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Structure of presentation
                                                                                                                Slides
   What is the privatisation?...........................................................................................3
   1. Evidence
        Benefits………………………………………………………………………………....….
   4
        Perceptions……………………………………………………………………………5-6
        Costs………………………………………………………………………………………...7
   2. Contextual differences…………………………………………………………….8-13
   Conclusion…………………………………………………………………………………….14
   References……………………………………………………………………………….15-16



   The main goal of presentation is to explain contextual
   differences of privatisation’s costs and benefits



28.11.12                                 MPA: Comparative Public Policy                                                     2
What is the privatisation?
                                     It is an “umbrella term”(Butcher, 1995, p. 108)

                                                 o Techniques through which
                                                   private, rather than public,
                                                   activity can be increased
                                                 o Strategies
                                                 o Transfer of responsibilities
                                                 o Alteration in the nature of
                                                   decision making
                                                 o Shifting the balance between
                                                   public and private spheres

                                                            Drakeford, M., 2000, pp. 18-19


 As privatisation may be considered any material transaction by which the state’s
 ultimate ownership of corporate entities is reduced
                                                                              OECD, 2009

28.11.12                   MPA: Comparative Public Policy                             3
Benefits of privatisation
   Accumulated Proceeds as Share of 2000 GDP,
   by Region and Sector, 1988–2005




               World Bank Privatization Database; World Development Indicators
28.11.12               MPA: Comparative Public Policy                      4
Perceptions of privatisation
1991: Do you support the following actions of the Russian
government? ( % of respondents)




            VCIOM (All-Russia Public Opinion Research Center), 1991 [In Russian]


However, 10 years later…
2001: More than 60% of 1,600 Russians interviewed thought that
they had lost more than gained from the privatization of state
property; only 5% said the opposite
                                                      Birdsall, N. and Nellis, J., 2003

 28.11.12                 MPA: Comparative Public Policy                             5
Perceptions of privatisation
Negative Views of Privatization in Latin America, 1998 and 2005
% of respondents who don’t agree that privatisation has been beneficial for the
country




                                              Bourguignon, F. and Sepúlveda, C., 2009

 28.11.12                    MPA: Comparative Public Policy                         6
Costs of privatisation
                                  Changes in income inequality in selected
                                  transition economies
                                                                  Negative
                                                               distributional
                                                                   effects

                                                                     On the
                                                                 employment and
                                                                 returns to labor


                                                                 On the access to
                                                                    utility and
                                                                  infrastructure
                                                                     services


                                                                 On the prices of
                                                                    utility and
                                                                  infrastructure
                                                                     services
Source: World Bank, 2000
 28.11.12                  MPA: Comparative Public Policy                      7
Context 1: Role of SOEs

 The social               The agency                     The political-
   view                      view                        economy view

       SOEs as               SOEs seek to maximize            SOEs represent
     institutions               social welfare but             a mechanism
                                  focuses on the
     created by a             discrepancy between               for pursuing
    social welfare,              the objectives of             the individual
                             managers (the agents)
     maximizing                and of owners (the                 goals of
     government                     principals)                  politicians



                                            Bourguignon, F. and Sepúlveda C., 2009

28.11.12              MPA: Comparative Public Policy                         8
Context 2: Type of ownership
                Impact of Ownership on Performance,
                     Fixed-Effects Coefficients,
            Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland, 1990–93
15

10

 5

 0

 -5            Revenue                  Employment                Productivity

-10

-15
                         Firms privatized, owned by outsiders
                         Firms privatized, owned by insiders
                                                                Frydman et al., 1999
 28.11.12                    MPA: Comparative Public Policy                       9
Context 3: Level of economic development



       Extent of                                                Different
    development of:                                           objectives of
                                                              privatisation



•   Legal framework                                      • e.g. To create better
•   Human Capital                                          services and lower
•   Public institutions                                    prices
•   Financial institutions                               • e.g. To improve the
                                                           public sector's financial
•   Political situation
                                                           health

28.11.12                     MPA: Comparative Public Policy                      10
Context 4: Underlying models
Schumpeterian Model                             Model of Marketization
   Importance of Private                       Market conditions rather than
     ownership, per se                                  ownership
   Private rather than public                                   Competition

           “Load-shedding”                                    “Empowerment”

                                                           Financing by
    Financing, delivery and
                                                    government, Production and
  production by private sector
                                                     delivery by private sector

 Cost and benefits of private                           Cost and benefits of
         ownership                                      market conditions

