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Cà Phê Để ĐiOn the Go Coffee
Robert Petts, Rudy Wang, Jason Yang, Christine Hwang, Yana Sinkevich
AGENDA
OUR PROPOSAL
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
POPULATION TRENDS
STRATEGY
FINANCIALS
Q&A
OUR PROPOSAL
P R O P O S A L
Cà Phê Để Đi
TRANSLATED: “COFFEE TO GO”
[ROBUSTA]
[ARABICA & ROBUSTA BLEND]
Sold in Hypermarkets,
Vinamilk and Convenience Stores
Targeted at young people in big cities
who value convenience
P R O P O S A L
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
I N D U S T R Y
READY TO DRINK COFFEE
IN VIETNAM
2.4Million litres sold in 2015
91.9Servings consumed / 1000 people / day
8.57Million people purchasing ONE serving / day
$3,132,600Total market size for Manufacturers
Source: Euromonitor Intl.
G R O W T H
Source: Euromonitor Intl.
THE VIETNAMESE RTD COFFEE
INDUSTRY HAS BEEN GROWING...
MillionsofLitres
Source: Euromonitor Intl.
G R O W T H
RTD COFFEE IS FORECASTED TO
CONTINUE GROWING...
C O M P E T I T O R S
Source: Euromonitor Intl.
RTD COFFEE MARKET SHARES 2014
POPULATION TRENDS
P O P U L A T I O N T R E N D S
YOUNG VIETNAMESE ARE BECOMING
BUSIER & THE DEMOGRAPHIC
IS GROWING
| YOUNG POPULATION (MEDIAN AGE: 30.7) |
| MIGRATION TO URBAN AREA (+62.70%) |
| INCREASING WORKFORCE (+3.5-4.0%)|
Source: General Statistics of Vietnam, Vietnam-Ustrade.org
VIETNAMESE HAVE A HIGHER & GROWING
DISPOSABLE INCOME
Expanding Middle Class
+450% in 2020 (44 M)
+1087.5% in 2030 (95M)
GDP +14.23% in 2014
From 2010
Increased Employment
+9.45% in 2014 (52.21 M)
From 2010 (47.7M)
Increased Consumption
$46B (2012) > $310B (2020) > $940B (2030)
P O P U L A T I O N T R E N D S
Source: General Statistics of Vietnam, Worldometers, TheGlobalEconomy.com
STRATEGY
O P P O R T U N I T I E S
THERE ARE MANY OPPORTUNITIES
FOR A COMPANY TO ENTER THE MARKET
1.
No significant product launch or
packaging innovation since 2013
2.
Lack of noteworthy campaigns
for RTD Coffee
3.
Groundwork has been laid out by
previous companies
Source: Euromonitor Intl., Nielsen
C H A L L E N G E S
BUT THERE ARE ALSO CHALLENGES
PRESENTED BY THE MARKET
1.
Development of food service,
specifically specialty coffee shops
2.
Some people still prefer fresh
roasted coffee
Source: Euromonitor Intl., Nielsen
S A N D W I C H S T R A T E G Y
PREMIUM PRODUCT FOR URBAN PROFESSIONALS:
[BLENDED]
Higher Price, Better Taste,
Increasing Urban Income, Less Price Sensitive
CHEAPER PRODUCT FOR YOUTH:
[ROBUSTA]
Lower Price, Better Deal, Affordable for Youth,
Ideally Switch to Blended as They Enter Workforce
Diversifying Offerings:
S A N D W I C H S T R A T E G Y
Introduce premium and discount brand
in order to squeeze market share from
competitive firms
Source: NYU Classes
M A R K E T I N G S T R A T E G Y
Manufacturers have been stimulating demand
-Making product competitive
However, no noteworthy marketing campaigns
-Lack of product innovation in RTD coffee industry
-Promotional partnerships with large chains
In order to get a leg up on the competition, we will...
