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TECHNIQUES/TOOLS
 IN POLICY STUDY
    Carlos C. Rabago, Jr.
What is….?
   Tool
   Technique
   Data
   Qualitative Data
   Quantitative Data
   Data Analysis
   Qualitative Analysis
   Quantitative Analysis
Qualitative vs. Quantitative
“ All research ultimately has   “There’s no such thing as
a qualitative groundings” D.    qualitative data. Everything
Campbell                        is either 1 or 0” F. Kerlinger
The aim is complete,            The aim is to classify
detailed description            features, count them, and
                                construct statistical models
                                in an attempt to explain
                                what is observed
Data is in the form of          Data is in the form of
words, pictures or objects      number and statistics.
Techniques/Tools
Bar Chart

90
80
70
60
50                                     East
40                                     West
30                                     North
20
10
 0
     1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr
Benefit-effectiveness Analysis
   This is used to break something down into its
    components parts, show trends and make
    comparisons between the items, represented by
    the bars
Brainstorming
   Rules:
     Withhold Judgment of Ideas
     Encourage Whacky Ideas

     Quantity Counts

     Build on the Ideas of Others

     Every Person and Every Idea has Equal Worth.
Generic Brainstorming Process
   Provide Background Info
   Problem Definition
   Idea Generation
   Idea Selection
   Advantages and Disadvantages
   Critical Concerns
   Action Plan & Implementation
Case Studies
   Descriptive evaluation of the life of community,
    nature of organization or events unfolding. The
    principal investigator gathers available
    documents, holds formal and informal
    conversation with informants. Observes
    ongoing activities, and develops an analysis of
    data and interpretation of findings.
Cause and effect diagram (fishbone
             diagram)
Steps:
1. Develop statement of the problem supported with data.
2. Construct the fishbone diagram. Place the effect in a
   box on the right. Draw horizontal arrow leading into
   the effect                      Problem

3. Identify three to six major bones, alternate the arrows
   above and below the center arrow.
4. Draw the major bones as slanting arrows leading into
   the center arrow. To convey a sense of order
Machine              Materials



                                                   Problem


           Manpower                    Methods

5. Identify first-level causes related to each major
   bone                 Materials
     Machine




                                                   Problem




                Manpower                 Methods
6. Identify second-level causes for each first-level
   cause and so on.
7. Identify potential root causes. Select causes
   occur more than once, or appear to have
   significant impact on the effect.
8. Verify each potential root cause. Analyze the
   data available, or gather additional data to make
   certain assumptions are correct.
Check Sheet
                        Daily Loan Application
         Frequency   04/13 04/14 04/15 04/16     04/17
Factor
Incomplete
Borrower data
Incomplete co-
maker’s data
No Status

Delinquent

Total                12    4      8      4       9
Common Sense
   Instinctive reaction characterized with negative
    logic and mind openness.
Cost-benefit analysis
   The cost and benefits of policy options are
    quantified, usually by assigning amount. Assists
    in the evaluation and comparison of different
    policy options
Cost-effectiveness analysis
   Similar to cost-benefit It is used when the
    outcome is predetermined and different ways of
    reaching that outcome need to be costed for the
    purpose of evaluation.
Cross-cutting methods
   Use at nearly stage of policy analysis.

        Identifying and gathering data
        Library search methods
        Interview for policy data
        Quick surveys
        Assessing information quality
        Basic data analysis, and
        Communicating the analysis
Delphi methods
   A very slow and an interactive process for
    consensus-building among the panel of experts
    who are anonymous to one another, using
    series/rounds of extensive questionnaire to the
    panel, experts do not communicate each other
    but only provide responses to the Delphi
    administrator
Environmental Scanning
   Systematic gathering of information from
    outside organization or locus of the problem.
    This lessens randomness of information flowing
    into the organization and provide warnings for
    managers of changing external conditions.
Environmental Scanning
   The Role of External Analysis in Policy Making

     External Analysis
              Scanning
            Monitoring
            Forecasting
              Assessing

