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Market Confidence Meter

                   In 2012
                Home Prices
            rose 4.6% over 2011.

              Forecasters and
               Economists
             predict a 3% rise
                 in 2013.
Market Confidence Meter

           The jobs report showed
           gains in nonfarm payroll
                   of 1.86M
              new jobs in 2012.

            The household survey
                 showed the
             unemployment rate
             unchanged at 7.8%
Market Confidence Meter

              Real spending on
          residential construction
           rose 13.6% in the four
               quarters ending
              September 2012,
             the most rapid rise
                 since 1994.
Market Confidence Meter

            The Federal Reserve
           will continue boosting
          housing market recovery
                 by keeping
           downward pressure on
                interest rates,
                now at or near
                historic lows.
Market Confidence Meter
                   In New Jersey,
               November was the 13th
                consecutive month of
                increased sales. State
          inventory is down to its lowest
          levels since 2005, the last year
               of the housing bubble.
             With sales up and supply
             down, laws of supply and
              demand point to a good
                 NJ market for 2013.
Market Confidence Meter
          The average rate on a 30-year,
          fixed rated mortgage has fallen
                  as low as 3.4%.
                   At these rates,
               and with rising rents,
             Homeownership is now
              cheaper than Renting
           in all 100 of the largest U.S.
            metros by a wide margin,
                  reported Trulia!
Historic Home Prices
    Remember, when adjusted for
   inflation, American home prices
increased by an average of about half
     a percentage point per year
       from 1890 through 2008,
 according to data compiled by Yale
 University Professor Robert Shiller.

(www.USNews.com/money - Luke Mullins, March 4, 2010)
Market Confidence Meter

                        In Mercer County ,
                            home sales
                          were up 13.6%
                        in 2012 over 2011,
                          with the average
                             sale price
                             up 1.5%.*

          * source: Trend MLS
With an eye to Moving This Year!
If you are a Buyer,
•   with today’s low interest rates, hovering around 3.4% for 30-year
    fixed-rate mortgages, AFFORDABILITY is HIGH !
•   consult with an experienced New Jersey mortgage counselor to
    assess your buying power and position yourself in the market.
If you are a Seller,
•   Pinpoint pricing is all important in this challenging market.
•   Professional staging can make all the difference in getting a
    good, negotiable offer.
•   Pre-inspections prevent later fall-throughs once you have a
    contract for sale!
•   Marketing for today’s buyers and the way they search for
    homes–on the INTERNET, makes all the difference.
Top Five Rules for Understanding
    the Real Estate Market:
       1.   Real Estate is Local
       2.   Real Estate is Local
       3.   Real Estate is Local
      4.    Real Estate is Local.
      5.     Real Estate is Local
Understand the Local Market That

     You are Buying into or
         Selling out of!
How do we assess strength and vitality
    in our real estate markets?

By checking the “Absorption Rate.”
This is the number of homes available
  divided by the number of homes
    that have gone under contract
          in the past 30 days.

  It is our most accurate measure
      of current market strength.
Sample Market Absorption Rate

                        Anyt ow n., NJ


        100 cur r ent act ive list ings            25
                                             = Mont hs’
    4 r epor t ed sales in last 30 days       absor pt ion
                                                 r at e

5-6 Months Market Absorption Rate indicates a normal market.
14

Market Absorption Scale
 (Absorption Rate in Months)
Market Scale for Supply & Demand
                                                                 Weichert, Realtors has
                                                                 been studying market
                                       1                         conditions for more than 3
Market Absorption in Months




                                                                 decades and has found a
                                       2                         direct correlation between
                                       3                         market absorption rates
                                                                 and property values.
                                       4                         As absorption rates increase
                                       5                         beyond a normal market
                              Normal




                                                                 level of 5-6 months,
                                       6                         property values depreciate
                                                                 annually. As they decrease
                                       7                         below 5 months, they
                                                                 increase—inverse
                                       8
                                                                 proportion. Although
                                       9                         different markets may not
                                                                 see the amount of decrease
                                   10                            shown here, the pressure on
                                                                 prices will be similar.
                                   11
                                   12
1/28/13
Towns        Active     Pending   Absorption   New Listings   Net Gain    Listings     % of      Expired    W/drawn    Closed
             Listings   in Last   Rate in      in 30 Days     (Loss) to   Reduced in   Invent.   Listings   Listings   Listings
                        30 Days   Months                      Market      30 Days      Reduced

