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FINANCIAL PLANNING & FUNDING
FOR INNOVATIVE STARTUPS
Benno Groosman MScBA – www.groosman.co – Delft 10/1/2019, for: Inholland University of Applied Sciences
THE SLIDES ARE ONLINE ALREADY!
www.slideshare.net/benno_groosman
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
BENNO GROOSMAN
 MSc Entrepreneurship & New BusinessVenturing
 10 years medtech entrepreneur
 Award winning health care company with 3 international patents and
multiple products, €1.4M funding and 2 products on the market
 Involved in multiple startups and experience with multiple incubators and
accelerators worldwide (Brazil, Athens, Hungary, Germany, etc.)
Now:
 Founder Groosman.co Startups
 Co-founder & CEO Surge-on Medical: patented innovations for surgery
 CFO & shareholderVirtualMedSchool: online training for doctors and nurses
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
TODAY’S SCHEDULE
 Introduction to funding language + business planning;
 Determining funding need + milestone-based funding;
 Building your financial investment plan;
 Investor readiness (bonus).
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
DEFINITION: FUNDING
Providing financial resources
to finance a startup,
program, or project.
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
WHAT FUNDING IS NOT…
… a startup’s ultimate goal.
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
WHAT FUNDING IS NOT…
… a guarantee for success.
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
WHAT FUNDING IS NOT…
… replacing the need for customers
and revenues.
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
WHAT FUNDING IS NOT…
… only business angels and venture
capitalists.
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
DOYOU REALLYWANTTO RAISE MONEY?
First, get money from:
 Selling your test product;
 Make customers pay in advance (or sell MVP);
 Use government subsidies and grants;
 Consultancy (but don’t loose your focus!);
 (Ask to) pay your suppliers later.
...TO BE ABLETO MAKE A BETTER DEAL.
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
DOYOU REALLYWANTTO RAISE MONEY?
Think now about
your alternative
(financial) sources.
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
WHATYOU HAVETO PREPARE
Elevator pitch
Pitch deck
Business plan
Go to market strategy
Exit strategy
What do you want to give in return for the funding?
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
WHATYOU HAVETO PREPARE
Start with the business plan and then make a pitch deck
out of that.
If the other party gets interested by your pitch deck, you
will have to send a business plan almost directly.
98% of the startups need a business plan to raise money.
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
WHATYOU HAVETO PREPARE
Reserve time to finish
your business plan,
make it a priority!
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
WHENTO START SEARCHING
FOR FUNDING?
Best position to negotiate is when you don’t really need
the money yet. Investors (or you!) can delay the deal
making, so make sure you have a financial buffer.
Investment lead time:
Informal investors / business angels: 3 months.
VC funds: 6 to 12 months.
+ time you need to get to get them in your network!
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
MILESTONE FUNDING &
FUNDING NEED
INTHIS PART
Value-adding activities
Milestone-based funding
Your funding need and match with stages
What’s next?
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
VALUE-ADDING ACTIVITIES/RESULTS
 Work on prototype (R&D)
 Direct customer acquisition
 Successful patent applications
 Strategic partnerships
 Improve product/market fit
 Clear go-to-market strategy
 Improve your team
 … and more
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
VALUE-ADDING ACTIVITIES/RESULTS
Not: beautiful logo, business cards and website
Not: a great CRM system without customers
Not: adding more and more features to product
Not: visiting events or exhibitions without a clear
goal and result
Not: Facebook likes or blog readers you didn’t
monetize
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
VALUE-ADDING ACTIVITIES/RESULTS
What shouldYOU
do to add value to
your startup?
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
FUNDING NEED AND STARTUP STAGE
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
FUNDING FROM EARLYTO LATER STAGE
 Friends, family and fools
 Governments, universities, larger companies
 Crowdfunding and crowd-investing
 Business angels (informal investors)
 Launching customers
 Banks
 Venture capital funds
 Private equity / IPO / exit
 … and more
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
FUNDING NEED AND STARTUP STAGE
Do you know what
source of money fits
your startup stage?
