Presentation delivered by Cheryl Dixon, Coordinator, Environmental Sustainability Unit, at the panel discussion titled, 'Towards A New Climate Strategy' on May 24, 2017 at the 47th Annual Meeting of the Board of Governors in Turks and Caicos Islands.
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Towards A New Climate Strategy
1. TOWARDS A NEW
CLIMATE STRATEGY
Cheryl Dixon
47th Annual Board Mtg.- Turks & Caicos Islands
May 24, 2017
2. Projected
global
warming
impact for
the
Caribbean
2030-2090 Lower emissions
scenario
2030’s
Sea level rise from 0.5-0.6m;
Temperature increase from 0.3-
.5°C;
Total annual rainfall change will
be -3.05%.
Salt water intrusion into coastal
aquifers;
Beach erosion;
Increased frequency of
hurricanes;
More intense hurricanes
Medium-high
emissions scenarios
2060’s
Sea level rise range from 0.6-
1.4m;
Temperature increase from 0.5-
1.5°C;
Total annual rainfall change will
be -11.46%.
Sea level rise will exacerbate
inundation, storm surges,
erosion and other coastal
hazards, threatening vital
infrastructure, settlements and
facilities
Higher emissions
scenario
2090’s
Sea level rise range from 1.4-
2m;
Temperature increase from 1.5-
3.2°C;
Total annual rainfall change will
be -25.33%
Increased invasion by non-
native species expected to
occur, particularly on mid and
high-latitude islands;
Extreme levels of drought
Effects Impacts
3. Climate
resilience
strategy
2012-17
• Develop and
operationalise a
environmental
sustainability risk
framework for climate
resilience in CDB’s
operations; and
• Assist BMCs and
regional institutions to
mobilise financing,
design, and implement
policies, strategies and
investment
programmes to address
climate resilience.
4. Policies,
procedures
and training
•All investment projects are screened and categorised for potential impacts, to ensure that
identified environmental and social risks are effectively managed.
•Climate Screening Tools used for screening projects and Country Strategies.
Environmental and Social Review Procedures
•Climate risk assessments and the use of related screening tools are mandatory in the
preparation of CSPs for each BMC.
•Energy Sector Policy and Strategy 2015-2019
•Guidance tools / resources for CDB Staff
Climate tools
•133 persons from public sector and non-governmental organisations trained to use CCCCC’s
Online Risk Assessment Tool, CCORAL.
•Workshops on Climate Change Integration Training for CDB’s Projects and Economics staff.
Training
•Updated 2004 Sourcebook on the Integration of Natural Hazards into the Environmental
Impact Assessment Process. Hosted workshops on CC, Disaster Risk Reduction and
Environmental Safeguards for environmental professionals from BMCs.
•Provided TA for improved governance frameworks for selected BMCs.
Capacity Building
7. Climate
action line
of credit
Water
USD 35.15M
54%
RE/EE
USD 15M
23%
Transport
USD 15M
23%
• John Compton Dam
Rehabilitation Project
• Vieux Fort Water
Supply Redevelopment
Project
• Barbados Water
Supply Upgrade
Project
• Bahamas Water
Supply Improvement
Project
CALC EXPENDITURE 2012-2016
• Phillip S.W. Goldson
Highway Upgrading
Project (Belize)
• Belize Social
Investment Fund III
• Antigua & Barbuda
Street Light Retrofitting
Project
• St. Kitts & Nevis Street
and Flood Light
Retrofitting Project
• St. Lucia Street Light
Retrofitting Project
• Anguilla 1MW Solar PV
Plant Project
8. Lessons
BMCs Climate considerations need to be incorporated in sectoral policies and
programmes at earliest stages of project design
Need for increased use of climate screening tools and guidance resources
Dedicated functional climate change units / focal points help to quickly foster
mainstreaming
Internal capacity building, knowledge platforms essential for mainstreaming
Community resilience building critical for poverty reduction
Monitoring / Evaluation / Reporting essential for tracking progress
Project
Level
Climate considerations need to be incorporated at the earliest stages of
project and programme design
Information / data for Climate Resilience Vulnerability Assessment limited
Legal and regulatory frameworks require reforms and enhancements to
support new low carbon agenda
Technical staff lack tools necessary to incorporate and effectively
mainstream CC
Incremental costs hover around 10-15% depending on project complexity
and some context specific factors
13. Adaptation
targets
Country Targets
Antigua & Barbuda By 2025, increase desalination capacity by 50% above 2015 levels; By
2030, all buildings prepared for extreme climate events.
Barbados Incorporation of CCA into national plans and strategies.
Belize Management and protection of key biodiversity areas; Sustainable forest
management in targeted Protected Areas.
Bahamas Protection of 20% of near-shore marine environment by 2020.
Dominica Early Warning Systems; Climate Resilient Agricultural/Fisheries;
Sustainable mechanism to access international climate change financing;
Climate Change Trust Fund; CCA and DRM education and awareness
programme.
Grenada Pledged to protect 20% of its terrestrial area under the Caribbean Challenge
Initiative.
Guyana Conservation of additional 2M hectares through National Park Protected
Area System; Protection of conservancies, reservoirs and watersheds;
Restoration of mangroves; Reclamation and reforestation of mined areas;
Upgrading of infrastructure to protect against flooding; Development and
introduction of crop varieties that are flood, drought and disease resistant.
Haiti Integrate CC into sectoral development strategies; Develop the 15 most
vulnerable watersheds according to the land-use planning scheme; Protect
coastal areas against the impacts of CC; Develop climate-smart agriculture.