                          Strategic Directions   Strategic Plan


      Internal Analysis
                 Vision
               Mission
               Strength
           Weaknesses
Flowchart
   A graphical illustration of the activities in a
    process (using symbols). Used in analyzing,
    documenting or managing a process or a
    program
Flowchart Symbols
Name                Symbol              Use
Oval (Terminator)                       Start or End
Flow line                               Direction Flow
Parallelogram                           Input/Output
Rectangle                               Process/Step
Diamond                                 Decision (Yes/No)

Document                                Document
Circle                                  Connector
Focus Group
   Combine elements of both interview and observation.
    Eight to twelve people gathered from similar
    backgrounds or experiences to discuss an issue or a
    specific topic of interest.
   It is used in answering the same type of questions,
    exploring the meaning or survey findings that cannot be
    explained statistically, the range of views/opinions on a
    topic or interest, providing insights into different
    opinions among different parties involved in the change
    process, and a good method use before designing
    questionnaire.
Forced Field Analysis
   Used to inform decision-making/policy making
    and planning and implementation change
    management programs in organization, method
    in gaining overviews of different forces acting
    on a potential policy issue and for assessing their
    source of strengths and weaknesses.
Forced Field Analysis
Steps
2. Participant agree on the area of change.
    Desired Policy goal or objective.
3. All the forces in support of the change
    (facilitating forces) are listed in one side
    (driving the change forward) while all forces
    working against the change (restraining forces)
    are listed on the other side (holding it back)
Forced Field Analysis
Steps Cont.
3. The driving and restraining forces are sorted
   around common themes and scored acording to
   their ‘magnitude’ ranging from 1 (weak) to 5
   (strong). The score may not balance on either
   side.
Forced Field Analysis
--------------------------------------------------------------
                     Desired Condition
--------------------------------------------------------------
   Restraining Forces
                                                           P
_______________________________                            L
         Existing Condition                                A
_______________________________                            n

   Facilitating Forces
Grading method
   The consequences of each alternative on each
    criterion are considered.
   A grade of “pass” or “fail” is assigned to each
    alternative on each criterion.
   Only those alternatives which “pass” on al
    criteria are retained, those which have any ”fails”
    are rejected.
Identifying and Gathering Data
   Identifying and Gathering Data
   Sources of Data (Documents People, Observations and
    other sources of info), information from multiple
    sources should be sought on controversial data.
    Problems with sources of data. Looking for documents
    that may helpful in doing policy analysis is important.
    Three questions must be asked: do such documents
    exist, can they be obtained in a reasonable time, when is
    additional searching no longer worthwhile?
Interview
   Collect data trough an exchange of information
    utilizing face to face or telephone
    communication. It gathers fact about the
    problem or issue, assess political attitudes and
    resources of major players, get ideas on future
    trends and generate contacts and materials.
   There are two types of interview:
         - Structured interview-written questionnaire.
         - In depth interview-captures respondents’
    perception (free and open)
Library Search methods.
 Excellent sources of policy-related information
Strategies
• Look up

• Develop list of search

• Identify key journals(1-2 years)

• Check Guides Current Lit.

• Annual Reviews
Line Graph
   It shows progress towards or deviation from, an
    established target. It can measure practically
    anything.
List Reduction
 Reduces a large list of items to a manageable
  few. Used to lessen the number of items
  identified in an brainstorming session. The items
  identified in a brainstorming session. The items
  remaining can be a discussed and evaluated
  using MATRIX.
Steps:
   Present – Vote – Mark – Identify - Limiting
Review of Literature
   A body of text aims to review the critical points
    of current knowledge on a particular time.
   To bring the reader current literature on a topic.
   Good literature has a logical ideas; current,
    relevant, consistent and appropriate; proper use
    of terms; and unbiased and comprehensive view
    of previous research on topic.
Matrix
 A grid intersecting horizontal and vertical lines.
 Matrix is used to evaluate the relationship that exists
  between a set of policy options and a set of criteria; and
  for selecting one option based on brainstormed list that
  has already been reduced by list reduction technique.
Steps:
  1. Know the choices policy options to be evaluated;
  2. Identify criteria for evaluation
  3. Construct a two-sided matrix and post evaluation
       criteria across the top and the options under
  consideration along the side.
Problem Solving Matrix

                                     Evaluation Criteria
Problem Under
Consideration      Impact on     Impact on     Impact on      Impact on
                   Lending       Revenues      Overtime Pay   Work of
                   Activities                                 Staff
Delinquent
Accounts
Investment not
booked up
Ledger cards not
updated