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
MY DEFINITION: MILESTONE
A milestone is the concrete
achievement of a significant step in
your venture planning, which adds
financial value to your venture.
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
MILESTONE-BASED FUNDING
Define the milestones in your startup plan
Determine the amount of money and time
you need to reach each milestone
Match milestones with available funding
sources
Can you combine the milestones for
funding?
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
MILESTONE-BASED FUNDING QUICK SHEET
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
MILESTONE-BASED FUNDING QUICK SHEET
Download at:
Excel: http://bit.ly/MBF-excel
Pdf: http://bit.ly/MBF-pdf
Example: http://bit.ly/MBF-example
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
MILESTONE-BASED FUNDING
It’s easier to get milestones funded than activities or the
total costs for years in the future
Milestones make you and your financers focus on the
big picture, instead of daily operations
It’s possible to secure the funding of different
milestones by combining the commitment of different
(types of) funding sources in advance: you could capture
these in one investment contract (with options)
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
FUNDING NEED
Ask the money that you really need,
not too little,
and about 10-20% extra for unforeseen expenses,
to achieve the milestone(s) you are aiming for.
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
MILESTONE-BASED FUNDING QUICK SHEET
Take 5 minutes to fill
in the sheet and 5
minutes to discuss
with your neighbor.PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
BUILDINGYOUR
FINANCIAL INVESTMENT PLAN
INTHIS PART
Scope
From milestones to investment table
How to make assumptions
Cash flow and liquidity
Revenue and profits
Valuation
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
SCOPE
 The financial plan is part of your business plan
 See for example http://www.slideshare.net/benno_groosman/funding-
for-innovative-startups-part-1-of-5
 In this presentation I focus on new ventures that need (high) initial
investments and deal with future uncertainty and risk
 Though, the basics work for other types of ventures too
 This is an introduction; your financial plan requires a lot of practice and
updating.
 There are many ways of presenting your numbers; I show how I did it in my
(funded) business plans and included these examples.
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
FROM MILESTONESTO INVESTMENTTABLE
The milestone planning gives you an
indication of the amount of money you need
and when you need this
In your business plan you don’t only present
the total costs of each milestone, but you
also split it to the category of costs (e.g.
R&D, salary, office, materials)
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
EXAMPLE INVESTMENTTABLE MEDTECH
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
EXAMPLE INVESTMENTTABLE MEDTECH
(TYPE OF COSTS)
Note: you can define your own categories, this is just an example
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
ASSUMPTIONS
 After the milestone planning and the investment table you have
an idea of the amount of money you need to raise
 In order to raise money you have to show financial projections
for the future
 For these projections you have to make estimates of costs and
revenues
 In new ventures these estimates are assumptions
 The number is not very important, how defendable the
assumptions are to get to this number is the most important!
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
HOWTO MAKE ASSUMPTIONS ON REVENUE
Percentage of the total market
Use only in rare cases. Investors don’t like the phrase
“we will capture only 0.1% of the market and still will
make millions”
A percentage of the total market can be feasible when
you only take the local market or a very specific niche
market
It’s good to know the market size, but to determine
your share it is better to use the next options
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
HOWTO MAKE ASSUMPTIONS ON REVENUE
Revenues followed by a sound sales plan
Look at your operations now and after successful
funding and make a sales plan
For example: there are 200 big customers in my
country, we visit two of them every week and expect a
10% conversion, leading to 52*2*0.1 = ~10 customers
in year 1.
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
HOWTO MAKE ASSUMPTIONS ON REVENUE
 Compare with substitute and complementary products or
competitors
 In case you sell “green roofs” for new houses, you need to
know how many new houses are being build. Additionally you
can compare with the size and growth of young competitors.
What can you do different to capture your part of the market?
 If you have a new product that will replace another type of
product, see the market of the substitute product and
determine the likelihood that somebody would switch to your
product.
