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Digital&Media
Predictions
2015
#gettingmediaright 2
Contents
Second screen syncing brings
greater multiscreen control
Breaking down social
and mobile silos
Not just big - intelligent
Programmatic gets creative
Programmatic increasingly
contemplates brand
Consumer-focused
location-based
marketing blooms
Paid advertising propels
micro-video into the mainstream
Digital advertising at 21:
Marketers Get Savvier about
Multi-Generational
Multiscreen Marketing
Native advertising more often
gets it right – but choose wisely
Analog goes digital
Winning in the Digital Age
1
2
3
4
5
6 9
7
10
11
8
MEDIA
AGENCIES
MACHINE
IN CONTROL
CREATIVE
AGENCIES
CONSUMER
IN CONTROL
BRAND
MARKETERS
#gettingmediaright 3
Introduction
Since 2009, Millward Brown experts from around the globe have offered annual predictions for the coming
year – forecasting the hottest digital and media trends and providing recommendations to help advertisers
move confidently into the coming year. Predicting the future isn’t easy, but Millward Brown’s media and digital
expertise allows us to provide reliable insights into the important emerging trends and their implications for our
clients and the world of advertising.
In 2015, we foresee ever-greater tension between four competing channel-planning perspectives. New
technologies are emerging all the time that give media agencies greater control over how and when
consumers are exposed to brand messages, but there are still huge challenges surrounding how to connect
plans across media silos and how to reduce and make sense of digital data complexity. Creative agencies have
a more exciting box of tricks and ad formats to play with than ever before, but telling a coherent, consistent, and
connected multiscreen and multimedia story across different audience generations is no easy task.
With many marketers increasingly placing the machine in control, programmatic buying can result in smarter
targeting of messages based on location and behavioral learning, yet there remain many questions about
whether programmatic campaigns can add up to a meaningful brand-building story. Will programmatic and
brand building simply compete, or can they potentially complement and enhance? Finally, there are more
planners keen to place the consumer in control, ensuring that brand messages fit neatly into their consumer’s
lifestyle and that the brand is there for their consumers whenever and wherever they choose to reach out.
At the center of these silos are brand marketers looking to build their brand’s differentiation for the long term,
steering a steady course through new and unchartered waters. We hope these predictions help you make
sense of the changing digital and media landscape for 2015 and beyond so you can remain on top of the latest
important trends without being distracted by every shiny new thing.
#gettingmediaright 4
Last year, Millward Brown predicted that meshing (simultaneous viewing
of related content across multiple devices) would give birth to a new era
of multiscreen advertising. Since then, multiscreen advertising has indeed
exploded, with marketers increasingly taking advantage of these user
behaviors. For 2015, we expect this to go one step further with controlled
second-screen syncing set to appear on more and more media plans.
Second screen syncing is planning your media so that within seconds
of your TV ad airing, a complementary ad appears on consumers’ digital
screens. Time-synced digital media plans use listening technology to
identify when a specific TV ad airs; the technology then triggers the ad
server to buy up available inventory across a network of sites, and the
digital ad appears for a short period following the TV spot. For example, an
automotive display ad with a link to book a test drive could be synced with
the TV spot. Ideally, buying ad space in this timely way will increase the
chances of simultaneously reaching your audience both on- and off-line.
Most syncing technology can run digital ads across desktop, mobile, and
tablet, so advertisers are able to reach their TV audience by the second
screen of their choice.
What are the benefits of syncing media? Countless Millward Brown studies
have shown the benefits of a well-planned, synergized 360 media plan,
so maximizing opportunities to hit consumers with advertising on multiple
channels at the same point in time may well reap even greater rewards
on brand measures. This firmly puts the marketer and media agency back
in control, with the sync technology essentially doing the meshing for the
viewer. Furthermore, it is a more targeted method of reaching those viewers
who use the TV ad breaks to go online, and syncing opportunities can be
extended to web searches to further personalize the consumer experience.
As a result, syncing provides brands with the opportunity to amplify their
message and improve exposure, thus increasing ROI on their advertising
spend. It’s important to note that syncing shouldn’t be just about
amplification and frequency, it’s also a new storytelling opportunity. Brands
should continue the story online and add extra value for those who have just
watched the TV spot. This should hopefully reduce the potential feeling of
stalking that some consumers may experience when TV and digital screens
behave in a connected fashion.
What’s next? A number of companies already offer this type of technology,
and we expect adoption to increase over the next year and beyond, with
publishers also looking to compete in this space with their own syncing
technologies. This technology can also be used for competitor ad targeting,
so you can plan your digital ad to run at the same time as a competitor’s
TV ad and deliver targeted counter-claims. Syncing could also be used
to promote products complementary to those being advertised on TV, for
example a Coca Cola digital ad following a Smirnoff TV commercial. It is an
exciting time of change for media planning and buying, and the true impact
of this form of targeting will be measured over the coming year as its use
increases, and the impact on brand and behavior becomes known.
RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: EVALUATE THE EFFECTIVENESS OF YOUR ONLINE MARKETING
http://www.millwardbrown.com/AdIndex
1.SECOND SCREEN SYNCING BRINGS
GREATER MULTISCREEN CONTROL
by Hannah Walley
New second screen sync technologies offer
great potential to amplify your own TV spend…
or to hijack that of competitors!
#gettingmediaright implication
Experiment with new syncing technologies now to learn how
they can work best for your brand.
#gettingmediaright 5
RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: EVALUATE THE EFFECTIVENESS OF YOUR MOBILE MARKETING
http://www.millwardbrown.com/AdIndex-for-Mobile
Social and mobile media are hardly “new” media in 2015. But even as the
brand dollars flow in more consistently and in greater volume, marketers
are spending energy developing siloed strategies for each platform. These
media have yet to achieve the sophisticated measurement of their more
established counterparts—most platforms can only offer peeks inside
their own performance. To prove their collective value, social and mobile
platforms need to offer a more coordinated look at the landscape they
occupy. 2015 will see the start of a transformation from “walled garden”
marketing and measurement toward cross-device, cross-platform, and
cross-media approaches that evidence the full impact of these platforms on
brand equity, consumer behavior, and sales.
Innovation in advertising has been the financial lifeblood for social and
mobile media, with brands eager for more targeted reach and higher
engagement. But in the rush to monetize through advertising, it can be
easy to forget that marketers do not want to build a strategy around any
one site – or even around one device – but rather around an evolving and
intricate set of consumer behaviors. Consumers do not navigate solely
within Facebook and Instagram, or between iAd-supported apps on Apple
devices. With the flick of a finger, they swipe between media empires to
Twitter, Snapchat, Whatsapp, and the entire open mobile web, all while the
TV plays in the background and a tablet is open nearby. Brands need to
understand the synchronized impact of these behaviors to justify continued
(and increased) media investment.
To facilitate this, individual platforms will provide more open, connected
data, which links ad exposure to brand attitudes, consumer behaviors, and
sales. Linking this data to established consumer panels will allow ever more
fine-grained insights into the effects of all social and mobile marketing.
Further consolidation in media ownership may also help standardize these
data and processes.
Marketers can already grasp some threads of performance through
standalone audience and attitudinal measurement.
Cross-platform measurement will not achieve the granularity of standalone
measurement in 2015, but it will start to deliver insights into how brands
and their media agencies can best harmonize their overall social and mobile
strategy.
2.BREAKING DOWN SOCIALAND MOBILE SILOS
Social and mobile media will offer
a more coordinated look at the
landscape they occupy
by Ali Rana
#gettingmediaright implication
Develop coordinated strategies across social and mobile
platforms and work with these publishers to prove their
collective brand value in the overall media mix.
The fragmented and competitive social and
mobile landscape drives advertising innovation
but brings with it inefficiencies and challenges.
#gettingmediaright 6
RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: UNDERSTAND DIGITAL CONSUMER BEHAVIOR AND ITS ROLE IN THE PATH TO PURCHASE
http://www.millwardbrown.com/MarketingIntelligence
Marketers are data rich but insights poor. Despite the promise of Big Data,
investments in powerful data processing platforms can be costly and, at
best, only marginally useful when marketers lack a firm understanding of
the quality of the data and appropriateness of its applications. In 2015, we’ll
see brand marketers culling big data assets to “must haves,” investing in
analytic talent, and applying predictive analytics to orchestrate investments
across retail and communication channels to drive brand equity and sales.
While the data mining, statistical, and machine learning techniques used to
understand data are not entirely new to the marketing world, the content,
use cases, and platforms for which they need to be applied are. Marketers
are currently facing the front end of a steep learning curve of how to
efficiently harness the power of Big Data.
