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Forest Fragmentation:
The State of Our Forests
and Prospects for
Conservation
             Maile C. Neel
Taryn Sudol                                                           Nikolaus Anderson
Sustainable
Development and                                                             Norton-Brown
Conservation                                                                Herbarium
Program




Thanks to Prince George’s County for access to tree canopy and Green Infrastructure data
The Three R’s : Representation, Redundancy and Resilience




The 3 R’s rest on of the premise that
biodiversity conservation is about space –
            space in which species go about the activities
            that allow them to shelter, feed and breed.

                                 Shaffer and Stein (2000) Our Precious Heritage
Three R’s : Representation, Redundancy and Resilience




     Represent sites that support species or processes of interest
     Include redundant sites to protect against catastrophic loss
     Choose sites that are resilient to disturbance
            Large
            Well connected to other sites
Photos from Buzzle
Fragmentation includes both habitat loss and isolation


             Extensive continuous habitat
Increasing
  Habitat
   Loss      Reduced extent

             See incision into habitat
             Increased edge effects




             Perforation
             Additional reduction in area




             Yet more reduction in area
             More patches
             Isolation of small, remnant patches
Increasing
                                            Amount of
                                            Aggregation




Increasing Amount of Habitat
                               Neel et al. 2004, Landscape Ecology
You Are   146,171 acres total
Here      28,055 patches

          Mean Patch Size: 5.3 acres
          Median Patch Size: 0.3 acres
          Largest Patch: 6,690 acres




                 47% of land area in
                 the county
20000
                    15000
Number of Patches
                    10000
                    5000
                    0




                            1   10   50 100 500 1000    3000   >5000

                                       Patch Area (Acres)
National Land Cover Data Set Classification




                           Developed
                           Forested
                           Agriculture




                                                         Miles
                                  0   1.75   3.5   7   10.5
Examples of tree
canopy in
developed areas
106,063 acres total
                                         9,818 patches

                                         Mean Patch Size: 10.8 acres
                                         Median Patch Size: 0.26 acres
                                         Largest Patch: 3,971 acres



Green Infrastructure
Tree Canopy in GI




                                 Miles
          0   1.75   3.5   7   10.5
7000
                    6000
                    5000
Number of Patches
                    4000




                                                             3,456 patches are ≄1 acre
                    3000
                    2000
                    1000
                    0




                           1   10   50 100 500 1000         3000   >5000

                                       Patch Area (Acres)
Only 1,006 patches have
any habitat farther than
180 feet from an edge.
Graph Theoretic Approaches to Connectivity Assessment

                                         Links
                           Patches
   Components:
   All individual patches
   (nodes)
   &
   Patches joined by links
   (edges)



    ‱Number of Components at a particular distance
    ‱Distance at which all nodes form one component
    ‱Number of nodes in the largest component
Three Sources of Connectivity

Area Within Continuous Patches                                           Intra-Patch


                                                                             D
             A                                    C
                                B
                                                       Size

Movement Between Patches that are Either a Source or Destination         Flux


                                                                         D
         A                                    C
                            B
                                                       Size of A and C and number of links

Movement Through Stepping Stone Patches                                  Connector


                                                                             D
             A                                    C
                                B                      Number of links and size of A and C
Integral Index of Connectivity - IIC
                                                  area

                                                   number of links
                                              area of the landscape


 A                                                                     D
                                          C

                      B


                          nlAC=2



Equivalent Connectivity (ECIIC) – the area of one continuous habitat
patch that has the same value of IIC as the observed landscape.
Graph Theoretic Approaches to Connectivity Assessment

                                       1) How large and extensive
                                          are networks of patches
                                          that would be accessible
                                          to an organism that could
                                          disperse a specified
                                          distance?
                                       2) At what distances is the
                                          network most sensitive to
                                          changes in different
                                          aspects of connectivity?
                                       3) How do individual patches
                                          contribute to different
                                          aspects of connectivity?




                               Miles
      0   0.45   0.9   1.8   2.7
106,063 acres total
                                         9,818 patches

                                             Only patches ≄ 1 acre
                                             104,249 acres total
                                             3,456 patches



Green Infrastructure
Tree Canopy in GI




                                 Miles
          0   1.75   3.5   7   10.5
2000
Number of Components
                       1500
                       1000




                                  2300 ft - all patches form a connected network
                       500
                       0




                              0        2000           4000          6000           8000

                                                Distance (feet)
Components at 200 feet
                                                        309 patches are
  N=851                                                 in the largest
                                                        component




                                                Miles
                         0   1.75   3.5   7   10.5

3,456 original patches
Components at 300 feet
                                                        1,945 patches are
    N=409
                                                        in the largest
                                                        component




                                                Miles
                         0   1.75   3.5   7   10.5

3,456 original patches
Components at 500 feet
                                                        2,284 patches are
    N=179
                                                        in the largest
                                                        component




