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Alicorn Consulting (Nigeria) Limited
Alicorn Consulting Limited Fundamentals Of Financial Markets National Pension Commission, Abuja March-April, 2011
[Day 1]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Training Course Outline
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Training Course Outline
The Financial System – at a glance Personal Corporate Government Savings = Investment Money & Capital Markets Intermediation Personal Corporates Government Savings = Investment Corporates Government Banks Brokers Insurance/Re-Insurance
The Financial System & Environment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Financial System & Environment
Macroeconomic Variables & Nigeria Economy  …looking back and ahead
Understanding & Interpreting Macroeconomic Variables ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Key Economic Variables & Market Performance: 2000 – 2007   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Population growth  rate ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Market Dividend Yield
Key Economic Variables & Market Performance: 2008(Q4)   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Population growth  rate ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Market Dividend Yield
Key Economic Variables & Market Performance: 2009   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Population growth  rate ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Market Dividend Yield
Key Economic Variables & Market Performance: 2010   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Population growth  rate ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Market Dividend Yield
Key Economic Variables & Market Performance Outlook: 2011 ,[object Object],? ,[object Object],? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Population growth  rate ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Market Dividend Yield
Understanding Fiscal & Monetary Policy
The Central Bank of Nigeria
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Monetary & Fiscal Policies
Monetary & Fiscal Policies ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Monetary & Fiscal Policies
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Monetary & Fiscal Policies
Understanding the Nigerian Money & Capital Markets
Financial Institutions Financial Institutions are intermediaries that channel the savings/deposits/investments of individuals, businesses and governments to productive use.   Financial Markets Made up generally of: ·        Money Markets - short-term funding Markets ·        Capital Markets  - long-term funding Markets Money & Capital Markets
MAJOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS IN NIGERIA - Banks  -Insurance Companies -Discount Houses -Pension Funds Administrators  -Fund Custodians -Stockbrokerage Houses -Mortgage Finance Companies Money & Capital Markets
INTERMEDIATION ROLES OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS IN THE FINANCIAL MARKETS Money & Capital Markets Banks  -   Accept demand, savings and time deposits,  and make loans directly to borrowers or through the financial markets .  -   Act as issuing houses for companies raising funds in the capital market .  -   Act as underwriters for new issues in the capital market
Insurance Companies Receive premium payments from insured parties.  Premiums received are invested for capital preservation and growth.   Discount Houses Their main role is to make two-way market for Government securities. Act as underwriters for all government securities not sold in the market. Pension Funds Administrators Set up so that employees of various companies and governments agencies can make contributions and receive income after retirement.  Accumulated Funds are usually invested via the financial markets.   Mortgage Finance Companies Similar to banks (take deposits and book loans) except they do not operate current accounts.  They lend funds primarily to individuals and businesses for real estate mortgage loans.  Funds are also invested in financial and real estates Markets.   Money & Capital Markets
Stock Broking Firms They buy and sell securities on a recognized Exchange on behalf of their clients. Investment Trust Companies Their business is investing in the stocks and bonds of other companies and the government. Unit Trust Companies Pool funds from savers through sale of shares, and bonds issued by various businesses and governments. Create a diversified and professionally managed portfolio of securities to achieve a specified investment objective, such as capital preservation, liquidity with a high return.    Venture Capital Companies They specialize in raising funds for new business ventures.    Money & Capital Markets
Break! {10.30-11.00am}
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Training Course Outline
Participants in the Nigerian Financial Markets  ,[object Object]
Financial Markets Regulatory Agencies
Financial Market Regulators  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Securities and Exchange Commission ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],03/29/11
The Nigerian Stock Exchange (an SRO) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The Nigerian Stock Exchange