                                                              Drakeford, M., 2000, pp. 21-22
28.11.12                     MPA: Comparative Public Policy                             11
Context 5: Dimensions of performance
     Ownership, Compet                           Efficiency vs. Equity
         ition and
                                                       E.g. Soviet
        Regulation
                                                     Union, Russia




   Hodge, G.A., 2000                                Birdsall, N. and Nellis, J., 2003
28.11.12               MPA: Comparative Public Policy                           12
Context 6: Focus of studies
                              Perceptional
     Technical studies
                                 studies
                                                     focus on perception that
    focus only on shifts post-sale in
                                                  privatization is fundamentally
       operational and financial
                                                    unfair in both concept and
  performance at the level of the firm
                                                         implementation


            Benefits                                         Costs

                                              Negative effect on the distribution
    Improvement of efficiency and
                                               of wealth, income and political
       financial performance
                                                            power

                                                       Birdsall, N. and Nellis, J., 2003

28.11.12                   MPA: Comparative Public Policy                            13
Conclusion
Context matters
- it matters a lot how privatization is done            The following contexts also
Costs and benefits are different in each                should be discussed:
of explained contexts:

       Role of SOEs                                     Preconditions

                                                        Causality
       Type of ownership
                                                        Traditional public policy
       Level of economic                                values
       development
                                                        Stakeholders
       Underlying models
                                                        Economic system and
                                                        political movement
       Dimension of performance                         The post-privatization
                                                        environment
       Focuse of studies
                                                        Etc.
  28.11.12                  MPA: Comparative Public Policy                          14
References
0 Alexeev, M. (1999) The effect of privatization on wealth distribution in
  Russia, Economics of Transition, Vol. 7 (2) 1999, pp. 449–465.
0 Birdsall, N. and Nellis, J. (2003) Winners and losers: assessing the distributional
  impact of privatization, World Development, Vol. 31, No 10, pp. 1617-1633.
0 Bitzenis, A. (2003) What Was Behind the Delay in the Bulgarian Privatization
  Process? Determining Incentives and Barriers of Privatization as a Way of Foreign
  Entry, Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, vol. 39, no. 5, September–October
  2003, pp. 58–82.
0 Boubakri, N. and Cossett, J.C. (1998) Privatization in developing countries: an
    analysis of the performance of newly privatised firms, Public Policy for the Private
    Sector, Issue 156, World Bank Group: Finance, the private sector and infrastructure
    network, pp. 1-4.
0   Bourguignon, F. and Sepúlveda C. (2009) Privatization in Development: Some
    Lessons from Experience, Policy Research Working Paper 5131, The World Bank, 34 p.
0   Chang, R., Hevia, C. and Loayza N. (2009) Privatization and Nationalization
    Cycles, Policy Research Working Paper 5029, The World Bank, 57 p.
0   Crivelli, E. (2012) Local Governments’ Fiscal Balance, Privatization, and Banking
    Sector Reform in Transition Countries, International Monetary Fund WP/12/146, 27 p.
0   Drakeford, M. (2000) Privatisation and Social Policy, Longman, 242 p.
0   Estrin, S., Hanousek, J., Kˇocenda, E. and Svejnar, J. (2009) Effects of Privatization
    and Ownership in Transition Economies, Policy Research Working Paper 4811, The
    World Bank, 51 p.
      28.11.12                   MPA: Comparative Public Policy                     15
References
0 Frydman, R., Gray, W., Hessel, M. and Rapaczynski, A. (1999) When Does Privatization Work?
  The Impact of Private Ownership on Corporate Performance in the Transition
  Economies, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114 (4): 1153–91.
0 Gaidar, E. and Chubais, A. (2011) The fork of the modern history of Russia, Moscow: OGI, 168 p.
  [in Russian]
0 Hodge, G.A. (2000) Privatization: an international review of performance, Westview Press, 312 p.
0 Kikeri, S. and Perault, M. (2010) Privatization Trends, Viewpoint, Public policy for the private
  sector, The World Bank, note number 322, 4 p.
0 OECD (2000) Privatisation, Competition and Regulation, OECD Centre for Cooperation with Non-
  members, printed in France, 214 p.
0 OECD (2009) Privatization in the 21st Century: Recent Experiences of OECD Countries, Report on
  Good Practices, Paris, January 2009, 75 p.
0 OECD (2010) Privatization in the 21st Century, Summary of recent experiences, 36 p.
0 Sheshinski, E. and López-Calva, L.F. (2003) Privatization and Its Benefits: Theory and
  Evidence, CESifo Economic Studies, Vol. 49, 3/2003, pp. 429–459.
0 Shpilko S.P. et al (1991) Population assessment of socio-economic situation in the country
  (according to the polls in 1991), Scientific report, Moscow: VCIOM (All-Russia Public Opinion
  Research Center), p. 8. [In Russian]
0 Turcotte, S. and Faucher, P. (1999) How Markets and Business Power Influenced
  Privatization in Latin America, Draft, 33 p.