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
HOWTO MAKE ASSUMPTIONS ON REVENUE
Build an operational plan for first years, then add a
growth percentage after
Take the previous suggestions to make assumptions
and plan the first 3 years
For the other years you can add growth percentages
that are reasonable in your market, this can be any
number from 20% to 1000% in general (many
exceptions apply)
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
ASSUMPTIONS (EXAMPLE)
“For the cash flow prognosis a conservative, base scenario was chosen.
Only from 2018 we calculate revenues out of a sale of initially 3 to 20
products per month by end 2020 (target price €2000 start and €1500
end of this period). End 2017 we expect to have IP license income and
production deals with strategic partners (of which one already signed a
first right of refusal).
The costs for maintenance of our patents are included.The IP license
costs are also included.A 25% cost for production is taken of the
product sales.As it is a medical product, certification costs are taken
into account.The overhead costs consist of rent, office, administrative
and regular insurance costs. Paying back loans is included in the
prognosis.”
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
CASH FLOW AND LIQUIDITY
Cashflow is the moment that the money reaches or
leaves your bank account (this is timed differently than
revenue or costs).
Cashflow = SUM(cashflow in – cashflow out)
Liquidity = Start number bank account + cashflow
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
CASHFLOW STATEMENT
You can define your own cash
inflow and outflow categories,
but keep the number of
posts limited.
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
LIQUIDITY
The liquidity (money on your bank account and cash) is
crucial for a startup, this determines the survival of the
venture
If you don’t have money to pay obligations:
For this reason the prognosis per month is required
A negative liquidity gives the need for additional
funding (on top of the funding need that came from
your investment table)
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
LIQUIDITY
What is the extra funding
needed on the next slide?
(considering that the cashflow cannot be changed)
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
LIQUIDITY
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
LIQUIDITY
Although the liquidity at the end of the year is -47,7k, the lowest
number is -62,5k and therefor 62,5k is the minimal required extra
funding amount (on top of the 100k + 83,2k in the cashflow statement)
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
EXAMPLE 5-YEAR CASHFLOW AND
LIQUIDITY STATEMENT (QUARTERLY)
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
EXAMPLE 5-YEAR CASHFLOW AND
LIQUIDITY STATEMENT (QUARTERLY)
Download from: http://bit.ly/CF-example-xlsx and adjust it
to make your own statements
(or download clean version: http://bit.ly/CF-clean)
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
REVENUE AND PROFIT
If you agree on a sale or purchase today, the revenue or
cost occurs today
The cashflow in or out, occurs days to months later or
earlier though
Therefor is your cashflow and liquidity statement not
the same as your revenue, profit and loss statement
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
REVENUE AND PROFIT
For example: a product you deliver to a customer at
28-12-2018 with a 3 week payment term, does not show
up in your 2018 cashflow in (because the payment is in
2019), but does show up in the revenues that year
But: the costs for making that product (cashflow out and
cost) usually do both occur in 2018
PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
INVESTOR READINESS
(BONUS FOR IF YOU REALLY START YOUR VENTURE)
SCOPE
This is not a presentation on negotiation tactics, but:
Preparation and understanding of the process will help
you in the deal making and negotiation
You can only start negotiations if you meet the
minimum requirements (the investor has to be
interested, you have to be prepared)
The better you present your case, the better the deal
you can get
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
PREPARATION (1/2)
Business plan with financial plan
 http://www.slideshare.net/benno_groosman/funding-for-innovative-startups-part-1-of-5
 http://www.slideshare.net/benno_groosman/funding-for-innovative-startups-part-3-of-5
Know your funding need
 http://www.slideshare.net/benno_groosman/funding-for-innovative-startups-part-2-of-5
Presentation / pitch deck
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
PREPARATION (2/2)
Lawyer and accountant
 Build your relation before you have to review your contracts or guide the negotiations: this
will save time and improve quality
Other experienced entrepreneur
 Before and during the investment process, find somebody with experience that can help you
Timeline
 When do you need the money? How do you want to go through the process?Take control!
