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STATE PROFILES – GOA
ECONOMIC CHALLENGE FOR CHIEF MINISTERS IN 2012



                               Achieving Fiscal
                                  Stability




                              Enhancing State
                              Competitiveness

 • Competitiveness is the only way to achieve sustainable job growth, improving
   incomes and stable public finances
 • Creating a clear economic strategy for the state that engages all stakeholders is
   even more important in times of budget cutting and austerity
HIERARCHY OF MEASUREMENT OF STATE COMPETITIVENESS INDEX




                                  4 Major
                                   Pillars




                               12 Sub Indices




                               350* Indicators




* Approximate figure
STAGES OF THE ECONOMY




                                        Innovation Driven Economies (Per capita GDP 900 to
City States (Per capita GDP>1300 USD)   1300 USD)




                                        Transition Economies (Per capita GDP 800 to 900 USD)




                                        Investment Driven Economies (Per capita GDP 500 to
                                        800 USD)



                                        Evolving / Changeover Economies (Per capita GDP 400
                                        to 500 USD)




                                        Factor Driven Economies(Per capita GDP < 400 USD)
STATES ACCORDING TO CATEGORIZATION
                                                                           Microeconomic Competitiveness
      Categorization
                                                                           Ranks
      City States (Per capita Incomes >1300 USD)
      Delhi                                                                                 1
      Goa                                                                                   2
      Innovation Driven Economies (Per capita Incomes 900 to1300 USD)
      Haryana                                                                               1
      Maharashtra                                                                           2
      Gujarat                                                                               3
      Kerala                                                                                4
      Transition Economies (Per capita Incomes 800 to 900 USD)
      Punjab                                                                                1
      Tamil Nadu                                                                            2
      Himachal Pradesh                                                                      3
      Investment Driven Economies (Per capita Incomes 500 to 800 USD)
      Andhra Pradesh                                                                        1
      Karnataka                                                                             2
      Uttarakhand                                                                           3
      West Bengal                                                                           4
      Chhattisgarh                                                                          5
      Sikkim                                                                                6
      Mizoram                                                                               7
      Meghalaya                                                                             8
      Arunachal Pradesh                                                                     9
      Tripura                                                                              10
      Evolving/ Changeover Economies (Per capita Incomes 400 to 500 USD)
      Rajasthan                                                                             1
      Jharkhand                                                                             2
      Orissa                                                                                3
      Jammu and Kashmir                                                                     4
      Factor Driven Economies(Per capita Incomes < 500 USD)
      Bihar                                                                                 1
      Madhya Pradesh                                                                        2
      Assam                                                                                 3
      Uttar Pradesh                                                                         4
      Manipur                                                                               5
      Nagaland                                                                              6

  Source: Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
NEAR TERM STATE PROSPERITY PERFORMANCE
                                                                9
Gross Domestic Product per Capita real growth rate, 2008-2011


                                                                                                                                                                     Haryana
                                                                        Low but rising versus India           Chhattisgarh
                                                                                                                                                                                      Highly Productive and Prosperity
                                                                                Bihar                                                                                                 Rising versus India
                                                                                                                                                   Maharashtra
                                                                8
                                                                                                                                Himachal Pradesh
                                                                                        Uttar Pradesh
                                                                                                                    Andhra Pradesh

                                                                                                          Orissa
                                                                7                                                       Karnataka         Punjab
                                                                                                                       Sikkim
                                                                                                                  Uttarakhand
                                                                                                     Arunachal Pradesh               Kerala
                                                                                                  Assam                                    Gujarat
                                                                                                    Rajasthan
                                                                                                          Tripura
                                                                6                                                            Tamil Nadu                                                                       Goa




                                                                                                                                                                               Points
                                                                                                                                                                               Index
                                                                                                                                                                               57.28
                                                                                                                                                                               Average
                                                                                                                                                                               All India
                                                                                                            West Bengal
                                                                                                          Meghalaya                                                            All India GSDP
                                                                                                                                                                                       Delhi

                                                                                             Jharkhand                                                                         /Capita rate
                                                                                                          Mizoram
                                                                                                                                                                               (CAGR) of 6.27 %
                                                                5
                                                                                           Manipur
                                                                                        Madhya Jammu & Kashmir
                                                                                               Pradesh


                                                                                                                                 All India Average
                                                                4
                                                                                              Nagaland                           of 47,998
                                                                        Low and declining versus India                           Rupees/capita
                                                                                                                                                                                       High but declining versus India

                                                                3
                                                                    0               20000                    40000                    60000                      80000             100000          120000                140000

                                                                                                                     Gross Domestic Product per Capita, 2011
COMPETITIVENESS: UNDERLYING CONCEPTS


 • Competitiveness is the productivity with which a state utilizes its
    human, capital, and natural resources
 • Productivity determines wages and the standard of living – Productivity
    growth determines sustainable economic growth
 • Productivity depends on how a state competes, not what industries it
    competes in
 • Innovation in products and processes is necessary to drive productivity
    growth
 • Only productive businesses can create wealth and jobs. States compete to
    offer the most productive environment for business
 • The public and private sectors play different but interrelated roles in creating
    a productive economy
GOA PERFORMANCE SNAPSHOT
                             Position               Trend

 Prosperity


 Productivity
 Labour Mobilization

 State of Clusters

 Type of Economy           Investment Driven                  Top 33.33% of the
                                                              states


                                                              33.33%-66.67% of
                           Chemicals                          the states
 Leading Clusters          Domestic and Electric Industries
                           Agricultural Products
                                                              66.67% to 100% of
                           Pulp and Paper                     the states
GOA COMPETITIVENESS – OVERALL PERFORMANCE INDICATORS



                                Prosperity                                                                            Clusters
 Gross State Domestic Product per Capita, 2011                          Rank: 1    Total Number of People employed in all Factory sector                          Rank: 2
 • In Goa                                              Rs. 1,29,448                • In Goa                                              51,697
 • In India                                            Rs. 47,998                  • In India                                            1,15,06,838
 • State Difference to India                          +169.78%.                    • State Employment to total
                                                                                      India Employment (factory sector)                  0.44%
 Growth in Gross State Domestic Product per Capita, 2008-11 , (CAGR)     Rank: 1
 •   In Goa                                            5.66%
 •   In India                                         6.28%


                              Productivity                                                                Labour Mobilization
                                                                                   Population, 2011                                                    Rank: 2
 Gross State Domestic Product per labour force participant, 2011       Rank: 1     • In Goa                                             14,57,723
 • In Goa                                               Rs 3,59,998.               • % of India                                         4.98%
 • In India                                             Rs 1,21,265
 • State Difference to India                            +196.87%                   Population Growth, GAGR, 2001-2011                                            Rank: 2
                                                                                   •   In Goa                                           0.79%
 Growth in Gross State Domestic Product                                Rank: 1     •   In India                                         1.61%
 per Labour force participant, 2001-11
 •    In Goa                                           10.37%                      Employment, 2010                                                              Rank: 2
 •    In India                                         8.44%                       • In Goa                                             6,70,557
                                                                                   • % India                                            7.31%
 Average Private Wage in 2008-09,                                      Rank:1
 • In Goa                                              Rs 90,099                   Employment growth, annual rate, 2000-2010                                     Rank: 2
 • In India                                            Rs 64,741                   • In Goa                                             1.33%
 • State Difference to India                           +39.168%                    • In India                                           2.05%
 Private Wage Growth, CAGR, 2000-2009                                  Rank:1      Unemployment, 2010 (Per hundred People)                                       Rank: 2
 • In Goa                                              5.13%                       • In Goa                                             10
 • In India                                            4.53%                       • In India                                           9.39

