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Degrees at Scale: What Does it Take?
Nelson Baker, Ph.D. & Yakut Gazi, Ph.D.
Yakut Gazi, Ph.D.
Assoc. Dean, Learning Systems
Sr. Academic Professional
IACEE Council Member
Nelson Baker, Ph.D.
Dean
Faculty, Civil & Environmental
Engineering
President-elect, UPCEA
Secretary General, IACEE
The Changing Face of the Georgia Tech Learner
GT Credit Seeking Students
GTPE Professional Development Students
GT Credit-Seeking Students
Online Credit Enrollments
Learners	We	Serve
Adult Learners Undergraduates K-12 Students&
Teachers
https://pe.gatech.edu/2018-impact-report
Structure of Workshop
• 4 sessions: part presentation, part Q/A
• Each session:
– Questions from room
– Questions from Slido activity
• Action Plan
– Have a document for you as an action plan to take
back.
Ask During the Session
http://www.slido.com with #T171
Action Plan Example
http://bit.ly/suny-action-plan
Section 1:
Rationale for
Programs at
Scale
Higher Education’s Iron Triangle
Accessibility
AffordabilityQuality
What is a Degree-at-Scale?
• High-demand fields?
• Non-credit to credit/ open
learning pathways?
• Collaboration with MOOC
platforms?
• Innovative business
models?
• Online?
• Address the iron triangle
EARLY EDUCATION
CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS
IRON TRIANGLE
CHANGING NATURE/PLACE OF
WORK
NEEDS AND CAPABILITIES
SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY OF
EDUCATION
The Changing Context
• Avg worker changes 10-15 jobs in
career
• 65% of schoolchildren will be employed
in jobs that haven’t been created
• Predicted that 50% of today’s jobs will
disappear by 2030
• In 1965: avg tenure on S&P 500 = 33
years
• By 1990= 20 years
• By 2026= 14 years
• ~50% of the S&P 500 will be replaced
over the next 10 years (Innosight
prediction)
Jobs will change
• Avg worker changes 10-
15 jobs in career
• 65% of schoolchildren will
be employed in jobs that
haven’t been created yet
• Predicted that 50% of
today’s jobs will
disappear by 2030
The Need for Renewal: Companies Won’t Last
Example	of	change	- GM
Reports Suggesting Change
• National Academy of Engineering, Engineering,
Technology and the Future of Work
https://www.nae.edu/19582/Bridge/142833/145193.aspx
• Occupational Shifts
https://upcea.edu/occupational-shifts-and-higher-
education-credentials/
• Adult Training and Education
https://nces.ed.gov/surveys/gemena/pdf/ATES2016.pdf
• Nearly every conference, global engineering gathering
• So, what is new now?
Online	Master	of	Science	Enrollment	History
876
4043
7636
10579
13836
20793
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 (est)
OMS CS OMS Analytics OMS Cybersecurity
Online	Master	of	Science
Enrollment	History
Initiative
New	products	and	Services
A	Snapshot	of	OMS	Learners	
Demographics	of	OMS	Analytics	1st Cohort	of	284	Students	
Growth	of	Degrees-at-Scale OMS	Learners	from	Georgia
1,000	of	the	10,000	OMSCS	and	OMS	
Analytics	learners	in	FY18	are	from	Georgia.
OMSCS:	10,000	learners	
since	2014	and	1,000	
graduates.	
OMS	Analytics:	1,200	
learners	since	2017.	
32
states
represented	
33%
from	
Georgia	
22
countries	
represented	
54%
of	learners	
are	30	or
older
97%
of	learners	
are	working	
professionals	
37%
of	learners	
already	have	
graduate	
degrees	
Degrees-at-Scale	Overview
Inaugural OMS Analytics class
Inaugural OMS-Analytics Students
Online
Part-time 95%
Median age 31
US Citizens 82%
# of countries 24
# of continents 6
11%
27%
u/r
minority
Female
• 7% Vice President or above at their companies
Current	Status
• OMS	CS
• Spring	‘19	unique	enrollment	exceeded	8,500
• Future	enrollment	growth	will	be	modest	(Steady	state	9,000	to	9,500)
• Approach	to	assigning	more	support	costs	is	being	taken
• 28	courses	are	available
• 1,000+	graduates	from	the	program
• To	date,	over	1,000	articles	about	the	degree
• 7%	more	Americans	will	get	this	degree	each	year	because	of	OMS	CS
• Dozens	of	followers,	but	avg	cost	is	$27K
• OMS Analytics
• Currently in second year (FY 19)
• More than a dozen courses currently available
• Spring	2019	students	just	under	2000
• Actual	demand	is	far	exceeding	 estimates;	Fall	applications	up	55%
• Steady	state	enrollment	projected	at	3,500	to	4,000
• Program	recently	approved	on	July	6,	2018
• Launched	January	2019
• Tuition	rate	of	$310/hour	 and	$194	SIF	approved
• Cost	of	the	degree	will	be	about	$12,000	– 32	hours
• Program	structure	more	complex	involving	 three	colleges:	Computing,	 Engineering	 and	
Ivan	Allen	
• Three	specialization	tracks:	Info	security,	Energy	Systems	and	Policy
• Academic	advising	is	critical
• Virtual	lab	environment
• Steady	state	enrollment	will	be	more	like	OMS	Analytics	– 3,500
• More	competition	 in	this	market
• Seed	funding	 is	uncertain,	but	promising
• Marketing	support	and	efforts	are	critical
• Six	OMSCS	courses	utilized
Current	Status- OMSA
OMS Cybersecurity
Current	Status
DEFINING	WHAT’S	NEXT
Read	the	report:
www.gatech.edu/ed-innovation
Who are	we serving?		What are	we	teaching?		Where are	we	teaching?	
