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Redes Inteligentes y los Retos Energéticos de Colombia ante el COP21
- 1. Redes Inteligentes y los Retos Energéticos de Colombia ante el COP21 Joäo Carlos de Souza Marques – Grid Automation Solutions Región Andina Maio, 2016
- 2. Page 2Confidential Property of Schneider Electric | Nuestras tecnologías garantizan Para todos, en todas partes y en todo momento. • Segura • Confiable • Eficiente • Conectada • Sostenible Hacemos la energía La energía es la base de la vida.
- 3. Page 3Confidential Property of Schneider Electric | …sin embargo la manera como se está gestionando hoy en día la hace insostenible Creemos que el acceso a la energía es un derecho humano básico
- 4. billiones de personas hoy no cuentan con acceso a la energía Page 4Confidential Property of Schneider Electric | .11 1 Source : IEA, Economist Otro billon tiene un suministro de electricidad poco confiable e intermitente
- 5. Queremos que todos en nuestro planeta tengan acceso a energía segura, confiable, eficiente y sostenible. En Schneider Electric™, nos comprometemos a proveer soluciones innovadoras que ayuden a resolver el dilema energético: Balancear el consumo de carbón de nuestro planeta y el derecho indiscutible de todos por una energía de calidad • 2.4 millones de hogares ahora cuentan con energía a través de nuestras ofertas de Acceso a Energía y modelos de negocio • 70,000 personas entrenadas sobre energía en la base de la pirámide • 50 socios fundados Premios y reconocimientos por nuestro impacto Página 5Propiedad Confidencial de Schneider Electric | • …el acceso a la energía es un derecho básico
- 6. URBANIZACIÓN +2.5B de personas en las ciudades para 2050 Source: United Nations, DESA DIGITALIZACIÓN Source: Cisco 50B dispositivos conectados para 2020 INDUSTRIALIZACIÓN +50% de Consumo de Energía para 2050 Source: IEA Page 6Confidential Property of Schneider Electric | Las Megatendencias hacen que la demanda de energía se incremente
- 7. Page 7Confidential Property of Schneider Electric | El mundo en 2050 El consumo de energía será el doble Emisiones de CO2 deben ser reducidas ×2 ÷2 Debemos ser 4 veces más eficientes 4× Note: Forecast for 2050 compared to 2009 levels
- 8. En Schneider Electric, Gestionamos la Energía, la Automatización y el Software para diferentes mercados, es decir, el 70% del consumo mundial de energía Page 8Confidential Property of Schneider Electric | Industria e Infraestructura > 30% ResidencialEdificios ~2% Centros y Redes de Datos Source: IEA Explore 2015 % calculado sobre la energía final + > 30% Energy Automation
- 9. Página 9Propiedad Confidencial de Schneider Electric | 14% FV Solar y Almacenamiento han experimentado drásticas mejoras en su economía en los últimos 5 años … … y se espera contar con ~50% de nuevas adiciones de capacidad para el 2030 (inversión anual adicional total de ~$400MM) fuente: Lazard 2014, BNEF 2014 fuente: BNEF 2015 Un posicionamiento único en Generación Distribuida y Redes eléctricas Inteligentes 202520202015 204020352030 Solar Otros Renovables Nuclear Flexible incl. almacenamiento Viento Fósil 47% 18% 44% 14% 14% 19% 20% +305GW +436GW
- 10. Page 10Confidential Property of Schneider Electric | Balanced geographies – FY 2015 revenues 27% North America 18% Rest of World 26% Western Europe 29% Asia Pacific ~€27 billones FY 2015 revenues 160,000+ people in 100+ countries ~5% of revenues devoted to R&D Four integrated and synergetic businesses FY 2015 revenues 45% 21% 20% 14% IndustryBuildings & Partner Infrastructure IT Schneider Electric, el especialista global en gestión de energía y automatización
- 11. Prácticas Comerciales Productos y Oficinas Empleados Comunidades Promoviendo el acceso energético Innovación Personas Comercio Luchando contra la escasez energética Servicios de Eficiencia Energética Activa, Gestión y Sustentabilidad de Energía Ciudades inteligentes Red eléctrica inteligente (renovable, de distribución flexible, vehículos eléctricos, atención a la demanda) Expandiendo el acceso a energía confiable, asequible y limpia por medio de un alcance combinado de capacitación, ofertas, modelos de negocio e inversiones Un compromiso cuantificado: Barómetro del Planeta y la Sociedad #9 en el Global 100 de Corporaciones Más Sustentables en el mundo en 2015 La Sostenibilidad es fundamental en nuestra agenda Soluciones Eficientes Ética y Responsabilidad Soluciones para la brecha energética • Midiendo la Sustentabilidad • Comunicación trimestral • Auditoría anual de terceros Página 11Propiedad Confidencial de Schneider Electric |
