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Dr. BOTTI Laurent
Dr. GONCALVES Olga
RAKOTONDRAMARO Hanitra

Perpignan University / CAEPEM

1st International Winter University
04/02/2014
1

29th, 30th and 31st January 2014 , LABEX Item
The competitiveness of French ski

resorts : Multi-criteria approach

1.
2.

The ski resorts competitiveness

4.

2

Multi-criteria Methods

3.

04/02/2014

Introduction

Conclusion
1.
2.
3.
4.



Introduction
Multi-criteria Methods
The ski resorts competitiveness
Conclusion

Tourism destinations are the central elements of the tourism
system



Tourists consider overall destinations when deciding where to
vacation. It maybe:
– Country (Omerzel Gomezel & Mihalic, 2008),
– Regions (Cracolici & Nijkamp, 2008)

– City (Clavers-Cortés et al, 2007)
– Or type of tourism (Melian-Gonzalez et Garcia-Falcon, 2003)
04/02/2014
3
1.
2.
3.
4.



Introduction
Multi-criteria Methods
The ski resorts competitiveness
Conclusion

There is competitiveness between a multiplicity of actors
implicated in the tourism experience



This competitiveness is relative (Dwyer et al. ,2011)



Helene Michel and Gabriel Guallino give some information about
the competitiveness of sky resorts in France
(http://www.lexpress.fr/palmares/ski/default.asp)



This paper aims to compare this competitiveness with considering
the tourist profiles: Real ski enthusiastic, family, snowboarder and

04/02/2014
4

freerider, cross-country skier.
1.
2.
3.
4.



Introduction
Multi-criteria Methods
The ski resorts competitiveness
Conclusion

Why are MCDA methods relevant to deal with
competitiveness of sky resort destination ?
– MCDA for methods providing quantitative approach to support
decision making in problems involving several criteria and
choices (alternatives or actions) (Figueira, Mousseau & Roy,

2005)

04/02/2014
5
1.
2.
3.
4.


Introduction
Multi-criteria Methods
The ski resorts competitiveness
Conclusion

Step of decision making process:
1. Tourist determines his profile
Real ski
enthusiastic

Family

Snowboarder and
freerider

Cross-Country
skier

2. Identification of the alternatives
Ski resorts destinations in France (Alpes, Massif Central, Jura, Vosges et Pyrénées)

3. List the Criteria

The ski area

04/02/2014
6

The quality of
snow

The budget

Extreme
activities

Events

4. Evaluation of alternatives under each criteria
5. Select one destination from a set of n alternatives possibles
1.
2.
3.
4.



Introduction
Multi-criteria Methods
The ski resorts competitiveness
Conclusion

Although MCDA methods can be applied to different areas, the
litterature is quite narrow when considering the tourism field
– TOPSIS was used by Zhang et al. (2011) to rank 16 cities in China
– TOPSIS, PROMETHEE and the WSM was used by Ishizaka, Nemery and

Lidouh (2013) to select the location of a casino in London
– ELECTRE I was used by Botti and Peypoch (2013) to choose the best
destination in Hawaï
– ELECTRE II was used by Andrades-Caldito et al. (2013) to rank provinces

of Andalusia (Spain)

04/02/2014
7
1.
2.
3.
4.



Introduction
Multi-criteria Methods
The ski resorts competitiveness
Conclusion

Here, we try to rank a set of alternatives (ski resorts) by
tourists profils. So, we use ELECTRE III (Elimination et Choix
Traduisant la Réalité ).
Concordance Index
Construction of
the outranking
relations

Veto ?

Yes

Disconcordance
Index

No
Credibility matrix

Descending preorder

04/02/2014
8

Exploitation of
the outranking
relations

Ascending Preorder

Final ranking
1.
2.
3.
4.


