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TOWARDS A NEW
CLIMATE STRATEGY
Cheryl Dixon
47th Annual Board Mtg.- Turks & Caicos Islands
May 24, 2017
Projected
global
warming
impact for
the
Caribbean
2030-2090 Lower emissions
scenario
2030’s
Sea level rise from 0.5-0.6m;
Temperature increase from 0.3-
.5°C;
Total annual rainfall change will
be -3.05%.
Salt water intrusion into coastal
aquifers;
Beach erosion;
Increased frequency of
hurricanes;
More intense hurricanes
Medium-high
emissions scenarios
2060’s
Sea level rise range from 0.6-
1.4m;
Temperature increase from 0.5-
1.5°C;
Total annual rainfall change will
be -11.46%.
Sea level rise will exacerbate
inundation, storm surges,
erosion and other coastal
hazards, threatening vital
infrastructure, settlements and
facilities
Higher emissions
scenario
2090’s
Sea level rise range from 1.4-
2m;
Temperature increase from 1.5-
3.2°C;
Total annual rainfall change will
be -25.33%
Increased invasion by non-
native species expected to
occur, particularly on mid and
high-latitude islands;
Extreme levels of drought
Effects Impacts
Climate
resilience
strategy
2012-17
• Develop and
operationalise a
environmental
sustainability risk
framework for climate
resilience in CDB’s
operations; and
• Assist BMCs and
regional institutions to
mobilise financing,
design, and implement
policies, strategies and
investment
programmes to address
climate resilience.
Policies,
procedures
and training
•All investment projects are screened and categorised for potential impacts, to ensure that
identified environmental and social risks are effectively managed.
•Climate Screening Tools used for screening projects and Country Strategies.
Environmental and Social Review Procedures
•Climate risk assessments and the use of related screening tools are mandatory in the
preparation of CSPs for each BMC.
•Energy Sector Policy and Strategy 2015-2019
•Guidance tools / resources for CDB Staff
Climate tools
•133 persons from public sector and non-governmental organisations trained to use CCCCC’s
Online Risk Assessment Tool, CCORAL.
•Workshops on Climate Change Integration Training for CDB’s Projects and Economics staff.
Training
•Updated 2004 Sourcebook on the Integration of Natural Hazards into the Environmental
Impact Assessment Process. Hosted workshops on CC, Disaster Risk Reduction and
Environmental Safeguards for environmental professionals from BMCs.
•Provided TA for improved governance frameworks for selected BMCs.
Capacity Building
Mobilising
financial
resources
Bilateral
• Canada
• Germany
• UK
Global
Finance
• Adaptation fund
(February 2016)
• Green Climate
fund (December
2016)
Multi-lateral
• EIB
• IDB
• AFD
• ACP-EU
• EU-CIF
Sources of
funding for
climate-
related
initiatives
30
22
33
4.4
7.9
3.6 3.3
22
6.5
24
13.7
3.3
55.9
70
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
CALC SEEC GAC GIZ IDB SEF GeoSMART CDRRF ACP-EU AFD
USDmillions
Climate Finance Sources
2012-2016
Loan Grant Concessional Loans TA
Climate
action line
of credit
Water
USD 35.15M
54%
RE/EE
USD 15M
23%
Transport
USD 15M
23%
• John Compton Dam
Rehabilitation Project
• Vieux Fort Water
Supply Redevelopment
Project
• Barbados Water
Supply Upgrade
Project
• Bahamas Water
Supply Improvement
Project
CALC EXPENDITURE 2012-2016
• Phillip S.W. Goldson
Highway Upgrading
Project (Belize)
• Belize Social
Investment Fund III
• Antigua & Barbuda
Street Light Retrofitting
Project
• St. Kitts & Nevis Street
and Flood Light
Retrofitting Project
• St. Lucia Street Light
Retrofitting Project
• Anguilla 1MW Solar PV
Plant Project
Lessons
BMCs Climate considerations need to be incorporated in sectoral policies and