Marketers have begun analyzing complex behavioral data assets containing
hundreds of variables—including brand site visitation, pages visited, time
spent online, ecommerce/retail presence, category and search terms
used, etc.—and correlating these metrics with brand and sales data to
understand which fast-moving metrics are the best lead indicators of
brand and sales growth and which are the key touchpoints for increased
marketing investment and focus.
For example, a German social media platform found they could distill all of
the complex data accumulated from their site down to one key metric: daily
active users. If this metric increased, site users were happy, recruitment
was going well, and advertising revenue would rise too.
We also expect to see ever-greater collaboration between different platform
owners to enhance consumer relevancy. China’s online video platform, iqiyi.
com, already uses Baidu’s search data to inform pre-roll video ad targeting
decisions; online giants Youku and Alibaba partner to link video ad exposure
to online sales. If these partnerships are to succeed, the metrics at the
core of these systems need to be smart, focused, and predictive of sales
improvement.
Through exploration and experimentation, focus next year will shift from
“big” to “intelligent” data. Human knowledge and expertise applied to big
data assets and infrastructure will be recognized as key to translating the
hype over Big Data into reality.
3.NOT JUST BIG – INTELLIGENT
Focus next year will shift from “big”
instead of “intelligent” data
by Margaret Hung
In 2015, marketing will experience a mind
shift in focus from “big” data to streamlined
“intelligent” data.
#gettingmediaright implication
When tackling big digital data sets, don’t be wooed by the latest
technology platform or dashboard tool. Rather, heed the words of
William Ellery Channing: “It is not the quantity but the quality of
knowledge which determines the mind’s dignity.”
#gettingmediaright 7
RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: OPTIMIZE YOUR MICRO-VIDEO CONTENT
http://www.millwardbrown.com/link-for-digital
Brands spent much of 2014 working to find a place on social micro-video
platforms like Vine and Instagram. Their efforts so far have been earned
media, as consumers rewarded their creativity with likes and shares, but
there is now some movement into paid placements. Micro-video platforms
will become more important as an ad channel in 2015, but brands will
need to tread carefully to avoid consumer backlash for invading their
personal space.
Instagram has begun to test the effectiveness of paid ads on these
platforms with a limited number of brands, including Taco Bell and Hollister.
Results have been positive, but ads on these platforms must be immediately
captivating and entertaining, and consumers on these sites have high
expectations of creativity.
There are differences even among platforms, as six-second Vines offer
a much smaller window to communicate a message than a 15-second
Instagram video. As we found in our recent study, “From Six Seconds to Six
Minutes,” Vine videos need to be simple, authentic, and aim for high viral
potential. They should fit with other content on the platform while being eye-
catching and reinforcing implicit associations with the brand.
For Instagram, 15-second ads are nothing new – we have been
testing and using short-form videos for years. It’s the medium that
needs to be considered. The concept should be entertaining and
emotional, and the slightly longer form allows potential for additional
branding cues throughout. While the ad could use a cut-down TV ad, a
more effective use is likely to be a new creative that reinforces a clear
campaign concept.
Micro-videos currently appeal to fans devoted enough to “follow” a brand. Paid
options will allow brands and their media planners to target those consumers
with whom the brand may resonate, enabling a much larger reach among the
current user base of 200M on Instagram and over 40M on Vine. While current
reach of these channels is lower than TV, well-executed creative developed
specifically for micro-video has extremely high viral potential.
Micro-video is already transcending the online realm and starting to
influence TV advertising. HP this year aired a 30 second commercial in
the US that was made up completely of “Vinelebrities” from HP-sponsored
Vines. Many more brands are tagging television ads with their Twitter or
Instagram handle. In 2015 we will see more brands blurring these lines,
and perhaps airing simple, 5-10 second TV creatives that mimic a Vine or
Instagram style.
Brands embracing paid micro-video should be aware that these shorter ads
might actually require more effort to be effective. Poor creative could have
a negative impact, as consumers may become annoyed by clutter invading
their personal territory. To optimize engagement, creative agencies will need
to develop stories that work well across multiple micro-videos, and media
agencies will need to learn how to optimize the new paid targeting options
and the role of micro-video within a broader media campaign.
4.PAIDADVERTISING PROPELS MICRO-VIDEO
INTOTHE MAINSTREAM
by Jackie Bartolotta
Micro-video platforms provide smart paid
marketing opportunities, but only brands who
know, learn, and love those platforms will
succeed.
#gettingmediaright implication
To succeed in micro-video as a paid channel, it will be more important
than ever for marketers and their creative agencies to ensure a
brand’s communication is engaging and make every second count for
consumers.
#gettingmediaright 8
In digital advertising’s 21st year, multiscreen marketing across TVs, laptops/
PCs, smartphones, and tablets will finally become more unified. People’s
relationships with all of the screens in their lives (and most folk have at least
three) are not fragmented at all—they’re integrated. In 2014 audiences figured
out how to harmonize their various screens, and in 2015 marketers will catch
up. In 2015, the savviest marketers will invest in understanding what drives
screen preference so they can match these drivers with the branding outcomes
they hope to achieve.
Recent Millward Brown research in the US on multiscreen preferences found
that two factors played a key role in driving screen preference: generation of
the audience member and task load (the amount of time and concentration
required for a task).
When exploring the role of generation in multiscreen preference, we compared
the screen preferences of Millennials (born 1981-1996); GenXers (born 1965-
1980) and Baby Boomers (born 1945-1964). Millennials have clearly migrated
somewhat away from TV and laptops towards smartphones. Only 77 percent
of Millennials reported watching TV (traditionally) the previous day (compared
to 86 percent of GenXers or 91 percent of Boomers). The trend was similar for
laptops and PCs. Only 58 percent of Millennials reported using the internet on
their laptops or PCs in the previous day (compared to 67 percent of GenXers
and 71 percent of Boomers). Instead, Millennials preferred to access the
internet on smartphones, with 77 percent of Millennials using the internet on
their smartphones in the previous day (compared to just 60 percent of GenXers
and 42 percent of Boomers).
However, demographics or psychographics alone are not sufficient since
marketers also need to better understand the role of task length in multiscreen
preference. Our US research indicates that for low-attention, frequent-touch
activities, audiences prefer smartphones (38 percent of US multiscreen users
say smartphones are their preferred device for checking weather and 34
percent for visiting Twitter), but they still go to their laptops or PCs when it’s
time for high-attention activities like product research or purchase—and
yes, this is even the case for Millennials. Ninety-six percent of respondents
preferred smartphones for tasks between zero and five minutes, for tasks
between five and 60 minutes they were divided with a slight preference for
tablets, but for tasks over an hour a majority of respondents (53 percent) still
preferred laptops. Clearly, the laptop is not dead.
In 2015, successful multiscreen marketers will take these findings on screen
preference and overlay branding objectives to optimize multiscreen campaigns.
For saliency, where low-touch and high frequency matters, smartphones
could be a great medium for advancing these objectives—particularly among
younger audiences. However, for more complex brand messaging where the
goal is to build greater differentiation or drive further research or acquisition,
smart marketers will balance their efforts across smartphones and laptops—
particularly for older audiences.
RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: OPTIMIZE YOUR MIX ACROSS ALL CHANNELS
http://www.millwardbrown.com/crossmedia/
by Joline McGoldrick
#gettingmediaright implication
Invest time and effort understanding multiscreen effectiveness not only in
aggregate but also by screen and generation. Align your branding objective
with appropriate task contexts.
5.DIGITALADVERTISINGAT 21:MARKETERS
GET SAVVIERABOUT MULTI-GENERATIONAL
MULTISCREEN MARKETING
Optimize across devices by aligning branding
objectives with learning about how screen
usage varies by generation and contextual task.
#gettingmediaright 9
RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: OPTIMIZE YOUR ONLINE ADVERTISING CONTENT
http://www.millwardbrown.com/link-for-digital
Historically, programmatic ads have been simplistic and formulaic to enable
the adaptability required of the format while processing the available
information on a given person, but the ads themselves must now become
more engaging to break through the clutter each of us experiences every
day. To meet this need in 2015, creative agencies will increasingly partner
with developers or build up their own advanced programming capabilities
and cross-functional abilities to produce and deploy smart ads with
customizable creative elements. The best of these executions will not
seem “robo-generated” but will enable a new kind of dynamic, relevant
storytelling based on when and how they are delivered.
Picture an existing programmatic model—you place an electric razor you
are considering in your Amazon shopping cart. You later notice that several
Facebook friends like that razor company. Banner ads start appearing for that
razor across websites as you surf. A day passes and you receive an email
with a coupon for 10 percent off your order. All of these “hints” ultimately
lead to purchase, but it’s the 10 percent offer that sealed the deal. What if
instead of these hints, an emotional connection could be built by delivering
compelling, targeted, and timely creative? If this leads to the sale and could
be scaled, an extra 10 percent margin would be the result—an attractive
opportunity to reduce the cost of acquisition and sufficient motivation to get
programmatic brand-building right. In addition to increased efficiency, the
ability of programmatic to target very specific people at known points in the
purchase journey should make the impact of delivering the right messages
much more powerful. For example, bespoke messaging could be delivered to
entice active considerers of specific competitive brands.
