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Individual	
  prognosis	
  and	
  predic1ve	
  
biomarkers.	
  	
  
Pr	
  Frédérique	
  PENAULT	
  LLORCA,	
  
France	
  
Prognosis	
  	
  
T	
  
N	
  
M	
  
Classical	
  prognosis	
  and	
  predic2ve	
  factors	
  
•  Age	
  
•  Grade	
  	
  
•  Histological	
  subtypes	
  
•  ER/PR	
  and	
  HER2	
  status	
  
•  Ki67	
  +/-­‐	
  mito2c	
  index	
  
•  Vascular	
  invasion	
  
•  Tumor	
  margins	
  
Oldies	
  
but	
  
goldies	
  	
  
Grade I
Grade II
Grade III8,9
SBR	
  grade	
  modified	
  	
  
by	
  Elston	
  and	
  Ellis	
  
•  Standardiza2on	
  of	
  tumor	
  
grading	
  
•  France	
  2011:	
  Gr	
  I	
  25%,	
  Gr	
  II	
  
50%,	
  Gr	
  III	
  25%	
  	
  
•  Lack	
  of	
  reproducibility	
  
Group 3 - Average prognosis
Medullary, classical lobular,
lobular mixed
Group	
  1	
  -­‐	
  Excellent	
  prognosis:	
  Tubular,	
  
invasive	
  cribriform,	
  mucinous	
  	
  
Group	
  2	
  -­‐	
  Good	
  prognosis	
  
Tubular	
  mixed,	
  mixed	
  ductal	
  NST	
  and	
  special	
  
type	
  like	
  adenoid	
  cys1c,	
  secretory	
  
Group 4 - Poor prognosis
Ductal NST, solid lobular, mixed
ductal NST and lobular,
micropapillary
18	
  Histological	
  types	
  :	
  	
  
morphology	
  maOers!	
  	
  	
  
18	
  Histological	
  types	
  in	
  breast	
  cancer	
  and	
  only	
  4	
  
molecular	
  groups!	
  	
  
RE neg RE pos
C Perou & T Sorlie
Towards	
  a	
  simplified	
  taxonomy	
  of	
  breast	
  cancer?	
  «	
  defini2on	
  of	
  
intrinsic	
  subtypes	
  has	
  proven	
  efficient	
  in	
  defining	
  prognosis	
  for	
  breast	
  cancer	
  
pa2ents	
  »	
  
	
  
Intrinsic	
  classifica2on	
  easily	
  	
  
translated	
  by	
  IHC	
  
HER2	
  +	
  
Basal	
  
Triple	
  nega1ve	
  
ER&PgR	
  -­‐,	
  
	
  HER	
  2	
  -­‐	
  
ER /PgR+
HER2 -,
Ki 67 <
ER /PgR +
HER2 -,
Ki 67 >
Luminal	
  A	
  
Luminal	
  B	
  
15 %
15 %
60 %
CK 8, 18, 19
CK 5/6, 14, 17
EGFR, P53, ckit
Pcad
Normal	
  like	
  
EE 2-3
EE 3
EE 1-2-3
HER2+	
  
ER/	
  PgR+	
  
Claudin	
  Low	
  
Predic1on	
  	
  
Surrogate	
  defini2on	
  of	
  intrinsic	
  
subtypes	
  of	
  breast	
  cancer	
  
«basal-­‐like»	
  
•  ER	
  and	
  PgR	
  absent	
  
•  HER2	
  nega2ve	
  
•  Approximately	
  80%	
  overlap	
  between	
  «	
  triple	
  
nega2ve	
  »	
  and	
  intrinsic	
  «	
  basal-­‐like	
  »	
  
