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38th TWNIC OPM: IPv6 deployment update

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38th TWNIC OPM: IPv6 deployment update

  1. 1. 1 IPv6 deployment update TWNIC 38th OPM IPv6 SIG 1 December 2022 George Kuo
  2. 2. 2 APNIC Asia Pacific Network Information Centre
  3. 3. 3 The Internet Registry for Asia Pacific 3 “A global, open, stable and secure Internet” IP addresses and AS numbers
  4. 4. 4 Delegating IPv6
  5. 5. 5 From the beginning
  6. 6. 6 A decade later
  7. 7. 7 Where we are now Allocated IPv6 and holding ratio
  8. 8. 8 A predictable IPv4 future (then)
  9. 9. 9 The inevitable exhaustion
  10. 10. 10 The evolving IPv6 policies On the other hand…
  11. 11. 11 IPv6 policy proposals Year Proposals implemented 2004 prop-016: IPv6 allocations to IPv4 networks prop-021: Expansion of the initial allocation space for existing IPv6 address space holders 2005 prop-031: Proposal to amend APNIC IPv6 assignment and utilisation requirement policy 2006 prop-033: End site assignment policy for IPv6 prop-035: IPv6 portable assignment for multihoming prop-041: IPv6 assignment size to critical infrastructure 2008 prop-057: Proposal to change IPv6 initial allocation criteria (removing 200 assignments) 2009 prop-073: Simplifying allocation/assignment of IPv6 to APNIC members with existing IPv4 addresses 2010 prop-082: Removing aggregation criteria for IPv6 initial allocations prop-083: Alternative criteria for subsequent IPv6 allocations 2012 prop-101: Removing multihoming requirement for IPv6 portable assignments 2017 prop-122: Updating “Subsequent IPv6 allocation” policy prop-121: Updating “Initial IPv6 allocation” policy
  12. 12. 12 Prop-057 A plan for making 200 assignments!
  13. 13. 13 Measuring IPv6 deployment
  14. 14. 14 14 APNIC Labs • Routing • Security • DNS • Policy • IP addresses • Measurements Geoff Huston, APNIC Chief Scientist
  15. 15. 15 Story of the measurement RIPE 56 – IPv6 plenary https://meetings.ripe.net/ripe-56/videos/plenary-7.mp4
  16. 16. 16 How APNIC measures IPv6 https://conference.apnic.net/44/assets/files/APCS549/Measuring-IPv6-using-Ad-based-Measurement.pdf
  17. 17. 17 The transition to IPv6 in progress
  18. 18. 18 The World average is around 32%
  19. 19. 19 19 World by regions • IPv6 deployment is not equalized worldwide • Within regions there are a mixture of high and low intensity IPv6 Economies • No single factor accounts for IPv6 uptake at this time
  20. 20. 20 The world by regions • South Asia continues to be the highest IPv6 penetration worldwide – Followed by US & Canada and Western Europe • By population most IPv6 is in Asia Region IPv6 Capable % total % Cumulative Eastern Asia, Asia 18.98% 23.68% 23.68% Southern Asia, Asia 64.43% 18.43% 42.11% South-Eastern Asia, Asia 27.80% 8.67% 50.78% South America, Americas 29.04% 7.60% 58.38% Northern America, Americas 51.06% 6.77% 65.15% Eastern Europe, Europe 12.12% 5.31% 70.46% Western Asia, Asia 15.49% 5.20% 75.66% Western Europe, Europe 54.84% 3.91% 79.58% Northern Africa, Africa 1.78% 3.22% 82.80% Western Africa, Africa 0.70% 2.99% 85.79% Central America, Americas 41.12% 2.72% 88.51% Southern Europe, Europe 11.06% 2.65% 91.16% Eastern Africa, Africa 1.56% 2.50% 93.65% Northern Europe, Europe 36.32% 2.36% 96.01% Central Asia, Asia 2.75% 1.05% 97.06% Southern Africa, Africa 3.55% 0.93% 97.99% Middle Africa, Africa 1.76% 0.73% 98.72% Australia & New Zealand, Oceania 38.24% 0.65% 99.36% Caribbean, Americas 6.93% 0.56% 99.93% Melanesia, Oceania 2.37% 0.06% 100.00%