LIBRARY	NEXT
REALIZING	THE	GEORGIA	TECH	COMMITMENT
Reflection on Session
http://www.slido.com with #T171
Section 2:
Financial Models
and Partnerships for
Scale
Financial Factors to consider – Variable versus Fixed
• Program and curriculum
development
• Online instructional
design and video costs
• Course revisions and
maintenance
• Student services
• Financial Aid
• Career services
• How much will students pay
per course/credit/degree?
• Enrollment projections
• Faculty compensation for
development
• Instructional staff
compensation
• Number of course sections
• Marketing costs
How to Get from Ground Zero: Funding Start-up Costs
Partnership Models
• Corporate partners
• Platform partners
• Online Program
Management Companies
• Others?
Self-Funded Models
• Unit reserves
• Central institutional funds
• System funds
• New initiative investment
funds
• Others?
Sample Budget Template
Patrice Miles, Asst. Dean for Finance and Operations,
Georgia Tech Professional Education
Online	Master’s	 in	Science	- Model	Element	Flow	
Model Setup
Enrollment Setup Financial Model Model Summary
Cost Setup
Online	Master’s	 in	Science	- Model	Setup	(1/3)
Salary	Expenses,	Other	Cost	&	Sponsorship	Setup
Salary	 Growth	Rate
Extra	 Comp	Fringe	
Rate
Staff	 Fringe	 Rate
Other	Costs
Personnel	 (fixed	 costs) %	Time Base AY18	 AY19	 AY20	 AY21	 AY22	 Program	 Hard	 Costs AY18	 AY19	 AY20	 AY21	 AY22	
Program	 Co-Executive	 Director	 (A) Proctored	 exams
Program	 Co-Executive	 Director	 (B) Space	Lab
Program	 Co-Executive	 Director	 (C) Marketing
Program	 Associate	 Director Supplies	 &	equipment
Student	 Assistants	 (5	x	10hr/wk) Travel
Dir-Prof	 Master's	 Programs Independent	 Program	 Evaluation/Auditor
Academic	 Program	 Manager	 II State	Authorization	 fees
Academic	 Advising	 Manager Misc.	
Academic	 Advisor	 II
Academic	 Advisor	 II Proctoring	 Costs Cost	 $	 Cost	 per	 x	
Academic	 Coord	 II Proctored	 exam	cost Stdt	Exam
Dir-Financial	 Admin	 II Proctoring	 setup	 cost Enrollment
Financial	 Analyst	 III
Academic	 Advisor	 II MARKETING	 (feeds	 Program	 Hard	Costs) AY18	 AY19	 AY20	 AY21	 AY22	
IT	/	Lab	Staff	(Systems	 Support	 Engr	 Sr) Personal	 Services
HR	Support	 Rolanda	 Powell
Asst	 Dir-Client	 Marketing	 II Chris	Walker
Marketing	 Mgr Vender	 Services
Faculty	Fringe Converge	 costs	(estimating	 5%	annual	fee	 increase)
Student	 Fringe Digital	 Ad	Spend
Staff	Fringe Video
Total	 Personnel	 (fixed	 Cost): Print	collateral
Print	Advertising
Study	Portals
Photography
Stock	 art
T-shirts	and	 other	promo	items
Other	 digital	 ads/3rd	party	 emails
Total
Sponsorship	 &	Support	 Estimate AY18	 AY19	 AY20	 AY21	 AY22	
Corporate	 Investment/sponsor
Other	 Investment
Total
Online	Master’s	 in	Science	- Model	Setup	(2/3)
Enrollment,	Program,	Student	Services,	&	Course	Setup
Enrollment	 Estimates Delivery	 Support
OMS	Space	Start	Enrollment Students	 per	 TA/Grader
Student	 Growth	 Rate %TA
%Grader
Stipend	 Increase	 YoY
TA	Monthly	 Stipend
Waivers
OMS	 Space	 Rate	 Charge	 Info Grader	 hours	 per	week
Program Grader	 Hourly	 Rate
Credit	 hours Summer	Weeks
$	per	credit	 hour Fall	Weeks
Fee- SIF Spring	 Weeks
Fee- Student	 Tech Summer	Months
Average	 credit	 hours	 per	course Fall	and	 Spring	 Months
Courses	 Per	Student,	 Fall	&	Spring	 avg. Fringe	 Rate	(Grad	Students)
Courses	 Per	Student,	 Summer Student	 Fringe	 Increase	YOY
Proctored	 exams	 per	term
Course	Offering	 &	Development	 Devlp.	 Convert	 Offer	
Quick	
Update	 Content	 Development,
Delivery	 and	 MaintenanceFall	2017
Spring	 2018 Creator
Summer	2018 Instructor	 - Course	 Delivery
Fall	2018 Instructor	 Content	 Maint.
