10. What Are You Really Estimating?
12 / 48 = 25% of 9.5 weeks
@bitNomad
11. What Are You Really Estimating?
12 / 48 = 25% of 9.5 weeks
6 / 42 = 14% of 8.5 weeks
@bitNomad
12. What Are You Really Estimating?
12 / 48 = 25% of 9.5 weeks
6 / 42 = 14% of 8.5 weeks
17 / 53 = 32% of 10.5 weeks
@bitNomad
13. What Are You Really Estimating?
12 / 48 = 25% of 9.5 weeks
6 / 42 = 14% of 8.5 weeks
17 / 53 = 32% of 10.5 weeks
No matter how complex, it’s 9.5 +/- 1 week
@bitNomad
14. What Are You Really Estimating?
12 / 48 = 25% of 9.5 weeks
6 / 42 = 14% of 8.5 weeks
17 / 53 = 32% of 10.5 weeks
No matter how complex, it’s 9.5 +/- 1 week
In practice, expect to see closer to 5%
@bitNomad
15. Velocity Only Counts If You Remove
pre-tasks: small stories, JIT design
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16. Velocity Only Counts If You Remove
pre-tasks: small stories, JIT design
post-tasks: continuous deployment & testing
@bitNomad
17. Velocity Only Counts If You Remove
pre-tasks: small stories, JIT design
post-tasks: continuous deployment & testing
wait time: flow, staff balance
@bitNomad
18. What to do instead?
Measure your system for value and waste
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19. What to do instead?
Visualize your system to see workflow problems
capacity = 6
capacity = 4
capacity = 6
throughput = 4
@bitNomad
20. What to do instead?
Visualize the system to see workflow problems
and use work limits to create flow and slack
limit = 4
capacity = 4
capacity = 6
throughput = 4
@bitNomad
