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agneya                                                                                                        Volume 2 Issue 5




HORIZONS
 29 August, 2012




Off-grid Power
                                                                                             Electricity Generation
Off-grid renewable power projects using wind energy, biomass energy, hydro                     (MWh per Capita)
power and hybrid systems are being established in the country to meet the                           13.1              13.0             13.1

energy requirements of remote locations which are not likely to be electrified
in the near future.
                                                                                             1.8                 1.8               2.2
                                                                                                                                     2.6
The need for off-grid Power                                                            0.4         0.9     0.5      1.5      0.6



According to the International Energy Agency, about one third of India’s                     2000                2005              2011

population lacks access to electricity. High cost associated with grid                       India         Brazil         China      US
extension is the primary reason for lower electrification rates in rural India.
                                                                                    Source: CIA World Factbook
Most of rural India is dependent on biomass for fulfilling its energy needs.
However, burning biomass comes with several hazards to personal health              Per       capita     electricity
and the environment.                                                                generation in India has been
                                                                                    low    compared     to   other
In July this year, three of India’s regional power grids, the Northern, Eastern     countries and has also grown
and North-eastern grids, collapsed due to overdrawal by States. This has            at a slower rate in the past
brought additional attention to the need for reducing dependence on                 decade. With the economy
conventional sources of energy. Off-grid renewable energy applications              expected to grow faster than
present a viable alternative for mitigating the country’s energy risk in the face   the developed countries, this
of fuel scarcity.                                                                   disparity needs to be bridged
                                                                                    using a suitable mix of
                                                                                    conventional and renewable
                                                                                    technologies.
2


Off-grid RE capacity

        Installed Capacity
               (MW)


        2
               97        106

       153
                                         Renewable technologies for off-grid solutions
                          396
                                         In rural India, energy is mainly required for cooking, lighting and agricultural
                                         activities. Biomass is the main source of energy due to easy availability. To
     Waste to Energy
                                         reduce negative impacts of biomass and to increase the production of
     Biomass(non-bagasse) Cogeneration
                                         renewable energy, the Government has implemented several programmes.
     Biomass Gasifiers                   For example, the National Programme on Improved Chullahs where more
     Aero-Generators/Hybrid systems      than 3 crores high efficiency Chullahs have been distributed to replace
     SPV Systems (>1kW)                  conventional ones. Biomass gasifier technology is being used for electricity
                                         generation.

Source: MNRE, July 2012
                                         With the advent of solar hybrid systems,                Aero-Generators/
                                                                                                   Wind hybrid
                                         urban India too is catching up. In these
Around 87% of the off-grid               systems, solar PV modules charge the                                     1651

installed capacity in the                battery during day time while during                   849
country comes from biomass               monsoon WEGs charge the battery.
(including Waste to Energy).             Although current installed capacity of
Solar PV installations have              these systems is very low, it is expected             2009               2012

increased rapidly from just 4            that these systems will grow in areas with         Cumulative installed Capacity (kW)

MW by 31st January last year             good wind potential.                          Source: MNRE
to 97 MW as of July 2012.                Renewable Energy Certificates for off-grid projects
Installations      of Financing
                          Aero-
generators       and     Hybrid          Falling cost of solar energy has stimulated many entrepreneurs who are
systems have also doubled                trying to develop scalable and replicable models for deploying solar energy
                     Commercials
since.      Falling prices of            in various applications. Mera Gao Power is one such example. It operates
photovoltaic cells in the last           micro grids by installing solar PV panels and then transmits energy to
two years have increased the             houses who pay about Rs. 40 to connect, with costs thereafter about Rs. 25
                     Technology
viability of solar energy                per week.
projects.
                                         In a recent meeting of the Forum of Regulators, a new model for
                                         incorporating RECs to encourage off-grid energy generation was endorsed.
                                         It has been suggested to the CERC to modify existing regulations to
                                         incorporate off-grid installations. This can give a big impetus to off-grid
                                         installations in the country – we can expect many entrepreneurs taking
                                         interest in setting up off-grid projects. If this happens, we can hope to see the
                                         Gandhian model of self-reliance become a reality in the energy sector.
agneya                                                                                                                                                                  3