Spring	 2019 Fringe	 Rate	(extra	Comp)
Summer	2019 Fringe	 Rate	(Full	 Time)
Fall	2019 Faculty	Fringe	 Increase	YOY
Spring	 2020 Production	 Cost	 per	Course
Summer	2020 Production	 Cost	 per	Course	 Annual	 Growth
Fall	2020 Finished	 Hours	 per	Course
Spring	 2021 Studio	 hours	 per	 Finished	 hour
Summer	2021 Editing	 Hours	 per	 Studio	 hour
Fall	2021 Quality	 Assurance	 Hours	 per	 hr
Spring	 	2022 Instructional	 Design	 per	 Finished	 Hour
Summer	2022 Online	 delivery	 Staff	Hours	 per	Video
Course	 Maintinance	 Rate
Course	 Maintinance Extra	Comp
Online	Master’s	 in	Science	- Model	Setup	(3/3)
Course	Production	&	Support
OMS	Space	Course-Level	Costs
Area Item	(Unit)
Course	Development	(per	course) LMS	Conversion		(per	course) Term	Support		(per	course)
#Units Rate/	Unit $ #	Units Rate/	Unit $ #	Units Rate/	Unit $
Production Studio	- incl.	staff	(hours)
Production Video	Editor/graphic/creative
TA Stipend	and	waiver
I.D. Instructional	design	(hours)
Delivery Online	delivery	staff	(hours)	
Delivery Closed	caption/encoding	svc
Dev.	cost/course: Conv./course: Conv./course:
Online	Master’s	 in	Science	- Model	Enrollments
OMS	 SPACE	 ENGINEERING	 ENROLLMENT	 ESTIMATOR
AY19 AY20 AY21 AY22
Fall	 2018 Spr	2019 Sum	 2019 Fall	 2019 Spr	2020 Sum	 2020 Fall	 2020 Spr	2021 Sum	 2021 Fall	 2021 Spr		 2022 Sum	 2022
Infosec New	 students	
Students	from	previous	term	
Graduates	
Semester	Drops	
Program	 Drops	
Term	 Enrollment	 Estimates	
Energy	 Systems New	 students	
Students	from	previous	term	
Graduates	
Semester	Drops	
Program	 Drops	
Term	 Enrollment	 Estimates	
Policy
New	 students	
Students	from	previous	term	
Graduates	
Semester	Drops	
Program	 Drops	
Term	 Enrollment	 Estimates	
OMS	 Space	 Term	 Enrollment	 Estimate
SPECIALIZATION
INITIAL	
ENROLLMENT
TERM-OVER-TERM	
GROWTH	 RATE	 I
TERM-OVER-TERM	
GROWTH	 RATE	 II
Infosec
Energy	 Systems
Policy
Term	 Drop	Rate %	of	all	 enrollments	 that	drop	each	 term
Permanent	Drop	Rate %	of	drops	each	 term	 that	are	 permanent	 (equates	 to	about	2%	of	enrollment)
Summer	 %	of	Spring	 %	of	spring	enrollments	 that	return	for	summer
Percent	of	students	who	start	OMS	 Space	 who	graduate	 after	n	terms...
Terms	 after	start	 (n)
%	of	cohort	graduating	 in	term
**Assumption:	 n%	of	a	starting	 cohort	graduate	 and	graduation	 is	 distributed	over	 a	 few	semesters**
Online	Master’s	 in	Science	- Financial	Model	(1/2)
Courses	&	Enrollments AY19 AY20
Fall	2018 Spr	2019 Sum	2019 Total Fall	2019 Spr	2020 Sum	2020 Total
Courses	Under	Development	
Courses	Converted		
Sections	Delivered	
Term	Enrollment	Estimates	
Term	Registration	Estimates	
Revenue		 AY19 AY20
Fall	2018 Spr	2019 Sum	2019 Total Fall	2019 Spr	2020 Sum	2020 Total
Total	Tuition	+	SIF
Tuition
SIF
Other	Investment/Sponsor
Corporate	Sponsor
GT	Funding
Revenue	&	Funding	Total
Expenses
AY19 AY20
Fall	2018 Spr	2019 Sum	2019 Total Fall	2019 Spr	2020 Sum	2020 Total
Course	Development	Expenses	
Content	Creation	Extra	Comp
Course	Maintenance	Extra	Comp
Faculty	Fringe
Content	Production	&	Maint.
Faculty	Personal	Services	Costs
Course	Delivery	Extra	Comp
Faculty	Course	Use	Fee
Faculty	Fringe
Online	Master’s	 in	Science	- Financial	Model	(2/2)
Expenses	Continued AY19 AY20
Fall	2018 Spr	2019 Sum	2019 Total Fall	2019 Spr	2020 Sum	2020 Total
TA	Cost
TA	Stipend
TA	Waiver
TA	Fringe
TAs	Needed
Graders	Cost
Grader	Compensation
Student	Fringe
Graders	Needed
Proctored	Exam	Cost
Exam	Cost
Exams	Needed
Setups	Needed
Staff	Personal	Services	Total
Program	Staff	Personal	Services
Program	Staff	Fringe
Program	Costs	Total
Space	lab
Marketing	Services
Supplies	&	equipment
Travel
Independent	Program	Eval/Audit
State	Authorization	fees
Misc	
Expenses	Total
Term	and	AY	Net
Online	Master’s	 in	Science	- Financial	Model	Summary
Online	Master	of	Science	in	Space	Engineering
The	degree	is	comprised	of	n	courses	(x	total	credits)	with	y	total	courses	being	offered	in	steady	state.					
