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Prepared for
57th Annual Meeting of National Federation of Advanced Information
Services (NFAIS)
Washington, D.C.
February 2015
“Information wants someone else to pay
for it : as science and scholarship evolve,
who consumes and who pays?”
Dr. Micah Altman
<escience@mit.edu>
Director of Research, MIT Libraries
DISCLAIMER
These opinions are my own, they are not the opinions
of MIT, Brookings, any of the project funders, nor (with
the exception of co-authored previously published
work) my collaborators
Secondary disclaimer:
“It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the
future!”
-- Attributed to Woody Allen, Yogi Berra, Niels Bohr, Vint Cerf, Winston Churchill,
Confucius, Disreali [sic], Freeman Dyson, Cecil B. Demille, Albert Einstein, Enrico
Fermi, Edgar R. Fiedler, Bob Fourer, Sam Goldwyn, Allan Lamport, Groucho Marx, Dan
Quayle, George Bernard Shaw, Casey Stengel, Will Rogers, M. Taub, Mark Twain, Kerr
L. White, etc.
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Collaborators & Co-Conspirators
• Margy Avery, Program on Information Science
• Project CREDIT Working Group
• OCLC Task Group on Researcher Identifiers
• NDSA Coordination Committee
Research Support
Thanks to the Digital Science, Sloan
Foundation
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Related Work
• Liz Allen, Jo Scott, Amy Brand, Marjorie M.K. Hlava, Micah Altman (2014),
Beyond authorship: recognising the contributions to research; Nature.
• Altman M, Crosas M., 2014.The Evolution of Data Citation: From Principles to
Implementation. IASSIST Quarterly.
• Smith-Yoshimura, Karen; Micah Altman; Michael Conlon; Ana Lupe Cristán;
Laura Dawson; Joanne Dunham; Thom Hickey; Daniel Hook; Wolfram
Horstmann; Andrew MacEwan; Philip Schreur; Laura Smart; Melanie Wacker;
and Saskia Woutersen. 2014. Registering Researchers in Authority Files. Dublin,
Ohio: OCLC Research.
• Amy Brand, Liz Allen, Micah Altman, Marjorike Hlava, Jo Scott, (2015) “Beyond
authorship: attribution, contribution, collaboration, and credit”, Learned
Publishing. Forthcoming.
• Altman M, Bailey J, Cariani K, Corridan J, Crabtree J, Gallinger M, Goethals A,
Grotke A, Hartman C, Lazorshak B, et al. 2015 National Agenda for Digital
Stewardship. National Digital Stewardship Alliance (NDSA); 2014.
Reprints available from:
informatics.mit.edu
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Roadmap for this Talk
* Some Trends in Information Creation and Use
in Scholarship and Science *
* Why the market alone cannot sort it out--
Information is not a Pure Public Good *
* Implications for Change Among Consumers,
Producers, Publishers, and Funders *
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Some Trends in
Authorship
Then
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Clarke, Beverly L. "Multiple authorship
trends in scientific papers." Science
143.3608 (1964): 822-824.
Later
• By 1980, average number of authors in high-
ranked medical journals was 4.5
• By 2000, average number of authors was 6.9
[Weeks et al. 2004]
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Now
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Now is More
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Some Trends
More…
… Forms of Evidence
… Collaborators
… Data
… Publishing, and Filtering
… Learners
… Access
… Evaluation
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Increasingly Complex Information
Flow
Information wants someone else to pay for it
idea
People
Team
Collaborations
Trainees
Affiliations
Employer
Professional Associations
Education
Funding
Grants
Contracts
Seed Funding
Coop Agreements
Publications
Journal Articles
Books
Patents
Legal Briefs
Algorithms
Software Code
Datasets
Physical Objects
Electronic Files
Protein Structures
Genetic
Sequences
Impacts
Policy
Legal
Health
Environment
Education
Product Development
Spin Off
Workforce
Service Activities
Peer Review
Working Groups
Leadership Positions
Training and Mentoring
More Contribution Types
Information wants someone else to pay for it
More more…
•Rapid Fabrication
•Social Media
•Mobile Devices
•Learning
Analytics
•Discovery
•Models of
education
•Inter-institutional
collaboration
•Adaptive learning
•Linked data
•Identifiers
•Sensors
•Multidisciplinary
work
•Data Science
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Why the Market
Alone Can’t Sort
it Out
Practical Economics Principle #1:
Keynesian Long-Run Equilibrium Theory
Information wants someone else to pay for it
“But this long run is a misleading
guide to current affairs.
