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Pacific Alliance as a platform for 
greater economic relations with 
East Asia 
September 2014 
Carlos Aquino 
Web site: http://carloskobe2005.wix.com/economia-asiatica 
E-mail: carloskobe2005@yahoo.com
Introduction 
• The Pacific Alliance, that bring together Chile, 
Colombia, Mexico and Peru, has attracted much 
attention from many countries as the most dynamic 
regional integration scheme in Latin America. The 
group`s economies have been growing faster than 
other countries in the region and especially its 
projection into the East Asia is seen as very interesting. 
• For Peru the Pacific Alliance presents the best 
opportunity, together with the Free Trade Areas that it 
has signed with several Asian countries, to have greater 
economic relations with Asia, but specially to diversify 
it exports, now concentrated mainly in primary goods, 
as mineral, fishmeal, and natural gas.
Index 
• 1. About the Pacific Alliance 
• 2. Why the Pacific Alliance could work when 
other Latin American schemes have failed? 
• 3. Challenges of the Pacific Alliance 
• 4. How can Peru use the Pacific Alliance as a 
platform for greater economic relations with 
East Asia 
• 5. Conclusions and recommendations
1. About the Pacific Alliance 
• Established in June 6, 2012 when the Presidents of 
Colombia, Chile, Mexico and Peru signed the Pacific 
Alliance Framework Agreement, in the fourth Summit of 
the Pacific Alliance in Chile, this block constitute 35% of 
Latin America GDP, its economic size is around US$2.2 
trillion. They have a combined population of 209 million, 
36% of Latin America, with a GDP per capita of US$10,000. 
The group economic growth rate is the highest in Latin 
America. In 2012 it was 5%, higher than the global average 
of 3.2%. 
• They account for 50% of trade in the region, with exports of 
US$556 billion and imports of US$551 billion in 2012. They 
represent 26% of investments flows in Latin America 
• The Pacific Alliance has raised great interest and has many 
countries as observer states, and seven are from Asia: 
China, India, Japan, Korea, Australia, New Zealand and 
Singapore (plus Turkey and Israel).
The main achievements of PA are said to be: 
• “- Elimination of the visa requirement for Colombian and 
Peruvian nationals travelling to Mexico to undertake 
remunerated activities for up to 180 days. 
• - Establishment of the Platform for academic and student 
mobility. In 2014, up to 100 scholarships were given per 
country for undergraduate and postgraduate students and 
professors. 
• - Creation of the Pacific Alliance Business Council, with the 
objective of promoting the Pacific Alliance, as well as make 
issue recommendations and suggestions for improved 
integration, and encourage joint actions towards third party 
markets, especially the Asia Pacific. 
• - Coordination among the four trade promotion agencies of 
the Pacific Alliance (ProMexico, Promperu, ProChile and 
Proexport) for joint activities. Among the progress achieved 
in this area, the agreement to share offices should be 
highlighted. The first of these is already operating in 
Istanbul, Turkey”.
2. Why the Pacific Alliance could work when 
other Latin American schemes have failed? 
• First, PA countries have similar political systems, 
democratic institutions. Compared to several other 
Latin American countries, as a group Pacific Alliance 
countries are more politically and economically stable. 
As somebody said, it is based on affinity rather than 
proximity. 
• Second, they are more or less open economies, 
especially Chile and Peru. Mexico and Colombia are 
following closely. They have achieved macroeconomic 
stability and improved governance. 
• Third, they share an interest in having close 
relationship with Asian countries, the region with the 
fastest economic growth in the world. Most of them 
have already Free Trade Area agreements with several 
Asian countries.
Challenges of the Pacific Alliance 
• First, improvement in physical infrastructure is needed. 
Connectivity is a problem. Ports, airports, Roads, 
Telecommunications networks are still insufficient in some 
countries. Also, a more educated workforce is needed, to 
attract investment in manufacture. 
• Second, more direct transportation links to Asia is needed, 
with more shipping and airline connections. 
• Third, more efforts to promote the country’s image and 
increase its trade, tourism, and investment in Asia is 
needed. More commercial offices there for this effort are 
necessary 
• Fourth, a kind of policy to promote the production of more 
value added goods for export to Asia or among them is 
needed. Formation of a regional value chain, as seen in the 
East Asia region for example, is needed.
4. How can Peru use the Pacific Alliance as a 
platform for greater economic relations with 
East Asia 
• 4.1 Peru trade with PA members 
• Trade with other PA member countries accounted for 9% of 
Peru´s total trade in the year 2013. Around 8.2% of Peru´s 
total exports went to the three countries of Chile, Colombia 
and Mexico, and 10.6% of Peru´s imports come from them. 
Chile is Peru biggest trade partner in the PA, with nearly 
US$3 billion in trade. 
• In Peru global trade Chile was the seventh most important 
export market in 2013. In the import side Mexico was the 
fifth most important source of foreign goods for Peru. 
• Peru mainly exports primary goods to its partners in PA (but 
with increasing exports of more value added goods, 
especially to Colombia) and imports from them mostly 
manufactured goods.
TABLE 1: TOP 11 PRODUCTS EXPORTED TO CHILE, 2013 
Source: ADUANAS DEL PERU 
http://www.aduanet.gob.pe/aduanas/informae/XPaisPartMensual_01122013.htm 
PRODUCT Millions of Dollars 
FOB value 
Total 1,666 
Copper ores and 
378 
concentrates 
Molybdenum 178 
Oil 122 
Fishmeal 92 
Sulfuric acid 87 
Ceramic tile 60 
Kerosene type jet fuel 41 
Fish fat and oils 30 
Other bars in other hot steel 27 
Vehicles for transport of 
27 
more than 16 persons 
Kerosene 20
PRODUCT Millions of Dollars 
FOB value 
Total 1,273 
Ammonium nitrate for mining 
58 
use 
Chemistry a la past soda or 
sulphate, bleached or 
34 
Other papers and cardboards 34 
Parts of machines and apparatus 
32 
of tariff heading 84.74 
Other woods sawn or chipped 29 
Newsprint in rolls or sheets 29 
Mackerel, frozen 28 
Malta unroasted 26 
Fresh apples 26 
Other preparation of tariff 
27 
heading 210690290 
TABLE 6: TOP 10 PRODUCTS IMPORTED FROM CHILE, 2013 
Source: ADUANAS DEL PERU 
http://www.aduanet.gob.pe/aduanas/informae/MPaisPartMensual_01122013.htm
4.2 Peru trade with Asian countries 
• One of the aims of the Pacific Alliance is to increase its 
trade with Asian countries. Peru in the 1990`s decided to 
put emphasis in its relationship with these countries. In 
1998 Peru became a member of Asia Pacific Economic 
Cooperation forum, APEC, and from the last decade Free 
Trade Area, FTA agreements, were signed with several of 
them. In 2010 it was with China, in the year 2011 with 
Korea and in 2012 with Japan. Also partial FTA agreements 
are in force with Singapore and Thailand. 