                     Legend: 3- High 2- Medium 1- Low
Observation
   A method that gathers first hand data. Observer
    has the opportunity to gather wider range of
    data. Things are not discussed in a interview or
    focus group can be learned.
   Structured format in Observation

Note: Consent must be obtained from interviewees before
 gathering any observational data
Pareto Diagram
   Study of related subjects to determine if one is
    more significant than the others, to identify the
    most important among and between the group
    of items and to focus problem-solving activities
    so that the area causing the most difficult is
    addressed first.
Pareto Diagram
Pie Chart
   A circle graph divided
    into pieces. Each
    pie/part represents the
    subject of the study.
                                   Application Loan
    Used to show how               Multipurpose Loan
    individual parts relate to     Short Term loan
                                   Regular Loan
    the whole and to each
    other. Give percentages
    of distribution or break-
    up.
Problem Tree analysis/ Situational
       Analysis/Problem Analysis
   Help to find solutions by mapping out the
    anatomy of cause-and-effect around an issue.
    Best carried out in a small focus group of about
    six to eight people. The heart of the exercise is
    the discussion, debate and dialogues that is
    generated as factors are arranged and re-
    arranged, often forming sub-dividing roots and
    branches
Problem Tree analysis/ Situational
   Analysis/Problem Analysis
Problem Tree analysis/ Situational
    Analysis/Problem Analysis
Steps:
  1. Discuss and agree the problems or issue to
  be analyzed.
  2. Write the ‘focal problem’ or issue in the
  centre of the flip chart (trunk of the tree)
  3. Identify the causes of the focal problem
  (roots)
  4. Identify the consequences (branches).
  Arrange in a cause-and-effect logic.
Quick decision analysis
   A variation on the technique of making decision
    trees. Decision tree are ways of diagramming a
    problem, when the problem has more than one
    solution and several decision options.
   A tool to help policy analysis
Scenario writing
   Mirroring the future impact of a policy,
    particularly possible failure or unwanted results.
    Stimulate thinking about alternatives or
    improvements. Help to focus on the perspective
    of the affected by the policy and responsible for
    the implementation.
Sensitivity analysis
   Used to test the extent to which an assumption
    relied upon in the development of a policy will
    affect the outcomes achieved by the policy.
    Relevant where it is recognized that a policy
    option depends on assumption about uncertain
    factors. Mathematical techniques can be used
    which to determine of several uncertain
    assumptions is the most important and how
    multiple uncertainties interact.
Survey
   A mean of gathering information using questionnaires.
    Used to understand and assess client needs, attitudes
    and satisfaction with public goods and services; and
    best applied with large number of people to be
    questioned or hard speaking with personally. It has two
    types, closed- the respondents is asked to choose from
    available responses prepared before hand; and Open-
    the respondents are free to answer as they wish.
   Can be conducted by mail, in person, or by telephone.
    Quick and relatively inexpensive to administer. Results
    can be subjected to statistical analysis.
SWOT (Strength, Weaknesses,
Opportunities and Threats) analysis
   It asses the internal capacity of the organization on a given issue
    and its external environment. This provides a simple method to
    asses how a strategy can e best implemented. Internal capacity
    assessment identifies where the project or organization is as of
    now: the resources that can be used immediately and current
    problems existing and wont go away.
   It can identify new resources, skills or allies to be needed.
    External environment assessment focuses on what is going on
    outside the organization, or areas which are not yet affecting the
    strategy but can either positively or negatively do. This tool can
    be returned to any point in may different stages of a project.
SWOT (Strength, Weaknesses,
Opportunities and Threats) analysis
   Applied broadly, or a small sub-component of
    the strategy can be also be analyzed in detail.
    SWOT analysis is about categorizing this
    information into action buckets.
SWOT (Strength, Weaknesses,
Opportunities and Threats) analysis
                 Internal Capacity
           Strengths                 Weaknesses
                   •Skills/abilities

                 •Contacts/Partners

                     •Activities

                      •Funding

                   •Commitments



                External Environment
            Opportunities           Threats
             •Other Organization or groups

         •Resource (human, finacial, machinery)

                       •Political

                        •Policy

                     •Other forces
Summary of Tools for Policy Quality Improvement

Tool                Help                      Use


Bar Chat            Arrange data for quick    Analysis
                    and easy comparison.