A financial instrument is any contract that gives rise to a  financial asset  of one entity and a  financial liability  or equity instrument of another entity. Features of Financial Assets & Liabilities
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Features of Financial Assets & Liabilities
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Features of Financial Assets & Liabilities
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Features of Financial Assets and Liabilities
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Features of Financial Assets and Liabilities
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Features of Financial Assets and Liabilities
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Features of Financial Assets and Liabilities
Features of Financial Assets and Liabilities ,[object Object],[object Object],Bonds ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Notes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Description Type
Banks’ Clearing & Settlement Systems in Nigeria
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Training Course Outline
Introduction to Money Market Instruments
The Role of Money Market in Financial Intermediation
Short-term Debt Instruments [Demand Deposit]
Interest Rate Bearing & Discounted Instruments ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Certificate of Deposits (CDs)/ Call Deposits ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Short-term Debt Instruments [Call Deposit]
Short-term Debt Instruments [Savings Deposit]
Short-term Debt Instruments [Commercial Papers]
Commercial Papers (CPs) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Commercial Papers (CPs)
Short-term Debt Instruments [Bankers’ Acceptances]
Bankers’ Acceptances (BAs) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Short-term Debt Instruments [Treasury Bills]
Treasury Bills: An Introduction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Treasury Bills - Features ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Treasury Bills – Overview Contd’ Page  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Treasury Bills – Overview Contd’ Page  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Treasury Bills – Overview Contd’ Page  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Treasury Bills – Overview Contd’ Page  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Discount Factor/Price/DV/ Yield Quotation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Page
Discount Factor/Price/DV/ Yield Quotation Contd’ ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Page
Discount Factor/Price/DV/ Yield Quotation Contd’ ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Page
Discount Factor/Price/DV/ Yield Quotation Contd’ ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Page
Holding Period Yield  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Page
Medium-Long Term Fixed Income [Treasury Notes]
Medium-Long Term Fixed Income [Treasury Bonds]
Repurchase Agreement [Repo]
Forward Rate Agreement & Swaps
Lunch! {2.00-3.00pm}
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Training Course Outline
[Day 2]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Training Course Outline
Introduction  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction – Measuring Market Performance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction – Measuring Market Performance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction – Measuring Market Performance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction – Measuring Market Performance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction – Measuring Market Performance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction – Measuring Market Performance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Introduction – Measuring Market Performance ,[object Object],100   117.8   113.3   100   Price-weighted 100   114.3   109.1   100   Value-weighted   40   44   41   40 Stock 3   20   25   26   20 Stock 2   30   37   35   30 Stock 1                   Index Price Index Price Index Price Index Price   t=3 t=2 t=1 t=0  
Introduction – Measuring Market Performance ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Attributes of  Some Popular Stock Market Indices ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Attributes of  Some Popular Stock Market Indices Not Included value-weighted 33 stocks trading on Hong Kong Stock Exchange Hang Seng Not Included price-weighted 225 stocks trading on Tokyo Stock Exchange NIKKEI 225 Not Included value-weighted 40 stocks trading on Premier Marche  CAC 40 Included value-weighted 30 stocks trading on Frankfurt Stock Exchange DAX Not Included value-weighted 100 stocks trading on LSE FTSE 100 Not Included value-weighted 100 stocks trading on major markets of Europe Eurotop 50 Not Included price-weighted 30 stocks trading on NYSE & NASDAQ DJIA Not Included value-weighted 500 stocks trading on NYSE, AMEX & NASDAQ S&P 500 Dividend Weighting Components  
Attributes of  The NSE All-Share Index ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
Break! {10.30-11.00am}
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Section 3: Understanding & Pricing Capital Market Instruments
The NSE & CSCS Trading Dynamics
