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LTE-Broadcast: Reality Check
25th June 2014
Zahid Ghadialy
@zahidtg
2
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
about eXplanoTech
Requirement
Analysis
Project
Management
Design,
Implement.
Integration &
Deployment
Testing
Services
Maintenance
End to End Solutions
Technology Consulting
Technology Training
System Integration
3
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Technical Training Services
Standard Courses
Our experts have developed
complete courses on varying
topics across wireless and
mobile communications. The
“standard courses” are
created to provide the
audience with the basic
knowledge along with the
framework of technical
thinking flavoured with in-
class discussions and practical
examples extracted from our
long experience in the
industry.
Customized Courses
The “customized courses” are
popular among clients who
might want to enrich our
“standard courses” with
material related to their
business. It is also possible to
combine 2 or more shorten
versions of the standard
courses providing an overview
on various different topics.
Bespoke Courses
Courses entirely created on
customer requirement and
specifications, tailored to
meet their specific needs.
Bespoke courses are found
very popular among
customers who work on
certain project and they want
to prepare their staff to deal
with the project related
specifics. Contents of the
“bespoke courses” are
predefined and agreed with
the customer..
4
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Technical Training Courses
Long Term Evolution (LTE) (Short / Long) 1 - 2 days
LTE End-To-End Signalling 2 days
LTE for non-engineers 1 day
LTE air-interface 1 day
LTE cell planning 1 day
LTE radio network 1 day
From LTE to LTE-A (short / long) 1 - 2 days
3GPP Release 11 features overview 1 day
3GPP Release 12 features overview 1 day
MBMS and Mobile TV 1 day
LTE / LTE-A
IP Multimedia Subsystem (IMS) 1 day
Machine to Machine (M2M) fundamentals 1 day
Small cells: Introduction and Architecture 1 day
Small cells: HetNets and Offloading 2 days
Emerging Technologies
Basic Telecommunications 2 days
Digital Communications 2 days
Introduction to Wireless Technologies 2 days
Principles of Data Communications 1 day
Channel Coding 1 day
Basic Telecommunications
Radio principles 2 days
RF Training 1 day
Antenna Theory and Design 1 day
MIMO for wireless communications 1 day
OFDMA for wireless communications 1 day
Antennas & Propagation
Introduction to 5G
Disclaimer 5
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Source: Dilbert
What ‘Operators’ Say 6
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
I have been told
by many experts
that LTE-
Broadcast is the
next big thing
7
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Blog post - Cellular Broadcast may fail again
Tablets sales increasing 8
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Source: Quartz
Source: Forbes - IDC: 87% Of
Connected Devices Sales By
2017 Will Be Tablets And
Smartphones
Only 5% of Tablets remain on ‘data’ plan 9
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Source: AllThingsD – July 2013
Big screens for videos 10
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report 2013
‘Content Length’ vs ‘Device Size’ 11
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Source: eMarketer Source: Ericsson Mobility Report 2014
Cellular v/s Wi-Fi video usage 12
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report 2014
Vodafone’s Netflix offering 13
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Source: GigaOm
Source: Quora
14
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Comparing Broadcast and Streaming
‘Video Distribution Network’ 15
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Source: Presentation by Matt Stagg, EE – April 2014
• 1 hour of SD (480p.)
video = 1GB
• 1 hour of HD
(1080p.) video =
3GB
• 4K and 8K videos
coming soon.
16
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
The cost of ‘caching’
El Fuente at 480p.
El Fuente at 1080p.
Source: Digital Trends
Digital video formats with estimated media rates 17
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report 2014
GB per hour
0.18
0.34
0.54
1.12 – 1.57
2.25 – 2.70
4.50 – 6.75
• Comcast: Binge watching actually helps live TV
ratings
• Nielsen: Time-shifted viewing on rise
18
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Threats to ‘Content caching’ on the device
Consumers watching TV on ‘Own Terms’ 19
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Source: KPCB – May 2014
More ‘Streaming’, Less ‘Broadcast’ 20
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Source: CEA – June 2014
21
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
‘Broad Tail’ is the new ‘Long Tail’
Traditional Market
Current Market
Future Market
Numberofpeople
Content
Head
Long/Broad Tail
Things that will work with LTE-B 22
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Digital Signage 23
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Live sports / events 24
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
25
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
News & Music
• Very important to get business model right for this to work
• Only free/ad based models will succeed in the long run
• ‘Second screen’ is mostly associated with streaming and
requires connection once the user interacts.