Brainstorming       Collect large number of Data gathering
                    ideas from a group of
                    people
Cause-and-effect    Identify a set related    Analysis
diagram             causes that lead to an
                    effect or problem.
                    Good Source of
                    analytical information.
Check sheet     Collect data in a     Data gathering/
                organized manner.     analysis

Environmental   Identify trends and   Data gathering/
Scanning        events in the         analysis
                environment.

Flowchart       Differentiate         Analysis
                between the
                activities in a
                process.

Focus group     Obtain variety of     Data Gathering
                views
Histogram        Determine how data       Analysis
                 are distributed
Interview        Collect data from        Data gathering
                 direct conversation
Line graph       Display the output       Analysis
                 of a process
                 overtime
List Reduction   Reduce a large list of   Analysis
                 items to manageable
                 few
Matrix           Make comparison          Data gathering/
                 between two or           analysis
                 more sets
                 information
Observation     Collects first hand data   Data Gathering
Pareto Chart    Arrange data so that the   Analysis
                most significant
                element in a set of
                elements is easily
                identifiable.
Pie Chart       Display the volume or      Analysis
                quantity of one item in
                relation to other.
Problem trees   Find solution by           Analysis
                mapping out cause-and-
                effect of an issue
Survey          Collect data from a        Data gathering
                large number of people
SWOT analysis   Assess internal capacity   Data gathering/ analysis
                and external
Steps on Policy Analysis and
    Corresponding Tools/Techniques
     Policy Analysis Step             Tool/Technique

1   Verifying, Defining, and   Environmental Scanning
    Detailing Variance         Brainstorming
                               Interview
                               Observation
                               Survey
                               List reduction
                               Matrix
                               Case Study
                               Similar studies and articles done
2   Establishing Evaluation   Cause-and-effect Diagram
    Criteria                  Flowchart
                              Pareto Chart
                              Brainstorming
                              Check sheet
                              Survey
                              Interview
                              Environmental Scanning
                              Quick Policy Analysis
                              Force Field
                              Fish Bone
                              Delphi Method
                              School Report
3   Evaluating Alternative      Brainstorming
    Policies                    Interview
                                Survey
                                Comparison Method
                                        Paired Comparison
4   Assessing Alternative
    Policies                            Scorecard
                                        Matrix
                                Data Analysis
                                Action Plan
5   Choosing the Alternative to Scenario writing
    be Adopted
7   Implementing, Monitoring   Line Graph
    and Evaluation             Pareto Chart
                               Pie Graph
                               Bar Chart
                               Histogram Check sheet
                               Brainstorming
7    Implementing, Monitoring   Line Graph
     and Evaluation             Pareto Chart
                                Pie Graph
                                Bar Chart
                                Histogram Check sheet
                                Brainstorming
Cross Cutting Methods           Identifying and gathering data
                                Library search methods
                                Interview for policy data
                                Quick surveys
                                Assessing information quality
                                Basic data analysis, and
                                Communicating the analysis

