Duncan and his team have identified a range of different technologies that could generate energy locally, providing greater self-sufficiency for Cambridgeshire and buffering it from the impacts of global competition for fossil fuels – a decreasing resource.
This presentation is capturing an indicative scale and range of technologies to demonstrate the energy challenge Cambridgeshire faces. The CRIF project is taking this work and talking to our communities, businesses and public sector partners to inform debate on what is realistic and feasible for Cambridgeshire.
4. Modelling renewable energy deployment potential
Scenario 4
Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 (high without
Inputs (low) (medium) (high) wind)
Discount rate 9% 7% 6% 6%
DECC - 'high DECC - 'high
Energy price DECC - 'low' DECC - 'high' high' energy high' energy
[1]
energy prices energy prices prices prices
current rates current rates
(FIT/ RHI (FIT/ RHI
designed to designed to
give fixed give fixed
return & will return & will
Financial lower than adjust to adjust to
incentives current tariff energy energy
(FIT/RHI) rates current rates prices) prices)
Project
deployment
rate
(wind/biomas 30% (0% for
s/EfW) 8% 15% 30% wind)
Green policy
support (for
building
integrated
technologies) Low Medium High High
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 3
5. Deployment options for renewable energy
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 4
8. S. Cambs and Hunts have largest resource
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 7
9. District heating potential lies in Cambridge and
Huntingdon
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 8
10. Substantial infrastructure is needed
Number of installations associated with delivery of each scenario
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 9
11. Significant investment opportunity
Investment potential for each scenario in £millions
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 10
12. Energy efficiency and renewable energy can
close the carbon ‘gap’
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 11
13. Conclusions
• Cambridgeshire is doing well – especially renewable electricity
• There is potential for more – solar, biomass, heat pumps, wind
• All technologies are needed – heat and electricity
• Somewhere between medium & high scenarios delivers by 2031
• Also closes carbon gap to meet pro-rata 4th carbon budget
• Significant investment potential – up to £6.1 billion for high
scenario
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 12
14. Thanks
Duncan Price
Renewable energy delivery pathways
Director
Camco
t: +44 (0)20 7121 6150
m: +44 (0)7769 692 610
e: duncan.price@camcoglobal.com
172 Tottenham Court Road London
W1T 7NS United Kingdom
www.camcoglobal.com
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 13
15. There are three delivery pathways
Community Public Sector Commercial
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 14
16. What is the potential for each pathway?
Deployment potential by pathway
1600
Deployment potential (GWh)
1400
Wind >=6 turbines
1200
Wind <=5 turbines
1000
Biomass
800
ASHP
600
GSHP
400
SWH
200
PV
0
Public sector Community Commercial
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 15
17. Community deployment potential
• PV
• 145MWp, 1,150,000m² of panels
• 460 non-residential buildings and 30,400 houses (14%)
• Solar water heating
• 42,600m² of panels on 8,500 houses (4%)
• Heat pumps
• 43,000 or 15% of houses
• Wind
• 75MW or 30 turbines
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 16
18. Vision for community delivery pathway
• Communities have strong incentive to invest in renewable energy
• Effective hard and soft incentive mechanisms
• Minimisation of risks and barriers to implementation
• Communities have access to a range of funding sources
• Availability of applicable finance options for a range of project types
• Gaining access to existing and new funding sources
• Communities are maximising learning from leading practice
• Demonstration case studies of successful community energy schemes
• Access to quality impartial ‘self-help’ guidance and information
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 17
19. Vision for community delivery pathway
• Communities are managing energy projects effectively
• Identification of governance methods and relative benefits of each approach
• Range of delivery options identified
• Investment and delivery opportunities are clearly communicated
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 18
20. Public sector deployment potential
• PV
• 39MWp, 300,00m² of panels
• 180 non-residential buildings and 7,500 houses (18%)
• Solar water heating
• 8,400m² of panels on 1,700 houses (4%)
• Heat pumps
• 8,100 or 20% of houses
• Wind
• 27MW or 11 turbines
• Biomass
• 14 installations of 1.5MW
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 19
21. Vision for public sector pathway
• Public sector is maximising value of its own hard assets
• PV on roofs of offices, schools, hospitals, leisure centres
• PV in social housing – own stock, ALMO and with housing association partners
• Appropriate wind development on public land
• Provision of anchor loads for district heating and CHP
• Renewable energy transition plan for each building
• Demonstration projects for advanced technologies and new approaches
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 20
22. Vision for public sector pathway
• Public sector is maximising value from its soft assets
• Planning policies – LDF, LDO, s106, CIL
• Enabling mechanisms – community energy fund, grant funding
• Public sector led development – de-risking projects, early project promotion
• Political engagement – FIT, RHI and Green Deal policy certainty, tariffs, etc.
