Civil Beat Poll October 2018 — Constitutional Convention:

1. Civil Beat Poll
Representative Sample:
Likely Voters Statewide (961, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points)
--ConCon—Issue (473, Margin of Error +/- 4.5 percentage points)
--ConCon—Vote (488, Margin of Error +/- 4.4 percentage points)
Fielded, October 8 – 12, 2018
1
Approximately half of the poll's respondents were asked about the Constitutional
Convention as a general "issue" for which they could express support, opposition, a lack
of knowledge, or a lack of interest. The other half of the poll's respondents were asked,
specifically, how they would vote on it:
AS AN ISSUES QUESTION: Every 10 years, Hawaii's voters have the opportunity to
call for a state constitutional convention. A constitutional convention would give Hawaii's
voters a chance to amend the state constitution without going through the legislature.
The last time voters chose to hold a constitutional convention was in 1978. Whether or
not to hold new constitutional convention will be on the ballot again in 2018. If it passes
in 2018, voters will elect convention delegates, and the delegates will meet, and may
recommend changes to the state constitution. Any changes the convention
recommends would then go to Hawaii's voters to either ratify or reject. Based on the
information you have heard, would you support or oppose holding a constitutional
convention in Hawaii, do you not know enough yet to have an opinion, or does it not
matter to you much either way?
Support 47%
Oppose 32%
Need more info 19%
Doesn't matter 0%
Not sure 2%
Total 100%
AS A VOTING QUESTION: Every 10 years, Hawaii's voters have the opportunity to call
for a state constitutional convention. Hawaii's upcoming ballot in November will include
the question: "shall there be a convention to propose a revision of, or amendments to,
the Constitution?" Would you vote "yes" or "no" to holding a constitutional convention in
Hawaii, or would you probably not vote either way on this ballot question?
Yes 26%
No 46%
Won't vote on it 8%
Not sure 20%
Total 100%

2. Civil Beat Poll
Representative Sample:
Likely Voters Statewide (961, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points)
--ConCon—Issue (473, Margin of Error +/- 4.5 percentage points)
--ConCon—Vote (488, Margin of Error +/- 4.4 percentage points)
Fielded, October 8 – 12, 2018
2
CROSSTABS—ConCon Issue
Male Female
Support 50% 44%
Oppose 33% 30%
Need info 14% 23%
Does not
matter 0% 1%
Unsure 2% 2%
Total 100% 100%
Under 50
50 or
Older
Support 56% 45%
Oppose 24% 36%
Need info 20% 17%
Does not
matter 0% 0%
Unsure 1% 3%
Total 100% 100%
Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/Mixed
Support 47% 42% 30% 58% 50% 39% 55%
Oppose 28% 43% 33% 27% 25% 39% 30%
Need info 24% 14% 27% 8% 20% 22% 13%
Does not
matter 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Unsure 2% 2% 7% 6% 5% 0% 1%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

3. Civil Beat Poll
Representative Sample:
Likely Voters Statewide (961, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points)
--ConCon—Issue (473, Margin of Error +/- 4.5 percentage points)
--ConCon—Vote (488, Margin of Error +/- 4.4 percentage points)
Fielded, October 8 – 12, 2018
3
Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative
Support 52% 39% 48%
Oppose 34% 38% 33%
Need info 13% 21% 18%
Does not
matter 0% 0% 0%
Unsure 2% 2% 1%
Total 100% 100% 100%
Democrat Republican Independent
Support 50% 38% 49%
Oppose 34% 36% 25%
Need info 13% 25% 23%
Does not
matter 0% 0% 0%
Unsure 2% 1% 3%
Total 100% 100% 100%
College
Degree
No
college
Degree
Support 42% 56%
Oppose 38% 24%
Need info 18% 17%
Does not
matter 0% 0%
Unsure 1% 3%
Total 100% 100%

4. Civil Beat Poll
Representative Sample:
Likely Voters Statewide (961, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points)
--ConCon—Issue (473, Margin of Error +/- 4.5 percentage points)
--ConCon—Vote (488, Margin of Error +/- 4.4 percentage points)
Fielded, October 8 – 12, 2018
4
Less than
$50,000
$50,000 -
$100,000
More
than
$100,000
Support 64% 52% 39%
Oppose 21% 31% 42%
Need info 11% 16% 19%
Does not
matter 0% 0% 0%
Unsure 3% 1% 1%
Total 100% 100% 100%
Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai
Support 54% 49% 35% 35% 33%
Oppose 27% 31% 36% 39% 49%
Need info 17% 19% 26% 24% 15%
Does not
matter 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Unsure 3% 1% 4% 2% 3%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