West
Windsor:     64         4         16.0         19             15          6            9.4%      4          1          12
All Styles

West
Windsor      12         2         6.0          6              4           1            8.3%      1          1          5
Condo/
T.Houses

West
Windsor      8          0         99           1              1           _            _         0          0          0
55+

West
Windsor      44         2         22.0         12             10          5            11.4%     3          0          7
Single
Family




Lawrence:
All Styles   121        13        9.3          23             10          13           10.7%     11         2          18
Lawrence:
Condo/       37         6         6.2          5              (1)         7            18.9%     3          1          0
THouses

Lawrence:
55+          8          3         2.7          1              (2)         _            _         1          0          0
Lawrence:
Single       76         4         19.0         17             13          6            7.9%      7          2          18
Family
1/28/13
Towns        Active     Pending   Absorption   New           Net      Listings   % of      Expire    W/drawn    Closed
             Listings   in Last   Rate in      Listings in   Gain     Reduced    Invent.   d         Listings   Listings
                        30 Days   Months       30 Days       (Loss)   in 30      Reduced   Listing
                                                             to       Days                 s
                                                             Market


Plainsboro
All Styles
             61         10        6.1          14            4        10         16%       11        0          8
Plainsboro
Condo/
             30         5         6            9             4        7          23%       7         0          4
THouses

Plainsboro
55+
             17         3         5.66         2             (1)      2          12%       1         0          1
Plainsboro
Single
             14         2         7            3             1        1          7%        3         0          3
Family




Cranbury:
All Styles
             12         1         12           5             4        2          16%       3         0          3
1/28/13
Towns        Active     Pending   Absorption   New           Net Gain    Listings     % of      Expired    W/drawn    Closed
             Listings   in Last   Rate in      Listings in   (Loss) to   Reduced in   Invent.   Listings   Listings   Listings
                        30 Days   Months       30 Days       Market      30 Days      Reduced


Ewing:
All Styles
              198         17         11            33          16           33          17%       16          5         16
Ewing :
Condo/
               29         3          10             6           3            6          21%        1          3          0
T.Houses

Ewing
55+:
                8         1           8             2           1           ---          ---       0          0          0
Ewing:
Single
              161         13         12            25          12           27          17%       15          2         16
Family



East
Windsor:
              139         12         12            26          14           18          13%       11          2         11
All Styles

East
Windsor:
               85         7          12            16           9           13          15%        7          1          8
Condo/
Thouses

East
Windsor:
                8         0         999             1           1           ---          ---       0          0          1
55+

East
Windsor:
               46         5           9             9           4            5          11%        4          1          2
Single
Family
1/28/13
Towns            Active     Pending   Absorption   New           Net Gain    Listings     % of      Expired    W/drawn    Closed
                 Listings   in Last   Rate in      Listings in   (Loss) to   Reduced in   Invent.   Listings   Listings   Listings
                            30 Days   Months       30 Days       Market      30 Days      Reduced

Hopewell
Twp.             101        6         16.8         16            10          12           11.9%     11         8          7
All Styles

Hopewell
Twp. Condo/      2          0         99           1             1           1            50%       2          2          2
T.Houses

Hopewell
Twp.:            1          0         99           0             0           --           --        0          0          1
55+

Hopewell Twp
Single Family    98         6         16.3         15            9           11           11.2%     9          6          4



                 390        26        15           70            44          67           18.6%     25         9          32
Hamilton: All
Styles



                 79         6         13.2         12            6           16           20.3%     5          2          4
Hamilton:
Condo/ THouses



                 21         1         21           7             6           --           --        1          1          2
Hamilton:
55+



                 290        19        15.3         51            32          51           17.6%     19         6          26
Hamilton:
Single Family
1/28/13
Towns           Active     Pending   Absorption   New        Net Gain    Listings   % of      Expired    W/drawn    Closed
                Listings   in Last   Rate in      Listings   (Loss) to   Reduced    Invent.   Listings   Listings   Listings
                           30 Days   Months       in 30      Market      in 30      Reduced
                                                  Days                   Days




                71         11        6            17         6           13         18%       11         4          13
Robbinsville
All Styles




                35         6         6            7          1           6          17%       6          1          8
Robbinsville
Condo/
T.Houses