    28.11.12                      MPA: Comparative Public Policy                          16

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Different contexts of privatisation’s costs and benefits

  • 1.
  • 2. Structure of presentation Slides What is the privatisation?...........................................................................................3 1. Evidence Benefits………………………………………………………………………………....…. 4 Perceptions……………………………………………………………………………5-6 Costs………………………………………………………………………………………...7 2. Contextual differences…………………………………………………………….8-13 Conclusion…………………………………………………………………………………….14 References……………………………………………………………………………….15-16 The main goal of presentation is to explain contextual differences of privatisation’s costs and benefits 28.11.12 MPA: Comparative Public Policy 2
  • 3. What is the privatisation? It is an “umbrella term”(Butcher, 1995, p. 108) o Techniques through which private, rather than public, activity can be increased o Strategies o Transfer of responsibilities o Alteration in the nature of decision making o Shifting the balance between public and private spheres Drakeford, M., 2000, pp. 18-19 As privatisation may be considered any material transaction by which the state’s ultimate ownership of corporate entities is reduced OECD, 2009 28.11.12 MPA: Comparative Public Policy 3
  • 4. Benefits of privatisation Accumulated Proceeds as Share of 2000 GDP, by Region and Sector, 1988–2005 World Bank Privatization Database; World Development Indicators 28.11.12 MPA: Comparative Public Policy 4
  • 5. Perceptions of privatisation 1991: Do you support the following actions of the Russian government? ( % of respondents) VCIOM (All-Russia Public Opinion Research Center), 1991 [In Russian] However, 10 years later… 2001: More than 60% of 1,600 Russians interviewed thought that they had lost more than gained from the privatization of state property; only 5% said the opposite Birdsall, N. and Nellis, J., 2003 28.11.12 MPA: Comparative Public Policy 5
  • 6. Perceptions of privatisation Negative Views of Privatization in Latin America, 1998 and 2005 % of respondents who don’t agree that privatisation has been beneficial for the country Bourguignon, F. and Sepúlveda, C., 2009 28.11.12 MPA: Comparative Public Policy 6
  • 7. Costs of privatisation Changes in income inequality in selected transition economies Negative distributional effects On the employment and returns to labor On the access to utility and infrastructure services On the prices of utility and infrastructure services Source: World Bank, 2000 28.11.12 MPA: Comparative Public Policy 7
  • 8. Context 1: Role of SOEs The social The agency The political- view view economy view SOEs as SOEs seek to maximize SOEs represent institutions social welfare but a mechanism focuses on the created by a discrepancy between for pursuing social welfare, the objectives of the individual managers (the agents) maximizing and of owners (the goals of government principals) politicians Bourguignon, F. and Sepúlveda C., 2009 28.11.12 MPA: Comparative Public Policy 8
  • 9. Context 2: Type of ownership Impact of Ownership on Performance, Fixed-Effects Coefficients, Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland, 1990–93 15 10 5 0 -5 Revenue Employment Productivity -10 -15 Firms privatized, owned by outsiders Firms privatized, owned by insiders Frydman et al., 1999 28.11.12 MPA: Comparative Public Policy 9
  • 10. Context 3: Level of economic development Extent of Different development of: objectives of privatisation • Legal framework • e.g. To create better • Human Capital services and lower • Public institutions prices • Financial institutions • e.g. To improve the public sector's financial • Political situation health 28.11.12 MPA: Comparative Public Policy 10
  • 11. Context 4: Underlying models Schumpeterian Model Model of Marketization Importance of Private Market conditions rather than ownership, per se ownership Private rather than public Competition “Load-shedding” “Empowerment” Financing by Financing, delivery and government, Production and production by private sector delivery by private sector Cost and benefits of private Cost and benefits of ownership market conditions Drakeford, M., 2000, pp. 21-22 28.11.12 MPA: Comparative Public Policy 11