Contact multiple investors
 Don’t bet on one horse
 More investors can share the risk and increase the funding
 Make sure they all have the same information and know the timeline
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
VALUATION
Science, art
or random?
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
VALUATION
Valuation of startups is not just a numbers game. It’s
more about expectations, feelings, investment limits etc.
But, start to quantify your value by:
Discounted cash flow;
Real option pricing;
Comparing to other startups.
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
VALUATION
DISCOUNTED CASHFLOW
 Take the total cashflow for each year
 In the 5 year prognosis at http://bit.ly/CF-
example-xlsx this is €18.800; € 153.500; € 87.615;
-€ 14.963 € 113.460 in year 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5
 The discount rate is 0,15 (15 percent)
 =18800/1,15+153500/(1,15^2)+87615/(1,15^3)+(-
14963)/(1,15^4)+113460/(1,15^5)
 So, the DCF is €237.878 in 5 years
 In this example, the number is not totally fair, as
it also includes the funding in these 5 years
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
VALUATION
REAL OPTION PRICING
NPV = -1000 + 0.7*0.3*100 + 0.7*0.5*3000 + 0.7*0.2*6000 + 0.3*0 = 1471
investment
1000
succes
low
1000
medium
3000
high
10000
failure
0
0.7
0.3
0.5
0.2
0.3
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
VALUATION
COMPARINGTO OTHER STARTUPS
 Find comparable startups (stage and market) and look for
(public) data on the investments they made, talk with them
or people in their circle.
 Check websites like www.crunchbase.com for this too
 Valuation also depends on the investor’s previous
investments, if you find that an investor takes 20-30%
equity for €250k-350k this investor might look for valuations
from €833k to €1.75M
 Serial entrepreneur: look at your previous comparable
startups (stage and market) and add a premium valuation
for experience and network
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
VALUATION
OTHER
Investor policy, e.g. “the maximum post-money
valuation for seed money is $2M”
Investor divides the numbers the entrepreneur
provides by 10
… entrepreneur knows, so multiplies by 10, etc.
Profit times 5, revenue times 2 (or any number),
industry multipliers, β
Tens of other methods
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
THE INVESTMENT PROCESS
GO / NO GO decision after every stage in the deal making process:
 First contact, pitch
 Personal connection
 Business plan and/or presentation
 Term sheet
 Negotiations
 Signing term sheet (exclusivity phase investor)
 Due diligence
 Participation contract
 Deposit of money and changes of legal structure
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
AFTERTHE INVESTMENT
• Keep working on the relationship with your investor
• Get used to an extra decision maker in your team
• Prepare for more financial and strategic reporting
• Use the network and time of the investor wisely
• Keep looking for additional funding and investors: your
investor will help with contacts and negotiating with
them or provide even an additional round of funding
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
WHAT INVESTORS ASSESS ON
 Team (experience, expertise, complementarity)
 Product/market fit
 Intellectual Property
 Traction
 Revenues
 Match with fund
 Manageable risks
 Stage
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
NEGOTIATION
www.groosman.co
www.linkedin.com/pulse/negotiation-
frank-chenPLANNING & FUNDING
NEGOTIATION
First, you negotiate for your company! Some
personal goals can conflict with what’s best for
your venture.
The best result is getting a balanced and fair deal
that you understand, while maintaining a good
relationship with the investor.
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
NEGOTIATION
Prepare the necessary documentation (business
plan and more), the right support (experienced
people), and know what you want to achieve.
Have a plan B. Many (if not most) deals never
happen.
Realize that in a new round, you’ll negotiate new
terms (triggered by the new investor).
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
OTHER RESOURCES ON FUNDING
Online:
www.crunchbase.com
www.askthevc.com
www.groosman.co / www.slideshare.net/benno_groosman
Books:
 Venture deals (be smarter than your lawyer and venture capitalist), Brad
Feld & Jason Mendelson
 The Art of Startup Fundraising: Pitching Investors, Negotiating the Deal,
and Everything Else Entrepreneurs Need to Know, Alejandro Cremades
www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
QUESTIONS?
