The document discusses shoplifting incidents at a large shopping center. It reports that on average there are 1.5 incidents of shoplifting caught by security every 8 hours. The shopping center is open from 10am to 9pm (11 hours). The Poisson probability distribution would be a good choice to model the random variable r which represents the number of incidents in an 11 hour period, because shoplifting occurrences are rare and independent events. The document asks for the probabilities of: (1) at least one incident, (2) at least three incidents, and (3) no incidents based on this Poisson model.