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Clinical Accuracy of Cancer Clinicians
Clinical Accuracy of Cancer Clinicians
 Ability of health professionals to identify mood disorders
  Ability of health professionals to identify mood disorders




   Alex Mitchell             www.psycho-oncology.info

   Department of Cancer & Molecular Medicine, Leicester Royal Infirmary

   Department of Liaison Psychiatry, Leicester General Hospital




                                                                  LOROS August 2009
                                                                  LOROS August 2009
1. Background

  What methods are used to detect mood disorders?


  How often do clinicians look for mood complications?
Methods to Evaluate Depression



                        Conventional Scales

                            Short (5-10) Long (10+)
Comment: This is a reminder of the
structure of the HADS scale, this version
adapter for cancer.
Methods to Evaluate Depression



                            Conventional Scales

                               Short (5-10) Long (10+)
         Ultra-Short (<5)
Methods to Evaluate Depression



 Unassisted Clinician                       Conventional Scales

Untrained Trained        Ultra-Short (<5)      Short (5-10) Long (10+)




                         Acceptability ?


   Accuracy?               Accuracy?


    Routine              Implementation
                    vs                           Comment: schematic overview of
                                                 methods to evaluate depression
Comment: Frequency of cancer specialists
n=226   enquiry about depression/distress from
        Mitchell et al (2008)
Cancer Staff                                                                       Psychiatrists
           Current Method (n=226)

                                Other/Uncertain
                                      9%                                                                   Other/Uncertain
   ICD10/DSMIV                                                                                                   2%
        0%                                                                ICD10/DSMIV
                                                                              13%
Short QQ
  3%




             1,2 or 3 Sim ple
                    QQ
                   15%
                                                                                                                             Clinical Skills
                                                               Use a QQ                                                          Alone
                                                                 15%                                                              55%
                                             Clinical Skills
                                                 Alone
                                                  73%                                   1,2 or 3 Sim ple
                                                                                               QQ
                                                                                              15%




                                                                                Comment: Current preferred method of eliciting
                                                                                symptoms of distress/depression
Cancer Staff                                           Psychiatrists
              Ideal Method (n=226)

                                                                                          Effective?

                                                                       Long QQ
                                                                         8%


                           Clinical Skills                                       Clinical Skills
                               Alone                                                 Alone
               Algorithm                                                              20%
                                17%
                  26%
                                                       ICD10/DSMIV
                                                           24%



ICD10/DSMIV                                                                               1,2 or 3 Sim ple
     0%                             1,2 or 3 Sim ple                                             QQ
                                           QQ                                                   24%
               Short QQ                   34%
                 23%
                                                                     Short QQ
                                                                       24%




                                                         Comment: “Ideal” method of eliciting
                                                         symptoms of distress/depression according
                                                         to clinician
2. Primary Care - Meta-Analysis

 How well do GPs (PCPs) identify depression? (clinical sensitivity)


 How well do GPs (PCPs) identify the non-depressed? (clinical specificity)


 How important is severity of depression/distress?
Summary

  50 371 patients

  9 countries

  N= 108 studies

  N= 41 depression studies

  N= 19 depression with specificity



Predictors Examined

  Severity

  Age

  Prevalence

  Type of assessment

  Duration of assessment
Comment: HSROC Curve plot for all
depression detection studies from primary care
1




          Post-test Probability
0.9                                     Comment: Slide illustrates Bayesian
                                        curve – pre-test post test probability for
                                        every possible prevalence
0.8




0.7



0.6



0.5



0.4



0.3                                                                                                    Baseline Probability


                                                                                                       Depression+
0.2

                                                                                                       Depression-

0.1

                                                                                                                     Pre-test Probability
 0
      0                           0.1          0.2            0.3           0.4      0.5   0.6   0.7        0.8               0.9           1
1




          Post-test Probability
0.9                                     Comment: At a prevalence of 20% GPs
                                        PPV is 40% and NPV 86%


0.8




0.7



0.6



0.5


                  PPV
0.4



0.3                                                                                             Baseline Probability


                                                                                                Depression+
0.2
          NPV
                                                                                                Depression-

0.1

                                                                                                              Pre-test Probability
 0
      0                           0.1         0.2         0.3         0.4     0.5   0.6   0.7        0.8               0.9           1
Depression vs Distress




Comment: Slide illustrates two HsROC curves, one for depression and one for distress, both from primary care. The following bayesian graph
compares the two more clearly=>
GP Accuracy by Severity
 1.00