In the long run we are all dead”
- Keynes, 1923, A Tract on Monetary Reform
Practical Economics Principle #2:
Bator’s Theory of Market Failure
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Many things in the real world violate
[market assumptions] –
Bator, 1958, The Anatomy of Market Failure
Some Conditions for Market Function
Information wants someone else to pay for it
• Condition on Markets
–No political/legal distortions
Common knowledge
–No barriers to entry
• Conditions on agents
–Perfect rationality
–Self-interested
–Infinitely many agents
–Stable preferences
• Conditions on goods
–Consumptive goods
–Excludable goods
–Decreasing returns to scale
–Transferability
–No externalities
• Conditions on exchange
–No transaction costs
–No information asymmetries
• Conditions on equilibrium
valuation
–Pareto optimality vs. economic
surplus
–Ignorability of distributional
concern
Practical Economics Principle #3:
Kranzberg’s Theory of Technological
Change
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Technology is neither good nor bad;
nor is it neutral.
Kranzberg, (1986) Technology and History:
"Kranzberg's Laws", Technology and Culture
Practical Economics Principle #4:
Ostrom’s Principle of Commons Goods
Ideal market goods are
excludable and consumable --
otherwise, watch out.
[Not a quote!]
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Managing a Commons is Different from Managing
a Market
• Clearly defined boundaries should be in place.
• Rules in use are well matched to local needs and conditions.
• Individuals affected by these rules can usually participate in
modifying the rules.
• The right of community members to devise their own rules is
respected by external authorities.
• A system for self-monitoring members’ behavior has been
established.
• A graduated system of sanctions is available.
• Community members have access to low-cost conflict-resolution
mechanisms.
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Ostrom & Hess 2007
Softwar
e
Best
Practice
Preserve
d Digital
Content
Storage
Provisionin
g
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Excludable
Rivalrous
Willing
Researc
h
Subject
s
Public, Private, Toll, and Commons Goods
McCleod’s Corollary of Information
Purchasing
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Source: © Hugh Macleod,
Gapingvoid Art
gapingvoid.com
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Changing
Information,
Changing
Relationships
Scholarly Publication Unpacked?
• Digital information Allows us to “Unpack”
• Traditional Scholarly Publication Bundles
–durability & fixity
–identification
–discovery
–content indexing and previewing, interaction
–business broker
–selection
–production workflow
–distribution channels
–market - consumers & Channels
–market -producers
–Content - format, organization and boundaries
• As we unpack, and rebundle – how do we manage stakeholders &
frameworks Information wants someone else to pay for it
Creation/Collec
tion
Storage/
Ingest
Processing
Internal
Sharing
Analysis
External
dissemination/publica
tion
Re-use
• Scientific
• Educational
• Scientometric
• Institutional
Long-term
access
Information Lifecycle
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Creation/C
ollection
Storage
/Ingest
Processing
Internal
Sharing
Analysi
s
External
dissemination/
publication
Re-
use
Long-
term
access
Many Stakeholders
Scholarly
Publishers
Researche
rs
Data
Archives
/Publish
er
Researc
h
Sponsor
s
Data
Sources/S
ubjects
Consumers
Service/Infra
structure
Providers
Research
Organization
s
Information wants someone else
to pay for it
Digital Stuff is Different
•Accessible
•Replicable
•Computable
•Changeable
•…
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Some Questions Raised by Changes in
Information Flow
•How to design systems to carry provenance?
