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Minnesota’s Earned Income Credit Program Utilization by Current and Former Welfare Households and the Impact of Policy Parameters
How Much Do Welfare Recipients Use Earned Income Credits and When Do They Use It? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Starting With The Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Background On Why It Matters ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Why It Matters  (a) Many Dollars, Many People ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],*U.S. Green Book (2004); **PPIC (2010), ***House Research, MN House of Rep. (2010)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Why It Matters  (a) Many Dollars, Many People
Why It Matters  (b) Those Welfare Reform Years ,[object Object]
Why It Matters  (c) $1,500-$2,000; Provides Incentive to Work; MN May Address Cliff In Income
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Why It Matters  (d) It May Be Effective
Why It Matters  (c) State EICs Are On The Map Source:  Center for Budget And Policy Priorities
Why It Matters Increasing Number of States With EICs Colorado’s EIC was suspended in 2002-2005 and in 2005, by ballot the State was authorized capture tax revenue above the Tabor Limit.
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Why It Matters  (e) Turbulent Times Ahead?
Background To MN’s EIC 5 Segments
DATA ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Receipt Versus Participation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Receipt Versus Participation 37.7% Receive, 64.6% Participate
Timing & Characteristics of Receipt or WGO? Percentages Are Not Uniformly Low:  Instead, Rise With Earnings
Timing & Characteristics of Receipt or WGO? Most Eventually Take-Up the EIC
[object Object],[object Object],Timing & Characteristics of Receipt or WGO? Most Do, But Some Take-Up More Slowly
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Timing & Characteristics of Receipt or WGO? Most Do, But Some Take-Up More Slowly
Regression Model
Regression Results Parent’s Response to Parameters ?  /  /  ? Phase-Out Rate ?  /  /  ? Floor to Phase-Out ?  /  /  ? 2 nd  Tier Max. Credit  ?  /  ? ? / 2 nd  Tier Phase-In Rate ?  /  /  ? Earnings Floor to 2 nd  Tier ?  /  /  ? 1 st  Tier Max. Credit /  ? /  ? 1 st  Tier Phase-In Rate / / Maximum Credit Only TAKE-UP RECEIPT VARIABLE
Regression Results Addendum Out Migration May Affect Rates North Dakota South Dakota ? Iowa ? Wisconsin ? Canada TAKE-UP RECEIPT VARIABLE Interacted With Year Since Last on Welfare
Regression Results Addendum Who More Likely Receives Or Participates Statewide Unemployment Percentage Age of Household Head Did Not Graduate HS Native American Hispanic African American Asian American TAKE-UP RECEIPT VARIABLE
Why Are These Results Important? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Hirasuna Presentation On Earned Income Credits Use By Durrent And Former Welfare Recipients

  • 1. Minnesota’s Earned Income Credit Program Utilization by Current and Former Welfare Households and the Impact of Policy Parameters
  • 2.
  • 3.
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  • 8. Why It Matters (c) $1,500-$2,000; Provides Incentive to Work; MN May Address Cliff In Income
  • 9.
  • 10. Why It Matters (c) State EICs Are On The Map Source: Center for Budget And Policy Priorities
  • 11. Why It Matters Increasing Number of States With EICs Colorado’s EIC was suspended in 2002-2005 and in 2005, by ballot the State was authorized capture tax revenue above the Tabor Limit.
  • 12.
  • 13. Background To MN’s EIC 5 Segments
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  • 16. Receipt Versus Participation 37.7% Receive, 64.6% Participate
  • 17. Timing & Characteristics of Receipt or WGO? Percentages Are Not Uniformly Low: Instead, Rise With Earnings
  • 18. Timing & Characteristics of Receipt or WGO? Most Eventually Take-Up the EIC
  • 19.
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  • 22. Regression Results Parent’s Response to Parameters ? / / ? Phase-Out Rate ? / / ? Floor to Phase-Out ? / / ? 2 nd Tier Max. Credit ? / ? ? / 2 nd Tier Phase-In Rate ? / / ? Earnings Floor to 2 nd Tier ? / / ? 1 st Tier Max. Credit / ? / ? 1 st Tier Phase-In Rate / / Maximum Credit Only TAKE-UP RECEIPT VARIABLE
  • 23. Regression Results Addendum Out Migration May Affect Rates North Dakota South Dakota ? Iowa ? Wisconsin ? Canada TAKE-UP RECEIPT VARIABLE Interacted With Year Since Last on Welfare
  • 24. Regression Results Addendum Who More Likely Receives Or Participates Statewide Unemployment Percentage Age of Household Head Did Not Graduate HS Native American Hispanic African American Asian American TAKE-UP RECEIPT VARIABLE
  • 25.