            Post-test Probability
 0.90                                     Comment: Slide illustrates GP diagnosis
                                          of mod-severe depression is more
                                          successful than their diagnosis of
 0.80                                     “distress” or mild depression


 0.70



 0.60



 0.50                                                                                                       Non-Mild Depression+

                                                                                                            Non-Mild Depression-
 0.40
                                                                                                            Baseline Probability

                                                                                                            Mild Depression+
 0.30
                                                                                                            Mild Depression-

                                                                                                            Distress+
 0.20
                                                                                                            Distress-


 0.10

                                                                                                                Pre-test Probability
 0.00
        0                           0.1        0.2          0.3          0.4        0.5   0.6   0.7   0.8               0.9            1
GP Accuracy – Detection of Distress by GHQ Score
                                     McCall et al (2007) Primary Care Psychiatry - Recognition by Severity

90


80


70

                                                                                 Comment: Slide illustrates raw number
60                                                                               of people identified by severity on the
                                                                                 GHQ. Although the % detection
                                                                                 increases with severity, the absolute
50                                                                               number decreased due to falling
                                                                                 prevalence

40


30


20


10


0
     1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17     18   19   20    21   22   23   24   25   26   27
3. Cancer Care - Meta-Analysis

  How well do cancer specialists identify depression?


  How do doctors compare with nurses?
Testing Clinicians: A Meta-Analysis
Methods (currently unpublished)

12 studies reported in 7 publications.
  2 studies examined detection of anxiety,
  8 broadly defined depression (includes HADS-T)
  3 strictly defined depression and 7 broadly defined distress.

9 studies involved medical staff and 2 studies nursing staff.

Gold standard tools including GHQ60, GHQ12 HADS-T, HADS-D,
  Zung and SCID.

The total sample size was 4786 (median 171).
Testing Clinicians: A Meta-Analysis
Results
All cancer professionals
SE =39.5% and SP =77.3%.

Oncologists
SE =38.1% and SP = 78.6%; a fraction correct of 65.4%.

By comparison nurses
SE = 73% and SP = 55.4%; FC = of 60.0%.

When attempting to detect anxiety oncologists managed
SE = 35.7%, SP = 89.0%, FC 81.3%.



Presented at IPOS2009
GPs vs Oncologists vs Nurses
Who is better?

Bayesian analysis
1.00



           Post-test Probability
                                         GP+
                                         GP-
0.90                                     Baseline Probability
                                         Nurse+
                                         Nurse-
0.80                                     Oncologist+
                                         Oncologists-

0.70



0.60



0.50



0.40



0.30                                                                                    Comment: Doctors appear to be more
                                                                                        successful at ruling-in or giving a
                                                                                        diagnosis, nurses more successful at
0.20                                                                                    ruling out


0.10

                                                                                                                  Pre-test Probability
0.00
       0                           0.1            0.2           0.3   0.4   0.5   0.6         0.7          0.8          0.9              1
4. Cancer Care – Screening Data

  What resources are available locally re identifcation
  How do nurse specialists identify     depression
                                        vs distress
                                        vs anxiety
                                        vs anger


  How much difference does a screening tool make?
Testing Clinicians vs DT
114 ratings from clinical nurse specialists (CNS).


  81 individuals (71%) scored above a cut-off of 3 (mild distress)

  64 patients (56%) scored above a cut-off of 4 (moderate distress)

  37 (32.4%) individuals scores above 5 (severe distress)
1.00




           Post-test Probability
0.90                                     Comment: Phase I Data appears to show
                                         less success in detecting severe distress


0.80



0.70



0.60



0.50



0.40


                                                                                                       Severe Distress CNS+
0.30
                                                                                                       Severe Distress CNS-
                                                                                                       Baseline Probability
                                                                                                       Mild Distress CNS+
0.20
                                                                                                       Mild Distress CNS-
                                                                                                       Mod Distress CNS+
                                                                                                       Mod Distress CNS-
0.10

                                                                                                                       Pre-test Probability
0.00
       0                           0.1           0.2           0.3          0.4      0.5   0.6   0.7          0.8             0.9             1
1.00




           Post-test Probability
0.90                                     Comment: Phase II Data: appears to
                                         show less success for moderate distress


0.80



0.70



0.60



0.50



0.40


                                                                                                     Severe Distress CNS+
0.30
                                                                                                     Severe Distress CNS-
                                                                                                     Baseline Probability
                                                                                                     Mild Distress CNS+
0.20
                                                                                                     Mild Distress CNS-
                                                                                                     Mod Distress CNS+
                                                                                                     Mod Distress CNS-
0.10