programmes at earliest stages of project design
Need for increased use of climate screening tools and guidance resources
Dedicated functional climate change units / focal points help to quickly foster
mainstreaming
Internal capacity building, knowledge platforms essential for mainstreaming
Community resilience building critical for poverty reduction
Monitoring / Evaluation / Reporting essential for tracking progress
Project
Level
Climate considerations need to be incorporated at the earliest stages of
project and programme design
Information / data for Climate Resilience Vulnerability Assessment limited
Legal and regulatory frameworks require reforms and enhancements to
support new low carbon agenda
Technical staff lack tools necessary to incorporate and effectively
mainstream CC
Incremental costs hover around 10-15% depending on project complexity
and some context specific factors
GHG
mitigation
targets
NDCs
mitigation
targets
Country Conditional Uncondition
al
Target
Year
BAU
Baseline
Projection
Paris
Agreement
ratified
Paris
Agreement
signed but
not ratified
Anguilla -- -- -- -- -- --
Antigua &
Barbuda
Unspecified
--
2030 --  --
Bahamas 30% reduction -- 2030 BAU  --
Barbados 44% reduction -- 2030 2008 or BAU  --
Belize Unspecified
--
2027 --  --
BVI -- -- -- -- -- --
Cayman Is. -- -- -- -- -- --
NDCs
mitigation
targets
Country Conditional Uncondition
al
Target
Year
BAU
Baseline
Projection
Paris
Agreement
ratified
Paris
Agreement
signed but
not ratified
Dominica
GHG reductions:
17.9% by 2020;
39.2% by 2025;
and 44.7% by
2030.
-- 2030 --

--
Grenada GHG reduction:
30% of 2010 by
2025, with an
indicative
reduction of 40%
of 2010 by 2030.
-- 2030 --

--
Guyana Unspecified -- 2025 --  --
Haiti 26% reduction 5% reduction 2030 BAU -- 
Jamaica 10% reduction -- 2030 BAU -- 
NDCs
mitigation
targets
Country Conditional Uncondition
al
Target
Year
BAU
Baseline
Projection
Paris
Agreement
ratified
Paris
Agreement
signed but
not ratified
Montserrat -- -- -- -- -- --
St. Kitts and
Nevis
22% and 35%
reduction by
2025 and 2030
respectively.
-- 2030 BAU

--
St. Lucia 23% reduction
-- 2030 BAU

--
St. Vincent
and the
Grenadines
Unspecified 22%
reduction
2025 BAU  --
Suriname Unspecified -- -- -- -- 
Trinidad &
Tobago
15% reduction -- 2030 BAU -- 
Turks &
Caicos
-- -- -- -- -- --
Adaptation
targets
Country Targets
Antigua & Barbuda By 2025, increase desalination capacity by 50% above 2015 levels; By
2030, all buildings prepared for extreme climate events.
Barbados Incorporation of CCA into national plans and strategies.
Belize Management and protection of key biodiversity areas; Sustainable forest
management in targeted Protected Areas.
Bahamas Protection of 20% of near-shore marine environment by 2020.
Dominica Early Warning Systems; Climate Resilient Agricultural/Fisheries;
Sustainable mechanism to access international climate change financing;
Climate Change Trust Fund; CCA and DRM education and awareness
programme.
Grenada Pledged to protect 20% of its terrestrial area under the Caribbean Challenge
Initiative.
Guyana Conservation of additional 2M hectares through National Park Protected
Area System; Protection of conservancies, reservoirs and watersheds;
Restoration of mangroves; Reclamation and reforestation of mined areas;
Upgrading of infrastructure to protect against flooding; Development and
introduction of crop varieties that are flood, drought and disease resistant.
Haiti Integrate CC into sectoral development strategies; Develop the 15 most
vulnerable watersheds according to the land-use planning scheme; Protect
coastal areas against the impacts of CC; Develop climate-smart agriculture.