• Besides this Peru is in negotiations in the Trans Pacific 
Partnership Agreement, TPP, and if this concludes 
successfully, it will have FTA agreements with Malaysia and 
Vietnam for example (There are twelve members’ countries 
in the TPP: Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, 
Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, USA, and 
Vietnam).
• It should be noted also that of the 4 members of 
Pacific Alliance three, Chile, Mexico and Peru are 
members of APEC and as said these three also 
have several FTA agreements with some Asian 
countries. 
• Peru trade with Asia has increased specially from 
the last decade. Exports of primary goods, 
minerals and fishmeal, has leaped to the point 
that China become Peru biggest export 
destination and trade partner three years ago 
(2011)
TABLE 7: MAJOR TRADE PARTNERS OF PERU, 2010-2013, IN MILLION OF DOLLARS 
Source: Peru`s Customs Office: 
http://www.aduanet.gob.pe/aduanas/informae/BalContiZonaPais_01122013.htm 
COUNTRY 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 
Expor 
ts 
Impor 
ts 
Exports Impo 
rts 
Export 
s 
Import 
s 
Export 
s 
Import 
s 
1. U.S.A 6,087 5,811 5,903 7,350 6,175 7,916 7,306 8,783 
1. China 5,436 5,140 6,963 6,325 7,848 7,802 7,331 8,379 
1. Japan 1,790 1,336 2,174 1,314 2,575 1,499 2,226 1,433 
1. Canada 3,329 539 4,232 583 3,445 588 2,692 615 
1. Switzerl 
and 3,845 118 5,937 150 5,074 154 2,967 158
Graphic 1: 
Source: Proinversion: “Why invest in Peru”, August 2013
TABLE 8: PERU EXPORTS TO ASIAN MEMBERS OF APEC (IN MILLION OF DOLLARS) (FOB VALUE) 
*Year1994 
Source: Aduanas del PerĂş: http://www.aduanet.gob.pe/aduanas/informae/2012/generales/ExpoImpoPorContiZonaPais.html 
http://www.aduanet.gob.pe/aduanas/informae/BalContiZonaPais_01122013.htm 
PROMPERUSTAT http://www.siicex.gob.pe/promperustat/frmRanking_x_Pais.aspx (For data before the year 2000) 
Country/Econo 
my 
1993 1997 2003 2010 2011 2012 2013 
World Total 3,344.40 6,741.75 8,939.82 35,073.25 46,386.03 45,846.18 41,511.7 
Australia 14.99 16.31 53.12 117.5 115.35 99.50 130.37 
South Korea 59.36 91.50 176.34 894.9 1,696.09 1,545.35 1,536.38 
China 140.84 490.06 676.96 5,425.9 6,972.64 7,848.97 7,331.44 
Philippines 31.99* 47.96 11.06 123.41 109.75 55.23 128.11 
Hong-Kong 28.60 68.82 30.31 78.5 93.24 96.54 84.22 
Indonesia 32.62* 36.33 22.67 36.61 61.49 101.18 105.31 
Japan 299.04 473.57 391.16 1,790.4 2,174.76 2,575.33 2,226.72 
Malaysia 57.33* 59.77 5.51 8.43 6.75 27.68 56.29 
New Zealand 1.50 - 3.72 13.5 18.63. 25.82 22.55 
Russia 9.90 9.48 14.18 57.9 78.80 88.43 149.76 
Singapore 1.68* 11.96* 16.15 6.66 7.94 21.46 20.18 
Thailand 11.71* 36.23 26.71 98.10 264.76 234.06 138.25 
Taiwan 
118.78 159.11 147.28 293.0 365.28 261.10 211.29 
(Chinese Taipei) 
Vietnam 1.62* 2.56 10.64 63.89 77.72 90.43 44.80
• In Asia, the most important export markets for Peru are 
China, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan 
• China is the biggest buyer of Peru iron, copper, zinc, 
fishmeal, etc. The twenty most important goods exported 
to China constitute 98.2% of the total exported there and 
they are mainly mineral, fishery products, and some 
gasoline, grapes, wood, and hair from llama or alpaca. Half 
of Peru total copper exports go to China and around of 70% 
of fishmeal and 100% of iron ore 
• As can be seen Peru trade with China, and also with most 
Asian countries, is asymmetric in its contents, because Peru 
exports mainly primary goods to them, and import from 
them mainly manufactured goods.