                                                                                                                     Pre-test Probability
0.00
       0                           0.1           0.2          0.3           0.4    0.5   0.6   0.7          0.8             0.9             1
1.00




           Post-test Probability
0.90                                     Comment: Phase II Data: Anger

                                         Clinicians do not accurately identify
                                         anger!
0.80



0.70



0.60



0.50



0.40


                                                                                                    Severe Distress CNS+
0.30
                                                                                                    Severe Distress CNS-
                                                                                                    Baseline Probability
                                                                                                    Mild Distress CNS+
0.20
                                                                                                    Mild Distress CNS-
                                                                                                    Mod Distress CNS+
                                                                                                    Mod Distress CNS-
0.10

                                                                                                                    Pre-test Probability
0.00
       0                           0.1           0.2           0.3          0.4   0.5   0.6   0.7          0.8             0.9             1
Comment: Slide illustrates actual gain in
meta-analysis of screening
implementation in primary care
1.00



           Post-test Probability
                                         Clinical+
                                         Clinical-
0.90                                     Baseline Probability
                                         Screen+
                                         Screen-
0.80



0.70



0.60



0.50



0.40


                                                                                        Comment: Slide illustrates Bayesian
0.30                                                                                    curve comparison from RCT studies of
                                                                                        clinician with and without screening

0.20                                                                                    This illustrates ACTUAL gain from
                                                                                        screening

0.10

                                                                                                                Pre-test Probability
0.00
       0                           0.1               0.2        0.3   0.4   0.5   0.6       0.7          0.8          0.9              1
5. Cancer Care – Cumulative Testing

  What can enhance detection?
N = 1000
                   Cancer Population
                                 n = 200                                     n = 800
                   Depression                    No Depression

                                                                         Se 70%
                   CNS Assessment                                        Sp 55%


                                    Screen #1    Screen #1
                                    +ve          -ve



         PPV 28%                                                   NPV 88%



                      TP = 140                                                         TN =440
Possible case         FP = 360
                                                Probable Non-Case                      FN = 60




                                                TN = 440     FP = 360         Se 70%   PPV 28%
           Yield                                TP = 140     FN = 60          Sp 55%   NPV 88%
N = 1000
                      Cancer Population
                                         n = 200                                      n = 800
                     Depression                           No Depression

                                                                                    Se 70%
                      CNS Assessment                                                Sp 55%


                                            Screen #1     Screen #1
                                            +ve           -ve



          PPV 28%                                                           NPV 88%



                           TP = 140                                                              TN =440
Possible case              FP = 360
                                                        Probable Non-Case                        FN = 60




                                       Sp 40%
Oncologist Assessment                  Sp 80%


       Screen #2    Screen #2
       +ve          +ve




          PPV 44%                                                         NPV 77%



                                      TP = 56                                                   TN =288
Probable Depression                   FP = 72
                                                        Probable Non-Case                       FN = 84




                                                         TN = 728     FP = 72          Se 28%    PPV 44%
            Cumulative Yield                             TP = 56      FN = 144         Sp 91%    NPV 83%
Credits & Acknowledgments

  Elena Baker-Glenn      University of Nottingham
  Paul Symonds           Leicester Royal Infirmary
  Chris Coggan           Leicester General Hospital
  Burt Park              University of Nottingham
  Lorraine Granger       Leicester Royal Infirmary
  Mark Zimmerman         Brown University, Rhode Island
  Brett Thombs           McGill University Canada
  James Coyne            University of Pennsylvania
  Nadia Husain           University of Leicester

  For more information   www.psycho-oncology.info
FURTHER READING:

Screening for Depression in Clinical Practice An
   Evidence-Based guide

   ISBN 0195380193
   Paperback, 416 pages
   Nov 2009
   Price: £39.99

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LOROS - Clinical Ability of Cancer Clinicians to Detect Depression (Aug09)