• Popular TV channels can create apps tailored for second
screen experience
• Novelty wears off and then there is limited interaction
26
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Second Screen
• The question is, do you want to use LTE-B for emergency alerts
or rely on other techniques
27
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Emergency alerts
28
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Adult entertainment!
• Nuff said 
• Including the Broadcast content in ‘data
allowance’
• Discouraging users with ‘high premium’ for
watching Broadcast content
• Killing the battery with unnecessary ‘caching’
• No ‘unique’ or ‘tailored’ content. Other
medium for similar content may be cheaper.
29
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Threats to LTE-B
Cellular v/s Wi-Fi video usage – Take 2 30
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Source: Ericsson Mobility Report 2014
31
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Are you just
going to tell me
the problems or
do you have any
solutions?
‘DL only’ 4G for Tablets 32
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
• ‘Downlink only’ 4G radio
• ‘No Uplink’ on 4G
• Listens to common
channels
• Listens to
Broadcast/Multicast
channels
• Connectivity over Wi-Fi
for any configuration of
Apps or radio for tuning
• Would only make sense if additional cost is $10 of less.
‘Sponsored Broadcast’ 33
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
• Too many ‘ifs’ and ‘buts’ in case of normal sponsored data
• ‘Sponsored Broadcast’ can work similar to traditional TV
model
Picture Source: AT&T
‘Apps’ can point to ‘Broadcast’ information 34
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
• This can work very well as long as apps can generate some
revenue
• Operators would need to expose new API’s
‘User-generated’ TV channel 35
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Source: KPCB – May 2013
• ‘2 minutes of fame’ for everyone interested
• Adverts can be used as fillers
• Users can be provided ratings and community can be built
around it
Concluding Remarks 36
Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
Don’t expect returns Loyalty is more valuable than money
Unique content is needed Avoid complex billing
LTE-Broadcast: Reality Check

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LTE-Broadcast: Reality Check

  • 1. LTE-Broadcast: Reality Check 25th June 2014 Zahid Ghadialy @zahidtg
  • 2. 2 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 about eXplanoTech Requirement Analysis Project Management Design, Implement. Integration & Deployment Testing Services Maintenance End to End Solutions Technology Consulting Technology Training System Integration
  • 3. 3 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Technical Training Services Standard Courses Our experts have developed complete courses on varying topics across wireless and mobile communications. The “standard courses” are created to provide the audience with the basic knowledge along with the framework of technical thinking flavoured with in- class discussions and practical examples extracted from our long experience in the industry. Customized Courses The “customized courses” are popular among clients who might want to enrich our “standard courses” with material related to their business. It is also possible to combine 2 or more shorten versions of the standard courses providing an overview on various different topics. Bespoke Courses Courses entirely created on customer requirement and specifications, tailored to meet their specific needs. Bespoke courses are found very popular among customers who work on certain project and they want to prepare their staff to deal with the project related specifics. Contents of the “bespoke courses” are predefined and agreed with the customer..