& FOLLOW ME →
Benno Groosman MScBA
Serial medtech entrepreneur
www.groosman.co | www.surge-on.eu | www.virtualmedschool.com
www.linkedin.com/in/groosman
www.twitter.com/benno_groosman
www.facebook.com/Groosman.co

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Funding for innovative startups @ Inholland Unversity of Applied Sciences

  • 1. FINANCIAL PLANNING & FUNDING FOR INNOVATIVE STARTUPS Benno Groosman MScBA – www.groosman.co – Delft 10/1/2019, for: Inholland University of Applied Sciences
  • 2. THE SLIDES ARE ONLINE ALREADY! www.slideshare.net/benno_groosman www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 3. BENNO GROOSMAN  MSc Entrepreneurship & New BusinessVenturing  10 years medtech entrepreneur  Award winning health care company with 3 international patents and multiple products, €1.4M funding and 2 products on the market  Involved in multiple startups and experience with multiple incubators and accelerators worldwide (Brazil, Athens, Hungary, Germany, etc.) Now:  Founder Groosman.co Startups  Co-founder & CEO Surge-on Medical: patented innovations for surgery  CFO & shareholderVirtualMedSchool: online training for doctors and nurses www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 4. TODAY’S SCHEDULE  Introduction to funding language + business planning;  Determining funding need + milestone-based funding;  Building your financial investment plan;  Investor readiness (bonus). www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 5. DEFINITION: FUNDING Providing financial resources to finance a startup, program, or project. www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 6. WHAT FUNDING IS NOT… … a startup’s ultimate goal. www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 7. WHAT FUNDING IS NOT… … a guarantee for success. www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 8. WHAT FUNDING IS NOT… … replacing the need for customers and revenues. www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 9. WHAT FUNDING IS NOT… … only business angels and venture capitalists. www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 10. DOYOU REALLYWANTTO RAISE MONEY? First, get money from:  Selling your test product;  Make customers pay in advance (or sell MVP);  Use government subsidies and grants;  Consultancy (but don’t loose your focus!);  (Ask to) pay your suppliers later. ...TO BE ABLETO MAKE A BETTER DEAL. www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 11. DOYOU REALLYWANTTO RAISE MONEY? Think now about your alternative (financial) sources. www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 12. WHATYOU HAVETO PREPARE Elevator pitch Pitch deck Business plan Go to market strategy Exit strategy What do you want to give in return for the funding? www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 13. WHATYOU HAVETO PREPARE Start with the business plan and then make a pitch deck out of that. If the other party gets interested by your pitch deck, you will have to send a business plan almost directly. 98% of the startups need a business plan to raise money. www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 14. WHATYOU HAVETO PREPARE Reserve time to finish your business plan, make it a priority! www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 15. WHENTO START SEARCHING FOR FUNDING? Best position to negotiate is when you don’t really need the money yet. Investors (or you!) can delay the deal making, so make sure you have a financial buffer. Investment lead time: Informal investors / business angels: 3 months. VC funds: 6 to 12 months. + time you need to get to get them in your network! www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 17. INTHIS PART Value-adding activities Milestone-based funding Your funding need and match with stages What’s next? PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 18. VALUE-ADDING ACTIVITIES/RESULTS  Work on prototype (R&D)  Direct customer acquisition  Successful patent applications  Strategic partnerships  Improve product/market fit  Clear go-to-market strategy  Improve your team  … and more PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 19. VALUE-ADDING ACTIVITIES/RESULTS Not: beautiful logo, business cards and website Not: a great CRM system without customers Not: adding more and more features to product Not: visiting events or exhibitions without a clear goal and result Not: Facebook likes or blog readers you didn’t monetize PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 20. VALUE-ADDING ACTIVITIES/RESULTS What shouldYOU do to add value to your startup? PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 21. FUNDING NEED AND STARTUP STAGE PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 22. FUNDING FROM EARLYTO LATER STAGE  Friends, family and fools  Governments, universities, larger companies  Crowdfunding and crowd-investing  Business angels (informal investors)  Launching customers  Banks  Venture capital funds  Private equity / IPO / exit  … and more PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 23. FUNDING NEED AND STARTUP STAGE Do you know what source of money fits your startup stage? PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 24. MY DEFINITION: MILESTONE A milestone is the concrete achievement of a significant step in your venture planning, which adds financial value to your venture. PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 25. MILESTONE-BASED FUNDING Define the milestones in your startup plan Determine the amount of money and time you need to reach each milestone Match milestones with available funding sources Can you combine the milestones for funding? PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 26. MILESTONE-BASED FUNDING QUICK SHEET PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 27. MILESTONE-BASED FUNDING QUICK SHEET Download at: Excel: http://bit.ly/MBF-excel Pdf: http://bit.ly/MBF-pdf Example: http://bit.ly/MBF-example PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 28. PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 29. MILESTONE-BASED FUNDING It’s easier to get milestones funded than activities or the total costs for years in the future Milestones make you and your financers focus on the big picture, instead of daily operations It’s possible to secure the funding of different milestones by combining the commitment of different (types of) funding sources in advance: you could capture these in one investment contract (with options) PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 30. FUNDING NEED Ask the money that you really need, not too little, and about 10-20% extra for unforeseen expenses, to achieve the milestone(s) you are aiming for. PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 31. MILESTONE-BASED FUNDING QUICK SHEET Take 5 minutes to fill in the sheet and 5 minutes to discuss with your neighbor.PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 33. INTHIS PART Scope From milestones to investment table How to make assumptions Cash flow and liquidity Revenue and profits Valuation PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 34. SCOPE  The financial plan is part of your business plan  See for example http://www.slideshare.net/benno_groosman/funding- for-innovative-startups-part-1-of-5  In this presentation I focus on new ventures that need (high) initial investments and deal with future uncertainty and risk  Though, the basics work for other types of ventures too  This is an introduction; your financial plan requires a lot of practice and updating.  There are many ways of presenting your numbers; I show how I did it in my (funded) business plans and included these examples. PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 35. FROM MILESTONESTO INVESTMENTTABLE The milestone planning gives you an indication of the amount of money you need and when you need this In your business plan you don’t only present the total costs of each milestone, but you also split it to the category of costs (e.g. R&D, salary, office, materials) PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 36. EXAMPLE INVESTMENTTABLE MEDTECH PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 37. EXAMPLE INVESTMENTTABLE MEDTECH (TYPE OF COSTS) Note: you can define your own categories, this is just an example PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 38. ASSUMPTIONS  After the milestone planning and the investment table you have an idea of the amount of money you need to raise  In order to raise money you have to show financial projections for the future  For these projections you have to make estimates of costs and revenues  In new ventures these estimates are assumptions  The number is not very important, how defendable the assumptions are to get to this number is the most important! PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 39. HOWTO MAKE ASSUMPTIONS ON REVENUE Percentage of the total market Use only in rare cases. Investors don’t like the phrase “we will capture only 0.1% of the market and still will make millions” A percentage of the total market can be feasible when you only take the local market or a very specific niche market It’s good to know the market size, but to determine your share it is better to use the next options PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 40. HOWTO MAKE ASSUMPTIONS ON REVENUE Revenues followed by a sound sales plan Look at your operations now and after successful funding and make a sales plan For example: there are 200 big customers in my country, we visit two of them every week and expect a 10% conversion, leading to 52*2*0.1 = ~10 customers in year 1. PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 41. HOWTO MAKE ASSUMPTIONS ON REVENUE  Compare with substitute and complementary products or competitors  In case you sell “green roofs” for new houses, you need to know how many new houses are being build. Additionally you can compare with the size and growth of young competitors. What can you do different to capture your part of the market?  