 REC Market in August 2012
                                                                                                                         REC Inventory
REC Trade                                                                                         Clearing Price
                            Buy Bids                   Sell Bids         Volume Traded
August 2012                                                                                        Rs. per REC
                                                                                                                                 REC Inventory Aug 2012
                 IEX           248,168                 568,097                  248,168                 1,500


 RE Newsletter
Non-Solar



Solar
                 PXIL

                 IEX
                               35,150

                                1,728
                                                        59,213

                                                         310
                                                                                25,725

                                                                                 129
                                                                                                        1,555

                                                                                                       12,850                           4,43,172
                                                                                                                                                   2,73,893




                 PXIL           603                      250                     250                   12,850

                                                                                                                                                              5,67,220
                                                                                                                             3,97,941


Traded Volume touches new High
The REC trade in August 2012 recorded the highest volume ever transacted in the
REC Markets to date. At 273,893 certificates, the volume of Non-solar RECs traded
was 14% higher than the previous high in June this year. Prices however dropped to
Rs.1500/- with supply far outstripping demand.                                                                           Source: REC Registry


                                                                                                                         REC inventory reaches
                                                                                                                         record high
   300                                                                                                  274      3,500
                                                                                                                         With highest ever RECs issued in
   250                                                                                   236                     3,000   the month, REC closing inventory
                                                         206     200                                             2,500   reached a new high in August
   200                                                                                                                   2012.
                                                172                             169             158              2,000
   150
                                                                                                                         Whereas, sell bids in this month
                                 106     112                                                                     1,500
                          96                                                                                             were almost half of the sell bids
   100
                                                                         71                                      1,000   in the entire last year, buy bids
                   46
    50                                                                                                                   were only about one tenth of the
            25                                                                                                  500
                                                                                                                         total buy bids last year.
     -                                                                                                           -
         Aug      Sept Oct 2011 Nov      Dec     Jan      Feb     Mar   April   May      June   July   August            While the Government has
         2011     2011          2011     2011   2012     2012    2012   2012    2012     2012   2012    2012
                                                                                                                         successfully incentivized sellers
            IEX and PXIL Whole Volume Trade in Thousands            Price at IEX (RHS)          Price at PXIL (RHS)      of RECs, further effort needs to
                                                                                                                         be made to enforce compliance
                                                                                                                         of RPO.
Capacity Registered, MW
                                      600                                                                                            3500
4
                                                                                                                                     3000
State-wise Registered                 500
                                                                                                                                     2500
Capacity, April 2012 to               400                          384
                                                                                                            335
                                                                                                                                     2000
date                                  300
                                              287
                                                                         271                                              250
                                                                                                                                     1500

State                         MW 200                      172                    149             158                                 1000
Tamil Nadu                      310                 113                                  93                         106
Maharashtra                     206   100                                                              73                       62   500
Gujarat                         135
Karnataka                       102
Madhya Pradesh                   21     0                                                                                            0
Uttar Pradesh                    20
Rajasthan                        17
Chhattisgarh                     12
Himachal Pradesh                  3
Punjab                            0                                  Cum. Registered till Date(RHS)    Registered
Uttarakhand                       0         Source: REC Registry
Kerala                            0
J&K                               0
Haryana                           0         Trade value touched Rs. 41 Crore in August 2012. In total, 61.85 MW of capacity
Total                           826
                                            was registered in August, taking the cumulative capacity registered in FY2012-13
                                            to 826 MW.

Source-wise Registered
Capacity, April 2012 to
date
Source                        MW
Wind                            664
Biomass                          82
Bio-fuel cogen                   58
Solar PV                         18
Small Hydro                       4
Total                           826




agneya
Agneya is promoted by alumni of IIM Ahmedabad and IIM Bangalore. We provide services in the following areas –

Renewable Energy – advising clients on the best possible portfolio of renewable energy (wind, solar, bio) across tariff regimes,
technology options, electricity sales structuring and availing incentives like REC and GBI.