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Flow of Trades – the CSCS
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Flow of Trades (cont.)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Flow of Trades (cont.)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Transaction Day  (T0) Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Stock in pending state (in buyer’s and seller’s account). *’Not’ available for resale and not settled in buyer’s account: cannot be sold by the buyer. Stock settled in buyer’s account( seller’s account credited for stock  and buyer’s account  cash debited  with Settlement banks) Trade took place (sold if stock is available in client’s account) Flow of Trades – the CSCS
[object Object],Transaction Cycle [T+3 ] Delivery Versus Payment (DVP) Day T.       Transactions occur on the floors of The Exchange without pre-funding of    Trading Accounts by stockbrokers. Investors are informed. Day T +1      Stockbroking firms inform clients of purchases/shares made for them Day T+2       On or before 12 noon of Day T+2, Settlement Bank alert CSCS about    the possibility of any broker’s inability to meet his financial obligation on Day  T+3.    Day T+3       Account must be funded on/or before 9.00 a.m. (before clearing). for Day T transaction. Note – T- Transaction Day. Flow of Trades – the CSCS
INVESTORS IN CSCS & TRANSACTION FLOW VIA CERTIFICATES VIA THE SECONDARY MARKET WSP Deposit certificates with NSE licensed Stockbrokers Broker forwards relevant information (electronically) to CSCS CSCS issue CHN and Investor account to investors Stockbroker sends Certificate Deposit Form, original certificate to company registrar for verification Complete relevant KYC forms & Transfer forms: as transferor If signature okay, registrar sends verified item to CSCS for lodgment If signature or documentation error, registrar sends unverified item to stockbroker for reprocessing Complete relevant KYC forms, CSCS Shareholder Particulars Form (R005) & Transfer forms: as transferee Broker forwards relevant information (electronically) to CSCS CSCS issues CHN* and Investor account to investors *One CSCS  CHN serves for multiple accounts with stockbrokers Stockbroker executes BUY mandate using Investor account number into CSCS Depository Stock settles on T+3 Days into CSCS Stockbroker forwards completed Transfer Form( Transferee) to Registrar CSCS Client info Broker info Securities info Broker “A”
NSE-CSCS Trading Connectivity Identity Verification Broker “A” CSCS Processor Server Brokers Record Clients Record NSE Trading Engine Broker “B” Broker “C” Broker “D” Broker “E” Brokers Record Clients Record Clients Record Securities Record Securities Record
[object Object],[object Object],Transaction Day  (T0) Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Stock in pending state (in buyer’s and seller’s account). *’Not’ available for resale and not settled in buyer’s account: cannot be sold by the buyer. Stock settled in buyer’s account( seller’s account credited for stock  and buyer’s account  cash debited  with Settlement banks) Trade took place (sold if stock is available in client’s account) Flow of Trades – the CSCS
Netting of CSCS Trades Mechanism Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Broker “H” NIBSS Settlement Bank “Z” Broker “F” Broker “D” Broker “B” Broker “A” Settlement Bank “Y” Settlement Bank “X” Broker “C” Broker “G” Broker “E”
The NSE Automated Trading System
Following the Market Trading
Placing  Sell  Instruction while Trading
Placing  Buy  Instruction while Trading
Placing  Buy & Sell  Instruction while Trading
Open Positions of  a Trader
Discovering Market by  Order Size
Discovering Market by  Stock Price
Stock Prices & Other Details
Observing Gainers & Losers
Observing Stocks Trading in  Continuous Trading State
Lunch! {2.00-3.00pm}
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Training Course Outline
Share Verification and Registration
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Verification Procedures
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Pre-execution Funding Policy
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],BackOffice Transaction Processing
Documentation of Transactions
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],BackOffice Processes & Reporting
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],BackOffice Processes & Reporting
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],BackOffice Processes & Reporting
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],BackOffice Processes & Reporting
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Broker Transaction Reporting
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Broker Transaction Reporting
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Broker Transaction Reporting
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Broker Transaction Reporting
Operational Failures – BackOffice Challenges ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],ROOT CAUSE IMPACT ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Flow of Trades – the CSCS   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Flow of Trades – the CSCS
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Flow of Trades (cont.)
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Flow of Trades (cont.)
