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Residential Property
Market Overview
INDIA
QUARTERLY UPDATE | NOVEMBER | 2012




Accelerating success.
3Q 2012 | RESIDENTIAL


Research report
SYDNEY CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT

research & forecast Report
India RESIDENTIAL market




                                                                          MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW

                                                                          •	India’s GDP growth has slowed to a 3 year low at 5.3% in the April-June quarter of the current
                                                                            fiscal. The wholesale price index reached 7.45% in October this year much above the RBI’s
                                                                            expected range.

                                                                          •	As the inflation remained higher, the central bank did not provide any repo rate cut this quarter.
                                                                            However, in October 2012, the RBI did reduce the (CRR) Cash Reserve Ratio by 25 basis points
                                                                            to induce immediate liquidity in the market in its mid-year policy review. Earlier, in July 2012,
                                                                            the RBI also reduced its SLR (Statutory Liquidity Requirement) by 1%.

                                                                          •	Foreign direct investment (FDI) in India was around $1.76 billion in July 2012. Sectors which
 ECONOMIC BAROMETER                                                         received large FDI inflows were Services, Pharmaceuticals, Construction and Power.

                                        Oct-11           Oct-12           •	During this festive season the Indian banking sector offered cheaper home loans rates and lower
                                                                            processing fee to boost the sagging housing market across the country. For example State Bank
                  REPO RATE            8.50%             8.00%
                                                                            of India reduced its processing fee by half across all loans volumes till 31 December 2012.
                                                                            Similarly, Punjab National Bank offered full waiver on processing fee till Nov 2012. Other banks
    REVERSE REPO RATE                   7.50%            7.00%
                                                                            like ICICI, Federal Bank and Bank of Baroda are providing concessional interest rates during this
                            CRR        6.00%             4.25%              season.

                   INFLATION            9.87%             7.45%           •	The Finance Minister has announced a slew of reform measures such as diesel price hike, cap
                                 1
                                                                            on the number of subsidised cooking gas cylinders per family, liberalising foreign holding norms
       Home Loan Rate                  10.00%            10.00%             in aviation, multi-brand retail, non-news broadcasting and power exchanges sectors, and
                                                                            divesting its stake in five companies. However, most of these reform measures faced strong
                                                                            opposition and implementation of these measures is still uncertain.
Return on Alternative Investments                                                   ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                          Oct-11          Oct-12          YoY %
                                                          Change                           12.0

                                                                                            11.0
            Gold            26,887          30,961           15.15%
                                                                                           10.0


          SILVER             53,371         59,921          12.27%                          9.0

                                                                                            8.0
                    2
 Fixed Deposit               8.25%          8.50%            3.03%                          7.0


          EQUITY             17,025          18,713           9.92%                         6.0

                                                                                            5.0

 REALTY INDEX                 1,836           1,879          2.36%                         4.0

                                                                                            3.0

                                                                                           2.0
                                                                          In Percentage




                                                                                            1.0
            1
             SBI Home Loan Rate for Loan Amount upto INR 30 Lakhs.
      2                                                                                    0.0
          SBI Fixed Deposit rate for a period of more than one year and
                                                                                                   Feb ‘08

                                                                                                             Apr ‘08

                                                                                                                       Jun ‘08

                                                                                                                                 Aug‘08

                                                                                                                                          Oct‘08

                                                                                                                                                   Dec ‘08

                                                                                                                                                             Feb ‘09

                                                                                                                                                                          Apr ‘09

                                                                                                                                                                                    Jun ‘09

                                                                                                                                                                                              Augt‘09

                                                                                                                                                                                                        Oct ‘09

                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Dec ‘09

                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Feb ‘10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Apr ‘10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Jun ‘10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Aug‘10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Oct‘10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Dec ‘10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Feb ‘11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Apr ‘11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Jun ‘11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Aug ‘11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Oct ‘11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Dec ‘11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Feb‘12

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Apr ‘12

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jun ‘12

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   AUg ‘12

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Oct ‘12




                                           amount less than INR 1 Crore                   (-1.0)




                                                                                                                                                                       Repo Rate                                  Reverse Repo Rate                         Cash Reserve Ratio                            Wholesale Price Index




                                                                          Source: Colliers International India Research




www.colliers.com
INDIA | 3q 2012 | residential


                                                                                                                                                                                        MUMBAI                                                      3Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    CAPITAL VALUE
                                                                                                                                                                                        •		During 3Q 2012, Mumbai’s residential
                                                                                                                                                                                          market witnessed the launch of several new                        70,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            60,000
                                                                                                                                                                                          projects, such as “New Vinay” by kabra &                          50,000

