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AB C Company, Inc.
Es timate d State me nt of Ope rations
For The Years Ended December 31, 2010. 2011, 2012, and 2013


                                                           Dollars (000's omitte d)                                Pe rce nt (%) of Re ve nue
                                               2010             2011            2012            2013        2010       2011        2012         2013
Re ve nue :
  Installation Revenue                     $      450      $      3,825     $    21,038     $    73,633       77.1%      84.3%       82.3%       80.6%
  Non-Installation Revenue
    Service Fees                           $          89   $       623      $     4,361     $    17,444       15.2%      13.7%       17.1%       19.1%
    Other Non-Installation Revenue         $          45   $           90   $      158      $      237         7.7%       2.0%        0.6%        0.3%


               Total Revenue:              $      584       $    4,538      $   25,557      $   91,314      100.0%     100.0%      100.0%       100.0%


Dire ct Cos ts:
    Installation Costs                     $      338      $      2,678     $    12,623     $    36,817       57.9%      59.0%       49.4%       40.3%
    Non-Installation Costs                 $          38   $       193      $     1,175     $     4,420        6.5%       4.3%        4.6%        4.8%
               Direct Costs:               $      376      $      2,871     $    13,798     $    41,237       64.4%      63.3%       54.0%       45.2%


Othe r Cos t of Se rvice s                 $          88   $       567      $     2,556     $     6,849       15.1%      12.5%       10.0%        7.5%


Gros s M argin ($)                         $      120       $    1,100      $    9,203      $   43,228       20.5%      24.2%       36.0%       47.3%
Gross Margin (%)                                20.5%            24.2%           36.0%           47.3%

Ope rating Expe nse s:
    Sales                                  $      292      $      1,588     $     6,389     $    18,263       50.0%      35.0%       25.0%       20.0%
    Marketing                              $      263      $      1,361     $     5,111     $    13,697       45.0%      30.0%       20.0%       15.0%
    Research & Development                 $      175      $       998      $     2,811     $     8,218       30.0%      22.0%       11.0%        9.0%
    General & Administration               $          44   $       295      $     1,533     $     4,566        7.5%       6.5%        6.0%        5.0%
               Total Operating Expenses:   $      774      $      4,242     $    15,844     $    44,744      132.5%      93.5%       62.0%       49.0%


EBITDA                                     $     (654)      $   (3,142)     $   (6,641)     $   (1,516)     -112.0%     -69.2%     -26.0%        -1.7%


Othe r (Re ve nue ) & Expe ns e s :
    Interest                               $          80   $       156      $          32   $          80     13.7%       3.4%        0.1%        0.1%
    Taxes                                  $          8    $           9    $          11   $          15      1.4%       0.2%        0.0%        0.0%
    Depreciation & Amortization            $          13   $           67   $      268      $      874         2.2%       1.5%        1.0%        1.0%
            Total Other (Revenue) & Expenses
                                         $        101      $       232      $      311      $      969        17.3%       5.1%        1.2%        1.1%


Ne t Income (Loss )                        $     (755)     $    (3,374)     $   (6,952)     $   (2,485)     -129.3%     -74.3%     -27.2%        -2.7%


State me nt Note s :
Re ve nue
    Market 1                               $          43   $      2,320     $    12,205     $    46,232        7.4%      51.1%       47.8%       50.6%
    Market 2                               $      230      $      1,201     $     7,652     $    26,450       39.4%      26.5%       29.9%       29.0%
    Market 3                               $      256      $       932      $     3,250     $    12,658       43.8%      20.5%       12.7%       13.9%
    Market 4                               $          55   $           85   $     2,450     $     5,974        9.4%       1.9%        9.6%        6.5%
Total Re ve nue                            $      584      $     4,538      $   25,557      $   91,314


He adcount
Existing                                   $     13.00     $      18.00     $     61.00     $   298.00
New Hires                                  $      5.00     $      43.00     $    237.00     $   830.00
Total Headcount                            $     18.00     $      61.00     $    298.00     $ 1,128.00

Capital Expe nditure s                     $    126.00     $     424.00     $ 1,584.00      $ 4,474.00




                                                                 COPYRIGHT © 2010
                                                                   COPYRIGHT © 2011
Rule #1:
    If you cannot read the
financial statement from two
     feet away the font is
            too small

(i.e. there are too many details)


             COPYRIGHT © 2011
ABC Company, Inc.
Projected Statement of Operations
For The Years Ended December 31, 2010. 2011, 2012, and 2013


                                                         Dollars (000's omitted)
                                           2010           2011          2012          2013
Revenue:
   Market 1                            $     43.00 $      2,320.00 $ 12,205.00 $ 46,232.00
   Market 2                            $    230.00 $      1,201.00 $    7,652.00 $ 26,450.00
   Market 3                            $    256.00 $        932.00 $    3,250.00 $ 12,658.00
   Market 4                            $     55.00 $         85.00 $    2,450.00 $    5,974.00
Total Revenue                          $ 584.00      $ 4,538.00      $ 25,557.00   $ 91,314.00


Gross Margin ($)                       $ 120.00      $ 1,100.00      $ 9,203.00    $ 43,228.00
Gross Margin (%)                            20.5%            24.2%         36.0%         47.3%

Operating Expenses:
   Sales & Marketing                   $    555.00 $      2,949.00 $ 11,500.00 $ 31,960.00
   Research & Development              $    175.00 $        998.00 $    2,811.00 $    8,218.00
   General & Administration            $     44.00 $        295.00 $    1,533.00 $    4,566.00
           Total Operating Expenses:   $    774.00 $      4,242.00   $ 15,844.00   $ 44,744.00


Other Expense/(Income)                 $    101.00   $      232.00 $      311.00 $      969.00
Net Income (Loss)                      $ (755.00) $ (3,374.00) $ (6,952.00) $ (2,485.00)


Stateme nt Notes:
Headcount
Existing                               $     13.00 $         18.00 $       61.00 $      298.00
New Hires                              $      5.00 $         43.00 $      237.00 $      830.00
Total Headcount                        $     18.00 $         61.00 $      298.00 $    1,128.00

Capital Expenditures                   $    126.00 $        424.00 $    1,584.00 $    4,474.00
                                           COPYRIGHT © 2011
Rule #2:
Pennies are only for
accounting auditors




       COPYRIGHT © 2011
“Before you can sprint you
 must learn how to crawl”
          Usain Bolt
 (Olympic Gold Medalist 100 meters)




             COPYRIGHT © 2011
ABC Company, Inc.
Estimate d State ment of Operations
For The Years Ended December 31, 2010. 2011, 2012, and 2013