[object Object],[object Object],Transaction Day  (T0) Day 1 Day 2 Day 3 Stock in pending state (in buyer’s and seller’s account). *’Not’ available for resale and not settled in buyer’s account: cannot be sold by the buyer. Stock settled in buyer’s account( seller’s account credited for stock  and buyer’s account  cash debited  with Settlement banks) Trade took place (sold if stock is available in client’s account) Flow of Trades – the CSCS
[object Object],Transaction Cycle [T+3 ] Delivery Versus Payment (DVP) Day T.       Transactions occur on the floors of The Exchange without pre-funding of    Trading Accounts by stockbrokers. Investors are informed. Day T +1      Stockbroking firms inform clients of purchases/shares made for them Day T+2       On or before 12 noon of Day T+2, Settlement Bank alert CSCS about    the possibility of any broker’s inability to meet his financial obligation      on Day  T+3.    Day T+3       Account must be funded on/or before 9.00 a.m (before clearing). for Day T transaction. Note – T- Transaction Day. Flow of Trades – the CSCS
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],Arithmetic of Rights Trading-Case 1  (the case of 1 new share for every existing 5 ordinary shares) At a market price of N25.48 per share  while new rights issue costs N20.00, to avoid holding dilution, the combined share will cost N24.57 ((1*20.00 + 5*25.48)/6) per share.  Hence the rights share is worth N4.57 (N24.57-N20.00)  to qualified shareholders.
[object Object],Arithmetic of Rights Trading-Case 2  (the case of 4 new shares for every existing 1 Ordinary shares) At a market price of N6.50 per share  while new rights issue costs N3.50, to avoid holding dilution, the combined share will cost N4.10 ((4*3.50 + 1*6.50)/5) per share.  Hence the share is worth N0.60 (N4.10-N3.50)  to qualified shareholders.
Capital Appreciation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How to Claim Your Dividend ,[object Object],[object Object]
Revalidation of Stalled Dividend Warrants ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Problems with Stock Investment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Share Registration & Verification
Causes of the Problems identified  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Nigerian  Stock Market – Current  Growth Drivers   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Some Important Dates in the Market ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Placing Orders and Executing Trades ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Share Registration and Management ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Pre-CSCS Challenges ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Clearing & Settlement of Securities
Clearing & Settlement of Securities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Clearing & Settlement of Securities
Front & Back Office Management Processes
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Front Office Management Processes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The First task is the  verification of the signature  on all documents!
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Unclaimed Dividend Warrants Revalidation
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Re-issuance of Duplicate Certificate to a Shareholder
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Re-issuance Of Duplicate Certificate To A Shareholder
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Re-issuance of Duplicate Certificate to a Shareholder
RE-ISSUANCE OF UNSTALED (Less than six months) DIVIDEND WARRANTS?
[Day 3]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Training Course Outline
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Efficient Markets Hypothesis
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS S/N PRICE FIELD FIELD DESCRIPTION 1. LCLOSE This the previous day closing price of the security.   OPEN This represents the first trade done at the open of the market. The consensus price agreed upon by two or more traders as orders begin to be matched. 2. HIGH The highest price for which brokers traded the security during a trading session. The maximum price should not exceed  5 per cent of the previous day closing price .  This is also the highest price at which any buyer was willing to buy during the trading session (resistance beyond this point). 3. LOW The lowest point at which brokers traded the security during the session. The lowest price should not be less than  5 per cent below previous day closing price .  This also represented the lowest point sellers were willing to consummate trades with buyers in the market. 4. CLOSE The last price at which buyer(s) and seller(s) consummated a trade just before the close of the trading session. This is the price often reported to the investing public by the media!
