This document discusses the importance of learning from failures and mistakes. It notes that there is often pressure to quickly fix problems rather than take time to thoroughly understand the root causes. This can lead organizations to repeat the same mistakes. The document recommends using postmortems to carefully analyze incidents, identify root causes through questioning and multiple perspectives, and implement follow-up actions to prevent recurrences. It also suggests sharing postmortem findings more broadly to help others learn and using scenarios from postmortems for training.
14. Hindsight bias: After it happen, it seems predictable.
1912
RMS Titanic
“If you feel like you knew it all along, it means
you won’t stop to examine why something really happened.”
17. Single Cause Fallacy (Reduction, Oversimplification)
Chronology:
1. New president elected;
2. After a month gas prices skyrocket;
Conclusion: It was his/her fault!
19. The Black Swan theory - Nicholas Nassim Taleb
No matter how much white swans people saw in the past,
you can’t assume all are white.
But one black swan is sufficient
to refute that assumption.
Our world is messy
and non-linear (disproportionate).
20. 2nd, 3rd order consequences,
a single key variable can take down an ecosystem
39. Postmortem?
Write; then ask Review (Questioning Exercise!)
> Written record of an incident;
> Its impact;
> The actions taken to mitigate or resolve it; (Timeline)
> The root cause(s);
> The follow-up actions to prevent the incident from recurring.