                                                          Dollars (000's omitte d)
                                            2010           2011           2012             2013
Revenue:
   Market 1                            $           43 $       2,320 $      12,205 $         46,232
   Market 2                            $       230 $          1,201 $       7,652 $         26,450
   Market 3                            $       256 $            932 $       3,250 $         12,658
   Market 4                            $           55 $           85 $      2,450 $          5,974
Total Reve nue                         $      584     $      4,538    $    25,557      $    91,314


Gross Margin ($)                        $     120     $      1,100    $     9,203      $    43,228
Gross Margin (%)                             20.5%            24.2%         36.0%            47.3%

Ope rating Expense s:
   Sales & Marketing                   $       555 $          2,949 $      11,500 $         31,960
   Research & Development              $       175 $            998 $       2,811 $          8,218
   General & Administration            $           44 $         295 $       1,533 $          4,566
           Total Operating Expenses:    $      774    $       4,242   $    15,844      $    44,744


Other Expense/(Income)                  $      101 $            232   $          311   $          969
Net Income (Loss)                      $      (755) $        (3,374) $     (6,952) $        (2,485)


Statement Notes:
Headcount
Existing                               $           13 $           18 $            61 $         298
New Hires                              $            5 $           43 $           237 $         830
Total Headcount                        $           18 $           61 $           298 $       1,128

Capital Expe nditure s                 $       126 $            424 $       1,584 $          4,474




                                       COPYRIGHT © 2011
Rule #3:
Use $ (dollar signs) on the
 first and last row only.

 Unless, of course, you are
mixing rows of $ and %, etc.


           COPYRIGHT © 2011
FORMAT CREDIBILITY
The presentation format does
 not interfere with (or create
    noise for) the reader



            COPYRIGHT © 2011
ABC Company, Inc.
Projected Statement of Operations
For The Years Ended December 31, 2010 through 2013

                                                         Dollars


Revenue:
   Market 1                            $     43 $     2,320 $      12,205 $    46,232
   Market 2                                  230       1201          7652       26450
   Market 3                                  256        932          3250       12658
   Market 4                                   55         85          2450        5974
Total Revenue                               584        4538        25557       91314


Gross Margin ($)                            120        1100          9203      43228
Gross Margin (%)                           20.5%      24.2%         36.0%       47.3%

Operating Expenses:
   Sales & Marketing                         555       2949         11500       31960
   Research & Development                    175        998          2811        8218
   General & Administration                   44        295          1533        4566
           Total Operating Expenses:         774       4242         15844       44744


Other Expense/(Income)                       101        232           311         969
Net Income (Loss)                      $   (755) $   (3,374) $     (6,952) $   (2,485)


Statement Notes:
Headcount
Existing                                     13         18            61          298
New Hires                                     5         43           237          830
Total Headcount                              18         61           298        1,128

Capital Expenditures                   $    126 $      424 $        1,584 $     4,474
                                              COPYRIGHT © 2011
Rule #4:
 Use column headings that
        make sense

(and there are violators of this in the room)




                  COPYRIGHT © 2011
Rule #5:
  Numbers with thousands or
  millions must have commas

This:     54,556
Not this: 54556



            COPYRIGHT © 2011
ABC Company, Inc.
Projecte d Statement of Operations
For The Years Ended December 31, 2010 through 2013


                                                                     Dollars
                                              2010           2011            2012             2013
                    Revenue:
                      Market 1            $          43 $         2,320 $         12,205 $         46,232
                      Market 2                   230              1,201            7,652           26,450
                      Market 3                   256                932            3,250           12,658
                      Market 4                       55              85            2,450            5,974
                Total Revenue                   584               4,538        25,557             91,314


                  Gross Margin ($)              120               1,100           9,203           43,228
                   Gross Margin (%) 20.5%                 24.2%           36.0%            47.3%

              Operating Expense s:
                   Sales & Marketing 555                     2,949                 11,500 31,960
            Research & Development 175                        998                   2,811 8,218
            General & Administration 44                       295                   1,533 4,566
           Total Operating Expenses: 774                     4,242                 15,844 44,744


            Other Expense/(Income)               101                232             311               969
                   Net Income (Loss) $          (755) $       (3,374) $           (6,952) $        (2,485)


                  S t at em ent Not es:
                          Headcount
                             Exis t ing              13              18              61               298
                           New Hir es                 5              43             237               830
                    Tot al Headc ount                18              61             298             1,128

               Capital Expenditure s $           126 $              424 $          1,584 $          4,474

                                              COPYRIGHT © 2011
Rule #6:
 Don’t mix fonts


  Or font   size……
And do not use a silly font

            COPYRIGHT © 2011
Rule #7:
   Text is left justified
Numbers are right justified

Violators confuse the reader




           COPYRIGHT © 2011
Rule #8:
    Do not overdo color
             and
Do not highlight in




                              Use Spot color!

           COPYRIGHT © 2011
Rule #9:
Round your numbers to the
   nearest thousand for
      presentations
 Thank you Joe Caruso for this suggestion




                COPYRIGHT © 2011
Rule #10:
     Spelle Check
And do not tell me you relied
     on Microsoft…….




           COPYRIGHT © 2011
Financial Forecast in
 your Slide deck is a
  Marketing Effort!
       (Huh)?


        COPYRIGHT © 2011
• Provide cost-effective outsourced (part-time)
  CFO support
• Clients range from pre-revenue startups to later
  stage privately held companies
• Goal = provide strategic financial advice and
  handle all accounting/ financial matters so the
  entrepreneurs can focus on driving the business




                     COPYRIGHT © 2011
David Fogel, CPA
Serial entrepreneurial CFO
Principal of Swifton CFOs LLC (circa 2009)
Experience with high tech companies ranging from biotech
to telecom services to healthcare IT to social media to…
Adjunct Instructor of WPI MBA Program
Judge & Mentor:
Sponsor:
Associations:




                       COPYRIGHT © 2011
Developing The Financial Forecast
 1. Defined

 2. What about the assumptions?

 3. Creating the sales forecast

 4. Spreading the numbers

 5. Creating the statements

                  COPYRIGHT © 2011
Ty Danco
     Member, Mass Medical Angels
     Member, North Country Angels

"I'll never believe your revenue numbers
anyway, but I sure want to scrutinize your
        assumptions and expenses!"




                 COPYRIGHT © 2011
Developing The Financial Forecast

 1.What are financial projections?
 Collection of statements that present
 your business in numbers (IS, BS, CF, Cap)

 “Does the story make sense?”
 “Does the story add up?”