                                                                                   Change in Unemployment rate, 2000-2010                                        Rank: 2
                                                                                   •   In Goa                                           138.10%
                                                                                   •   In India                                         41.37%
UNDERSTANDING STATE ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE

                                                                                                                       Goa
                                                       25000
GSDP at current price at factor cost in Rupees Crore




                                                       20000




                                                                                                                                                                                    20417
                                                                                                                                                                          19005
                                                                                                                                                                17593
                                                                                                                                                      17215
                                                       15000




                                                                                                                                            15248
                                                                                                                                  13262
                                                                                                                        11482
                                                       10000
                                                                                                               9301
                                                                                                      8100
                                                                                          7097
                                                                               6757
                                                                   6330




                                                        5000




                                                           0
                                                                Dec-00      Dec-01      Dec-02      Dec-03   Dec-04   Dec-05    Dec-06    Dec-07    Dec-08    Dec-09    Dec-10    Dec-11




                                                         Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
CONTRIBUTION OF GOA’S GSDP TO INDIAN GSDP
GSDP at current price at factor cost in Rupees Crore




                                      6000000


                                      5000000


                                      4000000


                                      3000000


                                      2000000


                                      1000000


                                                               0
                                                                        Dec-00     Dec-01      Dec-02      Dec-03        Dec-04       Dec-05        Dec-06         Dec-07          Dec-08            Dec-09            Dec-10            Dec-11

                                                                                                                            Goa's GDP          Indian GDP

                                                                          Dec-00      Dec-01      Dec-02        Dec-03       Dec-04        Dec-05        Dec-06         Dec-07              Dec-08            Dec-09            Dec-10            Dec-11




                                                       Ratio of Goa's
                                                       GSDP to Indian
                                                           GDP in          0.37       0.38         0.37         0.39         0.39          0.43             0.44            0.44            0.43              0.38              0.38              0.41
                                                        Percentage
                                                           Terms




                                                              Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
WHAT DRIVES STATE PRODUCTIVITY




                                                      3. Proper Policy
       1. Overall business   2. Stage of Economy   enactment and strong
      climate conducive to     (strong clusters)
                                                         rule of law
             growth
MODEL USED FOR ANALYSIS


                                                                        Climate for
                                                                    Innovation based
                                                                       local rivalry



                                                       •   Local rules and incentives that encourage
                                                           investment and productivity e.g.
                                                       -   salaries,
                         Factor                        -    incentives for capital investments,                   Demand
                       Conditions                      -    intellectual property protection
                                                                                                                 Conditions
                                                       •   Vigorous local competition i.e.,
                                                       -   Openness to foreign and local competition;
                                                       -   Sophistication of company operations

   Access to high quality business inputs
    i.e.,                                                                                                      Sophisticated and demanding local
    - Natural endowments,                                                                                      customers and needs e.g.,
   - Human resources,                                                                                          - Strict quality, safety, and environmental
   - Capital availability,                                         Clusters of Related                         standards
   - Physical infrastructure,                                       and Supporting                             – Consumer protection laws
   - Administrative infrastructure,                                    Industries                              – Government procurement of
   - Information infrastructure,                                                                               advanced technology
   - Scientific and technological infrastructure                                                                – Early demand for products and
                                                   Local availability of suppliers and supporting industries   Services.
                                                   Presence of clusters instead of isolated firms




Source: Michael E Porter
IMPROVING PRODUCTIVITY IN BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT


 Key Issues for States
 •    More power in terms of tax sharing with center
 •    Reduce costs of doing business
 •    Developing training programs which meet the specific needs of the state
      industrial clusters
 •    Focus on infrastructure investments on the most leveraged areas for
      productivity and economic growth
 •    Implementing policies to support small growth businesses


 • Enhancing the state’s skill development and training institutions for the same
 •    Relentlessly improve of the public education system, the essential foundation
GEOGRAPHIC INFLUENCES ON COMPETITIVENESS




                                   • Influence and access federal
               Nation                policies and programs


                                   • Integrate policies and
         Neighboring states          infrastructure with
                                     neighbors

               States

                                   • Assist each city area in
            City Regions             developing its own strategy


                                   • Connect rural regions with
           Rural Regions             urban areas
CONTRIBUTION OF AGRICULTURE SECTOR TO GSDP

                                                       25000
GSDP at current price at factor cost in Rupees Crore




                                                       20000




                                                       15000




                                                       10000




                                                        5000




                                                           0
                                                                 Dec-00      Dec-01      Dec-02      Dec-03    Dec-04    Dec-05    Dec-06    Dec-07     Dec-08     Dec-09     Dec-10     Dec-11



                                                                 Dec-00      Dec-01       Dec-02      Dec-03    Dec-04    Dec-05    Dec-06     Dec-07     Dec-08     Dec-09     Dec-10      Dec-11
        Ratio of
      Agricultural
    GSDP in Goa to
    the total GSDP                                               12.28       10.45       10.42        9.50      9.47       8.16     10.00      7.56       7.24        7.55       7.39       7.25
       in Goa in
      Percentage
         terms
                                                        Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
CONTRIBUTION OF MANUFACTURING SECTOR TO GSDP
GSDP at current price at factor cost in Rupees Crore




                                                              25000



                                                              20000



                                                              15000



                                                              10000



                                                               5000



                                                                   0
                                                                        Dec-00     Dec-01      Dec-02        Dec-03   Dec-04    Dec-05     Dec-06      Dec-07      Dec-08       Dec-09        Dec-10        Dec-11




                                                                       Dec-00     Dec-01       Dec-02        Dec-03    Dec-04     Dec-05      Dec-06      Dec-07       Dec-08        Dec-09            Dec-10        Dec-11

                                                          Ratio of
                                                       Manufacturi
                                                        ng GSDP in
                                                        Goa to the
                                                                       27.24       29.09       30.20          29.88     31.96     32.86       30.63        31.52        32.63        32.49             32.64         32.78
                                                       total GSDP in
                                                           Goa in
                                                        Percentage
                                                           terms

                                                           Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
CONTRIBUTION OF SERVICE SECTOR TO GSDP

                                                           25000
GSDP at current price at factor cost in Rupees Crore




                                                           20000




                                                           15000




                                                           10000




                                                            5000




                                                                0
                                                                       Dec-00      Dec-01       Dec-02           Dec-03       Dec-04      Dec-05     Dec-06   Dec-07   Dec-08   Dec-09    Dec-10    Dec-11


                                                              Dec-00      Dec-01       Dec-02        Dec-03               Dec-04       Dec-05      Dec-06     Dec-07   Dec-08    Dec-09    Dec-10     Dec-11

   Ratio of
   Services
GSDP in Goa
 to the total
                                                              49.11        49.37        47.88            46.87            44.18        44.54       43.28      41.56    40.53     40.91      40.54      40.22
GSDP in Goa
      in
 Percentage
    terms


                                                       Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
COMPOSITION OF GOA’S ECONOMY

                                                    Agriculture, forestry
                                                         and fishing
                                                             7%




                               Services
                                40%




                                                                            Industry
                                                                              53%




  Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
COMPOSITION OF GOA’S ECONOMY


                    3000000


                                                                                                                        2549085
                    2500000
GSDP in Rs. Crore




                    2000000


                                                                                            1492375
                    1500000



                    1000000                                 924340




                     500000


                                         1480                            10724                        8213
                           0
                                     Agriculture, forestry and fishing           Industry                    Services




