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Consumer Driven Replenishment
Sales Presentation Example



This is a sales presentation example for Consumer Driven Replenishment
(CDR) project work. CDR is an analytical approach to supply chain
integration between a consumer goods supplier and its customers.
Initiatives such as Vendor-Managed Inventory (VMI) and Collaborative
Planning, Forecasting and Replenishment (CPFR) Have Produced Mixed
Results at Best (2)

             “The most significant limitation of VMI has been that since it is not
             interactive, it is not really collaborative.” (3)
             “The downside of CPFR is that to get the benefits, it requires the active
             participation of both trading partners. Manufacturers typically have
             planning departments that are staffed to do this, but retailers may lack the
             staff, and the margins to support the staff, required to get benefit from
             CPFR.” (3)
             “Consumption-based demand management stifles CPFR. As firms
             continue to improve internal forecasting consensus processes and
             internal business group collaboration, they will de-emphasize CPFR
             initiatives --which are still mostly pilot projects today. As manufacturers
             improve internal cycles, replace distribution with store-level demand data,
             and drive production directly from consumption, the need to share and
             agree upon forecasts with customers will be unnecessary. As a result,
             retail customers will shelve CPFR projects and instead invest the money in
             RFID and flexible manufacturing apps”. (4)
Source:
(2) “SCM: Making the Vision a Reality”, SCMR September/October 2003
(3) CIGA Information Group, 2000
(4) “Demand Forecast Done Right”, Forrester October 2002                                    3
Consumer-Driven Replenishment
CDR Transcends Traditional Approaches to Retailer – Supplier Integration
and Collaboration




                                                                                     Consumer-Driven Replenishment
 Economic Efficiency




                             Vendor Managed Inventory                                           (CDR)
                                      (VMI)                                               Retailer significantly reduces inventory and
                          Retailers vulnerable to Supplier’s inventory push               replenishment effort
                          Suppliers not accountable for store performance                Supplier gains control over its products’
                          Focus is execution instead of planning                          replenishment all the way to the store level
                          Not collaborative




                            Disconnected Supply Chain                             Collaborative Planning, Forecasting,
                                                                                       and Replenishment (CPFR)
                        Excess inventory, poor service                         High resource requirements for Retailer to produce quality plans
                        Supplier has no visibility into POS consumption        High-level planning (e.g., national level) hides store-level
                        Retailer has no visibility to supply disruptions        replenishment issues
                                                                                Inventory and capacity planning are not addressed



                                                     Degree of Collaboration Effectiveness
                                                                                                                                                    5
Consumer-Driven Replenishment
Our CDR Comprehensive Approach




                          Process
                          • Value and ROI Analysis
                          • CDR Process Design
                          • Retailer/Supplier Contract
                          • Information Flows

               Technology              People
               • APS Configuration     • CDR Organization
               • Outsourcing           • Inter-company Alignment
               • New Enablers:         • Enhanced Skills
                  RFID, UCCNET         • Change Management



                         Performance Metrics


                                                                   7
Consumer-Driven Replenishment
Case Study of The Scotts Company


     Company Profile
     • Scotts is a leading global manufacturer and marketer of consumer branded products for lawn and garden care,
       professional turf care, and professional horticulture business. Sales for 2003 totaled $1.91 billion
     • The North American Consumer segment includes the Lawns, Gardens, and Controls business groups. These
       groups market the leading brands in every major lawn and garden category - Lawns (Scotts®), Gardens (Miracle-
       Gro®), Controls (Ortho® and Roundup®)
     • Scotts’ customers consist of mass merchandisers, home improvement centers, wholesale clubs, hardware chains,
       drug chains, independent hardware stores, nurseries, and garden centers. 75% sales are with five major
       customers – Home Depot, Wal-Mart, Lowe’s, Kmart, and Costco
     • Scotts’ sales are seasonal in nature and are susceptible to weather conditions

     Challenge
     • Poor inventory management at retailers’ stores negatively impact in-stock service
     • Lack of POS visibility results in slow reaction to changes in market demand
     • Very large demand variability observed at Scotts creates significant forecast errors
     • Low fill rate despite large amounts of inventory (stock in wrong locations)
     • Trade promotions are ineffective due to poor season timing
     • No supply chain collaboration with main customers
     • Overall ROIC at 9% versus industry average of 13.5%
                                                                                                                       9
Consumer-Driven Replenishment
Quantifiable Benefits



      Inventory turns in the low 2s    Inventory turns closing 5.5
                                         target
      Fill Rates at 90%
                                        Fill rates at 98%
      Order Forecast Accuracy Below
       50% at National Level            Order Forecast Accuracy better
                                         than 80% at Regional Level
      In-stock Service at 90%
                                        In-stock Service at 95%




    Scotts efforts in Supply Chain and Customer Collaboration make the
    Company Vendor of The Quarter by Wal-Mart and Vendor of The Year
    by The Home Depot.