Adaptation
targets
Country Targets
Jamaica Downscale existing global climate models; Development of sectoral CC
strategies and action plans and integration of CC considerations in national
policies; CC awareness and education programme; Central secure national
database for climate data. Implementation of high priority adaptation
programmes/projects.
SKN Promote rainwater harvesting in at least 25% of households, and implement
metering at 100% of governmental and public institutions; Reduce, by 15%,
losses from the water system. Desal. plant to meet 50% of water demand
from tourism; Exploration of other irrigation water sources other feedstock to
facilitate feeding in dry season.
St. Lucia Implementation of the CC Action Plan; Integration of appropriate adaptation
measures into national and sectoral strategies.
SVG Public awareness; Enhance infrastructural resilience; Develop appropriate
legislative and regulatory framework, for proper environmental management,
and institutional systems for responding to the effects of CC.
Suriname Increase climate resilience in the coastal zone via infrastructure
programmes, vulnerability assessments and mainstreaming CC in the social
and productive sectors.
T&T Unspecified in NDC.
NDC focal
areas
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
NumberofCountries
Constraints
to meeting
NDC
targets
Limited mainstreaming of climate change into sectorial policies.
Limited capacity to design and implement policies, plans, programmes and projects.
Plans and policies remain in draft for long periods – YEARS.
Financial and technical/technological capacity severely constrained.
Insufficient coordination among stakeholders and across government agencies in the
implementation of policies/plans.
Many countries have incorporated RE targets under their mitigation targets for the Energy and
Power Generation sectors in the absence of appropriate regulatory and governance
frameworks.
Limited public awareness and engagement of climate adaptation and mitigation requirements
methods due to lack of outreach programmes by the Government.
The way
forward
Current state
• Absence of
policies
• No
mechanisms
for
coordination
• Information
deficits
• Knowledge
gap
• Absence of
political will
Partnership
• Increase
mobilisation of
concessionary
investments
• Scale up
investment in
climate
sensitive
sectors
• Capacity
development
Resilience
• National and
sectoral plans
and policies
• Mechanisms
for planning
and
coordination
• Knowledge
and
information
management
and sharing
Strategy
update
Increase
concessionary
financing
•Increase mobilisation efforts for concessionary financing – Adaptation Fund,
Green Climate Fund.
•New lending instruments/Regional initiatives, (Streetlighting, Product Geosmart).
•Project Preparation Support.
•Partnerships with other MDBs, IFIs, multilaterals and bilaterals and Regional
Institutions.
Scale up climate
sensitive sector
investments
•Transport, Water, Agriculture, Physical Infrastructure (Roads, Ports, Drainage
Coastal Infrastructure, Education plant), Sustainable Energy
•Community Resilience, Urban Spaces.
•Private Sector Engagement –Enhanced regulatory environment, Information,
Technology.
Capacity building
•CDB mainstreaming CCA, climate action targets, information dissemination
•BMC’s policies, plans and programs, technical competencies
•Governance, coordination mechanisms, MRV.
•Regional Institutions: CDEMA, CIMH, Universities, CCCCC.
•Information Dissemination, Knowledge building.
•Monitoring and Evaluation- Performance Measurement.
Thank you!

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Towards A New Climate Strategy

  • 1. TOWARDS A NEW CLIMATE STRATEGY Cheryl Dixon 47th Annual Board Mtg.- Turks & Caicos Islands May 24, 2017
  • 2. Projected global warming impact for the Caribbean 2030-2090 Lower emissions scenario 2030’s Sea level rise from 0.5-0.6m; Temperature increase from 0.3- .5°C; Total annual rainfall change will be -3.05%. Salt water intrusion into coastal aquifers; Beach erosion; Increased frequency of hurricanes; More intense hurricanes Medium-high emissions scenarios 2060’s Sea level rise range from 0.6- 1.4m; Temperature increase from 0.5- 1.5°C; Total annual rainfall change will be -11.46%. Sea level rise will exacerbate inundation, storm surges, erosion and other coastal hazards, threatening vital infrastructure, settlements and facilities Higher emissions scenario 2090’s Sea level rise range from 1.4- 2m; Temperature increase from 1.5- 3.2°C; Total annual rainfall change will be -25.33% Increased invasion by non- native species expected to occur, particularly on mid and high-latitude islands; Extreme levels of drought Effects Impacts
  • 3. Climate resilience strategy 2012-17 • Develop and operationalise a environmental sustainability risk framework for climate resilience in CDB’s operations; and • Assist BMCs and regional institutions to mobilise financing, design, and implement policies, strategies and investment programmes to address climate resilience.