                               Indian contribution
                               Goa’s contribution
                    Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
COMPOSITION OF GOA’S ECONOMY IN GREATER DEPTH
                                3.5




                                                       3


                                                                                                                                                            Mining and quarrying

                                                     2.5
Goa /National GSDP share (Percent) ,2011




                                                       2




                                                     1.5


                                                                                                                           Fishing
                                                       1
                                                                                                                   Manufacturing

                                                                                           Transport by other means
                                                                                                   Banking and insurance
                                                     0.5
                                                                                                                                                                              Communication
                                                                             Public administration and defence                    Construction
                                                                                          Real states, ownership of dwellings and                Railways
                                                                              Trade, hotel and restaurant water supply
                                                                                        Electricity, gas and
                                                                                                       business services
                                                                             Other services           Storage
                                                                Agricuture                       Forestry and logging
                                                       0
                                           -5               0                5                      10                        15                  20                  25                  30   35


                                                     -0.5

                                                Change in contribution of GSDP of Goa to total Indian GSDP, CAGR (2000-2011)
STATE PRIVATE WAGE PERFORMANCE


                                160000



                                140000
                                                                       Jharkhand                       Wage Growth
                                                                                                       rate 4.53%
Average Wages in Rupees ,2009




                                120000

                                                          Uttaranchal
                                                                                                                        Orissa
                                100000                                         Maharashtra
                                                                                                       Goa
                                                                                                                                                    Average Wage :
                                                                                                                                                    Rupees 64,741
                                80000 Chhattisgarh               West Bengal           Madhya Pradesh
                                                                                                  Haryana Karnataka
                                                                                            Gujarat                                                                       Meghalaya
                                                                               Delhi                          Himachal Pradesh
                                                                                              Uttar Pradesh
                                60000                                                                                            Andhra Pradesh
                                                                                              Punjub      Tamil Nadu
                                                                       Kerala Rajasthan
                                                     Jammu & Kashmir
                                                                            Bihar                 Assam

                                40000
                                                                                                                                                  Manipur

                                                Tripura                        Nagaland
                                20000           Low and declining versus India                                                                                Low but rising versus India



                                     0
                                         0                   2                            4                        6                       8                 10                12           14
                                                                                           Wage Growth (CAGR), 2001 to 2008
                                   Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis, Data as of 2010
LABOUR PRODUCTIVITY

                                                            400000
GSDP at Current Prices per labour force participant, 2011




                                                                                                                                                                             Goa

                                                            350000             High but declining versus India                                                                     Highly productive and Productivity
                                                                                                                                                                                   rising versus India

                                                            300000




                                                                                                                                               Points
                                                                                                                                               Index
                                                                                                                                               57.28
                                                                                                                                               e
                                                                                                                                               Averag
                                                                                                                                               India
                                                                                                                                               All
                                                                                                                                      Delhi
                                                                                                                                               All India Average of
                                                            250000                                                                             8.44%

                                                                                                                                                                                      Haryana
                                                            200000
                                                                              All India Average of of Punjab                                                      Maharashtra
                                                                                                                                                                  Kerala    Gujarat
                                                                              1,21,265 Rupees/Labour                               Himachal Pradesh
                                                            150000            force participant       Tamil Nadu
                                                                                                                                      Karnataka       Andhra Pradesh
                                                                                                                                                      Sikkim
                                                                                                                            West Bengal                    Uttarakhand                                      Chhattisgarh
                                                                                           Mizoram                                  Nagaland
                                                            100000                                    MeghalayaTripura Pradesh
                                                                                                             Arunachal                                                                          Orissa
                                                                                                                      Rajasthan
                                                                             Jammu & Kashmir                 Assam
                                                                                    Madhya Pradesh             Jharkhand
                                                                            Manipur
                                                                                                          Uttar Pradesh
                                                             50000                                          Bihar


                                                                                Low and declining versus India                                                             Low but rising versus India
                                                                 0
                                                                     5.00              6.00             7.00               8.00                9.00               10.00                11.00             12.00             13.00


                                                                                                     GSDP /Labor force participant growth rate(CAGR)
                                                              Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
LONG TERM JOB GROWTH


                       90000000

                                                                                                                                             Uttar Pradesh
                       80000000


                       70000000


                                                                                                                                                             All India Average of
                       60000000
                                                                                                                                                             2.05%
Number of Jobs, 2011




                       50000000
                                                                                                                             Maharashtra

                                                                                                                                                                                 Bihar

                       40000000
                                                                                                        West Bengal
                                                                                 Andhra Pradesh
                                                 All India average of
                                                                                                                                             Madhya Pradesh
                       30000000                  1,62,99,464 Jobs                                                     Tamil Nadu

                                                                                                                                                                     Rajasthan
                                                 /State                                                      Karnataka
                                                                                                                                               Gujarat

                       20000000                                                                         Orissa

                                                                                                                                                                Jharkhand
                                                                Kerala                                                    Assam
                                                                                                                 Punjab
                                                                                                                                               Haryana
                                                                                                                                                               Chhattisgarh
                       10000000                                                                                                                                                          Delhi
                                                                                                                                           Uttarakhand       Jammu & Kashmir
                                                                                        Himachal Pradesh
                                      Nagaland                                  Goa                         Tripura                                                            Mizoram Manipur
                                                                                                                                                                              Arunachal Pradesh   Meghalaya

                              0                                                                    Sikkim


                                  0                      0.5                1                     1.5                              2                                2.5                           3           3.5

                                                  Losing Jobs                   Job growth rate CAGR, 2001-2010                                                             Gaining Jobs
                          Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
LONG TERM UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
                                                                                                                            30
                               Goa
                                     jharkhand




                                                                                                                            25




                                                                                                                                  s
                                                                                                                                  Point
                                                                                                                                  Index
                                                                                                                                  57.28
                                                                                                                                  ge
                                                                                                                                  Avera
                                                                                                                                  India
                                                                                                                                  All
                                          Below average Unemployment                                                                    All India Average of -
                                                                                                                            20          2.12%
                                                             Rajasthan
Unemployment rate 2010




                                                                                        Bihar


                                                                                                                                              Unemployment Rising
                                                                                                                            15
                                     Unemployment rate
                                     All India Average of                                                Meghalaya

                                     9.39%                                                               West Bengal                                                kerala
                                                                                          Gujarat
                                                                                          Punjab                        MizoramOrissa
                                                                                                                 Uttar Pradesh
                                                                                                                             10
                                                                                                       Haryana                Nagaland
                                                                                                                     Manipur
                                                                                                         Tripura           Andhra Pradesh
                                                                                                    Madhya Pradesh
                                                                                                         Arunachal Pradesh     Himachal Pradesh     Assam
                                                                                                                           Sikkim Maharashtra
                                                                                                                                   Jammu Tamil Nadu
                                                                                                                              5               Uttarakhand

                                                                                                                                                    Chhattisgarh
                                                                                                                                                  Above Average Unemployment
                                                                                                                                      Karnataka             Delhi


                                                                                                                              0
                         -25                -20                -15                -10                   -5                        0                     5            10        15
                                                                           Change in Employment rate 1999-2010
                           Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis, Data as of 2010
NEAR TERM UNEMPLOYMENT RATE

                                                                                                                                                   30
                                       Goa
                                               jharkhand




                                                                              Points
                                                                              Avera

                                                                              57.28
                                                                              Index
                                                                               All India Average of -




                                                                              India
                                                                                                                                                   25
                                                                               6.55%