•How to communicate “trustworthiness” of the
information displayed, especially when you
have similar information from multiple
sources?
•How to enable corrections and annotations
from information consumers?
•Are all entities identified?
•How does all information integrate into
lifecycle workflows?
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Questions Raised for Analytics
How to…
• Reduce error in standard analytics
-- impact factors, citation indices
• Which new measures become feasible
-- collaboration analysis
• Include new research objects
-- grants, datasets, software
• Include new populations
-- graduate students, postdocs, citizen scientists
• Include new connections
-- new maps of science, revealing “dark matter”
• Improve predictive and causal validity
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Some Questions Raised from Changes in Production
Trend Potential Authorship Issues Questions
Increase in number of
coauthors
- ‘honorary’ authorship
- ‘ghost’ authorship
- disputes
- How to disambiguate
author names?
- How to communicate
attribution in citation?
- How to describe
contributions to work?
- How to evaluate and
predict impact?
- Who is responsible?
Shift from academic
publishing in books to journals
- loss of sole-author-book as
a evaluation measure
- How to integrate name
authority and researcher
identifier systems?
Decreasing granularity of
publications
- persistence of “nano”
publication vs. authorship
- How to document
authorship over
substructure of work?
Dynamic documents - version misattribution - How to document
authorship over time?
Increasing diversity in citable
scholarly outputs
- citation cannibalization,
overrcounting
- How to cite data, software,
protocols …. presentations,Information wants someone else to pay for it
No Single Organization can Preserve all the
Information upon which it Relies
• More production of digital content
• More publishing, filtering and access
• More learners and collaborators
• More attention to public information
• More embedding of information you
want, in a larger context required to
understand it
Single Institutions Cannot Counter all Risks
– Digital Offers Opportunity to Diversify
•Distribute to mitigate external risks
–Third party attacks
–Institutional funding
–Change in legal regimes
•Distribute to mitigate internal risks
(“Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?)
–Unintentional curatorial modification
–Loss of institutional knowledge & skills
–Intentional curatorial de-accessioning
–Change in institutional mission
• Distribute Management of Information
Information wants someone else to pay for it
References
• Clarke, Beverly L. "Multiple authorship trends in scientific papers." Science 143.3608 (1964): 822-824.
• Weeks, William B., Amy E. Wallace, and B. C. Kimberly. "Changes in authorship patterns in prestigious
US medical journals." Social science & medicine 59.9 (2004): 1949-1954.
• Liz Allen, Jo Scott, Amy Brand, Marjorie M.K. Hlava, Micah Altman (2014), Beyond authorship:
recognising the contributions to research; Nature.
• Altman M, Crosas M., 2014.The Evolution of Data Citation: From Principles to Implementation. IASSIST
Quarterly.
• Smith-Yoshimura, Karen; Micah Altman; Michael Conlon; Ana Lupe Cristán; Laura Dawson; Joanne
Dunham; Thom Hickey; Daniel Hook; Wolfram Horstmann; Andrew MacEwan; Philip Schreur; Laura
Smart; Melanie Wacker; and Saskia Woutersen. 2014. Registering Researchers in Authority Files.
Dublin, Ohio: OCLC Research.
• Amy Brand, Liz Allen, Micah Altman, Marjorike Hlava, Jo Scott, (2015) “Beyond authorship: attribution,
contribution, collaboration, and credit”, Learned Publishing. Forthcoming.
• Altman M, Bailey J, Cariani K, Corridan J, Crabtree J, Gallinger M, Goethals A, Grotke A, Hartman C,
Lazorshak B, et al. 2015 National Agenda for Digital Stewardship. National Digital Stewardship Alliance
(NDSA); 2014.
• Bator, Francis M. "The anatomy of market failure." The Quarterly Journal of Economics (1958): 351-379.