What will this evolution look like? In the near term, creatively adaptable
programmatic will start with customized color schemes and verbiage to set
the proper mood and tone. A next step is evolving video to be customized
with distinct vignettes with smart sequencing or a “choose your own
adventure” style determined via your digital behaviors and psychographics.
For example, an individual execution could be made up of four variable
elements such as color, message, vignette/scene, and product each with
a number of options—three options per element would yield 81 creative
variations (3^4 =81). Different permutations would be employed via real-
time availability based on programmatic targeting variables such as age,
gender, site visitation, and previous ad exposure. The result is a creative
“tool kit” with smart options deployable instantaneously at key moments
in the decision making journey, driving increased meaning because of the
context and sequence in which they are delivered.
All in all, programmatic advertising will continue to evolve—the background
algorithms will become more sophisticated, and the appearance of the
creative will evolve to enhance the viewer experience with an increasing
number of variables taken into account. Ultimately, programmatic creative
will become more human, seamless, efficient, and easy to digest, and 2015
will bring the onset of this evolution. To achieve this, new skill sets will need
to evolve beyond specialized silos to leverage a cross-functional talent
set utilizing a mix of creative, technical, media, and research disciplines.
Creative executions themselves will utilize mixable and employable elements
as opposed to the current model of discrete “ads.”
6.PROGRAMMATIC GETS CREATIVE
#gettingmediaright implication
The evolution of programmatic means marketers must challenge their
creative and media agencies to work together to leverage the latest
consumer insights to fully understand the touch points of each target
and how to deliver impactful messaging via highly adaptive (real-time)
advertising.
by Drew Myers
Programmatic advertising evolves by merging
smart and engaging creative elements with
existing media buying algorithms.
#gettingmediaright 10
Programmatic advertising, which relies on algorithms to determine in
real-time whether or not to engage a consumer, is a staggering innovation.
However, those algorithms often rely on limited digital touchpoints, which
ultimately overweight the importance of direct-response metrics and KPIs.
Brands are becoming aware of this overweighting, and in the next year, they
will increasingly demand that these programmatic algorithms also consider
softer measures of brand health.
For marketers, if programmatic algorithms rely exclusively on direct-
response KPIs (click rates, view rates, interactions, etc.), they can be
disconnected from a brand’s reality. Advertising objectives for many large
brands are often more focused on building awareness, communicating
messages, and moving brand attributes. These activities currently don’t
have a traditional digital footprint; rather, they are psychological footprints in
the mind of the consumer.
These psychological footprints can only be accessed via attitudinal surveys,
and since this information will never be available for every person exposed
to a campaign, marketers will need to develop smart approaches and
innovative proxies to ensure that brand health considerations are reflected
in programmatic algorithms.
A brand’s programmatic bidding strategy, and the technology that powers
it, is only as good as data that is fed into it. Programmatic algorithms and
systems will increasingly differentiate themselves not just based on their
ability to manage cost effectiveness on behavioral metrics—their ability to
do this while also delivering campaigns that build brand metrics is where
the new battle is going to be.
To overhaul programmatic bidding inputs is a major challenge, but
marketers will achieve this incrementally in three stages:
1.	 In the near term, advertisers will use new methodologies to conduct
brand effectiveness evaluations of programmatic campaigns (ensuring
that campaigns optimized solely based on behaviors are still delivering
well on brand metrics).
2.	 In the medium term, advertisers will encourage programmatic
partners to feed normative brand effectiveness learning data analyzed
by site, ad, creative, and audience into programmatic targeting
algorithms.
3.	 In the long term, advertisers will push to enhance programmatic
algorithms beyond existing industry targeting variables to include
richer audience psychographic and attitudinal data such as existing
brand favorability.
RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: EVALUATE THE BRAND-BUILDING EFFECTIVENESS OF YOUR ONLINE PROGRAMMATIC MARKETING
http://www.millwardbrown.com/AdIndex
7.PROGRAMMATIC INCREASINGLY
CONTEMPLATES BRAND
Advertisers will use new
methodologies to conduct
brand effectiveness evaluations
of programmatic campaigns
by Jerome Shimizu
Marketers will question whether
programmatic optimization is damaging
or enhancing brand building.
#gettingmediaright implication
Don’t lose sight of brand objectives in the rush to optimize programmatically
based on behavior.
#gettingmediaright 11
RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: EVALUATE THE EFFECTIVENESS OF YOUR MOBILE MARKETING
http://www.millwardbrown.com/AdIndex-for-Mobile
The evolution of the smartphone has provided us with unparalleled
convenience and access to data, but this access goes both ways. Never
before have the likes of Google, Facebook, and their advertisers had more
access to information about us, and increasingly, about where we go. If
you are carrying an iPhone or Android device and the location services are
active, chances are Apple and Google are tracking your every move. It was
only a matter of time before advertisers started to cash in on this wealth of
data that is being collected 24/7.
While some might find it unsettling to have their whereabouts constantly
tracked, learning about where consumers go and when undoubtedly
provides a mass of useful data that can be leveraged by advertisers for
better-targeted, more personalized brand experiences. The advertisers
that see the greatest returns from location-based targeting will be the
ones that look at this technology from the perspective of what it can offer
their consumers, rather than merely trying to support their own interests.
Using behavioral mechanisms to tailor customer experiences will be key for
brands who seek to stand out from the crowd.
Virgin Atlantic has recognized this and has been trialing location beacon
technology at London’s Heathrow Airport to generate a more personalized
customer experience – providing passengers with useful reminders about
boarding times and gate information, as well as pulling up their boarding
pass as they approach airport security.
Macy’s in the US has also been conducting various trials of location-
based technology to enhance the in-store experience for their customers.
Shoppers at Macy’s can receive a personalized welcome and access
location-specific special offers, rewards, and discounts – all delivered to the
shopper’s smartphone via an app.
And McDonald’s China partnered with Angry Birds to create a location-
based promotional game to entertain and reward restaurant visitors. Players
were able to vote for their favorite McDonald’s in China, and the most
popular branch had a gigantic Angry Birds slingshot attached to the famous
golden arches.
The implications for the marketing world are enormous. Advertisers will be
able to use this data to better understand consumer in-store journeys and
dwell times – not to mention giving media owners the ability to accurately
measure the level of exposure to POS displays or OOH sites. Service
providers such as airlines and banks can make use of the technology to
enhance customer experience in increasingly competitive industries, while
retailers will be able to tailor a personal shopping experience for each and
every customer. In 2015, giving the customer what they want at the right
place and the right time will be a key differentiator for cutting edge brands
that seek to build personal relevance and meaning with their consumers.
by Matthew Jorgenson
Location-based marketing opportunities are
powerful when brands focus on consumers’
interests rather than on their own.
#gettingmediaright implication
Consumers will increasingly expect to be presented with ads that are
meaningful to them then and there; using location data will help target
campaigns to the most relevant consumers more accurately than ever.
Just be careful not to creep them out!
8.CONSUMER-FOCUSED LOCATION-BASED
MARKETING BLOOMS
#gettingmediaright 12
RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: OPTIMIZE YOUR NATIVE ADVERTISING CONTENT
http://www.millwardbrown.com/link-for-digital
Native advertising—online ads created to blend in with a publishing
platform’s format—will be huge in 2015. However, not all native solutions
are created equal. The worst are perceived as blatant propaganda and are
as boring as your parents’ vacation slideshow. But the best evoke positive
feelings, resonate with consumers, and drive brand impact. Advertisers
should identify publishers getting native right and then partner with them to
execute best-in-class solutions.
The Atlantic’s early foray into native advertising left much to be desired. The
magazine published a native ad called “David Miscavige Leads Scientology
to Milestone Year.” The Church of Scientology paid for the piece, which
was resoundingly criticized for its overwhelming bias and for only including
a single note that it was sponsored. Other publishers sometimes seem to
disown their native advertising by including excessive indicators that the
content is sponsored. Whether deceitful or disowned, this sort of native
advertising is unlikely to deliver a strong return.
On the other end of the spectrum, The Onion and Forbes strike an effective
balance between advertising and editorial by explicitly mentioning that
content is sponsored and perfectly matching their sites’ regular tone
and style. Within the walls of The Onion headquarters is Onion Labs, a
full-service agency that produces content. Similarly, Forbes offers their
BrandVoice platform for both print and digital clients. Onion Labs boasts
clients such as 7-Eleven, Microsoft, and YouTube, and Forbes has produced
BrandVoice content for financial powerhouses including TD Ameritrade,
Merrill Lynch, and Northwestern Mutual.