  • 4. Policies, procedures and training •All investment projects are screened and categorised for potential impacts, to ensure that identified environmental and social risks are effectively managed. •Climate Screening Tools used for screening projects and Country Strategies. Environmental and Social Review Procedures •Climate risk assessments and the use of related screening tools are mandatory in the preparation of CSPs for each BMC. •Energy Sector Policy and Strategy 2015-2019 •Guidance tools / resources for CDB Staff Climate tools •133 persons from public sector and non-governmental organisations trained to use CCCCC’s Online Risk Assessment Tool, CCORAL. •Workshops on Climate Change Integration Training for CDB’s Projects and Economics staff. Training •Updated 2004 Sourcebook on the Integration of Natural Hazards into the Environmental Impact Assessment Process. Hosted workshops on CC, Disaster Risk Reduction and Environmental Safeguards for environmental professionals from BMCs. •Provided TA for improved governance frameworks for selected BMCs. Capacity Building
  • 5. Mobilising financial resources Bilateral • Canada • Germany • UK Global Finance • Adaptation fund (February 2016) • Green Climate fund (December 2016) Multi-lateral • EIB • IDB • AFD • ACP-EU • EU-CIF
  • 6. Sources of funding for climate- related initiatives 30 22 33 4.4 7.9 3.6 3.3 22 6.5 24 13.7 3.3 55.9 70 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 CALC SEEC GAC GIZ IDB SEF GeoSMART CDRRF ACP-EU AFD USDmillions Climate Finance Sources 2012-2016 Loan Grant Concessional Loans TA
  • 7. Climate action line of credit Water USD 35.15M 54% RE/EE USD 15M 23% Transport USD 15M 23% • John Compton Dam Rehabilitation Project • Vieux Fort Water Supply Redevelopment Project • Barbados Water Supply Upgrade Project • Bahamas Water Supply Improvement Project CALC EXPENDITURE 2012-2016 • Phillip S.W. Goldson Highway Upgrading Project (Belize) • Belize Social Investment Fund III • Antigua & Barbuda Street Light Retrofitting Project • St. Kitts & Nevis Street and Flood Light Retrofitting Project • St. Lucia Street Light Retrofitting Project • Anguilla 1MW Solar PV Plant Project
  • 8. Lessons BMCs Climate considerations need to be incorporated in sectoral policies and programmes at earliest stages of project design Need for increased use of climate screening tools and guidance resources Dedicated functional climate change units / focal points help to quickly foster mainstreaming Internal capacity building, knowledge platforms essential for mainstreaming Community resilience building critical for poverty reduction Monitoring / Evaluation / Reporting essential for tracking progress Project Level Climate considerations need to be incorporated at the earliest stages of project and programme design Information / data for Climate Resilience Vulnerability Assessment limited Legal and regulatory frameworks require reforms and enhancements to support new low carbon agenda Technical staff lack tools necessary to incorporate and effectively mainstream CC Incremental costs hover around 10-15% depending on project complexity and some context specific factors
  • 10. NDCs mitigation targets Country Conditional Uncondition al Target Year BAU Baseline Projection Paris Agreement ratified Paris Agreement signed but not ratified Anguilla -- -- -- -- -- -- Antigua & Barbuda Unspecified -- 2030 --  -- Bahamas 30% reduction -- 2030 BAU  -- Barbados 44% reduction -- 2030 2008 or BAU  -- Belize Unspecified -- 2027 --  -- BVI -- -- -- -- -- -- Cayman Is. -- -- -- -- -- --
  • 11. NDCs mitigation targets Country Conditional Uncondition al Target Year BAU Baseline Projection Paris Agreement ratified Paris Agreement signed but not ratified Dominica GHG reductions: 17.9% by 2020; 39.2% by 2025; and 44.7% by 2030. -- 2030 --  -- Grenada GHG reduction: 30% of 2010 by 2025, with an indicative reduction of 40% of 2010 by 2030. -- 2030 --  -- Guyana Unspecified -- 2025 --  -- Haiti 26% reduction 5% reduction 2030 BAU --  Jamaica 10% reduction -- 2030 BAU -- 