                                                                              All


                                                                              ge
                                                                                                                                                   20
Unemployment rate 2010




                                                                              Rajasthan

                                                                                                  Bihar


                                                                                                                                                   15

                                        All India Average of                                      Meghalaya
                                                                                                                                     West Bengal
                                        9.39%                                                                       Punjab
                                                                                                                  Gujarat                             kerala
                                                                                                                          Orissa
                                                                                                                        Haryana                     10
                                                                                                                          Uttar Pradesh
                                                                                                                     Manipur
                                                                                                                Mizoram Nagaland Madhya Pradesh
                                                                                                                                         Tripura Andhra Pradesh
                                                                                                     Arunachal Pradesh
                                                                                                                             Sikkim Assam
                                                                                                             Himachal Pradesh                    Maharashtra             Tamil Nadu
                                                                                                                                        Jammu      Uttarakhand
                                                                                                                                                     5
                                                                                                                                              Chhattisgarh
                                                                                                                                                             Karnataka

                                                                                                                                                    Delhi

                                                                                                                                                     0
                         -30                   -25                -20                 -15                     -10                 -5                     0                5           10

                                                                                 Change in Employment rate 2008 to 2010
                               Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis, Data as of 2010
GROSS AREA SOWN VERSUS IRRIGATED AREA

                                    100000


                                                                                                                                          Madhya Pradesh
                                                                                                                                                   Maharashtra
                                                                                                                                                                      Uttar Pradesh
                                                                                                                                                           Rajasthan
                                                                                                                                       Tamil Nadu        Andhra Pradesh
                                     10000                                                                                                                Gujarat
                                                                                                                                                        West Bengal
                                                                                                                                                            Punjab Karnataka
                                                                                                                        Chhattisgarh         BiharOrissaHaryana
Log of area sown in ‘000 hectares




                                                                                                       Assam
                                                                                                                         Kerala
                                                 All India Average                                                Jharkhand
                                                 67,41,000                                                                   Uttarakhand
                                      1000                                                                      Himachal Pradesh & Kashmir
                                                                                                                           Jammu
                                                 hectares




                                                                                                                                                             India
                                                                                                                                                             All
                                                                                                                                                   All India Average
                                                                                      Meghalaya            Nagaland
                                                                               Arunachal Pradesh          Tripura                                  30,03,000 hectares
                                                                                            Goa
                                       100                                   Sikkim
                                                                             Mizoram

                                                                                          Delhi



                                        10




                                         1
                                             1                          10                          100                       1000                      10000                         100000

                                                                                          Log of Irrigated Area in ‘000 hectares

                                       Source: MOA, Institute for Competitiveness Analysis, Data as of 2010
HEALTHCARE
Percentage of Total government Expenditure on Medical, Health


                                                                    10
                                                                                                                                    Delhi

                                                                     9


                                                                     8


                                                                     7
                        and Sanitation




                                                                     6           Goa
                                                                                                 Jammu & Kashmir

                                                                                    Uttarakhand
                                                                                                                                                                             All India Average
                                                                     5       Manipur
                                                                                  Himachal Pradesh                                                                           4.02%
                                                                                                              AssamKerala

                                                                         Meghalaya                                                              West Bengal     Tamil Nadu
                                                                             Tripura
                                                                           Nagaland                                                                                                               Uttar Pradesh
                                                                         Mizoram                                        Rajasthan
                                                                     4                                                                Gujarat
                                                                          Sikkim           Chhattisgarh                        Karnataka
                                                                                          Jharkhand Haryana                                               Andhra Pradesh
                                                                                                                   Madhya Pradesh                                            Maharashtra
                                                                                                    Orissa
                                                                                                     Punjab      Bihar

                                                                     3

                                                                    Arunachal Pradesh
                                                                                                                                 India
                                                                                                                                 All



                                                                     2
                                                                                                                   All India Average 1633
                                                                                                                            Crores
                                                                     1
                                                                         0                    1000                   2000                       3000                 4000                  5000               6000



                                                                                       Total Government Expenditure on Medical, Health and Sanitation in Crores
                                                                Source: Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
PERCENTAGE OF VILLAGES ELECTRIFIED

             120



                   100                        100.0
                                                  100.099.7100.098.2 98.2          99.9100.0                                           100.0         100.0
All India    100                          96.9                                              96.4                                                                       96.9 97.3
                                                                                                                                                  94.4
Average of                                                                                         88.3
                                                                                                          85.8
                                                                                                                                                                88.3
84.96 %                     80.8                                                                                        80.6
              80
                                                                                                                                           69.2
                                                                                                                               64.4 62.6
                                   61.3
                                                                                                                 59.3
              60         56.8                                                                                                                            57.2




              40
                                                                            31.1


              20




               0




        Source: Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
TELEDENSITY
                  140000
                                                 Goa



                  120000
                                                                                                                             y = 429.3x + 12630
                                                                                                                                  R² = 0.388
                                                                                                                                                  Delhi

                  100000


                                                       Haryana

                   80000
GSDP per Capita




                                                           Maharashtra

                                                         Gujarat               Punjab
                                                                           Kerala
                                                                               Himachal Pradesh
                   60000                                                        Tamil Nadu
                                                               Karnataka
                                              Andhra Pradesh
                                    Sikkim
                             Arunachal Pradesh Bengal
                                            West
                                 MeghalayaChhattisgarh
                                  Mizoram
                                  Tripura
                                   Orissa           Uttarakhand
                   40000
                      Jammu & Kashmir  Rajasthan
                                  Nagaland Jharkhand
                                   Manipur
                       Madhya Pradesh
                            Uttar Pradesh

                   20000




                        0
                            50           70                90                110             130       150       170   190   210           230            250


                                                                                                   Teledensity
                     Source: Ministry of telecom, Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
DEBT TO GDP RATIO
     West Bengal                                                             42.8                      Prescribed limit according to the
      Uttaranchal                                                          41.1                         growth and stability Pact of EU
    Uttar Pradesh                                                             43.5
           Tripura                                                          42.2
      Tamil Nadu                                     25.5
            Sikkim                                                                                               80.6
        Rajasthan                                                          41.1
           Punjab                                                  35.2
            Orissa                                          30.6
        Nagaland                                                                           59.4
         Mizoram                                                                                                                           109.1
        Meghalya                                                     37.3
         Manipur                                                                                            77.4
     Maharashtra                                     25.1
  Madhya Pradesh                                                   34.4
            Kerala                                                 34.3
       Karnataka                                 24.3
       Jharkhand                                               33.6
 Jammu & Kashmir                                                                                     70.1
        Himachal                                                                     55.7
          Haryana                          19
           Gujarat                                           32.1
               Goa                                              35.5
             Delhi                    13.8                                                  Prescribed limit according
      Chattisgarh                      15.2                                                  to WTO for developing
             Bihar                                                        39.7                      economies
            Assam                                      28
       Arunachal                                                                                                                                   115.9
           Andhra                                           30.1

                     0                   20                          40               60                    80               100                   120


    Source: Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
RURAL POPULATION VERSUS RURAL POPULATION GROWTH RATES

                                4.000

                                                                                                           Meghalaya
                                                                                           Arunachal Pradesh                                                           Bihar
                                                                                     Mizoram             Manipur              Jammu & Kashmir Jharkhand Rajasthan
                                                                                                                                           Chhattisgarh Madhya Pradesh      Uttar Pradesh
                                2.000                                                                                                              Assam
                                                                                                                         Himachal Pradesh
                                                                                                                             Uttarakhand               Orissa Maharashtra
                                                                                                                                          Haryana        Gujarat
                                                                                                                                           Punjab         KarnatakaBengal
                                                                                                                                                              West
                                                                                                                                                           Tamil Nadu
                                                                                                               Tripura
                                                                                                                                                           Andhra Pradesh
                                0.000                                              Sikkim