Native ads are able to succeed in a number of ways that traditional display
ads have not. Although consumers can find display ads intrusive, they may
trust native content more since it runs alongside editorial content. While
consumers often ignore ads on the periphery of a webpage, native content
tends to sit front and center. Most importantly, however, effective native
ads have the ability to speak directly to consumer interests. For example,
Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues utilized a GIF-heavy Buzzfeed native
ad called “17 News Anchors that are Having a Rough Day” to promote the
movie. The content fit perfectly with both Buzzfeed’s clever editorial content
and the movie’s slapstick humor.
Research from Sharethrough and IPG Media Lab indicates that native ads
consistently outperform their standard counterparts – consumers look at
native ads 52 percent more frequently than banner ads and are more likely
to share with friends and family. And as marketers begin to understand the
benefits that native solutions offer, they are beginning to spend big.
Marketers spent $4.7 billion on native ads in 2013, and this number is
expected to more than quadruple to $21 billion by 2018, according to research
from BI Intelligence and the Interactive Advertising Bureau. The smartest
advertisers will use the best platforms to get the most out of this money, but
the worst will see it go to waste. Brand effectiveness research in 2015 will start
to uncover whether the promise of native is being consistently delivered.
by Jon Salm
Optimize across devices by aligning branding
objectives with learning about how screen
usage varies by generation and contextual task.
#gettingmediaright implication
The key for advertisers will be to partner with the best publishers, and the
key for publishers will be to follow the native golden rules – confidently
identify native ads as sponsored content, match the site’s editorial tone, and
create content that resonates with the audience.
9.NATIVEADVERTISING MORE OFTEN
GETS IT RIGHT – BUT CHOOSEWISELY
#gettingmediaright 13
RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: OPTIMIZE YOUR MIX ACROSS ALL CHANNELS
http://www.millwardbrown.com/crossmedia/
Conventional wisdom says that our mobile phones are the vessels by which
we bring the digital world into the physical, but we’ve moved beyond the
point of intersection. From the places we take them to the apps we choose,
our phones know us as few others do. They have come to represent us—
our digital avatars.
Millward Brown’s AdReaction 2014 study demonstrated that mobile devices
have already become the dominant screen globally for the 65 percent of
people who have them. Moreover, research from Millward Brown South
Africa shows a staggering 74 percent of people abandoning purchases
due to information they viewed on their mobile phones. These devices are
becoming the first component of the 21st Century human exoskeleton—
always with us, always on.
Accordingly, mobile devices are transforming traditional media forms into
interactive digital touch points—in short, connected mobiles turn everything
digital. Through simple response mechanisms using QR codes, NFC chips,
audio recognition, and beacons, the ownership of a smartphone potentially
makes everything easily interactive. Every brand touch point, however
“analog” it seems, can now be readily digitized. And consumers increasingly
expect them to be so, whenever they want them to be.
2014 was the unveiling of reinvented analog channels, and the first
experimenters showed us what could be achieved. Lord & Taylor stores are
already using beacons to greet guests upon arrival and to provide relevant
offers and tips—browse the handbags and receive a Michael Kors promo.
PowaTag, a nascent app, now allows you to scan and buy products directly
from the glossy pages of a magazine—buy the coat you like directly
from an ad in Vogue. China Telecom covered an entire building in Xiamen
with a giant outdoor QR code promoting their music player and providing
promotional offers.
As adoption widens in 2015, analog’s modern-day design will truly take
shape. A fresh look will be given to these channels and their ability to reach
consumers at the right time and place. Marketers must think about ways
they can leverage digital technologies across all elements of the media
mix to make their message personal and contextually relevant, their brand
accessible, and the purchase easy.
by Kelly Pellico and James Galpin
Brands must leverage mobile-enabled
connectivity coherently through every aspect
of their marketing programs.
#gettingmediaright implication
To maximize ROI in 2015, marketers must exploit the use of digital
technologies to create simple, easy mobile interaction with their brands
through all touch points. Give your consumers control of when and how they
engage with your brand.
10.ANALOG GOES DIGITAL
In 2015, analog’s modern-day
design will truly take shape
#gettingmediaright 14
RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: ALIGN THE “WHY, WHAT AND HOW” OF MARKETING
STRATEGY TO UNLEASH BRAND-LED BUSINESS GROWTH.
http://www.millwardbrown.com/vermeer
Through Millward Brown Vermeer’s Marketing2020 research in association
with Google, we have realized that winning marketers understand that
digital has transitioned from simply a channel choice to a powerful
marketing tool—but not all organizations can make brands win in the digital
space. Fortunately, several trends will distinguish winning organizational
models in 2015 and beyond.
Winning organizations will seek innovative, fresh perspectives to disrupt
the streamlined thinking that plagues lethargic organizations. Adaptive,
agile minds are necessary for the difficult task of managing the spread of
touchpoints and allowing an organization to anticipate the market’s ever-
changing structure.
Success also depends on training in digital—starting with the CMO.
In fact, 71 percent of successful organizations have marketing leadership
that understands social and digital marketing. Winning organizations will be
avid recruiters of digital natives—millennials—and they will work to inspire
and retain these employees, thereby equipping the brand with people who
understand the perspectives of this highly valued demographic.
An organization’s vitality lies in its ability to be fluid; concrete structures
and divided communities are not poised for success. On a structural level,
overachievers will move from centers of expertise to global communities
where digital is immersed in the business. Further, overachievers will
outsource to five or more different agencies—relying on the collaboration of
all rather than on the expertise of one.
Finally, while they sprint to innovate and lead in digital, the very best
marketers will step back and look at the bigger picture. The myriad of digital
possibilities can dazzle even a full-time digital professional, so brands
should ruthlessly examine the impact of digital campaigns on the hearts
and minds of consumers. What are consumers’ motivations for engaging
with our brand? What are the choices they make throughout the day across
devices? How can we connect with our consumers through the onslaught of
brand impressions?
Across the board in 2015, we will see winning organizations take a more
holistic approach to creating networks across team members, internal
functions, and external agency work, but they will not lose sight of the need
to engage with consumers in a meaningful and different way. The people
capable of driving digital forward and seeing the big picture may well be
different, so finding an appropriate balance to this inherent tension will
be key.
by Marc de Swaan Arons and Hugo Schurink
Winning organizations will court innovators,
focus on digital, think collaboratively, and
see the big picture.
#gettingmediaright implication
Review how well your business is structured for the digital age,
incorporating a holistic approach and Millward Brown Vermeer’s criteria of
overachieving digital organizations.
11.WINNING INTHE DIGITALAGE
#gettingmediaright 15
The digital & media predictions bring together the
latest thinking of Millward Brown media & digital
experts from around the world.
Author Bios
Hannah Walley
Hannah conducts cutting-edge brand measurement and analysis for some
of the world’s most powerful industry players. Her specialties include digital
ad effectiveness and multi-media campaigns.
Ali Rana
As the Head of Millward Brown’s Emerging Media Lab, Ali leads company
thinking on emerging media trends and digital strategy. His team creates
and scales measurement approaches for new digital platforms.
Margaret Hung
An early player in online ad effectiveness and cross-media measurement,
Margaret is an expert in digital ROI measurement. She leads Millward Brown
Digital’s Intelligence Solutions and Strategy.
Jackie Bartolotta
Director of Strategic Intelligence for Millward Brown, Jackie is an
Information professional with experience in market analysis, brand strategy
and competitive intelligence.
Joline McGoldrick
A long-time authority in studying how audiences respond to digital
advertising, Joline is a product designer and marketer with a passionate
focus on understanding the digital audience.
Drew Myers
Drew helps cross-industry clients make the most of their research
and media budgets. He specializes in research analytics and effective
storytelling.
Jerome Shimizu
Jerome is a pioneer in developing innovative data-driven research solutions
to inform marketing strategy. His expertise includes digital advertising ROI
analysis methods.
Matthew Jorgenson
Matthew is an expert in creative development, including digital copy testing
and in-market evaluation studies. His focus includes helping clients grow
their brands through strong and impactful campaigns.
Jon Salm
With particular focus on client research and analytics, content marketing,
and data journalism, Jon is an authority on visual content and a leader in
native advertising.
Kelly Pellico
Kelly leads mobile strategy and production innovation for Millward Brown
North America. Two key areas of her focus include app measurement and
the use of location to garner in-the-moment feedback.
James Galpin
With more than twenty years of brand marketing experience, James has an
expert understanding of how to leverage media and digital investments to
grow brands and drive marketing ROI.
Marc de Swaan Arons
Marc is Senior Partner of Millward Brown Vermeer and works with many
of the world’s most prominent CMOs. He has authored the best-selling
marketing book, The Global Brand CEO.