                                                                                                                                                                                          Associates at Santacruz; “Crescent Bay by                         40,000

                                                                                                                                                                                          L&T at Parel; "Venezia” and a new tower in                        30,000


                                                                                                                                                                                          “New Cuffe Parade” by Lodha Group at Parel                        20,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            INR per sq ft
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            10,000
                                                                                                                                                                                          and Wadala, respectively. All of these projects                       0
                                                                                                                                                                                          were priced in the range of INR 16,000 per sq




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Khar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Malabar Hill, Altamount
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Road, Carmichael Road

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Breach Candy, Napeansea
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Road, Peddar Road

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Colaba, Cuffe Parade


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Worli


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Prabhadevi


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Bandra




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Santacruz


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Juhu


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Andheri


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Powai
                                                                                                                                                                                          ft to INR 20,000 per sq ft.

                                                                                                                                                                                        •	During the last 2 quarters, construction
                                                                                                                                                                                          activity remained slow and no new residential
                                                                                                                                                                                          projects/phases of projects completed in
                                                                                                                                                                                          Mumbai.
    MUMBAI
                                                                                                                                                                                        •	Capital values in the western and central parts           CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS
                                                                                                                                                                                          of Mumbai increased in the range of 1-2%
    CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER                                                                                                                                                            QoQ. However, in south-central locations,                         75,000


                                                                                                                                                                                          such as Malabar Hill, Altamount Road,                             65,000


                                                                                              2Q 2012                                         3Q 2012                                     Carmichael Road, Breach Candy, Napeansea
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            55,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            45,000
                                                                                                                                                                                          Road, Peddar Road, Colaba and Cuffe Parade,                       35,000
                  RENTAL VALUE                                                                                                                                                            and central locations, such as Powai, capital                     25,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            INR per sq ft
                                                                                                                                                                                          values remained stable.                                           15,000
                CAPITAL VALUE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             5,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      1Q2008
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2Q2008
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     3Q2008
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       4Q2008
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1Q2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2Q2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 3Q2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          4Q2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1Q2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2Q2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           3Q2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     4Q2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              1Q2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2Q2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  3Q2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           4Q2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     1Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       3Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                                        •	The rental values of premium residential
                                                                                                                                                                                          properties remained stable in almost all of                                             Breach Candy,                                                                    Khar                                               Colaba,                                         Andheri
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Napeansea Road,                                                                                                                     Cuffe Parade
                                                                                                                                                                                          the micro markets, except in those, such as                                             Peddar Road                                                                      Prabhadevi                                         Bandra                                          Worli

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Powai                                                                                                                                  Malabar Hill,           Santacruz
                                                                                                                                                                                          Worli, Prabhadevi and Powai, where rents
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Juhu
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Altamount Road, Carmichael Road


                                                                                                                                                                                          increased by 1%, and those micro markets in
                                                                                                                                                                                          south-central locations, where rents declined
                                                                                                                                                                                          by 1%.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    3Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage
     COLLIERS RESIDEX 3Q 2012 - MUMBAI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    RENTAL VALUE
                                                                                                                                                                                        •		 he State Government of Maharashtra passed
                                                                                                                                                                                          T
       150                                                                                                                                                                                the Maharashtra Housing Regulation and                                                                                                                                Malabar Hill, Altamount Road,

                                                                                                                                                                                          Development Bill 2012. The aim of the bill
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Carmichael Road
       140                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Breach Candy,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Powai                                          200                                                    Napeansea Rd.,
       130
                                                                                                                                                                                          is to bring transparency to the realty sector                                                                                                                                    150
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Peddar rd.