Source: Euromonitor
P R O M O T I O N A L S T R A T E G Y
“TELEVISON IS KING”
OVER 90%
OF VIETNAM’S URBAN POPULATION OWN TELEVISIONS
67% WATCH TV EVERYDAY
33% WATCH TV MORE THAN ONCE A DAY
Source: Nielsen, Broadcasting Board of Governors
P R O M O T I O N A L S T R A T E G Y
SMARTPHONE USAGE
INCREASING IN VIETNAM
Source: Nielsen, Broadcasting Board of Governors
2011: 18%
2012: 30%
66% OF THE POPULATION IS CONNECTED TO THE INTERNET
INTERNET INVESTMENTS INCREASED 16% IN 2012
D I S T R I B U T I O N S T R A T E G Y
URBAN DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS SHIFTING FROM
TRADITIONAL TO MODERN
Sales in traditional
markets are decreasing
Modern markets are
increasing in popularity
Trend will be more
drastic in future
Source: Euromonitor
FINANCIALS
P O T E N T I A L S A L E S
VIETNAMESE URBAN
POPULATION:
30,176,900
>71.1% Are 15-64 year old (RTD Coffee target
market)
=21,455,776PEOPLE
>17.8%
Are 15-24 year olds (Our target market)
=5,371,488PEOPLE
(25.04% of existing market)
POTENTIAL SALES VOLUME (.091 bottles/person/day):
2,671,692 BOTTLES IN 2015
Source: Euromonitor.com, General Statistics Office of Vietnam, Nielsen
R E V E N U E S
HYPERMARKETS CONVENIENCE STORES VINAMILK SHOPS
BLENDED $.61/ Bottle $.46/ Bottle $.46/ Bottle
ROBUSTA $.47/ Bottle $.35/ Bottle $.35/ Bottle
Average product price:
$0.54 / Bottle
2,671,692 * $0.54/bottle
= net revenue of
$1,442,713.68
in 2015
Euromonitor.com,
Nielsen
F I N A N C I A L M O D E L
INITIAL INVESTMENTS
QUANTITY PER UNIT COSTS
MIXER 5 $60,000.00
ROASTER 5 $50,000.00
MILLER 5 $1,400.00
PERCOLATOR 5 $10,000.00
BOTTLING 5 $10,000.00
TOTAL COST $657,000.00
2015 PROJECTED EBIT
REVENUE $1,442,713.74
COGS
LABOR $158,055.43
MATERIALS $238,321.00
OVERHEAD $1,883.68
TOTAL $396,376.43
OPERATING EXPENSES
SELLING EXPENSES $172,901.56
ADMINISTRATIVE
EXPENSES $49,570.40
DEPRECIATION $56,502.00
AMORTIZATION $0.00
TOTAL $278,973.96
EBIT $767,363.36
KEY METRICS
PROJECT NPV $1,719,368.15
WACC 13.50%
IRR 68%
DISCOUNTED CASH FLOWS
YEAR EBIT DEPRECIATION AMORTIZATION CAPEX
NET WORKING
CAPITAL FCF NPV OF FCF
0 ($657,000.00) ($657,000.00) ($657,000.00)
1 $767,363.36 $56,502.00 $0.00 $3,942.00 $131,400.00 $519,703.42 $487,252.41
2 $812,637.79 $56,502.00 $0.00 $3,942.00 $139,152.60 $547,264.88 $481,054.65
3 $860,583.42 $56,502.00 $0.00 $3,942.00 $147,362.60 $576,452.47 $475,071.27
4 $911,357.85 $56,502.00 $0.00 $3,942.00 $156,057.00 $607,362.12 $469,290.09
5 $965,127.96 $56,502.00 $0.00 $3,942.00 $165,264.36 $640,095.45 $463,699.73
$1USD=.000046 VND
Corporate Tax Rate is 22% (2014)
Straight Line Depreciation at 8.6%
Salvage Value of $91,980
Discount Rate is 6.66% (10-yr Vietnamese gov't Bond)
Compounded Projected Annual Growth Rate of 5.9%
ALL VALUES LISTED IN $USD
Source: Alibaba, IFCN Dairy.com, YCharts.com, wageindicator.org, VInamilk 2014 Annual Report
Q&A
Sources:
Euromonitor International
General Statistics Office of Vietnam
VIetnam-UStrade.org
Worldometers
TheGlobalEconomy.com
Nielsen
Broadcasting Board of Governors
Alibaba.com
IFCN Dairy.com
YCharts.com
wageindicator.org

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International Studies Program Vietnam Business Plan/ Presentation

  • 1. Cà Phê Để ĐiOn the Go Coffee Robert Petts, Rudy Wang, Jason Yang, Christine Hwang, Yana Sinkevich
  • 2. AGENDA OUR PROPOSAL INDUSTRY OVERVIEW POPULATION TRENDS STRATEGY FINANCIALS Q&A
  • 4. P R O P O S A L Cà Phê Để Đi TRANSLATED: “COFFEE TO GO”
  • 5. [ROBUSTA] [ARABICA & ROBUSTA BLEND] Sold in Hypermarkets, Vinamilk and Convenience Stores Targeted at young people in big cities who value convenience P R O P O S A L
  • 7. I N D U S T R Y READY TO DRINK COFFEE IN VIETNAM 2.4Million litres sold in 2015 91.9Servings consumed / 1000 people / day 8.57Million people purchasing ONE serving / day $3,132,600Total market size for Manufacturers Source: Euromonitor Intl.