If you have a new product that will replace another type of product, see the market of the substitute product and determine the likelihood that somebody would switch to your product. PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 42. HOWTO MAKE ASSUMPTIONS ON REVENUE Build an operational plan for first years, then add a growth percentage after Take the previous suggestions to make assumptions and plan the first 3 years For the other years you can add growth percentages that are reasonable in your market, this can be any number from 20% to 1000% in general (many exceptions apply) PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 43. ASSUMPTIONS (EXAMPLE) “For the cash flow prognosis a conservative, base scenario was chosen. Only from 2018 we calculate revenues out of a sale of initially 3 to 20 products per month by end 2020 (target price €2000 start and €1500 end of this period). End 2017 we expect to have IP license income and production deals with strategic partners (of which one already signed a first right of refusal). The costs for maintenance of our patents are included.The IP license costs are also included.A 25% cost for production is taken of the product sales.As it is a medical product, certification costs are taken into account.The overhead costs consist of rent, office, administrative and regular insurance costs. Paying back loans is included in the prognosis.” PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 44. CASH FLOW AND LIQUIDITY Cashflow is the moment that the money reaches or leaves your bank account (this is timed differently than revenue or costs). Cashflow = SUM(cashflow in – cashflow out) Liquidity = Start number bank account + cashflow PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 45. CASHFLOW STATEMENT You can define your own cash inflow and outflow categories, but keep the number of posts limited. PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 46. LIQUIDITY The liquidity (money on your bank account and cash) is crucial for a startup, this determines the survival of the venture If you don’t have money to pay obligations: For this reason the prognosis per month is required A negative liquidity gives the need for additional funding (on top of the funding need that came from your investment table) PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 47. LIQUIDITY What is the extra funding needed on the next slide? (considering that the cashflow cannot be changed) PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 48. LIQUIDITY PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 49. LIQUIDITY Although the liquidity at the end of the year is -47,7k, the lowest number is -62,5k and therefor 62,5k is the minimal required extra funding amount (on top of the 100k + 83,2k in the cashflow statement) PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 50. EXAMPLE 5-YEAR CASHFLOW AND LIQUIDITY STATEMENT (QUARTERLY) PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 51. EXAMPLE 5-YEAR CASHFLOW AND LIQUIDITY STATEMENT (QUARTERLY) Download from: http://bit.ly/CF-example-xlsx and adjust it to make your own statements (or download clean version: http://bit.ly/CF-clean) PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 52. REVENUE AND PROFIT If you agree on a sale or purchase today, the revenue or cost occurs today The cashflow in or out, occurs days to months later or earlier though Therefor is your cashflow and liquidity statement not the same as your revenue, profit and loss statement PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 53. REVENUE AND PROFIT For example: a product you deliver to a customer at 28-12-2018 with a 3 week payment term, does not show up in your 2018 cashflow in (because the payment is in 2019), but does show up in the revenues that year But: the costs for making that product (cashflow out and cost) usually do both occur in 2018 PLANNING & FUNDING www.groosman.co
  • 54. INVESTOR READINESS (BONUS FOR IF YOU REALLY START YOUR VENTURE)
  • 55. SCOPE This is not a presentation on negotiation tactics, but: Preparation and understanding of the process will help you in the deal making and negotiation You can only start negotiations if you meet the minimum requirements (the investor has to be interested, you have to be prepared) The better you present your case, the better the deal you can get www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 56. PREPARATION (1/2) Business plan with financial plan  http://www.slideshare.net/benno_groosman/funding-for-innovative-startups-part-1-of-5  http://www.slideshare.net/benno_groosman/funding-for-innovative-startups-part-3-of-5 Know your funding need  http://www.slideshare.net/benno_groosman/funding-for-innovative-startups-part-2-of-5 Presentation / pitch deck www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 57. PREPARATION (2/2) Lawyer and accountant  Build your relation before you have to review your contracts or guide the