- 12. Redes Inteligentes Page 12Confidential Property of Schneider Electric |
- 13. Page 13Confidential Property of Schneider Electric | Diferentes prioridades en el Mundo
- 14. Page 14Confidential Property of Schneider Electric | Redes Inteligentes en 5 dominios
- 15. Necesidades Demanda creciente por capacidad, seguridad, eficiencia y calidad de energia > Complejidad creciente con carga más diversa y variantes, bien como fuentes centralizadas y distribuídas > Maximizar Capacidad Calidad Eficiencia Seguridad Ingresos Vida del Activo Minimizar Costos Operacionales Costos Mantenimiento Presión en la planificación, inversión y modernización de la infrastructura distribución = Automatización de la Distribución ayuda a las empresas de energía a atender los requisitos de seguridad, eficiencia y calidad de energia Automatización de la Distribución
- 16. Confidential Property of Schneider Electric Plataforma ADMS Decisiones de negocio • ¿Cómo podemos alinear el estado del arte de la red con decisiones del negocio? ¿Cómo obtener información precisa y concisa para dirigir nuestras decisiones?
- 17. Confidential Property of Schneider Electric Plataforma ADMS Sinergia entre aplicaciones
- 18. Confidential Property of Schneider Electric Plataforma ADMS Funciones EMS|DMS • El Sistema DMS permite ejecutar todas las tareas técnicas en las utilities de distribución cubriendo los diferentes perfiles de usuario • Funciones de Operación de Red • Optimización y Planificación de Operación de Red • Análisis de Operación de Red • Planificación Desarrollo de Red • Formación
- 19. Confidential Property of Schneider Electric Fault Location, Isolation and Service Restoration (FLISR) Operación Automática > Fault Detection, Isolation and Restoration (FDIR) Sin intervención del operador > o Aislar la falla >Partes sanas de la red siguen energizadas >Partes desconectadas de la red son re-energizadas >Tiempo de pérdida de suministro muy corto >Minima pérdida de ingresos > Self Healing
- 20. Confidential Property of Schneider Electric Cyberseguridad Modelo de seguridad multinivel
- 21. El Reto: < 2°C Page 21Confidential Property of Schneider Electric |
- 22. Climate Action Tracker Source: http://climateactiontracker.org/global.html
- 23. Argentina – Brasil - Chile – Colombia - Peru •Políticas de Energia en general no consideraron el componente climático •Alto potencial de Ahorro Energético no fue asumido como parte de los compromisos de los paises en reducir emisiones •Mayoria de la estructura de energia está orientada a la generación para atender a las necesidades Economicas •Ahorro es eficiencia y se convierte en VENTAJA COMPETITIVA ECONOMICA INDC - Contribuciones Previstas Nacionalmente Determinadas
- 24. Eficiencia Energética •20% de oportunidades en los 5 países hasta 2032 •Economia de 2.8 bi USD •Más que suficiente para darle acceso a 1.1 bi de personas sin energia •Más rápida! Más barata! Más eficiente para reducción de emisiones! •Precificación del carbono seria importante para impulsar el tema. •2 mil millones de ton CO2eq. Casi los 2.9 mil millones de INDC presentados INDC - Contribuciones Previstas Nacionalmente Determinadas
- 25. •Chile: Inadecuadas •Brasil y Peru: Poco Ambiciosas (intermedias) • Argentina: No mensurables •Colombia: No evaluadas por el CAT •En general enfatizan la generación renovable. Las relativas a eficiencia de energía son vagas o no tienen medidas concretas para alcanzarlas, ni mencionan incentivos o inversiones para alcanzar una economía de bajo carbón INDC - Contribuciones Previstas Nacionalmente Determinadas Evaluación CAT
- 26. •Colombia: •224 Mton de CO2eq, sólo el 0,46% del total global para 2010. •20% reducción unilateral e incondicionada a 2030 respecto al BAU. 30% condicionada al apoyo internacional. •Un país altamente expuesto y sensible a los impactos del cambio climático. El fenómeno de La Niña, ocurrido en el periodo 2010 – 2011, evidenció los impactos que tienen la variabilidad y el cambio climático en el desarrollo del país. Los daños y pérdidas se estiman en USD$ 6 mil millones, más de 3,2 millones de personas afectadas, 3,5 millones de hectáreas inundadas y 845 vías primarias y secundarias cerradas afectando al país social y económicamente •Para que pueda alcanzar y sostener sus objetivos de desarrollo, paz, equidad y educación resulta indispensable identificar y aprovechar oportunidades de aumento en la competitividad, productividad y eficiencia, que a su vez reduzcan las emisiones de GEI. •Se reconoce que existen recursos financieros limitados, razón por la cual existe la necesidad de aumentar los recursos para financiar acciones de adaptación y mitigación, INDC - Contribuciones Previstas Nacionalmente Determinadas http://www4.unfccc.int/submissions/INDC/Publishe d%20Documents/Colombia/1/INDC %20Colombia.pdf