AY18 AY19 AY20 AY21 AY22
Annual Enrollments (Fall, Spring, Summer) # # # # #
Revenue & Funding
Tuition and Institutional Fee $ $ $ $ $
Gifts and Reallocation of Institute Resources $ $ $ $ $
Total Estimated Revenues $ $ $ $ $
Expenses/Costs
Course Creation & Maintenance $ $ $ $ $
Course Delivery $ $ $ $ $
Program Staff $ $ $ $ $
Operations, Materials & Supplies $ $ $ $ $
Independent Program Evaluation/Auditor $ $ $ $ $
State Authorization fees $ $ $ $ $
Total Estimated Expenses $ $ $ $ $
AY Gain/Loss $ $ $ $ $
Cumulative Gain/Loss $ $ $ $ $
Reflection on Session
http://www.slido.com with #T171
Break
Section 3:
Design, Quality,
Teaching at Scale
Course Team
• Faculty
member(s)
• Instructional
designer
• Interactive media
producer
• Graphic designer
• Teaching
assistant*
Process
• Academic Programs
formal kick-off
• 6-8 months before
launch
Longer if course is new
• Pre-production
• Production
• Post-production
In-House Learning Design & Production
• 40+ year experience in teaching/learning at a
distance
• ID team: 7, IT team: 3, Producers: 5, Graphics
Designer: 1, Dig. Lrn. Support Spec: 1.
– 20+ more in other support roles
• 2 black-box studios, one self-service, one audio
studio (Whisper room), one studio with Lightboard
• 15 distance learning-equipped classrooms
In-house production
Master Control Facility
Black box studio (2)
Audio booth (Whisper Room)
”Self-service”	Studio
Course Design/Development Process
1. Project initiation/Partnership/Team Assignment
2. Course kick off meeting
3. Background information created
4. Work session(s)
5. Course outline/ timeline/ blueprint
9. Quality reviews
10. Implementation
• Beta-test
• Forum monitoring
• Revisions
11. Course refresh in 3 years
6. Recording/Production begins
7. Editing/media post-production
8. Platform build
• All course team members
are responsible
• Degree use versus open
access
• Does the faculty own the
materials?
• Does the editor/publisher
limit what the author(s) can
do?
• Public Domain/ Fair Use/
Teach Act
• “I use it in my F2F class”
• Consult with the library
often/ attend webinars
Quality Matters ©
Higher Ed Rubric Standards
• Focus Alignment
• Learning Objectives
• Assessments
• Instructional Materials
• Activities & Interactions
• Course Technology
• All work together to ensure
desired learning outcomes are
achieved
Continuing and Professional
Ed Rubric Standards
• Assist in the evaluation of
various structures and
modalities for non-credit
bearing courses
Learner Engagement
• 1/50 TA/student ratio
• Real-time office hours, Q&A sessions, exam
debriefs
• Course forums
– Student-created and run forums
– Rich discussions in forums - adult learners with
work experience
Engagement – OMS-CS
Canvas
Account Provisioned
and Courses Enrolled
canvas.gatech.edu
Udacity
Account Provisioned
and Courses Enrolled
udacity.com
Udacity
OMS-CS Video
Orientation
udacity.com
Udacity
Non-Graded
Programming
udacity.com
Udacity
Non-GradedExercises
udacity.com
YouTube
Video Lectures
Bonnie CLI
Graded Programming
bonnie.udacity.com
MOSS
Code Plagiarism
Detection
Peer Feedback
Peer Review
peerfeedback.gatech.edu
Piazza
Discussion Tool
(LTI)
ProctorTrack
Virtual Proctoring
(LTI)
Custom Scripts
Faculty/TA Functions
Banner
Grade Publishing
Yellow items are student-facing
Challenges -
• Gradebook on edX vs Canvas
• Accessibility features
• Integrations
• Blue Jeans / WebEx / YouTube Live /
Google Hangouts
• Discussion tool(s)
• Piazza forum / Canvas
Challenges -
• Multiple programs, multiple shells, multiple business
models, multiple cohorts, multiple content types
– OMSCS, OMS Analytics, OMS Cybersecurity now sharing courses
– edX audit, verified and degree track | content types
• Different assessments for different cohorts/content types
• Create in Spring, shorten for Summer, then apply
improvements to Fall à it never ends
• What does not scale?
– Group Assignments / Peer Review
– Skip Days (Specific Professor)
– Intro threads
Challenges
• 60+ social media sites created by students
• Attract and retain talent in Atlanta market
• Slow state business processes
– Procurement restrictions
Reflection on Session
http://www.slido.com with #T171
Section 4:
Strategic Collaborations
versus
Do-It-Yourself
Legacy of the
Year of the
MOOC
We learned a whole lot….