• Keynes, John Maynard. A tract on monetary reform. Ed. Elizabeth Johnson. Vol. 4. London: Macmillan,
1923.
• Hess, Charlotte. "Elinor Ostrom, eds. 2007." Understanding Knowledge as a Commons: From Theory to
Practice.
Information wants someone else to pay for it
Questions?
E-mail: escience@mit.edu
Web: informatics.mit.edu
Information wants someone else to pay for it

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INFORMATION WANTS SOMEONE ELSE TO PAY FOR IT : AS SCIENCE AND SCHOLARSHIP EVOLVE, WHO CONSUMES AND WHO PAYS?

  • 1.
  • 2. Prepared for 57th Annual Meeting of National Federation of Advanced Information Services (NFAIS) Washington, D.C. February 2015 “Information wants someone else to pay for it : as science and scholarship evolve, who consumes and who pays?” Dr. Micah Altman <escience@mit.edu> Director of Research, MIT Libraries
  • 3. DISCLAIMER These opinions are my own, they are not the opinions of MIT, Brookings, any of the project funders, nor (with the exception of co-authored previously published work) my collaborators Secondary disclaimer: “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future!” -- Attributed to Woody Allen, Yogi Berra, Niels Bohr, Vint Cerf, Winston Churchill, Confucius, Disreali [sic], Freeman Dyson, Cecil B. Demille, Albert Einstein, Enrico Fermi, Edgar R. Fiedler, Bob Fourer, Sam Goldwyn, Allan Lamport, Groucho Marx, Dan Quayle, George Bernard Shaw, Casey Stengel, Will Rogers, M. Taub, Mark Twain, Kerr L. White, etc. Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 4. Collaborators & Co-Conspirators • Margy Avery, Program on Information Science • Project CREDIT Working Group • OCLC Task Group on Researcher Identifiers • NDSA Coordination Committee Research Support Thanks to the Digital Science, Sloan Foundation Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 5. Related Work • Liz Allen, Jo Scott, Amy Brand, Marjorie M.K. Hlava, Micah Altman (2014), Beyond authorship: recognising the contributions to research; Nature. • Altman M, Crosas M., 2014.The Evolution of Data Citation: From Principles to Implementation. IASSIST Quarterly. • Smith-Yoshimura, Karen; Micah Altman; Michael Conlon; Ana Lupe Cristán; Laura Dawson; Joanne Dunham; Thom Hickey; Daniel Hook; Wolfram Horstmann; Andrew MacEwan; Philip Schreur; Laura Smart; Melanie Wacker; and Saskia Woutersen. 2014. Registering Researchers in Authority Files. Dublin, Ohio: OCLC Research. • Amy Brand, Liz Allen, Micah Altman, Marjorike Hlava, Jo Scott, (2015) “Beyond authorship: attribution, contribution, collaboration, and credit”, Learned Publishing. Forthcoming. • Altman M, Bailey J, Cariani K, Corridan J, Crabtree J, Gallinger M, Goethals A, Grotke A, Hartman C, Lazorshak B, et al. 2015 National Agenda for Digital Stewardship. National Digital Stewardship Alliance (NDSA); 2014. Reprints available from: informatics.mit.edu Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 6. Roadmap for this Talk * Some Trends in Information Creation and Use in Scholarship and Science * * Why the market alone cannot sort it out-- Information is not a Pure Public Good * * Implications for Change Among Consumers, Producers, Publishers, and Funders * Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 7. Information wants someone else to pay for it Some Trends in Authorship
  • 8. Then Information wants someone else to pay for it Clarke, Beverly L. "Multiple authorship trends in scientific papers." Science 143.3608 (1964): 822-824.
