Denmark's Green Future

1. Denmark’s
Green Future
Professor Poul Erik Morthorst
Systems Analysis Division

2. Source: The
Emissions GAP
Report 2015
Global
Greenhouse
gas
missions
COP21
The Emissions GAP
Report 2015
EU 80-95%
reduction by
2050
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3. 146 countries reported to COP21
Source: The
Emissions GAP
Report 2015
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4. Last news….
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Kilde: DMI,
2016

5. Long term Vision
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“ We can both reduce Danish emissions of
greenhouse gasses significantly, and make
Denmark independent of fossil fuels. This will
require a total conversion of the Danish
energy system”
- Danish Commission on Climate
Change Policy
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1990 '95 '00 '05 '10 '14
Oil Natural gas
Coal and coke Renewable energy etc.
Gross energy consumption by fuel
PJ
Adjusted

6. What do we need to do....
Source: Danish Energy
Agency and Climate
Commission
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Gross Energy
Consumption 2050
Denmark has to be
independent of fossil fuels by
2050
Oil
36%
Natural gas
18%
Coal
19%
Waste
2%
Renewable
energy
25%
GrossEnergyConsumption2013Gross Energy
Consumption 2013

7. The Future Energy System
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Main Future Trends:
• An Energy System dominated by
electricity
• Intermittent sources will have to play a
large role
• Very large Wind Power Capacity
• Solar??
• The Resource of Biomass is limited
• Radical change in trans-port system
• Electric cars, hydrogen, bio-ethanol.....?

8. Foto:
Elsam A/
S
Wind Power
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Source
:
Danish
Energy
Agency
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
15,0%
20,0%
25,0%
30,0%
35,0%
40,0%
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
1990 '95 '00 '05 '10 '14
Wind power offshore capacity, MW
Wind power onshore capacity, MW
Wind power's share of domestic electricity supply, %
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1 49 97 145 193 241 289 337 385 433 481 529 577 625 673 721
Hours in January '07
WindProduction/PowerConsumption%

9. 23/6-201
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Source: Energinet.dk

10. Thank you
for your Attention
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Professor Poul Erik Morthorst
The Technical University of
Denmark
E-mail: pemo@dtu.dk