PRODUCT Millions of Dollars 
FOB value 
Total 7,331 
Copper ores and concentrates 3,338 
Copper cathodes 1,020 
Fishmeal 856 
Iron ore 855 
Zinc ore 203 
Lead ore 195 
Silver ore 182 
Zinc, not alloyed 100 
Cuttlefish and squid 91 
Other gasoline without lead 
58 
tetraethyl 
Fresh grapes 45 
Other seaweed 35 
Strips and friezes for parquet 
35 
flooring, not assembled 
Other Cuttlefish and squid, frozen, 
dried 
27 
Copper waste 19 
Other fine hair carded or combed, 
from llama or alpaca 
19 
Other wood swan or chipped 
lengthwise, sliced or peeled 
17 
Other polyethylene terephthalate 
with titanium dioxide 
17 
Fish fats and oil 16 
Copper anodes for electrolytic 
refining 
16 
TABLE 9: TOP 20 PRODUCTS EXPORTED TO CHINA, 2013 
Source: ADUANAS DEL PERU 
http://www.aduanet.gob.pe/aduanas/informae/XPaisPartMensual_01122013.htm
TABLE 10: TOP 10 PRODUCTS IMPORTED FROM CHINA, 2013 
Source: ADUANAS DEL PERU: http://www.aduanet.gob.pe/aduanas/informae/MPaisPartMensual_01122013.htm 
PRODUCT Millions of dollars 
CIF Value 
Total 7,921 
Mobile Phones 730 
Data processing machine 459 
Motorcycles 136 
Vehicles 111 
Telecommunications devices 98 
Other polyethylene terephthalate 
84 
with titanium dioxide 
Other footwear with top of textile 
and rubber sole or plastic 
84 
Other footwear 80 
Other wind power generators 69 
Other TV sets 76
TABLE 11: TOP 20 PRODUCTS EXPORTED TO JAPAN, 2013 
PRODUCT Millions of Dollars 
FOB value 
Total 2,226 
Copper ores and concentrates 1,161 
Natural gas 333 
Other gasoline without lead 
183 
tetraethyl 
Lead ore 134 
Zinc ores and concentrates 91 
Fishmeal 81 
Propane gas 32 
Tin, not alloyed 22 
Other Cuttlefish and squid, 
13 
frozen, dried 
Butane gas 13 
Asparagus 11 
Cathode and sections of 
11 
refined copper cathode 
Zinc, not alloyed 10 
Other coffee 9 
Cuttlefish and squid 7 
Fish fats and oil 7 
Asparagus fresh and 
6 
refrigerated 
Other Zinc not alloyed 6 
Other fish meat 5 
Bananas 4 
Source:ADUANAS DEL PERU
TABLE 12: TOP 20 PRODUCTS EXPORTED TO KOREA, 2013 
Source: ADUANAS DEL PERU 
PRODUCT Millions of Dollars 
FOB value 
Total 1,536 
Copper ore and concentrates 406 
Lead ore and concentrates 299 
Natural gas 275 
Zinc ore and concentrates 200 
Silver ore and concentrates 129 
Cathode and sections of 
41 
refined copper cathode 
Other coffee 30 
Cuttlefish and squid 21 
Zinc, not alloyed 19 
Other Cuttlefish and squid, 
19 
frozen, dried 
Propane gas 14 
Fresh grapes 12 
Copper matte 7 
Refined unwrought lead 7 
Butane gas 6 
Copper waste 6 
Other frozen steaks, tents, 
4 
eels 
Fish fats and oil 3 
Other frozen fish 2 
Fishmeal and pellets 2
• What can Peru export besides primary goods to Asia? 
• In the last years Peru is experiencing a process of 
diversification of its exports. New products, so called 
non-traditional exports, are being sold abroad. Among 
them are chemical, textiles, but also from the agro 
industrial and fishery sectors. As can be seen in Graphic 
2, the amount exported of these products increased 
five times from 2003 to 2013, from around 2,000 
million dollars to 10,000 million dollars. 
• Some of the products that Peru export to markets in 
Europe, North America and still do not export or does 
very little to Asia are the ones show in Table 13:
Graphic 2 
Source: Proinversion: “Why invest in Peru”, August 2013
Table 13: Peru´s non-traditional exports, in million dollars, years 2009 and 2013 
Source: Central Bank Reserve of Peru: “Memoria 2013” Table 22 
Products 2009 2013 
Quinoa 7 79 
Tara powder 13 32 
Fresh Asparagus 251 412 
Fresh Onions 28 63 
Grapes 136 450 
Avocado 64 185 
Mangoes 71 133 
Canned fruits vegetables 472 679 
Fresh or chilled fish products 13 41 
Dairy products 62 112 
Cocoa and chocolate 83 152
What is needed to sell non-traditional exports to 
Asia? 
• First, an increase in the supply of the non-traditional 
products will be needed to satisfy demand in Asia. It will be 
necessary to increase production if we want to sell these in 
Asia. 
• For example, in the case of quinoa, one of the stars of Peru 
non-traditional exports, that has increased its sales from 7 
million dollars in 2009 to 79 million dollars in 2013 clearly 
efforts to increase the area of production is needed if Peru 
wants to sell more. Actually price of this product has 
increased 
• Some efforts are being done in Peru to increase quinoa 
production area. It is said that the PA countries should work 
together to present a common export supply to Asia in 
several goods, because also the others countries of the PA 
alone by themselves could not supply the great demand 
that Asian consumers can represent. Chile is planning to 
increase its quinoa production also.
• Second, to export products like agricultural ones is necessary to 
comply with the phytosanitary requirements that Asian countries 
demand. Some products from Peru have achieved this in some 
markets in Asia. Perhaps at the level of the Pacific Alliance some 
common experiences could be shared by some members in this 
regards, as in the case of Chile that already export several 
agricultural goods to Asia and has approved these phytosanitary 
requirements 
• Third, to be able to sell to Asia promotion of the exportable supply 
is necessary, given that Asian consumers do not know Peru 
products. Then the establishment of commercial offices, 
participation in food fairs for example, and marketing campaigns 
are needed. 
• Peru has few commercial offices in Asia compared for example with 
Chile. There is a commercial office in Taipei (since 1992) in Tokyo 
(since 2000), in China in Beijing (since 2002) and Shanghai. New 
ones are being opened in Seoul, Jakarta and New Delhi this year. 
Also there is a new one in Istanbul and another in Dubai.
• Regarding this aspect of the promotion effort in Asia 
the Pacific Alliance is doing some efforts to work 
together to jointly promote the group export supply in 
Asia. Joint participation of PA countries in food fairs, as 
has been done in SIAL China 2014 and in Food Taipei is 
something that would help in this aim. 