- 27. •Lo que es bueno para el clima es bueno para la economía •La transición a digital (DIGITIZE) suministra nuevas soluciones eficientes •Luchar contra el cambio climático no será eficiente sin tener en cuenta el desarrollo y acceso a la energía •Eficiencia Energética tiene un potencial inmenso. Creemos…
- 28. •Un instrumento de precificación de CO2: robusto, previsible, e implementado en 1 año. •Una estructura de informe y control sobre emisiones de GEI más simples y estándar, en 3 años. •Políticas ambiciosas, claras y de largo plazo para soluciones de baja emisión de carbono y eficiencia energética. CO2 como moneda global (5 años) •Implementar medidas de Eficiencia Energetica en larga escala. Buscamos…
Hinweis der Redaktion
- Recommended Script : We are at the pinnacle of two fundamental energy challenges. Firstly, we believe that access to energy is a basic human right. We want everyone on our planet to have access to safe, reliable, efficient and sustainable energy. CLICK TO BUILD SLIDE Secondly, our present way of managing energy is unsustainable. Choices we make today on Energy affect our climate and will impact our future generations forever. Let us take a deeper look into these challenges. NEXT SLIDE Additional Data Points: Here are some reasons why we are presently not so sustainable: Concentration of CO2 has risen from 280ppm (preindustrial) to above 400ppm today. And this CO2 concentration keeps increasing Higher emissions YoY (+70% 1970-2004) CO2 lifecycle = up to 200 years in the atmosphere, therefore concentration increases (+40% in 1 century) ALL Government & scientific institutions agree that this will have an impact on Planet’s climate.
- Recommended Script : Here is a stark reality! About 1.3 billion people, or more than a fifth of the world&apos;s population, have no access to electricity, and a billion more only have unreliable and intermittent supply! The majority of people who are affected live in sub-Saharan Africa. It has 13 percent of the world’s population, but 48 percent of the share of the global population without access to electricity. This is a worrying condition that the global community must address. Please allow me to repeat -- we want everyone on our planet to have access to safe, reliable, efficient and sustainable energy. In the following slides, we will discuss how. But first, let’s look at the three mega trends that is sweeping through our world. NEXT SLIDE Additional Data Points: Source : Economist http://www.economist.com/node/16909923 AROUND 1.5 billion people, or more than a fifth of the world&apos;s population, have no access to electricity, and a billion more have only an unreliable and intermittent supply. Of the people without electricity, 85% live in rural areas or on the fringes of cities. Extending energy grids into these areas is expensive: the United Nations estimates that an average of $35 billion-40 billion a year needs to be invested until 2030 so everyone on the planet can cook, heat and light their premises, and have energy for productive uses such as schooling. Source : World Bank Enterprise Survey results : The results are based on surveys of more than 130,000 firms Global Average – Enterprises face 6.4 Electrical Outages every month ( Middle east and Africa 17.6 and South Asia 25.5) – Source World Bank In India on an average Enterprises face almost 14 Electrical Outages every month lasting for 1.1 hours each impacting 2% of annual sales South Asia, with 23 percent of the world’s population and 34 percent of the people without access to electricity. And, believe it or not, about 2.9 billion people rely on wood or other biomass for cooking and heating, resulting in indoor and outdoor air pollution – said to be responsible for some 4.3 million deaths each year!!!
