Presentatie door Rob Brinkman, Deltares, op de Geo Klantendag 2018, tijdens de Deltares Software Dagen - Editie 2018. Donderdag, 7 juni 2018, Delft.

1. 7 juni 2018
Introductie Probabilistic Toolkit
Geo Klantendag 2018
Rob Brinkman

2. Failure
7 juni 2018
Water level too high Traffic load too much
Dike can slide away Structure not strong enough

3. Why probabilistics
• INPUT
• Uncertainty of input variables
• Natural variability of input variables
• OUTPUT
• Interested in sensitivity of output to input variables
• Interested in band width of output variables
• Interested in probability of failure
7 juni 2018

4. Probabilistic toolkit
Probabilistic toolkit
7 juni 2018
Prepare input
file
Existing
application
Define
uncertainties
Sensitivity
analysis
Failure
probability
Bandwidth
Inspect
calculations
Attach input and
application
Run model