(and still learning)
• Industry needs
• Learner Persona
• Competition
• Key Messages /
Positioning Statement
• Email Nurturing
• Social Media
• Press
• Constant Monitoring
Market Research and Marketing
Business Plans
Online	Master	of	Science	in	Space	Engineering
The	degree	is	comprised	of	n	courses	(x	total	credits)	with	y	total	courses	being	offered	in	steady	state.					
AY18 AY19 AY20 AY21 AY22
Annual Enrollments (Fall, Spring, Summer) # # # # #
Revenue & Funding
Tuition and Institutional Fee $ $ $ $ $
Gifts and Reallocation of Institute Resources $ $ $ $ $
Total Estimated Revenues $ $ $ $ $
Expenses/Costs
Course Creation & Maintenance $ $ $ $ $
Course Delivery $ $ $ $ $
Program Staff $ $ $ $ $
Operations, Materials & Supplies $ $ $ $ $
Independent Program Evaluation/Auditor $ $ $ $ $
State Authorization fees $ $ $ $ $
Total Estimated Expenses $ $ $ $ $
AY Gain/Loss $ $ $ $ $
Cumulative Gain/Loss $ $ $ $ $
Learning Design across programs/platforms
• OMS-CS design and development
transitioned to GTPE from Udacity in 2018
• All Coursera MOOCs, PMs, OMS Analytics,
OMS Cyber and traditional distance
programs
• Integrated instructional design and
production team
• Learner differences
• Content variations
Institutional Readiness and Partnerships
• Many teams and areas of expertise
– Marketing
– Finance
– Design/development
– Learner services
– Technology
• What is strategic? What should not be
outsourced? What should be built within?
The culture, capabilities, and conditions needed for Georgia Tech to
succeed in attracting, developing, and retaining the workforce of the
future.
Vision Inclusive of Ourselves
Reflection on Session
http://www.slido.com with #T171
Action Plan
• What assets (expertise, units, resources) are in place?
• How to scale existing assets, processes, policies?
• How to engage universities?
• How to engage the system?
• How can the work be shared?
• What components might be best positioned at the system?
http://bit.ly/suny-action-plan
Thank you!
Continue the conversation
nelson.baker@pe.gatech.edu
yakut@gatech.edu

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Nelson Baker & Yakut Gazi: Workshop: Affordable Degrees at Scale: What Does it Really Take

  • 1. Degrees at Scale: What Does it Take? Nelson Baker, Ph.D. & Yakut Gazi, Ph.D.
  • 2. Yakut Gazi, Ph.D. Assoc. Dean, Learning Systems Sr. Academic Professional IACEE Council Member Nelson Baker, Ph.D. Dean Faculty, Civil & Environmental Engineering President-elect, UPCEA Secretary General, IACEE
  • 3. The Changing Face of the Georgia Tech Learner GT Credit Seeking Students GTPE Professional Development Students GT Credit-Seeking Students Online Credit Enrollments Learners We Serve Adult Learners Undergraduates K-12 Students& Teachers
  • 5. Structure of Workshop • 4 sessions: part presentation, part Q/A • Each session: – Questions from room – Questions from Slido activity • Action Plan – Have a document for you as an action plan to take back.
  • 6. Ask During the Session http://www.slido.com with #T171
  • 9. Higher Education’s Iron Triangle Accessibility AffordabilityQuality
  • 10. What is a Degree-at-Scale? • High-demand fields? • Non-credit to credit/ open learning pathways? • Collaboration with MOOC platforms? • Innovative business models? • Online? • Address the iron triangle
  • 11. EARLY EDUCATION CHANGING DEMOGRAPHICS IRON TRIANGLE CHANGING NATURE/PLACE OF WORK NEEDS AND CAPABILITIES SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY OF EDUCATION The Changing Context
  • 12. • Avg worker changes 10-15 jobs in career • 65% of schoolchildren will be employed in jobs that haven’t been created • Predicted that 50% of today’s jobs will disappear by 2030 • In 1965: avg tenure on S&P 500 = 33 years • By 1990= 20 years • By 2026= 14 years • ~50% of the S&P 500 will be replaced over the next 10 years (Innosight prediction) Jobs will change • Avg worker changes 10- 15 jobs in career • 65% of schoolchildren will be employed in jobs that haven’t been created yet • Predicted that 50% of today’s jobs will disappear by 2030 The Need for Renewal: Companies Won’t Last
  • 14. Reports Suggesting Change • National Academy of Engineering, Engineering, Technology and the Future of Work https://www.nae.edu/19582/Bridge/142833/145193.aspx • Occupational Shifts https://upcea.edu/occupational-shifts-and-higher- education-credentials/ • Adult Training and Education https://nces.ed.gov/surveys/gemena/pdf/ATES2016.pdf • Nearly every conference, global engineering gathering • So, what is new now?