- Recommended Script : At Schneider Electric™, we’re committed to providing innovative solutions that address the energy paradox by balancing our planet’s carbon footprint and the indisputable right of everyone to quality energy We have, to date, connected 2.4 Million households to energy sources. In addition, we have trained over 70,000 people in energy technologies and another 400,000 online through our Energy University. Our Sustainability initiatives have received wide acclaim in the industry, including being ranked 9th in the Global 100 Most Sustainable Corporations 2015; and being ranked as an Industry Leader (for the last 3 years) in the annual Dow Jones Sustainability Index. NEXT SLIDE Additional Data Points: Global 100 Most Sustainable Corporations 2015 Green Ranking Global Top 100 2014 European Commission Sustainable Energy Award 2014 Climate Disclosure Leadership Index (CDLI) Leadership award UN Women and Global Compact as companion for gender equality Platts Global Energy Award 2014
- Recommended Script : As discussed earlier, the change in our world is more profound than ever. We all know that there is a rise in energy demand – in fact, it will double in the next 40 years. But this rise is also bringing with it new efficiency opportunities in three key areas... Urbanisation is the first area of efficiency opportunities. By 2050, the world’s cities will be home to an additional 2.5 Billion people. Imagine the stress on infrastructure, on transportation, on public services. The number of cities with more than 10M population is going to almost double to 41 in 2030. Cities need to look into new ways of achieving efficiencies – most importantly energy efficiency. To be a livable city, you have to be energy efficient. CLICK TO BUILD SLIDE Digitisation is next. By the end of the day, I am sure most of us in this room would have streamed a video or a few songs. Believe it or not, we download 7 million songs and watch 4 Billion videos on YouTube a day! Think about the whole value chain that is making that possible. It is not just entertainment. Digitisation is pervasive -- in our homes, in our buildings, in the cloud and in our industries. There will be 50 Billion more connected devices and things in the next 5 years. This implies a continuing rise in energy demand, presenting us with amazing efficiency opportunities. CLICK TO BUILD SLIDE This bring us to Industrialisation, yet another area of efficiency opportunities. Industries account for 1/3 rd of the total world energy consumption. This global industrial energy use is projected to double by 2050 in the absence of any new policy measures, and even with the ambitious emissions reduction policy changes, we will still see an increase by at least 50% by 2050. (IEA, 2009c). The IEA, in fact, is estimating that 55% of the additional energy demand in the next 20 years to come from Asia. NEXT SLIDE Additional Datapoints: Urbanisation: Globally, more people live in urban areas than in rural areas, with 54 per cent of the world’s population residing in urban areas in 2014. By 2050, 66 per cent of the world’s population is projected to be urban adding more than 2.5 billion people in cities. There were only 10 cities with more than 10M population in 1990. Today, there are 28 and by 2030 there will be 41! 37% of this new growth in urbanisation is coming from India (404M), China (292M) and Nigeria (212M). Source : http://esa.un.org/unpd/wup/Highlights/WUP2014-Highlights.pdf We can also talk about cities Cities above 10M people: 10 in 1990, 28 today, 41 by 2030 Cities above 500k people: 560 in 1990, 1,000 today, 1,300 by 2030 Urbanization increase = +2.5b people in cities by 2050 Residential and commercial buildings account for 1/3rd of total world energy consumption ( This implies continuing rise in energy demand ) Year Population % Urban 2014 7,2bn 54% 3,9bn 2050 9,5bn 66% 6,3bn Difference is 2,4bn What about the mega trend of the booming world population ? 