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“ Competitiveness and Economic Growth. An Analysis of Mexico and Korea.” “ Crecimiento Económico y Competitividad. Un Análisis de México y Corea.” Dr. Alejandro Díaz-Bautista   Professor of Economics and Researcher at  El Colegio de la Frontera Norte (COLEF) Profesor Investigador del Colef. Miembro del SNI Conacyt. adiazbau@hotmail.com  Prepared for the Conference at the Faculty of Economics, University of Colima, April 29-30, 2010.  Colima, Colima, Mexico. Preparado para la Conferencia en la Facultad de Economía de la  Universidad de Colima, y para  los estudios en Cuenca del Pacífico y APEC en la Universidad de Colima, los días  29 y 30 de abril de 2010.
Korean Economy ,[object Object]
 
Korean Economy ,[object Object]
Mexican Economy 2010 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Transformation of the Korean Economy  (1945-2003) ,[object Object],Liberation from Japanese Colonial Rule 6 Five-Year-Economic-  Development Plans Financial Crisis 2003 P 1980 1962 1970 1995 5,000 10,000 67 87 11,432 7,355 1953 Per Capita (US$) GNI 1990 1945 12,646 OECD Member 100(1964) 1,000(1977) 1998
Economic Take-off with Outward-looking Development Strategy  (1960-80). ,[object Object],Capital Shortage Weak Technology Base Underdeveloped Private Sector Abundant Labor Strong Economic will High Level of Education ?
[object Object],[object Object],Economic Growth Reproduction Export Promotion Manufacturing Processing Private Enterprises Government Technology Development Financial    Tax Support Well-educated Labor force Foreign Technology Imports Capital Good Imports Raw Material Imports Foreign Capital Inducement (Economic Aids    External Debt )
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Size and Composition of Educational Investment (2000) (Unit: %) OECD AVG KOR U.S. JPN UK Germany GDP  share 5.5 7.7 7.0 4.6 5.3 5.3 Public-financed 4.8 4.9 4.8 3.5 4.5 4.3 Private-financed 0.6 2.8 2.2 1.2 0.7 1.0 OECD,  Education at a Glance 2003. Korean figures are for 2003.
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],   Iron and steel    Electronics     Petro-chemical products    Automobile    Ship-building    Machinery Chaebol  (en  hangul ,  재벌 )  es un modelo empresarial basado en  grandes conglomerados  con presencia en distintos sectores económicos, que se ha desarrollado en  Corea del Sur . Las compañías que presentan esta peculiaridad se caracterizan por su fuerte crecimiento, desarrollo tecnológico, diversificación y una fuerte dimensión empresarial. La palabra en coreano significa " negocio de familia ", aunque también se utiliza para referirse a un  monopolio .
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Changes in Export Commodity Profile 1960 1970 1990 1999 1980 HCI Product Agricultural  Product Light Industry  Product 50% Wig Automobile Semiconductor Textile 2003 Semiconductor, Mobile Phone, DTV, Display, Automobile, Ship-building, etc. 84.8% 12.4% 2.8% (ICT, 27.6%)
Changes in Development Strategy  (1980-2000) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Financial Suppression due to Prolonged Government Intervention High  Large Fiscal Deficits Over-investment in  Inflation ,[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],Budget Freeze/Cut Zero-Based Budgeting Phasing-out of Policy Loans and Interest Rate Deregulation Investment  Adjustment  Inflation  at around 3% Disinflation  Current Account Surpluses Strong Exports GDP Growth of 8% per annum High  Economic Growth
Delayed Economic Reform and    Financial Crisis of 1997 Increased  Vulnerability to  External Shocks IMF Rescue Package ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Continued  Government Intervention / Weak  Prudential Regulation Problems in the Financial Sector South-east Asian Crisis High Corporate Debt Leverage Widespread Moral Hazard
[object Object],0 5 10 15 20 25 30 1996 01  1996 04  1996 07  1996 10  1997 01  1997 04  1997 07  1997 10  1998 01  1998 04  1998 07  1998 10  1999 01  1999 04  1999 07  1999 10  2000 01  2000 04  (%) 0 5,00 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 Overnight inter-bank call rate Unemployment rate No. of firm failures Source: Choi(2001), Bank of Korea, and National Statistical Office.
Swift Crisis Resolution and Economic Recovery Cleaning up  Non-performing Loans Accelerating Liberalization Improving  Corporate Governance Expanding  Social Safety Net -  Early Graduation from  the IMF Program - Foreign Reserves of more than USD 200bn in 2004 Improved  External  Positions -  GDP Growth: -6.7% (1998)    10.7% (1999) - Unemployment: 6.8% (1998)    3.5% (2004) Rapid  Economic  Recovery -  Debt-equity Ratio: 396% (1997)    182 (2002)  - No. of Banks: 33 (1997)    20 (2001) Stronger  Corporate and  Financial Sector
Five-year Economic Development Plans ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Organizational Structure of the Planning Function ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],Poverty Reduction   Government-led  development  strategies  Export-driven  industrialization Successful  birth control Economic growth Decrease  in absolute  poverty rate
[object Object],Emerging Issues ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],After the Financial Crisis   Financial  Crisis (1997)
[object Object],[object Object],IEconomic Growth, Poverty and Inequality in Korea Economic Growth and Absolute Poverty 710 (1965) 14,162 (2004) 41.4 (1965) under 1~2 (2004) GNP per capita (US$) Absolute poverty Rate (%)
Economic Growth, Poverty and Inequality in Korea Economic Growth and Absolute Poverty in Korea
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Economic Growth, Poverty and Inequality in Korea Strong family  planning programs 4.53 (1970) 2.83 (1980) 1.59 (1990) Trend in Total Fertility Rate
Trend   in   the   Relative   Poverty Rates Economic Growth and Relative Poverty   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Economic Growth, Poverty and Inequality in Korea
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Economic Growth, Poverty and Inequality in Korea
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Economic Growth, Poverty and Inequality in Korea
[object Object],Sources: Raw data from the Korea National Statistical Office's  『 Survey  of Urban Households  』 (published annually), for each year  The Bank of Korea's website data, for each year   Economic Growth, Poverty and Inequality in Korea
 