  • 12. NDCs mitigation targets Country Conditional Uncondition al Target Year BAU Baseline Projection Paris Agreement ratified Paris Agreement signed but not ratified Montserrat -- -- -- -- -- -- St. Kitts and Nevis 22% and 35% reduction by 2025 and 2030 respectively. -- 2030 BAU  -- St. Lucia 23% reduction -- 2030 BAU  -- St. Vincent and the Grenadines Unspecified 22% reduction 2025 BAU  -- Suriname Unspecified -- -- -- --  Trinidad & Tobago 15% reduction -- 2030 BAU --  Turks & Caicos -- -- -- -- -- --
  • 13. Adaptation targets Country Targets Antigua & Barbuda By 2025, increase desalination capacity by 50% above 2015 levels; By 2030, all buildings prepared for extreme climate events. Barbados Incorporation of CCA into national plans and strategies. Belize Management and protection of key biodiversity areas; Sustainable forest management in targeted Protected Areas. Bahamas Protection of 20% of near-shore marine environment by 2020. Dominica Early Warning Systems; Climate Resilient Agricultural/Fisheries; Sustainable mechanism to access international climate change financing; Climate Change Trust Fund; CCA and DRM education and awareness programme. Grenada Pledged to protect 20% of its terrestrial area under the Caribbean Challenge Initiative. Guyana Conservation of additional 2M hectares through National Park Protected Area System; Protection of conservancies, reservoirs and watersheds; Restoration of mangroves; Reclamation and reforestation of mined areas; Upgrading of infrastructure to protect against flooding; Development and introduction of crop varieties that are flood, drought and disease resistant. Haiti Integrate CC into sectoral development strategies; Develop the 15 most vulnerable watersheds according to the land-use planning scheme; Protect coastal areas against the impacts of CC; Develop climate-smart agriculture.
  • 14. Adaptation targets Country Targets Jamaica Downscale existing global climate models; Development of sectoral CC strategies and action plans and integration of CC considerations in national policies; CC awareness and education programme; Central secure national database for climate data. Implementation of high priority adaptation programmes/projects. SKN Promote rainwater harvesting in at least 25% of households, and implement metering at 100% of governmental and public institutions; Reduce, by 15%, losses from the water system. Desal. plant to meet 50% of water demand from tourism; Exploration of other irrigation water sources other feedstock to facilitate feeding in dry season. St. Lucia Implementation of the CC Action Plan; Integration of appropriate adaptation measures into national and sectoral strategies. SVG Public awareness; Enhance infrastructural resilience; Develop appropriate legislative and regulatory framework, for proper environmental management, and institutional systems for responding to the effects of CC. Suriname Increase climate resilience in the coastal zone via infrastructure programmes, vulnerability assessments and mainstreaming CC in the social and productive sectors. T&T Unspecified in NDC.
  • 16. Constraints to meeting NDC targets Limited mainstreaming of climate change into sectorial policies. Limited capacity to design and implement policies, plans, programmes and projects. Plans and policies remain in draft for long periods – YEARS. Financial and technical/technological capacity severely constrained. Insufficient coordination among stakeholders and across government agencies in the implementation of policies/plans. Many countries have incorporated RE targets under their mitigation targets for the Energy and Power Generation sectors in the absence of appropriate regulatory and governance frameworks. Limited public awareness and engagement of climate adaptation and mitigation requirements methods due to lack of outreach programmes by the Government.
