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CLIMATE CHANGE AND NATURAL
                  DISASTERS
          A perspective about the near future

               Antonio J. Díaz Mora – Dic2011
This slideshow has been
made in order to present
some of the possible
consequences found by the
scientific community in
relation to the global
temperature increase of the
earth.
INTRODUCTION

• Earthquakes, floods, drought and other natural
  hazards cause tens of thousands of deaths,
  hundreds of thousand injuries and billion of dollars in
  economic losses each year around the world.
• About 600 disasters are globally recorded each
  year by the Centre of Research on the
  Epidemiology of Disasters in Brussels.
• The reported number of natural disasters worldwide
  has been increasing, from fewer than 100 in 1975 to
  more than 400 in 2005.
HAZARDS
                           For instance:
• Cyclones.                More than 1,600 storm
• Drought and              tracks are dated for the
                           period 1 January 1980
  desertification.         through 31 December
• Wild land fires.         2000. It supposes more
                           than 80 each year.
• Floods.
• Mud floods.
                           Not all these hazards are
• Storms and hailstorms.   directly related with
                           climate change, but the
• Earthquakes.             possible relations between
• Volcanoes.               each other, and natural
                           disasters could increase
• Landslides.              enormously the
• Ice avalanches.          vulnerability of
                           populations of all kind of
                           successes.
INTERACTIONS CHAIN

Greenhouse gasses
    emissions

           Global warming.
            Wind and rain
              patterns.
                     Rising sea levels.
                     Storms, cyclones
                        and others.

                                   Coast lost, soil
                                     erosion

                                             Less agricultural productivity.
                                              Changes in ecosystem and
                                                      biodiversity.

                                                            Migration patterns,
                                                         biodiversity lost, genetic
                                                                resources.
NUMBER OF DISASTERS
A SAMPLE OF INTERACTION: ARTIC GRACIER RETREAT

• For the last two years, we are
  undergoing severe cold
  weather episodes in north
  America, northern Europe and
  eastern Asia. The effects are not
  only the loos of ice sheets but
  also changes in wind patterns.
• The surface temperature in the
  Artic sea is even more higher
  than we expected, because of
  a phenomenon called ‘Artic
  Amplification’. Is is believed to
  be caused by the change in
  energy absorption, i.e., the
  darker surface of the sea
  without ice absorbs more solar
  energy than the reflective ice.
HOW CLIMATE IS AFFECTED BY GLOBAL
WARMING

                                Glacier
              Ocean
                            disappearance
            acidification
                             and sea level.




     Sea                                   Oxygen
  temperature                             depletion
                       Climate
                      alteration
WHAT WE CAN EXPECT




Changes in tropical storm frequency, intensity and tracks, that
interact with coastal development in urban and rural areas.

Agricultural areas already under pressure from urbanization and
other land use changes will become more susceptible to
drought, severe weather or floods.
Source: NASA
REFERENCES

• Natural Disaster Hotspots: a global
  risk analysis. March 2005. United
  Nations. Framework Convention on
  Climate Change.
• Centre for Research on the
  Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED).
• Development Actions and the Rising
  Incidence of Disasters. Evaluation
  Brief 4. Independent Evaluation
  Group. World Bank.

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Climate change and natural disasters

  • 1. CLIMATE CHANGE AND NATURAL DISASTERS A perspective about the near future Antonio J. Díaz Mora – Dic2011
  • 2. This slideshow has been made in order to present some of the possible consequences found by the scientific community in relation to the global temperature increase of the earth.
  • 3. INTRODUCTION • Earthquakes, floods, drought and other natural hazards cause tens of thousands of deaths, hundreds of thousand injuries and billion of dollars in economic losses each year around the world. • About 600 disasters are globally recorded each year by the Centre of Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters in Brussels. • The reported number of natural disasters worldwide has been increasing, from fewer than 100 in 1975 to more than 400 in 2005.
  • 4. HAZARDS For instance: • Cyclones. More than 1,600 storm • Drought and tracks are dated for the period 1 January 1980 desertification. through 31 December • Wild land fires. 2000. It supposes more than 80 each year. • Floods. • Mud floods. Not all these hazards are • Storms and hailstorms. directly related with climate change, but the • Earthquakes. possible relations between • Volcanoes. each other, and natural disasters could increase • Landslides. enormously the • Ice avalanches. vulnerability of populations of all kind of successes.
  • 5. INTERACTIONS CHAIN Greenhouse gasses emissions Global warming. Wind and rain patterns. Rising sea levels. Storms, cyclones and others. Coast lost, soil erosion Less agricultural productivity. Changes in ecosystem and biodiversity. Migration patterns, biodiversity lost, genetic resources.
  • 7. A SAMPLE OF INTERACTION: ARTIC GRACIER RETREAT • For the last two years, we are undergoing severe cold weather episodes in north America, northern Europe and eastern Asia. The effects are not only the loos of ice sheets but also changes in wind patterns. • The surface temperature in the Artic sea is even more higher than we expected, because of a phenomenon called ‘Artic Amplification’. Is is believed to be caused by the change in energy absorption, i.e., the darker surface of the sea without ice absorbs more solar energy than the reflective ice.
  • 8. HOW CLIMATE IS AFFECTED BY GLOBAL WARMING Glacier Ocean disappearance acidification and sea level. Sea Oxygen temperature depletion Climate alteration
  • 9. WHAT WE CAN EXPECT Changes in tropical storm frequency, intensity and tracks, that interact with coastal development in urban and rural areas. Agricultural areas already under pressure from urbanization and other land use changes will become more susceptible to drought, severe weather or floods.
  • 11.
  • 12. REFERENCES • Natural Disaster Hotspots: a global risk analysis. March 2005. United Nations. Framework Convention on Climate Change. • Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters (CRED). • Development Actions and the Rising Incidence of Disasters. Evaluation Brief 4. Independent Evaluation Group. World Bank.

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. WE DON’T REALLY KNOW PEFECTLY THE WAY THE EARTH IS INCREASING ITS TEMPERATURE, NOR HOW MUCH IN THE LAST CENTURIES. BUT WE ARE COMING TO A POINT IN WHICH WE WON'T BE ABLE TO ACT.
  2. THE WHOLE PLANET WORKS AS A LIVE ORGANISM IN WHICH SOME CHANGES LEAD TO OTHERS. NOW WE ARE ABLE TO SEE THE TEMPERATURE OF THE EARTH FROM MILES OF KILOMETRES USING A TELESCOPE.
  3. PLANTS PREVENT EROSION, SO AREAS WITH NO PLANTS ARE MORE VULNERABLE TO FLOODS AND STORMS.THE GREEN AREAS ARE ALSO KNOWN AS REGULATION SOURCES OF LOCAL TEMPERATURE AND EVAPORATION AND RAINFALL EPISODES.
  4. A LITTLE INCREASE IN THE GLOBAL TEMPERATURA CAN CAUSE A COMPLETE CATASTROPHE WITHIN THE BIOSPHERE, ABOVE ALL IF WE CONSIDERED THAT CARBON CYLE CAN BE IRREVERSIBLY CHANGED.