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS S/N PRICE FIELD FIELD DESCRIPTION 5. CHANGE The difference between the previous day closing price and today closing price. This change should be within the band of –5.0% and +5.0% of the previous day closing price. 6. DEALS/TRADES This is the number of deals carried out between buyers and sellers during the trading session. Note that deals are counted on the basis of trading between clients’ accounts and not on broker basis – a broker can be a buyer and seller simultaneously using different accounts (case of cross deals). 7. VOLUME This is the total number of security (shares) traded during the trading session. 8. VALUE This is the value of trade carried out on a security during the trading session. Always difficult to determine on the face of the price report.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Speculative/day Trading  5-12 days Short Term Trading  14-25 days Medium Term 25-100 days Long Term 100-200 days
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Break! {10.30-11.00am}
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Active Asset Selection
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Absolute & Relative Valuation
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Absolute (Intrinsic) Valuation
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Methods – Absolute & Relative Valuation
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Asset Based Methods
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Relative Valuation – Earning Multiples
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Valuation – Earnings Basis
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Relative Valuation – Revenue Multiples
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],From Intrinsic to Relative Valuation
A company with  a required rate of return of 15%, a dividend payout of 40% with a return on equity of 18% in a market with a risk free rate of return of 7%. What is the P/E ratio of the company? Applications  (looking out for constant growth rate) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],Applications  (looking out for cost of equity - k) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],Applications ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PE Ratio Advocates
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PE Ratio Advocates
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],PER – Behind the scene!
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],EVA – Economic Value Added
[object Object]
It is all about determining the  future price  of securities  today .
[object Object],[object Object],Equities Research - Introduction
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Equities Research - Introduction
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],What you should know
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Data & Information Sources
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Top-down & Bottom-up Approaches
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Top-down & Bottom-up Approaches
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Top-down & Bottom-up Approaches
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Top-down & Bottom-up Approaches
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Top-down & Bottom-up Approaches
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Top-down & Bottom-up Approaches
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Top-down & Bottom-up Approaches
[object Object]
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
Fundamentals of Financial Markets
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Fundamentals of Financial Markets
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Fundamentals of Financial Markets
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Fundamentals of Financial Markets

  • 2. Alicorn Consulting Limited Fundamentals Of Financial Markets National Pension Commission, Abuja March-April, 2011
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. The Financial System – at a glance Personal Corporate Government Savings = Investment Money & Capital Markets Intermediation Personal Corporates Government Savings = Investment Corporates Government Banks Brokers Insurance/Re-Insurance
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. Macroeconomic Variables & Nigeria Economy …looking back and ahead
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. Understanding Fiscal & Monetary Policy
  • 17. The Central Bank of Nigeria
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22. Understanding the Nigerian Money & Capital Markets
  • 23. Financial Institutions Financial Institutions are intermediaries that channel the savings/deposits/investments of individuals, businesses and governments to productive use.   Financial Markets Made up generally of: ·        Money Markets - short-term funding Markets ·        Capital Markets - long-term funding Markets Money & Capital Markets
  • 24. MAJOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS IN NIGERIA - Banks -Insurance Companies -Discount Houses -Pension Funds Administrators -Fund Custodians -Stockbrokerage Houses -Mortgage Finance Companies Money & Capital Markets
  • 25. INTERMEDIATION ROLES OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS IN THE FINANCIAL MARKETS Money & Capital Markets Banks - Accept demand, savings and time deposits, and make loans directly to borrowers or through the financial markets . - Act as issuing houses for companies raising funds in the capital market . - Act as underwriters for new issues in the capital market
  • 26. Insurance Companies Receive premium payments from insured parties. Premiums received are invested for capital preservation and growth.   Discount Houses Their main role is to make two-way market for Government securities. Act as underwriters for all government securities not sold in the market. Pension Funds Administrators Set up so that employees of various companies and governments agencies can make contributions and receive income after retirement. Accumulated Funds are usually invested via the financial markets.   Mortgage Finance Companies Similar to banks (take deposits and book loans) except they do not operate current accounts. They lend funds primarily to individuals and businesses for real estate mortgage loans. Funds are also invested in financial and real estates Markets. Money & Capital Markets
  • 27. Stock Broking Firms They buy and sell securities on a recognized Exchange on behalf of their clients. Investment Trust Companies Their business is investing in the stocks and bonds of other companies and the government. Unit Trust Companies Pool funds from savers through sale of shares, and bonds issued by various businesses and governments. Create a diversified and professionally managed portfolio of securities to achieve a specified investment objective, such as capital preservation, liquidity with a high return.   Venture Capital Companies They specialize in raising funds for new business ventures.   Money & Capital Markets
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38. A financial instrument is any contract that gives rise to a financial asset of one entity and a financial liability or equity instrument of another entity. Features of Financial Assets & Liabilities
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46. Banks’ Clearing & Settlement Systems in Nigeria
  • 47.
