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solve for ambiguity
what the data literate can learn from the design process

@deanmalmgren
@DsAtweet
2014 february
norc
data scientists thrive with ambiguity
solve for x

Ax=b

optimize
f(x)

optimize
“our proïŹtability”

project evolution

x=5+2

optimize
Ax=b
subject to
f(x) > 0

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
origins of ambiguity
many feasible approaches

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
origins of ambiguity
unclear problems

identify the best locations to plant new trees

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
origins of ambiguity
unclear problems

identify the best locations to plant new trees
aesthetically pleasing?
maximize growth?
increase foliage?
offset CO2 emissions?

how many?
what kinds of trees?
move old trees?
replace old trees?
@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
“design process” is used everywhere
anticipate failure
generate
hypotheses

evaluate
feedback

1-4 week
iterations

build
prototype

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
“design process” is used everywhere
anticipate failure
human-centered design
lean startup
agile programming

evaluate
feedback

generate
hypotheses

personas, scenarios, use
cases
business/product
requirements
story/user cards

1-4 week
iterations

build
prototype
surveys, interviews, focus groups
split testing, A/B testing
QA; requirements churn

build device prototypes
minimum viable product
write code
@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
design and data science
challenges in practice
problem lost in translation

generate
hypotheses

takes a long time to
collect data, analyze, and
build visualization

evaluate
feedback

1-4 week
iterations

build
prototype

proof is in the pudding

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
a project always starts with


@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
a project always starts with


@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
a project always starts with


@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
a project always starts with


Kathie was promoted

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
informal conversation to stated goals
mostly bad ideas, but a few good ones

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
informal conversation to stated goals
mostly bad ideas, but a few good ones

Lorem Ipsum: a narrative about blankets.

Charlie Brown
Date: 31 Jan 2012
!
Author:

Lorem Ipsum is a dummy text used when typesetting or marking up documents. It has a
long history starting from the 1500s and is still used in digital millennium for typesetting
electronic documents, page designs, etc.

!

In itself, the original text of Lorem Ipsum might have been taken from an ancient Latin
book that was written about 50 BC. Nevertheless, Lorem Ipsum’s words have been
changed so they don’t read as a proper text.

!

Naturally, page designs that are made for text documents must contain some text rather
than placeholder dots or something else. However, should they contain proper English
words and sentences almost every reader will deliberately try to interpret it eventually,
missing the design itself.

!

However, a placeholder text must have a natural distribution of letters and punctuation
or otherwise the markup will look strange and unnatural. That’s what Lorem Ipsum helps
to achieve.

!

Peppermint Patty for her support on studying
Lorem Ipsum as well as the inïŹnite wisdom of Linus van Pelt and his
I would like to thank

willingness to use his blanket in my experiments.

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
informal conversation to stated goals
mostly bad ideas, but a few good ones

Lorem Ipsum: a narrative about blankets.

Charlie Brown
Date: 31 Jan 2012
!
Author:

Lorem Ipsum is a dummy text used when typesetting or marking up documents. It has a
long history starting from the 1500s and is still used in digital millennium for typesetting
electronic documents, page designs, etc.

!

In itself, the original text of Lorem Ipsum might have been taken from an ancient Latin
book that was written about 50 BC. Nevertheless, Lorem Ipsum’s words have been
changed so they don’t read as a proper text.

!

Naturally, page designs that are made for text documents must contain some text rather
than placeholder dots or something else. However, should they contain proper English
words and sentences almost every reader will deliberately try to interpret it eventually,
missing the design itself.

!

However, a placeholder text must have a natural distribution of letters and punctuation
or otherwise the markup will look strange and unnatural. That’s what Lorem Ipsum helps
to achieve.

!

Peppermint Patty for her support on studying
Lorem Ipsum as well as the inïŹnite wisdom of Linus van Pelt and his
I would like to thank

willingness to use his blanket in my experiments.

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
informal conversation to stated goals
mostly bad ideas, but a few good ones

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
concept sketch comparisons
qualitative a/b testing

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
concept sketch comparisons
qualitative a/b testing

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
concept sketch comparisons
qualitative a/b testing

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
concept sketch comparisons
qualitative a/b testing

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
concept sketch comparisons
qualitative a/b testing

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
concept sketch comparisons
qualitative a/b testing

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
concept sketch comparisons
qualitative a/b testing

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
concept sketch comparisons
qualitative a/b testing

search engine
with relevance metrics

demographics

human readable
expertise summary

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
from sketch to blue print
add detail to get feedback (while building)

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
from sketch to blue print
add detail to get feedback (while building)

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
from sketch to blue print
add detail to get feedback (while building)

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
prototype iterations
faux ïŹrst; KISS; build for feedback

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
prototype iterations
faux ïŹrst; KISS; build for feedback

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
prototype iterations
faux ïŹrst; KISS; build for feedback

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
prototype iterations
faux ïŹrst; KISS; build for feedback

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
tips for designing with data
problem lost in translation

generate
hypotheses

takes a long time to
collect data, analyze, and
build visualization

evaluate
feedback

1-4 week
iterations

build
prototype

proof is in the pudding

@deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
solve ambiguous problems
with an iterative approach
http://bit.ly/design-data
!