• Fourth, efforts to attract investment from Asia to the 
production of goods for non-traditional exports should 
be done. There is a growing investment from Asia in 
Peru in the last years but sill this is concentrated mainly 
in the primary sector, especially in the mineral one.
Investment from Pacific Alliance countries 
• By the end of December 2013 Peru has a balance of 
US$22.6 billion of Foreign Direct Investment, FDI. 
Countries from the Pacific Alliance are among the major 
investors. Chile is in fifth place, Colombia is in the 
seventh and Mexico in tenth place. Most of FDI in Peru 
are in the Mining (23.9% of total), Finance (18.6%), 
Communications (17.3%), Industry (13.7%) and Energy 
(12.1%) sectors. These five sectors account for 85.6% of 
the FDI in Peru. 
• But the aim should be to attract investment from Asia in 
sectors that produce goods with more value added, as in 
the agricultural sector, fishing sectors, and manufacture 
in general.
TABLE 14: FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT BALANCE AS CAPITAL CONTRIBUTION, 
BY COUNTRY OF DOMICILE, (IN MILLIONS OF US$) 
*Stock updated until December 2013 
Source: Proinversion: http://www.proinversion.gob.pe/modulos/LAN/landing.aspx?are=1&pfl=1&lan=9&tit=institucional 
COUNTRY 2013* 
UNITED KINGDOM 4,459.1 
SPAIN 4,317.6 
USA 3,167.7 
THE 
1,532.8 
NETHERLANDS 
CHILE 1,422.1 
BRAZIL 1,169.5 
COLOMBIA 1,067.8 
PANAMA 937.3 
CANADA 853.5 
MEXICO 476.8 
SWITZERLAND 455.0 
SINGAPORE 365.5 
LUXEMBURG 272.4 
JAPAN 238.4 
FRANCE 220.5 
CHINA 208.1 
GRAND TOTAL 22,614.7
Table 15: Direct Foreign Investment flows in Peru 
(in millions of US$) 
Source: Proinversion 
YEARS 
BCRP DIRECT 
FOREIGN 
INVESTMENTS 
VARIATION 
1995 2,557.0 
1996 3,471.1 35.8% 
1997 2,139.3 -38.4% 
1998 1,643.9 -23.2% 
1999 1,940.0 18.0% 
2000 809.7 -58.3% 
2001 1,144.3 41.3% 
2002 2,155.8 88.4% 
2003 1,335.0 -38.1% 
2004 1,599.0 19.8% 
2005 2,578.7 61.3% 
2006 3,466.5 34.4% 
2007 5,491.0 58.4% 
2008 6,923.7 26.1% 
2009 6,430.7 -7.1% 
2010 8,454.6 31.5% 
2011 8,232.6 -2.6% 
2012 12,239.7 48.7% 
2013 2/ 11,108.0 -9.2% 
2014 2/ 9,400.0 -15.4% 
2015 2/ 9,435.0 0.4%
GRAPH 3: ESTIMATED PORTFOLIO OF MINING PROJECTS BY MAIN INVESTOR, JUNE 2014 
Source: Ministerio de Energía y Minas: “Cartera estimada de proyectos mineros, Junio 2013”, page 3
• But then a labor of investment promotion is necessary 
to let know Asian investors that Peru is a country 
where not only natural resources can be extracted. 
• In general Peru and the rest of members of Pacific 
Alliance are not well known in the Asia region and in 
this regard the investment road shows jointly organized 
in Asia to promote these countries image are a good 
way to fulfill that need. 
• In Seoul one of these events, a workshop on promotion 
of investment opportunities in the PA countries was 
celebrated last September 2nd, as was done one 
another last year.
• Recently, Peru government has announced a Productive 
Diversification Plan, to promote activities with more value 
added, in sectors like the mining sector, the agro industrial 
sector, the fishery sector, textile and garments, chemical 
sector, etc. 
• The government is looking for do this by working in three 
fields: reduction of cost overruns, the elimination of 
excessive regulations to make easier to do business and 
promote investment (simplifying administrative 
procedures); the improvement of competitiveness of the 
industry through the promotion of the adoption of modern 
machinery and improvement in labor force skills (Peru has 
few graduate in technical areas, engineering and physical 
sciences), and the diversification of national production to 
sectors that create more value added. .
Crecimiento del PBI en varios paises de Latinoamerica 
http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/publicaciones/memoria-anual/memoria-2013.html
• The idea behind the plan is to introduce new engines 
to the economic growth that Peru is experiencing in 
the last years, to reduce the dependence in the export 
of primary goods, and to create employment of better 
quality. 
• One of the central ideas of the Productive 
Diversification Plan is the development of clusters in 
the mining, fishing, agribusiness, tourism, jewelry, 
apparel. The one existing are based heavily on natural 
endowments, with a need of further upgrading, they 
are also shallow, with weak supplier bases and 
supporting institutions, and there is a poor 
coordination between the private and public sectors
• The formation of clusters or value global chains could be done 
at the level of Pacific Alliance also. But improvement of 
physical infrastructure, connectivity and skilled labor force is 
needed. 
• There is a need for private businessman to get more involved 
in dealing with Asia. The need to known Asia culture, 
consumer’s tastes, and Asia businessman idiosyncrasy is 
necessary to do business in this region. 
• One sector that still is not benefiting from increased 
integration with Asia is the tourism sector. In Peru the number 
of tourists coming to visit the country many natural and 
historical attractions increase year by year. In 2013 nearly 3.2 
million tourist arrived, but few come from Asia 
• Improvement of facilities for Asian tourists and better 
connectivity is needed
5. Conclusions and recommendations 
• The PA is an interesting mechanism that compared with 
existing economic integration schemes in Latin America has 
more probabilities of being successful. Especially its 
declared aim for better economic integration with Asia 
presents a good opportunity for Peru to achieve just that. 
• Peru exports to Asian countries have increased in the last 
years but more than 95% of these are primary goods. The 
challenge is to export goods with more value added. For 
this to happen, increase in the supply of non-traditional 
exports that are being already sold in other foreign markets 
is need. Also the promotion of these new goods in Asian 
markets, where there is no much knowledge of them is 
necessary. And the attraction of investment from Asia to 
the production of more value added goods also should be 
done.