                                         10                      100                             1,000                              10,000                            100,000                    1,000,000
Growth rate (CAGR 2001-2011)




                                                                                                    Nagaland
                                                                                           Goa                                                                                              Thousands
                                -2.000
                                                                                                                                              Kerala




                                -4.000



                                -6.000


                                                                                   Delhi

                                -8.000



                               -10.000


                                                                Population in Rural areas as per census (provisional Data) in Thousands


                                 Source: Census 2011, Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
URBAN POPULATION VERSUS URBAN POPULATION GROWTH RATES

                               12




                                     Sikkim
                               10
Growth rate (CAGR 2001-2011)




                                 8

                                                                           Kerala


                                      Tripura
                                 6
                                  Nagaland




                                                          Haryana
                                 4 Manipur
                                       Uttarakhand
                                               Chhattisgarh
                     Arunachal Pradesh                                                                   Andhra Pradesh
                              Jammu & Kashmir
                             Goa                         Bihar                                       Gujarat
                                             Jharkhand                                        Karnataka
                                      Assam Orissa                           Rajasthan                                                            Uttar Pradesh
                         Mizoram                     Punjab                  Delhi Madhya Pradesh              West Bengal   Tamil Nadu
                                                                                                                                                                  Maharashtra
                           Meghalaya
                                 2
                               Himachal Pradesh




                                 0
                                      0                      10000                   20000                      30000                     40000                   50000                60000
                                                                                                                                                                                Thousands
                                                            Population in Urban areas as per census (provisional Data) in Thousands
                                       Source: Census 2011, Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
100,000,000
                                                                                                                                                                          120,000,000
                                                                                                                                                                                        140,000,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                             160,000,000




                                                                                                    20,000,000
                                                                                                                 40,000,000
                                                                                                                                  60,000,000
                                                                                                                                               80,000,000




                                                                                         0
                                                                                             151,726
                                                                                             455,962
                                                                                             561,977
                                                                                             529037
                                                                                             313,446
                                                                                             1069165
                                                                                             906,309
                                                                                             551414
                                                                                             573,741
                                                                                              1406861
                                                                                             822,132
                                                                                              1899624
                                                                                             595,036
                                                                                              2368971
                                                                                             960,981
                                                                                               2,710,051
                                                                                             688,704
                                                                                                 6167805
                                                                                               3,091,169
                                                                                                  7,025,583
                                                                                               3,414,106




Source: Census 2011, Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
                                                                                                   9134820
                                                                                                       16,333,916
                                                                                             419319
                                                                                                   8,821,588




                                                              Urban Population in 2011
                                                                                                       16531493
                                                                                                 5,936,538
                                                                                                         19603658
                                                                                                    10,387,436
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           RURAL AND URBAN POPULATION IN INDIA




                                                                                                        17,316,800
                                                                                                4,388,756
                                                                                                              26780516
                                                                                                  7,929,292
                                                                                                             25,036,946
                                                                                                       15,932,171
                                                                                                        17455506
                                                                                                 6,996,124

                                                              Rural Population in 2011
                                                                                                                   34,951,234
                                                                                                             25,712,811
                                                                                                                  34670817
                                                                                                            23,578,175
                                                                                                                    37552529
                                                                                                        17,080,776
                                                                                                                            51,540,236
                                                                                                                   34,949,729
                                                                                                                    37,189,229
                                                                                                         20,059,666
                                                                                                                            52537899
                                                                                                               28,353,745
                                                                                                                              56311788
                                                                                                               29,134,060
                                                                                                                                 62,213,676
                                                                                                     11,729,609
                                                                                                                                                            92075028
                                                                                                                                 50,827,531
                                                                                                                                       61545441
                                                                                                                              44,470,455
                                                                                                                                                                                                      155,111,022
DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE IN GOA




                                                               108405
                         120000




                                                      105600




                                                                        105120
                                   102307


                                             101066




                                                                                 90797
                         100000




                                                                                         79175
 Population in Numbers




                                                                                                 71922
                          80000




                                                                                                         65424


                                                                                                                 58074
                          60000




                                                                                                                         48264


                                                                                                                                 38150
                          40000




                                                                                                                                         28859


                                                                                                                                                 21727


                                                                                                                                                         16871


                                                                                                                                                                 11659
                          20000




                                                                                                                                                                         8578
                              0
                                   0-4       5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80+
                                  years     years years years years years years years years years years year years years years years years




                 Source: Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
RURAL URBAN AND TOTAL POPULATION

                                                                          120


                                                                                Delhi
Urban Population as a percentage of total Population




                                                                          100                                                           All India Average




                                                                                                                                                India
                                                                                                                                              67.02%




                                                                                                                                                All
                                                                           80



                                                                                                                 Goa
                                                                                                                              Tamil Nadu
                                                                                                                                 Maharashtra
                                                                           60                                                    Kerala
                                                                                                                            Mizoram Gujarat
                                                                                                                                         Karnataka
                                                                                    All India Average                                       Punjab Pradesh
                                                                                                                                             Andhra Bengal
                                                                                                                                                West
                                                                                                                                               Haryana
                                                                                    32.98%                                                         MadhyaUttar Pradesh
                                                                                                                                                            Pradesh
                                                                           40                                                                             Rajasthan
                                                                                                                                                  Uttarakhand
                                                                                                                                                    Manipur
                                                                                                                                                   Jammu & Kashmir
                                                                                                                                                           Jharkhand
                                                                                                                                                     Nagaland
                                                                                                                                                          Chhattisgarh
                                                                                                                                                         Tripura
                                                                                                                                                            Sikkim
                                                                                                                                                                     Orissa
                                                                                                                                                        Arunachal Pradesh Bihar
                                                                                                                                                                Meghalaya
                                                                                                                                                                        Assam
                                                                           20
                                                                                                                                                                      Himachal Pradesh




                                                                            0
                                                          -20                   0                 20                   40                  60                    80                      100   120



                                                                          -20
                                                                                         Rural Population as a percentage of total Population
                                                       Source: Census 2011, Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
SEX RATIO VERSUS SEX RATIO GROWTH RATES
                            0.8
                                                                                                                              Delhi

                            0.7


                            0.6                                                                           All India Average 940




                                                                                                                 India
                                                                                                          females/1000 males                           Mizoram




                                                                                                                 All
                            0.5
                                                                                                                                            Nagaland

                            0.4                                                                                                       Arunachal Pradesh
                                                                                                                                                          Goa
CAGR growth rate 2001-11




                                                           All India Average                                                       Punjab
                                                                                                                                                                       Kerela


                            0.3
                                                            0.169% CAGR                                                        Haryana

                                                                                                                                                   Assam



                            0.2                                                                                                   Sikkim               Meghalaya
                                                                                                                                                  Tripura
                                                                                                                                       Madhya Pradesh
                                                                                                                                            WestAndhra Pradesh
                                                                                                                                                  Bengal
                                                                                                                                Uttar Pradesh
                                                                                                                                                        Manipur
                                                                                                                                                 Himachal Pradesh
                                                                                                                                         Rajasthan       Tamil Nadu
                                                                                                                                              Jharkhand
                            0.1                                                                                                         Maharashtra
                                                                                                                                                       Orissa