                36         5         7            10         5           7          19%       5          3          5
Single Family




                51         6         9            8          2           15         29%       5          0          6
Hightstown
Boro: All
Styles



                14         3         5            3          0           2          14%       1          0          2
Pennington




                6          3         2            1          (2)         5          83%       0          2          1
Hopewell Boro
1/28/13
Towns            Active     Pending   Absorption   New           Net Gain    Listings   % of Invent.   Expired    W/drawn    Closed
                 Listings   in Last   Rate in      Listings in   (Loss) to   Reduced    Reduced        Listings   Listings   Listings
                            30 Days   Months       30 Days       Market      in 30
                                                                             Days




                 111        9         12.3         18            9           14         12.6%          8          7          20
Princeton:
All Styles




                 28         4         7            3             -1          4          14.3%          3          1          4
Princeton:
Condo/ Thouses




                 83         5         16.6         15            10          10         12%            5          6          16
Princeton:
Single Family
1/28/13
Towns           Active     Pending   Absorption   New           Net Gain    Listings     % of      Expired    W/drawn    Closed
                Listings   in Last   Rate in      Listings in   (Loss) to   Reduced      Invent.   Listings   Listings   Listings
                           30 Days   Months       30 Days       Market      in 30 Days   Reduced



South
Brunswick       149        9         16           28            19          14           9         32         6          36
All Styles

South
BrunswickCon
do/ T.Houses
                53         4         13           12            8           8            15        10         1          9
South
Brunswick       34         0         99           2             2           4            12        1          2          4
55+

South
Brunswick       62         5         12           14            9           2            3         21         3          17
Single Family




Monroe:
All Styles      401        25        16           109           84          17           4         48         8          45
Monroe:
55+             268        15        18           76            61          9            3         27         4          34
Monroe:
Single Family   143        10        14           33            23          8            6         21         4          11
1/28/13
Towns           Active     Pending   Absorption   New           Net Gain    Listings   % of      Expired    W/drawn    Closed
                Listings   in Last   Rate in      Listings in   (Loss) to   Reduced    Invent.   Listings   Listings   Listings
                           30 Days   Months       30 Days       Market      in 30      Reduced
                                                                            Days




                90         18        5            23            +5          14         15%       14         5          12
Montgomery
All Styles




                11         3         3.7          6             +3          2          18%       3          2          5
Montgomery
Condo/Twnhms




                79         15        5.3          17            +2          12         15%       11         3          7
Single Family




                174        24        7.2          49            +25         23         13%       18         10         14
Hillsborough
All Styles



                70         9         7.8          22            +13         11         16%       9          5          8
Hillsborough
Condo/Twnhms



                104        15        6.9          27            +12         12         11%       9          5          6
Hillsborough
Single Family

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Greater Princeton NJ Real Estate Market Update 1 31 13

