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PLANNING
Then                                                                                             Now

Five Year                                                                                        Iterative
Plan
45,000,000%
                                                                                                 Management
40,000,000%

35,000,000%

30,000,000%

25,000,000%
                                                                                      Revenue%

20,000,000%                                                                           Expense%

                                                                                      EBITDA%
15,000,000%

10,000,000%

 5,000,000%

         0%
              2012%   2013%   2014%   2015%   2016%   2017%   2018%   2019%   2020%
!5,000,000%




                                                                                                       Copyright 2012 Cowan Publishing
PLANNING

45,000,000%

40,000,000%

35,000,000%

30,000,000%

25,000,000%
                                                                                      Revenue%

20,000,000%                                                                           Expense%

                                                                                      EBITDA%
15,000,000%

10,000,000%

 5,000,000%

         0%
              2012%   2013%   2014%   2015%   2016%   2017%   2018%   2019%   2020%
!5,000,000%




                                                                                                 Copyright 2012 Cowan Publishing
PLANNING
Do I have real evidence from my buyer that
this is compelling?

What are the key assumptions
required to make this business work?
Which are most important?

How do I definitely prove or disprove
the most important assumptions with
a minimum of time and effort?

Am I focused on proving out my
business model or responding to
‘urgencies’?
Was it true or untrue?

‘Pivot or persevere?’


                                             Copyright 2012 Cowan Publishing
PLANNING
Priority   Key Assumption              Needs Proving?   Experimentation


           [A key assumption about [Whether it needs    [Experiment to
1                                  proving
           the business]                                prove or disprove]

                                                        * Post the proposition in ads
           Parents want to better                       online
1          organize the distribution   Yes
           of allowances                                * Measure sign-up’s on a landing
                                                        page

           Parents have smart
2                                      No               n/a
           phones




                                                                      Copyright 2012 Cowan Publishing
PLANNING




           Copyright 2012 Cowan Publishing
PLANNING




                         $
           Copyright 2012 Cowan Publishing
(THE REST?)         www.alexandercowan.com/speaking



                    @cowanSF



                    www.alexandercowan.com/blog




                    www.alexandercowan.com/resources
 LEARN




           DESIGN



         VALIDATE




                    acowan@alexandercowan.com


                                                       Copyright 2012 Cowan Publishing

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Planning for Iterative Growth and Revenue Optimization

  • 1. PLANNING Then Now Five Year Iterative Plan 45,000,000% Management 40,000,000% 35,000,000% 30,000,000% 25,000,000% Revenue% 20,000,000% Expense% EBITDA% 15,000,000% 10,000,000% 5,000,000% 0% 2012% 2013% 2014% 2015% 2016% 2017% 2018% 2019% 2020% !5,000,000% Copyright 2012 Cowan Publishing
  • 2. PLANNING 45,000,000% 40,000,000% 35,000,000% 30,000,000% 25,000,000% Revenue% 20,000,000% Expense% EBITDA% 15,000,000% 10,000,000% 5,000,000% 0% 2012% 2013% 2014% 2015% 2016% 2017% 2018% 2019% 2020% !5,000,000% Copyright 2012 Cowan Publishing
  • 3. PLANNING Do I have real evidence from my buyer that this is compelling? What are the key assumptions required to make this business work? Which are most important? How do I definitely prove or disprove the most important assumptions with a minimum of time and effort? Am I focused on proving out my business model or responding to ‘urgencies’? Was it true or untrue? ‘Pivot or persevere?’ Copyright 2012 Cowan Publishing
  • 4. PLANNING Priority Key Assumption Needs Proving? Experimentation [A key assumption about [Whether it needs [Experiment to 1 proving the business] prove or disprove] * Post the proposition in ads Parents want to better online 1 organize the distribution Yes of allowances * Measure sign-up’s on a landing page Parents have smart 2 No n/a phones Copyright 2012 Cowan Publishing
  • 5. PLANNING Copyright 2012 Cowan Publishing
  • 6. PLANNING $ Copyright 2012 Cowan Publishing
  • 7. (THE REST?) www.alexandercowan.com/speaking @cowanSF www.alexandercowan.com/blog www.alexandercowan.com/resources LEARN DESIGN VALIDATE acowan@alexandercowan.com Copyright 2012 Cowan Publishing