                                                                                                                                                    Karnataka
                                                                                                                                                         Chattisgarh
                                                                                                                                                  Uttarakhand
                                                                                                                                        Gujarat

                              0
                                   0                      200                     400               600               800                Bihar
                                                                                                                                                                1000            1200
                            -0.1
                                                                                                                            Jammu and Kashmir




                            -0.2


                            -0.3


                                                                                                 Sex ratio
                                   Source: Census 2011, Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
Goa
Goa
Goa
Goa
Goa
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Goa

  • 2. ECONOMIC CHALLENGE FOR CHIEF MINISTERS IN 2012 Achieving Fiscal Stability Enhancing State Competitiveness • Competitiveness is the only way to achieve sustainable job growth, improving incomes and stable public finances • Creating a clear economic strategy for the state that engages all stakeholders is even more important in times of budget cutting and austerity
  • 3. HIERARCHY OF MEASUREMENT OF STATE COMPETITIVENESS INDEX 4 Major Pillars 12 Sub Indices 350* Indicators * Approximate figure
  • 4. STAGES OF THE ECONOMY Innovation Driven Economies (Per capita GDP 900 to City States (Per capita GDP>1300 USD) 1300 USD) Transition Economies (Per capita GDP 800 to 900 USD) Investment Driven Economies (Per capita GDP 500 to 800 USD) Evolving / Changeover Economies (Per capita GDP 400 to 500 USD) Factor Driven Economies(Per capita GDP < 400 USD)
  • 5. STATES ACCORDING TO CATEGORIZATION Microeconomic Competitiveness Categorization Ranks City States (Per capita Incomes >1300 USD) Delhi 1 Goa 2 Innovation Driven Economies (Per capita Incomes 900 to1300 USD) Haryana 1 Maharashtra 2 Gujarat 3 Kerala 4 Transition Economies (Per capita Incomes 800 to 900 USD) Punjab 1 Tamil Nadu 2 Himachal Pradesh 3 Investment Driven Economies (Per capita Incomes 500 to 800 USD) Andhra Pradesh 1 Karnataka 2 Uttarakhand 3 West Bengal 4 Chhattisgarh 5 Sikkim 6 Mizoram 7 Meghalaya 8 Arunachal Pradesh 9 Tripura 10 Evolving/ Changeover Economies (Per capita Incomes 400 to 500 USD) Rajasthan 1 Jharkhand 2 Orissa 3 Jammu and Kashmir 4 Factor Driven Economies(Per capita Incomes < 500 USD) Bihar 1 Madhya Pradesh 2 Assam 3 Uttar Pradesh 4 Manipur 5 Nagaland 6 Source: Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
  • 6. NEAR TERM STATE PROSPERITY PERFORMANCE 9 Gross Domestic Product per Capita real growth rate, 2008-2011 Haryana Low but rising versus India Chhattisgarh Highly Productive and Prosperity Bihar Rising versus India Maharashtra 8 Himachal Pradesh Uttar Pradesh Andhra Pradesh Orissa 7 Karnataka Punjab Sikkim Uttarakhand Arunachal Pradesh Kerala Assam Gujarat Rajasthan Tripura 6 Tamil Nadu Goa Points Index 57.28 Average All India West Bengal Meghalaya All India GSDP Delhi Jharkhand /Capita rate Mizoram (CAGR) of 6.27 % 5 Manipur Madhya Jammu & Kashmir Pradesh All India Average 4 Nagaland of 47,998 Low and declining versus India Rupees/capita High but declining versus India 3 0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000 120000 140000 Gross Domestic Product per Capita, 2011
  • 7. COMPETITIVENESS: UNDERLYING CONCEPTS • Competitiveness is the productivity with which a state utilizes its human, capital, and natural resources • Productivity determines wages and the standard of living – Productivity growth determines sustainable economic growth • Productivity depends on how a state competes, not what industries it competes in • Innovation in products and processes is necessary to drive productivity growth • Only productive businesses can create wealth and jobs. States compete to offer the most productive environment for business • The public and private sectors play different but interrelated roles in creating a productive economy
  • 8. GOA PERFORMANCE SNAPSHOT Position Trend Prosperity Productivity Labour Mobilization State of Clusters Type of Economy Investment Driven Top 33.33% of the states 33.33%-66.67% of Chemicals the states Leading Clusters Domestic and Electric Industries Agricultural Products 66.67% to 100% of Pulp and Paper the states
  • 9. GOA COMPETITIVENESS – OVERALL PERFORMANCE INDICATORS Prosperity Clusters Gross State Domestic Product per Capita, 2011 Rank: 1 Total Number of People employed in all Factory sector Rank: 2 • In Goa Rs. 1,29,448 • In Goa 51,697 • In India Rs. 47,998 • In India 1,15,06,838 • State Difference to India +169.78%. • State Employment to total India Employment (factory sector) 0.44% Growth in Gross State Domestic Product per Capita, 2008-11 , (CAGR) Rank: 1 • In Goa 5.66% • In India 6.28% Productivity Labour Mobilization Population, 2011 Rank: 2 Gross State Domestic Product per labour force participant, 2011 Rank: 1 • In Goa 14,57,723 • In Goa Rs 3,59,998. • % of India 4.98% • In India Rs 1,21,265 • State Difference to India +196.87% Population Growth, GAGR, 2001-2011 Rank: 2 • In Goa 0.79% Growth in Gross State Domestic Product Rank: 1 • In India 1.61% per Labour force participant, 2001-11 • In Goa 10.37% Employment, 2010 Rank: 2 • In India 8.44% • In Goa 6,70,557 • % India 7.31% Average Private Wage in 2008-09, Rank:1 • In Goa Rs 90,099 Employment growth, annual rate, 2000-2010 Rank: 2 • In India Rs 64,741 • In Goa 1.33% • State Difference to India +39.168% • In India 2.05% Private Wage Growth, CAGR, 2000-2009 Rank:1 Unemployment, 2010 (Per hundred People) Rank: 2 • In Goa 5.13% • In Goa 10 • In India 4.53% • In India 9.39 Change in Unemployment rate, 2000-2010 Rank: 2 • In Goa 138.10% • In India 41.37%
  • 10. UNDERSTANDING STATE ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE Goa 25000 GSDP at current price at factor cost in Rupees Crore 20000 20417 19005 17593 17215 15000 15248 13262 11482 10000 9301 8100 7097 6757 6330 5000 0 Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
  • 11. CONTRIBUTION OF GOA’S GSDP TO INDIAN GSDP GSDP at current price at factor cost in Rupees Crore 6000000 5000000 4000000 3000000 2000000 1000000 0 Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Goa's GDP Indian GDP Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Ratio of Goa's GSDP to Indian GDP in 0.37 0.38 0.37 0.39 0.39 0.43 0.44 0.44 0.43 0.38 0.38 0.41 Percentage Terms Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