       120

       110
                                                                                                                                                                                          and empower end-users by protecting their                                                 Andheri                                                                                100
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Colaba, Cuffe Parade
       100                                                                                                                                                                                interests from the objectionable practices of                                                                                                                                      50

        90
        80
                                                                                                                                                                                          builders.                                                                                                                                                                                0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Worli
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Juhu
        70

        60
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Santacruz                                                                                                                                     Prabhadevi
        50
             1Q2008

                      2Q2008

                               3Q2008

                                        4Q2008

                                                 1Q2009

                                                          2Q2009

                                                                   3Q2009

                                                                            4Q2009

                                                                                     1Q2010

                                                                                              2Q2010

                                                                                                       3Q2010

                                                                                                                4Q2010

                                                                                                                         1Q2011

                                                                                                                                  2Q2011

                                                                                                                                           3Q2011

                                                                                                                                                    4Q2011

                                                                                                                                                             1Q2012

                                                                                                                                                                      2Q2012

                                                                                                                                                                               3Q2012




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Khar                                     Bandra
    Rebase to 100 in 4Q 2008                                                                                                                                                                                                                     INR per Sq ft Per Month




       NEW PROJECTS

       Project Name                                                                                                                                            Location                                     Developer Name           Tentative Possession                                                                                                                          Rate (Per Sq.ft.)*

       Crescent Bay                                                                                                                                            Parel                                        L&T                                             4Q 2017                                                                                                                                                           17,500

       New Cuffe Parade (New Tower)                                                                                                                            Wadala                                       Lodha Group                                     4Q 2017                                                                                                                                                           16,500

       New Vinay                                                                                                                                               Santacruz                                    Kabra & Associates                              4Q 2014                                                                                                                                                           16,000

       Venezia                                                                                                                                                 Parel                                        Lodha Group                                     4Q 2017                                                                                                                                                           19,980




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Note: * Base selling price as quoted by developer



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Colliers International |                                                                                                                                        p. 3

K
INDIA | 3Q 2012 | residential


                                                                                                                                                                                     Delhi                                                        3Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  CAPITAL VALUE
                                                                                                                                                                                     •		During 3Q 2012, limited new supply was
                                                                                                                                                                                       added to the city’s premium residential                        100,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          90,000
                                                                                                                                                                                       inventory; only few small-scale redevelopment                      80,000

                                                                                                                                                                                       residential projects were ready for possession                     70,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          60,000

                                                                                                                                                                                       in locations such as Anand Niketan, Defence                        50,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          40,000
                                                                                                                                                                                       Colony, Vasant Vihar and Shanti Niketan.                           30,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          INR per Sq Ft
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          20,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          10,000
                                                                                                                                                                                     •	No new premium residential project was                                  0

                                                                                                                                                                                       launched during this quarter.




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Vasant Vihar
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Sunder Nagar




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Anand Niketan,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Prithviraj Road,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Aurangzeb Road



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Chanakya Puri


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Golf Links, Jor Bagh,



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Shanti Niketan,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Westend


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Panchashila, Anandlok,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Niti Bagh, SDA


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Friends Colony,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Maharani Bagh


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Greater Kailash
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            I & II, South
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Extension
                                                                                                                                                                                     •	In 3Q 2012, capital values for premium
                                                                                                                                                                                       residential properties increased marginally
                                                                                                                                                                                       in almost all the micro markets, a few micro
                                                                                                                                                                                       markets like Shanti Niketan, Anand Niketan,
delhi                                                                                                                                                                                  Friends Colony and Greater Kailash, where
                                                                                                                                                                                       capital value increased in the range of 3 to               CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS
                                                                                                                                                                                       8% QoQ. This could be attributed to the
CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER                                                                                                                                                             new construction happening in these micro                    100,000

                                                                                                                                                                                       markets, which in turn pegging up the capital
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          90,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          80,000
                                                                                       2Q 2012                                              3Q 2012                                    values.                                                            70,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          60,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          50,000

              RENTAL VALUE                                                                                                                                                           •	Rental values for premium residential
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          40,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          30,000




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          INR per Sq Ft
                                                                                                                                                                                       properties appreciated in the range of 3 to 7%                     20,000

           CAPITAL VALUE                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  10,000

                                                                                                                                                                                       QoQ across all the micro markets. The rentals                          0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1Q2008
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2Q2008
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          3Q2008
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   4Q2008
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1Q2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2Q2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            3Q2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      4Q2009
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                1Q2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            2Q2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      3Q2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          4Q2010
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   1Q2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2Q2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      3Q2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               4Q2011
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 2Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          3Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                                       increase was primarily attributed to the limited
                                                                                                                                                                                       supply of prime residential properties.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Golf Links, Jor Bagh, Sunder Nagar                                                                                              Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Chanakya Puri                                                                                                                  Shanti Niketan, Westend

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA                                                                                          Friends Colony, Maharani Bagh


                                                                                                                                                                                     •	In this quarter, the Delhi State Government                                                  Greater Kailash I & II, South Extension                                                                                        Anand Niketan, Vasant Vihar



