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Mc afee econ data

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Mc afee econ data

  1. 1. A Bunch of Data about the US Economy and Workforce Andrew McAfee, MIT amcafee@mit.edu @amcafee 1
  2. 2. Trends Trends in US GDP, Profits, and Investment 1995-2013 Level of GDP, Profits, and Investment (Jan-95 = 100) 400 GDP Corporate Investment: Equipment and Software 350 All Profits After Tax 300 Non-Financial Profits After Tax 250 200 150 100 50 0 1995 1997 © Andrew McAfee, 2014 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 Source: research.stlouisfed.org
  3. 3. Trends Trends in US GDP, Profits, Investment, and Employment, 1995-2013 GDP 78 Corporate Investment: Equipment and Software 350 All Profits After Tax 300 Non-Financial Profits After Tax 73 Employment to Population Ratio 250 200 68 150 100 63 Employment-Population Ratio Level of GDP, Profits, and Investment (Jan-95 = 100) 400 50 0 58 1995 1997 © Andrew McAfee, 2014 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 Source: research.stlouisfed.org
  4. 4. Duration of Unemployment Median & Mean Duration of Unemployment, 1948-2013 45 40 Mean 35 # of Weeks 30 25 20 Median 15 10 5 0 1948 1953 1958 1963 1968 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 © Andrew McAfee, 2014 Source: research.stlouisfed.org
  5. 5. Job Creation US Job Growth by Decade, 1940s-2000s Percentage Change in Non-Farm Payroll Employment 45% 40% 1940s, 37.7% 35% 1960s, 31.3% 30% 25% 1970s, 27.4% 1950s, 24.5% 20% 1980s, 20.2% 1990s, 19.8% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2000s, -1.0% -5% 1 © Andrew McAfee, 2014 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Year in Decade Source: research.stlouisfed.org
  6. 6. Profit vs Labor Corporate Profits After Tax as % of GDP & Non-Farm Labor Share, 1947-2013 120 Corporate Profit as % of GDP 117 114 8 111 6 108 105 4 Labor Share (2009 = 100) Corproate Profits as % of GDP 10 102 2 99 Labor Share of GDP 0 1947 © Andrew McAfee, 2014 96 1958 1969 1980 1991 2002 2013 Source: research.stlouisfed.org
  7. 7. Skill Disparities Changes in Wages for Full-Time, Full-Year Male U.S. Workers, 1963-2008 Graduate School Composition-Adjusted Real Log Weekly Wages 0.6 0.5 0.4 College Graduate 0.3 0.2 Some College 0.1 High School Graduate 0.0 -0.1 1963 1968 © Andrew McAfee, 2014 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 High School Dropout 2008 Source: Acemoglu and Autor, 2010 http://economics.mit.edu/files/7006
  8. 8. Superstar Earners U.S. Top 0.01% Income Share, 1913-2012 7.0% 6.0% Income Share 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 1913 1922 © Andrew McAfee, 2014 1931 1940 1949 1958 1967 1976 1985 1994 2003 2012 Source: Saez, 2013: http://elsa.berkeley.edu/~saez/saez-UStopincomes-2012.pdf
  9. 9. The Great Decoupling US Productivity, Real GDP per capita, Employment and Income: 19472012 400 1947=100 300 200 Labor Productivity 100 Private Employment Median Family Income Real GDP per Capita US 0 1950 © Andrew McAfee, 2014 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2012 Source: research.stlouisfed.org

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