  • 1. Clinical Accuracy of Cancer Clinicians Clinical Accuracy of Cancer Clinicians Ability of health professionals to identify mood disorders Ability of health professionals to identify mood disorders Alex Mitchell www.psycho-oncology.info Department of Cancer & Molecular Medicine, Leicester Royal Infirmary Department of Liaison Psychiatry, Leicester General Hospital LOROS August 2009 LOROS August 2009
  • 2. 1. Background What methods are used to detect mood disorders? How often do clinicians look for mood complications?
  • 3. Methods to Evaluate Depression Conventional Scales Short (5-10) Long (10+)
  • 4. Comment: This is a reminder of the structure of the HADS scale, this version adapter for cancer.
  • 5. Methods to Evaluate Depression Conventional Scales Short (5-10) Long (10+) Ultra-Short (<5)
  • 6. Methods to Evaluate Depression Unassisted Clinician Conventional Scales Untrained Trained Ultra-Short (<5) Short (5-10) Long (10+) Acceptability ? Accuracy? Accuracy? Routine Implementation vs Comment: schematic overview of methods to evaluate depression
  • 7. Comment: Frequency of cancer specialists n=226 enquiry about depression/distress from Mitchell et al (2008)
  • 8. Cancer Staff Psychiatrists Current Method (n=226) Other/Uncertain 9% Other/Uncertain ICD10/DSMIV 2% 0% ICD10/DSMIV 13% Short QQ 3% 1,2 or 3 Sim ple QQ 15% Clinical Skills Use a QQ Alone 15% 55% Clinical Skills Alone 73% 1,2 or 3 Sim ple QQ 15% Comment: Current preferred method of eliciting symptoms of distress/depression
  • 9. Cancer Staff Psychiatrists Ideal Method (n=226) Effective? Long QQ 8% Clinical Skills Clinical Skills Alone Alone Algorithm 20% 17% 26% ICD10/DSMIV 24% ICD10/DSMIV 1,2 or 3 Sim ple 0% 1,2 or 3 Sim ple QQ QQ 24% Short QQ 34% 23% Short QQ 24% Comment: “Ideal” method of eliciting symptoms of distress/depression according to clinician
  • 10. 2. Primary Care - Meta-Analysis How well do GPs (PCPs) identify depression? (clinical sensitivity) How well do GPs (PCPs) identify the non-depressed? (clinical specificity) How important is severity of depression/distress?
  • 11. Summary 50 371 patients 9 countries N= 108 studies N= 41 depression studies N= 19 depression with specificity Predictors Examined Severity Age Prevalence Type of assessment Duration of assessment
  • 12. Comment: HSROC Curve plot for all depression detection studies from primary care
  • 13. 1 Post-test Probability 0.9 Comment: Slide illustrates Bayesian curve – pre-test post test probability for every possible prevalence 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 Baseline Probability Depression+ 0.2 Depression- 0.1 Pre-test Probability 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
  • 14. 1 Post-test Probability 0.9 Comment: At a prevalence of 20% GPs PPV is 40% and NPV 86% 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 PPV 0.4 0.3 Baseline Probability Depression+ 0.2 NPV Depression- 0.1 Pre-test Probability 0 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
  • 15. Depression vs Distress Comment: Slide illustrates two HsROC curves, one for depression and one for distress, both from primary care. The following bayesian graph compares the two more clearly=>
  • 16. GP Accuracy by Severity 1.00 Post-test Probability 0.90 Comment: Slide illustrates GP diagnosis of mod-severe depression is more successful than their diagnosis of 0.80 “distress” or mild depression 0.70 0.60 0.50 Non-Mild Depression+ Non-Mild Depression- 0.40 Baseline Probability Mild Depression+ 0.30 Mild Depression- Distress+ 0.20 Distress- 0.10 Pre-test Probability 0.00 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
  • 17. GP Accuracy – Detection of Distress by GHQ Score McCall et al (2007) Primary Care Psychiatry - Recognition by Severity 90 80 70 Comment: Slide illustrates raw number 60 of people identified by severity on the GHQ. Although the % detection increases with severity, the absolute 50 number decreased due to falling prevalence 40 30 20 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27
  • 18. 3. Cancer Care - Meta-Analysis How well do cancer specialists identify depression? How do doctors compare with nurses?
  • 19. Testing Clinicians: A Meta-Analysis Methods (currently unpublished) 12 studies reported in 7 publications. 2 studies examined detection of anxiety, 8 broadly defined depression (includes HADS-T) 3 strictly defined depression and 7 broadly defined distress. 9 studies involved medical staff and 2 studies nursing staff. Gold standard tools including GHQ60, GHQ12 HADS-T, HADS-D, Zung and SCID. The total sample size was 4786 (median 171).