• The Pacific Alliance as a group can work in trying to 
meet those challenges through the joint supply of 
goods, the joint promotion of the export supply, and 
the common promotion of investment opportunities in 
the PA countries. 
• But the improvement of physical and human 
infrastructure, the elimination of remaining barriers to 
trade, the improvement in the institutional 
environment (better judicial system, a better political 
system, etc.), and the need to know better the Asian 
markets are further challenges ahead
• If these can be overcome, the PA could be more 
competitive and fulfill its aim of bringing more 
prosperity to its citizens. 
• In a world where prices of commodities no longer 
will be at higher levels, something that benefited 
Latin American countries like those of the Pacific 
Alliance, the future growth should come from 
productivity, investment and efficiency, 
something that this group hope to achieve

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Pacific Alliance as a platform for greater economic relations with East Asia

  • 1. Pacific Alliance as a platform for greater economic relations with East Asia September 2014 Carlos Aquino Web site: http://carloskobe2005.wix.com/economia-asiatica E-mail: carloskobe2005@yahoo.com
  • 2. Introduction • The Pacific Alliance, that bring together Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru, has attracted much attention from many countries as the most dynamic regional integration scheme in Latin America. The group`s economies have been growing faster than other countries in the region and especially its projection into the East Asia is seen as very interesting. • For Peru the Pacific Alliance presents the best opportunity, together with the Free Trade Areas that it has signed with several Asian countries, to have greater economic relations with Asia, but specially to diversify it exports, now concentrated mainly in primary goods, as mineral, fishmeal, and natural gas.
  • 3. Index • 1. About the Pacific Alliance • 2. Why the Pacific Alliance could work when other Latin American schemes have failed? • 3. Challenges of the Pacific Alliance • 4. How can Peru use the Pacific Alliance as a platform for greater economic relations with East Asia • 5. Conclusions and recommendations
  • 4. 1. About the Pacific Alliance • Established in June 6, 2012 when the Presidents of Colombia, Chile, Mexico and Peru signed the Pacific Alliance Framework Agreement, in the fourth Summit of the Pacific Alliance in Chile, this block constitute 35% of Latin America GDP, its economic size is around US$2.2 trillion. They have a combined population of 209 million, 36% of Latin America, with a GDP per capita of US$10,000. The group economic growth rate is the highest in Latin America. In 2012 it was 5%, higher than the global average of 3.2%. • They account for 50% of trade in the region, with exports of US$556 billion and imports of US$551 billion in 2012. They represent 26% of investments flows in Latin America • The Pacific Alliance has raised great interest and has many countries as observer states, and seven are from Asia: China, India, Japan, Korea, Australia, New Zealand and Singapore (plus Turkey and Israel).
  • 5. The main achievements of PA are said to be: • “- Elimination of the visa requirement for Colombian and Peruvian nationals travelling to Mexico to undertake remunerated activities for up to 180 days. • - Establishment of the Platform for academic and student mobility. In 2014, up to 100 scholarships were given per country for undergraduate and postgraduate students and professors. • - Creation of the Pacific Alliance Business Council, with the objective of promoting the Pacific Alliance, as well as make issue recommendations and suggestions for improved integration, and encourage joint actions towards third party markets, especially the Asia Pacific. • - Coordination among the four trade promotion agencies of the Pacific Alliance (ProMexico, Promperu, ProChile and Proexport) for joint activities. Among the progress achieved in this area, the agreement to share offices should be highlighted. The first of these is already operating in Istanbul, Turkey”.
  • 6. 2. Why the Pacific Alliance could work when other Latin American schemes have failed? • First, PA countries have similar political systems, democratic institutions. Compared to several other Latin American countries, as a group Pacific Alliance countries are more politically and economically stable. As somebody said, it is based on affinity rather than proximity. • Second, they are more or less open economies, especially Chile and Peru. Mexico and Colombia are following closely. They have achieved macroeconomic stability and improved governance. • Third, they share an interest in having close relationship with Asian countries, the region with the fastest economic growth in the world. Most of them have already Free Trade Area agreements with several Asian countries.
  • 7. Challenges of the Pacific Alliance • First, improvement in physical infrastructure is needed. Connectivity is a problem. Ports, airports, Roads, Telecommunications networks are still insufficient in some countries. Also, a more educated workforce is needed, to attract investment in manufacture. • Second, more direct transportation links to Asia is needed, with more shipping and airline connections. • Third, more efforts to promote the country’s image and increase its trade, tourism, and investment in Asia is needed. More commercial offices there for this effort are necessary • Fourth, a kind of policy to promote the production of more value added goods for export to Asia or among them is needed. Formation of a regional value chain, as seen in the East Asia region for example, is needed.
  • 8. 4. How can Peru use the Pacific Alliance as a platform for greater economic relations with East Asia • 4.1 Peru trade with PA members • Trade with other PA member countries accounted for 9% of Peru´s total trade in the year 2013. Around 8.2% of Peru´s total exports went to the three countries of Chile, Colombia and Mexico, and 10.6% of Peru´s imports come from them. Chile is Peru biggest trade partner in the PA, with nearly US$3 billion in trade. • In Peru global trade Chile was the seventh most important export market in 2013. In the import side Mexico was the fifth most important source of foreign goods for Peru. • Peru mainly exports primary goods to its partners in PA (but with increasing exports of more value added goods, especially to Colombia) and imports from them mostly manufactured goods.
