2. 2
Stages of Research Process:
1.Problem Identification
2.Generating Hypothesis
3.Conducting the Research
4.Statistical Analysis (Descriptive and
Inferential Statistics)
5. Drawing Conclusion
3. 3
Descriptive statistics Inferential statistics
Mean t-test
Median Analysis of variance (ANOVA)
Mode Correlation
Standard deviation Multiple regression
Variance Factor analysis
Range Discriminant analysis
Chi square
Repeated measures ANOVA
5. Economic Statistics
Statistics
-are a collection of theory and methods
applied for the purpose of understanding
data.
-art and science of collecting, analyzing,
presenting, and interpreting data.
6. Why Study Econometrics?
Economic theory makes statement or hypotheses
Theories do not provide
the necessary measure of strength of relationship
(numerical estimate of the relationship) &
the proper functional relationship between variables.
Example: Law of Demand
A reduction in price of a commodity is expected to
increase the quantity demanded of that commodity.
to provide empirical verification of theories
7. 7
Economic Statistics
Data, Data Set, Elements, Variables and
Observations
Data are facts and figures that are collected, analyzed, and
summarized for presentation and interpretation.
Data set refers to all data collected in particular study.
Elements are the entities on which data are collected.
Variable is a characteristic of interest for the elements.
Observation is a set of measurements obtained for a particular
element.
8. 8
Economic Statistics
Qualitative, Quantitative, Cross-section
and time series Data
Qualitative data are labels or names used to identity an
attribute of each element.
Quantitative data are numeric values that indicate how
much or how many.
Qualitative variable is a variable with qualitative data.
Quantitative variable is a variable with quantitative
data.
9. 9
Economic Statistics
Cross-sectional data are data collected at the same
or approximately the same point in time.
Time series data are data collected over several time
periods.
Pooled data are data with elements of both cross-
sectional and time series data.
Panel data are data with the same cross-sectional
unit, say, a family or firm, and is surveyed over time.
10. 10
Economic Statistics
ITEM 1990
PHILIPPINES 9266287
CAR 165585
ILOCOS 847691
CAGAYAN VALLEY 1164758
CENTRAL LUZON 1910930
S. TAGALOG - A 904297
BICOL 686998
WESTERN VISAYAS 886732
CENTRAL VISAYAS 182940
EASTERN VISAYAS 337459
Western Mindanao 350313
NORTHERN MINDANAO 306069
Southern Mindanao 649812
Central Mindanao 443068
ARMM 203718
CARAGA 225917
Cross-sectional Data: Volume of Palay Production (000MT), Philippines, 1990.
13. 13
Economic Statistics
Scales of Measurement
The nominal scale has no mathematical value. It is also called a
categorical scale. Numbers are assigned to categories of
nominal data/variables to facilitate data processing.
An ordinal scale is a measure in which data or categories of a
variables are ordered or ranked into two or more levels or
degrees, such as from low to high or least to most.
An interval scale has the characteristics of an ordinal scale, but in
addition, the distance between points in interval scales is equal.
A ratio scale is almost like the interval scale, except that the ratio
scale has a real zero point.
14. 14
Economic Statistics
Scale Description Example
Nominal Categories do not have mathematical
values. One is not higher or lower
than the other.
Sex: male, female
Color: red, white, yellow
Civil Status: single, married
Ordinal Categories can be ranked. The
difference between the first and the
second rank is not the same as the
difference between the second and
the third ranks.
Degree of malnutrition: 1st
degree, 2nd
degree, 3rd
degree
Honor roll: 1st, 2nd, 3rd
Level of anger: not angry, very
angry.
Interval The data have numerical value. The
distance between two points is the
same, but there is no zero point or it
may be arbitrary.
Body temperature in
Fahrenheit: 30 degrees, 40
degrees, 50 degrees
Business capital (PhP): 1m, 2m,
3m
Ratio The same as interval data but the
zero point is fixed.