Hugo Schurink
Hugo is at the frontlines of media and digital branding and psychology. He
focuses on representing the customer in an increasingly complex world and
facilitating meaningful brand relationships.
Editor Bios
Duncan Southgate
Duncan has 20 years brand, communications and media research
experience and has been involved in digital marketing research since 1997.
He is currently responsible for growing Millward Brown’s digital and mobile
business.
John Svendsen
John is responsible for growing Millward Brown’s cross media effectiveness
business by providing expert media consultancy and improving tools and
approaches, across both traditional and new media opportunities. He has
approaching 30 years of research experience gained in advertiser, media
agency and research agency roles.
For more information about Millward Brown’s
media & digital solutions, please visit:
www.millwardbrown.com/channeloptimization

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Millward brown 2015 digital and media predictions

  • 2. #gettingmediaright 2 Contents Second screen syncing brings greater multiscreen control Breaking down social and mobile silos Not just big - intelligent Programmatic gets creative Programmatic increasingly contemplates brand Consumer-focused location-based marketing blooms Paid advertising propels micro-video into the mainstream Digital advertising at 21: Marketers Get Savvier about Multi-Generational Multiscreen Marketing Native advertising more often gets it right – but choose wisely Analog goes digital Winning in the Digital Age 1 2 3 4 5 6 9 7 10 11 8 MEDIA AGENCIES MACHINE IN CONTROL CREATIVE AGENCIES CONSUMER IN CONTROL BRAND MARKETERS
  • 3. #gettingmediaright 3 Introduction Since 2009, Millward Brown experts from around the globe have offered annual predictions for the coming year – forecasting the hottest digital and media trends and providing recommendations to help advertisers move confidently into the coming year. Predicting the future isn’t easy, but Millward Brown’s media and digital expertise allows us to provide reliable insights into the important emerging trends and their implications for our clients and the world of advertising. In 2015, we foresee ever-greater tension between four competing channel-planning perspectives. New technologies are emerging all the time that give media agencies greater control over how and when consumers are exposed to brand messages, but there are still huge challenges surrounding how to connect plans across media silos and how to reduce and make sense of digital data complexity. Creative agencies have a more exciting box of tricks and ad formats to play with than ever before, but telling a coherent, consistent, and connected multiscreen and multimedia story across different audience generations is no easy task. With many marketers increasingly placing the machine in control, programmatic buying can result in smarter targeting of messages based on location and behavioral learning, yet there remain many questions about whether programmatic campaigns can add up to a meaningful brand-building story. Will programmatic and brand building simply compete, or can they potentially complement and enhance? Finally, there are more planners keen to place the consumer in control, ensuring that brand messages fit neatly into their consumer’s lifestyle and that the brand is there for their consumers whenever and wherever they choose to reach out. At the center of these silos are brand marketers looking to build their brand’s differentiation for the long term, steering a steady course through new and unchartered waters. We hope these predictions help you make sense of the changing digital and media landscape for 2015 and beyond so you can remain on top of the latest important trends without being distracted by every shiny new thing.
  • 4. #gettingmediaright 4 Last year, Millward Brown predicted that meshing (simultaneous viewing of related content across multiple devices) would give birth to a new era of multiscreen advertising. Since then, multiscreen advertising has indeed exploded, with marketers increasingly taking advantage of these user behaviors. For 2015, we expect this to go one step further with controlled second-screen syncing set to appear on more and more media plans. Second screen syncing is planning your media so that within seconds of your TV ad airing, a complementary ad appears on consumers’ digital screens. Time-synced digital media plans use listening technology to identify when a specific TV ad airs; the technology then triggers the ad server to buy up available inventory across a network of sites, and the digital ad appears for a short period following the TV spot. For example, an automotive display ad with a link to book a test drive could be synced with the TV spot. Ideally, buying ad space in this timely way will increase the chances of simultaneously reaching your audience both on- and off-line. Most syncing technology can run digital ads across desktop, mobile, and tablet, so advertisers are able to reach their TV audience by the second screen of their choice. What are the benefits of syncing media? Countless Millward Brown studies have shown the benefits of a well-planned, synergized 360 media plan, so maximizing opportunities to hit consumers with advertising on multiple channels at the same point in time may well reap even greater rewards on brand measures. This firmly puts the marketer and media agency back in control, with the sync technology essentially doing the meshing for the viewer. Furthermore, it is a more targeted method of reaching those viewers who use the TV ad breaks to go online, and syncing opportunities can be extended to web searches to further personalize the consumer experience. As a result, syncing provides brands with the opportunity to amplify their message and improve exposure, thus increasing ROI on their advertising spend. It’s important to note that syncing shouldn’t be just about amplification and frequency, it’s also a new storytelling opportunity. Brands should continue the story online and add extra value for those who have just watched the TV spot. This should hopefully reduce the potential feeling of stalking that some consumers may experience when TV and digital screens behave in a connected fashion. What’s next? A number of companies already offer this type of technology, and we expect adoption to increase over the next year and beyond, with publishers also looking to compete in this space with their own syncing technologies. This technology can also be used for competitor ad targeting, so you can plan your digital ad to run at the same time as a competitor’s TV ad and deliver targeted counter-claims. Syncing could also be used to promote products complementary to those being advertised on TV, for example a Coca Cola digital ad following a Smirnoff TV commercial. It is an exciting time of change for media planning and buying, and the true impact of this form of targeting will be measured over the coming year as its use increases, and the impact on brand and behavior becomes known. RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: EVALUATE THE EFFECTIVENESS OF YOUR ONLINE MARKETING http://www.millwardbrown.com/AdIndex 1.SECOND SCREEN SYNCING BRINGS GREATER MULTISCREEN CONTROL by Hannah Walley New second screen sync technologies offer great potential to amplify your own TV spend… or to hijack that of competitors! #gettingmediaright implication Experiment with new syncing technologies now to learn how they can work best for your brand.
  • 5. #gettingmediaright 5 RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: EVALUATE THE EFFECTIVENESS OF YOUR MOBILE MARKETING http://www.millwardbrown.com/AdIndex-for-Mobile Social and mobile media are hardly “new” media in 2015. But even as the brand dollars flow in more consistently and in greater volume, marketers are spending energy developing siloed strategies for each platform. These media have yet to achieve the sophisticated measurement of their more established counterparts—most platforms can only offer peeks inside their own performance. To prove their collective value, social and mobile platforms need to offer a more coordinated look at the landscape they occupy. 2015 will see the start of a transformation from “walled garden” marketing and measurement toward cross-device, cross-platform, and cross-media approaches that evidence the full impact of these platforms on brand equity, consumer behavior, and sales. Innovation in advertising has been the financial lifeblood for social and mobile media, with brands eager for more targeted reach and higher engagement. But in the rush to monetize through advertising, it can be easy to forget that marketers do not want to build a strategy around any one site – or even around one device – but rather around an evolving and intricate set of consumer behaviors. Consumers do not navigate solely within Facebook and Instagram, or between iAd-supported apps on Apple devices. With the flick of a finger, they swipe between media empires to Twitter, Snapchat, Whatsapp, and the entire open mobile web, all while the TV plays in the background and a tablet is open nearby. Brands need to understand the synchronized impact of these behaviors to justify continued (and increased) media investment. To facilitate this, individual platforms will provide more open, connected data, which links ad exposure to brand attitudes, consumer behaviors, and sales. Linking this data to established consumer panels will allow ever more fine-grained insights into the effects of all social and mobile marketing. Further consolidation in media ownership may also help standardize these data and processes. Marketers can already grasp some threads of performance through standalone audience and attitudinal measurement. Cross-platform measurement will not achieve the granularity of standalone measurement in 2015, but it will start to deliver insights into how brands and their media agencies can best harmonize their overall social and mobile strategy. 2.BREAKING DOWN SOCIALAND MOBILE SILOS Social and mobile media will offer a more coordinated look at the landscape they occupy by Ali Rana #gettingmediaright implication Develop coordinated strategies across social and mobile platforms and work with these publishers to prove their collective brand value in the overall media mix. The fragmented and competitive social and mobile landscape drives advertising innovation but brings with it inefficiencies and challenges.