  21. 21. 21 21 CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % BL 86.16% IN 79.16% BE 66.95% MY 61.82% SA 61.68% DE 60.34% MS 57.05% FR 56.67% GR 55.00% UY 54.49% US 53.44% IL 52.85% LK 52.24% MM 52.22% VN 51.84% FI 51.41% LU 49.18% TW 49.10% JP 48.83% AE 48.04% MX 48.03% HU 46.57% GB 45.96% AX 45.59% NL 45.33% TH 45.29% AU 41.01% PT 39.52% EE 38.87% BR 38.08% CH 37.64% CA 36.17% GT 35.96% PR 34.80% AT 34.60% SG 33.83% NP 33.60% World Average is 32% CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % CC % PY 29.85% SX 27.94% PE 26.69% NZ 25.68% TG 25.31% RO 25.25% CO 25.00% TT 24.99% IE 24.24% NO 24.10% MO 23.87% EC 22.01% GA 20.32% SR 20.04% AR 19.72% CZ 19.51% LI 19.27% NI 18.59% KW 18.48% BT 18.09% PL 17.73% OM 17.09% PH 16.51% KR 16.35% BO 16.01% CL 15.93% JO 15.63% BM 15.20% LV 14.02% SI 13.89% CG 13.18% GY 12.84% CN 12.61% MF 12.58% BY 12.46% GE 11.77% LC 11.43% IS 11.25% MD 11.02% JM 10.43% RW 10.43% ZW 10.33% SE 10.31% SK 10.09% SV 10.05% RE 9.84% PF 9.11% BG 8.83% KZ 8.17% DK 7.93% VG 7.23% BA 7.09% AL 7.05% IT 6.88% BZ 6.71% AM 6.71% UA 6.54% HR 6.50% RU 6.43% RS 6.41% ID 5.70% HN 5.66% KE 5.37% VC 5.26% GD 4.88% ES 4.13% CR 4.04% ZA 4.01% PG 4.01% EG 3.99% BF 3.70% PK 3.66% GP 3.51% SC 3.22% DO 2.50% BD 1.90% MQ 1.69% TR 1.48% CD 1.45% MC 1.41% PA 1.40% NC 1.39% LB 1.28% CW 1.18% HK 1.15% State of the world: November 2022
  22. 22. 22 22 The AP region continues to dominate • From 56 APNIC Economies, in 2018 4 were above average, 7 average and 2 below average: – 23% of the region’s economies had visible IPv6 capability above 1% • In 2022, 9 Economies are above average, 10 average and 6 significantly below average, for a total of 25 from 56. – 44% of the region’s economies are now visible in IPv6 capability above 1%
  23. 23. 23 Asia • Significant population of IPv6 – The majority of IPv6 worldwide by population is in Asia – Highly dominated by India, but with large deployments including Viet Nam, Thailand, Malaysia, Japan
  24. 24. 24 24 The World, Asia and APNIC Economies 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 100.00% 2014-01-01 2015-01-01 2016-01-01 2017-01-01 2018-01-01 2019-01-01 2020-01-01 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 % IPv6 Capable Date The World Asia South Asia South East Asia East Asia Oceania Melanesia Micronesia Polynesia APNIC Economies
  25. 25. 25 India ASN AS Name IPv6 Capable % total % Cumulative AS55836 RELIANCEJIO-IN Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited 97.83% 47.88% 47.88% AS45609 BHARTI-MOBILITY-AS-AP Bharti Airtel Ltd. AS for GPRS Service 89.26% 25.43% 73.31% AS38266 VODAFONE-IN Vodafone India Ltd. 82.34% 5.86% 79.17% AS45271 ICLNET-AS-AP Idea Cellular Limited 81.35% 4.09% 83.26% AS24560 AIRTELBROADBAND-AS-AP Bharti Airtel Ltd., Telemedia Services 44.29% 3.00% 86.26% AS9829 BSNL-NIB National Internet Backbone 0.48% 2.30% 88.57% AS24309 CABLELITE-AS-AP Atria Convergence Technologies Pvt. Ltd. Broadband Internet 10.12% 0.66% 89.23% AS17488 HATHWAY-NET-AP Hathway IP Over Cable Internet 0.33% 0.55% 89.78% AS133982 EXCITEL-AS-IN Excitel Broadband Private Limited 0.30% 0.51% 90.30% AS45916 GTPL-AS-AP Gujarat Telelink Pvt Ltd 0.34% 0.45% 90.75% AS138754 KVBPL-AS-IN Kerala Vision Broad Band Private Limited 7.58% 0.42% 91.17% AS24186 RAILTEL-AS-IN RailTel Corporation of India Ltd 0.69% 0.35% 91.52% AS23860 ALLIANCE-GATEWAY-AS-AP Alliance Broadband Services Pvt. Ltd. 0.21% 0.33% 91.85% AS18209 BEAMTELE-AS-AP Atria Convergence Technologies pvt ltd 10.26% 0.30% 92.15% AS55577 BEAMTELE-AS-AP Atria Convergence Technologies pvt ltd 17.48% 0.28% 92.43% AS133661 NETPLUS-AS Netplus Broadband Services Private Limited 0.46% 0.26% 92.68% AS17465 ASIANET Cable ISP in India 0.40% 0.23% 92.92% AS17665 ONEBROADBAND ONEOTT INTERTAINMENT LIMITED 1.63% 0.22% 93.13% AS133287 APSFL-AS Andhra Pradesh State FiberNet Limited 0.14% 0.17% 93.31% AS17747 SITINETWORS-IN-AP SITI NETWORKS LIMITED 0.20% 0.15% 93.46% • High uptake by 5 market dominant ISPs • Clear signs of a market reaction to the initial Jio deployment. • 86% of the market in India is now IPv6 enabled
  26. 26. 26 India’s top 5 ASN 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 100.00% 2014-01-01 2015-01-01 2016-01-01 2017-01-01 2018-01-01 2019-01-01 2020-01-01 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 % IPv6 Capable Date India Reliance/Jio Bharti Airtel Vodafone ICL Bharti Telemedia