                  COPYRIGHT © 2011
Set your goals from top down
               but…..
Prepare the model from the bottom up
           then….start over
      with your top down goals




              COPYRIGHT © 2011
Developing The Financial Forecast
2. What about the assumptions?
Document the source of each number you produce - Why?
   - Knowledge of the assumptions proves that the
     entrepreneur understands the business
   - Prove it to yourself

Sources of assumptions
   - Estimated or best guess (really try not to SWAG)
   - Desired goal to be obtained
   - Primary market research – surveys, vendor quotes
   - Second market research – purchased or gov’t information


                        COPYRIGHT © 2011
Developing The Financial Forecast
 2. What about the assumptions? (part 2)
 Start-up costs (uses of $)
 Financing (sources of $)
 Capital expenditures (costs with >1 yr life)
 Fixed expense (cost of being in business)
 Variable expense (cost of doing business)
 Projected sales (anticipated revenue earned)
 Cash flow (anticipated $ received and spent)



                    COPYRIGHT © 2011
Start-up cost assumptions
• Expenses up to the point when you are open
  for business…….which is when?
• List all the uses of money – describe exactly
  how spent
• Two types: Fixed assets & Working Capital
• Examples?
     Fixed Assets = Equipment, Furniture
     Working Capital = Rental deposits, Insurance

                      COPYRIGHT © 2011
Financing assumptions
• Sources where $ will come from
• Where?
     Entrepreneur and team
     F&F
     Bank loan (though not likely for start-ups)
     Debt from owner or outside creditor
     Non-dilutive financing (maybe               )
     Equity capital
• For loan – know amount, terms of repayment
  (mos), and rate of interest or return

                      COPYRIGHT © 2011
Capital Expenditures
                 (aka Fixed Assets)
• Costs that have a “lifetime” greater than one year
  AND an individual or collective cost greater than $2k
• Predict some fixed assets by headcount, some by
  significant changes in sales volume, some by
  changes in product lines, etc.
• Examples: Leasehold improvements, Furniture &
  fixtures, Machinery
• Note: Probably expense the PCs & Macs & iPads
   (but try to keep track of them anyway)




                               COPYRIGHT © 2011
Fixed cost assumptions
• Costs of being in business
• Do not vary by sales volume (i.e. day-to-day)
• But DO increase as the business scales
• Create fixed cost projections on monthly basis
• Research through correspondence with outside
  vendors
• Record the source & amount from each
  vendor……..
• Examples: Rent, Utilities, Salaries, Benefits,
  Marketing expenses, Administrative expenses

                     COPYRIGHT © 2011
Variable cost assumptions
• Costs of doing business
• May vary directly with sales volume
• DO increase as the business scales
• Expenses incurred with the next “unit” of
  product or service
• Research through correspondence with outside
  vendors
• Examples: Materials, direct/indirect labor, and
  shipping costs


                     COPYRIGHT © 2011
Projected sales assumptions
What product(s) and/or service(s)
Quantities
Price
When (seasonality/cyclicality)?
T&C’s




             COPYRIGHT © 2011
Cash flow assumptions
• Convert your business activity to cash activity
• When will cash be collected from customers?
        May vary by product line and by customer
        Generally assume 45 days---though currently
        customers are extending to 60 days
• When do you pay your vendor’s invoices?
        May vary by product line and by vendor
        Generally assume 30-45 days
        Need to create “referenceable” vendors

                     COPYRIGHT © 2011
INTERMISSION
Developing The Financial Forecast

 3. Creating the sales forecast
 BEST - Predict by customer as detailed as
 possible
 ….but include customer turnover

 BETTER – Predict by market



                   COPYRIGHT © 2011
Developing The Financial Forecast
 3. Creating the sales forecast (part 2)

 How do I start? Market research
   • Gov’t resources
         US Census Bureau
         IRS Statistical Data
   • Trade association
   • Primary & secondary research

 Select your geography

                   COPYRIGHT © 2011
Developing The Financial Forecast
 3. Creating the sales forecast (part 2)
  Predict by client (customer) types
     • By market
     • By size
  Then ID certain characteristics
                        Small      Medium Large
                        Client     Client Client
   Average Hours Per    4 Hours 8 Hours      16 Hours
   Week
   Average Contract $   $500       $1,250    $2,500
   Per Week



                          COPYRIGHT © 2011
Developing The Financial Forecast
 3. Creating the sales forecast (part 3)
Predict using Sales staff
  • Assume lag time (3-6 mos.)
  • Estimate the pipeline
     • # of calls / meetings per staff
     • # of sales per staff
  • Remember: Not all staff start same date
  • Spread out the volume by month – with
    realistic goals
  • ….Consider turnover of sales staff

                   COPYRIGHT © 2011
Forecast Trap:
Why they call them “Gross Sales”
 • Returns
 • Discounts
 • Rebates
 • Chargebacks
 • Markdowns



            COPYRIGHT © 2011
Forecast Trap:

      Do not over-estimate
       first year revenue
(what, we can’t sell millions in first month?)




                   COPYRIGHT © 2011
Developing The Financial Forecast
    4. Spreading the Numbers
• Yes, you need to do it monthly -- for the entire period
• No flat numbers – consider the meaning – use %
  increases or $ per some type of unit
• Think: As headcount increases rent increases (just
  not variably)
• Start with revenue, then cost of services



                        COPYRIGHT © 2011
Tip:
              Integration
Must use an integrated model

Headcount added
Payroll and benefits calculation
Summarized employee costs
Income Statement
Cash Flow


                COPYRIGHT © 2011
Tip:
       Use Rounding

Use the MS Excel “rounding
function” --- otherwise your
  numbers may not add up



          COPYRIGHT © 2011
Question?

Is the methodology
  Accrual or Cash?




      COPYRIGHT © 2011
Tip:
If you want to be taken seriously do
       not use round numbers

This:     53,567
Not this: 50,000



             COPYRIGHT © 2011
Tip:
     Project payroll & benefits in detail

• Payroll & benefits are often the most costly
  expense yet they are often neglected

• Project monthly to handle startdates correctly

• Match additions of people with milestones



                    COPYRIGHT © 2011
Tip:
  Projection Numbers are not separate from
               the Company Plans

Company Plans

    Milestone   Projects         Responsible   Revenue/   Dates
                                                 Cost




                           COPYRIGHT © 2011
Tip:
    Be careful with Depreciation and
            Interest expense
• Depreciation is a non-cash expense – do
  not include in cash flow
    (we’ll worry about how to calculate this when you come see me)


• Interest expense does not include the
  principal portion of your payment



                           COPYRIGHT © 2011
Ben Littauer
  Member, Boston Harbor Angels

"I like to see a business model spreadsheet with
 the assumptions clearly called out as variables.
    Then I can twiddle the knobs and see how
     sensitive profits are to the assumptions."




                    COPYRIGHT © 2011
Multiple Model Trap:
          One investor model,
        Multiple options (triggers)

But…why not?

