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Finance for Business Plans

               David Shore
       DShore@StirlingMercantile.com
              604 484-0070
Agenda

•   12:00 – intros – one sentence each
•   12:10 – purpose and scope
•   12:20 – assumptions
•   12:30 – layout and format
•   12:40 – Financing Plan
•   12:50 – Q&A
•   1:00 – wrap-up
                                         .
Tell me what you do
• One sentence - what you sell, to whom and why
  they should buy.
   – We sell [hardware/software] that helps [our target
     market] [save money or make money]


“We make software that helps gas companies
  account for their production more accuratly”

“We sell bandwidth to businesses that is more
  reliable and costs less than it does from telcos”

                                                          .
Financial Models

“Plans are useless, but planning is indispensable”
            - Dwight D. Eisenhower


• Not intended to be carved in stone
• Represents your plan, expected to change



                                                .
Purpose

• Explain how the company scales
• Estimate how much capital will be required
• Shows you can plan to be fiscally
  responsible




                                          .
Scope

•   Run out 60 months
•   First two years for cash flow
•   Last three for size of opportunity
•   Show prior actuals if you have them




                                          .
Workbook Layout

• Have all spreadsheets in the same
  workbook
• Try to limit it to a handful of tabs
• Colour coding tabs can help
• Compress expenses to 3 or 4 categories



                                           .
Formatting Suggestions

• Use a different colour for triggers
                            70,000




• Add simple graphs         60,000

                            50,000

                            40,000




• Provide ratios
                            30,000

                            20,000

                            10,000

                                 0
                                      Year 1   Year 2            Year 3             Year 4          Year 5
                            -10,000

                                                Gross Revenues       Gross Profit      EBITDA




                                                                                                .
Bottom Up vs. Top Down

•   Market = 100,000,000       • Sales cycle = 60 days
•   We will get 5%             • Sales training = 60 days
•   At a price of $2,000       • We will hire 20 effective
•   We will sell $10,000,000     sales people…
                               • …who will sell 21 per
                                 month
                               • At a price of $2,000
                               • We will sell $10,000,000

Incredible!                    Credible!

                                                         .
Assumptions

• Separate tab
• Include most trigger cells on the same
  page for investor adjustment
• First Things First
  – Highlight key assumptions




                                           .
Sales Growth

• Add a realistic monthly figure for growth in
  the first 18 to 24 months
• Multiply that by your prices(s) to generate
  revenue
• Scale it up in the last 3 years



                                            .
Price

• Support your price based on competition
• Get client validation, in writing if possible
• Consider how your price may change
  going forward




                                                  .
Total Revenue
• At critical mass, revenues should be
  significant
• Don’t reverse engineer with unrealistic
  assumptions for sales growth
• Find a way to get to $30 to $50 million in 5
  to 7 years, with defendable assumptions,
  ie:
  – Expand your markets
  – Add value for a higher price

                                            .
Expenses

• Spend a lot of time on being accurate
  about your cost of sales and profit margin
• Spend very little time getting the expenses
  right, unless your business is different
• Showing losses in the first 2 years is ok,
  asuming you have the cash to do so


                                           .
Cash Flows

• Must detail working capital requirements
• Must show how much money the company
  will need and when
• Can be simply added to the bottom of the
  income projection



                                        .
Cap Table

• Not required, but good practice
• Show pre-money, post money and fully
  diluted with the investment you are
  seeking
• Include an ESOPof about 15% and room
  for directors


                                         .
Cap Table Sample




                   .
Cap Table Sample




                   .
Valuation

• Start-ups are very hard to value rationally
  – Not based on investments previously made or
    discounted cash flows
  – Based on ROI to the investor and incentive for
    management/founders
• Be realistic
• Usually $1 to $3 million

                                                .
Format for the Presentation

• One slide for assumptions
  – Identify the key variables, likely price and
    take-up
• One slide for results
  – Include ratios
• One slide for deal structure or closing cap
  table

                                                   .
Road Map                                           Funding
IP Roadmap                                                                        Roadmap


 Expan-                                                                       >$10m Series B
   sion

    Full
 Launch

Beta, one
   sector

  Alpha
                                                                              $4m Series A



 Design                                                                             Seed,
                                                                              $1.2m Angel

                                                                              $0.3m F, F & E
                   today
            Year     1         2              3           4            5
                     Revenue       Early      Crossing    Mainstream   Exit
                     RoadMap       Adopters   the Chasm   Growth

                                                                                         11
Examples




           .
SS Tips

• Drag across 2 columns to build sales ramp
• Paste picture link
  – Paste pic next to assumptions
  – Resize and fit to any columns




                                         .
Summary

• Be very clear about your key assumptions,
  usually price and sales ramp
• Keep the model simple – compared to an
  operational model you can build post
  funding