  • 8. G R O W T H Source: Euromonitor Intl. THE VIETNAMESE RTD COFFEE INDUSTRY HAS BEEN GROWING... MillionsofLitres
  • 9. Source: Euromonitor Intl. G R O W T H RTD COFFEE IS FORECASTED TO CONTINUE GROWING...
  • 10. C O M P E T I T O R S Source: Euromonitor Intl. RTD COFFEE MARKET SHARES 2014
  • 12. P O P U L A T I O N T R E N D S YOUNG VIETNAMESE ARE BECOMING BUSIER & THE DEMOGRAPHIC IS GROWING | YOUNG POPULATION (MEDIAN AGE: 30.7) | | MIGRATION TO URBAN AREA (+62.70%) | | INCREASING WORKFORCE (+3.5-4.0%)| Source: General Statistics of Vietnam, Vietnam-Ustrade.org
  • 13. VIETNAMESE HAVE A HIGHER & GROWING DISPOSABLE INCOME Expanding Middle Class +450% in 2020 (44 M) +1087.5% in 2030 (95M) GDP +14.23% in 2014 From 2010 Increased Employment +9.45% in 2014 (52.21 M) From 2010 (47.7M) Increased Consumption $46B (2012) > $310B (2020) > $940B (2030) P O P U L A T I O N T R E N D S Source: General Statistics of Vietnam, Worldometers, TheGlobalEconomy.com
  • 15. O P P O R T U N I T I E S THERE ARE MANY OPPORTUNITIES FOR A COMPANY TO ENTER THE MARKET 1. No significant product launch or packaging innovation since 2013 2. Lack of noteworthy campaigns for RTD Coffee 3. Groundwork has been laid out by previous companies Source: Euromonitor Intl., Nielsen
  • 16. C H A L L E N G E S BUT THERE ARE ALSO CHALLENGES PRESENTED BY THE MARKET 1. Development of food service, specifically specialty coffee shops 2. Some people still prefer fresh roasted coffee Source: Euromonitor Intl., Nielsen
  • 17. S A N D W I C H S T R A T E G Y PREMIUM PRODUCT FOR URBAN PROFESSIONALS: [BLENDED] Higher Price, Better Taste, Increasing Urban Income, Less Price Sensitive CHEAPER PRODUCT FOR YOUTH: [ROBUSTA] Lower Price, Better Deal, Affordable for Youth, Ideally Switch to Blended as They Enter Workforce Diversifying Offerings:
  • 18. S A N D W I C H S T R A T E G Y Introduce premium and discount brand in order to squeeze market share from competitive firms Source: NYU Classes
  • 19. M A R K E T I N G S T R A T E G Y Manufacturers have been stimulating demand -Making product competitive However, no noteworthy marketing campaigns -Lack of product innovation in RTD coffee industry -Promotional partnerships with large chains In order to get a leg up on the competition, we will... Source: Euromonitor
  • 20. P R O M O T I O N A L S T R A T E G Y “TELEVISON IS KING” OVER 90% OF VIETNAM’S URBAN POPULATION OWN TELEVISIONS 67% WATCH TV EVERYDAY 33% WATCH TV MORE THAN ONCE A DAY Source: Nielsen, Broadcasting Board of Governors
  • 21. P R O M O T I O N A L S T R A T E G Y SMARTPHONE USAGE INCREASING IN VIETNAM Source: Nielsen, Broadcasting Board of Governors 2011: 18% 2012: 30% 66% OF THE POPULATION IS CONNECTED TO THE INTERNET INTERNET INVESTMENTS INCREASED 16% IN 2012