  27. 27. 27 Viet Nam ASN AS Name IPv6 Capable % total % Cumulative AS7552 VIETEL-AS-AP Viettel Group 59.75% 37.39% 37.39% AS45899 VNPT-AS-VN VNPT Corp 41.47% 33.44% 70.83% AS18403 FPT-AS-AP FPT Telecom Company 53.18% 18.66% 89.49% AS131429 MOBIFONE-AS-VN MOBIFONE Corporation 75.54% 4.83% 94.32% rest all the rest 5.68% 100.00% • All significant ASNs in Viet Nam are now IPv6 enabled • Deployment continues across the economy at a slower intensity after initial launch 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 2 0 1 4 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 5 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 6 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 7 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 8 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 9 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 2 0 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 2 1 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 2 2 - 0 1 - 0 1 % IPv6 Capable Date
  28. 28. 28 Thailand ASN AS Name IPv6 Capable % total % Cumulative AS17552 TRUEONLINE-AS-AP True Online 67.97% 18.51% 18.51% AS131445 AIS3G-2100-AS-AP Advance Wireless Network 93.83% 17.55% 36.05% AS45629 JASTEL-NETWORK-TH-AP JasTel Network International Gateway 57.03% 13.39% 49.45% AS133481 AIS-FIBRE-AS-AP AIS Fibre 65.33% 12.88% 62.32% AS24378 ENGTAC-AS-TH-AP Total Access Communication PLC. 0.08% 9.86% 72.18% AS132061 REALMOVE-AS-AP Realmove Company Limited 0.09% 9.83% 82.02% AS23969 TOT-NET TOT Public Company Limited 0.22% 7.85% 89.87% AS132618 REALFUTURE-AS-AP Real Future Company Limited 0.06% 4.07% 93.94% AS7470 TRUEINTERNET-AS-AP TRUE INTERNET Co.,Ltd. 0.87% 1.32% 95.26% rest all the rest 4.74% 100.00% • Half of the dominant ASN have significant IPv6 deployment • Pace has been steady since launch 0.00% 20.00% 40.00% 60.00% 80.00% 100.00% 2 0 1 4 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 5 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 6 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 7 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 8 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 9 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 2 0 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 2 1 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 2 2 - 0 1 - 0 1 % IPv6 Capable Date
  29. 29. 29 Malaysia ASN AS Name IPv6 Capable % total % Cumulative AS17552 TRUEONLINE-AS-AP True Online 67.97% 18.51% 18.51% AS131445 AIS3G-2100-AS-AP Advance Wireless Network 93.83% 17.55% 36.05% AS45629 JASTEL-NETWORK-TH-AP JasTel Network International Gateway 57.03% 13.39% 49.45% AS133481 AIS-FIBRE-AS-AP AIS Fibre 65.33% 12.88% 62.32% AS24378 ENGTAC-AS-TH-AP Total Access Communication PLC. 0.08% 9.86% 72.18% AS132061 REALMOVE-AS-AP Realmove Company Limited 0.09% 9.83% 82.02% AS23969 TOT-NET TOT Public Company Limited 0.22% 7.85% 89.87% AS132618 REALFUTURE-AS-AP Real Future Company Limited 0.06% 4.07% 93.94% AS7470 TRUEINTERNET-AS-AP TRUE INTERNET Co.,Ltd. 0.87% 1.32% 95.26% rest all the rest 4.74% 100.00% 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 100.00% 2 0 1 4 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 5 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 6 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 7 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 8 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 9 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 2 0 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 2 1 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 2 2 - 0 1 - 0 1 % IPv6 Capable Date • Half the top 9 of the market have deployed IPv6 at scale
  30. 30. 30 30 China top 5 by sample volume 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 100.00% 2014-01-01 2015-01-01 2016-01-01 2017-01-01 2018-01-01 2019-01-01 2020-01-01 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 % IPv6 Capable Date China Chinanet Unicom Backbone China Mobile China Telecom Unicom Beijing