  • 4. 4 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Technical Training Courses Long Term Evolution (LTE) (Short / Long) 1 - 2 days LTE End-To-End Signalling 2 days LTE for non-engineers 1 day LTE air-interface 1 day LTE cell planning 1 day LTE radio network 1 day From LTE to LTE-A (short / long) 1 - 2 days 3GPP Release 11 features overview 1 day 3GPP Release 12 features overview 1 day MBMS and Mobile TV 1 day LTE / LTE-A IP Multimedia Subsystem (IMS) 1 day Machine to Machine (M2M) fundamentals 1 day Small cells: Introduction and Architecture 1 day Small cells: HetNets and Offloading 2 days Emerging Technologies Basic Telecommunications 2 days Digital Communications 2 days Introduction to Wireless Technologies 2 days Principles of Data Communications 1 day Channel Coding 1 day Basic Telecommunications Radio principles 2 days RF Training 1 day Antenna Theory and Design 1 day MIMO for wireless communications 1 day OFDMA for wireless communications 1 day Antennas & Propagation Introduction to 5G
  • 5. Disclaimer 5 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Source: Dilbert
  • 6. What ‘Operators’ Say 6 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 I have been told by many experts that LTE- Broadcast is the next big thing
  • 7. 7 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Blog post - Cellular Broadcast may fail again
  • 8. Tablets sales increasing 8 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Source: Quartz Source: Forbes - IDC: 87% Of Connected Devices Sales By 2017 Will Be Tablets And Smartphones
  • 9. Only 5% of Tablets remain on ‘data’ plan 9 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Source: AllThingsD – July 2013
  • 10. Big screens for videos 10 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Source: Ericsson Mobility Report 2013
  • 11. ‘Content Length’ vs ‘Device Size’ 11 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Source: eMarketer Source: Ericsson Mobility Report 2014
  • 12. Cellular v/s Wi-Fi video usage 12 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Source: Ericsson Mobility Report 2014
  • 13. Vodafone’s Netflix offering 13 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Source: GigaOm
  • 14. Source: Quora 14 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Comparing Broadcast and Streaming
  • 15. ‘Video Distribution Network’ 15 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Source: Presentation by Matt Stagg, EE – April 2014
  • 16. • 1 hour of SD (480p.) video = 1GB • 1 hour of HD (1080p.) video = 3GB • 4K and 8K videos coming soon. 16 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 The cost of ‘caching’ El Fuente at 480p. El Fuente at 1080p. Source: Digital Trends
  • 17. Digital video formats with estimated media rates 17 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Source: Ericsson Mobility Report 2014 GB per hour 0.18 0.34 0.54 1.12 – 1.57 2.25 – 2.70 4.50 – 6.75
  • 18. • Comcast: Binge watching actually helps live TV ratings • Nielsen: Time-shifted viewing on rise 18 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Threats to ‘Content caching’ on the device
  • 19. Consumers watching TV on ‘Own Terms’ 19 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Source: KPCB – May 2014
  • 20. More ‘Streaming’, Less ‘Broadcast’ 20 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Source: CEA – June 2014
  • 21. 21 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 ‘Broad Tail’ is the new ‘Long Tail’ Traditional Market Current Market Future Market Numberofpeople Content Head Long/Broad Tail
  • 22. Things that will work with LTE-B 22 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
  • 23. Digital Signage 23 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
  • 24. Live sports / events 24 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014
  • 25. 25 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 News & Music • Very important to get business model right for this to work • Only free/ad based models will succeed in the long run
  • 26. • ‘Second screen’ is mostly associated with streaming and requires connection once the user interacts. • Popular TV channels can create apps tailored for second screen experience • Novelty wears off and then there is limited interaction 26 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Second Screen
  • 27. • The question is, do you want to use LTE-B for emergency alerts or rely on other techniques 27 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Emergency alerts
  • 28. 28 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Adult entertainment! • Nuff said 
  • 29. • Including the Broadcast content in ‘data allowance’ • Discouraging users with ‘high premium’ for watching Broadcast content • Killing the battery with unnecessary ‘caching’ • No ‘unique’ or ‘tailored’ content. Other medium for similar content may be cheaper. 29 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Threats to LTE-B
  • 30. Cellular v/s Wi-Fi video usage – Take 2 30 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Source: Ericsson Mobility Report 2014
  • 31. 31 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Are you just going to tell me the problems or do you have any solutions?
  • 32. ‘DL only’ 4G for Tablets 32 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 • ‘Downlink only’ 4G radio • ‘No Uplink’ on 4G • Listens to common channels • Listens to Broadcast/Multicast channels • Connectivity over Wi-Fi for any configuration of Apps or radio for tuning • Would only make sense if additional cost is $10 of less.
  • 33. ‘Sponsored Broadcast’ 33 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 • Too many ‘ifs’ and ‘buts’ in case of normal sponsored data • ‘Sponsored Broadcast’ can work similar to traditional TV model Picture Source: AT&T
  • 34. ‘Apps’ can point to ‘Broadcast’ information 34 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 • This can work very well as long as apps can generate some revenue • Operators would need to expose new API’s
  • 35. ‘User-generated’ TV channel 35 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Source: KPCB – May 2013 • ‘2 minutes of fame’ for everyone interested • Adverts can be used as fillers • Users can be provided ratings and community can be built around it
  • 36. Concluding Remarks 36 Public – © eXplanoTech Ltd. 2014 Don’t expect returns Loyalty is more valuable than money Unique content is needed Avoid complex billing