Introduction
Multi-criteria Methods
The ski resorts competitiveness
Conclusion

For each criterion, thresolds and criteria weights are determined by user
–
–

n: number of criteria

–

qi: indifference threshold for the criterion i

–


Pi : weight of the criterion i

pi: preference threshold of the alternative on the criterion i

To construct the outranking relations, we determine:
– The concordance indices to indicate the truthfulness of assertation “destination di
outranks destination dk” (di S d)

Crédibilité de la
concordance pour
« i surclasse k »

1
m

C ik 
04/02/2014
9

P
j 1

j

* c j (d i , d k )

cj(di,dk)

m

P
j 1

j

0

qj

gj(dk)-gj(di)

pj

Performance de la destination
k moins performance de la
destination i sur le critère j
1.
2.
3.
4.

Introduction
Multi-criteria Methods
The ski resorts competitiveness
Conclusion

– The discordance index is cautious to refuse the assertation
“destination di outranks destination dk” (dj(di,dk))


Compare gj(dk)-gj(di) with preference theresold pj and veto theresold vj

– We combine the concordance and discordance indices to obtain the
degree of credibility. It indicates if the outranking hypothesis is true
and are gathered in a credibility matrix.

 ik  C ik * 
jF

04/02/2014
10

1  d j (d i , d k )
1  C ik

Avec F  j / j  F , d j (d i , d k )  Cik  et F  F
0<δik<1
1.
2.
3.
4.

Introduction
Multi-criteria Methods
The ski resorts competitiveness
Conclusion

To illustrate the ranking process of ELECTRE III, we use in



following example with 59 ski resorts and 5 criteria
Alternatives

04/02/2014
11

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23

SKY RESORTS

A0001
A0002
A0003
A0004
A0005
A0006
A0007
A0008
A0009
A0010
A0011
A0012
A0013
A0014
A0015
A0016
A0017
A0018
A0019
A0020
A0021
A0022
A0023

LA PLAGNE
LES ARCS BOURG ST MAURICE
COURCHEVEL
VAL THORENS
LES MENUIRES
TIGNES
ALPE D'HUEZ
VAL D'ISERE
LES 2 ALPES
SERRE CHEVALIER
MERIBEL (LES ALLUES)
AVORIAZ 1800
FLAINE (GRAND MASSIF)
CHATEL
MEGEVE
LA CLUSAZ
LES GETS
La Mongie (Domaine du Tourmalet)
MORZINE
LES SAISIES
MONTGENEVRE
VALMOREL
VARS

Ski area
15.5
17.75
19
16.75
14.5
16.75
15.5
16.75
14.5
14
17
14.75
12
12.25
16.5
13.5
16.5
9.75
12.75
12.25
15.25
11.25
14.25

Quality of
snow
18
18
18
20
18
20
20
20
20
16
16
14
14
6
16
16
12
14
10
14
18
12
16

Budget
10
4
4
4
2
4
6
4
10
8
4
4
4
8
6
4
6
4
8
8
8
4
10

Extreme
activities
15.38
16.92
13.85
10.77
7.69
13.85
13.85
10.77
12.31
12.31
13.85
10.77
9.23
7.69
13.85
15.38
9.23
6.15
15.38
10.77
7.69
10.77
13.85

Events
18
14
17
16.5
15
12
13
17
16
14
16
10
6
10
15
14
10
10
6
15
6
6
7

performance
1.
2.
3.
4.



Introduction
Multi-criteria Methods
The ski resorts competitiveness
Conclusion

We attribute weight for each profile
Profile

Ski area

Quality of
snow

Budget

Extreme
activities

Events

Real ski
enthusiastics
Family
Snowboarder
and freerider
Crosscountry skier

30%

20%

20%

15%

15%

20%

20%

30%

15%

15%

15%

30%

15%

25%

15%

20%

40%

20%

10%

10%

Where

5

𝑤𝑖 = 1
𝑖=1

04/02/2014
12

for each criterion
1.
2.
3.
4.


Introduction
Multi-criteria Methods
The ski resorts competitiveness
Conclusion

We define the preference, indifference and veto
thresolds by criterion for each profile
q= 0,2; p=3
Profile

Real ski
enthusiastics
Family
Snowboarder
and
freerider
04/02/2014
13

Crosscountry skier

Thresolds Ski area

q
p
v
q
p
v
q
p
v
q
p
v

Quality
of snow

Budget

Extreme
activities

Events
1.
2.
3.
4.



