Growing         •   Plan B Budget
•   Food Supply Tightening      •   A Wartime Mobilization
•   Watching the Clock          •   Let’s Get to Work



                                                        Photo Credit: Yann Arthus-Bertrand
Receiving Hero award from Alliance
     for Sustainable Colorado
Lester with Junko Edahiro, head of several
       Japanese NGOs and author
2010: A Year of Extremes
• 2010 tied with 2005 as the hottest year since
  recordkeeping began in 1880
• 19 countries set high-temperature records, most notably
  Pakistan, which hit 128.3 °F, a new record for all of Asia
• Extreme weather events included flooding in Pakistan
  and Australia, the heat wave in Russia, fires in Israel,
  and landslides in China

 The number and severity of these events are
 symptomatic of instability in the climate system.



                                                Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / jansmarc
A World on the Edge
• A gathering “perfect storm” of trends threatens
  to send civilization into economic and political
  chaos

• The 2010 extreme heat wave in Russia and
  record flooding in Pakistan are early warnings
  of the global consequences we can expect if
  we continue with business as usual




                                          Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / jgareri
January 2011
"[World on the Edge]
manages to cover both the
grand sweep of global
trends and the fine detail
of some of the ideas being
developed in response.”
         —Ed Crooks,
         Financial Times
Romanian ed.
UK/Commonwealth ed.
 (with distribution
 throughout South
 Asia)
Restoring the Earth
•   Planting trees
•   Protecting topsoil on cropland
•   Restoring rangelands
•   Restoring fisheries
•   Stabilizing water tables
•   Protecting biological diversity

    Total Additional Annual Cost = $110 billion


                                         Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / GeorgeClerk
"This is the ultimate survival guide
for our species. Lester Brown plots a
path around and beyond the looming
  environmental abyss with courage,
 compassion and immense wisdom."
—Jonathan Watts, Asia Environment
Correspondent for The Guardian and
author, When A Billion Chinese Jump
World Electricity Generation by Source in
2008 and in the Plan B Economy of 2020
"The world is a much more
hopeful place because of the work
         and life of Lester Brown."

—Ted Glick, Policy Director of the
     Chesapeake Climate Action
                         Network
So Much
Accomplished …
The New
 Geopolitics
    of Food

cover story by
 Lester Brown
… So Much To Do

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So Much Accomplished...So Much To Do