You will make fundamental changes in the
base model and then forget to make similar
changes on the “other scenario models”


                 COPYRIGHT © 2011
Tip:
             Don’t forget the…..
Sales commissions – Direct connect them to your
sales staff’s (or sales rep) sales
Bonuses – Include with payroll
Recruiting expenses – Peg them to change in new
employees
Debt - Many forget to include Interest Expense on
the income statement even though the Company
has incurred Debt


                    COPYRIGHT © 2011
Presentation Suggestions

Steady, consistent evolution of the model
         Revenue growth in $
         Expenses over time in %
Know the % change for major components
     (and be able to explain them)

Do not allocate G&A/Facilities expenses
Show depreciation separately (non-cash)

                           COPYRIGHT © 2011
Tip:
              Reasonableness
1. Once you think you are done take the
   smell test --- Do the numbers really make
   sense (i.e. can you really increase revenue
   w/o an increase in costs)?
2. Do the Like-Kind test. Compare your
   “metrics” versus your competition



                  COPYRIGHT © 2011
Creating the Statements

1. Consider it a Marketing Effort
2. Present the Pro-Forma Financial
   Statement
3. Graph the Revenues, Income, and Cash
4. Present the Headcount



                COPYRIGHT © 2011
ABC Co.
($ 000's omitted)
                                        2010           2011       2012         2013         2014        Income
Pro Forma Financial Statement
Revenue                             $      -         $ 1,875     $ 44,953    $ 108,238    $ 180,161
                                                                                                       Statement
Cost of Service                            -           1,162       12,739        5,369          -
Gross Margin                               -             712       32,214      102,868      180,161
                                                          38%          72%         95%         100%
Operating Expenses
Employee Costs                          1,303           2,972       3,587        4,198        4,379
Professional Fees                         253             637       1,780        1,230        1,135
Marketing & Travel                         61             525       2,340          293          658
Administrative Expenses                    60              55         232           41           47
Development & Pilot Manufacturing         409             819         262          965        1,733
Facility & Other                          195             801       1,206        1,612        2,023
Total Expenses                          2,282           5,807       9,407        8,340        9,976

Depreciation & Amortization                 42             98         301          590          791
EBIT                                    (2,324)        (5,193)     22,507       93,939      169,394
                                                                                                       Cash Flow
Net Income                              (2,639)        (5,411)     16,893       55,530      100,603
                                               0%       -289%          38%         51%          56%    Statement
Pro Forma Cash Flow
Cash from   Operations                  (2,597)        (5,313)     17,193       56,120      101,393
Cash from   Working Capital                (31)          (936)     (2,879)      (2,754)      (3,437)
Cash from   Investments                    (57)          (297)     (1,052)        (607)        (600)
Cash from   Financing                    7,000            -        42,000          -            -

Net Cash Flow                         4,315            (6,545)     55,262       52,759       97,357
Ending Cash                         $ 6,644          $     99    $ 55,360    $ 108,119    $ 205,476


                                                    COPYRIGHT © 2011
ABC Company – Financials by Year
                                       ($ 000’s omitted)

$225,000                                                           Seeking $250k Investment
            Milestone #1
            Prototype


$175,000
                       Milestone #2
                       Pilots


                                        Milestone #3
$125,000                                Commercialization
                                                                                              Revenue
                                                                                              Income
                                                                                              Cash
 $75,000




 $25,000



                2010             2011          2012         2013      2014

($25,000)



                                             COPYRIGHT © 2011
ABC Co.                    Headcount Summary
                    2010       2011        2012    2013   2014


Manufacturing         -                1       1      1       1
Sales & Marketing     -           -            1      4       4
Research                   7       19         19     19      19
Executive/Admin            3        8          9      9       9
International         -             1          2      3       4
Total                  10          29         32     36      37




                    COPYRIGHT © 2011
ABC Co.              Headcount Summary
                     2010        2011        2012        2013        2014                                                   For your review
Manufacturing
Sales & Marketing
                       -
                       -            -
                                      1          1
                                                 1
                                                             1
                                                             4
                                                                         1
                                                                         4
                                                                                                                             only. Not for
Research                    7        19         19          19          19
Executive/Admin             3         8          9           9           9                                                   presentation
International          -              1          2           3           4
Total                   10           29         32          36          37


2010                Jan, 10     Fe b, 10    Mar, 10     Apr, 10     May, 10     Jun, 10    Jul, 10    Aug, 10    Sep, 10    Oct, 10    Nov, 10    De c, 10
Manufacturing          -            -           -          -            -          -          -          -          -          -          -           -
Sales & Marketing      -            -           -          -            -          -          -          -          -          -          -           -
Research                    7           7           7           7           7          7          7          7          7          7          7           7
Executive/Admin             2           2           3           3           3          3          3          3          3          3          3           3
International          -            -           -          -            -          -          -          -          -          -          -           -
Total                       9           9        10         10           10         10         10         10         10         10         10          10

2011                Jan, 11     Fe b, 11    Mar, 11     Apr, 11     May, 11     Jun, 11    Jul, 11    Aug, 11    Sep, 11    Oct, 11    Nov, 11    De c, 11
Manufacturing               1           1           1           1           1          1          1          1          1          1          1         1
Sales & Marketing      -            -           -          -            -          -          -          -          -          -          -           -
Research
Executive/Admin
                        19
                         4
                                     19
                                      4
                                                 19
                                                  4
                                                            19
                                                             4
                                                                         19
                                                                          4
                                                                                    19
                                                                                     5
                                                                                               19
                                                                                                7
                                                                                                          19
                                                                                                           7
                                                                                                                     19
                                                                                                                      7
                                                                                                                                19
                                                                                                                                 8
                                                                                                                                           19
                                                                                                                                            8
                                                                                                                                                       19
                                                                                                                                                        8      Looking at the
International          -            -           -          -            -            1          1          1          1          1          1           1
Total                   24           24          24         24           24         26         28         28         28         29         29          29         monthly
2012
Manufacturing
                    Jan, 12
                            1
                                Fe b, 12
                                        1
                                            Mar, 12
                                                    1
                                                        Apr, 12
                                                                1
                                                                    May, 12
                                                                            1
                                                                                Jun, 12
                                                                                       1
                                                                                           Jul, 12
                                                                                                  1
                                                                                                      Aug, 12
                                                                                                             1
                                                                                                                 Sep, 12
                                                                                                                        1
                                                                                                                            Oct, 12
                                                                                                                                   1
                                                                                                                                       Nov, 12
                                                                                                                                            1
                                                                                                                                                  De c, 12
                                                                                                                                                        1
                                                                                                                                                              headcount helps
Sales & Marketing
Research
                       -
                        19
                                    -
                                     19
                                                -
                                                 19
                                                           -
                                                            19
                                                                        -
                                                                         19
                                                                                   -
                                                                                    19
                                                                                              -
                                                                                               19
                                                                                                         -
                                                                                                          19
                                                                                                                    -
                                                                                                                     19
                                                                                                                               -
                                                                                                                                19
                                                                                                                                            1
                                                                                                                                           19
                                                                                                                                                        1
                                                                                                                                                       19
                                                                                                                                                              you find obvious
Executive/Admin
International
                         9
                         1
                                      9
                                      1
                                                  9
                                                  1
                                                             9
                                                             1
                                                                          9
                                                                          1
                                                                                     9
                                                                                     2
                                                                                                9
                                                                                                2
                                                                                                           9
                                                                                                           2
                                                                                                                      9
                                                                                                                      2
                                                                                                                                 9
                                                                                                                                 2
                                                                                                                                            9
                                                                                                                                            2
                                                                                                                                                        9
                                                                                                                                                        2      discrepancies
Total                   30           30          30         30           30         31         31         31         31         31         32          32