Introduction
Multi-criteria Methods
The ski resorts competitiveness
Conclusion

Now, alternatives (sky resorts) are pairewise compared (di,dk)
d3

d4

d5

d6

…

di

d1

-

d1,d2

d1,d3

d1,d4

d1,d5

d1,d6

…

d1,di

d2,d1

-

d2,d3

d2,d4

d2,d5

d2,d6

…

d2,di

d3,d1

d3,d2

-

d3,d4

d3,d5

d3,d6

…

d3,di

d4

d4,d1

d4,d2

d4,d3

-

d4,d5

d4,d6

…

d4,di

d5

d5,d1

d5,d2

d5,d3

d5,d4

-

d5,d6

…

d5,di

d6

d6,d1

d6,d2

d6,d3

d6,d4

d6,d5

-

di,d1

di,d2

di,d3

di,d4

di,d5

di,d6

…
…

d6,di

…
di

14

d2

d3

04/02/2014

d1
d2

Outranking
relation

With i=59 the total number of alternatives

-
1.
2.
3.
4.



Introduction
Multi-criteria Methods
The ski resorts competitiveness
Conclusion

Distillation procedures must be used to rank the alternatives:
– A descending distillation: select the best rated alternatives initially and

finishing with the worst
– An ascending distillation: the worst rated alternatives are selected first and
the distillation terminates with the assignement of the best alternatives



04/02/2014
15

The combination of the two pre-ranking gives the final ranking
1.
2.
3.
4.



Introduction
Multi-criteria Methods
The ski resorts competitiveness
Conclusion

Rank of top 15 by profile : ELECTRE III vs WSM
– Real ski enthusiastic

04/02/2014
16

Ranking
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
10th
11th
12th
13th
14th
15th

Sky resort
LA PLAGNE
COURCHEVEL
LES 2 ALPES
LES ARCS BOURG ST MAURICE
VAL D'ISERE
VAL THORENS
ALPE D'HUEZ
TIGNES
MEGEVE
MERIBEL (LES ALLUES)
LES 7 LAUX
LA TOUSSUIRE
SERRE CHEVALIER
VARS
LA CLUSAZ
1.
2.
3.
4.



Introduction
Multi-criteria Methods
The ski resorts competitiveness
Conclusion

Family

1st • LA PLAGNE
• COURCHEVEL
2nd • LES 2 ALPES
• LES 7 LAUX

3rd

• LA TOUSSUIRE

• LES ARCS BOURG ST
MAURICE
4th • VARS
• SAINT-LEGER-LES-MELEZES

• ALPE D'HUEZ
5th • MERIBEL (LES ALLUES)
• MEGEVE
• VAL THORENS
6th • VAL D'ISERE
• SERRE CHEVALIER
04/02/2014
17

• TIGNES
• LA ROSIERE
7th
• QUEYRAS (CEILLAC-ENQUEYRAS)

Ranking

Sky resort

1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
10th
11th
12th
13th
14th
15th

LA PLAGNE
LES 2 ALPES
LES 7 LAUX
COURCHEVEL
LA TOUSSUIRE
LES ARCS BOURG ST MAURICE
ALPE D'HUEZ
VAL D'ISERE
VAL THORENS
MEGEVE
TIGNES
SERRE CHEVALIER
MERIBEL (LES ALLUES)
VARS
LES HOUCHES
1.
2.
3.
4.



Introduction
Multi-criteria Methods
The ski resorts competitiveness
Conclusion

ELECTRE III allows to:
– Determinate a ranking who reflects the preference
– Bypass the problem of the full aggregation of incommensurate
performances



For a larger number of alternatives, the graph is highly complex



Perspectives :
– Actualize the data base
– Compare ELECTRE rankings with other rankings – for example

04/02/2014
18

efficiency ranking (obtained with DEA method or others)
1.
2.
3.
4.