                                         .
Thank You

• For more information please visit our website:
  www.stirlingmercantile.com

• This is on http://www.slideshare.net/davidshore
  for future reference

• DShore@StirlingMercantile.com
• 604 484-0070

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SBP-Market-Operations and market managment
SBP-Market-Operations and market managmentSBP-Market-Operations and market managment
SBP-Market-Operations and market managment
 

Early stage finance for business plans

  • 1. Finance for Business Plans David Shore DShore@StirlingMercantile.com 604 484-0070
  • 2. Agenda • 12:00 – intros – one sentence each • 12:10 – purpose and scope • 12:20 – assumptions • 12:30 – layout and format • 12:40 – Financing Plan • 12:50 – Q&A • 1:00 – wrap-up .
  • 3. Tell me what you do • One sentence - what you sell, to whom and why they should buy. – We sell [hardware/software] that helps [our target market] [save money or make money] “We make software that helps gas companies account for their production more accuratly” “We sell bandwidth to businesses that is more reliable and costs less than it does from telcos” .
  • 4. Financial Models “Plans are useless, but planning is indispensable” - Dwight D. Eisenhower • Not intended to be carved in stone • Represents your plan, expected to change .
  • 5. Purpose • Explain how the company scales • Estimate how much capital will be required • Shows you can plan to be fiscally responsible .
  • 6. Scope • Run out 60 months • First two years for cash flow • Last three for size of opportunity • Show prior actuals if you have them .
  • 7. Workbook Layout • Have all spreadsheets in the same workbook • Try to limit it to a handful of tabs • Colour coding tabs can help • Compress expenses to 3 or 4 categories .
  • 8. Formatting Suggestions • Use a different colour for triggers 70,000 • Add simple graphs 60,000 50,000 40,000 • Provide ratios 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 -10,000 Gross Revenues Gross Profit EBITDA .
  • 9. Bottom Up vs. Top Down • Market = 100,000,000 • Sales cycle = 60 days • We will get 5% • Sales training = 60 days • At a price of $2,000 • We will hire 20 effective • We will sell $10,000,000 sales people… • …who will sell 21 per month • At a price of $2,000 • We will sell $10,000,000 Incredible! Credible! .
  • 10. Assumptions • Separate tab • Include most trigger cells on the same page for investor adjustment • First Things First – Highlight key assumptions .
  • 11. Sales Growth • Add a realistic monthly figure for growth in the first 18 to 24 months • Multiply that by your prices(s) to generate revenue • Scale it up in the last 3 years .
  • 12. Price • Support your price based on competition • Get client validation, in writing if possible • Consider how your price may change going forward .
  • 13. Total Revenue • At critical mass, revenues should be significant • Don’t reverse engineer with unrealistic assumptions for sales growth • Find a way to get to $30 to $50 million in 5 to 7 years, with defendable assumptions, ie: – Expand your markets – Add value for a higher price .
  • 14. Expenses • Spend a lot of time on being accurate about your cost of sales and profit margin • Spend very little time getting the expenses right, unless your business is different • Showing losses in the first 2 years is ok, asuming you have the cash to do so .
  • 15. Cash Flows • Must detail working capital requirements • Must show how much money the company will need and when • Can be simply added to the bottom of the income projection .
  • 16. Cap Table • Not required, but good practice • Show pre-money, post money and fully diluted with the investment you are seeking • Include an ESOPof about 15% and room for directors .
  • 19. Valuation • Start-ups are very hard to value rationally – Not based on investments previously made or discounted cash flows – Based on ROI to the investor and incentive for management/founders • Be realistic • Usually $1 to $3 million .
  • 20. Format for the Presentation • One slide for assumptions – Identify the key variables, likely price and take-up • One slide for results – Include ratios • One slide for deal structure or closing cap table .
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  • 23. Road Map Funding IP Roadmap Roadmap Expan- >$10m Series B sion Full Launch Beta, one sector Alpha $4m Series A Design Seed, $1.2m Angel $0.3m F, F & E today Year 1 2 3 4 5 Revenue Early Crossing Mainstream Exit RoadMap Adopters the Chasm Growth 11
  • 24. Examples .
  • 25. SS Tips • Drag across 2 columns to build sales ramp • Paste picture link – Paste pic next to assumptions – Resize and fit to any columns .
  • 26. Summary • Be very clear about your key assumptions, usually price and sales ramp • Keep the model simple – compared to an operational model you can build post funding .
  • 27. Thank You • For more information please visit our website: www.stirlingmercantile.com • This is on http://www.slideshare.net/davidshore for future reference • DShore@StirlingMercantile.com • 604 484-0070

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Which is the most important assumption? Still need to know the market share and size of market
  2. This one will get me in trouble But you want to win the competition, so find a way
  3. How much are you seeking? How long will this cash last? Future rounds? Use of Funds? How will this improve the valuation for the next round? Relate this strategy to the milestones