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Techniques

  • 1. TECHNIQUES/TOOLS IN POLICY STUDY Carlos C. Rabago, Jr.
  • 2. What is….?  Tool  Technique  Data  Qualitative Data  Quantitative Data  Data Analysis  Qualitative Analysis  Quantitative Analysis
  • 3. Qualitative vs. Quantitative “ All research ultimately has “There’s no such thing as a qualitative groundings” D. qualitative data. Everything Campbell is either 1 or 0” F. Kerlinger The aim is complete, The aim is to classify detailed description features, count them, and construct statistical models in an attempt to explain what is observed Data is in the form of Data is in the form of words, pictures or objects number and statistics.
  • 5. Bar Chart 90 80 70 60 50 East 40 West 30 North 20 10 0 1st Qtr 2nd Qtr 3rd Qtr 4th Qtr
  • 6. Benefit-effectiveness Analysis  This is used to break something down into its components parts, show trends and make comparisons between the items, represented by the bars
  • 7. Brainstorming  Rules:  Withhold Judgment of Ideas  Encourage Whacky Ideas  Quantity Counts  Build on the Ideas of Others  Every Person and Every Idea has Equal Worth.
  • 8. Generic Brainstorming Process  Provide Background Info  Problem Definition  Idea Generation  Idea Selection  Advantages and Disadvantages  Critical Concerns  Action Plan & Implementation
  • 9. Case Studies  Descriptive evaluation of the life of community, nature of organization or events unfolding. The principal investigator gathers available documents, holds formal and informal conversation with informants. Observes ongoing activities, and develops an analysis of data and interpretation of findings.
  • 10. Cause and effect diagram (fishbone diagram) Steps: 1. Develop statement of the problem supported with data. 2. Construct the fishbone diagram. Place the effect in a box on the right. Draw horizontal arrow leading into the effect Problem 3. Identify three to six major bones, alternate the arrows above and below the center arrow. 4. Draw the major bones as slanting arrows leading into the center arrow. To convey a sense of order
  • 11. Machine Materials Problem Manpower Methods 5. Identify first-level causes related to each major bone Materials Machine Problem Manpower Methods
  • 12. 6. Identify second-level causes for each first-level cause and so on. 7. Identify potential root causes. Select causes occur more than once, or appear to have significant impact on the effect. 8. Verify each potential root cause. Analyze the data available, or gather additional data to make certain assumptions are correct.
  • 13. Check Sheet Daily Loan Application Frequency 04/13 04/14 04/15 04/16 04/17 Factor Incomplete Borrower data Incomplete co- maker’s data No Status Delinquent Total 12 4 8 4 9
  • 14. Common Sense  Instinctive reaction characterized with negative logic and mind openness.
  • 15. Cost-benefit analysis  The cost and benefits of policy options are quantified, usually by assigning amount. Assists in the evaluation and comparison of different policy options
  • 16. Cost-effectiveness analysis  Similar to cost-benefit It is used when the outcome is predetermined and different ways of reaching that outcome need to be costed for the purpose of evaluation.
  • 17. Cross-cutting methods  Use at nearly stage of policy analysis. Identifying and gathering data Library search methods Interview for policy data Quick surveys Assessing information quality Basic data analysis, and Communicating the analysis
  • 18. Delphi methods  A very slow and an interactive process for consensus-building among the panel of experts who are anonymous to one another, using series/rounds of extensive questionnaire to the panel, experts do not communicate each other but only provide responses to the Delphi administrator
  • 19. Environmental Scanning  Systematic gathering of information from outside organization or locus of the problem. This lessens randomness of information flowing into the organization and provide warnings for managers of changing external conditions.
  • 20. Environmental Scanning  The Role of External Analysis in Policy Making External Analysis Scanning Monitoring Forecasting Assessing Strategic Directions Strategic Plan Internal Analysis Vision Mission Strength Weaknesses
  • 21. Flowchart  A graphical illustration of the activities in a process (using symbols). Used in analyzing, documenting or managing a process or a program
  • 22. Flowchart Symbols Name Symbol Use Oval (Terminator) Start or End Flow line Direction Flow Parallelogram Input/Output Rectangle Process/Step Diamond Decision (Yes/No) Document Document Circle Connector
  • 23.
  • 24. Focus Group  Combine elements of both interview and observation. Eight to twelve people gathered from similar backgrounds or experiences to discuss an issue or a specific topic of interest.  It is used in answering the same type of questions, exploring the meaning or survey findings that cannot be explained statistically, the range of views/opinions on a topic or interest, providing insights into different opinions among different parties involved in the change process, and a good method use before designing questionnaire.
  • 25. Forced Field Analysis  Used to inform decision-making/policy making and planning and implementation change management programs in organization, method in gaining overviews of different forces acting on a potential policy issue and for assessing their source of strengths and weaknesses.
