Don wuebbles 2014 wed keynote
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2014 World Environment Day Presentation Don Wuebbles
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Don wuebbles 2014 wed keynote
- 1. Date Name of Meeting 1 Climate Change Impacts in the United States Third National Climate Assessment Don Wuebbles Chicago Botanic Garden June 7, 2014
- 2. Date Name of Meeting 2 National Climate Assessment Assessment is required every 4 years by Congress through the 1990 Global Change Research Act This assessment is the most comprehensive analysis ever of how climate change is affecting our nation now and how it could affect it into the future Read online or download at: http://nca2014.globalchange.gov
- 3. Date Name of Meeting 3 The NCA Process Inclusive, broad expertise 300 authors 60 member Federal Advisory Committee Public engagement Listening sessions around the country Request for information, input reports Extensive Review National Academy of Sciences (2x), agencies, public and expert review; we responded to all comments
- 4. Date Name of Meeting 4 NCA: U.S. Regions
- 5. Date Name of Meeting 5 Human-induced climate change has moved firmly into the present. ©DaveMartin/AP/Corbis
- 6. Date Name of Meeting 6 There are Many Indicators of A Warming World
- 7. Date Name of Meeting 7 Muir Glacier Decline
- 8. Date Name of Meeting 8 Temperature Change by Decade
- 9. Date Name of Meeting 9 Observed U.S. Temperature Change
- 10. Date Name of Meeting 10 Observed Increases in Frost-Free Season
- 11. Date Name of Meeting 11 Observed U.S. Precipitation Change
- 12. Date Name of Meeting 12 Americans are already feeling the effects of increases in some types of extreme weather and sea level rise. ©StanHonda/AFP/GettyImages
- 13. Date Name of Meeting 13 Certain Types of Extreme Events Show Important Trends – Heat waves are generally increasing; will likely become longer and more severe. – Cold waves are decreasing. – More precipitation coming as larger events. – Increasing risk of floods in some regions (NE, MW). – Droughts increasing in some regions (SW, SE). – Increasing intensity of Atlantic hurricanes is likely. These trends are likely to continue.
- 14. Date Name of Meeting 14 Observed U.S. Trends in Heavy Precipitation
- 15. Date Name of Meeting 15 Floods and Droughts: Clear Trends in Certain U.S. Regions Regional similarities between trends of annual precipitation, droughts, and extremes of river flooding River-Flow Trends in Annual Maximum: 85-127 years ending 2008 Trends in Total Annual Precipitation: 1909-2008 Peterson, T. C. et al., 2013 Drought Index
- 16. Date Name of Meeting 16 Projected Global Temperature Change
- 17. Date Name of Meeting 17 Projected Temperature Change
- 18. Date Name of Meeting 18 Projected Precipitation Change by Season
- 19. Date Name of Meeting 19 Illinois Summers Likely to be More Like Southern U.S. by End of Century Based on summer average temperature and precipitation
- 20. Date Name of Meeting 20 Sectors • Water Resources • Energy Supply and Use • Transportation • Agriculture • Forestry • Ecosystems and Biodiversity • Human Health
- 21. Date Name of Meeting 21 Impacts are apparent in every region and in important sectors including health, water, agriculture, energy, and more. ©ScottOlson/GettyImages
- 22. Date Name of Meeting 22 Human Health: Ragweed Pollen Season Lengthens
- 23. Date Name of Meeting 23 Agriculture: Longer growing season and more CO2 but faces increasing challenges from heat stress, water stress, pests, diseases, and weather extremes ©Copyright
- 24. Date Name of Meeting 24 Ecosystems “Ecosystems and the benefits they provide to society are being affected by climate change. The capacity of ecosystems to buffer the impacts of extreme events like fires, floods, and severe storms is being overwhelmed.”
- 25. Date Name of Meeting 25 Midwest Forests Composition expected to change as rising temperatures drive habitats for many tree species northward.
- 26. Date Name of Meeting 26 The Great Lakes Climate change will exacerbate a range of risks to the Great Lakes, including changes in the range and distribution of certain fish species, increased invasive species and harmful blooms of algae, and declining beach health. Ice cover declines will lengthen the commercial navigation season.
- 27. Date Name of Meeting 27 Human Activity is the Primary Cause©TomMihalek/Reuters/Corbis ©PhillipJ.Redman,U.S.GeologicalSurvey
- 28. Date Name of Meeting 28 Carbon Emissions in the Industrial Age
- 29. Date Name of Meeting 29 There are many actions we can take to reduce future climate change and its impacts and to prepare for the impacts we can’t avoid. ©DennisSchroeder,NREL ©ProehlStudios/Corbis
- 30. Date Name of Meeting 30 Climate Change Impacts in the United States http://nca2014.globalchange.gov Third National Climate Assessment @usgcrpfacebook.com/usgcrp #NCA2014 Don Wuebbles Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Illinois
- 31. Date Name of Meeting 31 Mitigation ©JeromeLevitch/Corbis ©NajlahFeanny/Corbis ©DennisSchroeder,NREL
- 32. Date Name of Meeting 32 Adaptation©EsperanzaStancioff,UMaineExtensionandMaineSeaGrant FEMAphotobyWendellA.DavisJr. ©ProehlStudios/Corbis