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Media Environments and the
Dilemma of Collective Action in
the Egyptian Revolution
Alexander Hanna
Department of Sociology, UW-Madison
About me
4th year PhD student
in sociology

Background in
computer science and
math

Son of Egyptian
immigrants
My research agenda
● How people use various media to overcome
  collective action problems in authoritarian
  environments
   ○ e.g: Egypt, China


● Political elites and their followers in social
  media
   ○ Large-scale Twitter collections surrounding 2010,
     2012 elections
Today's talk


Media environments and the dilemma of
collective action in the Egyptian revolution
Chronology of the Egyptian
revolution (1/3)
● June 6, 2010:
  Death of Khaled
  Said

● Dec. 17, 2010: Self-
  immolation of
  Mohamed Bouazizi,
  Tunisia protests       Image Source: http://www.guardian.co.
                         uk/world/2011/jun/17/arab-spring-end-anyone-
  begin                  guess
Chronology of Egyptian
revolution (2/3)
             ● Jan 14, 2011: Pres.
               of Tunisia, Ben Ali,
               steps down
             ● Jan 25: First major
               protests in Egypt
             ● Jan 27: Net turned
               off
             ● Jan 28: "Friday of
               Rage"
Chronology of Egyptian
revolution (3/3)

● Feb 2, 2011: Net
  turned back on,
  Battle of the Camel

● Feb 11, 2011:
  Mubarak resigns,
  army assumes
  power
Dilemma of collective
action
People won't participate in collective action (like
a protest) unless they have guarantees that
others will.

Otherwise, they will have no incentive to
participate, will "free ride" on the contributions
of others (Mancur Olson)
Examples of the dilemma
of collective action
● Contributing to Wikipedia (a public good)
  ○ Why contribute to Wikipedia when others are going
    to do it?


● Prisoner's dilemma

● How to resolve?
  ○ Communication!
Egypt's political
environment
● Over 60 years of
  dictatorial rule, and
  under colonial rule
  for much longer.
● Laws prohibiting
  protesting.
● How can people
  communicate for         Image source: http://english.alarabiya.
                          net/articles/2011/04/28/146997.html
  protests?
Bringing in the media
environment
● Different types of media that compete for
  audience attention.

● In the US
  ○ TV: CNN, Fox, MSNBC
  ○ Newspapers: NY Times, Washington Post,
    Wisconsin State Journal
  ○ Radio: NPR
  ○ Internet: Facebook, Twitter, blogs
Egyptian Media
Environment -- in transition
● Old media environment
  ○ State-controlled TV and newspapers control what
    people see, hear, and think
  ○ Nothing critical of the regime, all broadcasting to
    audience
● New media environment
  ○ Introduction of private TV, both regional and
    domestic
  ○ Private newspapers
  ○ Social media
  ○ Many different voices, audience can respond
Old Egyptian Media
Environment
New Egyptian Media
Environment
Research question


Can new media, like regional satellite television
and social media, help activists overcome
dilemma of collective action?
Example 1: Sherif
Sherif hears about
protests only on state
TV.

State TV says the
protests will be small,
filled with thugs and
criminals.
Example 2: Nana
            Nana hears about
            protests in Cairo and
            Tunisia from al-
            Jazeera (AJ) and also
            hears state TV's story.
            AJ is supportive of the
            protests.
Example 3: Alaa
Alaa watches AJ and
state TV, and also
communicates with his
friends on Twitter and
Facebook, seeing
what they are going to
do.

                         Image source: http://en.wikipedia.
                         org/wiki/Alaa_Abd_El-Fattah
Who is most likely to
protest?
Methods of research
1. Network and textual analysis

2. Interviews

3. Content analysis of TV

Why these methods?
Full survey results at www.iri.org/sites/default/files/2011 June 5 Survey of
Egyptian Public Opinion, April 14-27, 2011_0.pdf
Data for network and
textual analysis
Dataset of over 12 million tweets collected on
#jan25 and other Egypt keywords from Jan 25
to March 1

Need to identify who people are speaking to
and what they are saying without having to
read every single tweet
Network analysis
● Understanding who
  speaks to who
● Who is the most
  central?
● Are there particular
  groups of people
  who speak to each
  other constantly?
Textual analysis


                   Who talks
                   about going
                   to protest?
Interviews
Talking to people who used social media,
watched different types of TV, and participated
in the revolution on January 25 and 28.

Looking at a variety of different cities - Cairo,
Alexandria, Suez, Mahalla

Planning to do this next year
Content analysis of TV
Analyzing state TV and regional satellite TV for
protesting framing and cues.




