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Political and economic revolutions on the Nile:
            when water mix with fire

                                         Ana Elisa Cascão, SIWI
                                   Presentation to DIIS Seminar,
                                                 19 March 2013
The stage
Multiple changes in the Nile Basin region

Political and Economic revolutions




                                             2
... a revolution
... an independence and a new state
... double-digit economic growth figures
... increasing demands for food and energy
... new infrastructures,
including large-scale dams
... new large-scale land deals
Impact of the political-economic changes in
transboundary water management/cooperation


               Transboundary Management/Allocation
               • National development first
               • Water enough to all developments?
               • Transboundary impacts?

               Transboundary Cooperation
               • NBI: Transitional institutional framework
               • Lack of basin-wide legal agreement
               • ≠ ’Languages’ and Timing
’Industrial’ revolution time
Agenda:
• National economic development on top
• ’Growth’ is the slogan
• Race for natural resources
• Political benefits outweight financial/social/
  environmental costs
• Perception of risk decreased

Challenges:
• Limited regional perspective (on water)
• New financiers and financial ’contracts’
• New ways of interacting with external actors
Regional growth corridors (including water?)


                          • Roads
                          • Railways
                          • Trade
                          • Oil pipelines
                          • Power
                            transmission lines
                          • Etc...

                          Why not water?
Who is financing development(s)?
            Who is financing cooperation?




...and several private companies from US/EU
                                                  ... and the Nile riparians countries themselves
... and the Nile riparians countries themselves
Recommendations to ’donors’...
’Right to Development’:
       Yes or Not?




Thanks for your attention!
  ana.cascao@siwi.org

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