Changes in Poverty Reduction Strategies in Korea Changes in Principle ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],“ Growth First, Welfare Later” “ Growth Together with Welfare”
III. Changes in Poverty Reduction Strategies in Korea Changes in Target Beneficiaries Changes   in   Poverty Reduction Strategies in Korea ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Financial Crisis “ Participation  Government” 1948~1997 1998~2002 2003~
Composition of Korean Overseas Direct Invesment 2004
Composition of Korean ODI in Manufacturing in LAC, 2004
Samsung Tijuana Park Case Brief Introduction - Samsung Tijuana Park: Three Plants  1) Samsung Mexicana (Samex): Television sets, computer monitors, cellular phones and computers. 2) Samsung Display Interface Mexicana (SDIM): Cathode-ray tube (CRT) monitors. In 1997, the plant began to produce Liquid Crystal Display (LCD) monitors. 3) Samsung Electro-Mecánicos Mexicana (SEMSA) Electronic  Components for televisions, monitors.
Samsung Tijuana Park Case Major Features - Investment amount: Over US$ 200 million. Samsung Group owns 100% of stocks. - Employment: 6,000 full-time employees. - Operation rate: 96.2%. - Sales: 2,059 million US$ - Production: Monitor, 4 million sets (CDT models: 5, LCD models: 9); TV production, 3 million sets (TV models: 90); Assembled PCs, 100 thousand; HHP production, 900 thousand.
Samsung Tijuana Park Case Electronics initiated its SAMEX as a Maquiladora to assemble television sets in 1988. Aimed entirely at the North American Market. First Investment Capital: U$3,700 million 2)  After NAFTA, its target market from North America to Mexico. 3)  In 1994, Samsung Group inaugurated Samsung Tijuana Park 4)  Integrate components and finished goods vertically. 5)  Over 200 million US$ was invested. Until 2001, five new plants and renovation continued. How Successful? 1)  30 % to Mexico Market in 2003.  2)  Turnover rates only 3% in 2003 3)  No labor union yet.
 