  • 1. Market Confidence Meter In 2012 Home Prices rose 4.6% over 2011. Forecasters and Economists predict a 3% rise in 2013.
  • 2. Market Confidence Meter The jobs report showed gains in nonfarm payroll of 1.86M new jobs in 2012. The household survey showed the unemployment rate unchanged at 7.8%
  • 3. Market Confidence Meter Real spending on residential construction rose 13.6% in the four quarters ending September 2012, the most rapid rise since 1994.
  • 4. Market Confidence Meter The Federal Reserve will continue boosting housing market recovery by keeping downward pressure on interest rates, now at or near historic lows.
  • 5. Market Confidence Meter In New Jersey, November was the 13th consecutive month of increased sales. State inventory is down to its lowest levels since 2005, the last year of the housing bubble. With sales up and supply down, laws of supply and demand point to a good NJ market for 2013.
  • 6. Market Confidence Meter The average rate on a 30-year, fixed rated mortgage has fallen as low as 3.4%. At these rates, and with rising rents, Homeownership is now cheaper than Renting in all 100 of the largest U.S. metros by a wide margin, reported Trulia!
  • 7. Historic Home Prices Remember, when adjusted for inflation, American home prices increased by an average of about half a percentage point per year from 1890 through 2008, according to data compiled by Yale University Professor Robert Shiller. (www.USNews.com/money - Luke Mullins, March 4, 2010)
  • 8. Market Confidence Meter In Mercer County , home sales were up 13.6% in 2012 over 2011, with the average sale price up 1.5%.* * source: Trend MLS
  • 9. With an eye to Moving This Year! If you are a Buyer, • with today’s low interest rates, hovering around 3.4% for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, AFFORDABILITY is HIGH ! • consult with an experienced New Jersey mortgage counselor to assess your buying power and position yourself in the market. If you are a Seller, • Pinpoint pricing is all important in this challenging market. • Professional staging can make all the difference in getting a good, negotiable offer. • Pre-inspections prevent later fall-throughs once you have a contract for sale! • Marketing for today’s buyers and the way they search for homes–on the INTERNET, makes all the difference.
  • 10. Top Five Rules for Understanding the Real Estate Market: 1. Real Estate is Local 2. Real Estate is Local 3. Real Estate is Local 4. Real Estate is Local. 5. Real Estate is Local
  • 11. Understand the Local Market That You are Buying into or Selling out of!
  • 12. How do we assess strength and vitality in our real estate markets? By checking the “Absorption Rate.” This is the number of homes available divided by the number of homes that have gone under contract in the past 30 days. It is our most accurate measure of current market strength.
  • 13. Sample Market Absorption Rate Anyt ow n., NJ 100 cur r ent act ive list ings 25 = Mont hs’ 4 r epor t ed sales in last 30 days absor pt ion r at e 5-6 Months Market Absorption Rate indicates a normal market.
  • 14. 14 Market Absorption Scale (Absorption Rate in Months)
  • 15. Market Scale for Supply & Demand Weichert, Realtors has been studying market 1 conditions for more than 3 Market Absorption in Months decades and has found a 2 direct correlation between 3 market absorption rates and property values. 4 As absorption rates increase 5 beyond a normal market Normal level of 5-6 months, 6 property values depreciate annually. As they decrease 7 below 5 months, they increase—inverse 8 proportion. Although 9 different markets may not see the amount of decrease 10 shown here, the pressure on prices will be similar. 11 12
  • 16. 1/28/13 Towns Active Pending Absorption New Listings Net Gain Listings % of Expired W/drawn Closed Listings in Last Rate in in 30 Days (Loss) to Reduced in Invent. Listings Listings Listings 30 Days Months Market 30 Days Reduced West Windsor: 64 4 16.0 19 15 6 9.4% 4 1 12 All Styles West Windsor 12 2 6.0 6 4 1 8.3% 1 1 5 Condo/ T.Houses West Windsor 8 0 99 1 1 _ _ 0 0 0 55+ West Windsor 44 2 22.0 12 10 5 11.4% 3 0 7 Single Family Lawrence: All Styles 121 13 9.3 23 10 13 10.7% 11 2 18 Lawrence: Condo/ 37 6 6.2 5 (1) 7 18.9% 3 1 0 THouses Lawrence: 55+ 8 3 2.7 1 (2) _ _ 1 0 0 Lawrence: Single 76 4 19.0 17 13 6 7.9% 7 2 18 Family