  31. 31. 31 31 China has moved at scale (slowly) • Until mid-late 2018 China did not show any real adoption • Since mid 2018 we see signs across all the major ISPs of IPv6 adoption – There are possibilities the mechanisms used by APNIC, Akamai and Google do not entirely reflect adoption levels inside China, some ISPs report significantly higher deployment at scale • China has good targets in state planning – Trend is upward but pace is low
  32. 32. 32 Japan ASN AS Name IPv6 Capable % total % Cumulative AS2516 KDDI KDDI CORPORATION 80.87% 18.93% 18.93% AS17676 GIGAINFRA Softbank BB Corp. 57.80% 17.72% 36.65% AS4713 OCN NTT Communications Corporation 57.32% 13.57% 50.22% AS9605 DOCOMO NTT DOCOMO, INC. 22.15% 7.14% 57.36% AS9824 JTCL-JP-AS JCOM Co., Ltd. 0.78% 4.05% 61.41% AS2527 SO-NET Sony Network Communications Inc. 66.97% 4.02% 65.43% AS17511 OPTAGE OPTAGE Inc. 49.83% 3.47% 68.90% AS2518 BIGLOBE BIGLOBE Inc. 74.31% 3.34% 72.24% AS2519 VECTANT ARTERIA Networks Corporation 43.80% 1.86% 74.10% AS18126 CTCX Chubu Telecommunications Company, Inc. 69.08% 1.74% 75.85% • Over half the top-10 ASN at scale have deployed IPv6 • Pace is slow but steady 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 100.00% 2 0 1 4 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 5 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 6 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 7 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 8 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 1 9 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 2 0 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 2 1 - 0 1 - 0 1 2 0 2 2 - 0 1 - 0 1 % IPv6 Capable Date
  33. 33. 33 33 Japan 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 100.00% 2014-01-01 2015-01-01 2016-01-01 2017-01-01 2018-01-01 2019-01-01 2020-01-01 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 % IPv6 Capable Date Japan KDDI Softbank OCN NTT NTT Docomo JCom Sony Optage Biglobe
  34. 34. 34 34 Taiwan IPv6 in context 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 100.00% 2014-01-01 2015-01-01 2016-01-01 2017-01-01 2018-01-01 2019-01-01 2020-01-01 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 % IPv6 Capable Date World APNIC Economies China India Taiwan
  35. 35. 35 35 Taiwan top 6 by sample volume 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 100.00% 2014-01-01 2015-01-01 2016-01-01 2017-01-01 2018-01-01 2019-01-01 2020-01-01 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 % IPv6 Capable Date Taiwan Hinet EMome Far EastTone Taiwan Mobile Taiwan Star (Vibo) Taiwan Fixed Network
  36. 36. 36 36 Taiwan continues to grow at scale • An initial surge in 2019 has continued at slower pace • Some significant carriers still don’t show high deployment • Some markets may be reaching saturation until the next significant re-capitalization replaces IPv4 only equipment (CPE?)
  37. 37. 37 37 Observations • There has been significant progress since 2018 which appears to be continuing • APNIC region is dominant in IPv6 deployment at scale by population and % capability – Rising from 52% in 2018 to 66% in 2022 – Higher economy count, deeper participation per economy • The deployment is not equally spread into all economies – The variances continue to be very confusing: its not about being a developed, or developing economy, or size, or amount of ASN diversity – It may be more about cost of capital and willingness to invest • Some significant telcos are not deploying at all
  38. 38. 38 For more information, visit • https://rex.apnic.net/ and • https://stats.labs.apnic.net/ipv6/ • REx is about “everyone” –aggregates by Economy & the AP Region – We’re expanding service to cover global statistics – We’re looking into including more datasets from APNIC Labs • RPKI, DNSSEC • https://blog.apnic.net/2022/05/04/the- transition-to-ipv6-are-we-there-yet/
  39. 39. 39 39 Calling for your participation • Learn IPv6 – Build technical capacity • Discuss IPv6 – Share technical experience • Speak IPv6 – Deploy IPv6 in your network • Debate IPv6 – Engage in the policy development • Celebrate IPv6 – Connect with the Internet community
  40. 40. 40 40 Thank you!

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