World Trade 2009 ,[object Object],[object Object]
 
 
 
Free Trade Negotiations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
2006 GDP per capita* $6,621  $3,308  $27,992  $20,572  $8,065  $  $8,862 Economic Growth in Asia *2006 GDP per capita is shown as PPP (purchasing power parity in constant 2000 international $)  Source: World Bank WDI
2006 GDP per capita* Economic Growth in Latin America,  Mexico, & the Caribbean $13,652  $7,826  $10,939  $6,886  $9,967  $5,725  $6,485  $8,862 *2006 GDP per capita is shown as PPP (purchasing power parity in constant 2000 international $)  Source: World Bank WDI
Economic Growth in the U.S. and Canada 2006 GDP per capita* $30,278  $38,165   $8,862 *2006 GDP per capita is shown as PPP (purchasing power parity in constant 2000 international $)  Source: World Bank WDI
(Var. % anual) Fuente:  INEGI y Us Federal Reserve. ¿ Podemos ver en la recesión, la caída de la producción industrial en México y los Estados Unidos?
The World Economic Forum ,[object Object],[object Object]
The World Economic Forum Member Communities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Global Competitiveness Report  Data sources ,[object Object],[object Object]
The Global Competitiveness Index Definition ,[object Object],[object Object]
The Global Competitiveness Index 2009-2010  Top 20 and selected economies
Korean Competitiveness ,[object Object]
Korean Competitiveness ,[object Object],[object Object]
Mexican Competitiveness ,[object Object]
Korea and the 2009 Crisis ,[object Object],[object Object]
Economic Growth in Mexico 2010 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
“ Competitiveness and Economic Growth. An Analysis of Mexico and Korea.” “ Crecimiento Económico y Competitividad. Un Análisis de México y Corea.” Dr. Alejandro Díaz-Bautista   Professor of Economics and Researcher at  El Colegio de la Frontera Norte (COLEF) Profesor Investigador del Colef. Miembro del SNI Conacyt. adiazbau@hotmail.com  Prepared for the Conference at the Faculty of Economics, University of Colima, April 29-30, 2010.  Colima, Colima, Mexico. Preparado para la Conferencia en la Facultad de Economía de la  Universidad de Colima, para  los estudios en Cuenca del Pacífico en la Universidad de Colima, los días  29 y 30 de abril de 2010.

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Dr. Alejandro Diaz-Bautista, Korea Mexico Economy Presentation, University of Colima 2010