  • 15. Online Master of Science Enrollment History 876 4043 7636 10579 13836 20793 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 FY 2014 FY 2015 FY 2016 FY 2017 FY 2018 FY 2019 (est) OMS CS OMS Analytics OMS Cybersecurity Online Master of Science Enrollment History Initiative New products and Services
  • 18. Inaugural OMS-Analytics Students Online Part-time 95% Median age 31 US Citizens 82% # of countries 24 # of continents 6 11% 27% u/r minority Female • 7% Vice President or above at their companies
  • 19. Current Status • OMS CS • Spring ‘19 unique enrollment exceeded 8,500 • Future enrollment growth will be modest (Steady state 9,000 to 9,500) • Approach to assigning more support costs is being taken • 28 courses are available • 1,000+ graduates from the program • To date, over 1,000 articles about the degree • 7% more Americans will get this degree each year because of OMS CS • Dozens of followers, but avg cost is $27K • OMS Analytics • Currently in second year (FY 19) • More than a dozen courses currently available • Spring 2019 students just under 2000 • Actual demand is far exceeding estimates; Fall applications up 55% • Steady state enrollment projected at 3,500 to 4,000
  • 20. • Program recently approved on July 6, 2018 • Launched January 2019 • Tuition rate of $310/hour and $194 SIF approved • Cost of the degree will be about $12,000 – 32 hours • Program structure more complex involving three colleges: Computing, Engineering and Ivan Allen • Three specialization tracks: Info security, Energy Systems and Policy • Academic advising is critical • Virtual lab environment • Steady state enrollment will be more like OMS Analytics – 3,500 • More competition in this market • Seed funding is uncertain, but promising • Marketing support and efforts are critical • Six OMSCS courses utilized Current Status- OMSA OMS Cybersecurity Current Status
  • 21. DEFINING WHAT’S NEXT Read the report: www.gatech.edu/ed-innovation Who are we serving? What are we teaching? Where are we teaching? LIBRARY NEXT REALIZING THE GEORGIA TECH COMMITMENT
  • 23. Section 2: Financial Models and Partnerships for Scale
  • 24. Financial Factors to consider – Variable versus Fixed • Program and curriculum development • Online instructional design and video costs • Course revisions and maintenance • Student services • Financial Aid • Career services • How much will students pay per course/credit/degree? • Enrollment projections • Faculty compensation for development • Instructional staff compensation • Number of course sections • Marketing costs
  • 25. How to Get from Ground Zero: Funding Start-up Costs Partnership Models • Corporate partners • Platform partners • Online Program Management Companies • Others? Self-Funded Models • Unit reserves • Central institutional funds • System funds • New initiative investment funds • Others?
  • 26. Sample Budget Template Patrice Miles, Asst. Dean for Finance and Operations, Georgia Tech Professional Education
  • 27. Online Master’s in Science - Model Element Flow Model Setup Enrollment Setup Financial Model Model Summary Cost Setup
  • 28. Online Master’s in Science - Model Setup (1/3) Salary Expenses, Other Cost & Sponsorship Setup Salary Growth Rate Extra Comp Fringe Rate Staff Fringe Rate Other Costs Personnel (fixed costs) % Time Base AY18 AY19 AY20 AY21 AY22 Program Hard Costs AY18 AY19 AY20 AY21 AY22 Program Co-Executive Director (A) Proctored exams Program Co-Executive Director (B) Space Lab Program Co-Executive Director (C) Marketing Program Associate Director Supplies & equipment Student Assistants (5 x 10hr/wk) Travel Dir-Prof Master's Programs Independent Program Evaluation/Auditor Academic Program Manager II State Authorization fees Academic Advising Manager Misc. Academic Advisor II Academic Advisor II Proctoring Costs Cost $ Cost per x Academic Coord II Proctored exam cost Stdt Exam Dir-Financial Admin II Proctoring setup cost Enrollment Financial Analyst III Academic Advisor II MARKETING (feeds Program Hard Costs) AY18 AY19 AY20 AY21 AY22 IT / Lab Staff (Systems Support Engr Sr) Personal Services HR Support Rolanda Powell Asst Dir-Client Marketing II Chris Walker Marketing Mgr Vender Services Faculty Fringe Converge costs (estimating 5% annual fee increase) Student Fringe Digital Ad Spend Staff Fringe Video Total Personnel (fixed Cost): Print collateral Print Advertising Study Portals Photography Stock art T-shirts and other promo items Other digital ads/3rd party emails Total Sponsorship & Support Estimate AY18 AY19 AY20 AY21 AY22 Corporate Investment/sponsor Other Investment Total