No. of children: 0,1,2,3,4
Hrs. spent in studying: 0, 5,10
Descriptions and Examples of the Four Scales of measurement
15. 15
Economic Statistics
Data
Qualitative Data Quantitative Data
Tabular Methods Graphical Methods Tabular Methods Graphical Method
Frequency
Distribution
Relative Frequency
Distribution
Percent Frequency
Distribution
Bar Graph
Pie Chart
Frequency Distribution
Relative Frequency Distribution
Percent Frequency Distribution
Cumulative Frequency Distribution
Cumulative Relative Frequency Distribution
Cumulative Percent Frequency Distribution
Histogram
Scatter Diagram
16. 16
Economic Statistics
Frequency Distribution: Qualitative Data
A Frequency Distribution is a tabular
summary of data showing the number
(frequency) of items in each of several
nonoverlapping classes
19. 19
Economic Statistics
Relative Frequency Distribution
A Relative Frequency distribution is tabular summary
of data showing the relative frequency for each class
Relative Frequency =
Frequency of the Class
n
n = number of observations
Percent Frequency Distribution
A percent frequency distribution is a tabular summary
of data showing the percent frequency for each class.
20. 20
Economic Statistics
Frequency Distribution of Softdrink Purchases
Relative Percent
Softdrink Frequency Frequency
Coke Classic 0.38 38
Diet Coke 0.16 16
Dr. Pepper 0.10 10
Pepsi-Cola 0.26 26
Sprite 0.10 10
Total 1.00 100
n = 50
21. 21
Economic Statistics
A bar graph is a graphical device depicting data that
have been summarized in a frequency, relative
frequency, or percent frequency distribution.
The pie chart is a graphical device for presenting
relative frequency and percent frequency
distributions.
24. 24
Economic Statistics
Sex Number Percent
Male 45 39.13
Female 70 60.87
Total 115 100
Frequency Distribution of Students According to Sex
25. 25
Economic Statistics
Nutritional status Number Percent
Normal 30 40
1
st
degree malnourished 20 26.7
2nd
degree malnourished 15 20
3
rd
degree malnourished 10 13.3
Total 75 100
Frequency Distribution of Children by Nutritional Status
26. 26
Economic Statistics
Frequency Distribution: Quantitative Data
1. Determine the number of nonoverlapping
classes.
2. Determine the width of each class.
3. Determine the class limits.
27. 27
Economic Statistics
Number of Classes: Five or six classes
Width of the Classes
Approximate Class Width =
Largest Data Value – Smallest Data Value
Number of Classes
Class Limits:
The lower class limit identifies the smallest possible data
value assigned to the class.
The upper class limit identifies the largest possible data value
assigned to the class.
31. 31
Economic Statistics
Audits Time (days) Relative Percentage Frequency
10-14 .20 20
15-19 .40 40
20-24 .25 25
25-29 .10 10
30-34 .05 5
Total 1.00 100
Relative and Percent Frequency Distributions for the Audit-Time Data
n = 20
32. 32
Economic Statistics
Cumulative Frequency Distribution shows the number
of data items with values less than or equal to the
upper class limit of each class.
Cumulative Relative Frequency distribution shows the
proportion of data items with values less than or
equal to the upper class limit of each class.
Cumulative Percent Frequency distribution shows the
percentage of data items with values less than or
equal to the upper class limit of each class.
33. 33
Economic Statistics
Cumulative Frequency Distribution
Audits Time (days) Cumulative Cumulative Relative Cumulative Percent
Frequency Frequency Frequency
Less than or equal to 14 4 0.20 20
Less than or equal to 19 12 0.60 60
Less than or equal to 24 17 0.85 85
Less than or equal to 29 19 0.95 95
Less than or equal to 34 20 1.00 100
Cumulative Frequency, Cumulative Relative Frequency, and Cumulative
Percent Frequency Distributions for the Audit-Time Data
38. Summation Notation
S = sum of; X is a variable such as
family income
Then total family income across N
observations is
=
=
N
i
Ni XXXX1
21 ...
39. Summation Notation
Summation of a constant times a
variable is equal to the constant times
the summation of that variable:
=
=
N
i
Ni kXkXkXXk 1
21 ...
40. Summation Notation
Summation of the sum of observations
on two variables is equal to the sum of
their summations:
===
=
N
i
i
N
i
i
N
i
ii YXYX 111
)(
42. 42
Economic Statistics
Measures of Central Tendency: Mean, Median and
Mode
The mean is the average of all values. It is useful in analyzing
interval and ratio data. The mean is derived by adding all the
values and dividing the sum by the number of cases.