  • 26. Forced Field Analysis Steps 2. Participant agree on the area of change. Desired Policy goal or objective. 3. All the forces in support of the change (facilitating forces) are listed in one side (driving the change forward) while all forces working against the change (restraining forces) are listed on the other side (holding it back)
  • 27. Forced Field Analysis Steps Cont. 3. The driving and restraining forces are sorted around common themes and scored acording to their ‘magnitude’ ranging from 1 (weak) to 5 (strong). The score may not balance on either side.
  • 28. Forced Field Analysis -------------------------------------------------------------- Desired Condition -------------------------------------------------------------- Restraining Forces P _______________________________ L Existing Condition A _______________________________ n Facilitating Forces
  • 29.
  • 30. Grading method  The consequences of each alternative on each criterion are considered.  A grade of “pass” or “fail” is assigned to each alternative on each criterion.  Only those alternatives which “pass” on al criteria are retained, those which have any ”fails” are rejected.
  • 31. Identifying and Gathering Data  Identifying and Gathering Data  Sources of Data (Documents People, Observations and other sources of info), information from multiple sources should be sought on controversial data. Problems with sources of data. Looking for documents that may helpful in doing policy analysis is important. Three questions must be asked: do such documents exist, can they be obtained in a reasonable time, when is additional searching no longer worthwhile?
  • 32. Interview  Collect data trough an exchange of information utilizing face to face or telephone communication. It gathers fact about the problem or issue, assess political attitudes and resources of major players, get ideas on future trends and generate contacts and materials.  There are two types of interview: - Structured interview-written questionnaire. - In depth interview-captures respondents’ perception (free and open)
  • 33. Library Search methods.  Excellent sources of policy-related information Strategies • Look up • Develop list of search • Identify key journals(1-2 years) • Check Guides Current Lit. • Annual Reviews
  • 34. Line Graph  It shows progress towards or deviation from, an established target. It can measure practically anything.
  • 35. List Reduction  Reduces a large list of items to a manageable few. Used to lessen the number of items identified in an brainstorming session. The items identified in a brainstorming session. The items remaining can be a discussed and evaluated using MATRIX. Steps: Present – Vote – Mark – Identify - Limiting
  • 36. Review of Literature  A body of text aims to review the critical points of current knowledge on a particular time.  To bring the reader current literature on a topic.  Good literature has a logical ideas; current, relevant, consistent and appropriate; proper use of terms; and unbiased and comprehensive view of previous research on topic.
  • 37. Matrix  A grid intersecting horizontal and vertical lines.  Matrix is used to evaluate the relationship that exists between a set of policy options and a set of criteria; and for selecting one option based on brainstormed list that has already been reduced by list reduction technique. Steps: 1. Know the choices policy options to be evaluated; 2. Identify criteria for evaluation 3. Construct a two-sided matrix and post evaluation criteria across the top and the options under consideration along the side.
  • 38. Problem Solving Matrix Evaluation Criteria Problem Under Consideration Impact on Impact on Impact on Impact on Lending Revenues Overtime Pay Work of Activities Staff Delinquent Accounts Investment not booked up Ledger cards not updated Legend: 3- High 2- Medium 1- Low
  • 39. Observation  A method that gathers first hand data. Observer has the opportunity to gather wider range of data. Things are not discussed in a interview or focus group can be learned.  Structured format in Observation Note: Consent must be obtained from interviewees before gathering any observational data
  • 40. Pareto Diagram  Study of related subjects to determine if one is more significant than the others, to identify the most important among and between the group of items and to focus problem-solving activities so that the area causing the most difficult is addressed first.
  • 42. Pie Chart  A circle graph divided into pieces. Each pie/part represents the subject of the study. Application Loan Used to show how Multipurpose Loan individual parts relate to Short Term loan Regular Loan the whole and to each other. Give percentages of distribution or break- up.
  • 43. Problem Tree analysis/ Situational Analysis/Problem Analysis  Help to find solutions by mapping out the anatomy of cause-and-effect around an issue. Best carried out in a small focus group of about six to eight people. The heart of the exercise is the discussion, debate and dialogues that is generated as factors are arranged and re- arranged, often forming sub-dividing roots and branches
  • 44. Problem Tree analysis/ Situational Analysis/Problem Analysis
  • 45. Problem Tree analysis/ Situational Analysis/Problem Analysis Steps: 1. Discuss and agree the problems or issue to be analyzed. 2. Write the ‘focal problem’ or issue in the centre of the flip chart (trunk of the tree) 3. Identify the causes of the focal problem (roots) 4. Identify the consequences (branches). Arrange in a cause-and-effect logic.