  • 1. “ Competitiveness and Economic Growth. An Analysis of Mexico and Korea.” “ Crecimiento Económico y Competitividad. Un Análisis de México y Corea.” Dr. Alejandro Díaz-Bautista Professor of Economics and Researcher at El Colegio de la Frontera Norte (COLEF) Profesor Investigador del Colef. Miembro del SNI Conacyt. adiazbau@hotmail.com Prepared for the Conference at the Faculty of Economics, University of Colima, April 29-30, 2010. Colima, Colima, Mexico. Preparado para la Conferencia en la Facultad de Economía de la Universidad de Colima, y para los estudios en Cuenca del Pacífico y APEC en la Universidad de Colima, los días 29 y 30 de abril de 2010.
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  • 16. Swift Crisis Resolution and Economic Recovery Cleaning up Non-performing Loans Accelerating Liberalization Improving Corporate Governance Expanding Social Safety Net - Early Graduation from the IMF Program - Foreign Reserves of more than USD 200bn in 2004 Improved External Positions - GDP Growth: -6.7% (1998)  10.7% (1999) - Unemployment: 6.8% (1998)  3.5% (2004) Rapid Economic Recovery - Debt-equity Ratio: 396% (1997)  182 (2002) - No. of Banks: 33 (1997)  20 (2001) Stronger Corporate and Financial Sector
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  • 26. Economic Growth, Poverty and Inequality in Korea Economic Growth and Absolute Poverty in Korea
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  • 35. Composition of Korean Overseas Direct Invesment 2004
  • 36. Composition of Korean ODI in Manufacturing in LAC, 2004
  • 37. Samsung Tijuana Park Case Brief Introduction - Samsung Tijuana Park: Three Plants 1) Samsung Mexicana (Samex): Television sets, computer monitors, cellular phones and computers. 2) Samsung Display Interface Mexicana (SDIM): Cathode-ray tube (CRT) monitors. In 1997, the plant began to produce Liquid Crystal Display (LCD) monitors. 3) Samsung Electro-Mecánicos Mexicana (SEMSA) Electronic Components for televisions, monitors.
  • 38. Samsung Tijuana Park Case Major Features - Investment amount: Over US$ 200 million. Samsung Group owns 100% of stocks. - Employment: 6,000 full-time employees. - Operation rate: 96.2%. - Sales: 2,059 million US$ - Production: Monitor, 4 million sets (CDT models: 5, LCD models: 9); TV production, 3 million sets (TV models: 90); Assembled PCs, 100 thousand; HHP production, 900 thousand.
  • 39. Samsung Tijuana Park Case Electronics initiated its SAMEX as a Maquiladora to assemble television sets in 1988. Aimed entirely at the North American Market. First Investment Capital: U$3,700 million 2) After NAFTA, its target market from North America to Mexico. 3) In 1994, Samsung Group inaugurated Samsung Tijuana Park 4) Integrate components and finished goods vertically. 5) Over 200 million US$ was invested. Until 2001, five new plants and renovation continued. How Successful? 1) 30 % to Mexico Market in 2003. 2) Turnover rates only 3% in 2003 3) No labor union yet.
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  • 46. 2006 GDP per capita* $6,621 $3,308 $27,992 $20,572 $8,065 $ $8,862 Economic Growth in Asia *2006 GDP per capita is shown as PPP (purchasing power parity in constant 2000 international $) Source: World Bank WDI
  • 47. 2006 GDP per capita* Economic Growth in Latin America, Mexico, & the Caribbean $13,652 $7,826 $10,939 $6,886 $9,967 $5,725 $6,485 $8,862 *2006 GDP per capita is shown as PPP (purchasing power parity in constant 2000 international $) Source: World Bank WDI
  • 48. Economic Growth in the U.S. and Canada 2006 GDP per capita* $30,278 $38,165 $8,862 *2006 GDP per capita is shown as PPP (purchasing power parity in constant 2000 international $) Source: World Bank WDI
  • 49. (Var. % anual) Fuente: INEGI y Us Federal Reserve. ¿ Podemos ver en la recesión, la caída de la producción industrial en México y los Estados Unidos?
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  • 54. The Global Competitiveness Index 2009-2010 Top 20 and selected economies
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  • 60. “ Competitiveness and Economic Growth. An Analysis of Mexico and Korea.” “ Crecimiento Económico y Competitividad. Un Análisis de México y Corea.” Dr. Alejandro Díaz-Bautista Professor of Economics and Researcher at El Colegio de la Frontera Norte (COLEF) Profesor Investigador del Colef. Miembro del SNI Conacyt. adiazbau@hotmail.com Prepared for the Conference at the Faculty of Economics, University of Colima, April 29-30, 2010. Colima, Colima, Mexico. Preparado para la Conferencia en la Facultad de Economía de la Universidad de Colima, para los estudios en Cuenca del Pacífico en la Universidad de Colima, los días 29 y 30 de abril de 2010.

Hinweis der Redaktion

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