  • 29. Online Master’s in Science - Model Setup (2/3) Enrollment, Program, Student Services, & Course Setup Enrollment Estimates Delivery Support OMS Space Start Enrollment Students per TA/Grader Student Growth Rate %TA %Grader Stipend Increase YoY TA Monthly Stipend Waivers OMS Space Rate Charge Info Grader hours per week Program Grader Hourly Rate Credit hours Summer Weeks $ per credit hour Fall Weeks Fee- SIF Spring Weeks Fee- Student Tech Summer Months Average credit hours per course Fall and Spring Months Courses Per Student, Fall & Spring avg. Fringe Rate (Grad Students) Courses Per Student, Summer Student Fringe Increase YOY Proctored exams per term Course Offering & Development Devlp. Convert Offer Quick Update Content Development, Delivery and MaintenanceFall 2017 Spring 2018 Creator Summer 2018 Instructor - Course Delivery Fall 2018 Instructor Content Maint. Spring 2019 Fringe Rate (extra Comp) Summer 2019 Fringe Rate (Full Time) Fall 2019 Faculty Fringe Increase YOY Spring 2020 Production Cost per Course Summer 2020 Production Cost per Course Annual Growth Fall 2020 Finished Hours per Course Spring 2021 Studio hours per Finished hour Summer 2021 Editing Hours per Studio hour Fall 2021 Quality Assurance Hours per hr Spring 2022 Instructional Design per Finished Hour Summer 2022 Online delivery Staff Hours per Video Course Maintinance Rate Course Maintinance Extra Comp
  • 30. Online Master’s in Science - Model Setup (3/3) Course Production & Support OMS Space Course-Level Costs Area Item (Unit) Course Development (per course) LMS Conversion (per course) Term Support (per course) #Units Rate/ Unit $ # Units Rate/ Unit $ # Units Rate/ Unit $ Production Studio - incl. staff (hours) Production Video Editor/graphic/creative TA Stipend and waiver I.D. Instructional design (hours) Delivery Online delivery staff (hours) Delivery Closed caption/encoding svc Dev. cost/course: Conv./course: Conv./course:
  • 31. Online Master’s in Science - Model Enrollments OMS SPACE ENGINEERING ENROLLMENT ESTIMATOR AY19 AY20 AY21 AY22 Fall 2018 Spr 2019 Sum 2019 Fall 2019 Spr 2020 Sum 2020 Fall 2020 Spr 2021 Sum 2021 Fall 2021 Spr 2022 Sum 2022 Infosec New students Students from previous term Graduates Semester Drops Program Drops Term Enrollment Estimates Energy Systems New students Students from previous term Graduates Semester Drops Program Drops Term Enrollment Estimates Policy New students Students from previous term Graduates Semester Drops Program Drops Term Enrollment Estimates OMS Space Term Enrollment Estimate SPECIALIZATION INITIAL ENROLLMENT TERM-OVER-TERM GROWTH RATE I TERM-OVER-TERM GROWTH RATE II Infosec Energy Systems Policy Term Drop Rate % of all enrollments that drop each term Permanent Drop Rate % of drops each term that are permanent (equates to about 2% of enrollment) Summer % of Spring % of spring enrollments that return for summer Percent of students who start OMS Space who graduate after n terms... Terms after start (n) % of cohort graduating in term **Assumption: n% of a starting cohort graduate and graduation is distributed over a few semesters**
  • 32. Online Master’s in Science - Financial Model (1/2) Courses & Enrollments AY19 AY20 Fall 2018 Spr 2019 Sum 2019 Total Fall 2019 Spr 2020 Sum 2020 Total Courses Under Development Courses Converted Sections Delivered Term Enrollment Estimates Term Registration Estimates Revenue AY19 AY20 Fall 2018 Spr 2019 Sum 2019 Total Fall 2019 Spr 2020 Sum 2020 Total Total Tuition + SIF Tuition SIF Other Investment/Sponsor Corporate Sponsor GT Funding Revenue & Funding Total Expenses AY19 AY20 Fall 2018 Spr 2019 Sum 2019 Total Fall 2019 Spr 2020 Sum 2020 Total Course Development Expenses Content Creation Extra Comp Course Maintenance Extra Comp Faculty Fringe Content Production & Maint. Faculty Personal Services Costs Course Delivery Extra Comp Faculty Course Use Fee Faculty Fringe
  • 33. Online Master’s in Science - Financial Model (2/2) Expenses Continued AY19 AY20 Fall 2018 Spr 2019 Sum 2019 Total Fall 2019 Spr 2020 Sum 2020 Total TA Cost TA Stipend TA Waiver TA Fringe TAs Needed Graders Cost Grader Compensation Student Fringe Graders Needed Proctored Exam Cost Exam Cost Exams Needed Setups Needed Staff Personal Services Total Program Staff Personal Services Program Staff Fringe Program Costs Total Space lab Marketing Services Supplies & equipment Travel Independent Program Eval/Audit State Authorization fees Misc Expenses Total Term and AY Net
  • 34. Online Master’s in Science - Financial Model Summary Online Master of Science in Space Engineering The degree is comprised of n courses (x total credits) with y total courses being offered in steady state. AY18 AY19 AY20 AY21 AY22 Annual Enrollments (Fall, Spring, Summer) # # # # # Revenue & Funding Tuition and Institutional Fee $ $ $ $ $ Gifts and Reallocation of Institute Resources $ $ $ $ $ Total Estimated Revenues $ $ $ $ $ Expenses/Costs Course Creation & Maintenance $ $ $ $ $ Course Delivery $ $ $ $ $ Program Staff $ $ $ $ $ Operations, Materials & Supplies $ $ $ $ $ Independent Program Evaluation/Auditor $ $ $ $ $ State Authorization fees $ $ $ $ $ Total Estimated Expenses $ $ $ $ $ AY Gain/Loss $ $ $ $ $ Cumulative Gain/Loss $ $ $ $ $
  • 36. Break
  • 38.