Introduction
Multi-criteria Methods
The ski resorts competitiveness
Conclusion





olga.goncalves@univ-perp.fr



19

laurent.botti@univ-perp.fr



04/02/2014

Thank you for attention!

hanitra.rakotondramaro@univ-perp.fr

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Compétitivité Destinations Neige MCDA CAEPEM ITEM

  • 1. Dr. BOTTI Laurent Dr. GONCALVES Olga RAKOTONDRAMARO Hanitra Perpignan University / CAEPEM 1st International Winter University 04/02/2014 1 29th, 30th and 31st January 2014 , LABEX Item
  • 2. The competitiveness of French ski resorts : Multi-criteria approach 1. 2. The ski resorts competitiveness 4. 2 Multi-criteria Methods 3. 04/02/2014 Introduction Conclusion
  • 3. 1. 2. 3. 4.  Introduction Multi-criteria Methods The ski resorts competitiveness Conclusion Tourism destinations are the central elements of the tourism system  Tourists consider overall destinations when deciding where to vacation. It maybe: – Country (Omerzel Gomezel & Mihalic, 2008), – Regions (Cracolici & Nijkamp, 2008) – City (Clavers-Cortés et al, 2007) – Or type of tourism (Melian-Gonzalez et Garcia-Falcon, 2003) 04/02/2014 3
  • 4. 1. 2. 3. 4.  Introduction Multi-criteria Methods The ski resorts competitiveness Conclusion There is competitiveness between a multiplicity of actors implicated in the tourism experience  This competitiveness is relative (Dwyer et al. ,2011)  Helene Michel and Gabriel Guallino give some information about the competitiveness of sky resorts in France (http://www.lexpress.fr/palmares/ski/default.asp)  This paper aims to compare this competitiveness with considering the tourist profiles: Real ski enthusiastic, family, snowboarder and 04/02/2014 4 freerider, cross-country skier.
  • 5. 1. 2. 3. 4.  Introduction Multi-criteria Methods The ski resorts competitiveness Conclusion Why are MCDA methods relevant to deal with competitiveness of sky resort destination ? – MCDA for methods providing quantitative approach to support decision making in problems involving several criteria and choices (alternatives or actions) (Figueira, Mousseau & Roy, 2005) 04/02/2014 5
  • 6. 1. 2. 3. 4.  Introduction Multi-criteria Methods The ski resorts competitiveness Conclusion Step of decision making process: 1. Tourist determines his profile Real ski enthusiastic Family Snowboarder and freerider Cross-Country skier 2. Identification of the alternatives Ski resorts destinations in France (Alpes, Massif Central, Jura, Vosges et Pyrénées) 3. List the Criteria The ski area 04/02/2014 6 The quality of snow The budget Extreme activities Events 4. Evaluation of alternatives under each criteria 5. Select one destination from a set of n alternatives possibles
  • 7. 1. 2. 3. 4.  Introduction Multi-criteria Methods The ski resorts competitiveness Conclusion Although MCDA methods can be applied to different areas, the litterature is quite narrow when considering the tourism field – TOPSIS was used by Zhang et al. (2011) to rank 16 cities in China – TOPSIS, PROMETHEE and the WSM was used by Ishizaka, Nemery and Lidouh (2013) to select the location of a casino in London – ELECTRE I was used by Botti and Peypoch (2013) to choose the best destination in Hawaï – ELECTRE II was used by Andrades-Caldito et al. (2013) to rank provinces of Andalusia (Spain) 04/02/2014 7
