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Cloud Computing: Sector Overview and Potential Investment
Opportunities

Author: Casey Simmons

April 21, 2011
Agenda
•   Conclusions
•   Cloud Computing Market Overview
         Market Opportunity
         Investment Thesis
              Product Footprint/Price Point/Web-marketing tactics
              Startups Benefit from Scalable Infrastructure: Salesforce & Amazon
              Corporate IT Outsourcing More
              Virtualization




                                                                                    2
Conclusions
• Keys to Successful SAAS Offering
     • Narrow footprint, attractive price point, sold through inside salesforce, then grow into
       large enterprise sales

• Infrastructure (“Internal”) Software
     • Storage requirements continue to rise dramatically
     • Server/Virtualization creates highly scalable infrastructure
     • High BTE due to necessary scale for IAAS
     • Relationship starts in smaller department functions
     • Eventually centralized purchaser, fewer number of customers, larger customer
       footprint

• User-facing (“External”) Applications
     • Large scale
     • Most apps today are new version of legacy application
          • Need ease of use, configurability, low maintenance                            3
Agenda
•   Conclusions
•   Cloud Computing Market Overview
         Market Opportunity
         Investment Thesis
              Product Footprint/Price Point/Web-marketing tactics
              Startups Benefit from Scalable Infrastructure: Salesforce & Amazon
              Corporate IT Outsourcing More
              Virtualization




                                                                                    4
Cloud Market Opportunity ~ $109 Billion




                                                  5

Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Research
Agenda
•   Conclusions
•   Cloud Computing Market Overview
         Market Opportunity
         Investment Thesis
              Product Footprint/Price Point/Web-marketing tactics
              Startups Benefit from Scalable Infrastructure: Salesforce & Amazon
              Corporate IT Outsourcing More
              Virtualization




                                                                                    6
Investment Thesis
 Product Footprint/Price Point/Web-marketing tactics

 Startups Benefit from Scalable Infrastructure: Salesforce & Amazon

 Corporate IT Outsourcing More

 Virtualization




                                                                       7
Investment Thesis
 Product Footprint/Price Point/Web-marketing tactics

 Startups Benefit from Scalable Infrastructure: Salesforce & Amazon

 Corporate IT Outsourcing More

 Virtualization




                                                                       8
Consumer Foreshadows Enterprise
          What drives your internet behavior?




          What drives your smartphone decision?
            • Applications
            • Carrier
            • Price
            • Ease of Use
            • Functionality

                                                          9

Source: Goldman Sachs Research Estimates, Synovate 2007
Winning SAAS Business Characteristics

            • Target Large Enterprises
                    • Smaller version HP Openview or IBM Tivoli
            • Converting customers to spokespersons
            • Product Design Process
                    • Controlled process to build to produce but uncontrolled to
                       sell/market
                    • Build pool of ready users
                    • Keep testing quickly and frequently
                    • Manage global functionality
                    • Consistent Product Releases


                                                                                   10

Source: Goldman Sachs Research Estimates, Synovate 2007
Investment Thesis
 Product Footprint/Price Point/Web-marketing tactics

 Startups Benefit from Scalable Infrastructure: Salesforce & Amazon

 Corporate IT Outsourcing More

 Virtualization




                                                                       11
Cloud Landscape




                                      12

Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Research
Developer Ecosystems of Choice


                                                                                                          IT Web
                                 Social Networking                                                    Infrastructure
                                                                                                           Suite




   Application/Device
                                  Force.com                     Partnerships:   Pay Only for
                                                                                                                                 No upfront
                                                                 Google &                                                     expense or long-
        Agnostic
                                                                 Facebook
                                                                                Consumption               EC2                  term contract
                               Service Cloud
                                                                                                      SimpleDB
                               AppExchange
                                                                                                           S3
                                      Chatter
                                                                                                          SQS
                                 VisualForce
                                                                                         Reliable &                     Scalability
                   Content                           Create business                      Secure                       Without Capex
                 Management                          app on-demand




                                                                                                                                         13

Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Research
Investment Thesis
 Product Footprint/Price Point/Web-marketing tactics


 Startups Benefit from Scalable Infrastructure: Salesforce & Amazon

 Corporate IT Outsourcing More

 Virtualization




                                                                       14
Areas of Existing SAAS Investment
      • B2B/Inter-company applications: E2Open, Quadrem, Agentrics, SPS Commerce, Management Dynamics
      • System Integration: Astadia, Bluewolf, Appirio
      • Website Analytics: Omniture (Adobe)
      • CRM: Salesforce, Eloqua, Right90
                Right90: Increased revenue 240% in 2008         (1)


                Eloqua: Increased revenue 75% in 2008     (1)


      • ERP: Netsuite, Workday
                Client/Server: Infor, Consona, Epicor, and Activant
      • Demand Analytics: DemandTec
      • Talent Management: Ultimate Software, SilkRoad, Authoria, Kenexa




                                                                                                  15

(1) Source: Deutsche Bank Research
Investment Thesis
 Product Footprint/Price Point/Web-marketing tactics


 Startups Benefit from Scalable Infrastructure: Salesforce & Amazon

 Corporate IT Outsourcing More

 Virtualization




                                                                       16
Client Server with Virtualization vs. Multi-Tenancy




             Shifts Customization at Metadata layer to reduce application management
             and infrastructure costs while enabling architecture scaling
                                                                                       17