  • 48. Introduction to Money Market Instruments
  • 49. The Role of Money Market in Financial Intermediation
  • 50. Short-term Debt Instruments [Demand Deposit]
  • 51.
  • 52.
  • 53. Short-term Debt Instruments [Call Deposit]
  • 54. Short-term Debt Instruments [Savings Deposit]
  • 55. Short-term Debt Instruments [Commercial Papers]
  • 56.
  • 57.
  • 58. Short-term Debt Instruments [Bankers’ Acceptances]
  • 59.
  • 60. Short-term Debt Instruments [Treasury Bills]
  • 61.
  • 62.
  • 63.
  • 64.
  • 65.
  • 66.
  • 67.
  • 68.
  • 69.
  • 70.
  • 71.
  • 72. Medium-Long Term Fixed Income [Treasury Notes]
  • 73. Medium-Long Term Fixed Income [Treasury Bonds]
  • 77.
  • 79.
  • 80.
  • 81.
  • 82.
  • 83.
  • 84.
  • 85.
  • 86.
  • 87.
  • 88.
  • 89.
  • 90.
  • 91.
  • 92.
  • 93.
  • 94.
  • 95.
  • 96.
  • 97.
  • 98.
  • 99.
  • 100.
  • 101. Attributes of Some Popular Stock Market Indices Not Included value-weighted 33 stocks trading on Hong Kong Stock Exchange Hang Seng Not Included price-weighted 225 stocks trading on Tokyo Stock Exchange NIKKEI 225 Not Included value-weighted 40 stocks trading on Premier Marche CAC 40 Included value-weighted 30 stocks trading on Frankfurt Stock Exchange DAX Not Included value-weighted 100 stocks trading on LSE FTSE 100 Not Included value-weighted 100 stocks trading on major markets of Europe Eurotop 50 Not Included price-weighted 30 stocks trading on NYSE & NASDAQ DJIA Not Included value-weighted 500 stocks trading on NYSE, AMEX & NASDAQ S&P 500 Dividend Weighting Components  
  • 102.
  • 103.
  • 104.
  • 106.
  • 107. The NSE & CSCS Trading Dynamics
  • 108.
  • 109.
  • 110.
  • 111.
  • 112.
  • 113. INVESTORS IN CSCS & TRANSACTION FLOW VIA CERTIFICATES VIA THE SECONDARY MARKET WSP Deposit certificates with NSE licensed Stockbrokers Broker forwards relevant information (electronically) to CSCS CSCS issue CHN and Investor account to investors Stockbroker sends Certificate Deposit Form, original certificate to company registrar for verification Complete relevant KYC forms & Transfer forms: as transferor If signature okay, registrar sends verified item to CSCS for lodgment If signature or documentation error, registrar sends unverified item to stockbroker for reprocessing Complete relevant KYC forms, CSCS Shareholder Particulars Form (R005) & Transfer forms: as transferee Broker forwards relevant information (electronically) to CSCS CSCS issues CHN* and Investor account to investors *One CSCS CHN serves for multiple accounts with stockbrokers Stockbroker executes BUY mandate using Investor account number into CSCS Depository Stock settles on T+3 Days into CSCS Stockbroker forwards completed Transfer Form( Transferee) to Registrar CSCS Client info Broker info Securities info Broker “A”
  • 114. NSE-CSCS Trading Connectivity Identity Verification Broker “A” CSCS Processor Server Brokers Record Clients Record NSE Trading Engine Broker “B” Broker “C” Broker “D” Broker “E” Brokers Record Clients Record Clients Record Securities Record Securities Record
  • 115.