                                                                          11
Consumer-Driven Replenishment
CDR Is a Key Enabler to Other Supply Chain Initiatives



      Better alignment of                Scan-Based            Focus on GMROII and
      prizing and promotion                Trading             faster inventory turns
      decisions thru visibility                                at store level is key to
      on POS and inventory                                     generating value from
      consumption at store                                     SBT to both suppliers
      level                                                    and retailers

           Pricing                        Consumer                  Collaborative
         and Revenue                       Driven                    Logistics
         Optimization                   Replenishment               Management

       Dynamic assortment                                      Ability to generate
       planning and                                            outbound forward-looking
       merchandizing based                                     plans by store to better
       on store’s specific              Collaborative          plan truck loads,
       product flow                                            warehouse labor, multi-
       information (category            Merchandizing          stop delivery routes, etc,..
       management)                        Planning

                                  Supplier-Retailer Collaboration
                                                                                              13

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Flevy.com - Consumer Driven Replenishment

  • 1. Consumer Driven Replenishment Sales Presentation Example This is a sales presentation example for Consumer Driven Replenishment (CDR) project work. CDR is an analytical approach to supply chain integration between a consumer goods supplier and its customers.
  • 2. Initiatives such as Vendor-Managed Inventory (VMI) and Collaborative Planning, Forecasting and Replenishment (CPFR) Have Produced Mixed Results at Best (2) “The most significant limitation of VMI has been that since it is not interactive, it is not really collaborative.” (3) “The downside of CPFR is that to get the benefits, it requires the active participation of both trading partners. Manufacturers typically have planning departments that are staffed to do this, but retailers may lack the staff, and the margins to support the staff, required to get benefit from CPFR.” (3) “Consumption-based demand management stifles CPFR. As firms continue to improve internal forecasting consensus processes and internal business group collaboration, they will de-emphasize CPFR initiatives --which are still mostly pilot projects today. As manufacturers improve internal cycles, replace distribution with store-level demand data, and drive production directly from consumption, the need to share and agree upon forecasts with customers will be unnecessary. As a result, retail customers will shelve CPFR projects and instead invest the money in RFID and flexible manufacturing apps”. (4) Source: (2) “SCM: Making the Vision a Reality”, SCMR September/October 2003 (3) CIGA Information Group, 2000 (4) “Demand Forecast Done Right”, Forrester October 2002 3
  • 3. Consumer-Driven Replenishment CDR Transcends Traditional Approaches to Retailer – Supplier Integration and Collaboration Consumer-Driven Replenishment Economic Efficiency Vendor Managed Inventory (CDR) (VMI)  Retailer significantly reduces inventory and  Retailers vulnerable to Supplier’s inventory push replenishment effort  Suppliers not accountable for store performance  Supplier gains control over its products’  Focus is execution instead of planning replenishment all the way to the store level  Not collaborative Disconnected Supply Chain Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment (CPFR)  Excess inventory, poor service  High resource requirements for Retailer to produce quality plans  Supplier has no visibility into POS consumption  High-level planning (e.g., national level) hides store-level  Retailer has no visibility to supply disruptions replenishment issues  Inventory and capacity planning are not addressed Degree of Collaboration Effectiveness 5
  • 4. Consumer-Driven Replenishment Our CDR Comprehensive Approach Process • Value and ROI Analysis • CDR Process Design • Retailer/Supplier Contract • Information Flows Technology People • APS Configuration • CDR Organization • Outsourcing • Inter-company Alignment • New Enablers: • Enhanced Skills RFID, UCCNET • Change Management Performance Metrics 7
  • 5. Consumer-Driven Replenishment Case Study of The Scotts Company Company Profile • Scotts is a leading global manufacturer and marketer of consumer branded products for lawn and garden care, professional turf care, and professional horticulture business. Sales for 2003 totaled $1.91 billion • The North American Consumer segment includes the Lawns, Gardens, and Controls business groups. These groups market the leading brands in every major lawn and garden category - Lawns (Scotts®), Gardens (Miracle- Gro®), Controls (Ortho® and Roundup®) • Scotts’ customers consist of mass merchandisers, home improvement centers, wholesale clubs, hardware chains, drug chains, independent hardware stores, nurseries, and garden centers. 75% sales are with five major customers – Home Depot, Wal-Mart, Lowe’s, Kmart, and Costco • Scotts’ sales are seasonal in nature and are susceptible to weather conditions Challenge • Poor inventory management at retailers’ stores negatively impact in-stock service • Lack of POS visibility results in slow reaction to changes in market demand • Very large demand variability observed at Scotts creates significant forecast errors • Low fill rate despite large amounts of inventory (stock in wrong locations) • Trade promotions are ineffective due to poor season timing • No supply chain collaboration with main customers • Overall ROIC at 9% versus industry average of 13.5% 9
  • 6. Consumer-Driven Replenishment Quantifiable Benefits  Inventory turns in the low 2s  Inventory turns closing 5.5 target  Fill Rates at 90%  Fill rates at 98%  Order Forecast Accuracy Below 50% at National Level  Order Forecast Accuracy better than 80% at Regional Level  In-stock Service at 90%  In-stock Service at 95% Scotts efforts in Supply Chain and Customer Collaboration make the Company Vendor of The Quarter by Wal-Mart and Vendor of The Year by The Home Depot. 11
  • 7. Consumer-Driven Replenishment CDR Is a Key Enabler to Other Supply Chain Initiatives Better alignment of Scan-Based Focus on GMROII and prizing and promotion Trading faster inventory turns decisions thru visibility at store level is key to on POS and inventory generating value from consumption at store SBT to both suppliers level and retailers Pricing Consumer Collaborative and Revenue Driven Logistics Optimization Replenishment Management Dynamic assortment Ability to generate planning and outbound forward-looking merchandizing based plans by store to better on store’s specific Collaborative plan truck loads, product flow warehouse labor, multi- information (category Merchandizing stop delivery routes, etc,.. management) Planning Supplier-Retailer Collaboration 13