•  But	
  «	
  triple	
  nega2ve	
  »	
  also	
  include	
  good	
  
prognosis	
  special	
  types	
  such	
  as	
  medullary	
  and	
  
adenoid	
  cys2c	
  carcinoma	
  	
  
•  Staining	
  for	
  basal	
  kera2n	
  is	
  considered	
  
insufficiently	
  reproducible	
  for	
  general	
  use	
  	
  
T	
  
N	
  
M	
  
Classical	
  prognosis	
  and	
  predic2ve	
  factors	
  
•  Age	
  
•  Grade	
  	
  
•  Histological	
  subtypes	
  
•  ER/PR	
  and	
  HER2	
  status	
  
•  Ki67	
  +/-­‐	
  mito2c	
  index	
  
•  Vascular	
  invasion	
  
•  Tumor	
  margins	
  
Oldies	
  
but	
  
goldies	
  	
  
HER2	
  
Nega1ve	
  predic1ve	
  value	
  
(<5% chance to respond to
anti-estrogens or trastuzumab)
HIGH	
  95%	
  
Posi1ve	
  predic1ve	
  value	
  
30-­‐50%	
  
Breast	
  Cancer	
  
ER/PGR	
  
What	
  is	
  the	
  level	
  of	
  predic2on	
  
accuracy	
  clinically	
  useful?	
  
Ki67	
  why?	
  
•  Defini2on	
  of	
  luminal	
  A	
  and	
  B	
  
•  Decision	
  of	
  CT	
  for	
  ER+,	
  Grade	
  II	
  tumors	
  
•  At	
  present,	
  the	
  enormous	
  varia2on	
  in	
  analy2cal	
  
prac2ce	
  markedly	
  limits	
  the	
  value	
  of	
  Ki67	
  	
  
•  An	
  interna2onal	
  panel	
  of	
  inves2gators	
  with	
  substan2al	
  
exper2se	
  in	
  the	
  assessment	
  of	
  Ki67	
  and	
  in	
  the	
  
development	
  of	
  biomarker	
  guidelines	
  was	
  convened	
  to	
  
consider	
  evidence	
  for	
  poten2al	
  applica2ons.	
  
MOLECULAR	
  SIGNATURES	
  
T	
  
N	
  
M	
  
Yes	
  ,	
  we	
  have	
  molecular	
  
biology	
  !	
  
•  Age	
  
•  Grade	
  	
  
•  Histological	
  subtypes	
  
•  ER/PR	
  and	
  HER2	
  status	
  
•  Vascular	
  invasion	
  
•  Tumor	
  margins	
  
Centralized tests
MammaPrint
(Agendia, NL)
HR+ ET HR - / HER2- , T < 5cm, N ≤ 3
Fresh frozen=> FFPE
DNA array
70 GENES
CELL CYCLE/ PROLIFERATION
SIGNAL TRANSDUCTION
INVASION, METASTASIS, ANGIOGENESIS
« CENTRALIZED » TEST
RECENTLY ADAPTATED TO FFPE
Group of genes (« signatures »)
EARLY RECURRENCE (Dg < 5 ans)
PROGNOSTIC
GOOD SIGNATURE :
LOW RISK
POOR SIGNATURE :
HIGH RISK
HR
+&	
  
HR-­‐	
  
MammaPrint – RESULTATS
UNE BONNE SEPARATION GLOBALE A BAS/HAUT RISQUE
MAIS SANS CAPACITE DE RECONNAÎTRE
LES TUMEURS DE TRES BON OU DE TRES MAUVAIS PRONOSTIC
attendre les résultats de l’étude MindAct
(MicroArray in Node-Negative Disease May Avoid ChemoTherapy)
80	
  genes	
  
56	
  GENES	
  
70	
  GENES	
  
Where	
  are	
  the	
  proofs	
  
Formalin	
  fixed,	
  paraffin	
  included	
  samples	
  	
  
Redundant	
  genes?	
  
Valida2on	
  of	
  	
  blue,	
  target	
  et	
  theraprint?	
  
?	
  
