Presentation made at the CT Fall Forum in Chicago, November 5, 2014. A summary of the NMC Horizon Project and the 2014 Horizon Report Higher Education Edition.

1. Challenges, Trends & Important
Developments in Higher Educational
Technology
Lawrence G. Miller
Senior Director for Community College Relations
NMC: The New Media Consortium

2. The future
is
already here

4. The Horizon Project
NMC: The New Media Consortium
Launched 2002 by Laurence F. Johnson
To proactively identify technology trends
that could impact education, specifically
higher education

5. The NMC Horizon Project
Nearly 50 Editions
50+ Translations
12 Years of Global Research into Emerging Technology Uptake

6. Once there was one . . .
Higher Education Edition
(2004)
Horizon Report > K-12 Edition
(2009)
Horizon Report > Museum Edition
(2010}
Horizon Report > Library Edition
(2014)

7. Once there was one . . .
Technology
Outlook: The
NMC Horizon
Project
Series of
Regional &
Sector
Analyses

8. NMC Horizon Report
2013 Higher Education
å
go.nmc.org/2014-hied

10. Acknowledgements
The research behind the NMC Horizon Report:
2014 Higher Education Edition is jointly conducted
by the New Media Consortium (NMC) and the
EDUCAUSE Learning Initiative (ELI).
The NMC Horizon Report: 2014 Higher Education
Edition was made possible via a grant from the
World Bank.

11. How does the process work?

12. Hz Advisory Boards
Each project board represents an
international, multi-disciplinary group of
between 40 - 50 technology experts from both
within & outside higher education
Participation on any Horizon Project
advisory board is by invitation & includes
self-nomination

13. Hz Wiki Environment

14. Hz Wiki Environment
Orientation Readings Research Questions
Ranking 1st cut Commenting 2nd Pass
Report Production

15. Horizon Report Evolution
Topics reflect potential relevance
to teaching, learning & the
creative process
Initial focus was only Higher
Education
Emphasis was on Emergent
Technologies
Short, mid & longer timeframes

16. Horizon Report Evolution
Topics are vetted with application
to Policy, Leadership & Practice
• Key trends
• Significant challenges
• Important Developments in
Educational Technologies

17. Fast Trends: Driving changes over the
next 1 - 2 years
Growing Ubiquity of
Social Media
Understanding how
social media can be leveraged
for social learning is a
key skill for teachers

18. Fast Trends: Driving changes over the
next 1 - 2 years
Integration of Online, Hybrid, &
Collaborative Learning
Hybrid learning can address the
learning path of each individual
student

19. Mid-Range Trend: Driving changes
over the next 3 - 5 years
Rise of Data-Driven Learning &
Assessment
Students now leave
an increasingly clear trail of
data that can be mined
for insights

20. Mid-Range Trend: Driving changes
over the next 3 - 5 years
Shift from Students as
Consumers to Creators
User-generated videos, maker
communities, &
crowdfunded projects are means
for active, hands-on learning

21. Long-Range Trend: Driving changes
over the next 5+ years
Agile Approaches to Change
With the demand for grads to have
real world experiences, institutions
are adopting “start up” thinking
processes

22. Long-Range Trend: Driving changes
over the next 5+ years
Further Evolution of Online
Learning
Recent developments in business
models are upping the ante of
innovation in
digital environments

23. Looking at Challenges
• Solvable Challenges: Those that we
understand and know how to solve
• Difficult Challenges: Those we
understand but for which solutions
are elusive
• Wicked Challenges: Those that are
complex to even define, much less
address

24. Solvable Challenges: Those that we
understand and know how to solve
Low Digital Fluency of Faculty
Training in digital media skills &
techniques is rare or non-existent
in the preparation of
faculty

25. Solvable Challenges: Those that we
understand and know how to solve
Relative Lack of Rewards for
Teaching
For much of academe, teaching is
not a priority and, thus, not
rewarded

26. Difficult Challenges: Those we
understand but for which solutions are
elusive
Competition from New Models
of Education
Simply using
technology is not enough; new
models use these tools &
services to engage students

27. Difficult Challenges: Those we
understand but for which solutions are
elusive
Scaling Teaching Innovations
Moving teaching innovations into
mainstream practice & adoption
beyond the individual or small
group

28. Wicked Challenge: Those that are
complex to even define, much less
address
Expanding Access
Many in higher education feel
that our institutions do not have
sufficient
resources to meet demand

29. Wicked Challenge: Those that are
complex to even define, much less
address
Keeping Education Relevant
The paradigm that has worked
for over a century is gradually
becoming obsolete

30. Important Developments in
Educational Technology
Categories of Tracked Technologies
Consumer Technologies
Digital Strategies
Internet Technologies
Learning Technologies
Social Media Technologies
Visualization Technologies
Enabling Technologies

31. Important Developments in
Educational Technology, Time-to-
Adoption Horizon: 1 Year or Less
Flipped Classroom
A dynamic & more social space
where students can participate
interactively or work through
problems in teams

32. Important Developments in
Educational Technology, Time-to-
Adoption Horizon: 1 Year or Less
Learning Analytics
“Big Data” means new
ways of applying analytics to
improve student engagement &
provide a high-quality,
personalized experience

33. Important Developments in
Educational Technology, Time-to-
Adoption Horizon: 2 to 3 Years
3-D Printing
Affordability of devices and OER
drives application to active,
project-based
learning

34. Important Developments in
Educational Technology, Time-to-
Adoption Horizon: 2 to 3 Years
Games and Gamification
Gamification has been employed
successfully by a number of
mobile apps and social
media companies

35. Important Developments in
Educational Technology, Time-to-
Adoption Horizon: 4 to 5 Years
Quantified Self
Popular incarnations of the
quantified self movement have
materialized in the form of health,
fitness, and life streaming tools

36. Important Developments in
Educational Technology, Time-to-
Adoption Horizon: 4 to 5 Years
Virtual Assistants
Conversational interfaces &
personal context awareness
enable virtual assistants to engage
in conversations with users

37. How accurate have the
projections been?
Pretty darn good

38. You Can JUMP IN
Tag articles or reports
Twitter: #NMCHz
Sign up for the Advisory Board
go.nmc.org/horizon-nominate
Submit Your Projects
go.nmc.org/projects

39. Hz Report Navigator

40. #NMCHz
Lawrence G. Miller
@lawrencegmiller
larry.miller@nmc.org

41. QUESTIONS?