Example: Achievement can be measured by a score in a 100 item
test. Scores of 15 students in the test
82 83 85 87 87 88 90 91 93 93 94 95 95 95 96
Mean = Sum of 82 + 83 + 85 + 87…96 = 1266/15 = 84.4
43. 43
Economic Statistics
The median is the value in the middle when the data are arranged
from highest to lowest.
For example:
Scores: 82 83 85 87 87 88 90 91 93 93 94 95 95 95 96
Note: For an odd number of observations, the median is the middle
value. For an even number of observations, the median s the
average of the two middle values.
Scores: 82 83 85 87 87 88 90 91 93 93 94 95 95 95 96 98
44. 44
Economic Statistics
The mode is the most frequently occurring in a
set of figures or value that occurs with greatest
frequency.
Example. 82 83 85 87 87 88 90 90 90 91 93 93
96 97 97
45. 45
Economic Statistics
Describing the Variance in the data
(Univariate)
The range is a simple measure of variation calculated as
the highest value in a distribution, minus the lowest value
plus 1.
Example: 82 83 85 87 87 88 90 90 90 91 93 93 96 97 97
Range = highest value – Lowest value
97 - 82 = 15
46. 46
Economic Statistics
Variance
The variance is a measure of variability that utilizes
all the data. The variance is based on the difference
between the value of each observation (xi) and the
mean. The difference between each xi and the mean
(x for a sample , u for a population) is called a
deviation about the mean.
48. 48
Economic Statistics
Number of Students Mean Class Size Deviation About Squared Deviation
in Class the Mean About the Mean
46 44 2 4
54 44 10 100
42 44 -2 4
46 44 2 4
32 44 -12 144
0 256
Computation of Deviations and Squared Deviations About the Mean for the
Class-Size Data
64
4
256
1
2
2
==
=
n
xx
s
i
xxi 2
xxi
49. 49
Economic Statistics
Standard Deviation
The standard deviation is defined as the positive square root of
the variance .The standard deviation is easier to interpret than
the variance because standard deviation is measured in the
same units as the data.
2
ss =
2
=
Sample Standard Deviation
Population Standard Deviation
50. 50
Economic Statistics
Number of Students Mean Class Size Deviation About Squared Deviation
in Class the Mean About the Mean
46 44 2 4
54 44 10 100
42 44 -2 4
46 44 2 4
32 44 -12 144
0 256
64
4
256
1
2
2
==
=
n
xx
s
i
xxi 2
xxi
864 ==s
51. 51
Economic Statistics
The coefficient of variation is a relative measure
of variability; it measures the standard deviation
relative to the mean. It is computed as follows
100
Mean
DeviationStandard
x
100x
x
s
52. 52
Economic Statistics
Number of Students Mean Class Size Deviation About Squared Deviation
in Class the Mean About the Mean
46 44 2 4
54 44 10 100
42 44 -2 4
46 44 2 4
32 44 -12 144
0 256
64
4
256
1
2
2
==
=
n
xx
s
i
xxi 2
xxi
2.18100
44
8
100 == xx
x
s
53. 53
Economic Statistics
The z-score is often called the standardized value.
The standardized value or z-score, zi can be
interpreted as the number of standard deviation xi is
from the mean x. The z-score for any observation
can be interpreted as a measure of the relative
location of the observation in a data set.
s
xx
z i
i
=
54. 54
Economic Statistics
Z-Scores for the Class-Size Data
Number of Students in Class Deviation about the Mean z-score
46 2 2/8 = 0 .25
54 10 10/8 = 1.25
42 -2 -2/8 = -0.25
46 2 2/8 = 0.25
32 -12 -12/8 = -1.50
s
xx
z i
i
=
55. Economic Statistics
12 14 19 18
15 15 18 17
20 27 22 23
22 21 33 28
14 18 16 13
Audit Times (In Days)
n
x xi= = 19.3
56. Economic Statistics
Audit Time Frequency
10-14 4
15-19 8
20-24 5
25-29 2
30-34 1
Total 20
Frequency Distribution for the Audit-time Data
57. Economic Statistics
Sample Mean for Grouped Data
n
Mf
x
ii=
Mi = the midpoint for class i
fi = the frequency for class i
n = Sfi = the sample size
58. Economic Statistics
Audit Time Class Midpoint Frequency
(Days) Mi fi fiMi
10-14 12 4 48
15-19 17 8 136
20-24 22 5 110
25-29 27 2 54
30-34 32 1 32
Total 20 380
days19
20
380
===
n
Mf
x
ii
60. Economic Statistics
Among the measures of central tendency discussed, the
mean is by far the most widely used.