@deanmalmgren
dean.malmgren@datascopeanalytics.com

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Solving for ambiguity: what the data literate can learn from the design process

  • 1. solve for ambiguity what the data literate can learn from the design process @deanmalmgren @DsAtweet 2014 february norc
  • 2. data scientists thrive with ambiguity solve for x Ax=b optimize f(x) optimize “our proïŹtability” project evolution x=5+2 optimize Ax=b subject to f(x) > 0 @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 3. origins of ambiguity many feasible approaches @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 4. origins of ambiguity unclear problems identify the best locations to plant new trees @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 5. origins of ambiguity unclear problems identify the best locations to plant new trees aesthetically pleasing? maximize growth? increase foliage? offset CO2 emissions? how many? what kinds of trees? move old trees? replace old trees? @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 6. “design process” is used everywhere anticipate failure generate hypotheses evaluate feedback 1-4 week iterations build prototype @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 7. “design process” is used everywhere anticipate failure human-centered design lean startup agile programming evaluate feedback generate hypotheses personas, scenarios, use cases business/product requirements story/user cards 1-4 week iterations build prototype surveys, interviews, focus groups split testing, A/B testing QA; requirements churn build device prototypes minimum viable product write code @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 8. design and data science challenges in practice problem lost in translation generate hypotheses takes a long time to collect data, analyze, and build visualization evaluate feedback 1-4 week iterations build prototype proof is in the pudding @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 9. a project always starts with
 @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 10. a project always starts with
 @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 11. a project always starts with
 @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 12. a project always starts with
 Kathie was promoted @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 13. informal conversation to stated goals mostly bad ideas, but a few good ones @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 14. informal conversation to stated goals mostly bad ideas, but a few good ones Lorem Ipsum: a narrative about blankets. Charlie Brown Date: 31 Jan 2012 ! Author: Lorem Ipsum is a dummy text used when typesetting or marking up documents. It has a long history starting from the 1500s and is still used in digital millennium for typesetting electronic documents, page designs, etc. ! In itself, the original text of Lorem Ipsum might have been taken from an ancient Latin book that was written about 50 BC. Nevertheless, Lorem Ipsum’s words have been changed so they don’t read as a proper text. ! Naturally, page designs that are made for text documents must contain some text rather than placeholder dots or something else. However, should they contain proper English words and sentences almost every reader will deliberately try to interpret it eventually, missing the design itself. ! However, a placeholder text must have a natural distribution of letters and punctuation or otherwise the markup will look strange and unnatural. That’s what Lorem Ipsum helps to achieve. ! Peppermint Patty for her support on studying Lorem Ipsum as well as the inïŹnite wisdom of Linus van Pelt and his I would like to thank willingness to use his blanket in my experiments. @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 15. informal conversation to stated goals mostly bad ideas, but a few good ones Lorem Ipsum: a narrative about blankets. Charlie Brown Date: 31 Jan 2012 ! Author: Lorem Ipsum is a dummy text used when typesetting or marking up documents. It has a long history starting from the 1500s and is still used in digital millennium for typesetting electronic documents, page designs, etc. ! In itself, the original text of Lorem Ipsum might have been taken from an ancient Latin book that was written about 50 BC. Nevertheless, Lorem Ipsum’s words have been changed so they don’t read as a proper text. ! Naturally, page designs that are made for text documents must contain some text rather than placeholder dots or something else. However, should they contain proper English words and sentences almost every reader will deliberately try to interpret it eventually, missing the design itself. ! However, a placeholder text must have a natural distribution of letters and punctuation or otherwise the markup will look strange and unnatural. That’s what Lorem Ipsum helps to achieve. ! Peppermint Patty for her support on studying Lorem Ipsum as well as the inïŹnite wisdom of Linus van Pelt and his I would like to thank willingness to use his blanket in my experiments. @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 16. informal conversation to stated goals mostly bad ideas, but a few good ones @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 17. concept sketch comparisons qualitative a/b testing @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 18. concept sketch comparisons qualitative a/b testing @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 19. concept sketch comparisons qualitative a/b testing @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 20. concept sketch comparisons qualitative a/b testing @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 21. concept sketch comparisons qualitative a/b testing @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 22. concept sketch comparisons qualitative a/b testing @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 23. concept sketch comparisons qualitative a/b testing @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 24. concept sketch comparisons qualitative a/b testing search engine with relevance metrics demographics human readable expertise summary @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 25. from sketch to blue print add detail to get feedback (while building) @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 26. from sketch to blue print add detail to get feedback (while building) @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 27. from sketch to blue print add detail to get feedback (while building) @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 28. prototype iterations faux ïŹrst; KISS; build for feedback @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 29. prototype iterations faux ïŹrst; KISS; build for feedback @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 30. prototype iterations faux ïŹrst; KISS; build for feedback @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 31. prototype iterations faux ïŹrst; KISS; build for feedback @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 32.
  • 33. tips for designing with data problem lost in translation generate hypotheses takes a long time to collect data, analyze, and build visualization evaluate feedback 1-4 week iterations build prototype proof is in the pudding @deanmalmgren | bit.ly/design-data
  • 34. solve ambiguous problems with an iterative approach http://bit.ly/design-data ! @deanmalmgren dean.malmgren@datascopeanalytics.com