2013                Jan, 13     Fe b, 13    Mar, 13     Apr, 13     May, 13     Jun, 13    Jul, 13    Aug, 13    Sep, 13    Oct, 13    Nov, 13    De c, 13
Manufacturing            1            1          1           1           1           1          1          1          1          1          1           1
Sales & Marketing        1            1          2           2           3           3          4          4          4          4          4           4
Research                19           19         19          19          19          19         19         19         19         19         19          19
Executive/Admin          9            9          9           9           9           9          9          9          9          9          9           9
International            2            2          3           3           3           3          3          3          3          3          3           3
Total                   32           32         34          34          35          35         36         36         36         36         36          36

2014                Jan, 14     Fe b, 14    Mar, 14     Apr, 14     May, 14     Jun, 14    Jul, 14    Aug, 14    Sep, 14    Oct, 14    Nov, 14    De c, 14
Manufacturing            1            1          1           1           1           1          1          1          1          1          1           1
Sales & Marketing        4            4          4           4           4           4          4          4          4          4          4           4
Research                19           19         19          19          19          19         19         19         19         19         19          19
Executive/Admin          9            9          9           9           9           9          9          9          9          9          9           9
International            4            4          4           4           4           4          4          4          4          4          4           4
Total                   37           37         37          37          37          37         37         37         37         37         37          37

                                                                       COPYRIGHT © 2011
More on charts and tables……

1. Explain the sales & distribution model
   (…so about those 90% margins)
2. Key events to next funding round
3. Cash flow cycle




                COPYRIGHT © 2011
Universal Truths:

1. Project monthly, Present annually
2. Projections constantly change,
   let them. Not an annual exercise.
   Develop as a monthly exercise.
3. Financials must be consistent with rest
   of presentation
4. Do not need to be hung up with GAAP,
   but….don’t go rogue

                    COPYRIGHT © 2011
Even More Universal Truths:
5. Be consistent – Don’t portray cost
   categories (or individuals)
   differently by year
6. Have “Checks”
7. P&L Income ≠ Cash Flow
   (we know this right?)




               COPYRIGHT © 2011
Developing The Financial Forecast
Contact Information:




Email:
Website:
Twitter:

Phone:
Cell:



                 COPYRIGHT © 2010
COPYRIGHT © 2010

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Swifton CFOs - McCarter English - Fin Proj 100511

