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Mul$‐Robot
Systems

Probabilis$c
Modeling
III

        CSCI
7000‐006

    Monday,
October
19,
2009


         Nikolaus
Correll

So
far


•  Probabilis$c
models
for
reac$ve
and

   delibera$ve
systems

•  Parameter
calibra$on
using


  –  Control
parameters

  –  Geometric
proper$es

•  System
iden$fica$on
for
reac$ve
swarms

Today

•  Modeling
of
delibera$ve
systems
with
large

   state
space

  –  Probabilis$c
models
for
sub‐systems

  –  Discrete
Event
System
simula$on

•  Examples

  –  Coverage

  –  Task
alloca$on

Review:
Probabilis$c
Modeling

•  Enumerate
all
possible
states
of
a
system

•  Calculate
all
state
transi$on
probabili$es

•  Write
down
rate
equa$ons
for
the
probability

   of
the
system
to
be
a
in
a
certain
state

•  Solve
equa$ons
analy$cally/numerically


•  Problem:
What
about
systems
with
large
state

   spaces


Modeling
of
large
state
spaces

•  Iden$fy
key
sources
of
uncertainty
in
a
system

  –  Actua$on

  –  Sensing

  –  Communica$on

•  Measure/approximate
probability
density

   func$on

•  Sample
from
these
distribu$ons
when

   simula$ng
the
algorithm

 S.
Ru$shauser,
N.
Correll,
and
A.
Mar$noli.
Collabora$ve
Coverage
using
a

 Swarm
of
Networked
Miniature
Robots.
Robo$cs
&
Autonomous
Systems,

 57(5):517‐525,
2009.

Example:
coverage

•  Algorithm

   –  Build
a
minimal

      spanning‐tree
on‐line

   –  Move
from
blade
to

      blade
reac$vely

   –  Localiza$on
by
coun$ng

      blades

   –  Start‐over
when
lost

•  Uncertainty

   –  Naviga$on

Basic
Naviga$on
Behaviors





9/20/2007
             Nikolaus
Correll
   7

Quan$fying
Sensor
&
Actuator

                        Noise

6000
experiments
in
Webots,
10%
wheel‐slip





    Time
for
covering
one
blade
              Probability
of
no
naviga$on
error

                                                  (geometric
distribu$on)

Discrete
Event
System
Simula$on

                                                            Webots‐Generated


                                                            Event
Time
Data




      Choose
robot
(closest

      next
event
$me),
add

       event
$me
for
robot



  Determine
next
node
n
to
visit
                               Algorithm



              Naviga$on
                                         Failure

               Success?
                                       probabilites

       Yes
                No


Move
Robot
           Move
Robot
      No

   to
n
            somewhere
else


                                       All
Blades

                                      inspected?
    Yes

DES
vs.
Webots:
Naviga$on

        uncertainty


                        50%
slip.

                        10%
slip

Discrete
Event
System
Simula$on

•  Simula$ng
the
algorithm
generates
sample

   trajectories
in
state
space

•  Previous
example:
limited
to
naviga$on

   uncertainty

•  Simula$on
can
model
arbitrary
level
of
detail,

   including
communica$on

DES
vs.
Webots:
Communica$on


                         No
Comm.

                         Comm.