  • 6. #gettingmediaright 6 RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: UNDERSTAND DIGITAL CONSUMER BEHAVIOR AND ITS ROLE IN THE PATH TO PURCHASE http://www.millwardbrown.com/MarketingIntelligence Marketers are data rich but insights poor. Despite the promise of Big Data, investments in powerful data processing platforms can be costly and, at best, only marginally useful when marketers lack a firm understanding of the quality of the data and appropriateness of its applications. In 2015, we’ll see brand marketers culling big data assets to “must haves,” investing in analytic talent, and applying predictive analytics to orchestrate investments across retail and communication channels to drive brand equity and sales. While the data mining, statistical, and machine learning techniques used to understand data are not entirely new to the marketing world, the content, use cases, and platforms for which they need to be applied are. Marketers are currently facing the front end of a steep learning curve of how to efficiently harness the power of Big Data. Marketers have begun analyzing complex behavioral data assets containing hundreds of variables—including brand site visitation, pages visited, time spent online, ecommerce/retail presence, category and search terms used, etc.—and correlating these metrics with brand and sales data to understand which fast-moving metrics are the best lead indicators of brand and sales growth and which are the key touchpoints for increased marketing investment and focus. For example, a German social media platform found they could distill all of the complex data accumulated from their site down to one key metric: daily active users. If this metric increased, site users were happy, recruitment was going well, and advertising revenue would rise too. We also expect to see ever-greater collaboration between different platform owners to enhance consumer relevancy. China’s online video platform, iqiyi. com, already uses Baidu’s search data to inform pre-roll video ad targeting decisions; online giants Youku and Alibaba partner to link video ad exposure to online sales. If these partnerships are to succeed, the metrics at the core of these systems need to be smart, focused, and predictive of sales improvement. Through exploration and experimentation, focus next year will shift from “big” to “intelligent” data. Human knowledge and expertise applied to big data assets and infrastructure will be recognized as key to translating the hype over Big Data into reality. 3.NOT JUST BIG – INTELLIGENT Focus next year will shift from “big” instead of “intelligent” data by Margaret Hung In 2015, marketing will experience a mind shift in focus from “big” data to streamlined “intelligent” data. #gettingmediaright implication When tackling big digital data sets, don’t be wooed by the latest technology platform or dashboard tool. Rather, heed the words of William Ellery Channing: “It is not the quantity but the quality of knowledge which determines the mind’s dignity.”
  • 7. #gettingmediaright 7 RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: OPTIMIZE YOUR MICRO-VIDEO CONTENT http://www.millwardbrown.com/link-for-digital Brands spent much of 2014 working to find a place on social micro-video platforms like Vine and Instagram. Their efforts so far have been earned media, as consumers rewarded their creativity with likes and shares, but there is now some movement into paid placements. Micro-video platforms will become more important as an ad channel in 2015, but brands will need to tread carefully to avoid consumer backlash for invading their personal space. Instagram has begun to test the effectiveness of paid ads on these platforms with a limited number of brands, including Taco Bell and Hollister. Results have been positive, but ads on these platforms must be immediately captivating and entertaining, and consumers on these sites have high expectations of creativity. There are differences even among platforms, as six-second Vines offer a much smaller window to communicate a message than a 15-second Instagram video. As we found in our recent study, “From Six Seconds to Six Minutes,” Vine videos need to be simple, authentic, and aim for high viral potential. They should fit with other content on the platform while being eye- catching and reinforcing implicit associations with the brand. For Instagram, 15-second ads are nothing new – we have been testing and using short-form videos for years. It’s the medium that needs to be considered. The concept should be entertaining and emotional, and the slightly longer form allows potential for additional branding cues throughout. While the ad could use a cut-down TV ad, a more effective use is likely to be a new creative that reinforces a clear campaign concept. Micro-videos currently appeal to fans devoted enough to “follow” a brand. Paid options will allow brands and their media planners to target those consumers with whom the brand may resonate, enabling a much larger reach among the current user base of 200M on Instagram and over 40M on Vine. While current reach of these channels is lower than TV, well-executed creative developed specifically for micro-video has extremely high viral potential. Micro-video is already transcending the online realm and starting to influence TV advertising. HP this year aired a 30 second commercial in the US that was made up completely of “Vinelebrities” from HP-sponsored Vines. Many more brands are tagging television ads with their Twitter or Instagram handle. In 2015 we will see more brands blurring these lines, and perhaps airing simple, 5-10 second TV creatives that mimic a Vine or Instagram style. Brands embracing paid micro-video should be aware that these shorter ads might actually require more effort to be effective. Poor creative could have a negative impact, as consumers may become annoyed by clutter invading their personal territory. To optimize engagement, creative agencies will need to develop stories that work well across multiple micro-videos, and media agencies will need to learn how to optimize the new paid targeting options and the role of micro-video within a broader media campaign. 4.PAIDADVERTISING PROPELS MICRO-VIDEO INTOTHE MAINSTREAM by Jackie Bartolotta Micro-video platforms provide smart paid marketing opportunities, but only brands who know, learn, and love those platforms will succeed. #gettingmediaright implication To succeed in micro-video as a paid channel, it will be more important than ever for marketers and their creative agencies to ensure a brand’s communication is engaging and make every second count for consumers.
  • 8. #gettingmediaright 8 In digital advertising’s 21st year, multiscreen marketing across TVs, laptops/ PCs, smartphones, and tablets will finally become more unified. People’s relationships with all of the screens in their lives (and most folk have at least three) are not fragmented at all—they’re integrated. In 2014 audiences figured out how to harmonize their various screens, and in 2015 marketers will catch up. In 2015, the savviest marketers will invest in understanding what drives screen preference so they can match these drivers with the branding outcomes they hope to achieve. Recent Millward Brown research in the US on multiscreen preferences found that two factors played a key role in driving screen preference: generation of the audience member and task load (the amount of time and concentration required for a task). When exploring the role of generation in multiscreen preference, we compared the screen preferences of Millennials (born 1981-1996); GenXers (born 1965- 1980) and Baby Boomers (born 1945-1964). Millennials have clearly migrated somewhat away from TV and laptops towards smartphones. Only 77 percent of Millennials reported watching TV (traditionally) the previous day (compared to 86 percent of GenXers or 91 percent of Boomers). The trend was similar for laptops and PCs. Only 58 percent of Millennials reported using the internet on their laptops or PCs in the previous day (compared to 67 percent of GenXers and 71 percent of Boomers). Instead, Millennials preferred to access the internet on smartphones, with 77 percent of Millennials using the internet on their smartphones in the previous day (compared to just 60 percent of GenXers and 42 percent of Boomers). However, demographics or psychographics alone are not sufficient since marketers also need to better understand the role of task length in multiscreen preference. Our US research indicates that for low-attention, frequent-touch activities, audiences prefer smartphones (38 percent of US multiscreen users say smartphones are their preferred device for checking weather and 34 percent for visiting Twitter), but they still go to their laptops or PCs when it’s time for high-attention activities like product research or purchase—and yes, this is even the case for Millennials. Ninety-six percent of respondents preferred smartphones for tasks between zero and five minutes, for tasks between five and 60 minutes they were divided with a slight preference for tablets, but for tasks over an hour a majority of respondents (53 percent) still preferred laptops. Clearly, the laptop is not dead. In 2015, successful multiscreen marketers will take these findings on screen preference and overlay branding objectives to optimize multiscreen campaigns. For saliency, where low-touch and high frequency matters, smartphones could be a great medium for advancing these objectives—particularly among younger audiences. However, for more complex brand messaging where the goal is to build greater differentiation or drive further research or acquisition, smart marketers will balance their efforts across smartphones and laptops— particularly for older audiences. RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: OPTIMIZE YOUR MIX ACROSS ALL CHANNELS http://www.millwardbrown.com/crossmedia/ by Joline McGoldrick #gettingmediaright implication Invest time and effort understanding multiscreen effectiveness not only in aggregate but also by screen and generation. Align your branding objective with appropriate task contexts. 5.DIGITALADVERTISINGAT 21:MARKETERS GET SAVVIERABOUT MULTI-GENERATIONAL MULTISCREEN MARKETING Optimize across devices by aligning branding objectives with learning about how screen usage varies by generation and contextual task.