1,5B people in 1950 7,2B People in 2014 9-10B People by 2050 This in itself is a historical massive change, and the access to secured energy (as well as health services, food & water) is the real challenge of the century. Digitization I am sure at least half of us in this room have already watched or will watch at least 1 video – from any source -- today. Videos are fun. We all love it. Especially our kids. Imagine this… more than 3 billion Facebook videos are viewed daily and 300 hours of video uploaded to Youtube every hour! According to IDC we generated some 1.8 zettabytes (1.8 trillion gigabytes) of data in 2011. It is predicted that in 2020 we will generate 40 zettabytes!!! We are digital beings in a digital economy... This implies a continuing rise in energy demand, including those consumed by the data centers that power the digital economy – think connected machines and devices -- 50Bn connected things by 2020 Data centers alone = 1-2% of total world electricity consumption, but the entire ICT sector = 10%. Consumption doubled btw 2000/2005, and grew at +56% btw 2005-2010. Digitization is also changing lives : Faster, simpler, more collaborative – More efficient Industrialisation: By 2035, IEA projects growth of energy consumption of 35%. 55% of the additional energy demand will come from Asia. Sources : http://www.unido.org/fileadmin/user_media/Services/Energy_and_Climate_Change/Energy_Efficiency/Benchmarking_%20Energy_%20Policy_Tool.pdf ( Page 17 )
- Recommended Script : So, we have an energy paradox! We saw how energy demand will double in the next 40 years – stemming from the twin challenges of access-to-energy and the mega trends of Urbanisation, Digitization and Industrialisation. However, at the same time, we have to reduce CO2 emission by half to avoid significant irreversible damage to our planet. Therefore the only way is to become 4 times more efficient, hence the factor of 4. So let us now go deeper into the rapidly evolving world of energy to see how it is changing and where the efficiency potential is emerging. NEXT SLIDE
- Recommended Script : We bring all these innovation to serve 4 key markets, that collectively make up 70% of the world energy consumption: Commercial and Critical Buildings Residential Industry & Infrastructure Data Centers In the next few slides I will walk you through the specifics – how we have organised ourselves to serve our markets. But before that, let’s take a quick look at our world of energy and how it is quickly transforming. NEXT SLIDE
- Recommended Script : A few minutes ago we talked about the importance of Distributed Generation. One of Schneider Electric’s strengths is its proven suite of solutions in distributed generation, renewable, microgrids and smart grid. Solar and Storage costs are diving as we speak – both dropping by a factor of 5 in the past 4-5 years. And analysts expect the renewable sector to account for up to 50% of new capacity additions by 2030. This increasing demand for renewable, distributed generation is creating opportunities all over the world, and across market segments. CLICK TO BUILD SLIDE As a result of this, we see new opportunities in areas such as Solar, Energy Storage, Microgrids, Smart Grid and Grid Automation. NEXT SLIDE Additional Datapoints: Energy storage has seen drastic improvements in its economics over the past 5 years Li-Ion Battery cost $/Kwhr dropping from 1000 in 2010 to around 200 in 2014 Falling prices of renewable energy Cost of Solar modules divided by 5 in last 5 years, to divide again by 2 in coming 20 years. This is now competitive with electricity prices and tariff. Only about 0.08% of the planet needs to be equipped with solar panels to cover world energy needs (125,000km²)
- Recommended Script : You have just seen what we do in key market areas… now let me quickly give you some insights into who we are… our business fundamentals. We are a ~€27 Billion global specialist in energy management and automation, with 160,000+ people in over 100 countries We invest about 5% of our revenues into R&D annually We have 4 integrated & synergetic businesses (Buildings & Partner, Industry, Infrastructure, IT) and we operates in four principal markets: non-residential & residential buildings, utilities & infrastructure, industry & machine manufacturers and data centers & networks. Our business is well balanced across geographies – 27% of our revenues come from North America; 26% from Western Europe; 29% from Asia Pacific; and 18% from Rest of the World.
