Exponentials and Networks - The Existential Challenge Of Radical Innovation For The Enterprise Exponential technologies tend to take even the experts by surprise. The centralized and hierarchical organizations are under threat by nimbler and more resilient decentralized networks. How can modern enterprises survive the combined challenges of technological and organizational innovation, internalizing the processes that make companies great and thrive?

1. Exponentials And Networks
The Existential Challenge Of Radical Innovation For The Enterprise
October 2014, Salerno, Italy

2. David Orban
CEO, Dotsub
Advisor & Faculty, Singularity University
!
@davidorban
@dotsub
@singularityu

5. 1. Exponentials
2. Networks
3. Organizations
4. Principles
5. Q&A

6. Exponentials
Intro To 2
x

10. ..., 0.0625, 0.1250, 0.5000, 1, ...

11. ..., 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, 64, 128

12. 2000: First Human Genome at $3B

13. 2014: Human Genome at $2K

14. Confusing
Obvious

17. 2002
16%
2004
14%
2006
12%
2008 10%

18. Networks
From hierarchies to heterarchies

19. The future is already here. It is just not evenly distributed yet

20. Exponential

21. Pyramids
archer10
Dreams

22. Network Age
jurvetson
Achievements

23. 99%
1% 2%
98%
10.000 BC Today
terrestrial
vertebrates
in the wild
humans
pets
cattle
Anthropocene

24. Anthropocene
Unsustainable

25. myfavoritedinosaur.com, LadyofHats, OpenClips
Reason

26. Science

27. Hierarchy

28. Network

30. La tesi fondamentale della Network Society
1.!! Il cambiamento sociale ed economico può diffondersi solo quando si appoggia
su una base tecnologica solida che la rende sostenibile.!
!
2. ! Sono emerse tecnologie globali decentralizzate che ottengono risultati superiori
rispetto a quelle centralizzate e gerarchiche.!
!
3. ! Queste tecnologie inarrestabili minano alla base i pilastri che supportano lo
Stato Nazione. L’organizzazione socioeconomica risultante è la Network Society.
David Orban – Network Society Project – http://netsoc.org

31. Network Society Pillars

32. Photovoltaics - Ecat?
1. Energy

33. 2. Manufacturing

34. 3D hydroponics - Plantlab
plantlab
3. Food

35. 4. Health

36. 5. Learning

37. P2P Currency - Bitcoin
sylvar
6. Finance

38. 7. Security

39. 8. Policy

40. thecrazyfilmgirl
Unstoppable

41. Toolbox

42. Living In The Network Society

43. New Organizations

44. Empowerment

45. Emancipation

46. Experiential

47. Learning

48. Title Text
Body Level One
Body Level Two
Body Level Three
Body Level Four
Body Level Five
Overcoming Dichotomy
Sustainability For-Profit Nonprofit New
Economical ✔ ✘ ✔
Social & !
Environmental ✘ ✔ ✔

49. Dignity

50. Community
Ilya Frankazoid / shutterstock.com

51. Spiking State of Alarm

52. Incumbent systems
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zongli_Yamen#mediaviewer/File:Zongli_Yamen_members_1894.jpg
Bureaucracies

53. Resistant

54. http://bestandworstever.blogspot.it/2012/04/worst-playground-sign-ever.html
Precaution

55. http://pixabay.com/en/mimic-panic-scratch-woman-person-156928/
Panic

56. Overreaction

57. Overreaction

58. Overreaction

59. Overreaction

60. https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Don't_Panic_Badge.jpg
It’s All OK

61. Proactionary

62. Organizations
Networked exponentials

65. Questions
1. Who is an Entrepreneur?
2. Who is a Manager?
3. Who is a Creative (Designer, Engineer)?

66. The average lifespan of an
S&P 500 company has
decreased from 67 years in
the 1920s to 15 years today.

67. Ten Times Better Performance

70. New Information Layers
HTML (text)
Video
Social Profiles
Location
Health Data
Sensor Networks
Internet of Things

71. Unexpected Consequences

73. Unanticipated Communications

74. Video has the broadest
emotional bandwidth

75. 90% of Global Traffic by 2015
Cisco Visual Networking Index: Forecast and Methodology, 2010-2015
Over 60% of doctors
learn from online video
93% take action after
viewing them

76. A billion people to have their own voice to contribute !
to the dialog of the 21st Century, that is very empowering!”

77. Video Discovery
“shield of red shadows”

79. Unmanageable Complexity

81. Unprecedented Value

85. PrinciplesSome

86. Transparency

87. Identity

88. Trust

89. Any
body
where
time
{

90. Open Source
Distributed
Decentralized

91. Searching

92. Topic Area
DepthofExploration
A B C
1
2
…
∞
3
… ∞
Solution Search Space

93. Depth First Search Strategy
A B C
1
2
3
4
5
Topic Area
DepthofExploration
… ∞

94. Breadth First Search Strategy
A B C D E
1
2
3
Topic Area
DepthofExploration
…
∞

95. David Gelb

96. Winning strategy – Jiro Ono
A B C
1
2
…
∞
sushi!
Topic Area
DepthofExploration
Michelin 3-star restaurateur in Tokyo, protagonist of the documentary “Jiro Dreams of Sushi”
3
… ∞

97. cosimoorban

98. Winning strategy – Richard Saul Wurman
A B … ∞
1
2
design!
Topic Area
DepthofExploration
Architect, designer, author of over 80 books, coined “Information architecture”, and created TED
…
∞
3
C

99. Trying

100. The Privilege of Failure
• Social Networks
• Global markets
• Location
• Mobile
“The formula for success?
Double your rate of failure.”
Thomas J. Watson, IBM
“The Internet multiplied a thousandfold our failure rate,
without increasing the cost of our success”
Cory Doctorow

101. The Privilege of Failure

102. Innovating

103. Inventing

104. Questions
Answers
Ignorance

105. Competitiveness
Innovation
Invention!

106. Adapting

107. Adopting

108. davidorban.com
@davidorban
!
@dotsub
@singularityu