  • 9. Later • By 1980, average number of authors in high- ranked medical journals was 4.5 • By 2000, average number of authors was 6.9 [Weeks et al. 2004] Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 10. Now Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 11. Now is More Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 12. Information wants someone else to pay for it Some Trends
  • 13. More… … Forms of Evidence … Collaborators … Data … Publishing, and Filtering … Learners … Access … Evaluation Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 14. Increasingly Complex Information Flow Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 15. idea People Team Collaborations Trainees Affiliations Employer Professional Associations Education Funding Grants Contracts Seed Funding Coop Agreements Publications Journal Articles Books Patents Legal Briefs Algorithms Software Code Datasets Physical Objects Electronic Files Protein Structures Genetic Sequences Impacts Policy Legal Health Environment Education Product Development Spin Off Workforce Service Activities Peer Review Working Groups Leadership Positions Training and Mentoring More Contribution Types Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 16. More more… •Rapid Fabrication •Social Media •Mobile Devices •Learning Analytics •Discovery •Models of education •Inter-institutional collaboration •Adaptive learning •Linked data •Identifiers •Sensors •Multidisciplinary work •Data Science Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 17. Information wants someone else to pay for it Why the Market Alone Can’t Sort it Out
  • 18. Practical Economics Principle #1: Keynesian Long-Run Equilibrium Theory Information wants someone else to pay for it “But this long run is a misleading guide to current affairs. In the long run we are all dead” - Keynes, 1923, A Tract on Monetary Reform
  • 19. Practical Economics Principle #2: Bator’s Theory of Market Failure Information wants someone else to pay for it Many things in the real world violate [market assumptions] – Bator, 1958, The Anatomy of Market Failure
  • 20. Some Conditions for Market Function Information wants someone else to pay for it • Condition on Markets –No political/legal distortions Common knowledge –No barriers to entry • Conditions on agents –Perfect rationality –Self-interested –Infinitely many agents –Stable preferences • Conditions on goods –Consumptive goods –Excludable goods –Decreasing returns to scale –Transferability –No externalities • Conditions on exchange –No transaction costs –No information asymmetries • Conditions on equilibrium valuation –Pareto optimality vs. economic surplus –Ignorability of distributional concern
  • 21. Practical Economics Principle #3: Kranzberg’s Theory of Technological Change Information wants someone else to pay for it Technology is neither good nor bad; nor is it neutral. Kranzberg, (1986) Technology and History: "Kranzberg's Laws", Technology and Culture
  • 22. Practical Economics Principle #4: Ostrom’s Principle of Commons Goods Ideal market goods are excludable and consumable -- otherwise, watch out. [Not a quote!] Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 23. Managing a Commons is Different from Managing a Market • Clearly defined boundaries should be in place. • Rules in use are well matched to local needs and conditions. • Individuals affected by these rules can usually participate in modifying the rules. • The right of community members to devise their own rules is respected by external authorities. • A system for self-monitoring members’ behavior has been established. • A graduated system of sanctions is available. • Community members have access to low-cost conflict-resolution mechanisms. Information wants someone else to pay for it Ostrom & Hess 2007
  • 24. Softwar e Best Practice Preserve d Digital Content Storage Provisionin g Information wants someone else to pay for it Excludable Rivalrous Willing Researc h Subject s Public, Private, Toll, and Commons Goods
  • 25. McCleod’s Corollary of Information Purchasing Information wants someone else to pay for it Source: © Hugh Macleod, Gapingvoid Art gapingvoid.com
  • 26. Information wants someone else to pay for it Changing Information, Changing Relationships