                                                                                                                                                                                       has started allocating the first batch of 500
                                                                                                                                                                                       low-cost flats in Bawana to the slum dwellers.
                                                                                                                                                                                       The entire project consists of 14,000 low-cost
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  3Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL average
 COLLIERS RESIDEX 3Q 2012 - DELHI                                                                                                                                                      flats in eight slum clusters in West and South
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  RENTAL VALUE
                                                                                                                                                                                       Delhi, which are expected to be ready by the
    150
                                                                                                                                                                                       end of 2012. Correspondingly, flats will be
    140                                                                                                                                                                                allotted to the slum dwellers.                                                                                                       Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              200
   130                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Anand Niketan,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Vasant Vihar                                                          160                                                                         Chanakya Puri
   120
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                120
    110
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     80
   100                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Greater                                                                        40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Kailash I
    90                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             & II, South                                                                       0                                                                                  Golf Links, Jor Bagh,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Extension                                                                                                                                                               Sunder Nagar
    80

    70

    60                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Friends Colony,                                                                                                                                    Shanti Niketan, Westend
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Maharani Bagh
    50
          1Q2008
                   2Q2008

                            3Q2008

                                     4Q2008

                                              1Q2009

                                                       2Q2009

                                                                3Q2009

                                                                         4Q2009

                                                                                  1Q2010

                                                                                           2Q2010

                                                                                                    3Q2010
                                                                                                             4Q2010

                                                                                                                      1Q2011

                                                                                                                               2Q2011

                                                                                                                                        3Q2011

                                                                                                                                                 4Q2011

                                                                                                                                                          1Q2012

                                                                                                                                                                   2Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                            3Q2012




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA

Rebase to 100 in 4Q 2008                                                                                                                                                                                                                       INR per Sq ft Per Month




   Ongoing Projects

   Project Name                                                                                                                                              Location                                     Developer Name          Tentative Possession                                                                                                      Rate (Per Sq.ft.)*

   Capital Greens                                                                                                                                            Shivaji Marg                                 DLF Ltd.                                        2Q 2015                                                                                                                                                  14,000

   Castewood                                                                                                                                                 Okhla                                        Indiabulls Ltd.                                 4Q 2013                                                                                                                                                  12,800

   Kings Court                                                                                                                                               Greater Kailash- II                          DLF Ltd.                                         1Q 2015                                                                                                                                                 36,000

   Metro Park                                                                                                                                                Dwaraka Morh                                 Umang Realtech                                  4Q 2014                                                                                                                                                  8,500

   Queens Court                                                                                                                                              Greater Kailash- II                          DLF Ltd.                                         1Q 2015                                                                                                                                                 30,000

   Winter Hills                                                                                                                                              Dwaraka Morh                                 Umang Realtech                                  4Q 2013                                                                                                                                                  7,000

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Note: * Base selling price as quoted by developer



p. 4               | Colliers International
Residential Property Market Overview Nov 2012
Residential Property Market Overview Nov 2012
Residential Property Market Overview Nov 2012
Residential Property Market Overview Nov 2012
Residential Property Market Overview Nov 2012
Residential Property Market Overview Nov 2012
Residential Property Market Overview Nov 2012
Residential Property Market Overview Nov 2012

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Residential Property Market Overview Nov 2012

