Echelon Asia Summit 2015: The Old Guy Speech (The End of the Mobile App Cycle: The 30-Year View)

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Scott Rafer - the 'old guy' - presents The End of the Mobile App Cycle in an exclusive 30-year view. Stay up to date on Asia's tech scene: Read the latest news: http://e27.co Sign up for our Weekly Digest that curates the Top news in Asia: http://bit.ly/subscribe-to-e27

Technologie

The Old GuyThe Old Guy
SpeechSpeech
The End of the Mobile App Cycle: The 30-The End of the Mobile App Cycle: The 30-
Year ViewYear View
@rafer@rafer
@technicolorVC@technicolorVC
23 June 201523 June 2015

Moved to SFMoved to SF
before thebefore the
BrowserBrowser

Product Adoption CycleProduct Adoption Cycle

Switching Cycles SucksSwitching Cycles Sucks

Growth Cycles
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Today
Next! 2017 - ?
Mobile apps
Always-on 2003 - 2008
Dial-up 1993 - 2000
PCs 1982 - 1990
2010 - 2015
9/11 App
Store
NetscapeMacintosh

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Today
Next! 2017 - ?
Mobile apps
Always-on 2003 - 2008
Dial-up 1993 - 2000
PCs 1982 - 1990
2010 - 2015
9/11 App
Store
NetscapeMacintosh
Invest
Profit
Growth Cycle Behavior

OpenOpen
ClosedClosed
InvestInvestProfitProfit
Next Cycle Ecologies

@rafer@rafer
@technicolorVC@technicolorVC

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