OncotypeDX
(Genomic Health, USA)
HR+ / HER2- , T1-3, N-/N+
FFPE specimens
qRT-PCR
21 GENES
PROLIFERATION, OESTROGENE,
HER2, INVASION (16 GENES) + REFS (5 GENES)
« CENTRALIZED » TEST
(recurrence score) RS
Late recurrence (10 years)
Benefit from adjuvant TT
PROGNOSTIC AND PREDICTIVE
LOW RISK :
+ HORMONOTHERAPY / - CHEMOTHERAPY
INTERMEDIATE RISK :
DISCUSSION
LOW RISK :
+ HORMONOTHERAPY / + CHEMOTHERAPY
Decentralized tests
EndoPredict
(Sividon, GE)
HR+ / HER2- , T1-2, N0
FFPE
qRT-PCR
7 GENES SIGNATURE
PROLIFERATION, OESTROGENES
« LOCAL » TEST
(SPECIAL EQUIPMENT IS REQUIRED)
SCORE OF RECURRENCE EP SCORE
LATE AND EARLY RECURRENCES
(5 & 10 YEARS)
PROGNOSIS
LOW RISK
HIGH RISK
UBE2C
BIRC5
DHCR7
STC2
AZGP1
IL65T
RBBP8
MGP
Prosigna (PAM50)
(NanoString Technology, USA )
IDENTIFICATION OF « MOLECULAR3 SUBTYPES »
(LumA, LumB, HER2-enrichi, Basal)
FFPE
DNA ARRAY WITH BARCODES
(1 gene = 1 barcode)
50 GENES
« LOCAL » TEST
(SPECIAL EQUIPMENT IS REQUIRED)
LATE AND EARLY RECURRENCES
(5 & 10 YEARS)
PROGNOSIS
LOW RISK (ROR)
Intermediate risk
HIGH RISK (ROR)
Conclusion	
  
•  Accurate	
  pathology	
  tes2ng	
  is	
  essen2al	
  for	
  individual	
  
pa2ent	
  selec2on	
  and	
  treatment	
  design	
  (subtypes	
  /	
  IHC	
  
based	
  intrinsic	
  classifica2on/grading)	
  
•  Tissue	
  prepara2on	
  is	
  the	
  KEY	
  for	
  accurate	
  biomarkers	
  
evalua2on	
  	
  
•  Gene	
  signatures	
  may	
  provide	
  increased	
  confidence	
  for	
  
treatment	
  decision	
  
–  Oncotype	
  Dx®	
  is	
  recommended	
  by	
  St	
  Gallen’s	
  Panel	
  of	
  experts	
  
(also	
  by	
  ASCO,	
  NCCN)	
  
–  The	
  other	
  signatures	
  are	
  either	
  recommended	
  to	
  a	
  lesser	
  
extend	
  or	
  very	
  promizing	
  
•  However,	
  even	
  using	
  gene	
  signatures,	
  there	
  will	
  be	
  cases	
  
for	
  which	
  treatment	
  decision	
  will	
  not	
  be	
  straighjorward	
  
Conclusion	
  	
  
•  For	
  the	
  2me	
  being	
  pathology	
  cannot	
  be	
  safely	
  
replaced	
  by	
  molecular	
  assays	
  
•  Advantages	
  of	
  combining	
  two	
  approaches	
  
should	
  be	
  discussed	
  
– The	
  target	
  popula2on	
  will	
  be	
  the	
  ER+,	
  HER2-­‐,	
  N-­‐	
  
(Luminal	
  Breast	
  Cancer)	
  and	
  not	
  grade	
  3	
  
•  Predic2ve	
  tests	
  are	
  awaited!	
  
Source:	
  Weigelt,	
  Reis-­‐Filho	
  &	
  Swanton,	
  Ann.	
  Oncol.	
  	
  2012;Suppl	
  10:x211	
  
?	
  
?	
  