  • 116. Netting of CSCS Trades Mechanism Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Dr /Cr Broker “H” NIBSS Settlement Bank “Z” Broker “F” Broker “D” Broker “B” Broker “A” Settlement Bank “Y” Settlement Bank “X” Broker “C” Broker “G” Broker “E”
  • 117. The NSE Automated Trading System
  • 119. Placing Sell Instruction while Trading
  • 120. Placing Buy Instruction while Trading
  • 121. Placing Buy & Sell Instruction while Trading
  • 122. Open Positions of a Trader
  • 123. Discovering Market by Order Size
  • 124. Discovering Market by Stock Price
  • 125. Stock Prices & Other Details
  • 127. Observing Stocks Trading in Continuous Trading State
  • 129.
  • 130. Share Verification and Registration
  • 131.
  • 132.
  • 133.
  • 135.
  • 136.
  • 137.
  • 138.
  • 139.
  • 140.
  • 141.
  • 142.
  • 143.
  • 144.
  • 145.
  • 146.
  • 147.
  • 148.
  • 149.
  • 150.
  • 151.
  • 152.
  • 153.
  • 154.
  • 155.
  • 156.
  • 157.
  • 158.
  • 159.
  • 160.
  • 161.
  • 162.
  • 163.
  • 164.
  • 165.
  • 166.
  • 167.
  • 168.
  • 169.
  • 170. Front & Back Office Management Processes
  • 171.
  • 172.
  • 173.
  • 174.
  • 175.
  • 176.
  • 177. RE-ISSUANCE OF UNSTALED (Less than six months) DIVIDEND WARRANTS?
  • 179.
  • 180.
  • 181.
  • 182.
  • 183.
  • 184.
  • 185.
  • 186. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS S/N PRICE FIELD FIELD DESCRIPTION 1. LCLOSE This the previous day closing price of the security.   OPEN This represents the first trade done at the open of the market. The consensus price agreed upon by two or more traders as orders begin to be matched. 2. HIGH The highest price for which brokers traded the security during a trading session. The maximum price should not exceed 5 per cent of the previous day closing price . This is also the highest price at which any buyer was willing to buy during the trading session (resistance beyond this point). 3. LOW The lowest point at which brokers traded the security during the session. The lowest price should not be less than 5 per cent below previous day closing price . This also represented the lowest point sellers were willing to consummate trades with buyers in the market. 4. CLOSE The last price at which buyer(s) and seller(s) consummated a trade just before the close of the trading session. This is the price often reported to the investing public by the media!
  • 187. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS S/N PRICE FIELD FIELD DESCRIPTION 5. CHANGE The difference between the previous day closing price and today closing price. This change should be within the band of –5.0% and +5.0% of the previous day closing price. 6. DEALS/TRADES This is the number of deals carried out between buyers and sellers during the trading session. Note that deals are counted on the basis of trading between clients’ accounts and not on broker basis – a broker can be a buyer and seller simultaneously using different accounts (case of cross deals). 7. VOLUME This is the total number of security (shares) traded during the trading session. 8. VALUE This is the value of trade carried out on a security during the trading session. Always difficult to determine on the face of the price report.
  • 188.
  • 189.
  • 190.
  • 191.
  • 193.
  • 194.
  • 195.
  • 196.
  • 197.
  • 198.
  • 199.
  • 200.
  • 201.
  • 202.
  • 203.
  • 204.
  • 205.
  • 206.
  • 207.
  • 208.
  • 209.
  • 210.
  • 211.
  • 212. It is all about determining the future price of securities today .
  • 213.
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  • 215.
  • 216.
  • 217.
  • 218.
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  • 221.
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  • 224.

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Value of recording data in a consistent / standard format – losses, audit, KRI’s, external events – concentrations Once set up standard categorisation, it is important to then define what you mean, with examples, so that you get a consistent interpretation. Important if rolling out program across many branches / business groups
  2. 53 51 Discussing the US requirements here, but most jurisdictions follow this approach to a greater or lesser extent
  3. 55 53
  4. 41
  5. 61 59
  6. 50 48
  7. 51 49
  8. 58 56