  • 9. #gettingmediaright 9 RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: OPTIMIZE YOUR ONLINE ADVERTISING CONTENT http://www.millwardbrown.com/link-for-digital Historically, programmatic ads have been simplistic and formulaic to enable the adaptability required of the format while processing the available information on a given person, but the ads themselves must now become more engaging to break through the clutter each of us experiences every day. To meet this need in 2015, creative agencies will increasingly partner with developers or build up their own advanced programming capabilities and cross-functional abilities to produce and deploy smart ads with customizable creative elements. The best of these executions will not seem “robo-generated” but will enable a new kind of dynamic, relevant storytelling based on when and how they are delivered. Picture an existing programmatic model—you place an electric razor you are considering in your Amazon shopping cart. You later notice that several Facebook friends like that razor company. Banner ads start appearing for that razor across websites as you surf. A day passes and you receive an email with a coupon for 10 percent off your order. All of these “hints” ultimately lead to purchase, but it’s the 10 percent offer that sealed the deal. What if instead of these hints, an emotional connection could be built by delivering compelling, targeted, and timely creative? If this leads to the sale and could be scaled, an extra 10 percent margin would be the result—an attractive opportunity to reduce the cost of acquisition and sufficient motivation to get programmatic brand-building right. In addition to increased efficiency, the ability of programmatic to target very specific people at known points in the purchase journey should make the impact of delivering the right messages much more powerful. For example, bespoke messaging could be delivered to entice active considerers of specific competitive brands. What will this evolution look like? In the near term, creatively adaptable programmatic will start with customized color schemes and verbiage to set the proper mood and tone. A next step is evolving video to be customized with distinct vignettes with smart sequencing or a “choose your own adventure” style determined via your digital behaviors and psychographics. For example, an individual execution could be made up of four variable elements such as color, message, vignette/scene, and product each with a number of options—three options per element would yield 81 creative variations (3^4 =81). Different permutations would be employed via real- time availability based on programmatic targeting variables such as age, gender, site visitation, and previous ad exposure. The result is a creative “tool kit” with smart options deployable instantaneously at key moments in the decision making journey, driving increased meaning because of the context and sequence in which they are delivered. All in all, programmatic advertising will continue to evolve—the background algorithms will become more sophisticated, and the appearance of the creative will evolve to enhance the viewer experience with an increasing number of variables taken into account. Ultimately, programmatic creative will become more human, seamless, efficient, and easy to digest, and 2015 will bring the onset of this evolution. To achieve this, new skill sets will need to evolve beyond specialized silos to leverage a cross-functional talent set utilizing a mix of creative, technical, media, and research disciplines. Creative executions themselves will utilize mixable and employable elements as opposed to the current model of discrete “ads.” 6.PROGRAMMATIC GETS CREATIVE #gettingmediaright implication The evolution of programmatic means marketers must challenge their creative and media agencies to work together to leverage the latest consumer insights to fully understand the touch points of each target and how to deliver impactful messaging via highly adaptive (real-time) advertising. by Drew Myers Programmatic advertising evolves by merging smart and engaging creative elements with existing media buying algorithms.
  • 10. #gettingmediaright 10 Programmatic advertising, which relies on algorithms to determine in real-time whether or not to engage a consumer, is a staggering innovation. However, those algorithms often rely on limited digital touchpoints, which ultimately overweight the importance of direct-response metrics and KPIs. Brands are becoming aware of this overweighting, and in the next year, they will increasingly demand that these programmatic algorithms also consider softer measures of brand health. For marketers, if programmatic algorithms rely exclusively on direct- response KPIs (click rates, view rates, interactions, etc.), they can be disconnected from a brand’s reality. Advertising objectives for many large brands are often more focused on building awareness, communicating messages, and moving brand attributes. These activities currently don’t have a traditional digital footprint; rather, they are psychological footprints in the mind of the consumer. These psychological footprints can only be accessed via attitudinal surveys, and since this information will never be available for every person exposed to a campaign, marketers will need to develop smart approaches and innovative proxies to ensure that brand health considerations are reflected in programmatic algorithms. A brand’s programmatic bidding strategy, and the technology that powers it, is only as good as data that is fed into it. Programmatic algorithms and systems will increasingly differentiate themselves not just based on their ability to manage cost effectiveness on behavioral metrics—their ability to do this while also delivering campaigns that build brand metrics is where the new battle is going to be. To overhaul programmatic bidding inputs is a major challenge, but marketers will achieve this incrementally in three stages: 1. In the near term, advertisers will use new methodologies to conduct brand effectiveness evaluations of programmatic campaigns (ensuring that campaigns optimized solely based on behaviors are still delivering well on brand metrics). 2. In the medium term, advertisers will encourage programmatic partners to feed normative brand effectiveness learning data analyzed by site, ad, creative, and audience into programmatic targeting algorithms. 3. In the long term, advertisers will push to enhance programmatic algorithms beyond existing industry targeting variables to include richer audience psychographic and attitudinal data such as existing brand favorability. RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: EVALUATE THE BRAND-BUILDING EFFECTIVENESS OF YOUR ONLINE PROGRAMMATIC MARKETING http://www.millwardbrown.com/AdIndex 7.PROGRAMMATIC INCREASINGLY CONTEMPLATES BRAND Advertisers will use new methodologies to conduct brand effectiveness evaluations of programmatic campaigns by Jerome Shimizu Marketers will question whether programmatic optimization is damaging or enhancing brand building. #gettingmediaright implication Don’t lose sight of brand objectives in the rush to optimize programmatically based on behavior.
  • 11. #gettingmediaright 11 RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: EVALUATE THE EFFECTIVENESS OF YOUR MOBILE MARKETING http://www.millwardbrown.com/AdIndex-for-Mobile The evolution of the smartphone has provided us with unparalleled convenience and access to data, but this access goes both ways. Never before have the likes of Google, Facebook, and their advertisers had more access to information about us, and increasingly, about where we go. If you are carrying an iPhone or Android device and the location services are active, chances are Apple and Google are tracking your every move. It was only a matter of time before advertisers started to cash in on this wealth of data that is being collected 24/7. While some might find it unsettling to have their whereabouts constantly tracked, learning about where consumers go and when undoubtedly provides a mass of useful data that can be leveraged by advertisers for better-targeted, more personalized brand experiences. The advertisers that see the greatest returns from location-based targeting will be the ones that look at this technology from the perspective of what it can offer their consumers, rather than merely trying to support their own interests. Using behavioral mechanisms to tailor customer experiences will be key for brands who seek to stand out from the crowd. Virgin Atlantic has recognized this and has been trialing location beacon technology at London’s Heathrow Airport to generate a more personalized customer experience – providing passengers with useful reminders about boarding times and gate information, as well as pulling up their boarding pass as they approach airport security. Macy’s in the US has also been conducting various trials of location- based technology to enhance the in-store experience for their customers. Shoppers at Macy’s can receive a personalized welcome and access location-specific special offers, rewards, and discounts – all delivered to the shopper’s smartphone via an app. And McDonald’s China partnered with Angry Birds to create a location- based promotional game to entertain and reward restaurant visitors. Players were able to vote for their favorite McDonald’s in China, and the most popular branch had a gigantic Angry Birds slingshot attached to the famous golden arches. The implications for the marketing world are enormous. Advertisers will be able to use this data to better understand consumer in-store journeys and dwell times – not to mention giving media owners the ability to accurately measure the level of exposure to POS displays or OOH sites. Service providers such as airlines and banks can make use of the technology to enhance customer experience in increasingly competitive industries, while retailers will be able to tailor a personal shopping experience for each and every customer. In 2015, giving the customer what they want at the right place and the right time will be a key differentiator for cutting edge brands that seek to build personal relevance and meaning with their consumers. by Matthew Jorgenson Location-based marketing opportunities are powerful when brands focus on consumers’ interests rather than on their own. #gettingmediaright implication Consumers will increasingly expect to be presented with ads that are meaningful to them then and there; using location data will help target campaigns to the most relevant consumers more accurately than ever. Just be careful not to creep them out! 8.CONSUMER-FOCUSED LOCATION-BASED MARKETING BLOOMS