5. Civil Beat Poll
Representative Sample:
Likely Voters Statewide (961, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points)
--ConCon—Issue (473, Margin of Error +/- 4.5 percentage points)
--ConCon—Vote (488, Margin of Error +/- 4.4 percentage points)
Fielded, October 8 – 12, 2018
5
CROSSTABS—ConCon Vote
Male Female
Yes 22% 29%
No 55% 39%
Will not
vote 12% 5%
Unsure 12% 26%
Total 100% 100%
Under 50
50 or
Older
Yes 31% 24%
No 37% 50%
Will not
vote 12% 7%
Unsure 21% 20%
Total 100% 100%
Caucasian Japanese Filipino Hawaiian Chinese Hispanic Other/Mixed
Yes 25% 16% 31% 39% 43% 11% 34%
No 44% 65% 39% 27% 33% 22% 45%
Will not
vote 9% 7% 4% 7% 19% 11% 5%
Unsure 22% 13% 27% 27% 5% 56% 16%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

6. Civil Beat Poll
Representative Sample:
Likely Voters Statewide (961, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points)
--ConCon—Issue (473, Margin of Error +/- 4.5 percentage points)
--ConCon—Vote (488, Margin of Error +/- 4.4 percentage points)
Fielded, October 8 – 12, 2018
6
Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative
Yes 33% 24% 21%
No 39% 50% 58%
Will not
vote 8% 8% 7%
Unsure 20% 19% 14%
Total 100% 100% 100%
Democrat Republican Independent
Yes 27% 23% 29%
No 43% 63% 44%
Will not
vote 8% 4% 11%
Unsure 22% 10% 16%
Total 100% 100% 100%
College
Degree
No
college
Degree
Yes 25% 32%
No 49% 43%
Will not
vote 9% 5%
Unsure 18% 21%
Total 100% 100%

7. Civil Beat Poll
Representative Sample:
Likely Voters Statewide (961, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points)
--ConCon—Issue (473, Margin of Error +/- 4.5 percentage points)
--ConCon—Vote (488, Margin of Error +/- 4.4 percentage points)
Fielded, October 8 – 12, 2018
7
Less than
$50,000
$50,000 -
$100,000
More
than
$100,000
Yes 35% 28% 22%
No 36% 52% 44%
Will not
vote 7% 7% 11%
Unsure 22% 14% 23%
Total 100% 100% 100%
Oahu_1 Oahu_2 Hawaii Maui Kauai
Yes 25% 28% 27% 33% 6%
No 47% 45% 43% 51% 33%
Will not
vote 9% 11% 4% 22%
Unsure 19% 16% 27% 16% 39%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

8. Civil Beat Poll
Representative Sample:
Likely Voters Statewide (961, Margin of Error +/- 3.2 percentage points)
--ConCon—Issue (473, Margin of Error +/- 4.5 percentage points)
--ConCon—Vote (488, Margin of Error +/- 4.4 percentage points)
Fielded, October 8 – 12, 2018
8
About the Poll
Civil Beat surveyed a random sample of 961 likely General Election voters statewide.
Calls were made from October 8 – 12, 2018, using interactive voice response
technology (touch-tone polling). Cell phones were contacted by live call-agents who
obtained consent and then patched consenting participants through to the same
recorded survey as landline respondents. The sample consisted of 70% landlines and
30% cellphones.
Results were balanced for gender, age, ancestry/ethnicity/race, county and
Congressional District of residence, education, and likelihood of voting.
The margin of error +/- 3.2 percentage points. Other sources of error, such as imperfect
response rates and design effect (the effect of weighting results based on
demographics) are also common in public opinion research and may affect the results.
The adjusted margin of error, accounting for the design effect is +/- 4.3 percentage
points. The margin of error for any crosstabulated result is larger than the margin of
error of the corresponding topline result.
Some columns may sum to totals slightly higher or lower than 100% due to rounding.
The poll was conducted by Civil Beat working with Merriman River Group, a full-service
consulting organization specializing in opinion research, election management, and
communications.