  • 17. 1/28/13 Towns Active Pending Absorption New Net Listings % of Expire W/drawn Closed Listings in Last Rate in Listings in Gain Reduced Invent. d Listings Listings 30 Days Months 30 Days (Loss) in 30 Reduced Listing to Days s Market Plainsboro All Styles 61 10 6.1 14 4 10 16% 11 0 8 Plainsboro Condo/ 30 5 6 9 4 7 23% 7 0 4 THouses Plainsboro 55+ 17 3 5.66 2 (1) 2 12% 1 0 1 Plainsboro Single 14 2 7 3 1 1 7% 3 0 3 Family Cranbury: All Styles 12 1 12 5 4 2 16% 3 0 3
  • 18. 1/28/13 Towns Active Pending Absorption New Net Gain Listings % of Expired W/drawn Closed Listings in Last Rate in Listings in (Loss) to Reduced in Invent. Listings Listings Listings 30 Days Months 30 Days Market 30 Days Reduced Ewing: All Styles 198 17 11 33 16 33 17% 16 5 16 Ewing : Condo/ 29 3 10 6 3 6 21% 1 3 0 T.Houses Ewing 55+: 8 1 8 2 1 --- --- 0 0 0 Ewing: Single 161 13 12 25 12 27 17% 15 2 16 Family East Windsor: 139 12 12 26 14 18 13% 11 2 11 All Styles East Windsor: 85 7 12 16 9 13 15% 7 1 8 Condo/ Thouses East Windsor: 8 0 999 1 1 --- --- 0 0 1 55+ East Windsor: 46 5 9 9 4 5 11% 4 1 2 Single Family
  • 19. 1/28/13 Towns Active Pending Absorption New Net Gain Listings % of Expired W/drawn Closed Listings in Last Rate in Listings in (Loss) to Reduced in Invent. Listings Listings Listings 30 Days Months 30 Days Market 30 Days Reduced Hopewell Twp. 101 6 16.8 16 10 12 11.9% 11 8 7 All Styles Hopewell Twp. Condo/ 2 0 99 1 1 1 50% 2 2 2 T.Houses Hopewell Twp.: 1 0 99 0 0 -- -- 0 0 1 55+ Hopewell Twp Single Family 98 6 16.3 15 9 11 11.2% 9 6 4 390 26 15 70 44 67 18.6% 25 9 32 Hamilton: All Styles 79 6 13.2 12 6 16 20.3% 5 2 4 Hamilton: Condo/ THouses 21 1 21 7 6 -- -- 1 1 2 Hamilton: 55+ 290 19 15.3 51 32 51 17.6% 19 6 26 Hamilton: Single Family
  • 20. 1/28/13 Towns Active Pending Absorption New Net Gain Listings % of Expired W/drawn Closed Listings in Last Rate in Listings (Loss) to Reduced Invent. Listings Listings Listings 30 Days Months in 30 Market in 30 Reduced Days Days 71 11 6 17 6 13 18% 11 4 13 Robbinsville All Styles 35 6 6 7 1 6 17% 6 1 8 Robbinsville Condo/ T.Houses 36 5 7 10 5 7 19% 5 3 5 Single Family 51 6 9 8 2 15 29% 5 0 6 Hightstown Boro: All Styles 14 3 5 3 0 2 14% 1 0 2 Pennington 6 3 2 1 (2) 5 83% 0 2 1 Hopewell Boro
  • 21. 1/28/13 Towns Active Pending Absorption New Net Gain Listings % of Invent. Expired W/drawn Closed Listings in Last Rate in Listings in (Loss) to Reduced Reduced Listings Listings Listings 30 Days Months 30 Days Market in 30 Days 111 9 12.3 18 9 14 12.6% 8 7 20 Princeton: All Styles 28 4 7 3 -1 4 14.3% 3 1 4 Princeton: Condo/ Thouses 83 5 16.6 15 10 10 12% 5 6 16 Princeton: Single Family
  • 22. 1/28/13 Towns Active Pending Absorption New Net Gain Listings % of Expired W/drawn Closed Listings in Last Rate in Listings in (Loss) to Reduced Invent. Listings Listings Listings 30 Days Months 30 Days Market in 30 Days Reduced South Brunswick 149 9 16 28 19 14 9 32 6 36 All Styles South BrunswickCon do/ T.Houses 53 4 13 12 8 8 15 10 1 9 South Brunswick 34 0 99 2 2 4 12 1 2 4 55+ South Brunswick 62 5 12 14 9 2 3 21 3 17 Single Family Monroe: All Styles 401 25 16 109 84 17 4 48 8 45 Monroe: 55+ 268 15 18 76 61 9 3 27 4 34 Monroe: Single Family 143 10 14 33 23 8 6 21 4 11
  • 23. 1/28/13 Towns Active Pending Absorption New Net Gain Listings % of Expired W/drawn Closed Listings in Last Rate in Listings in (Loss) to Reduced Invent. Listings Listings Listings 30 Days Months 30 Days Market in 30 Reduced Days 90 18 5 23 +5 14 15% 14 5 12 Montgomery All Styles 11 3 3.7 6 +3 2 18% 3 2 5 Montgomery Condo/Twnhms 79 15 5.3 17 +2 12 15% 11 3 7 Single Family 174 24 7.2 49 +25 23 13% 18 10 14 Hillsborough All Styles 70 9 7.8 22 +13 11 16% 9 5 8 Hillsborough Condo/Twnhms 104 15 6.9 27 +12 12 11% 9 5 6 Hillsborough Single Family

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  2. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  3. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  4. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  5. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  6. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  7. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.
  8. Populate this table to show the local absorption rate in the various price ranges that are appropriate for your market area. Please add or delete rows as necessary to adequately reflect local conditions.