  • 9. TABLE 1: TOP 11 PRODUCTS EXPORTED TO CHILE, 2013 Source: ADUANAS DEL PERU http://www.aduanet.gob.pe/aduanas/informae/XPaisPartMensual_01122013.htm PRODUCT Millions of Dollars FOB value Total 1,666 Copper ores and 378 concentrates Molybdenum 178 Oil 122 Fishmeal 92 Sulfuric acid 87 Ceramic tile 60 Kerosene type jet fuel 41 Fish fat and oils 30 Other bars in other hot steel 27 Vehicles for transport of 27 more than 16 persons Kerosene 20
  • 10. PRODUCT Millions of Dollars FOB value Total 1,273 Ammonium nitrate for mining 58 use Chemistry a la past soda or sulphate, bleached or 34 Other papers and cardboards 34 Parts of machines and apparatus 32 of tariff heading 84.74 Other woods sawn or chipped 29 Newsprint in rolls or sheets 29 Mackerel, frozen 28 Malta unroasted 26 Fresh apples 26 Other preparation of tariff 27 heading 210690290 TABLE 6: TOP 10 PRODUCTS IMPORTED FROM CHILE, 2013 Source: ADUANAS DEL PERU http://www.aduanet.gob.pe/aduanas/informae/MPaisPartMensual_01122013.htm
  • 11. 4.2 Peru trade with Asian countries • One of the aims of the Pacific Alliance is to increase its trade with Asian countries. Peru in the 1990`s decided to put emphasis in its relationship with these countries. In 1998 Peru became a member of Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation forum, APEC, and from the last decade Free Trade Area, FTA agreements, were signed with several of them. In 2010 it was with China, in the year 2011 with Korea and in 2012 with Japan. Also partial FTA agreements are in force with Singapore and Thailand. • Besides this Peru is in negotiations in the Trans Pacific Partnership Agreement, TPP, and if this concludes successfully, it will have FTA agreements with Malaysia and Vietnam for example (There are twelve members’ countries in the TPP: Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, USA, and Vietnam).
  • 12. • It should be noted also that of the 4 members of Pacific Alliance three, Chile, Mexico and Peru are members of APEC and as said these three also have several FTA agreements with some Asian countries. • Peru trade with Asia has increased specially from the last decade. Exports of primary goods, minerals and fishmeal, has leaped to the point that China become Peru biggest export destination and trade partner three years ago (2011)
  • 13. TABLE 7: MAJOR TRADE PARTNERS OF PERU, 2010-2013, IN MILLION OF DOLLARS Source: Peru`s Customs Office: http://www.aduanet.gob.pe/aduanas/informae/BalContiZonaPais_01122013.htm COUNTRY 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 Expor ts Impor ts Exports Impo rts Export s Import s Export s Import s 1. U.S.A 6,087 5,811 5,903 7,350 6,175 7,916 7,306 8,783 1. China 5,436 5,140 6,963 6,325 7,848 7,802 7,331 8,379 1. Japan 1,790 1,336 2,174 1,314 2,575 1,499 2,226 1,433 1. Canada 3,329 539 4,232 583 3,445 588 2,692 615 1. Switzerl and 3,845 118 5,937 150 5,074 154 2,967 158
  • 14. Graphic 1: Source: Proinversion: “Why invest in Peru”, August 2013
  • 15. TABLE 8: PERU EXPORTS TO ASIAN MEMBERS OF APEC (IN MILLION OF DOLLARS) (FOB VALUE) *Year1994 Source: Aduanas del PerĂş: http://www.aduanet.gob.pe/aduanas/informae/2012/generales/ExpoImpoPorContiZonaPais.html http://www.aduanet.gob.pe/aduanas/informae/BalContiZonaPais_01122013.htm PROMPERUSTAT http://www.siicex.gob.pe/promperustat/frmRanking_x_Pais.aspx (For data before the year 2000) Country/Econo my 1993 1997 2003 2010 2011 2012 2013 World Total 3,344.40 6,741.75 8,939.82 35,073.25 46,386.03 45,846.18 41,511.7 Australia 14.99 16.31 53.12 117.5 115.35 99.50 130.37 South Korea 59.36 91.50 176.34 894.9 1,696.09 1,545.35 1,536.38 China 140.84 490.06 676.96 5,425.9 6,972.64 7,848.97 7,331.44 Philippines 31.99* 47.96 11.06 123.41 109.75 55.23 128.11 Hong-Kong 28.60 68.82 30.31 78.5 93.24 96.54 84.22 Indonesia 32.62* 36.33 22.67 36.61 61.49 101.18 105.31 Japan 299.04 473.57 391.16 1,790.4 2,174.76 2,575.33 2,226.72 Malaysia 57.33* 59.77 5.51 8.43 6.75 27.68 56.29 New Zealand 1.50 - 3.72 13.5 18.63. 25.82 22.55 Russia 9.90 9.48 14.18 57.9 78.80 88.43 149.76 Singapore 1.68* 11.96* 16.15 6.66 7.94 21.46 20.18 Thailand 11.71* 36.23 26.71 98.10 264.76 234.06 138.25 Taiwan 118.78 159.11 147.28 293.0 365.28 261.10 211.29 (Chinese Taipei) Vietnam 1.62* 2.56 10.64 63.89 77.72 90.43 44.80
  • 16. • In Asia, the most important export markets for Peru are China, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan • China is the biggest buyer of Peru iron, copper, zinc, fishmeal, etc. The twenty most important goods exported to China constitute 98.2% of the total exported there and they are mainly mineral, fishery products, and some gasoline, grapes, wood, and hair from llama or alpaca. Half of Peru total copper exports go to China and around of 70% of fishmeal and 100% of iron ore • As can be seen Peru trade with China, and also with most Asian countries, is asymmetric in its contents, because Peru exports mainly primary goods to them, and import from them mainly manufactured goods.