                                                Miles
                         0   1.75   3.5   7   10.5

3,456 original patches
45000
ECIIC (Acres)
                35000




                                   When all patches are first
                                   connected, ECIIC= 38,657 acres
                25000
                15000




                                          Total Acres: 104,249


                        0   2000        4000         6000           8000

                                   Distance (feet)
Patch Importance and Network Sensitivity

Sequentially remove each
patch
Recalculate all network
statistics
Change in the network
values without a patch
indicates its importance to
connectivity
Sum of changes across all
patches indicates network
sensitivity
Changes can be assessed as
  Total IIC
  Intra-patch
  Flux
  Connector
2
                       Sum of varIIC acres           
       0e+00   1e+09       2e+09               3e+09       4e+09   5e+09




0
2000
4000
6000
                                   Total IIC




8000
2
                       Sum of varIIC acres          
       0e+00   1e+09       2e+09              3e+09       4e+09   5e+09




0
2000
4000
6000
                               Total IIC
                               Within Patch




8000
2
                       Sum of varIIC acres    
       0e+00   1e+09       2e+09        3e+09       4e+09   5e+09




0
2000
4000
6000
                              Flux
                              Total IIC

                              Within Patch




8000
2
                       Sum of varIIC acres   
       0e+00   1e+09       2e+09    3e+09          4e+09   5e+09




0
2000
4000
6000
                            Flux
                            Total IIC

                            Connector
                            Within Patch




8000
2
                       Sum of varIIC acres   
       0e+00   1e+09       2e+09    3e+09          4e+09     5e+09




0
500
1000
1500
                                                    Flux
                                                    Total IIC




2000
                                                    Connector
                                                    Within Patch
Components
                                    200 feet                              300 feet




                            Miles                                 Miles
     0   1.75   3.5   7   10.5             0   1.75   3.5   7   10.5



     N=851                                     N=409
Top ten ranked patches
 for intra-patch
 connectivity




                                                 Miles
                          0   1.75   3.5   7   10.5

300 foot distance
Top ten ranked patches
 for flux connectivity




                                                 Miles
                          0   1.75   3.5   7   10.5

300 foot distance
Top ten ranked patches
 for connector function




                                                         ~12% loss in ECIIC value



                                                         18% loss in ECIIC value

                                                          21% loss in ECIIC value




                                                 Miles
                          0   1.75   3.5   7   10.5

300 foot distance
34,233 acres total
                              3,160 patches




32% of all canopy in Green
Infrastructure is protected
Intra-Patch Connectivity




45% protected
2 patches missing altogether
Flux Connectivity




35% protected
3 patches missing altogether
Connector Patches




47% protected
6 patches missing altogether
Forest Fragmentation: The States of Our Forests & Prospects for Conservation
Forest Fragmentation: The States of Our Forests & Prospects for Conservation
Forest Fragmentation: The States of Our Forests & Prospects for Conservation
Forest Fragmentation: The States of Our Forests & Prospects for Conservation

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Forest Fragmentation: The States of Our Forests & Prospects for Conservation