Source: Deutsche Bank Research
Next Steps to Find Investment Opportunities
 Evaluate major enterprise applications

     Large Installed Base

     High maintenance expenses

     Find/Build SAAS team that knows legacy space




                                                     18
Appendix




           19

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Cloud Computing V1

  • 1. Cloud Computing: Sector Overview and Potential Investment Opportunities Author: Casey Simmons April 21, 2011
  • 2. Agenda • Conclusions • Cloud Computing Market Overview  Market Opportunity  Investment Thesis  Product Footprint/Price Point/Web-marketing tactics  Startups Benefit from Scalable Infrastructure: Salesforce & Amazon  Corporate IT Outsourcing More  Virtualization 2
  • 3. Conclusions • Keys to Successful SAAS Offering • Narrow footprint, attractive price point, sold through inside salesforce, then grow into large enterprise sales • Infrastructure (“Internal”) Software • Storage requirements continue to rise dramatically • Server/Virtualization creates highly scalable infrastructure • High BTE due to necessary scale for IAAS • Relationship starts in smaller department functions • Eventually centralized purchaser, fewer number of customers, larger customer footprint • User-facing (“External”) Applications • Large scale • Most apps today are new version of legacy application • Need ease of use, configurability, low maintenance 3
  • 4. Agenda • Conclusions • Cloud Computing Market Overview  Market Opportunity  Investment Thesis  Product Footprint/Price Point/Web-marketing tactics  Startups Benefit from Scalable Infrastructure: Salesforce & Amazon  Corporate IT Outsourcing More  Virtualization 4
  • 5. Cloud Market Opportunity ~ $109 Billion 5 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Research
  • 6. Agenda • Conclusions • Cloud Computing Market Overview  Market Opportunity  Investment Thesis  Product Footprint/Price Point/Web-marketing tactics  Startups Benefit from Scalable Infrastructure: Salesforce & Amazon  Corporate IT Outsourcing More  Virtualization 6
  • 7. Investment Thesis  Product Footprint/Price Point/Web-marketing tactics  Startups Benefit from Scalable Infrastructure: Salesforce & Amazon  Corporate IT Outsourcing More  Virtualization 7
  • 8. Investment Thesis  Product Footprint/Price Point/Web-marketing tactics  Startups Benefit from Scalable Infrastructure: Salesforce & Amazon  Corporate IT Outsourcing More  Virtualization 8
  • 9. Consumer Foreshadows Enterprise What drives your internet behavior? What drives your smartphone decision? • Applications • Carrier • Price • Ease of Use • Functionality 9 Source: Goldman Sachs Research Estimates, Synovate 2007
  • 10. Winning SAAS Business Characteristics • Target Large Enterprises • Smaller version HP Openview or IBM Tivoli • Converting customers to spokespersons • Product Design Process • Controlled process to build to produce but uncontrolled to sell/market • Build pool of ready users • Keep testing quickly and frequently • Manage global functionality • Consistent Product Releases 10 Source: Goldman Sachs Research Estimates, Synovate 2007
  • 11. Investment Thesis  Product Footprint/Price Point/Web-marketing tactics  Startups Benefit from Scalable Infrastructure: Salesforce & Amazon  Corporate IT Outsourcing More  Virtualization 11
  • 12. Cloud Landscape 12 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Research
  • 13. Developer Ecosystems of Choice IT Web Social Networking Infrastructure Suite Application/Device Force.com Partnerships: Pay Only for No upfront Google & expense or long- Agnostic Facebook Consumption EC2 term contract Service Cloud SimpleDB AppExchange S3 Chatter SQS VisualForce Reliable & Scalability Content Create business Secure Without Capex Management app on-demand 13 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Research
  • 14. Investment Thesis  Product Footprint/Price Point/Web-marketing tactics  Startups Benefit from Scalable Infrastructure: Salesforce & Amazon  Corporate IT Outsourcing More  Virtualization 14
  • 15. Areas of Existing SAAS Investment • B2B/Inter-company applications: E2Open, Quadrem, Agentrics, SPS Commerce, Management Dynamics • System Integration: Astadia, Bluewolf, Appirio • Website Analytics: Omniture (Adobe) • CRM: Salesforce, Eloqua, Right90  Right90: Increased revenue 240% in 2008 (1)  Eloqua: Increased revenue 75% in 2008 (1) • ERP: Netsuite, Workday  Client/Server: Infor, Consona, Epicor, and Activant • Demand Analytics: DemandTec • Talent Management: Ultimate Software, SilkRoad, Authoria, Kenexa 15 (1) Source: Deutsche Bank Research
  • 16. Investment Thesis  Product Footprint/Price Point/Web-marketing tactics  Startups Benefit from Scalable Infrastructure: Salesforce & Amazon  Corporate IT Outsourcing More  Virtualization 16
  • 17. Client Server with Virtualization vs. Multi-Tenancy Shifts Customization at Metadata layer to reduce application management and infrastructure costs while enabling architecture scaling 17 Source: Deutsche Bank Research
  • 18. Next Steps to Find Investment Opportunities  Evaluate major enterprise applications  Large Installed Base  High maintenance expenses  Find/Build SAAS team that knows legacy space 18
  • 19. Appendix 19