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Frédérique Penault Llorca : individual prognostic and predictive biomarkers

  • 1. Individual  prognosis  and  predic1ve   biomarkers.     Pr  Frédérique  PENAULT  LLORCA,   France  
  • 3. T   N   M   Classical  prognosis  and  predic2ve  factors   •  Age   •  Grade     •  Histological  subtypes   •  ER/PR  and  HER2  status   •  Ki67  +/-­‐  mito2c  index   •  Vascular  invasion   •  Tumor  margins   Oldies   but   goldies    
  • 4. Grade I Grade II Grade III8,9 SBR  grade  modified     by  Elston  and  Ellis   •  Standardiza2on  of  tumor   grading   •  France  2011:  Gr  I  25%,  Gr  II   50%,  Gr  III  25%     •  Lack  of  reproducibility  
  • 5. Group 3 - Average prognosis Medullary, classical lobular, lobular mixed Group  1  -­‐  Excellent  prognosis:  Tubular,   invasive  cribriform,  mucinous     Group  2  -­‐  Good  prognosis   Tubular  mixed,  mixed  ductal  NST  and  special   type  like  adenoid  cys1c,  secretory   Group 4 - Poor prognosis Ductal NST, solid lobular, mixed ductal NST and lobular, micropapillary 18  Histological  types  :     morphology  maOers!      
  • 6. 18  Histological  types  in  breast  cancer  and  only  4   molecular  groups!    
  • 7. RE neg RE pos C Perou & T Sorlie Towards  a  simplified  taxonomy  of  breast  cancer?  «  defini2on  of   intrinsic  subtypes  has  proven  efficient  in  defining  prognosis  for  breast  cancer   pa2ents  »    
  • 8. Intrinsic  classifica2on  easily     translated  by  IHC   HER2  +   Basal   Triple  nega1ve   ER&PgR  -­‐,    HER  2  -­‐   ER /PgR+ HER2 -, Ki 67 < ER /PgR + HER2 -, Ki 67 > Luminal  A   Luminal  B   15 % 15 % 60 % CK 8, 18, 19 CK 5/6, 14, 17 EGFR, P53, ckit Pcad Normal  like   EE 2-3 EE 3 EE 1-2-3 HER2+   ER/  PgR+   Claudin  Low  
  • 10. Surrogate  defini2on  of  intrinsic   subtypes  of  breast  cancer   «basal-­‐like»   •  ER  and  PgR  absent   •  HER2  nega2ve   •  Approximately  80%  overlap  between  «  triple   nega2ve  »  and  intrinsic  «  basal-­‐like  »   •  But  «  triple  nega2ve  »  also  include  good   prognosis  special  types  such  as  medullary  and   adenoid  cys2c  carcinoma     •  Staining  for  basal  kera2n  is  considered   insufficiently  reproducible  for  general  use    
  • 11. T   N   M   Classical  prognosis  and  predic2ve  factors   •  Age   •  Grade     •  Histological  subtypes   •  ER/PR  and  HER2  status   •  Ki67  +/-­‐  mito2c  index   •  Vascular  invasion   •  Tumor  margins   Oldies   but   goldies    
  • 12. HER2   Nega1ve  predic1ve  value   (<5% chance to respond to anti-estrogens or trastuzumab) HIGH  95%   Posi1ve  predic1ve  value   30-­‐50%   Breast  Cancer   ER/PGR   What  is  the  level  of  predic2on   accuracy  clinically  useful?  
  • 13. Ki67  why?   •  Defini2on  of  luminal  A  and  B   •  Decision  of  CT  for  ER+,  Grade  II  tumors  
  • 14. •  At  present,  the  enormous  varia2on  in  analy2cal   prac2ce  markedly  limits  the  value  of  Ki67     •  An  interna2onal  panel  of  inves2gators  with  substan2al   exper2se  in  the  assessment  of  Ki67  and  in  the   development  of  biomarker  guidelines  was  convened  to   consider  evidence  for  poten2al  applica2ons.  