  • 12. Context 5: Dimensions of performance Ownership, Compet Efficiency vs. Equity ition and E.g. Soviet Regulation Union, Russia Hodge, G.A., 2000 Birdsall, N. and Nellis, J., 2003 28.11.12 MPA: Comparative Public Policy 12
  • 13. Context 6: Focus of studies Perceptional Technical studies studies focus on perception that focus only on shifts post-sale in privatization is fundamentally operational and financial unfair in both concept and performance at the level of the firm implementation Benefits Costs Negative effect on the distribution Improvement of efficiency and of wealth, income and political financial performance power Birdsall, N. and Nellis, J., 2003 28.11.12 MPA: Comparative Public Policy 13
  • 14. Conclusion Context matters - it matters a lot how privatization is done The following contexts also Costs and benefits are different in each should be discussed: of explained contexts: Role of SOEs Preconditions Causality Type of ownership Traditional public policy Level of economic values development Stakeholders Underlying models Economic system and political movement Dimension of performance The post-privatization environment Focuse of studies Etc. 28.11.12 MPA: Comparative Public Policy 14
  • 15. References 0 Alexeev, M. (1999) The effect of privatization on wealth distribution in Russia, Economics of Transition, Vol. 7 (2) 1999, pp. 449–465. 0 Birdsall, N. and Nellis, J. (2003) Winners and losers: assessing the distributional impact of privatization, World Development, Vol. 31, No 10, pp. 1617-1633. 0 Bitzenis, A. (2003) What Was Behind the Delay in the Bulgarian Privatization Process? Determining Incentives and Barriers of Privatization as a Way of Foreign Entry, Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, vol. 39, no. 5, September–October 2003, pp. 58–82. 0 Boubakri, N. and Cossett, J.C. (1998) Privatization in developing countries: an analysis of the performance of newly privatised firms, Public Policy for the Private Sector, Issue 156, World Bank Group: Finance, the private sector and infrastructure network, pp. 1-4. 0 Bourguignon, F. and Sepúlveda C. (2009) Privatization in Development: Some Lessons from Experience, Policy Research Working Paper 5131, The World Bank, 34 p. 0 Chang, R., Hevia, C. and Loayza N. (2009) Privatization and Nationalization Cycles, Policy Research Working Paper 5029, The World Bank, 57 p. 0 Crivelli, E. (2012) Local Governments’ Fiscal Balance, Privatization, and Banking Sector Reform in Transition Countries, International Monetary Fund WP/12/146, 27 p. 0 Drakeford, M. (2000) Privatisation and Social Policy, Longman, 242 p. 0 Estrin, S., Hanousek, J., Kˇocenda, E. and Svejnar, J. (2009) Effects of Privatization and Ownership in Transition Economies, Policy Research Working Paper 4811, The World Bank, 51 p. 28.11.12 MPA: Comparative Public Policy 15
  • 16. References 0 Frydman, R., Gray, W., Hessel, M. and Rapaczynski, A. (1999) When Does Privatization Work? The Impact of Private Ownership on Corporate Performance in the Transition Economies, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114 (4): 1153–91. 0 Gaidar, E. and Chubais, A. (2011) The fork of the modern history of Russia, Moscow: OGI, 168 p. [in Russian] 0 Hodge, G.A. (2000) Privatization: an international review of performance, Westview Press, 312 p. 0 Kikeri, S. and Perault, M. (2010) Privatization Trends, Viewpoint, Public policy for the private sector, The World Bank, note number 322, 4 p. 0 OECD (2000) Privatisation, Competition and Regulation, OECD Centre for Cooperation with Non- members, printed in France, 214 p. 0 OECD (2009) Privatization in the 21st Century: Recent Experiences of OECD Countries, Report on Good Practices, Paris, January 2009, 75 p. 0 OECD (2010) Privatization in the 21st Century, Summary of recent experiences, 36 p. 0 Sheshinski, E. and López-Calva, L.F. (2003) Privatization and Its Benefits: Theory and Evidence, CESifo Economic Studies, Vol. 49, 3/2003, pp. 429–459. 0 Shpilko S.P. et al (1991) Population assessment of socio-economic situation in the country (according to the polls in 1991), Scientific report, Moscow: VCIOM (All-Russia Public Opinion Research Center), p. 8. [In Russian] 0 Turcotte, S. and Faucher, P. (1999) How Markets and Business Power Influenced Privatization in Latin America, Draft, 33 p. 28.11.12 MPA: Comparative Public Policy 16