• Market development – awareness raising, pipeline development for Green Deal
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 21
23. Vision for public sector pathway
• Establish Green Deal
EE partnerships
• Secure ECO funding
CIL • Require connection to DH
• zero carbon homes
•Planning protocol for wind
• Secure resources
LDF • Local Development Order
for PV
Fund • Establish Community Energy Mainstream
Fund
2021-2025
PV • Invest in key infrastructure
• Develop PV on council roofs
Early adopters
LDF • Consult on LDF policies
• Support community projects 2016-2020
Demonstration
2012 - 2015
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 22
24. Commercial deployment potential
• PV
• 160MWp, 1,300,000m² of panels
• 3,200 non-residential buildings
• Solar water heating
• 8,300m² of panels on 1,700 or 20% of buildings
• Heat pumps
• 200 or 3% of buildings
• Wind
• For wind parks ≤5 turbines, 28MW or 11 turbines
• For wind parks ≥6 turbines, 375MW or 150 turbines
• Biomass
• 14 installations of 1.5MW
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 23
25. Vision for commercial delivery pathway
• Investment opportunities are clearly identified
• Technical, economic and deployment potential based on WP1
• Benefits of growth agenda are articulated
• Preconditions are clearly understood by public and private sector + community
• Public sector is facilitating investment
• Establishing clear public policies and protocols to provide market certainty
• Engaging in constructive dialogue with community
• Using its own assets to lever wider opportunities
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 24
26. Vision for commercial delivery pathway
• Investment is flowing, projects being developed
• Cambridgeshire seen as county with good renewable energy development
potential
• Cambridgeshire demonstrated to be investor-friendly
• Supply chain is in place, levels of risk and return meet minimum commercial
requirements
• Constructive dialogue, community benefiting and accepting
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 25
27. Vision for commercial delivery pathway
•LDO supporting PV in
PV city
•zero carbon homes
•anchor loads connected
Bio •AD projects developed
•ASHP widely used in
•Rent-a-roof schemes ASHP commercial buildings
PV •Develop PV on council
Mainstream
roofs
2021-2025
•Demo projects backed
Bio by RHI
Early adopters
•Demo projects backed 2016-2020
GSHP by RHI
Demonstration
2012 - 2015
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 26
30. What will the pathways look like or include?
• Compelling vision of what can be achieved
• Shared understanding of barriers and risks to implementation
• Cambridgeshire benefiting from up to £6.5bn of investment
• Local businesses are providing goods and services to the sector
• Leading county where people choose to invest
• Consistent and pro-active policy framework is adopted
• The public sector takes the lead
• Project plan for shared decision making
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 29
32. What will the commercial pathways look like?
1. What investment conditions are required for the private sector to
invest?
2. How should the growth agenda be used to facilitate RE schemes?
3. What is needed to enhance or extend existing low carbon energy
schemes?
4. How should the commercial sector partner with the public sector and
local communities to deliver greater RE capacity?
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 31
33. Thanks
Duncan Price
Director
Camco
t: +44 (0)20 7121 6150
m: +44 (0)7769 692 610
e: duncan.price@camcoglobal.com
172 Tottenham Court Road London
W1T 7NS United Kingdom
www.camcoglobal.com
Cambridgeshire Renewables Infrastructure Framework 32