The mean is not appropriate for highly skewed distributions
and is less efficient than other measures of central tendency
when extreme scores are possible.
The geometric mean is a viable alternative if all the scores
are positive and the distribution has a positive skew.
61. Economic Statistics
A distribution is skewed if one of its tails is longer than
the other.
This distribution has a positive skew. This means that
it has a long tail in the positive direction. Distributions
with positive skew are sometimes called "skewed to
the right”.
62. Economic Statistics
The distribution below has a negative skew since it
has a long tail in the negative directions,so it is
“skewed to the left.
72. 72
Economic Statistics
Scartter Diagram for the Stereo and Sound Equiptment Store
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
No. of Commercials
SalesVolume
II I
III IV
3
51
77. Economic Statistics
Spearman rho (p)
Applicable to some research studies in which the data consist of
ranks or the raw scores can be converted to ranking. Spearman
rho is a special case of the Pearson r because rankings are
ordinal data.
rankspairedebetween thdifferenced
rankspairedofnumbern
where
1
6
1 2
2
=
=
=
nn
d
79. Economic Statistics
Size of Correlation Interpretation
0.90 to 1.00 (-0.90 to -1.00) Very high positive (negative) correlation
0.70 to 0.90 (-0.70 to -0.90) High positive (negative) correlation
0.50 to 0.70 (-0.50 to -0.70) Moderate positive (negative) correlation
0.30 to 0.50 (-0.30 to -0.50) Low positive (negative) correlation
0.00 to 0.30 (-0.00 to -0.30) Little if any correlation
Rule of Thumb for Interpreting the Size of a Correlation Coefficient
A correlation coefficient can take on values between –1.0 and +1.0,
inclusive. The sign indicates the direction of the relationship. A plus
indicates that the relationship is positive; a minus sign indicates that the
relationship is negative. The absolute value of the coefficient indicates
the magnitude of the relationship.
80. Economic Statistics
Variable X Variable Y
Pearson r Interval/Ratio
Number of Commercial
Salary
Interval/Ratio
Sales
Years of Schooling
Spearman (p) Ordinal (Ranking) Ordinal (Ranking)
Point-Biserial Nominal (Dichotomous)
Gender
Interval/Ratio
Test Scores
Phi (Φ) Nominal (Dichotomous)
Gender
Gender
Nominal (Dichotomous)
Political Party Affiliation
Issues
Rank-Biserial Nominal (Dichotomous)
Marital Status
Ordinal
Socio-economic Status
Lambda (λ) Nominal (more than two
classification levels)
Level of Education
Nominal (more than two
classification levels)
Occupational Choice
Matrix Showing Correlation Coefficients Appropriate for Scales of Measurement for
Variable X and Variable Y
82. Economic Statistics
Subject Item Score Test Score
(X) (Y)
A 1 10
B 1 12
C 1 16
D 1 10
E 1 11
F 0 7
G 0 6
H 0 11
I 0 8
J 0 5
5 96
X = nominal data with two classification levels (a dichotomous variable). Assignment of value 1 to correct
response to item 1 of the 20-item test and value 0 to an incorrect response.
Y = data on the total test scores for ten students
Need to correlate success on one item of a test (the dichotomy—either right or wrong) with total score on
the test.
Data for Calculating the Point-Biserial Correlation Coefficient
83. Economic StatisticsThe point-biserial correlation coefficient
=1Y mean of the Y scores for those individuals with X scores equal to 1
0Y = mean of the Y scores for those individuals with X scores equal to 0
ys = standard deviation of all Y scores
p = proportion of individuals with an X score of 1
q = proportion of individuals with an X score of 0
pq
s
YY
r
y
pb
01
=
The resulting correlation coefficient is the index of the relationship between
performance on one test item and performance on the test as a whole.
84. Economic Statistics
50.050.0
07.3
40.780.11
=pbr = 0.716
Subjects scoring high on the total test tended to answer item 1 correctly and
those with lower scores tended to answer the item 1 incorrectly.