negotiations: this will save time and improve quality Other experienced entrepreneur  Before and during the investment process, find somebody with experience that can help you Timeline  When do you need the money? How do you want to go through the process?Take control! Contact multiple investors  Don’t bet on one horse  More investors can share the risk and increase the funding  Make sure they all have the same information and know the timeline www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 59. VALUATION Valuation of startups is not just a numbers game. It’s more about expectations, feelings, investment limits etc. But, start to quantify your value by: Discounted cash flow; Real option pricing; Comparing to other startups. www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 60. VALUATION DISCOUNTED CASHFLOW  Take the total cashflow for each year  In the 5 year prognosis at http://bit.ly/CF- example-xlsx this is €18.800; € 153.500; € 87.615; -€ 14.963 € 113.460 in year 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5  The discount rate is 0,15 (15 percent)  =18800/1,15+153500/(1,15^2)+87615/(1,15^3)+(- 14963)/(1,15^4)+113460/(1,15^5)  So, the DCF is €237.878 in 5 years  In this example, the number is not totally fair, as it also includes the funding in these 5 years www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 61. VALUATION REAL OPTION PRICING NPV = -1000 + 0.7*0.3*100 + 0.7*0.5*3000 + 0.7*0.2*6000 + 0.3*0 = 1471 investment 1000 succes low 1000 medium 3000 high 10000 failure 0 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.3 www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 62. VALUATION COMPARINGTO OTHER STARTUPS  Find comparable startups (stage and market) and look for (public) data on the investments they made, talk with them or people in their circle.  Check websites like www.crunchbase.com for this too  Valuation also depends on the investor’s previous investments, if you find that an investor takes 20-30% equity for €250k-350k this investor might look for valuations from €833k to €1.75M  Serial entrepreneur: look at your previous comparable startups (stage and market) and add a premium valuation for experience and network www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 63. VALUATION OTHER Investor policy, e.g. “the maximum post-money valuation for seed money is $2M” Investor divides the numbers the entrepreneur provides by 10 … entrepreneur knows, so multiplies by 10, etc. Profit times 5, revenue times 2 (or any number), industry multipliers, β Tens of other methods www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 64. THE INVESTMENT PROCESS GO / NO GO decision after every stage in the deal making process:  First contact, pitch  Personal connection  Business plan and/or presentation  Term sheet  Negotiations  Signing term sheet (exclusivity phase investor)  Due diligence  Participation contract  Deposit of money and changes of legal structure www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 65. AFTERTHE INVESTMENT • Keep working on the relationship with your investor • Get used to an extra decision maker in your team • Prepare for more financial and strategic reporting • Use the network and time of the investor wisely • Keep looking for additional funding and investors: your investor will help with contacts and negotiating with them or provide even an additional round of funding www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 66. WHAT INVESTORS ASSESS ON  Team (experience, expertise, complementarity)  Product/market fit  Intellectual Property  Traction  Revenues  Match with fund  Manageable risks  Stage www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 68. NEGOTIATION First, you negotiate for your company! Some personal goals can conflict with what’s best for your venture. The best result is getting a balanced and fair deal that you understand, while maintaining a good relationship with the investor. www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 69. NEGOTIATION Prepare the necessary documentation (business plan and more), the right support (experienced people), and know what you want to achieve. Have a plan B. Many (if not most) deals never happen. Realize that in a new round, you’ll negotiate new terms (triggered by the new investor). www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 70. OTHER RESOURCES ON FUNDING Online: www.crunchbase.com www.askthevc.com www.groosman.co / www.slideshare.net/benno_groosman Books:  Venture deals (be smarter than your lawyer and venture capitalist), Brad Feld & Jason Mendelson  The Art of Startup Fundraising: Pitching Investors, Negotiating the Deal, and Everything Else Entrepreneurs Need to Know, Alejandro Cremades www.groosman.coPLANNING & FUNDING
  • 71. QUESTIONS? & FOLLOW ME → Benno Groosman MScBA Serial medtech entrepreneur www.groosman.co | www.surge-on.eu | www.virtualmedschool.com www.linkedin.com/in/groosman www.twitter.com/benno_groosman www.facebook.com/Groosman.co