  • 1. Residential Property Market Overview INDIA QUARTERLY UPDATE | NOVEMBER | 2012 Accelerating success.
  • 2. 3Q 2012 | RESIDENTIAL Research report SYDNEY CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT research & forecast Report India RESIDENTIAL market MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW • India’s GDP growth has slowed to a 3 year low at 5.3% in the April-June quarter of the current fiscal. The wholesale price index reached 7.45% in October this year much above the RBI’s expected range. • As the inflation remained higher, the central bank did not provide any repo rate cut this quarter. However, in October 2012, the RBI did reduce the (CRR) Cash Reserve Ratio by 25 basis points to induce immediate liquidity in the market in its mid-year policy review. Earlier, in July 2012, the RBI also reduced its SLR (Statutory Liquidity Requirement) by 1%. • Foreign direct investment (FDI) in India was around $1.76 billion in July 2012. Sectors which ECONOMIC BAROMETER received large FDI inflows were Services, Pharmaceuticals, Construction and Power. Oct-11 Oct-12 • During this festive season the Indian banking sector offered cheaper home loans rates and lower processing fee to boost the sagging housing market across the country. For example State Bank REPO RATE 8.50% 8.00% of India reduced its processing fee by half across all loans volumes till 31 December 2012. Similarly, Punjab National Bank offered full waiver on processing fee till Nov 2012. Other banks REVERSE REPO RATE 7.50% 7.00% like ICICI, Federal Bank and Bank of Baroda are providing concessional interest rates during this CRR 6.00% 4.25% season. INFLATION 9.87% 7.45% • The Finance Minister has announced a slew of reform measures such as diesel price hike, cap 1 on the number of subsidised cooking gas cylinders per family, liberalising foreign holding norms Home Loan Rate 10.00% 10.00% in aviation, multi-brand retail, non-news broadcasting and power exchanges sectors, and divesting its stake in five companies. However, most of these reform measures faced strong opposition and implementation of these measures is still uncertain. Return on Alternative Investments ECONOMIC INDICATORS Oct-11 Oct-12 YoY % Change 12.0 11.0 Gold 26,887 30,961 15.15% 10.0 SILVER 53,371 59,921 12.27% 9.0 8.0 2 Fixed Deposit 8.25% 8.50% 3.03% 7.0 EQUITY 17,025 18,713 9.92% 6.0 5.0 REALTY INDEX 1,836 1,879 2.36% 4.0 3.0 2.0 In Percentage 1.0 1 SBI Home Loan Rate for Loan Amount upto INR 30 Lakhs. 2 0.0 SBI Fixed Deposit rate for a period of more than one year and Feb ‘08 Apr ‘08 Jun ‘08 Aug‘08 Oct‘08 Dec ‘08 Feb ‘09 Apr ‘09 Jun ‘09 Augt‘09 Oct ‘09 Dec ‘09 Feb ‘10 Apr ‘10 Jun ‘10 Aug‘10 Oct‘10 Dec ‘10 Feb ‘11 Apr ‘11 Jun ‘11 Aug ‘11 Oct ‘11 Dec ‘11 Feb‘12 Apr ‘12 Jun ‘12 AUg ‘12 Oct ‘12 amount less than INR 1 Crore (-1.0) Repo Rate Reverse Repo Rate Cash Reserve Ratio Wholesale Price Index Source: Colliers International India Research www.colliers.com
  • 3. INDIA | 3q 2012 | residential MUMBAI 3Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage CAPITAL VALUE • During 3Q 2012, Mumbai’s residential market witnessed the launch of several new 70,000 60,000 projects, such as “New Vinay” by kabra & 50,000 Associates at Santacruz; “Crescent Bay by 40,000 L&T at Parel; "Venezia” and a new tower in 30,000 “New Cuffe Parade” by Lodha Group at Parel 20,000 INR per sq ft 10,000 and Wadala, respectively. All of these projects 0 were priced in the range of INR 16,000 per sq Khar Malabar Hill, Altamount Road, Carmichael Road Breach Candy, Napeansea Road, Peddar Road Colaba, Cuffe Parade Worli Prabhadevi Bandra Santacruz Juhu Andheri Powai ft to INR 20,000 per sq ft. • During the last 2 quarters, construction activity remained slow and no new residential projects/phases of projects completed in Mumbai. MUMBAI • Capital values in the western and central parts CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS of Mumbai increased in the range of 1-2% CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER QoQ. However, in south-central locations, 75,000 such as Malabar Hill, Altamount Road, 65,000 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 Carmichael Road, Breach Candy, Napeansea 55,000 45,000 Road, Peddar Road, Colaba and Cuffe Parade, 35,000 RENTAL VALUE and central locations, such as Powai, capital 25,000 INR per sq ft values remained stable. 15,000 CAPITAL VALUE 5,000 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 2Q2012 3Q2012 • The rental values of premium residential properties remained stable in almost all of Breach Candy, Khar Colaba, Andheri Napeansea Road, Cuffe Parade the micro markets, except in those, such as Peddar Road Prabhadevi Bandra Worli Powai Malabar Hill, Santacruz Worli, Prabhadevi and Powai, where rents Juhu Altamount Road, Carmichael Road increased by 1%, and those micro markets in south-central locations, where rents declined by 1%. 3Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage COLLIERS RESIDEX 3Q 2012 - MUMBAI RENTAL VALUE • he State Government of Maharashtra passed T 150 the Maharashtra Housing Regulation and Malabar Hill, Altamount Road, Development Bill 2012. The aim of the bill Carmichael Road 140 Breach Candy, Powai 200 Napeansea Rd., 130 is to bring transparency to the realty sector 150 Peddar rd. 120 110 and empower end-users by protecting their Andheri 100 Colaba, Cuffe Parade 100 interests from the objectionable practices of 50 90 80 builders. 0 Worli Juhu 70 60 Santacruz Prabhadevi 50 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 2Q2012 3Q2012 Khar Bandra Rebase to 100 in 4Q 2008 INR per Sq ft Per Month NEW PROJECTS Project Name Location Developer Name Tentative Possession Rate (Per Sq.ft.)* Crescent Bay Parel L&T 4Q 2017 17,500 New Cuffe Parade (New Tower) Wadala Lodha Group 4Q 2017 16,500 New Vinay Santacruz Kabra & Associates 4Q 2014 16,000 Venezia Parel Lodha Group 4Q 2017 19,980 Note: * Base selling price as quoted by developer Colliers International | p. 3 K
  • 4. INDIA | 3Q 2012 | residential Delhi 3Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL AVerage CAPITAL VALUE • During 3Q 2012, limited new supply was added to the city’s premium residential 100,000 90,000 inventory; only few small-scale redevelopment 80,000 residential projects were ready for possession 70,000 60,000 in locations such as Anand Niketan, Defence 50,000 40,000 Colony, Vasant Vihar and Shanti Niketan. 30,000 INR per Sq Ft 20,000 10,000 • No new premium residential project was 0 launched during this quarter. Vasant Vihar Sunder Nagar Anand Niketan, Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road Chanakya Puri Golf Links, Jor Bagh, Shanti Niketan, Westend Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA Friends Colony, Maharani Bagh Greater Kailash I & II, South Extension • In 3Q 2012, capital values for premium residential properties increased marginally in almost all the micro markets, a few micro markets like Shanti Niketan, Anand Niketan, delhi Friends Colony and Greater Kailash, where capital value increased in the range of 3 to CAPITAL VALUE TRENDS 8% QoQ. This could be attributed to the CITY RESIDENTIAL BAROMETER new construction happening in these micro 100,000 markets, which in turn pegging up the capital 90,000 80,000 2Q 2012 3Q 2012 values. 70,000 60,000 50,000 RENTAL VALUE • Rental values for premium residential 40,000 30,000 INR per Sq Ft properties appreciated in the range of 3 to 7% 20,000 CAPITAL VALUE 10,000 QoQ across all the micro markets. The rentals 0 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 2Q2012 3Q2012 increase was primarily attributed to the limited supply of prime residential properties. Golf Links, Jor Bagh, Sunder Nagar Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road Chanakya Puri Shanti Niketan, Westend Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA Friends Colony, Maharani Bagh • In this quarter, the Delhi State Government Greater Kailash I & II, South Extension Anand Niketan, Vasant Vihar has started allocating the first batch of 500 low-cost flats in Bawana to the slum dwellers. The entire project consists of 14,000 low-cost 3Q 2012 PREMIUM RESIDENTIAL average COLLIERS RESIDEX 3Q 2012 - DELHI flats in eight slum clusters in West and South RENTAL VALUE Delhi, which are expected to be ready by the 150 end of 2012. Correspondingly, flats will be 140 allotted to the slum dwellers. Prithviraj Road, Aurangzeb Road 200 130 Anand Niketan, Vasant Vihar 160 Chanakya Puri 120 120 110 80 100 Greater 40 Kailash I 90 & II, South 0 Golf Links, Jor Bagh, Extension Sunder Nagar 80 70 60 Friends Colony, Shanti Niketan, Westend Maharani Bagh 50 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 2Q2012 3Q2012 Panchashila, Anandlok, Niti Bagh, SDA Rebase to 100 in 4Q 2008 INR per Sq ft Per Month Ongoing Projects Project Name Location Developer Name Tentative Possession Rate (Per Sq.ft.)* Capital Greens Shivaji Marg DLF Ltd. 2Q 2015 14,000 Castewood Okhla Indiabulls Ltd. 4Q 2013 12,800 Kings Court Greater Kailash- II DLF Ltd. 1Q 2015 36,000 Metro Park Dwaraka Morh Umang Realtech 4Q 2014 8,500 Queens Court Greater Kailash- II DLF Ltd. 1Q 2015 30,000 Winter Hills Dwaraka Morh Umang Realtech 4Q 2013 7,000 Note: * Base selling price as quoted by developer p. 4 | Colliers International