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 20. T   N   M   Yes  ,  we  have  molecular   biology  !   •  Age   •  Grade     •  Histological  subtypes   •  ER/PR  and  HER2  status   •  Vascular  invasion   •  Tumor  margins  
  • 22. MammaPrint (Agendia, NL) HR+ ET HR - / HER2- , T < 5cm, N ≤ 3 Fresh frozen=> FFPE DNA array 70 GENES CELL CYCLE/ PROLIFERATION SIGNAL TRANSDUCTION INVASION, METASTASIS, ANGIOGENESIS « CENTRALIZED » TEST RECENTLY ADAPTATED TO FFPE Group of genes (« signatures ») EARLY RECURRENCE (Dg < 5 ans) PROGNOSTIC GOOD SIGNATURE : LOW RISK POOR SIGNATURE : HIGH RISK HR +&   HR-­‐  
  • 23. MammaPrint – RESULTATS UNE BONNE SEPARATION GLOBALE A BAS/HAUT RISQUE MAIS SANS CAPACITE DE RECONNAÎTRE LES TUMEURS DE TRES BON OU DE TRES MAUVAIS PRONOSTIC attendre les résultats de l’étude MindAct (MicroArray in Node-Negative Disease May Avoid ChemoTherapy)
  • 24.
  • 25. 80  genes   56  GENES   70  GENES   Where  are  the  proofs   Formalin  fixed,  paraffin  included  samples     Redundant  genes?   Valida2on  of    blue,  target  et  theraprint?   ?  
  • 26. OncotypeDX (Genomic Health, USA) HR+ / HER2- , T1-3, N-/N+ FFPE specimens qRT-PCR 21 GENES PROLIFERATION, OESTROGENE, HER2, INVASION (16 GENES) + REFS (5 GENES) « CENTRALIZED » TEST (recurrence score) RS Late recurrence (10 years) Benefit from adjuvant TT PROGNOSTIC AND PREDICTIVE LOW RISK : + HORMONOTHERAPY / - CHEMOTHERAPY INTERMEDIATE RISK : DISCUSSION LOW RISK : + HORMONOTHERAPY / + CHEMOTHERAPY
  • 28. EndoPredict (Sividon, GE) HR+ / HER2- , T1-2, N0 FFPE qRT-PCR 7 GENES SIGNATURE PROLIFERATION, OESTROGENES « LOCAL » TEST (SPECIAL EQUIPMENT IS REQUIRED) SCORE OF RECURRENCE EP SCORE LATE AND EARLY RECURRENCES (5 & 10 YEARS) PROGNOSIS LOW RISK HIGH RISK UBE2C BIRC5 DHCR7 STC2 AZGP1 IL65T RBBP8 MGP
  • 29. Prosigna (PAM50) (NanoString Technology, USA ) IDENTIFICATION OF « MOLECULAR3 SUBTYPES » (LumA, LumB, HER2-enrichi, Basal) FFPE DNA ARRAY WITH BARCODES (1 gene = 1 barcode) 50 GENES « LOCAL » TEST (SPECIAL EQUIPMENT IS REQUIRED) LATE AND EARLY RECURRENCES (5 & 10 YEARS) PROGNOSIS LOW RISK (ROR) Intermediate risk HIGH RISK (ROR)
  • 30. Conclusion   •  Accurate  pathology  tes2ng  is  essen2al  for  individual   pa2ent  selec2on  and  treatment  design  (subtypes  /  IHC   based  intrinsic  classifica2on/grading)   •  Tissue  prepara2on  is  the  KEY  for  accurate  biomarkers   evalua2on     •  Gene  signatures  may  provide  increased  confidence  for   treatment  decision   –  Oncotype  Dx®  is  recommended  by  St  Gallen’s  Panel  of  experts   (also  by  ASCO,  NCCN)   –  The  other  signatures  are  either  recommended  to  a  lesser   extend  or  very  promizing   •  However,  even  using  gene  signatures,  there  will  be  cases   for  which  treatment  decision  will  not  be  straighjorward  
  • 31. Conclusion     •  For  the  2me  being  pathology  cannot  be  safely   replaced  by  molecular  assays   •  Advantages  of  combining  two  approaches   should  be  discussed   – The  target  popula2on  will  be  the  ER+,  HER2-­‐,  N-­‐   (Luminal  Breast  Cancer)  and  not  grade  3   •  Predic2ve  tests  are  awaited!  
  • 32.
  • 33. Source:  Weigelt,  Reis-­‐Filho  &  Swanton,  Ann.  Oncol.    2012;Suppl  10:x211   ?   ?