  • 1. 2001-2011 So Much Accomplished … So Much To Do
  • 2. May 7, 2001 Earth Policy Institute begins
  • 3. Earth Policy Releases 2001 • Lester Brown Launches Earth Policy Institute (May 8) • Dust Bowl Threatening China’s Future (May 23) • Wind Power: The Missing Link In The Bush Energy Plan (May 31) • Worsening Water Shortages Threaten China’s Food Security (October 4) • Eco‐Economy Offers Alternative to Middle East Oil (November 1) • Rising Sea Level Forcing Evacuation of Island Country (November 15) • World Grain Harvest Falling Short by 54 Million Tons (November 21) • This Year May be Second Warmest on Record (December 18) • Iran’s Birth Rate Plummeting at Record Pace (December 28) Photo Credit: Yann Arthus-Bertrand
  • 4. November 2001 “… an instant classic." –E.O. Wilson
  • 5. Farsi & French editions
  • 6. Christmas 2001 • Janet • Millicent • Lester • Reah Janise
  • 7. “Your updates are among the most important emails I receive. They both inspire and educate. Keep up the great work." –Steve Krueger, KPLU radio Photo Credit: Yann Arthus-Bertrand
  • 9. Speaking at European Parliament, Brussels
  • 10. Warning of Collapse • In contrast, natural scientists see an economy destroying its natural supports • Humanity is running up against the natural limits of aquifers, soils, fisheries, forests, even our atmosphere • In system after system, our collective demands are overshooting what nature can provide How can we assume that the growth of an economic system that is destroying its environmental supports can simply be projected into the long-term future? Photo Credit: Yann Arthus-Bertrand
  • 11. Three Indicators to Watch Economic Social Political Number of Food Prices Hunger Rates Failing States These indicators help give a sense of how close to the edge our civilization may be. Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / Elenathewise, Sean_Warren, zabelin
  • 12. Italian & Japanese editions
  • 14. World Economic Forum, taping CNBC Global Players
  • 15. “Lester Brown is one of the pioneers and heroes of global environmentalism. If the 2007 Nobel peace Prize had been extended to a third recipient, the logical candidate would have been Lester Brown.” —E. O. Wilson Photo Credit: Yann Arthus-Bertrand
  • 16. Polish & Romanian editions
  • 17. “…a small think tank with a knack of spotting new trends…” –Geoffrey Lean, Telegraph
  • 18. Russian & Turkish editions
  • 19. Eco-Economy Indicators Population Carbon Emissions Global Economy Global Temperature Grain Harvest Ice Melting Fish Catch Wind Power Forest Cover Bicycle Production Water Resources Solar Power
  • 20. November 2002 "Every decision- maker and voter on the planet should read and study this thought-provoking book.” –Wildlife Activist
  • 21. Water Shortages Countries Overpumping Aquifers in 2010 Country Population • Overpumping produces Millions food bubbles that burst Afghanistan 29 when water supplies dry up China India 1,354 1,214 Iran 75 • In the Arab Middle East, a Iraq 31 collision between Israel 7 Jordan 6 population growth and Lebanon 4 water supply is reducing Mexico 111 Morocco 32 regional grain harvests Pakistan 185 Saudi Arabia 26 • If multiple food bubbles South Korea 49 burst at nearly the same Spain 45 Syria 23 time, the resulting food Tunisia 10 shortages could cause United States 318 Yemen 24 chaos Total 3,545 S ource: EPI with population data from UNPop Photo Credit: Yann Arthus-Bertrand
  • 22. Gianfranco Bologna, head of WWF-Italy and mastermind behind Italian translations
  • 25. “We receive the regular e-mail updates from the Earth Policy Institute and find them very enlightening. In fact they are fundamental in molding our opinions regarding the environment and the economy." –AgriCents, Limited Company
  • 26. 2002 Cherry Blossom 10-Mile Race Finishers
  • 27. Book of the Month award, Omnipedia Top Ten Book award, TheGlobalist.com
  • 28. Thai & Spanish editions
  • 29. India (English) and Danish editions
  • 30. Plan B – Chinese ed. Winner, National Library of China book award
  • 31. “Lester R. Brown, one of the world’s preeminent eco- economists…has a solution for dealing with the threat…Plans must be periodically revised and refined, which Brown has done with insight and foresight in this volume.” - ODE
  • 32. The Poverty – Education – Population Connection • School lunch Female Secondary Education and Total Fertility Rates programs help kids, especially girls, 8 stay in school 7 Earth Policy Institute - www.earth-policy.org 6 • Girls who stay in Total Fertility Rate 5 school longer are 4 likely to have fewer 3 children 2 • Reducing family 1 size helps lift 0 2 R = 0.7058 families out of 0 20 40 60 80 Percent of Girls Enrolled in Secondary School 100 poverty Source: EPI from UIS Efforts to eliminate poverty and slow population growth reinforce each other—and they also help prevent state failure by addressing the root causes of instability.
  • 35. Mid- Atlantic Rainforest, Brazil
  • 36. Interview with Elephant Journal, Denver
  • 37. Janet: New Zealand speaking tour
  • 39. A Bright Economic Future? • The global economy has grown nearly 10- Gross World Product, 1950-2009 fold since 1950 • Mainstream economists typically project 3% annual growth • In this view, an illustrious economic past is extrapolated into a promising future… Photo Credit: Yann Arthus-Bertrand