  • 8. 1. 2. 3. 4.  Introduction Multi-criteria Methods The ski resorts competitiveness Conclusion Here, we try to rank a set of alternatives (ski resorts) by tourists profils. So, we use ELECTRE III (Elimination et Choix Traduisant la Réalité ). Concordance Index Construction of the outranking relations Veto ? Yes Disconcordance Index No Credibility matrix Descending preorder 04/02/2014 8 Exploitation of the outranking relations Ascending Preorder Final ranking
  • 9. 1. 2. 3. 4.  Introduction Multi-criteria Methods The ski resorts competitiveness Conclusion For each criterion, thresolds and criteria weights are determined by user – – n: number of criteria – qi: indifference threshold for the criterion i –  Pi : weight of the criterion i pi: preference threshold of the alternative on the criterion i To construct the outranking relations, we determine: – The concordance indices to indicate the truthfulness of assertation “destination di outranks destination dk” (di S d) Crédibilité de la concordance pour « i surclasse k » 1 m C ik  04/02/2014 9 P j 1 j * c j (d i , d k ) cj(di,dk) m P j 1 j 0 qj gj(dk)-gj(di) pj Performance de la destination k moins performance de la destination i sur le critère j
  • 10. 1. 2. 3. 4. Introduction Multi-criteria Methods The ski resorts competitiveness Conclusion – The discordance index is cautious to refuse the assertation “destination di outranks destination dk” (dj(di,dk))  Compare gj(dk)-gj(di) with preference theresold pj and veto theresold vj – We combine the concordance and discordance indices to obtain the degree of credibility. It indicates if the outranking hypothesis is true and are gathered in a credibility matrix.  ik  C ik *  jF 04/02/2014 10 1  d j (d i , d k ) 1  C ik Avec F  j / j  F , d j (d i , d k )  Cik  et F  F 0<δik<1
  • 11. 1. 2. 3. 4. Introduction Multi-criteria Methods The ski resorts competitiveness Conclusion To illustrate the ranking process of ELECTRE III, we use in  following example with 59 ski resorts and 5 criteria Alternatives 04/02/2014 11 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 SKY RESORTS A0001 A0002 A0003 A0004 A0005 A0006 A0007 A0008 A0009 A0010 A0011 A0012 A0013 A0014 A0015 A0016 A0017 A0018 A0019 A0020 A0021 A0022 A0023 LA PLAGNE LES ARCS BOURG ST MAURICE COURCHEVEL VAL THORENS LES MENUIRES TIGNES ALPE D'HUEZ VAL D'ISERE LES 2 ALPES SERRE CHEVALIER MERIBEL (LES ALLUES) AVORIAZ 1800 FLAINE (GRAND MASSIF) CHATEL MEGEVE LA CLUSAZ LES GETS La Mongie (Domaine du Tourmalet) MORZINE LES SAISIES MONTGENEVRE VALMOREL VARS Ski area 15.5 17.75 19 16.75 14.5 16.75 15.5 16.75 14.5 14 17 14.75 12 12.25 16.5 13.5 16.5 9.75 12.75 12.25 15.25 11.25 14.25 Quality of snow 18 18 18 20 18 20 20 20 20 16 16 14 14 6 16 16 12 14 10 14 18 12 16 Budget 10 4 4 4 2 4 6 4 10 8 4 4 4 8 6 4 6 4 8 8 8 4 10 Extreme activities 15.38 16.92 13.85 10.77 7.69 13.85 13.85 10.77 12.31 12.31 13.85 10.77 9.23 7.69 13.85 15.38 9.23 6.15 15.38 10.77 7.69 10.77 13.85 Events 18 14 17 16.5 15 12 13 17 16 14 16 10 6 10 15 14 10 10 6 15 6 6 7 performance
  • 12. 1. 2. 3. 4.  Introduction Multi-criteria Methods The ski resorts competitiveness Conclusion We attribute weight for each profile Profile Ski area Quality of snow Budget Extreme activities Events Real ski enthusiastics Family Snowboarder and freerider Crosscountry skier 30% 20% 20% 15% 15% 20% 20% 30% 15% 15% 15% 30% 15% 25% 15% 20% 40% 20% 10% 10% Where 5 𝑤𝑖 = 1 𝑖=1 04/02/2014 12 for each criterion