                        vs.
Conclusion


Need to better understand how people respond
to media and how it affects how they participate
in collective action.
Thanks!

Questions?

alex.hanna@gmail.com
http://alex-hanna.com
@alexhanna

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Egyptian Media's Role in Overcoming Collective Action Dilemmas

  • 1. Media Environments and the Dilemma of Collective Action in the Egyptian Revolution Alexander Hanna Department of Sociology, UW-Madison
  • 2. About me 4th year PhD student in sociology Background in computer science and math Son of Egyptian immigrants
  • 3. My research agenda ● How people use various media to overcome collective action problems in authoritarian environments ○ e.g: Egypt, China ● Political elites and their followers in social media ○ Large-scale Twitter collections surrounding 2010, 2012 elections
  • 4. Today's talk Media environments and the dilemma of collective action in the Egyptian revolution
  • 5. Chronology of the Egyptian revolution (1/3) ● June 6, 2010: Death of Khaled Said ● Dec. 17, 2010: Self- immolation of Mohamed Bouazizi, Tunisia protests Image Source: http://www.guardian.co. uk/world/2011/jun/17/arab-spring-end-anyone- begin guess
  • 6. Chronology of Egyptian revolution (2/3) ● Jan 14, 2011: Pres. of Tunisia, Ben Ali, steps down ● Jan 25: First major protests in Egypt ● Jan 27: Net turned off ● Jan 28: "Friday of Rage"
  • 7. Chronology of Egyptian revolution (3/3) ● Feb 2, 2011: Net turned back on, Battle of the Camel ● Feb 11, 2011: Mubarak resigns, army assumes power
  • 8. Dilemma of collective action People won't participate in collective action (like a protest) unless they have guarantees that others will. Otherwise, they will have no incentive to participate, will "free ride" on the contributions of others (Mancur Olson)
  • 9. Examples of the dilemma of collective action ● Contributing to Wikipedia (a public good) ○ Why contribute to Wikipedia when others are going to do it? ● Prisoner's dilemma ● How to resolve? ○ Communication!
  • 10. Egypt's political environment ● Over 60 years of dictatorial rule, and under colonial rule for much longer. ● Laws prohibiting protesting. ● How can people communicate for Image source: http://english.alarabiya. net/articles/2011/04/28/146997.html protests?
  • 11. Bringing in the media environment ● Different types of media that compete for audience attention. ● In the US ○ TV: CNN, Fox, MSNBC ○ Newspapers: NY Times, Washington Post, Wisconsin State Journal ○ Radio: NPR ○ Internet: Facebook, Twitter, blogs
  • 12. Egyptian Media Environment -- in transition ● Old media environment ○ State-controlled TV and newspapers control what people see, hear, and think ○ Nothing critical of the regime, all broadcasting to audience ● New media environment ○ Introduction of private TV, both regional and domestic ○ Private newspapers ○ Social media ○ Many different voices, audience can respond
  • 15. Research question Can new media, like regional satellite television and social media, help activists overcome dilemma of collective action?
  • 16. Example 1: Sherif Sherif hears about protests only on state TV. State TV says the protests will be small, filled with thugs and criminals.
  • 17. Example 2: Nana Nana hears about protests in Cairo and Tunisia from al- Jazeera (AJ) and also hears state TV's story. AJ is supportive of the protests.
  • 18. Example 3: Alaa Alaa watches AJ and state TV, and also communicates with his friends on Twitter and Facebook, seeing what they are going to do. Image source: http://en.wikipedia. org/wiki/Alaa_Abd_El-Fattah
  • 19. Who is most likely to protest?
  • 20. Methods of research 1. Network and textual analysis 2. Interviews 3. Content analysis of TV Why these methods?
  • 21. Full survey results at www.iri.org/sites/default/files/2011 June 5 Survey of Egyptian Public Opinion, April 14-27, 2011_0.pdf
  • 22. Data for network and textual analysis Dataset of over 12 million tweets collected on #jan25 and other Egypt keywords from Jan 25 to March 1 Need to identify who people are speaking to and what they are saying without having to read every single tweet
  • 23. Network analysis ● Understanding who speaks to who ● Who is the most central? ● Are there particular groups of people who speak to each other constantly?
  • 24. Textual analysis Who talks about going to protest?
  • 25. Interviews Talking to people who used social media, watched different types of TV, and participated in the revolution on January 25 and 28. Looking at a variety of different cities - Cairo, Alexandria, Suez, Mahalla Planning to do this next year
  • 26. Content analysis of TV Analyzing state TV and regional satellite TV for protesting framing and cues. vs.
  • 27. Conclusion Need to better understand how people respond to media and how it affects how they participate in collective action.