  • 39. Course Team • Faculty member(s) • Instructional designer • Interactive media producer • Graphic designer • Teaching assistant* Process • Academic Programs formal kick-off • 6-8 months before launch Longer if course is new • Pre-production • Production • Post-production
  • 40. In-House Learning Design & Production • 40+ year experience in teaching/learning at a distance • ID team: 7, IT team: 3, Producers: 5, Graphics Designer: 1, Dig. Lrn. Support Spec: 1. – 20+ more in other support roles • 2 black-box studios, one self-service, one audio studio (Whisper room), one studio with Lightboard • 15 distance learning-equipped classrooms
  • 45. Course Design/Development Process 1. Project initiation/Partnership/Team Assignment 2. Course kick off meeting 3. Background information created 4. Work session(s) 5. Course outline/ timeline/ blueprint 9. Quality reviews 10. Implementation • Beta-test • Forum monitoring • Revisions 11. Course refresh in 3 years 6. Recording/Production begins 7. Editing/media post-production 8. Platform build
  • 46. • All course team members are responsible • Degree use versus open access • Does the faculty own the materials? • Does the editor/publisher limit what the author(s) can do? • Public Domain/ Fair Use/ Teach Act • “I use it in my F2F class” • Consult with the library often/ attend webinars
  • 47. Quality Matters © Higher Ed Rubric Standards • Focus Alignment • Learning Objectives • Assessments • Instructional Materials • Activities & Interactions • Course Technology • All work together to ensure desired learning outcomes are achieved Continuing and Professional Ed Rubric Standards • Assist in the evaluation of various structures and modalities for non-credit bearing courses
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51. Learner Engagement • 1/50 TA/student ratio • Real-time office hours, Q&A sessions, exam debriefs • Course forums – Student-created and run forums – Rich discussions in forums - adult learners with work experience
  • 52. Engagement – OMS-CS Canvas Account Provisioned and Courses Enrolled canvas.gatech.edu Udacity Account Provisioned and Courses Enrolled udacity.com Udacity OMS-CS Video Orientation udacity.com Udacity Non-Graded Programming udacity.com Udacity Non-GradedExercises udacity.com YouTube Video Lectures Bonnie CLI Graded Programming bonnie.udacity.com MOSS Code Plagiarism Detection Peer Feedback Peer Review peerfeedback.gatech.edu Piazza Discussion Tool (LTI) ProctorTrack Virtual Proctoring (LTI) Custom Scripts Faculty/TA Functions Banner Grade Publishing Yellow items are student-facing
  • 53.
  • 54. Challenges - • Gradebook on edX vs Canvas • Accessibility features • Integrations • Blue Jeans / WebEx / YouTube Live / Google Hangouts • Discussion tool(s) • Piazza forum / Canvas
  • 55. Challenges - • Multiple programs, multiple shells, multiple business models, multiple cohorts, multiple content types – OMSCS, OMS Analytics, OMS Cybersecurity now sharing courses – edX audit, verified and degree track | content types • Different assessments for different cohorts/content types • Create in Spring, shorten for Summer, then apply improvements to Fall à it never ends • What does not scale? – Group Assignments / Peer Review – Skip Days (Specific Professor) – Intro threads
  • 56. Challenges • 60+ social media sites created by students • Attract and retain talent in Atlanta market • Slow state business processes – Procurement restrictions
  • 59. Legacy of the Year of the MOOC We learned a whole lot…. (and still learning)
  • 60. • Industry needs • Learner Persona • Competition • Key Messages / Positioning Statement • Email Nurturing • Social Media • Press • Constant Monitoring Market Research and Marketing
  • 61. Business Plans Online Master of Science in Space Engineering The degree is comprised of n courses (x total credits) with y total courses being offered in steady state. AY18 AY19 AY20 AY21 AY22 Annual Enrollments (Fall, Spring, Summer) # # # # # Revenue & Funding Tuition and Institutional Fee $ $ $ $ $ Gifts and Reallocation of Institute Resources $ $ $ $ $ Total Estimated Revenues $ $ $ $ $ Expenses/Costs Course Creation & Maintenance $ $ $ $ $ Course Delivery $ $ $ $ $ Program Staff $ $ $ $ $ Operations, Materials & Supplies $ $ $ $ $ Independent Program Evaluation/Auditor $ $ $ $ $ State Authorization fees $ $ $ $ $ Total Estimated Expenses $ $ $ $ $ AY Gain/Loss $ $ $ $ $ Cumulative Gain/Loss $ $ $ $ $
  • 62. Learning Design across programs/platforms • OMS-CS design and development transitioned to GTPE from Udacity in 2018 • All Coursera MOOCs, PMs, OMS Analytics, OMS Cyber and traditional distance programs • Integrated instructional design and production team • Learner differences • Content variations
  • 63.
  • 64. Institutional Readiness and Partnerships • Many teams and areas of expertise – Marketing – Finance – Design/development – Learner services – Technology • What is strategic? What should not be outsourced? What should be built within?
  • 65.
  • 66. The culture, capabilities, and conditions needed for Georgia Tech to succeed in attracting, developing, and retaining the workforce of the future. Vision Inclusive of Ourselves
  • 68. Action Plan • What assets (expertise, units, resources) are in place? • How to scale existing assets, processes, policies? • How to engage universities? • How to engage the system? • How can the work be shared? • What components might be best positioned at the system? http://bit.ly/suny-action-plan
  • 69. Thank you! Continue the conversation nelson.baker@pe.gatech.edu yakut@gatech.edu