  • 40. February 2005 "... groundbreaking …" – Herbert Girardet, World Future Council Initiative
  • 41. “I’m fine; it’s the world I‘m worried about.”
  • 42. UK & Korean editions
  • 43. Eroding Soils, Expanding Deserts • Overplowing, overgrazing, and deforestation make soil vulnerable to wind and water erosion • Roughly 1/3 of the world’s cropland is now losing topsoil faster than it can be re-formed • Topsoil loss reduces productivity, eventually leading farmers and herders to abandon their land • Countries such as Lesotho, Haiti, Mongolia, and North Korea are losing the ability to feed themselves We have yet to see the full effects of two giant dust bowls now forming: one in northwestern China and western Mongolia, and another in the Sahel of central Africa. Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / Steven Allan
  • 44. Permanent Exhibit of Lester Brown’s books Rutgers University
  • 45. Celebrating with Lester at Rutger’s
  • 46. Saudi Arabia’s Bursting Bubble • Saudi Arabia became Wheat Production and Consumption in Saudi self-sufficient in wheat by Arabia, 1995-2010, with Projection to 2013 tapping a non- 3,500 replenishable aquifer to 3,000 irrigate the desert Consumption 2,500 Earth Policy Institute - www.earth-policy.org • In early 2008, the Thousand Tons government announced 2,000 the aquifer was largely 1,500 depleted 1,000 • The population of nearly Production 30 million could be 500 entirely dependent on imported grain by 2013 0 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Source: USDA; EPI Saudi Arabia is the first country to publicly project how aquifer depletion will shrink its grain harvest. Photo Credit: NASA
  • 47. Turkish & Chinese editions
  • 49. January 2006 "Lester Brown should receive a Nobel Peace Prize for his new book.” –Talli Nauman, The Herald Mexico
  • 50.
  • 51. Lester’s written the kind of book that when you put it down you HAVE to pick it up again!  Steve Curwood of NPR’s Living on Earth introducing Lester, Lexington, Mass.
  • 52. Bulgarian & Farsi editions
  • 54. Food vs. Fuel Corn Used for Fuel Ethanol in the United States, • Rising price of oil has 1980-2010 made it profitable to turn grain into fuel • More than one fourth of the U.S. grain crop is now going to ethanol • U.S. ethanol euphoria helped double annual growth in global grain demand, raising food prices worldwide The grain needed to fill an SUV’s 25-gallon tank with ethanol once could feed one person for an entire year. Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / Dave Huss
  • 55. Testifying on the Hill: Biofuels
  • 56. Average Global Temperature and Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Concentrations, 1880-2010 14.8 400 Earth Policy Institute - www.earth-policy.org 14.6 380 Temperature (degrees Celsius) 14.4 360 Atmospheric CO2 (ppm) Temperature 14.2 340 14.0 320 13.8 300 CO 2 13.6 280 13.4 260 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 Source: NASA GISS; NOAA ESRL; Worldwatch
  • 57. “Lester R. Brown… offers an attractive 21st-century alternative to the unacceptable business-as-usual path that we have been following with regard to the environment (Plan A), which is leading us to ‘economic decline and collapse.’” — Thomas F. Malone, American Scientist
  • 59. The French Team: Pierre-Yves Longaretti, Philippe Vieille, and others
  • 60. Lester and Nicolas Hulot – Paris Launching Plan B 2.0
  • 61. Receiving the Georg and Greta Borgström Prize, Royal Swedish Academy of Agriculture and Forestry, 2005
  • 62. “Keep up the good work! Some of us are getting in the habit of relying on you all for valuable information and solid analysis." –Eric Britton, The New Mobility Agenda Source: Getty Images
  • 63. More States Failing Number of High-Ranking Failing States, • States fail when 2004-2009 governments lose control of 16 part or all of their territory 14 and can no longer ensure 12 their people’s security Number of Countries Earth Policy Institute - www.earth-policy.org 10 • As pressures from 8 population growth, water 6 shortages, climate change, 4 and food scarcity increase, state failure is both 2 spreading and deepening 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: EPI; Fund for Peace /Foreign Policy How many states can fail before our global civilization begins to unravel?
  • 64. January 2008 ”Lester Brown tells us how to build a more just world and save the planet from climate change in a practical, straightforward way. We should all heed his advice." –President Bill Clinton
  • 65. BOOKS ! … Off the truck and into the office
  • 66. Books and more books … let no one say it cannot be done !
  • 68. Presentation sponsored by Lexington Global Warming Action Coalition
  • 69. Ramping Up Renewables • Wind • Solar • Geothermal • Other: Small-scale Hydro, Tidal and Wave Power, Biomass Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / Gary Milner
  • 70. Swedish publishing team: including Doris and Lars Almström (flanking Les), translators and initiators of a Swedish Plan B movement
  • 72.
  • 73. Meeting with 6th-graders from Branksome Hall, Toronto
  • 74.