  • 20. Testing Clinicians: A Meta-Analysis Results All cancer professionals SE =39.5% and SP =77.3%. Oncologists SE =38.1% and SP = 78.6%; a fraction correct of 65.4%. By comparison nurses SE = 73% and SP = 55.4%; FC = of 60.0%. When attempting to detect anxiety oncologists managed SE = 35.7%, SP = 89.0%, FC 81.3%. Presented at IPOS2009
  • 21. GPs vs Oncologists vs Nurses Who is better? Bayesian analysis
  • 22. 1.00 Post-test Probability GP+ GP- 0.90 Baseline Probability Nurse+ Nurse- 0.80 Oncologist+ Oncologists- 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 Comment: Doctors appear to be more successful at ruling-in or giving a diagnosis, nurses more successful at 0.20 ruling out 0.10 Pre-test Probability 0.00 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
  • 23. 4. Cancer Care – Screening Data What resources are available locally re identifcation How do nurse specialists identify depression vs distress vs anxiety vs anger How much difference does a screening tool make?
  • 24.
  • 25. Testing Clinicians vs DT 114 ratings from clinical nurse specialists (CNS). 81 individuals (71%) scored above a cut-off of 3 (mild distress) 64 patients (56%) scored above a cut-off of 4 (moderate distress) 37 (32.4%) individuals scores above 5 (severe distress)
  • 26. 1.00 Post-test Probability 0.90 Comment: Phase I Data appears to show less success in detecting severe distress 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 Severe Distress CNS+ 0.30 Severe Distress CNS- Baseline Probability Mild Distress CNS+ 0.20 Mild Distress CNS- Mod Distress CNS+ Mod Distress CNS- 0.10 Pre-test Probability 0.00 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
  • 27. 1.00 Post-test Probability 0.90 Comment: Phase II Data: appears to show less success for moderate distress 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 Severe Distress CNS+ 0.30 Severe Distress CNS- Baseline Probability Mild Distress CNS+ 0.20 Mild Distress CNS- Mod Distress CNS+ Mod Distress CNS- 0.10 Pre-test Probability 0.00 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
  • 28. 1.00 Post-test Probability 0.90 Comment: Phase II Data: Anger Clinicians do not accurately identify anger! 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 Severe Distress CNS+ 0.30 Severe Distress CNS- Baseline Probability Mild Distress CNS+ 0.20 Mild Distress CNS- Mod Distress CNS+ Mod Distress CNS- 0.10 Pre-test Probability 0.00 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
  • 29.
  • 30. Comment: Slide illustrates actual gain in meta-analysis of screening implementation in primary care
  • 31. 1.00 Post-test Probability Clinical+ Clinical- 0.90 Baseline Probability Screen+ Screen- 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 Comment: Slide illustrates Bayesian 0.30 curve comparison from RCT studies of clinician with and without screening 0.20 This illustrates ACTUAL gain from screening 0.10 Pre-test Probability 0.00 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
  • 32. 5. Cancer Care – Cumulative Testing What can enhance detection?
  • 33. N = 1000 Cancer Population n = 200 n = 800 Depression No Depression Se 70% CNS Assessment Sp 55% Screen #1 Screen #1 +ve -ve PPV 28% NPV 88% TP = 140 TN =440 Possible case FP = 360 Probable Non-Case FN = 60 TN = 440 FP = 360 Se 70% PPV 28% Yield TP = 140 FN = 60 Sp 55% NPV 88%
  • 34. N = 1000 Cancer Population n = 200 n = 800 Depression No Depression Se 70% CNS Assessment Sp 55% Screen #1 Screen #1 +ve -ve PPV 28% NPV 88% TP = 140 TN =440 Possible case FP = 360 Probable Non-Case FN = 60 Sp 40% Oncologist Assessment Sp 80% Screen #2 Screen #2 +ve +ve PPV 44% NPV 77% TP = 56 TN =288 Probable Depression FP = 72 Probable Non-Case FN = 84 TN = 728 FP = 72 Se 28% PPV 44% Cumulative Yield TP = 56 FN = 144 Sp 91% NPV 83%
  • 35.
  • 36. Credits & Acknowledgments Elena Baker-Glenn University of Nottingham Paul Symonds Leicester Royal Infirmary Chris Coggan Leicester General Hospital Burt Park University of Nottingham Lorraine Granger Leicester Royal Infirmary Mark Zimmerman Brown University, Rhode Island Brett Thombs McGill University Canada James Coyne University of Pennsylvania Nadia Husain University of Leicester For more information www.psycho-oncology.info
  • 37. FURTHER READING: Screening for Depression in Clinical Practice An Evidence-Based guide ISBN 0195380193 Paperback, 416 pages Nov 2009 Price: £39.99