  • 17. The way forward Current state • Absence of policies • No mechanisms for coordination • Information deficits • Knowledge gap • Absence of political will Partnership • Increase mobilisation of concessionary investments • Scale up investment in climate sensitive sectors • Capacity development Resilience • National and sectoral plans and policies • Mechanisms for planning and coordination • Knowledge and information management and sharing
  • 18. Strategy update Increase concessionary financing •Increase mobilisation efforts for concessionary financing – Adaptation Fund, Green Climate Fund. •New lending instruments/Regional initiatives, (Streetlighting, Product Geosmart). •Project Preparation Support. •Partnerships with other MDBs, IFIs, multilaterals and bilaterals and Regional Institutions. Scale up climate sensitive sector investments •Transport, Water, Agriculture, Physical Infrastructure (Roads, Ports, Drainage Coastal Infrastructure, Education plant), Sustainable Energy •Community Resilience, Urban Spaces. •Private Sector Engagement –Enhanced regulatory environment, Information, Technology. Capacity building •CDB mainstreaming CCA, climate action targets, information dissemination •BMC’s policies, plans and programs, technical competencies •Governance, coordination mechanisms, MRV. •Regional Institutions: CDEMA, CIMH, Universities, CCCCC. •Information Dissemination, Knowledge building. •Monitoring and Evaluation- Performance Measurement.

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Sea Level Rise Continued growth of GHG emissions and associated global warming could well promote sea-level rise (SLR) of 1m-3m in the twenty-first century, with the possibility of a 5m increase if there is an unexpectedly rapid breakup of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets (Dasgupta and others, 2007). In the RECCC studies, an estimated SLR of 2m corresponds to the high emissions scenario (A2) and a SLR of 1m corresponds to the low emissions scenario (B2). Mean temperatures By 2050, under the A2 scenario, mean temperatures are expected to rise by between 1.52°C and 2.64°C above the base period average, with a mean increase of 1.78°C for the Caribbean. By 2070, temperatures would have risen by 2.36°C in Turks and Caicos Islands, by 3.85°C in Guyana, and by an average of 2.78°C across the sub region.
  2. The objective of the Workshop on Climate Change Integration Training was to equip participants with the knowledge required to: Understand the entry points for climate change integration (adaptation and mitigation), throughout the cycle of operations (from programming during CSP preparation, through project identification, project formulation, implementation, monitoring and evaluation); Understand their roles for climate change integration in the different phases of the cycle of operations and in different sectors, including climate change in non-core sectors; Be aware of the degree of confidence in forecasts for key climate change variables (e.g. rainfall parameters, sea level rise, frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, temperatures); Understand how to integrate climate change into project financial and economic analysis; Assess the quality of Terms of Reference for a CVA; and To assess the quality of a completed CVA The training addressed: Climate change in CDB’s cycle of operations; Uncertainties associated with climate change modelling in the Caribbean; and Advanced training in climate vulnerability assessment (CVA).
  3. CALC – €50M Concessional Loan TA, €4M Grant SEEC – 30M OCR, EU-CIF: €4.2M, UK-DfID: £2.5M GAC – CAD 5M (USD 3.6M) GIZ – EU: €3M (USD 3.3M) IDB SEF – USD 22M Loan, 22M Grant (Clean Technology Fund 19M, Global Environment Fund 3M) GeoSMART – UK: £5M (USD6.5M) Grant, USD 70M (Grants, Concessional Loans, TA)[Additional targeted sources of funds: EU-CIF, GCF, EIB CALC] CDRRF – EU: €1.59M, Global Affairs Canada: USD20.14M, UK-DfID: £2M ACP-EU Grant: €12.3M (USD13.7M) AFD – USD33M Line of Credit, €3M (USD 3.3) TA Grant