  • 22. D I S T R I B U T I O N S T R A T E G Y URBAN DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS SHIFTING FROM TRADITIONAL TO MODERN Sales in traditional markets are decreasing Modern markets are increasing in popularity Trend will be more drastic in future Source: Euromonitor
  • 24. P O T E N T I A L S A L E S VIETNAMESE URBAN POPULATION: 30,176,900 >71.1% Are 15-64 year old (RTD Coffee target market) =21,455,776PEOPLE >17.8% Are 15-24 year olds (Our target market) =5,371,488PEOPLE (25.04% of existing market) POTENTIAL SALES VOLUME (.091 bottles/person/day): 2,671,692 BOTTLES IN 2015 Source: Euromonitor.com, General Statistics Office of Vietnam, Nielsen
  • 25. R E V E N U E S HYPERMARKETS CONVENIENCE STORES VINAMILK SHOPS BLENDED $.61/ Bottle $.46/ Bottle $.46/ Bottle ROBUSTA $.47/ Bottle $.35/ Bottle $.35/ Bottle Average product price: $0.54 / Bottle 2,671,692 * $0.54/bottle = net revenue of $1,442,713.68 in 2015 Euromonitor.com, Nielsen
  • 26. F I N A N C I A L M O D E L INITIAL INVESTMENTS QUANTITY PER UNIT COSTS MIXER 5 $60,000.00 ROASTER 5 $50,000.00 MILLER 5 $1,400.00 PERCOLATOR 5 $10,000.00 BOTTLING 5 $10,000.00 TOTAL COST $657,000.00 2015 PROJECTED EBIT REVENUE $1,442,713.74 COGS LABOR $158,055.43 MATERIALS $238,321.00 OVERHEAD $1,883.68 TOTAL $396,376.43 OPERATING EXPENSES SELLING EXPENSES $172,901.56 ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES $49,570.40 DEPRECIATION $56,502.00 AMORTIZATION $0.00 TOTAL $278,973.96 EBIT $767,363.36 KEY METRICS PROJECT NPV $1,719,368.15 WACC 13.50% IRR 68% DISCOUNTED CASH FLOWS YEAR EBIT DEPRECIATION AMORTIZATION CAPEX NET WORKING CAPITAL FCF NPV OF FCF 0 ($657,000.00) ($657,000.00) ($657,000.00) 1 $767,363.36 $56,502.00 $0.00 $3,942.00 $131,400.00 $519,703.42 $487,252.41 2 $812,637.79 $56,502.00 $0.00 $3,942.00 $139,152.60 $547,264.88 $481,054.65 3 $860,583.42 $56,502.00 $0.00 $3,942.00 $147,362.60 $576,452.47 $475,071.27 4 $911,357.85 $56,502.00 $0.00 $3,942.00 $156,057.00 $607,362.12 $469,290.09 5 $965,127.96 $56,502.00 $0.00 $3,942.00 $165,264.36 $640,095.45 $463,699.73 $1USD=.000046 VND Corporate Tax Rate is 22% (2014) Straight Line Depreciation at 8.6% Salvage Value of $91,980 Discount Rate is 6.66% (10-yr Vietnamese gov't Bond) Compounded Projected Annual Growth Rate of 5.9% ALL VALUES LISTED IN $USD Source: Alibaba, IFCN Dairy.com, YCharts.com, wageindicator.org, VInamilk 2014 Annual Report
  • 27. Q&A
  • 28. Sources: Euromonitor International General Statistics Office of Vietnam VIetnam-UStrade.org Worldometers TheGlobalEconomy.com Nielsen Broadcasting Board of Governors Alibaba.com IFCN Dairy.com YCharts.com wageindicator.org