Renewable Energy Regulations – advising clients on regulatory aspects of electricity market, options for realizing the maximum
value from their energy assets and minimizing costs related to regulatory compliance including addressing RPO.

Carbon & Energy – measuring carbon footprint, current/future energy profiling, and setting up energy management systems to
assess risks and opportunities related to energy security and climate change.

Sustainability – building robust long term foundations for business i.e. managing economic, environmental and social aspects of
business. These include establishing sustainability management framework and reporting as per GRI guidelines.

For further information on Renewable Energy Certificates or other services, please contact us at –
E-mail – rahul@agneya.in | Phone – +91-20-41203800, +91-88 06 07 07 83 | Website – www.agneya.in

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Agneya\'s Newsletter on Renewable Energy Sector and REC market in India

  • 1. agneya Volume 2 Issue 5 HORIZONS 29 August, 2012 Off-grid Power Electricity Generation Off-grid renewable power projects using wind energy, biomass energy, hydro (MWh per Capita) power and hybrid systems are being established in the country to meet the 13.1 13.0 13.1 energy requirements of remote locations which are not likely to be electrified in the near future. 1.8 1.8 2.2 2.6 The need for off-grid Power 0.4 0.9 0.5 1.5 0.6 According to the International Energy Agency, about one third of India’s 2000 2005 2011 population lacks access to electricity. High cost associated with grid India Brazil China US extension is the primary reason for lower electrification rates in rural India. Source: CIA World Factbook Most of rural India is dependent on biomass for fulfilling its energy needs. However, burning biomass comes with several hazards to personal health Per capita electricity and the environment. generation in India has been low compared to other In July this year, three of India’s regional power grids, the Northern, Eastern countries and has also grown and North-eastern grids, collapsed due to overdrawal by States. This has at a slower rate in the past brought additional attention to the need for reducing dependence on decade. With the economy conventional sources of energy. Off-grid renewable energy applications expected to grow faster than present a viable alternative for mitigating the country’s energy risk in the face the developed countries, this of fuel scarcity. disparity needs to be bridged using a suitable mix of conventional and renewable technologies.
  • 2. 2 Off-grid RE capacity Installed Capacity (MW) 2 97 106 153 Renewable technologies for off-grid solutions 396 In rural India, energy is mainly required for cooking, lighting and agricultural activities. Biomass is the main source of energy due to easy availability. To Waste to Energy reduce negative impacts of biomass and to increase the production of Biomass(non-bagasse) Cogeneration renewable energy, the Government has implemented several programmes. Biomass Gasifiers For example, the National Programme on Improved Chullahs where more Aero-Generators/Hybrid systems than 3 crores high efficiency Chullahs have been distributed to replace SPV Systems (>1kW) conventional ones. Biomass gasifier technology is being used for electricity generation. Source: MNRE, July 2012 With the advent of solar hybrid systems, Aero-Generators/ Wind hybrid urban India too is catching up. In these Around 87% of the off-grid systems, solar PV modules charge the 1651 installed capacity in the battery during day time while during 849 country comes from biomass monsoon WEGs charge the battery. (including Waste to Energy). Although current installed capacity of Solar PV installations have these systems is very low, it is expected 2009 2012 increased rapidly from just 4 that these systems will grow in areas with Cumulative installed Capacity (kW) MW by 31st January last year good wind potential. Source: MNRE to 97 MW as of July 2012. Renewable Energy Certificates for off-grid projects Installations of Financing Aero- generators and Hybrid Falling cost of solar energy has stimulated many entrepreneurs who are systems have also doubled trying to develop scalable and replicable models for deploying solar energy Commercials