  • 46. Quick decision analysis  A variation on the technique of making decision trees. Decision tree are ways of diagramming a problem, when the problem has more than one solution and several decision options.  A tool to help policy analysis
  • 47. Scenario writing  Mirroring the future impact of a policy, particularly possible failure or unwanted results. Stimulate thinking about alternatives or improvements. Help to focus on the perspective of the affected by the policy and responsible for the implementation.
  • 48. Sensitivity analysis  Used to test the extent to which an assumption relied upon in the development of a policy will affect the outcomes achieved by the policy. Relevant where it is recognized that a policy option depends on assumption about uncertain factors. Mathematical techniques can be used which to determine of several uncertain assumptions is the most important and how multiple uncertainties interact.
  • 49. Survey  A mean of gathering information using questionnaires. Used to understand and assess client needs, attitudes and satisfaction with public goods and services; and best applied with large number of people to be questioned or hard speaking with personally. It has two types, closed- the respondents is asked to choose from available responses prepared before hand; and Open- the respondents are free to answer as they wish.  Can be conducted by mail, in person, or by telephone. Quick and relatively inexpensive to administer. Results can be subjected to statistical analysis.
  • 50. SWOT (Strength, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis  It asses the internal capacity of the organization on a given issue and its external environment. This provides a simple method to asses how a strategy can e best implemented. Internal capacity assessment identifies where the project or organization is as of now: the resources that can be used immediately and current problems existing and wont go away.  It can identify new resources, skills or allies to be needed. External environment assessment focuses on what is going on outside the organization, or areas which are not yet affecting the strategy but can either positively or negatively do. This tool can be returned to any point in may different stages of a project.
  • 51. SWOT (Strength, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis  Applied broadly, or a small sub-component of the strategy can be also be analyzed in detail. SWOT analysis is about categorizing this information into action buckets.
  • 52. SWOT (Strength, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis Internal Capacity Strengths Weaknesses •Skills/abilities •Contacts/Partners •Activities •Funding •Commitments External Environment Opportunities Threats •Other Organization or groups •Resource (human, finacial, machinery) •Political •Policy •Other forces
  • 53.
  • 54. Summary of Tools for Policy Quality Improvement Tool Help Use Bar Chat Arrange data for quick Analysis and easy comparison. Brainstorming Collect large number of Data gathering ideas from a group of people Cause-and-effect Identify a set related Analysis diagram causes that lead to an effect or problem. Good Source of analytical information.
  • 55. Check sheet Collect data in a Data gathering/ organized manner. analysis Environmental Identify trends and Data gathering/ Scanning events in the analysis environment. Flowchart Differentiate Analysis between the activities in a process. Focus group Obtain variety of Data Gathering views
  • 56. Histogram Determine how data Analysis are distributed Interview Collect data from Data gathering direct conversation Line graph Display the output Analysis of a process overtime List Reduction Reduce a large list of Analysis items to manageable few Matrix Make comparison Data gathering/ between two or analysis more sets information
  • 57. Observation Collects first hand data Data Gathering Pareto Chart Arrange data so that the Analysis most significant element in a set of elements is easily identifiable. Pie Chart Display the volume or Analysis quantity of one item in relation to other. Problem trees Find solution by Analysis mapping out cause-and- effect of an issue Survey Collect data from a Data gathering large number of people SWOT analysis Assess internal capacity Data gathering/ analysis and external
  • 58. Steps on Policy Analysis and Corresponding Tools/Techniques Policy Analysis Step Tool/Technique 1 Verifying, Defining, and Environmental Scanning Detailing Variance Brainstorming Interview Observation Survey List reduction Matrix Case Study Similar studies and articles done
  • 59. 2 Establishing Evaluation Cause-and-effect Diagram Criteria Flowchart Pareto Chart Brainstorming Check sheet Survey Interview Environmental Scanning Quick Policy Analysis Force Field Fish Bone Delphi Method School Report
  • 60. 3 Evaluating Alternative Brainstorming Policies Interview Survey Comparison Method Paired Comparison 4 Assessing Alternative Policies Scorecard Matrix Data Analysis Action Plan 5 Choosing the Alternative to Scenario writing be Adopted
  • 61. 7 Implementing, Monitoring Line Graph and Evaluation Pareto Chart Pie Graph Bar Chart Histogram Check sheet Brainstorming
  • 62. 7 Implementing, Monitoring Line Graph and Evaluation Pareto Chart Pie Graph Bar Chart Histogram Check sheet Brainstorming Cross Cutting Methods Identifying and gathering data Library search methods Interview for policy data Quick surveys Assessing information quality Basic data analysis, and Communicating the analysis