85. Economic Statistics
Person Gender Political Affiliation
(X) (Y)
A 1 1
B 1 1
C 1 0
D 1 1
E 1 1
F 0 0
G 0 1
H 0 1
I 0 0
J 0 0
5 6
1 = FEMALE 1 = PRO-ADMIN
0 = MALE 0 = ANTI-ADMIN
Data for Calculating the Phi (Φ) Coefficient
X and Y are nominal
dichotomous variables
86. Economic Statistics
Gender
Male (0) Female (1) Totals
Political affiliation Pro-Admin (1) 2 4 6
Anti-Admin (0) 3 1 4
Totals 5 5 10
Variable X
0 1 Totals
Variable Y 1 A B A + B
0 C D C + D
Totals A + C B + D N
DBCADCBA
ADBC
=
•Phi (Φ) coefficient
2x2 Contingency Table for Computing the Phi (Φ) Coefficient
87. Economic Statistics
14321342
1234
= = 0.408
This coefficient indicates that there is a low positive relationship between
gender and political affiliation. Females tend to be pro-admin and males tend
to be anti-admin.
This direction is evidenced by the positive correlation, which indicates that
scores of 1 tend to be associated with scores of 1 (1 = female, pro-admin) and
zeros (0 = male, anti-admin)
88. Economic Statistics
Less HS Some College Graduate Total
than HS Graduate College Graduate Degree
Laborer/Farmers 347 128 84 37 5 601
Skilled Crafts 164 277 103 43 36 623
Sales/Clerical 30 77 217 147 80 551
Professional/Managerial 2 34 82 198 267 583
Total 543 516 486 425 388 2358
Data for Determining the Relationship Between Level of Education and Occupational Choice
Lambda (λ) coefficient
mm
j
j
I
I
mmimmj
nnn
nnnn
= =
=
2
1 1
nmj = largest frequency in the jth column
nim = largest frequency in the ith row
nm+ = largest marginal row total
n+m = largest marginal column total
n = number of observation
89. Economic Statistics
=
==
j
j
mjn
1
1306267198217277347
=
==
j
j
imn
1
1108267217277347
nm+ = 623
n+m = 543
n = 2358
543623)2358(2
54362311081306
= = 0.394
There is a moderate relationship between level of education and occupational
choice. Based on the data, those individuals with more education tend to have
sales/clerical or professional/ managerial positions, where as those with less
education tend to have laborer/farmer or skilled-crafts positions.
90. Economic Statistics
Person Immigrating Rank of Socio-
Generation (X) economic Status (Y)
A 1 1
B 1 2
C 1 3
D 0 4
E 0 5
F 1 6
G 1 7
H 0 8
I 1 9
J 0 10
K 0 11
L 0 12
Data for Calculating the Rank-Biserial Correlation Coefficient
Need to know the relationship between the fact that an individual is at least a
second-generation American (X) and socio-economic status (Y).
The X variable (immigration status) is considered a nominal dichotomy ( 0 = less
than second generation; 1 = second generation or greater). The data for the Y
variable (socio-economic status) are ranked with 1 = highest value; 2 = next highest
status; and so on.
91. Economic Statistics
Rank-Biserial Correlation Coefficient
01
2
YY
n
rrb =
n = number of observations
1Y = mean rank for individuals with X scores equal to 1
2Y = mean rank for individuals with scores equal to 0
93. Economic Statistics
Aside from Spearman rank correlation, there are correlations that are
applied to two ordinal kinds of variables. These correlation coefficients are
distribution free and are usually applied to the ranks of the two variables.
Examples are the Gamma and the Kendal.
94. Economic Statistics
Goodman and Kruskal Gamma
The Gamma is a simple symmetric correlation. It does not correct for tied ranks.
It is one of many indicators of monotonicity that may be applied. Monotonicity
is measured by the proportion of concordant changes from one value in one
variable to paired values in the other variable.
Concordance (C)--when the change in one variable is positive and the
corresponding change in the other variable is also positive.
Discordance (D) --when the change in one variable is positive and the
corresponding change in the other variable is negative.
95. Economic Statistics
Kendall's Tau a
The number of concordances minus the number of discordances is compared
to the total number of pairs, n(n-1)/2.