since. Falling prices of in various applications. Mera Gao Power is one such example. It operates photovoltaic cells in the last micro grids by installing solar PV panels and then transmits energy to two years have increased the houses who pay about Rs. 40 to connect, with costs thereafter about Rs. 25 Technology viability of solar energy per week. projects. In a recent meeting of the Forum of Regulators, a new model for incorporating RECs to encourage off-grid energy generation was endorsed. It has been suggested to the CERC to modify existing regulations to incorporate off-grid installations. This can give a big impetus to off-grid installations in the country – we can expect many entrepreneurs taking interest in setting up off-grid projects. If this happens, we can hope to see the Gandhian model of self-reliance become a reality in the energy sector.
  • 3. agneya 3 REC Market in August 2012 REC Inventory REC Trade Clearing Price Buy Bids Sell Bids Volume Traded August 2012 Rs. per REC REC Inventory Aug 2012 IEX 248,168 568,097 248,168 1,500 RE Newsletter Non-Solar Solar PXIL IEX 35,150 1,728 59,213 310 25,725 129 1,555 12,850 4,43,172 2,73,893 PXIL 603 250 250 12,850 5,67,220 3,97,941 Traded Volume touches new High The REC trade in August 2012 recorded the highest volume ever transacted in the REC Markets to date. At 273,893 certificates, the volume of Non-solar RECs traded was 14% higher than the previous high in June this year. Prices however dropped to Rs.1500/- with supply far outstripping demand. Source: REC Registry REC inventory reaches record high 300 274 3,500 With highest ever RECs issued in 250 236 3,000 the month, REC closing inventory 206 200 2,500 reached a new high in August 200 2012. 172 169 158 2,000 150 Whereas, sell bids in this month 106 112 1,500 96 were almost half of the sell bids 100 71 1,000 in the entire last year, buy bids 46 50 were only about one tenth of the 25 500 total buy bids last year. - - Aug Sept Oct 2011 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar April May June July August While the Government has 2011 2011 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 successfully incentivized sellers IEX and PXIL Whole Volume Trade in Thousands Price at IEX (RHS) Price at PXIL (RHS) of RECs, further effort needs to be made to enforce compliance of RPO.
  • 4. Capacity Registered, MW 600 3500 4 3000 State-wise Registered 500 2500 Capacity, April 2012 to 400 384 335 2000 date 300 287 271 250 1500 State MW 200 172 149 158 1000 Tamil Nadu 310 113 93 106 Maharashtra 206 100 73 62 500 Gujarat 135 Karnataka 102 Madhya Pradesh 21 0 0 Uttar Pradesh 20 Rajasthan 17 Chhattisgarh 12 Himachal Pradesh 3 Punjab 0 Cum. Registered till Date(RHS) Registered Uttarakhand 0 Source: REC Registry Kerala 0 J&K 0 Haryana 0 Trade value touched Rs. 41 Crore in August 2012. In total, 61.85 MW of capacity Total 826 was registered in August, taking the cumulative capacity registered in FY2012-13 to 826 MW. Source-wise Registered Capacity, April 2012 to date Source MW Wind 664 Biomass 82 Bio-fuel cogen 58 Solar PV 18 Small Hydro 4 Total 826 agneya Agneya is promoted by alumni of IIM Ahmedabad and IIM Bangalore. We provide services in the following areas – Renewable Energy – advising clients on the best possible portfolio of renewable energy (wind, solar, bio) across tariff regimes, technology options, electricity sales structuring and availing incentives like REC and GBI. Renewable Energy Regulations – advising clients on regulatory aspects of electricity market, options for realizing the maximum value from their energy assets and minimizing costs related to regulatory compliance including addressing RPO. Carbon & Energy – measuring carbon footprint, current/future energy profiling, and setting up energy management systems to assess risks and opportunities related to energy security and climate change. Sustainability – building robust long term foundations for business i.e. managing economic, environmental and social aspects of business. These include establishing sustainability management framework and reporting as per GRI guidelines. For further information on Renewable Energy Certificates or other services, please contact us at – E-mail – rahul@agneya.in | Phone – +91-20-41203800, +91-88 06 07 07 83 | Website – www.agneya.in