  • 12. WHAT DRIVES STATE PRODUCTIVITY 3. Proper Policy 1. Overall business 2. Stage of Economy enactment and strong climate conducive to (strong clusters) rule of law growth
  • 13. MODEL USED FOR ANALYSIS Climate for Innovation based local rivalry • Local rules and incentives that encourage investment and productivity e.g. - salaries, Factor - incentives for capital investments, Demand Conditions - intellectual property protection Conditions • Vigorous local competition i.e., - Openness to foreign and local competition; - Sophistication of company operations Access to high quality business inputs i.e., Sophisticated and demanding local - Natural endowments, customers and needs e.g., - Human resources, - Strict quality, safety, and environmental - Capital availability, Clusters of Related standards - Physical infrastructure, and Supporting – Consumer protection laws - Administrative infrastructure, Industries – Government procurement of - Information infrastructure, advanced technology - Scientific and technological infrastructure – Early demand for products and Local availability of suppliers and supporting industries Services. Presence of clusters instead of isolated firms Source: Michael E Porter
  • 14. IMPROVING PRODUCTIVITY IN BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT Key Issues for States • More power in terms of tax sharing with center • Reduce costs of doing business • Developing training programs which meet the specific needs of the state industrial clusters • Focus on infrastructure investments on the most leveraged areas for productivity and economic growth • Implementing policies to support small growth businesses • Enhancing the state’s skill development and training institutions for the same • Relentlessly improve of the public education system, the essential foundation
  • 15. GEOGRAPHIC INFLUENCES ON COMPETITIVENESS • Influence and access federal Nation policies and programs • Integrate policies and Neighboring states infrastructure with neighbors States • Assist each city area in City Regions developing its own strategy • Connect rural regions with Rural Regions urban areas
  • 16. CONTRIBUTION OF AGRICULTURE SECTOR TO GSDP 25000 GSDP at current price at factor cost in Rupees Crore 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Ratio of Agricultural GSDP in Goa to the total GSDP 12.28 10.45 10.42 9.50 9.47 8.16 10.00 7.56 7.24 7.55 7.39 7.25 in Goa in Percentage terms Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
  • 17. CONTRIBUTION OF MANUFACTURING SECTOR TO GSDP GSDP at current price at factor cost in Rupees Crore 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Ratio of Manufacturi ng GSDP in Goa to the 27.24 29.09 30.20 29.88 31.96 32.86 30.63 31.52 32.63 32.49 32.64 32.78 total GSDP in Goa in Percentage terms Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
  • 18. CONTRIBUTION OF SERVICE SECTOR TO GSDP 25000 GSDP at current price at factor cost in Rupees Crore 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Ratio of Services GSDP in Goa to the total 49.11 49.37 47.88 46.87 44.18 44.54 43.28 41.56 40.53 40.91 40.54 40.22 GSDP in Goa in Percentage terms Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
  • 19. COMPOSITION OF GOA’S ECONOMY Agriculture, forestry and fishing 7% Services 40% Industry 53% Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
  • 20. COMPOSITION OF GOA’S ECONOMY 3000000 2549085 2500000 GSDP in Rs. Crore 2000000 1492375 1500000 1000000 924340 500000 1480 10724 8213 0 Agriculture, forestry and fishing Industry Services Indian contribution Goa’s contribution Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
  • 21. COMPOSITION OF GOA’S ECONOMY IN GREATER DEPTH 3.5 3 Mining and quarrying 2.5 Goa /National GSDP share (Percent) ,2011 2 1.5 Fishing 1 Manufacturing Transport by other means Banking and insurance 0.5 Communication Public administration and defence Construction Real states, ownership of dwellings and Railways Trade, hotel and restaurant water supply Electricity, gas and business services Other services Storage Agricuture Forestry and logging 0 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 -0.5 Change in contribution of GSDP of Goa to total Indian GSDP, CAGR (2000-2011)
  • 22. STATE PRIVATE WAGE PERFORMANCE 160000 140000 Jharkhand Wage Growth rate 4.53% Average Wages in Rupees ,2009 120000 Uttaranchal Orissa 100000 Maharashtra Goa Average Wage : Rupees 64,741 80000 Chhattisgarh West Bengal Madhya Pradesh Haryana Karnataka Gujarat Meghalaya Delhi Himachal Pradesh Uttar Pradesh 60000 Andhra Pradesh Punjub Tamil Nadu Kerala Rajasthan Jammu & Kashmir Bihar Assam 40000 Manipur Tripura Nagaland 20000 Low and declining versus India Low but rising versus India 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Wage Growth (CAGR), 2001 to 2008 Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis, Data as of 2010
  • 23. LABOUR PRODUCTIVITY 400000 GSDP at Current Prices per labour force participant, 2011 Goa 350000 High but declining versus India Highly productive and Productivity rising versus India 300000 Points Index 57.28 e Averag India All Delhi All India Average of 250000 8.44% Haryana 200000 All India Average of of Punjab Maharashtra Kerala Gujarat 1,21,265 Rupees/Labour Himachal Pradesh 150000 force participant Tamil Nadu Karnataka Andhra Pradesh Sikkim West Bengal Uttarakhand Chhattisgarh Mizoram Nagaland 100000 MeghalayaTripura Pradesh Arunachal Orissa Rajasthan Jammu & Kashmir Assam Madhya Pradesh Jharkhand Manipur Uttar Pradesh 50000 Bihar Low and declining versus India Low but rising versus India 0 5.00 6.00 7.00 8.00 9.00 10.00 11.00 12.00 13.00 GSDP /Labor force participant growth rate(CAGR) Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
  • 24. LONG TERM JOB GROWTH 90000000 Uttar Pradesh 80000000 70000000 All India Average of 60000000 2.05% Number of Jobs, 2011 50000000 Maharashtra Bihar 40000000 West Bengal Andhra Pradesh All India average of Madhya Pradesh 30000000 1,62,99,464 Jobs Tamil Nadu Rajasthan /State Karnataka Gujarat 20000000 Orissa Jharkhand Kerala Assam Punjab Haryana Chhattisgarh 10000000 Delhi Uttarakhand Jammu & Kashmir Himachal Pradesh Nagaland Goa Tripura Mizoram Manipur Arunachal Pradesh Meghalaya 0 Sikkim 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 Losing Jobs Job growth rate CAGR, 2001-2010 Gaining Jobs Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
  • 25. LONG TERM UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 30 Goa jharkhand 25 s Point Index 57.28 ge Avera India All Below average Unemployment All India Average of - 20 2.12% Rajasthan Unemployment rate 2010 Bihar Unemployment Rising 15 Unemployment rate All India Average of Meghalaya 9.39% West Bengal kerala Gujarat Punjab MizoramOrissa Uttar Pradesh 10 Haryana Nagaland Manipur Tripura Andhra Pradesh Madhya Pradesh Arunachal Pradesh Himachal Pradesh Assam Sikkim Maharashtra Jammu Tamil Nadu 5 Uttarakhand Chhattisgarh Above Average Unemployment Karnataka Delhi 0 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 Change in Employment rate 1999-2010 Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis, Data as of 2010