  • 17. PRODUCT Millions of Dollars FOB value Total 7,331 Copper ores and concentrates 3,338 Copper cathodes 1,020 Fishmeal 856 Iron ore 855 Zinc ore 203 Lead ore 195 Silver ore 182 Zinc, not alloyed 100 Cuttlefish and squid 91 Other gasoline without lead 58 tetraethyl Fresh grapes 45 Other seaweed 35 Strips and friezes for parquet 35 flooring, not assembled Other Cuttlefish and squid, frozen, dried 27 Copper waste 19 Other fine hair carded or combed, from llama or alpaca 19 Other wood swan or chipped lengthwise, sliced or peeled 17 Other polyethylene terephthalate with titanium dioxide 17 Fish fats and oil 16 Copper anodes for electrolytic refining 16 TABLE 9: TOP 20 PRODUCTS EXPORTED TO CHINA, 2013 Source: ADUANAS DEL PERU http://www.aduanet.gob.pe/aduanas/informae/XPaisPartMensual_01122013.htm
  • 18. TABLE 10: TOP 10 PRODUCTS IMPORTED FROM CHINA, 2013 Source: ADUANAS DEL PERU: http://www.aduanet.gob.pe/aduanas/informae/MPaisPartMensual_01122013.htm PRODUCT Millions of dollars CIF Value Total 7,921 Mobile Phones 730 Data processing machine 459 Motorcycles 136 Vehicles 111 Telecommunications devices 98 Other polyethylene terephthalate 84 with titanium dioxide Other footwear with top of textile and rubber sole or plastic 84 Other footwear 80 Other wind power generators 69 Other TV sets 76
  • 19. TABLE 11: TOP 20 PRODUCTS EXPORTED TO JAPAN, 2013 PRODUCT Millions of Dollars FOB value Total 2,226 Copper ores and concentrates 1,161 Natural gas 333 Other gasoline without lead 183 tetraethyl Lead ore 134 Zinc ores and concentrates 91 Fishmeal 81 Propane gas 32 Tin, not alloyed 22 Other Cuttlefish and squid, 13 frozen, dried Butane gas 13 Asparagus 11 Cathode and sections of 11 refined copper cathode Zinc, not alloyed 10 Other coffee 9 Cuttlefish and squid 7 Fish fats and oil 7 Asparagus fresh and 6 refrigerated Other Zinc not alloyed 6 Other fish meat 5 Bananas 4 Source:ADUANAS DEL PERU
  • 20. TABLE 12: TOP 20 PRODUCTS EXPORTED TO KOREA, 2013 Source: ADUANAS DEL PERU PRODUCT Millions of Dollars FOB value Total 1,536 Copper ore and concentrates 406 Lead ore and concentrates 299 Natural gas 275 Zinc ore and concentrates 200 Silver ore and concentrates 129 Cathode and sections of 41 refined copper cathode Other coffee 30 Cuttlefish and squid 21 Zinc, not alloyed 19 Other Cuttlefish and squid, 19 frozen, dried Propane gas 14 Fresh grapes 12 Copper matte 7 Refined unwrought lead 7 Butane gas 6 Copper waste 6 Other frozen steaks, tents, 4 eels Fish fats and oil 3 Other frozen fish 2 Fishmeal and pellets 2
  • 21. • What can Peru export besides primary goods to Asia? • In the last years Peru is experiencing a process of diversification of its exports. New products, so called non-traditional exports, are being sold abroad. Among them are chemical, textiles, but also from the agro industrial and fishery sectors. As can be seen in Graphic 2, the amount exported of these products increased five times from 2003 to 2013, from around 2,000 million dollars to 10,000 million dollars. • Some of the products that Peru export to markets in Europe, North America and still do not export or does very little to Asia are the ones show in Table 13:
  • 22. Graphic 2 Source: Proinversion: “Why invest in Peru”, August 2013
  • 23. Table 13: Peru´s non-traditional exports, in million dollars, years 2009 and 2013 Source: Central Bank Reserve of Peru: “Memoria 2013” Table 22 Products 2009 2013 Quinoa 7 79 Tara powder 13 32 Fresh Asparagus 251 412 Fresh Onions 28 63 Grapes 136 450 Avocado 64 185 Mangoes 71 133 Canned fruits vegetables 472 679 Fresh or chilled fish products 13 41 Dairy products 62 112 Cocoa and chocolate 83 152
  • 24. What is needed to sell non-traditional exports to Asia? • First, an increase in the supply of the non-traditional products will be needed to satisfy demand in Asia. It will be necessary to increase production if we want to sell these in Asia. • For example, in the case of quinoa, one of the stars of Peru non-traditional exports, that has increased its sales from 7 million dollars in 2009 to 79 million dollars in 2013 clearly efforts to increase the area of production is needed if Peru wants to sell more. Actually price of this product has increased • Some efforts are being done in Peru to increase quinoa production area. It is said that the PA countries should work together to present a common export supply to Asia in several goods, because also the others countries of the PA alone by themselves could not supply the great demand that Asian consumers can represent. Chile is planning to increase its quinoa production also.
  • 25. • Second, to export products like agricultural ones is necessary to comply with the phytosanitary requirements that Asian countries demand. Some products from Peru have achieved this in some markets in Asia. Perhaps at the level of the Pacific Alliance some common experiences could be shared by some members in this regards, as in the case of Chile that already export several agricultural goods to Asia and has approved these phytosanitary requirements • Third, to be able to sell to Asia promotion of the exportable supply is necessary, given that Asian consumers do not know Peru products. Then the establishment of commercial offices, participation in food fairs for example, and marketing campaigns are needed. • Peru has few commercial offices in Asia compared for example with Chile. There is a commercial office in Taipei (since 1992) in Tokyo (since 2000), in China in Beijing (since 2002) and Shanghai. New ones are being opened in Seoul, Jakarta and New Delhi this year. Also there is a new one in Istanbul and another in Dubai.
  • 26. • Regarding this aspect of the promotion effort in Asia the Pacific Alliance is doing some efforts to work together to jointly promote the group export supply in Asia. Joint participation of PA countries in food fairs, as has been done in SIAL China 2014 and in Food Taipei is something that would help in this aim. • Fourth, efforts to attract investment from Asia to the production of goods for non-traditional exports should be done. There is a growing investment from Asia in Peru in the last years but sill this is concentrated mainly in the primary sector, especially in the mineral one.