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  1. An average, or typical, case is often not the richest in information. In clarifying lines of history and causation it is more useful to select subjects that offer an interesting, unusual or particularly revealing set of circumstances. A case selection that is based on representativeness will seldom be able to produce these kinds of insights. When selecting a subject for a case study, researchers will therefore use information-oriented sampling, as opposed to random sampling.[5] Outlier cases (that is, those which are extreme, deviant or atypical) reveal more information than the putatively representative case. Alternatively, a case may be selected as a key case, chosen because of the inherent interest of the case or the circumstances surrounding it. Or it may be chosen because of researchers' in-depth local knowledge; where researchers have this local knowledge they are in a position to “soak and poke” as Fenno[7] puts it, and thereby to offer reasoned lines of explanation based on this rich knowledge of setting and circumstances. Three types of cases may thus be distinguished: Key cases Outlier cases Local knowledge cases Whatever the frame of reference for the choice of the subject of the case study (key, outlier, local knowledge), there is a distinction to be made between the subject and the object of the case study. The subject is the “practical, historical unity” [8] through which the theoretical focus of the study is being viewed. The object is that theoretical focus – the analytical frame. Thus, for example, if a researcher were interested in US resistance to communist expansion as a theoretical focus, then the Korean War might be taken to be the subject, the lens, the case study through which the theoretical focus, the object, could be viewed and explicated.[9] Beyond decisions about case selection and the subject and object of the study, decisions need to be made about purpose, approach and process in the case study. Thomas[4] thus proposes a typology for the case study wherein purposes are first identified (evaluative or exploratory), then approaches are delineated (theory-testing, theory-building or illustrative), then processes are decided upon, with a principal choice being between whether the study is to be single or multiple, and choices also about whether the study is to be retrospective, snapshot or diachronic, and whether it is nested, parallel or sequential. It is thus possible to take many routes through this typology, with, for example, an exploratory, theory-building, multiple, nested study, or an evaluative, theory-testing, single, retrospective study. The typology thus offers many permutations for case study structure.
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  3. Cost-benefit Analysis is simply calculating the cost of something versus the benefit to see if the purchase or project is worthwhile. It is an example of unadulterated economics. For example, let's say you want to purchase a new piece of equipment for your business. You would calculate the initial cost of the purchase and then calculate how long it would take before the equipment paid for itself and you began making money off the purchase. Which is greater, the cost or the benefit, which determines whether or not the initial purchase is worthwhile. Which is greater, your assets or the deficits of what you or your business is contemplating. Which is greater, the benefit or the cost?
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  5. A Pareto chart, named after Vilfredo Pareto, is a type of chart that contains both bars and a line graph, where individual values are represented in descending order by bars, and the cumulative total is represented by the line. The purpose of the Pareto chart is to highlight the most important among a (typically large) set of factor s.
  6. Sensitivity analysis (SA) is the study of how the uncertainty in the output of a model (numerical or otherwise) can be apportioned to different sources of uncertainty in the model input.[1] A related practice is uncertainty analysis which focuses rather on quantifying uncertainty in model output. Ideally, uncertainty and sensitivity analysis should be run in tandem. In more general terms uncertainty and sensitivity analysis investigate the robustness of a study when the study includes some form of statistical modelling. Sensitivity analysis can be useful to computer modelers for a range of purposes,[2] including: Support decision making or the development of recommendations for decision makers (e.g. testing the robustness of a result); Enhancing communication from modellers to decision makers (e.g. by making recommendations more credible, understandable, compelling or persuasive); Increased understanding or quantification of the system (e.g. understanding relationships between input and output variables); and Model development (e.g. searching for errors in the model). Let us give an example: in any budgeting process there are always variables that are uncertain. Future tax rates, interest rates, inflation rates, headcount, operating expenses and other variables may not be known with great precision. Sensitivity analysis answers the question, "if these variables deviate from expectations, what will the effect be (on the business, model, system, or whatever is being analyzed)?"