  • 75. Meeting with India’s Prime Minister Manmohan Singh
  • 76. Meeting with the Mayor of Seoul
  • 77. A chat with South Korea’s Prime Minister Han Seung-soo about Plan B
  • 78. Yul Choi, head of KFEM & Goldman Prize recipient, introducing Plan B
  • 79. Snack time in Seoul
  • 80. Plan B: Four Main Goals 1. Stabilizing Population 2. Eradicating Poverty 3. Restoring the Earth’s Natural Support Systems 4. Stabilizing Climate Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / Joe Gough
  • 81. University of Maryland Hall of Fame
  • 82. "Brown is impassioned and convincing when talking about the world’s ills and what he considers the four great goals to restoring civilization’s equilibrium…" –April Streeter, TreeHugger.com
  • 83. Smithsonian – Living Portrait with Marc Pachter
  • 84. Tell us about yourself …
  • 85.
  • 86. … even time for family
  • 87. October 2009 "If you want to know the future of Planet Earth, there is one good place to look. It is a book entitled ‘Plan B 4.0: Mobilizing to save Civilization.'“ —Bill Boyne, Post-Bulletin
  • 89. Yep … it takes two !
  • 90. Janet speaking at an NGO-sponsored event at the UN Conference on Climate Change.
  • 93. Brazil’s Premiere Cultural Program: Roda Viva (artist Paul Caruso)
  • 94. "[Plan B] is a clear and remarkable summation of a new plan for society." –Gianfranco Bologna, World Wildlife Fund Italy
  • 95. Raising Energy Efficiency • Buildings – Retrofits with better insulation and more efficient appliances can cut energy use by 20- 50% • Lighting – A worldwide switch to highly-efficient home, office, industrial, and street lighting would enable the world to close 705 of its 2,800 coal- fired power plants Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / James Jones
  • 96. Launch in Tokyo Janet & Les with Soki Oda (publisher) and interpreter
  • 97. Travel by train in Japan is so-o-o civilized.
  • 98. Plan B Energy Efficiency Measures
  • 100. Launching Chinese edition Lester with Lin Zixin, mastermind of Chinese translations
  • 102. "If people in Congress would quit protecting client industries and squirming over polls and just listen to straight-talking Cassandras like Brown, we might stand a chance of averting climate/food disaster." –Tom Philpott, Grist Source: DOE/NREL
  • 103. Spanish & Korean editions
  • 104. Lester in Bogotá with Gilberto Rincon of CEID, Latin American publisher
  • 105. Norwegian & Russian editions
  • 106. Swedish & Italian editions
  • 107. Overview A World on the Edge The Response: Plan B • A Bright Economic Future? • Plan B: Four Main Goals • Warning of Collapse • Stabilizing Population and Eradicating Poverty • Three Indicators to Watch • Restoring the Earth • Precarious Global Food Situation: How Did We Get • Climate Action Plan Here? • How Do We Get There? • Food Demand Growing • Plan B Budget • Food Supply Tightening • A Wartime Mobilization • Watching the Clock • Let’s Get to Work Photo Credit: Yann Arthus-Bertrand
  • 108. Receiving Hero award from Alliance for Sustainable Colorado
  • 109.
  • 110.
  • 111. Lester with Junko Edahiro, head of several Japanese NGOs and author
  • 112. 2010: A Year of Extremes • 2010 tied with 2005 as the hottest year since recordkeeping began in 1880 • 19 countries set high-temperature records, most notably Pakistan, which hit 128.3 °F, a new record for all of Asia • Extreme weather events included flooding in Pakistan and Australia, the heat wave in Russia, fires in Israel, and landslides in China The number and severity of these events are symptomatic of instability in the climate system. Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / jansmarc
  • 113. A World on the Edge • A gathering “perfect storm” of trends threatens to send civilization into economic and political chaos • The 2010 extreme heat wave in Russia and record flooding in Pakistan are early warnings of the global consequences we can expect if we continue with business as usual Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / jgareri
  • 114. January 2011 "[World on the Edge] manages to cover both the grand sweep of global trends and the fine detail of some of the ideas being developed in response.” —Ed Crooks, Financial Times
  • 116. UK/Commonwealth ed. (with distribution throughout South Asia)
  • 117. Restoring the Earth • Planting trees • Protecting topsoil on cropland • Restoring rangelands • Restoring fisheries • Stabilizing water tables • Protecting biological diversity Total Additional Annual Cost = $110 billion Photo Credit: iStockPhoto / GeorgeClerk
  • 118. "This is the ultimate survival guide for our species. Lester Brown plots a path around and beyond the looming environmental abyss with courage, compassion and immense wisdom." —Jonathan Watts, Asia Environment Correspondent for The Guardian and author, When A Billion Chinese Jump
  • 119. World Electricity Generation by Source in 2008 and in the Plan B Economy of 2020
  • 120. "The world is a much more hopeful place because of the work and life of Lester Brown." —Ted Glick, Policy Director of the Chesapeake Climate Action Network
  • 122.
  • 123.
  • 124.
  • 125.
  • 126. The New Geopolitics of Food cover story by Lester Brown
  • 127.
  • 128.
  • 129.
  • 130.
  • 131. … So Much To Do