  • 27. Scholarly Publication Unpacked? • Digital information Allows us to “Unpack” • Traditional Scholarly Publication Bundles –durability & fixity –identification –discovery –content indexing and previewing, interaction –business broker –selection –production workflow –distribution channels –market - consumers & Channels –market -producers –Content - format, organization and boundaries • As we unpack, and rebundle – how do we manage stakeholders & frameworks Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 28. Creation/Collec tion Storage/ Ingest Processing Internal Sharing Analysis External dissemination/publica tion Re-use • Scientific • Educational • Scientometric • Institutional Long-term access Information Lifecycle Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 30. Digital Stuff is Different •Accessible •Replicable •Computable •Changeable •… Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 31. Some Questions Raised by Changes in Information Flow •How to design systems to carry provenance? •How to communicate “trustworthiness” of the information displayed, especially when you have similar information from multiple sources? •How to enable corrections and annotations from information consumers? •Are all entities identified? •How does all information integrate into lifecycle workflows? Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 32. Questions Raised for Analytics How to… • Reduce error in standard analytics -- impact factors, citation indices • Which new measures become feasible -- collaboration analysis • Include new research objects -- grants, datasets, software • Include new populations -- graduate students, postdocs, citizen scientists • Include new connections -- new maps of science, revealing “dark matter” • Improve predictive and causal validity Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 33. Some Questions Raised from Changes in Production Trend Potential Authorship Issues Questions Increase in number of coauthors - ‘honorary’ authorship - ‘ghost’ authorship - disputes - How to disambiguate author names? - How to communicate attribution in citation? - How to describe contributions to work? - How to evaluate and predict impact? - Who is responsible? Shift from academic publishing in books to journals - loss of sole-author-book as a evaluation measure - How to integrate name authority and researcher identifier systems? Decreasing granularity of publications - persistence of “nano” publication vs. authorship - How to document authorship over substructure of work? Dynamic documents - version misattribution - How to document authorship over time? Increasing diversity in citable scholarly outputs - citation cannibalization, overrcounting - How to cite data, software, protocols …. presentations,Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 34. No Single Organization can Preserve all the Information upon which it Relies • More production of digital content • More publishing, filtering and access • More learners and collaborators • More attention to public information • More embedding of information you want, in a larger context required to understand it
  • 35. Single Institutions Cannot Counter all Risks – Digital Offers Opportunity to Diversify •Distribute to mitigate external risks –Third party attacks –Institutional funding –Change in legal regimes •Distribute to mitigate internal risks (“Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?) –Unintentional curatorial modification –Loss of institutional knowledge & skills –Intentional curatorial de-accessioning –Change in institutional mission • Distribute Management of Information Information wants someone else to pay for it
  • 36. References • Clarke, Beverly L. "Multiple authorship trends in scientific papers." Science 143.3608 (1964): 822-824. • Weeks, William B., Amy E. Wallace, and B. C. Kimberly. "Changes in authorship patterns in prestigious US medical journals." Social science & medicine 59.9 (2004): 1949-1954. • Liz Allen, Jo Scott, Amy Brand, Marjorie M.K. Hlava, Micah Altman (2014), Beyond authorship: recognising the contributions to research; Nature. • Altman M, Crosas M., 2014.The Evolution of Data Citation: From Principles to Implementation. IASSIST Quarterly. • Smith-Yoshimura, Karen; Micah Altman; Michael Conlon; Ana Lupe Cristán; Laura Dawson; Joanne Dunham; Thom Hickey; Daniel Hook; Wolfram Horstmann; Andrew MacEwan; Philip Schreur; Laura Smart; Melanie Wacker; and Saskia Woutersen. 2014. Registering Researchers in Authority Files. Dublin, Ohio: OCLC Research. • Amy Brand, Liz Allen, Micah Altman, Marjorike Hlava, Jo Scott, (2015) “Beyond authorship: attribution, contribution, collaboration, and credit”, Learned Publishing. Forthcoming. • Altman M, Bailey J, Cariani K, Corridan J, Crabtree J, Gallinger M, Goethals A, Grotke A, Hartman C, Lazorshak B, et al. 2015 National Agenda for Digital Stewardship. National Digital Stewardship Alliance (NDSA); 2014. • Bator, Francis M. "The anatomy of market failure." The Quarterly Journal of Economics (1958): 351-379. • Keynes, John Maynard. A tract on monetary reform. Ed. Elizabeth Johnson. Vol. 4. London: Macmillan, 1923. • Hess, Charlotte. "Elinor Ostrom, eds. 2007." Understanding Knowledge as a Commons: From Theory to Practice. Information wants someone else to pay for it