  • 1. AB C Company, Inc. Es timate d State me nt of Ope rations For The Years Ended December 31, 2010. 2011, 2012, and 2013 Dollars (000's omitte d) Pe rce nt (%) of Re ve nue 2010 2011 2012 2013 2010 2011 2012 2013 Re ve nue : Installation Revenue $ 450 $ 3,825 $ 21,038 $ 73,633 77.1% 84.3% 82.3% 80.6% Non-Installation Revenue Service Fees $ 89 $ 623 $ 4,361 $ 17,444 15.2% 13.7% 17.1% 19.1% Other Non-Installation Revenue $ 45 $ 90 $ 158 $ 237 7.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.3% Total Revenue: $ 584 $ 4,538 $ 25,557 $ 91,314 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Dire ct Cos ts: Installation Costs $ 338 $ 2,678 $ 12,623 $ 36,817 57.9% 59.0% 49.4% 40.3% Non-Installation Costs $ 38 $ 193 $ 1,175 $ 4,420 6.5% 4.3% 4.6% 4.8% Direct Costs: $ 376 $ 2,871 $ 13,798 $ 41,237 64.4% 63.3% 54.0% 45.2% Othe r Cos t of Se rvice s $ 88 $ 567 $ 2,556 $ 6,849 15.1% 12.5% 10.0% 7.5% Gros s M argin ($) $ 120 $ 1,100 $ 9,203 $ 43,228 20.5% 24.2% 36.0% 47.3% Gross Margin (%) 20.5% 24.2% 36.0% 47.3% Ope rating Expe nse s: Sales $ 292 $ 1,588 $ 6,389 $ 18,263 50.0% 35.0% 25.0% 20.0% Marketing $ 263 $ 1,361 $ 5,111 $ 13,697 45.0% 30.0% 20.0% 15.0% Research & Development $ 175 $ 998 $ 2,811 $ 8,218 30.0% 22.0% 11.0% 9.0% General & Administration $ 44 $ 295 $ 1,533 $ 4,566 7.5% 6.5% 6.0% 5.0% Total Operating Expenses: $ 774 $ 4,242 $ 15,844 $ 44,744 132.5% 93.5% 62.0% 49.0% EBITDA $ (654) $ (3,142) $ (6,641) $ (1,516) -112.0% -69.2% -26.0% -1.7% Othe r (Re ve nue ) & Expe ns e s : Interest $ 80 $ 156 $ 32 $ 80 13.7% 3.4% 0.1% 0.1% Taxes $ 8 $ 9 $ 11 $ 15 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% Depreciation & Amortization $ 13 $ 67 $ 268 $ 874 2.2% 1.5% 1.0% 1.0% Total Other (Revenue) & Expenses $ 101 $ 232 $ 311 $ 969 17.3% 5.1% 1.2% 1.1% Ne t Income (Loss ) $ (755) $ (3,374) $ (6,952) $ (2,485) -129.3% -74.3% -27.2% -2.7% State me nt Note s : Re ve nue Market 1 $ 43 $ 2,320 $ 12,205 $ 46,232 7.4% 51.1% 47.8% 50.6% Market 2 $ 230 $ 1,201 $ 7,652 $ 26,450 39.4% 26.5% 29.9% 29.0% Market 3 $ 256 $ 932 $ 3,250 $ 12,658 43.8% 20.5% 12.7% 13.9% Market 4 $ 55 $ 85 $ 2,450 $ 5,974 9.4% 1.9% 9.6% 6.5% Total Re ve nue $ 584 $ 4,538 $ 25,557 $ 91,314 He adcount Existing $ 13.00 $ 18.00 $ 61.00 $ 298.00 New Hires $ 5.00 $ 43.00 $ 237.00 $ 830.00 Total Headcount $ 18.00 $ 61.00 $ 298.00 $ 1,128.00 Capital Expe nditure s $ 126.00 $ 424.00 $ 1,584.00 $ 4,474.00 COPYRIGHT © 2010 COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 2. Rule #1: If you cannot read the financial statement from two feet away the font is too small (i.e. there are too many details) COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 3. ABC Company, Inc. Projected Statement of Operations For The Years Ended December 31, 2010. 2011, 2012, and 2013 Dollars (000's omitted) 2010 2011 2012 2013 Revenue: Market 1 $ 43.00 $ 2,320.00 $ 12,205.00 $ 46,232.00 Market 2 $ 230.00 $ 1,201.00 $ 7,652.00 $ 26,450.00 Market 3 $ 256.00 $ 932.00 $ 3,250.00 $ 12,658.00 Market 4 $ 55.00 $ 85.00 $ 2,450.00 $ 5,974.00 Total Revenue $ 584.00 $ 4,538.00 $ 25,557.00 $ 91,314.00 Gross Margin ($) $ 120.00 $ 1,100.00 $ 9,203.00 $ 43,228.00 Gross Margin (%) 20.5% 24.2% 36.0% 47.3% Operating Expenses: Sales & Marketing $ 555.00 $ 2,949.00 $ 11,500.00 $ 31,960.00 Research & Development $ 175.00 $ 998.00 $ 2,811.00 $ 8,218.00 General & Administration $ 44.00 $ 295.00 $ 1,533.00 $ 4,566.00 Total Operating Expenses: $ 774.00 $ 4,242.00 $ 15,844.00 $ 44,744.00 Other Expense/(Income) $ 101.00 $ 232.00 $ 311.00 $ 969.00 Net Income (Loss) $ (755.00) $ (3,374.00) $ (6,952.00) $ (2,485.00) Stateme nt Notes: Headcount Existing $ 13.00 $ 18.00 $ 61.00 $ 298.00 New Hires $ 5.00 $ 43.00 $ 237.00 $ 830.00 Total Headcount $ 18.00 $ 61.00 $ 298.00 $ 1,128.00 Capital Expenditures $ 126.00 $ 424.00 $ 1,584.00 $ 4,474.00 COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 4. Rule #2: Pennies are only for accounting auditors COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 5. “Before you can sprint you must learn how to crawl” Usain Bolt (Olympic Gold Medalist 100 meters) COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 6. ABC Company, Inc. Estimate d State ment of Operations For The Years Ended December 31, 2010. 2011, 2012, and 2013 Dollars (000's omitte d) 2010 2011 2012 2013 Revenue: Market 1 $ 43 $ 2,320 $ 12,205 $ 46,232 Market 2 $ 230 $ 1,201 $ 7,652 $ 26,450 Market 3 $ 256 $ 932 $ 3,250 $ 12,658 Market 4 $ 55 $ 85 $ 2,450 $ 5,974 Total Reve nue $ 584 $ 4,538 $ 25,557 $ 91,314 Gross Margin ($) $ 120 $ 1,100 $ 9,203 $ 43,228 Gross Margin (%) 20.5% 24.2% 36.0% 47.3% Ope rating Expense s: Sales & Marketing $ 555 $ 2,949 $ 11,500 $ 31,960 Research & Development $ 175 $ 998 $ 2,811 $ 8,218 General & Administration $ 44 $ 295 $ 1,533 $ 4,566 Total Operating Expenses: $ 774 $ 4,242 $ 15,844 $ 44,744 Other Expense/(Income) $ 101 $ 232 $ 311 $ 969 Net Income (Loss) $ (755) $ (3,374) $ (6,952) $ (2,485) Statement Notes: Headcount Existing $ 13 $ 18 $ 61 $ 298 New Hires $ 5 $ 43 $ 237 $ 830 Total Headcount $ 18 $ 61 $ 298 $ 1,128 Capital Expe nditure s $ 126 $ 424 $ 1,584 $ 4,474 COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 7. Rule #3: Use $ (dollar signs) on the first and last row only. Unless, of course, you are mixing rows of $ and %, etc. COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 8. FORMAT CREDIBILITY The presentation format does not interfere with (or create noise for) the reader COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 9. ABC Company, Inc. Projected Statement of Operations For The Years Ended December 31, 2010 through 2013 Dollars Revenue: Market 1 $ 43 $ 2,320 $ 12,205 $ 46,232 Market 2 230 1201 7652 26450 Market 3 256 932 3250 12658 Market 4 55 85 2450 5974 Total Revenue 584 4538 25557 91314 Gross Margin ($) 120 1100 9203 43228 Gross Margin (%) 20.5% 24.2% 36.0% 47.3% Operating Expenses: Sales & Marketing 555 2949 11500 31960 Research & Development 175 998 2811 8218 General & Administration 44 295 1533 4566 Total Operating Expenses: 774 4242 15844 44744 Other Expense/(Income) 101 232 311 969 Net Income (Loss) $ (755) $ (3,374) $ (6,952) $ (2,485) Statement Notes: Headcount Existing 13 18 61 298 New Hires 5 43 237 830 Total Headcount 18 61 298 1,128 Capital Expenditures $ 126 $ 424 $ 1,584 $ 4,474 COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 10. Rule #4: Use column headings that make sense (and there are violators of this in the room) COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 11. Rule #5: Numbers with thousands or millions must have commas This: 54,556 Not this: 54556 COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 12. ABC Company, Inc. Projecte d Statement of Operations For The Years Ended December 31, 2010 through 2013 Dollars 2010 2011 2012 2013 Revenue: Market 1 $ 43 $ 2,320 $ 12,205 $ 46,232 Market 2 230 1,201 7,652 26,450 Market 3 256 932 3,250 12,658 Market 4 55 85 2,450 5,974 Total Revenue 584 4,538 25,557 91,314 Gross Margin ($) 120 1,100 9,203 43,228 Gross Margin (%) 20.5% 24.2% 36.0% 47.3% Operating Expense s: Sales & Marketing 555 2,949 11,500 31,960 Research & Development 175 998 2,811 8,218 General & Administration 44 295 1,533 4,566 Total Operating Expenses: 774 4,242 15,844 44,744 Other Expense/(Income) 101 232 311 969 Net Income (Loss) $ (755) $ (3,374) $ (6,952) $ (2,485) S t at em ent Not es: Headcount Exis t ing 13 18 61 298 New Hir es 5 43 237 830 Tot al Headc ount 18 61 298 1,128 Capital Expenditure s $ 126 $ 424 $ 1,584 $ 4,474 COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 13. Rule #6: Don’t mix fonts Or font size…… And do not use a silly font COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 14. Rule #7: Text is left justified Numbers are right justified Violators confuse the reader COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 15. Rule #8: Do not overdo color and Do not highlight in Use Spot color! COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 16. Rule #9: Round your numbers to the nearest thousand for presentations Thank you Joe Caruso for this suggestion COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 17. Rule #10: Spelle Check And do not tell me you relied on Microsoft……. COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 18. Financial Forecast in your Slide deck is a Marketing Effort! (Huh)? COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 19. • Provide cost-effective outsourced (part-time) CFO support • Clients range from pre-revenue startups to later stage privately held companies • Goal = provide strategic financial advice and handle all accounting/ financial matters so the entrepreneurs can focus on driving the business COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 20. David Fogel, CPA Serial entrepreneurial CFO Principal of Swifton CFOs LLC (circa 2009) Experience with high tech companies ranging from biotech to telecom services to healthcare IT to social media to… Adjunct Instructor of WPI MBA Program Judge & Mentor: Sponsor: Associations: COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 21. Developing The Financial Forecast 1. Defined 2. What about the assumptions? 3. Creating the sales forecast 4. Spreading the numbers 5. Creating the statements COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 22. Ty Danco Member, Mass Medical Angels Member, North Country Angels "I'll never believe your revenue numbers anyway, but I sure want to scrutinize your assumptions and expenses!" COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 23. Developing The Financial Forecast 1.What are financial projections? Collection of statements that present your business in numbers (IS, BS, CF, Cap) “Does the story make sense?” “Does the story add up?” COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 24. Set your goals from top down but….. Prepare the model from the bottom up then….start over with your top down goals COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 25. Developing The Financial Forecast 2. What about the assumptions? Document the source of each number you produce - Why? - Knowledge of the assumptions proves that the entrepreneur understands the business - Prove it to yourself Sources of assumptions - Estimated or best guess (really try not to SWAG) - Desired goal to be obtained - Primary market research – surveys, vendor quotes - Second market research – purchased or gov’t information COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 26. Developing The Financial Forecast 2. What about the assumptions? (part 2) Start-up costs (uses of $) Financing (sources of $) Capital expenditures (costs with >1 yr life) Fixed expense (cost of being in business) Variable expense (cost of doing business) Projected sales (anticipated revenue earned) Cash flow (anticipated $ received and spent) COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 27. Start-up cost assumptions • Expenses up to the point when you are open for business…….which is when? • List all the uses of money – describe exactly how spent • Two types: Fixed assets & Working Capital • Examples? Fixed Assets = Equipment, Furniture Working Capital = Rental deposits, Insurance COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 28. Financing assumptions • Sources where $ will come from • Where? Entrepreneur and team F&F Bank loan (though not likely for start-ups) Debt from owner or outside creditor Non-dilutive financing (maybe ) Equity capital • For loan – know amount, terms of repayment (mos), and rate of interest or return COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 29. Capital Expenditures (aka Fixed Assets) • Costs that have a “lifetime” greater than one year AND an individual or collective cost greater than $2k • Predict some fixed assets by headcount, some by significant changes in sales volume, some by changes in product lines, etc. • Examples: Leasehold improvements, Furniture & fixtures, Machinery • Note: Probably expense the PCs & Macs & iPads (but try to keep track of them anyway) COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 30. Fixed cost assumptions • Costs of being in business • Do not vary by sales volume (i.e. day-to-day) • But DO increase as the business scales • Create fixed cost projections on monthly basis • Research through correspondence with outside vendors • Record the source & amount from each vendor…….. • Examples: Rent, Utilities, Salaries, Benefits, Marketing expenses, Administrative expenses COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 31. Variable cost assumptions • Costs of doing business • May vary directly with sales volume • DO increase as the business scales • Expenses incurred with the next “unit” of product or service • Research through correspondence with outside vendors • Examples: Materials, direct/indirect labor, and shipping costs COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 32. Projected sales assumptions What product(s) and/or service(s) Quantities Price When (seasonality/cyclicality)? T&C’s COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 33. Cash flow assumptions • Convert your business activity to cash activity • When will cash be collected from customers? May vary by product line and by customer Generally assume 45 days---though currently customers are extending to 60 days • When do you pay your vendor’s invoices? May vary by product line and by vendor Generally assume 30-45 days Need to create “referenceable” vendors COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 35. Developing The Financial Forecast 3. Creating the sales forecast BEST - Predict by customer as detailed as possible ….but include customer turnover BETTER – Predict by market COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 36. Developing The Financial Forecast 3. Creating the sales forecast (part 2) How do I start? Market research • Gov’t resources US Census Bureau IRS Statistical Data • Trade association • Primary & secondary research Select your geography COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 37. Developing The Financial Forecast 3. Creating the sales forecast (part 2) Predict by client (customer) types • By market • By size Then ID certain characteristics Small Medium Large Client Client Client Average Hours Per 4 Hours 8 Hours 16 Hours Week Average Contract $ $500 $1,250 $2,500 Per Week COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 38. Developing The Financial Forecast 3. Creating the sales forecast (part 3) Predict using Sales staff • Assume lag time (3-6 mos.) • Estimate the pipeline • # of calls / meetings per staff • # of sales per staff • Remember: Not all staff start same date • Spread out the volume by month – with realistic goals • ….Consider turnover of sales staff COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 39. Forecast Trap: Why they call them “Gross Sales” • Returns • Discounts • Rebates • Chargebacks • Markdowns COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 40. Forecast Trap: Do not over-estimate first year revenue (what, we can’t sell millions in first month?) COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 41. Developing The Financial Forecast 4. Spreading the Numbers • Yes, you need to do it monthly -- for the entire period • No flat numbers – consider the meaning – use % increases or $ per some type of unit • Think: As headcount increases rent increases (just not variably) • Start with revenue, then cost of services COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 42. Tip: Integration Must use an integrated model Headcount added Payroll and benefits calculation Summarized employee costs Income Statement Cash Flow COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 43. Tip: Use Rounding Use the MS Excel “rounding function” --- otherwise your numbers may not add up COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 44. Question? Is the methodology Accrual or Cash? COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 45. Tip: If you want to be taken seriously do not use round numbers This: 53,567 Not this: 50,000 COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 46. Tip: Project payroll & benefits in detail • Payroll & benefits are often the most costly expense yet they are often neglected • Project monthly to handle startdates correctly • Match additions of people with milestones COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 47. Tip: Projection Numbers are not separate from the Company Plans Company Plans Milestone Projects Responsible Revenue/ Dates Cost COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 48. Tip: Be careful with Depreciation and Interest expense • Depreciation is a non-cash expense – do not include in cash flow (we’ll worry about how to calculate this when you come see me) • Interest expense does not include the principal portion of your payment COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 49. Ben Littauer Member, Boston Harbor Angels "I like to see a business model spreadsheet with the assumptions clearly called out as variables. Then I can twiddle the knobs and see how sensitive profits are to the assumptions." COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 50. Multiple Model Trap: One investor model, Multiple options (triggers) But…why not? You will make fundamental changes in the base model and then forget to make similar changes on the “other scenario models” COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 51. Tip: Don’t forget the….. Sales commissions – Direct connect them to your sales staff’s (or sales rep) sales Bonuses – Include with payroll Recruiting expenses – Peg them to change in new employees Debt - Many forget to include Interest Expense on the income statement even though the Company has incurred Debt COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 52. Presentation Suggestions Steady, consistent evolution of the model Revenue growth in $ Expenses over time in % Know the % change for major components (and be able to explain them) Do not allocate G&A/Facilities expenses Show depreciation separately (non-cash) COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 53. Tip: Reasonableness 1. Once you think you are done take the smell test --- Do the numbers really make sense (i.e. can you really increase revenue w/o an increase in costs)? 2. Do the Like-Kind test. Compare your “metrics” versus your competition COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 54. Creating the Statements 1. Consider it a Marketing Effort 2. Present the Pro-Forma Financial Statement 3. Graph the Revenues, Income, and Cash 4. Present the Headcount COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 55. ABC Co. ($ 000's omitted) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Income Pro Forma Financial Statement Revenue $ - $ 1,875 $ 44,953 $ 108,238 $ 180,161 Statement Cost of Service - 1,162 12,739 5,369 - Gross Margin - 712 32,214 102,868 180,161 38% 72% 95% 100% Operating Expenses Employee Costs 1,303 2,972 3,587 4,198 4,379 Professional Fees 253 637 1,780 1,230 1,135 Marketing & Travel 61 525 2,340 293 658 Administrative Expenses 60 55 232 41 47 Development & Pilot Manufacturing 409 819 262 965 1,733 Facility & Other 195 801 1,206 1,612 2,023 Total Expenses 2,282 5,807 9,407 8,340 9,976 Depreciation & Amortization 42 98 301 590 791 EBIT (2,324) (5,193) 22,507 93,939 169,394 Cash Flow Net Income (2,639) (5,411) 16,893 55,530 100,603 0% -289% 38% 51% 56% Statement Pro Forma Cash Flow Cash from Operations (2,597) (5,313) 17,193 56,120 101,393 Cash from Working Capital (31) (936) (2,879) (2,754) (3,437) Cash from Investments (57) (297) (1,052) (607) (600) Cash from Financing 7,000 - 42,000 - - Net Cash Flow 4,315 (6,545) 55,262 52,759 97,357 Ending Cash $ 6,644 $ 99 $ 55,360 $ 108,119 $ 205,476 COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 56. ABC Company – Financials by Year ($ 000’s omitted) $225,000 Seeking $250k Investment Milestone #1 Prototype $175,000 Milestone #2 Pilots Milestone #3 $125,000 Commercialization Revenue Income Cash $75,000 $25,000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 ($25,000) COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 57. ABC Co. Headcount Summary 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Manufacturing - 1 1 1 1 Sales & Marketing - - 1 4 4 Research 7 19 19 19 19 Executive/Admin 3 8 9 9 9 International - 1 2 3 4 Total 10 29 32 36 37 COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 58. ABC Co. Headcount Summary 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 For your review Manufacturing Sales & Marketing - - - 1 1 1 1 4 1 4 only. Not for Research 7 19 19 19 19 Executive/Admin 3 8 9 9 9 presentation International - 1 2 3 4 Total 10 29 32 36 37 2010 Jan, 10 Fe b, 10 Mar, 10 Apr, 10 May, 10 Jun, 10 Jul, 10 Aug, 10 Sep, 10 Oct, 10 Nov, 10 De c, 10 Manufacturing - - - - - - - - - - - - Sales & Marketing - - - - - - - - - - - - Research 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 Executive/Admin 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 International - - - - - - - - - - - - Total 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 2011 Jan, 11 Fe b, 11 Mar, 11 Apr, 11 May, 11 Jun, 11 Jul, 11 Aug, 11 Sep, 11 Oct, 11 Nov, 11 De c, 11 Manufacturing 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Sales & Marketing - - - - - - - - - - - - Research Executive/Admin 19 4 19 4 19 4 19 4 19 4 19 5 19 7 19 7 19 7 19 8 19 8 19 8 Looking at the International - - - - - 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Total 24 24 24 24 24 26 28 28 28 29 29 29 monthly 2012 Manufacturing Jan, 12 1 Fe b, 12 1 Mar, 12 1 Apr, 12 1 May, 12 1 Jun, 12 1 Jul, 12 1 Aug, 12 1 Sep, 12 1 Oct, 12 1 Nov, 12 1 De c, 12 1 headcount helps Sales & Marketing Research - 19 - 19 - 19 - 19 - 19 - 19 - 19 - 19 - 19 - 19 1 19 1 19 you find obvious Executive/Admin International 9 1 9 1 9 1 9 1 9 1 9 2 9 2 9 2 9 2 9 2 9 2 9 2 discrepancies Total 30 30 30 30 30 31 31 31 31 31 32 32 2013 Jan, 13 Fe b, 13 Mar, 13 Apr, 13 May, 13 Jun, 13 Jul, 13 Aug, 13 Sep, 13 Oct, 13 Nov, 13 De c, 13 Manufacturing 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Sales & Marketing 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 Research 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 Executive/Admin 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 International 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Total 32 32 34 34 35 35 36 36 36 36 36 36 2014 Jan, 14 Fe b, 14 Mar, 14 Apr, 14 May, 14 Jun, 14 Jul, 14 Aug, 14 Sep, 14 Oct, 14 Nov, 14 De c, 14 Manufacturing 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Sales & Marketing 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Research 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 Executive/Admin 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 International 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Total 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 37 COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 59. More on charts and tables…… 1. Explain the sales & distribution model (…so about those 90% margins) 2. Key events to next funding round 3. Cash flow cycle COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 60. Universal Truths: 1. Project monthly, Present annually 2. Projections constantly change, let them. Not an annual exercise. Develop as a monthly exercise. 3. Financials must be consistent with rest of presentation 4. Do not need to be hung up with GAAP, but….don’t go rogue COPYRIGHT © 2011
  • 61. Even More Universal Truths: 5. Be consistent – Don’t portray cost categories (or individuals) differently by year 6. Have “Checks” 7. P&L Income ≠ Cash Flow (we know this right?) COPYRIGHT © 2011