  • 26. NEAR TERM UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 30 Goa jharkhand Points Avera 57.28 Index All India Average of - India 25 6.55% All ge 20 Unemployment rate 2010 Rajasthan Bihar 15 All India Average of Meghalaya West Bengal 9.39% Punjab Gujarat kerala Orissa Haryana 10 Uttar Pradesh Manipur Mizoram Nagaland Madhya Pradesh Tripura Andhra Pradesh Arunachal Pradesh Sikkim Assam Himachal Pradesh Maharashtra Tamil Nadu Jammu Uttarakhand 5 Chhattisgarh Karnataka Delhi 0 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 Change in Employment rate 2008 to 2010 Source : Institute for Competitiveness Analysis, Data as of 2010
  • 27. GROSS AREA SOWN VERSUS IRRIGATED AREA 100000 Madhya Pradesh Maharashtra Uttar Pradesh Rajasthan Tamil Nadu Andhra Pradesh 10000 Gujarat West Bengal Punjab Karnataka Chhattisgarh BiharOrissaHaryana Log of area sown in ‘000 hectares Assam Kerala All India Average Jharkhand 67,41,000 Uttarakhand 1000 Himachal Pradesh & Kashmir Jammu hectares India All All India Average Meghalaya Nagaland Arunachal Pradesh Tripura 30,03,000 hectares Goa 100 Sikkim Mizoram Delhi 10 1 1 10 100 1000 10000 100000 Log of Irrigated Area in ‘000 hectares Source: MOA, Institute for Competitiveness Analysis, Data as of 2010
  • 28. HEALTHCARE Percentage of Total government Expenditure on Medical, Health 10 Delhi 9 8 7 and Sanitation 6 Goa Jammu & Kashmir Uttarakhand All India Average 5 Manipur Himachal Pradesh 4.02% AssamKerala Meghalaya West Bengal Tamil Nadu Tripura Nagaland Uttar Pradesh Mizoram Rajasthan 4 Gujarat Sikkim Chhattisgarh Karnataka Jharkhand Haryana Andhra Pradesh Madhya Pradesh Maharashtra Orissa Punjab Bihar 3 Arunachal Pradesh India All 2 All India Average 1633 Crores 1 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Total Government Expenditure on Medical, Health and Sanitation in Crores Source: Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
  • 29. PERCENTAGE OF VILLAGES ELECTRIFIED 120 100 100.0 100.099.7100.098.2 98.2 99.9100.0 100.0 100.0 All India 100 96.9 96.4 96.9 97.3 94.4 Average of 88.3 85.8 88.3 84.96 % 80.8 80.6 80 69.2 64.4 62.6 61.3 59.3 60 56.8 57.2 40 31.1 20 0 Source: Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
  • 30. TELEDENSITY 140000 Goa 120000 y = 429.3x + 12630 R² = 0.388 Delhi 100000 Haryana 80000 GSDP per Capita Maharashtra Gujarat Punjab Kerala Himachal Pradesh 60000 Tamil Nadu Karnataka Andhra Pradesh Sikkim Arunachal Pradesh Bengal West MeghalayaChhattisgarh Mizoram Tripura Orissa Uttarakhand 40000 Jammu & Kashmir Rajasthan Nagaland Jharkhand Manipur Madhya Pradesh Uttar Pradesh 20000 0 50 70 90 110 130 150 170 190 210 230 250 Teledensity Source: Ministry of telecom, Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
  • 31. DEBT TO GDP RATIO West Bengal 42.8 Prescribed limit according to the Uttaranchal 41.1 growth and stability Pact of EU Uttar Pradesh 43.5 Tripura 42.2 Tamil Nadu 25.5 Sikkim 80.6 Rajasthan 41.1 Punjab 35.2 Orissa 30.6 Nagaland 59.4 Mizoram 109.1 Meghalya 37.3 Manipur 77.4 Maharashtra 25.1 Madhya Pradesh 34.4 Kerala 34.3 Karnataka 24.3 Jharkhand 33.6 Jammu & Kashmir 70.1 Himachal 55.7 Haryana 19 Gujarat 32.1 Goa 35.5 Delhi 13.8 Prescribed limit according Chattisgarh 15.2 to WTO for developing Bihar 39.7 economies Assam 28 Arunachal 115.9 Andhra 30.1 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Source: Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
  • 32. RURAL POPULATION VERSUS RURAL POPULATION GROWTH RATES 4.000 Meghalaya Arunachal Pradesh Bihar Mizoram Manipur Jammu & Kashmir Jharkhand Rajasthan Chhattisgarh Madhya Pradesh Uttar Pradesh 2.000 Assam Himachal Pradesh Uttarakhand Orissa Maharashtra Haryana Gujarat Punjab KarnatakaBengal West Tamil Nadu Tripura Andhra Pradesh 0.000 Sikkim 10 100 1,000 10,000 100,000 1,000,000 Growth rate (CAGR 2001-2011) Nagaland Goa Thousands -2.000 Kerala -4.000 -6.000 Delhi -8.000 -10.000 Population in Rural areas as per census (provisional Data) in Thousands Source: Census 2011, Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
  • 33. URBAN POPULATION VERSUS URBAN POPULATION GROWTH RATES 12 Sikkim 10 Growth rate (CAGR 2001-2011) 8 Kerala Tripura 6 Nagaland Haryana 4 Manipur Uttarakhand Chhattisgarh Arunachal Pradesh Andhra Pradesh Jammu & Kashmir Goa Bihar Gujarat Jharkhand Karnataka Assam Orissa Rajasthan Uttar Pradesh Mizoram Punjab Delhi Madhya Pradesh West Bengal Tamil Nadu Maharashtra Meghalaya 2 Himachal Pradesh 0 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 Thousands Population in Urban areas as per census (provisional Data) in Thousands Source: Census 2011, Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
  • 34. 100,000,000 120,000,000 140,000,000 160,000,000 20,000,000 40,000,000 60,000,000 80,000,000 0 151,726 455,962 561,977 529037 313,446 1069165 906,309 551414 573,741 1406861 822,132 1899624 595,036 2368971 960,981 2,710,051 688,704 6167805 3,091,169 7,025,583 3,414,106 Source: Census 2011, Institute for Competitiveness Analysis 9134820 16,333,916 419319 8,821,588 Urban Population in 2011 16531493 5,936,538 19603658 10,387,436 RURAL AND URBAN POPULATION IN INDIA 17,316,800 4,388,756 26780516 7,929,292 25,036,946 15,932,171 17455506 6,996,124 Rural Population in 2011 34,951,234 25,712,811 34670817 23,578,175 37552529 17,080,776 51,540,236 34,949,729 37,189,229 20,059,666 52537899 28,353,745 56311788 29,134,060 62,213,676 11,729,609 92075028 50,827,531 61545441 44,470,455 155,111,022
  • 35. DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE IN GOA 108405 120000 105600 105120 102307 101066 90797 100000 79175 Population in Numbers 71922 80000 65424 58074 60000 48264 38150 40000 28859 21727 16871 11659 20000 8578 0 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80+ years years years years years years years years years years years year years years years years years Source: Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
  • 36. RURAL URBAN AND TOTAL POPULATION 120 Delhi Urban Population as a percentage of total Population 100 All India Average India 67.02% All 80 Goa Tamil Nadu Maharashtra 60 Kerala Mizoram Gujarat Karnataka All India Average Punjab Pradesh Andhra Bengal West Haryana 32.98% MadhyaUttar Pradesh Pradesh 40 Rajasthan Uttarakhand Manipur Jammu & Kashmir Jharkhand Nagaland Chhattisgarh Tripura Sikkim Orissa Arunachal Pradesh Bihar Meghalaya Assam 20 Himachal Pradesh 0 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 -20 Rural Population as a percentage of total Population Source: Census 2011, Institute for Competitiveness Analysis
  • 37. SEX RATIO VERSUS SEX RATIO GROWTH RATES 0.8 Delhi 0.7 0.6 All India Average 940 India females/1000 males Mizoram All 0.5 Nagaland 0.4 Arunachal Pradesh Goa CAGR growth rate 2001-11 All India Average Punjab Kerela 0.3 0.169% CAGR Haryana Assam 0.2 Sikkim Meghalaya Tripura Madhya Pradesh WestAndhra Pradesh Bengal Uttar Pradesh Manipur Himachal Pradesh Rajasthan Tamil Nadu Jharkhand 0.1 Maharashtra Orissa Karnataka Chattisgarh Uttarakhand Gujarat 0 0 200 400 600 800 Bihar 1000 1200 -0.1 Jammu and Kashmir -0.2 -0.3 Sex ratio Source: Census 2011, Institute for Competitiveness Analysis