- Recommended Script : We believe that access to energy is a basic human right. We want everyone on our planet to have access to safe, reliable, efficient and sustainable energy. At Schneider Electric™, we’re committed to providing innovative solutions that address this energy paradox: balancing our planet’s carbon footprint and the indisputable right of everyone to quality energy. Our Sustainability responsibility is wide-ranging – from providing solutions for efficiency, to ensuring compliance to ethics and responsibility throughout our global operations; and innovating solutions to close the energy gap. NEXT SLIDE Additional Data Points: Firstly, our business is about helping our customers optimize energy and automation efficiencies in the most sustainable manner possible. To help with this we offer products, solutions and services that put sustainability first. These offers help our customers fight against climate change. Secondly, we take deep responsibility in ensuring our business practices are sustainable. Such internal practices include policies and commitments on environment, social (communities), and ethics. Thirdly is our resolve to help the world overcome fuel or energy poverty. You saw in earlier slides how we are engaged in energy access, especially where the 1.3 billion people without electricity (World Energy Outlook 2012). Our entire Access to Energy Program is built on the three pillars of Business, Innovation, and People. Finally, because we can not progress without measuring our initiatives. We are religious about this. Our Planet & Society Barometer tells us, at any point in time, how we are doing with our Sustainability Agenda. We also publish this publicly and you can visit this tool on our website schneider-electric.com.
- Recommended Script : So, we have spent a good amount of time walking through who we are and what we do. I would like to invite you to engage with us through our various social media channels and our official website. . NEXT SLIDE
- Recommended Script : In closing, I would like to reiterate that we invent technologies that will transform the places where we live, work, and play. With our ingenious design philosophy we deliver solutions that integrate seamlessly into our environment, supporting the rhythm of our lives and empowering people to do more with less. As the global specialist in energy management and automation, we create connected technologies that will reshape industries, transform cities and enrich lives. NEXT SLIDE
- Recommended Script : In closing, I would like to reiterate that we invent technologies that will transform the places where we live, work, and play. With our ingenious design philosophy we deliver solutions that integrate seamlessly into our environment, supporting the rhythm of our lives and empowering people to do more with less. As the global specialist in energy management and automation, we create connected technologies that will reshape industries, transform cities and enrich lives. NEXT SLIDE
- Recommended Script : In closing, I would like to reiterate that we invent technologies that will transform the places where we live, work, and play. With our ingenious design philosophy we deliver solutions that integrate seamlessly into our environment, supporting the rhythm of our lives and empowering people to do more with less. As the global specialist in energy management and automation, we create connected technologies that will reshape industries, transform cities and enrich lives. NEXT SLIDE
- Recommended Script : In closing, I would like to reiterate that we invent technologies that will transform the places where we live, work, and play. With our ingenious design philosophy we deliver solutions that integrate seamlessly into our environment, supporting the rhythm of our lives and empowering people to do more with less. As the global specialist in energy management and automation, we create connected technologies that will reshape industries, transform cities and enrich lives. NEXT SLIDE
- Recommended Script : In closing, I would like to reiterate that we invent technologies that will transform the places where we live, work, and play. With our ingenious design philosophy we deliver solutions that integrate seamlessly into our environment, supporting the rhythm of our lives and empowering people to do more with less. As the global specialist in energy management and automation, we create connected technologies that will reshape industries, transform cities and enrich lives. NEXT SLIDE
- Recommended Script : In closing, I would like to reiterate that we invent technologies that will transform the places where we live, work, and play. With our ingenious design philosophy we deliver solutions that integrate seamlessly into our environment, supporting the rhythm of our lives and empowering people to do more with less. As the global specialist in energy management and automation, we create connected technologies that will reshape industries, transform cities and enrich lives. NEXT SLIDE
- Recommended Script : In closing, I would like to reiterate that we invent technologies that will transform the places where we live, work, and play. With our ingenious design philosophy we deliver solutions that integrate seamlessly into our environment, supporting the rhythm of our lives and empowering people to do more with less. As the global specialist in energy management and automation, we create connected technologies that will reshape industries, transform cities and enrich lives. NEXT SLIDE