  • 12. #gettingmediaright 12 RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: OPTIMIZE YOUR NATIVE ADVERTISING CONTENT http://www.millwardbrown.com/link-for-digital Native advertising—online ads created to blend in with a publishing platform’s format—will be huge in 2015. However, not all native solutions are created equal. The worst are perceived as blatant propaganda and are as boring as your parents’ vacation slideshow. But the best evoke positive feelings, resonate with consumers, and drive brand impact. Advertisers should identify publishers getting native right and then partner with them to execute best-in-class solutions. The Atlantic’s early foray into native advertising left much to be desired. The magazine published a native ad called “David Miscavige Leads Scientology to Milestone Year.” The Church of Scientology paid for the piece, which was resoundingly criticized for its overwhelming bias and for only including a single note that it was sponsored. Other publishers sometimes seem to disown their native advertising by including excessive indicators that the content is sponsored. Whether deceitful or disowned, this sort of native advertising is unlikely to deliver a strong return. On the other end of the spectrum, The Onion and Forbes strike an effective balance between advertising and editorial by explicitly mentioning that content is sponsored and perfectly matching their sites’ regular tone and style. Within the walls of The Onion headquarters is Onion Labs, a full-service agency that produces content. Similarly, Forbes offers their BrandVoice platform for both print and digital clients. Onion Labs boasts clients such as 7-Eleven, Microsoft, and YouTube, and Forbes has produced BrandVoice content for financial powerhouses including TD Ameritrade, Merrill Lynch, and Northwestern Mutual. Native ads are able to succeed in a number of ways that traditional display ads have not. Although consumers can find display ads intrusive, they may trust native content more since it runs alongside editorial content. While consumers often ignore ads on the periphery of a webpage, native content tends to sit front and center. Most importantly, however, effective native ads have the ability to speak directly to consumer interests. For example, Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues utilized a GIF-heavy Buzzfeed native ad called “17 News Anchors that are Having a Rough Day” to promote the movie. The content fit perfectly with both Buzzfeed’s clever editorial content and the movie’s slapstick humor. Research from Sharethrough and IPG Media Lab indicates that native ads consistently outperform their standard counterparts – consumers look at native ads 52 percent more frequently than banner ads and are more likely to share with friends and family. And as marketers begin to understand the benefits that native solutions offer, they are beginning to spend big. Marketers spent $4.7 billion on native ads in 2013, and this number is expected to more than quadruple to $21 billion by 2018, according to research from BI Intelligence and the Interactive Advertising Bureau. The smartest advertisers will use the best platforms to get the most out of this money, but the worst will see it go to waste. Brand effectiveness research in 2015 will start to uncover whether the promise of native is being consistently delivered. by Jon Salm Optimize across devices by aligning branding objectives with learning about how screen usage varies by generation and contextual task. #gettingmediaright implication The key for advertisers will be to partner with the best publishers, and the key for publishers will be to follow the native golden rules – confidently identify native ads as sponsored content, match the site’s editorial tone, and create content that resonates with the audience. 9.NATIVEADVERTISING MORE OFTEN GETS IT RIGHT – BUT CHOOSEWISELY
  • 13. #gettingmediaright 13 RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: OPTIMIZE YOUR MIX ACROSS ALL CHANNELS http://www.millwardbrown.com/crossmedia/ Conventional wisdom says that our mobile phones are the vessels by which we bring the digital world into the physical, but we’ve moved beyond the point of intersection. From the places we take them to the apps we choose, our phones know us as few others do. They have come to represent us— our digital avatars. Millward Brown’s AdReaction 2014 study demonstrated that mobile devices have already become the dominant screen globally for the 65 percent of people who have them. Moreover, research from Millward Brown South Africa shows a staggering 74 percent of people abandoning purchases due to information they viewed on their mobile phones. These devices are becoming the first component of the 21st Century human exoskeleton— always with us, always on. Accordingly, mobile devices are transforming traditional media forms into interactive digital touch points—in short, connected mobiles turn everything digital. Through simple response mechanisms using QR codes, NFC chips, audio recognition, and beacons, the ownership of a smartphone potentially makes everything easily interactive. Every brand touch point, however “analog” it seems, can now be readily digitized. And consumers increasingly expect them to be so, whenever they want them to be. 2014 was the unveiling of reinvented analog channels, and the first experimenters showed us what could be achieved. Lord & Taylor stores are already using beacons to greet guests upon arrival and to provide relevant offers and tips—browse the handbags and receive a Michael Kors promo. PowaTag, a nascent app, now allows you to scan and buy products directly from the glossy pages of a magazine—buy the coat you like directly from an ad in Vogue. China Telecom covered an entire building in Xiamen with a giant outdoor QR code promoting their music player and providing promotional offers. As adoption widens in 2015, analog’s modern-day design will truly take shape. A fresh look will be given to these channels and their ability to reach consumers at the right time and place. Marketers must think about ways they can leverage digital technologies across all elements of the media mix to make their message personal and contextually relevant, their brand accessible, and the purchase easy. by Kelly Pellico and James Galpin Brands must leverage mobile-enabled connectivity coherently through every aspect of their marketing programs. #gettingmediaright implication To maximize ROI in 2015, marketers must exploit the use of digital technologies to create simple, easy mobile interaction with their brands through all touch points. Give your consumers control of when and how they engage with your brand. 10.ANALOG GOES DIGITAL In 2015, analog’s modern-day design will truly take shape
  • 14. #gettingmediaright 14 RELATED MILLWARD BROWN SOLUTION: ALIGN THE “WHY, WHAT AND HOW” OF MARKETING STRATEGY TO UNLEASH BRAND-LED BUSINESS GROWTH. http://www.millwardbrown.com/vermeer Through Millward Brown Vermeer’s Marketing2020 research in association with Google, we have realized that winning marketers understand that digital has transitioned from simply a channel choice to a powerful marketing tool—but not all organizations can make brands win in the digital space. Fortunately, several trends will distinguish winning organizational models in 2015 and beyond. Winning organizations will seek innovative, fresh perspectives to disrupt the streamlined thinking that plagues lethargic organizations. Adaptive, agile minds are necessary for the difficult task of managing the spread of touchpoints and allowing an organization to anticipate the market’s ever- changing structure. Success also depends on training in digital—starting with the CMO. In fact, 71 percent of successful organizations have marketing leadership that understands social and digital marketing. Winning organizations will be avid recruiters of digital natives—millennials—and they will work to inspire and retain these employees, thereby equipping the brand with people who understand the perspectives of this highly valued demographic. An organization’s vitality lies in its ability to be fluid; concrete structures and divided communities are not poised for success. On a structural level, overachievers will move from centers of expertise to global communities where digital is immersed in the business. Further, overachievers will outsource to five or more different agencies—relying on the collaboration of all rather than on the expertise of one. Finally, while they sprint to innovate and lead in digital, the very best marketers will step back and look at the bigger picture. The myriad of digital possibilities can dazzle even a full-time digital professional, so brands should ruthlessly examine the impact of digital campaigns on the hearts and minds of consumers. What are consumers’ motivations for engaging with our brand? What are the choices they make throughout the day across devices? How can we connect with our consumers through the onslaught of brand impressions? Across the board in 2015, we will see winning organizations take a more holistic approach to creating networks across team members, internal functions, and external agency work, but they will not lose sight of the need to engage with consumers in a meaningful and different way. The people capable of driving digital forward and seeing the big picture may well be different, so finding an appropriate balance to this inherent tension will be key. by Marc de Swaan Arons and Hugo Schurink Winning organizations will court innovators, focus on digital, think collaboratively, and see the big picture. #gettingmediaright implication Review how well your business is structured for the digital age, incorporating a holistic approach and Millward Brown Vermeer’s criteria of overachieving digital organizations. 11.WINNING INTHE DIGITALAGE
  • 15. #gettingmediaright 15 The digital & media predictions bring together the latest thinking of Millward Brown media & digital experts from around the world. Author Bios Hannah Walley Hannah conducts cutting-edge brand measurement and analysis for some of the world’s most powerful industry players. Her specialties include digital ad effectiveness and multi-media campaigns. Ali Rana As the Head of Millward Brown’s Emerging Media Lab, Ali leads company thinking on emerging media trends and digital strategy. His team creates and scales measurement approaches for new digital platforms. Margaret Hung An early player in online ad effectiveness and cross-media measurement, Margaret is an expert in digital ROI measurement. She leads Millward Brown Digital’s Intelligence Solutions and Strategy. Jackie Bartolotta Director of Strategic Intelligence for Millward Brown, Jackie is an Information professional with experience in market analysis, brand strategy and competitive intelligence. Joline McGoldrick A long-time authority in studying how audiences respond to digital advertising, Joline is a product designer and marketer with a passionate focus on understanding the digital audience. Drew Myers Drew helps cross-industry clients make the most of their research and media budgets. He specializes in research analytics and effective storytelling. Jerome Shimizu Jerome is a pioneer in developing innovative data-driven research solutions to inform marketing strategy. His expertise includes digital advertising ROI analysis methods. Matthew Jorgenson Matthew is an expert in creative development, including digital copy testing and in-market evaluation studies. His focus includes helping clients grow their brands through strong and impactful campaigns. Jon Salm With particular focus on client research and analytics, content marketing, and data journalism, Jon is an authority on visual content and a leader in native advertising. Kelly Pellico Kelly leads mobile strategy and production innovation for Millward Brown North America. Two key areas of her focus include app measurement and the use of location to garner in-the-moment feedback. James Galpin With more than twenty years of brand marketing experience, James has an expert understanding of how to leverage media and digital investments to grow brands and drive marketing ROI. Marc de Swaan Arons Marc is Senior Partner of Millward Brown Vermeer and works with many of the world’s most prominent CMOs. He has authored the best-selling marketing book, The Global Brand CEO. Hugo Schurink Hugo is at the frontlines of media and digital branding and psychology. He focuses on representing the customer in an increasingly complex world and facilitating meaningful brand relationships. Editor Bios Duncan Southgate Duncan has 20 years brand, communications and media research experience and has been involved in digital marketing research since 1997. He is currently responsible for growing Millward Brown’s digital and mobile business. John Svendsen John is responsible for growing Millward Brown’s cross media effectiveness business by providing expert media consultancy and improving tools and approaches, across both traditional and new media opportunities. He has approaching 30 years of research experience gained in advertiser, media agency and research agency roles.
  • 16. For more information about Millward Brown’s media & digital solutions, please visit: www.millwardbrown.com/channeloptimization