  • 27. Investment from Pacific Alliance countries • By the end of December 2013 Peru has a balance of US$22.6 billion of Foreign Direct Investment, FDI. Countries from the Pacific Alliance are among the major investors. Chile is in fifth place, Colombia is in the seventh and Mexico in tenth place. Most of FDI in Peru are in the Mining (23.9% of total), Finance (18.6%), Communications (17.3%), Industry (13.7%) and Energy (12.1%) sectors. These five sectors account for 85.6% of the FDI in Peru. • But the aim should be to attract investment from Asia in sectors that produce goods with more value added, as in the agricultural sector, fishing sectors, and manufacture in general.
  • 28. TABLE 14: FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT BALANCE AS CAPITAL CONTRIBUTION, BY COUNTRY OF DOMICILE, (IN MILLIONS OF US$) *Stock updated until December 2013 Source: Proinversion: http://www.proinversion.gob.pe/modulos/LAN/landing.aspx?are=1&pfl=1&lan=9&tit=institucional COUNTRY 2013* UNITED KINGDOM 4,459.1 SPAIN 4,317.6 USA 3,167.7 THE 1,532.8 NETHERLANDS CHILE 1,422.1 BRAZIL 1,169.5 COLOMBIA 1,067.8 PANAMA 937.3 CANADA 853.5 MEXICO 476.8 SWITZERLAND 455.0 SINGAPORE 365.5 LUXEMBURG 272.4 JAPAN 238.4 FRANCE 220.5 CHINA 208.1 GRAND TOTAL 22,614.7
  • 29. Table 15: Direct Foreign Investment flows in Peru (in millions of US$) Source: Proinversion YEARS BCRP DIRECT FOREIGN INVESTMENTS VARIATION 1995 2,557.0 1996 3,471.1 35.8% 1997 2,139.3 -38.4% 1998 1,643.9 -23.2% 1999 1,940.0 18.0% 2000 809.7 -58.3% 2001 1,144.3 41.3% 2002 2,155.8 88.4% 2003 1,335.0 -38.1% 2004 1,599.0 19.8% 2005 2,578.7 61.3% 2006 3,466.5 34.4% 2007 5,491.0 58.4% 2008 6,923.7 26.1% 2009 6,430.7 -7.1% 2010 8,454.6 31.5% 2011 8,232.6 -2.6% 2012 12,239.7 48.7% 2013 2/ 11,108.0 -9.2% 2014 2/ 9,400.0 -15.4% 2015 2/ 9,435.0 0.4%
  • 30. GRAPH 3: ESTIMATED PORTFOLIO OF MINING PROJECTS BY MAIN INVESTOR, JUNE 2014 Source: Ministerio de EnergĂ­a y Minas: “Cartera estimada de proyectos mineros, Junio 2013”, page 3
  • 31. • But then a labor of investment promotion is necessary to let know Asian investors that Peru is a country where not only natural resources can be extracted. • In general Peru and the rest of members of Pacific Alliance are not well known in the Asia region and in this regard the investment road shows jointly organized in Asia to promote these countries image are a good way to fulfill that need. • In Seoul one of these events, a workshop on promotion of investment opportunities in the PA countries was celebrated last September 2nd, as was done one another last year.
  • 32. • Recently, Peru government has announced a Productive Diversification Plan, to promote activities with more value added, in sectors like the mining sector, the agro industrial sector, the fishery sector, textile and garments, chemical sector, etc. • The government is looking for do this by working in three fields: reduction of cost overruns, the elimination of excessive regulations to make easier to do business and promote investment (simplifying administrative procedures); the improvement of competitiveness of the industry through the promotion of the adoption of modern machinery and improvement in labor force skills (Peru has few graduate in technical areas, engineering and physical sciences), and the diversification of national production to sectors that create more value added. .
  • 33. Crecimiento del PBI en varios paises de Latinoamerica http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/publicaciones/memoria-anual/memoria-2013.html
  • 34. • The idea behind the plan is to introduce new engines to the economic growth that Peru is experiencing in the last years, to reduce the dependence in the export of primary goods, and to create employment of better quality. • One of the central ideas of the Productive Diversification Plan is the development of clusters in the mining, fishing, agribusiness, tourism, jewelry, apparel. The one existing are based heavily on natural endowments, with a need of further upgrading, they are also shallow, with weak supplier bases and supporting institutions, and there is a poor coordination between the private and public sectors
  • 35. • The formation of clusters or value global chains could be done at the level of Pacific Alliance also. But improvement of physical infrastructure, connectivity and skilled labor force is needed. • There is a need for private businessman to get more involved in dealing with Asia. The need to known Asia culture, consumer’s tastes, and Asia businessman idiosyncrasy is necessary to do business in this region. • One sector that still is not benefiting from increased integration with Asia is the tourism sector. In Peru the number of tourists coming to visit the country many natural and historical attractions increase year by year. In 2013 nearly 3.2 million tourist arrived, but few come from Asia • Improvement of facilities for Asian tourists and better connectivity is needed
  • 36. 5. Conclusions and recommendations • The PA is an interesting mechanism that compared with existing economic integration schemes in Latin America has more probabilities of being successful. Especially its declared aim for better economic integration with Asia presents a good opportunity for Peru to achieve just that. • Peru exports to Asian countries have increased in the last years but more than 95% of these are primary goods. The challenge is to export goods with more value added. For this to happen, increase in the supply of non-traditional exports that are being already sold in other foreign markets is need. Also the promotion of these new goods in Asian markets, where there is no much knowledge of them is necessary. And the attraction of investment from Asia to the production of more value added goods also should be done.
  • 37. • The Pacific Alliance as a group can work in trying to meet those challenges through the joint supply of goods, the joint promotion of the export supply, and the common promotion of investment opportunities in the PA countries. • But the improvement of physical and human infrastructure, the elimination of remaining barriers to trade, the improvement in the institutional environment (better judicial system, a better political system, etc.), and the need to know better the Asian markets are further challenges ahead
  • 38. • If these can be overcome, the PA could be more competitive and fulfill its aim of bringing more prosperity to its citizens. • In a world where prices of commodities no longer will be at higher levels, something that benefited Latin American countries like those of the Pacific Alliance, the future growth should come from productivity, investment and efficiency, something that this group hope to achieve