14. Adaptation
targets
Country Targets
Jamaica Downscale existing global climate models; Development of sectoral CC
strategies and action plans and integration of CC considerations in national
policies; CC awareness and education programme; Central secure national
database for climate data. Implementation of high priority adaptation
programmes/projects.
SKN Promote rainwater harvesting in at least 25% of households, and implement
metering at 100% of governmental and public institutions; Reduce, by 15%,
losses from the water system. Desal. plant to meet 50% of water demand
from tourism; Exploration of other irrigation water sources other feedstock to
facilitate feeding in dry season.
St. Lucia Implementation of the CC Action Plan; Integration of appropriate adaptation
measures into national and sectoral strategies.
SVG Public awareness; Enhance infrastructural resilience; Develop appropriate
legislative and regulatory framework, for proper environmental management,
and institutional systems for responding to the effects of CC.
Suriname Increase climate resilience in the coastal zone via infrastructure
programmes, vulnerability assessments and mainstreaming CC in the social
and productive sectors.
T&T Unspecified in NDC.
16. Constraints
to meeting
NDC
targets
Limited mainstreaming of climate change into sectorial policies.
Limited capacity to design and implement policies, plans, programmes and projects.
Plans and policies remain in draft for long periods – YEARS.
Financial and technical/technological capacity severely constrained.
Insufficient coordination among stakeholders and across government agencies in the
implementation of policies/plans.
Many countries have incorporated RE targets under their mitigation targets for the Energy and
Power Generation sectors in the absence of appropriate regulatory and governance
frameworks.
Limited public awareness and engagement of climate adaptation and mitigation requirements
methods due to lack of outreach programmes by the Government.
17. The way
forward
Current state
• Absence of
policies
• No
mechanisms
for
coordination
• Information
deficits
• Knowledge
gap
• Absence of
political will
Partnership
• Increase
mobilisation of
concessionary
investments
• Scale up
investment in
climate
sensitive
sectors
• Capacity
development
Resilience
• National and
sectoral plans
and policies
• Mechanisms
for planning
and
coordination
• Knowledge
and
information
management
and sharing
18. Strategy
update
Increase
concessionary
financing
•Increase mobilisation efforts for concessionary financing – Adaptation Fund,
Green Climate Fund.
•New lending instruments/Regional initiatives, (Streetlighting, Product Geosmart).
•Project Preparation Support.
•Partnerships with other MDBs, IFIs, multilaterals and bilaterals and Regional
Institutions.
Scale up climate
sensitive sector
investments
•Transport, Water, Agriculture, Physical Infrastructure (Roads, Ports, Drainage
Coastal Infrastructure, Education plant), Sustainable Energy
•Community Resilience, Urban Spaces.
•Private Sector Engagement –Enhanced regulatory environment, Information,
Technology.
Capacity building
•CDB mainstreaming CCA, climate action targets, information dissemination
•BMC’s policies, plans and programs, technical competencies
•Governance, coordination mechanisms, MRV.
•Regional Institutions: CDEMA, CIMH, Universities, CCCCC.
•Information Dissemination, Knowledge building.
•Monitoring and Evaluation- Performance Measurement.
Sea Level Rise
Continued growth of GHG emissions and associated global warming could well promote sea-level rise (SLR) of 1m-3m in the twenty-first century, with the possibility of a 5m increase if there is an unexpectedly rapid breakup of the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets (Dasgupta and others, 2007).
In the RECCC studies, an estimated SLR of 2m corresponds to the high emissions scenario (A2) and a SLR of 1m corresponds to the low emissions scenario (B2).
Mean temperatures
By 2050, under the A2 scenario, mean temperatures are expected to rise by between 1.52°C and 2.64°C above the base period average, with a mean increase of 1.78°C for the Caribbean. By 2070, temperatures would have risen by 2.36°C in Turks and Caicos Islands, by 3.85°C in Guyana, and by an average of 2.78°C across the sub region.
The objective of the Workshop on Climate Change Integration Training was to equip participants with the knowledge required to:
Understand the entry points for climate change integration (adaptation and mitigation), throughout the cycle of operations (from programming during CSP preparation, through project identification, project formulation, implementation, monitoring and evaluation);
Understand their roles for climate change integration in the different phases of the cycle of operations and in different sectors, including climate change in non-core sectors;
Be aware of the degree of confidence in forecasts for key climate change variables (e.g. rainfall parameters, sea level rise, frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, temperatures);
Understand how to integrate climate change into project financial and economic analysis;
Assess the quality of Terms of Reference for a CVA; and
To assess the quality of a completed CVA
The training addressed:
Climate change in CDB’s cycle of operations;
Uncertainties associated with climate change modelling in the Caribbean; and
Advanced training in climate vulnerability assessment (CVA).
CALC – €50M Concessional Loan TA, €4M Grant
SEEC – 30M OCR, EU-CIF: €4.2M, UK-DfID: £2.5M
GAC – CAD 5M (USD 3.6M)
GIZ – EU: €3M (USD 3.3M)
IDB SEF – USD 22M Loan, 22M Grant (Clean Technology Fund 19M, Global Environment Fund 3M)
GeoSMART – UK: £5M (USD6.5M) Grant, USD 70M (Grants, Concessional Loans, TA)[Additional targeted sources of funds: EU-CIF, GCF, EIB CALC]
CDRRF – EU: €1.59M, Global Affairs Canada: USD20.14M, UK-DfID: £2M
ACP-EU Grant: €12.3M (USD13.7M)
AFD – USD33M Line of Credit, €3M (USD 3.3) TA Grant