 10%
wheel
slip

Example:
Distributed
Robot
Garden

•  Mo$va$on:
Precision

   Agriculture

•  Robots
water
and
forage

   tomato
plants

•  Pots
monitor
humidity

   level
and
coordinate

   robo$c
system

•  Robots
inventory
each

   plant
and
store
it
into
its

   pot’s
database

Sub‐tasks
/
Sources
of
uncertainty

•  Visual
recogni$on
of
ripe
and
green
tomatoes

•  Visual
servoing
with
monocular
vision

•  Manipula$on
with
4‐DOF
arm

•  Coordina$on
/
task
alloca$on
of

   heterogeneous
system
over
wireless
network

•  Mul$‐robot
naviga$on
in
$ght
environments

Robo$c
Plaeorm

      Localiza(on
                               Vision

   Hagisonic
Stargazer
                    Logitech
QuickCam





    Computa(on

  Dell
La$tude
D620


                                              Manipula(on

                                            Crustcrawler
4‐DOF

  Watering
System

     Hargrave

                                        Differen(al
Wheels

                                           iRobot
Create

Ubuntu
Linux,
Willow
Garage
ROS,
USB

Plant


 Humidity
Sensor

   Vegetronix





                                              Wireless
router

                                             Temperature@lert





  Infra‐red
Beacon

iRobot
Roomba
base
       OpenWRT
Linux,
Atheros
chipsets

Filter‐based
object
recogni$on

•  Filter
image

   –  Sobel

   –  Hough
transform

   –  Color

   –  Spectral

      highlights

   –  Size
and
shape

                         Sobel
   Hough
   Color
    Spectral

•  Weighted
sum
of
                                 Highlights

   filters
highlights

   object
loca$on

Inventory

•  Challenges

   –  Percep$on
                               1
   6

   –  Not
possible
from
single
perspec$ve

•  Algorithm
                                  2
   5

   -  Fetch
fruit
inventory
from
pot
(JSON)

   -  Object
recogni$on
from
6
non‐            3
   4

      overlapping
perspec$ves

   -  Merge
observa$on
with
inventory

•  Confidence
grows
with
every

   measurement

•  Inventory
dura$on:
45s

Visual
Servoing/Grasping

•  Challenges

   –  Percep$on
(fruits
+
stem)
                           2


   –  Limited
DOF
/
workspace

•  Algorithm

   -  Select
fruit
with
the

      strongest
confidence

   -  Servo
to
ini$al
posi$on

   -  Servo
to
fruit
using
image

      Jacobian

   -  Rely
on
radius
es$mate
for

      depth
                         F.
Chaumele
and
S.
Hutchinson,
“Visual
servo
control

                                     part
i:
Basic
approaches,”
Robo$cs
&
Automa$on

   -  Close
gripper
/
retract
arm
   Magazine,
vol.
13,
no.
4,
pp.
82–90


      when
arrived

Results:
Visual
Servoing/Grasping

•  Percep$on

  –  75%
correctly

     detected

•  Visual
Servo

  –  75%
correct
grasps

     (10
trials)

  –  28.3s
+/‐
10s
per

     grasp

Task
Alloca$on

•  Challenges

   –  Unreliable
channel
(ad‐
      hoc
wifi)

   –  Uncertainty
in

      naviga$on
and
task

      execu$on

•  Robots
reply
with
their

   distance
+
length
of
task

   queue
(approx.
$me)

•  Plant
selects
“best”

   robot

•  Alloca$on
repeated

   periodically

Naviga$on

•  Challenges

   –  Narrow
passages

   –  Deadlocks
(mul$‐robot)

   –  Communica$on

•  Localiza$on

   –  Sensor
fusion:
odometry
+
passive

      infrared
beacons

   –  Broadcast
posi$on
at
1Hz

•  Mo$on
planning

   –  Grid‐map
of
the
environment:
sta$c

      obstacles
+
other
robots

   –  Wavefront
algorithm
(Latombe)

   –  Reac$ve
behavior
for
avoiding

      bumps

   –  Reac$ve
behavior
for
docking

Model
the
distributed
garden

•  Measure
average
$me
and
success
rate
of

  –  Naviga$on
from
A
to
B

  –  Watering

  –  Communica$on

  –  Harves$ng

•  Compare

  –  Different
task
alloca$on
schemes

  –  Distribu$on
of
sensing,
actua$on,
and
computa$on

     (ex:
humidity
sensing
on
the
plant
vs.
robot)

Possible
model


T1:
Harvest
                       T2:
Robot
          
x
*

       T3:
Robot

  request
                       receives
task
    73s
+/‐
15s
   reaches
plant


                                             (p|Naviga$on
failure)x

                                                                                    28.3s+/‐10s

                                                                       25%

Assump$ons


‐ No
task
alloca$on
(single
robot)
                                    T4:
Robot

‐ Infinite
number
of
grasping
trial
                                     grasps


Next
step


‐simulate
task
alloca$on
based
on

communica$on
model

‐finite
number
of
fruits
per
plant

Open
research
ques$ons

•  What
about
rare
events?

  –  How
oten
do
we
have
to
try
each
sub‐system?

  –  How
oten
do
we
need
to
simulate
the
en$re

     system?

Summary

•  Complex
delibera$ve
systems
can
be
modeled

   by
studying
sample
trajectories
through
state

   space

•  Open
problems

  –  Genera$ng
sufficient
number
of
samples

  –  Rare
events


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October 19, Probabilistic Modeling III