  • 13. 1. 2. 3. 4.  Introduction Multi-criteria Methods The ski resorts competitiveness Conclusion We define the preference, indifference and veto thresolds by criterion for each profile q= 0,2; p=3 Profile Real ski enthusiastics Family Snowboarder and freerider 04/02/2014 13 Crosscountry skier Thresolds Ski area q p v q p v q p v q p v Quality of snow Budget Extreme activities Events
  • 14. 1. 2. 3. 4.  Introduction Multi-criteria Methods The ski resorts competitiveness Conclusion Now, alternatives (sky resorts) are pairewise compared (di,dk) d3 d4 d5 d6 … di d1 - d1,d2 d1,d3 d1,d4 d1,d5 d1,d6 … d1,di d2,d1 - d2,d3 d2,d4 d2,d5 d2,d6 … d2,di d3,d1 d3,d2 - d3,d4 d3,d5 d3,d6 … d3,di d4 d4,d1 d4,d2 d4,d3 - d4,d5 d4,d6 … d4,di d5 d5,d1 d5,d2 d5,d3 d5,d4 - d5,d6 … d5,di d6 d6,d1 d6,d2 d6,d3 d6,d4 d6,d5 - di,d1 di,d2 di,d3 di,d4 di,d5 di,d6 … … d6,di … di 14 d2 d3 04/02/2014 d1 d2 Outranking relation With i=59 the total number of alternatives -
  • 15. 1. 2. 3. 4.  Introduction Multi-criteria Methods The ski resorts competitiveness Conclusion Distillation procedures must be used to rank the alternatives: – A descending distillation: select the best rated alternatives initially and finishing with the worst – An ascending distillation: the worst rated alternatives are selected first and the distillation terminates with the assignement of the best alternatives  04/02/2014 15 The combination of the two pre-ranking gives the final ranking
  • 16. 1. 2. 3. 4.  Introduction Multi-criteria Methods The ski resorts competitiveness Conclusion Rank of top 15 by profile : ELECTRE III vs WSM – Real ski enthusiastic 04/02/2014 16 Ranking 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th Sky resort LA PLAGNE COURCHEVEL LES 2 ALPES LES ARCS BOURG ST MAURICE VAL D'ISERE VAL THORENS ALPE D'HUEZ TIGNES MEGEVE MERIBEL (LES ALLUES) LES 7 LAUX LA TOUSSUIRE SERRE CHEVALIER VARS LA CLUSAZ
  • 17. 1. 2. 3. 4.  Introduction Multi-criteria Methods The ski resorts competitiveness Conclusion Family 1st • LA PLAGNE • COURCHEVEL 2nd • LES 2 ALPES • LES 7 LAUX 3rd • LA TOUSSUIRE • LES ARCS BOURG ST MAURICE 4th • VARS • SAINT-LEGER-LES-MELEZES • ALPE D'HUEZ 5th • MERIBEL (LES ALLUES) • MEGEVE • VAL THORENS 6th • VAL D'ISERE • SERRE CHEVALIER 04/02/2014 17 • TIGNES • LA ROSIERE 7th • QUEYRAS (CEILLAC-ENQUEYRAS) Ranking Sky resort 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th LA PLAGNE LES 2 ALPES LES 7 LAUX COURCHEVEL LA TOUSSUIRE LES ARCS BOURG ST MAURICE ALPE D'HUEZ VAL D'ISERE VAL THORENS MEGEVE TIGNES SERRE CHEVALIER MERIBEL (LES ALLUES) VARS LES HOUCHES
  • 18. 1. 2. 3. 4.  Introduction Multi-criteria Methods The ski resorts competitiveness Conclusion ELECTRE III allows to: – Determinate a ranking who reflects the preference – Bypass the problem of the full aggregation of incommensurate performances  For a larger number of alternatives, the graph is highly complex  Perspectives : – Actualize the data base – Compare ELECTRE rankings with other rankings – for example 04/02/2014 18 efficiency ranking (obtained with DEA method or others)
  • 19. 1. 2. 3. 4. Introduction Multi-criteria Methods The ski resorts competitiveness Conclusion   olga.goncalves@univ-perp.fr  19 laurent.botti@univ-perp.fr  04/02/2014 Thank you for attention! hanitra.rakotondramaro@univ-perp.fr