  • 1. Forest Fragmentation: The State of Our Forests and Prospects for Conservation Maile C. Neel
  • 2. Taryn Sudol Nikolaus Anderson Sustainable Development and Norton-Brown Conservation Herbarium Program Thanks to Prince George’s County for access to tree canopy and Green Infrastructure data
  • 3.
  • 4. The Three R’s : Representation, Redundancy and Resilience The 3 R’s rest on of the premise that biodiversity conservation is about space – space in which species go about the activities that allow them to shelter, feed and breed. Shaffer and Stein (2000) Our Precious Heritage
  • 5. Three R’s : Representation, Redundancy and Resilience Represent sites that support species or processes of interest Include redundant sites to protect against catastrophic loss Choose sites that are resilient to disturbance Large Well connected to other sites
  • 7. Fragmentation includes both habitat loss and isolation Extensive continuous habitat Increasing Habitat Loss Reduced extent See incision into habitat Increased edge effects Perforation Additional reduction in area Yet more reduction in area More patches Isolation of small, remnant patches
  • 8. Increasing Amount of Aggregation Increasing Amount of Habitat Neel et al. 2004, Landscape Ecology
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. You Are 146,171 acres total Here 28,055 patches Mean Patch Size: 5.3 acres Median Patch Size: 0.3 acres Largest Patch: 6,690 acres 47% of land area in the county
  • 17. 20000 15000 Number of Patches 10000 5000 0 1 10 50 100 500 1000 3000 >5000 Patch Area (Acres)
  • 18. National Land Cover Data Set Classification Developed Forested Agriculture Miles 0 1.75 3.5 7 10.5
  • 19.
  • 20. Examples of tree canopy in developed areas
  • 21.
  • 22. 106,063 acres total 9,818 patches Mean Patch Size: 10.8 acres Median Patch Size: 0.26 acres Largest Patch: 3,971 acres Green Infrastructure Tree Canopy in GI Miles 0 1.75 3.5 7 10.5
  • 23. 7000 6000 5000 Number of Patches 4000 3,456 patches are ≄1 acre 3000 2000 1000 0 1 10 50 100 500 1000 3000 >5000 Patch Area (Acres)
  • 24.
  • 25. Only 1,006 patches have any habitat farther than 180 feet from an edge.
  • 26.
  • 27. Graph Theoretic Approaches to Connectivity Assessment Links Patches Components: All individual patches (nodes) & Patches joined by links (edges) ‱Number of Components at a particular distance ‱Distance at which all nodes form one component ‱Number of nodes in the largest component
  • 28. Three Sources of Connectivity Area Within Continuous Patches Intra-Patch D A C B Size Movement Between Patches that are Either a Source or Destination Flux D A C B Size of A and C and number of links Movement Through Stepping Stone Patches Connector D A C B Number of links and size of A and C
  • 29. Integral Index of Connectivity - IIC area number of links area of the landscape A D C B nlAC=2 Equivalent Connectivity (ECIIC) – the area of one continuous habitat patch that has the same value of IIC as the observed landscape.
  • 30. Graph Theoretic Approaches to Connectivity Assessment 1) How large and extensive are networks of patches that would be accessible to an organism that could disperse a specified distance? 2) At what distances is the network most sensitive to changes in different aspects of connectivity? 3) How do individual patches contribute to different aspects of connectivity? Miles 0 0.45 0.9 1.8 2.7
  • 31. 106,063 acres total 9,818 patches Only patches ≄ 1 acre 104,249 acres total 3,456 patches Green Infrastructure Tree Canopy in GI Miles 0 1.75 3.5 7 10.5
  • 32. 2000 Number of Components 1500 1000 2300 ft - all patches form a connected network 500 0 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 Distance (feet)
  • 33. Components at 200 feet 309 patches are N=851 in the largest component Miles 0 1.75 3.5 7 10.5 3,456 original patches
  • 34. Components at 300 feet 1,945 patches are N=409 in the largest component Miles 0 1.75 3.5 7 10.5 3,456 original patches
  • 35. Components at 500 feet 2,284 patches are N=179 in the largest component Miles 0 1.75 3.5 7 10.5 3,456 original patches
  • 36. 45000 ECIIC (Acres) 35000 When all patches are first connected, ECIIC= 38,657 acres 25000 15000 Total Acres: 104,249 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 Distance (feet)
  • 37. Patch Importance and Network Sensitivity Sequentially remove each patch Recalculate all network statistics Change in the network values without a patch indicates its importance to connectivity Sum of changes across all patches indicates network sensitivity Changes can be assessed as Total IIC Intra-patch Flux Connector
  • 38. 2 Sum of varIIC acres  0e+00 1e+09 2e+09 3e+09 4e+09 5e+09 0 2000 4000 6000 Total IIC 8000
  • 39. 2 Sum of varIIC acres  0e+00 1e+09 2e+09 3e+09 4e+09 5e+09 0 2000 4000 6000 Total IIC Within Patch 8000
  • 40. 2 Sum of varIIC acres  0e+00 1e+09 2e+09 3e+09 4e+09 5e+09 0 2000 4000 6000 Flux Total IIC Within Patch 8000
  • 41. 2 Sum of varIIC acres  0e+00 1e+09 2e+09 3e+09 4e+09 5e+09 0 2000 4000 6000 Flux Total IIC Connector Within Patch 8000
  • 42. 2 Sum of varIIC acres  0e+00 1e+09 2e+09 3e+09 4e+09 5e+09 0 500 1000 1500 Flux Total IIC 2000 Connector Within Patch
  • 43. Components 200 feet 300 feet Miles Miles 0 1.75 3.5 7 10.5 0 1.75 3.5 7 10.5 N=851 N=409
  • 44. Top ten ranked patches for intra-patch connectivity Miles 0 1.75 3.5 7 10.5 300 foot distance
  • 45. Top ten ranked patches for flux connectivity Miles 0 1.75 3.5 7 10.5 300 foot distance
  • 46. Top ten ranked patches for connector function ~12% loss in ECIIC value 18% loss in ECIIC value 21% loss in ECIIC value Miles 0 1.75 3.5 7 10.5 300 foot distance
  • 47.
  • 48. 34,233 acres total 3,160 patches 32% of all canopy in Green Infrastructure is protected
  • 49. Intra-Patch Connectivity 45% protected 2 patches missing altogether
  • 50. Flux Connectivity 35% protected 3 patches missing altogether
  • 51. Connector Patches 47% protected 6 patches missing altogether