A Critique of the Proposed National Education Policy Reform
DECC Headline Impact Indicators
1. DECC Headline Input Indicators
Renewable financial incentive cost per unit of
renewable energy generated*
Source: Ofgem: Renewables Obligation Annual Report
http://www.ofgem.gov.uk/Sustainability/Environment/RenewablObl/Pages/RenewablObl.aspx
Timing: annual, next update February 2012
£0
£10
£20
£30
£40
£50
£60
£70
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10
£/TWh
Subsidy cost of the RO per MWh renewable generation
*Note: data for Feed in Tariff Scheme and Renewable Heat Incentive to be added in due course
2. Leverage of UK international climate change
finance*
*Note: Leverage ratio figures shown in brackets, average ratio for all countries = 8.3
Source: DECC based on data from Climate Investment Funds
http://www.climateinvestmentfunds.org
Timing: biannual, next update September 2011
(10.0)
(5.4)
(7.4)
(3.9)
(10.1)
(14.8)
(13.2)
(5.8)
(11.4)
$0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000
Morocco
Egypt
Turkey
South Africa
Philippines
Vietnam
Thailand
Middle East and North Africa
Mexico
Millions
Clean Technology Fund
Co-Financing (private finance, Multilateral Development Banks contributions and National
Government funding)
3. Proportion of the Nuclear Decommissioning
Authority’s budget spent on decommissioning and
cleaning up nuclear plants*
*Note: Decommissioning and clean up costs including capital expenditure for new plant to undertake clean up operations, e.g. building a
machine to extract waste safely.
Source: Nuclear Decommissioning Authority - annual report and accounts
https://www.nda.gov.uk/aboutus/
Timing: annual, next update July 2011
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
4. DECC Headline Impact Indicators
Number of energy efficiency installations
Source: DECC (Experimental Official Statistics)
http://www.decc.gov.uk/en/content/cms/statistics/en_effic_stats/en_effic_stats.aspx
Timing: quarterly, next update September 2011
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
Apr
2007
Apr
2008
Oct
2008
Jan
2009
Apr
2009
Jul
2009
Oct
2009
Jan
2010
Apr
2010
Jul
2010
Oct
2010
Jan
2011
Apr
2011
Thousands
Cavity wall insulation Loft insulation >125mm
5. Number of households in Fuel Poverty*
*Note: 2010 and 2011 figures for England are projected from 2009 position
Source: DECC (National Statistics)
http://www.decc.gov.uk/en/content/cms/statistics/fuelpov_stats/fuelpov_stats.aspx
Timing: annual, next update July 2012
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Numberoffuelpoorhouseholds
(millions)
UK England
6. Percentage of final energy consumption from
renewable sources
Source: DECC (National Statistics)
http://www.decc.gov.uk/en/content/cms/statistics/publications/trends/trends.aspx
Timing: annual, next update 28 June 2012
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Percentage
7. Spare electricity and gas ‘capacity’ margins
Source: DECC (National Statistics) and National Grid
http://www.decc.gov.uk/en/content/cms/statistics/publications/brief/brief.aspx
Timing: annual, next update 26 July 2012
0
15
30
45
60
75
90
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
93/94
94/95
95/96
96/97
97/98
98/99
99/00
00/01
01/02
02/03
03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
07/08
08/09
09/10
10/11
GW
TWh/day
winter
Forecast maximum gas supply (left hand scale)
Actual maximum gas demand (left hand scale)
Total electricity declared net capacity (right hand scale)
Simultaneous maximum electricity load met (right hand scale)
Gas margin
Electricity margin
8. The impact of other countries’ pledges to decrease their
greenhouse gas emissions on predicted global emissions
Source: DECC based on data from the United Nations Environment Programme Emission Gap Report
http://www.unep.org/publications/ebooks/emissionsgapreport/
Timing: annual, next update November 2011
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
GlobalGHGEmissions(GtCO2e)
High Copenhagen
Accord Offers
49 Gt
Global Business As
Usual emissions
48Gt
44Gt
Late Peaking 2°C
Trajectory
(based on
LSE/Met Office)
Climate
Responsible 2°C
Trajectory
(based on UNEP)
High Accord offers assumes:
•High ambition pledges (conditional) are delivered in full
•Surplus AAUs not used
•Strict LULUCF rules
An Unconditional pledges scenario with lenient accounting
would lead to emissions of around 53Gt
The aim is to work in the UK, within the
EU and internationally to ensure
effective delivery of pledges and
increased ambition to reduce the gap
between 2020 projected emissions and
a cost-effective 2 degree pathway to
zero.
Low Copenhagen Accord
Offers (with loose
accounting) 53 Gt
9. UK Greenhouse Gas emissions levels: progress
against statutory carbon budgets
Source: DECC (National Statistics)
http://www.decc.gov.uk/en/content/cms/statistics/climate_change/gg_emissions/uk_emissions/uk_em
issions.aspx
Timing: annual, next update 7 February 2012
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010(p)
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
MilliontonnesCO2/CO2equivalent
UK non-CO2 greenhouse gas emissions
UK net CO2 emissions (emissions minus removals)
2050 target of at least 80% reduction from 1990 levels
UK net emissions including the effect of trading under the EU ETS / (from 2008) net UK carbon account
2008-12 carbon
budget 2013-17 carbon
budget
2018-22 carbon
budget
Actual Forecast
Kyoto Protocol
Target
10. Reduction in the Nuclear Liabilities Estimate through
decommissioning and clean-up*
*Note: Total value of work completed in the year, offset by any increase in the NLE as a result of financing costs (unwind of discount and effect of
inflation) and any change in scope.
Source: Nuclear Decommissioning Authority - annual report and accounts
https://www.nda.gov.uk/aboutus/
Timing: annual, next update July 2011
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.0
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
£billions
Provision discharged
11. The proportion of all UK energy generation from
low carbon sources
Source: DECC (National Statistics)
http://www.decc.gov.uk/en/content/cms/statistics/publications/dukes/dukes.aspx
Timing: annual, next update 26 July 2012
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010